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NAVIN BAFNA
ARVIND SHAH
ABAHAN BANERJEE
ABHISHEK CHANDRA
ABHISHEK DHAWAN
FINANCIAL MATHS GROUP PROJECT
“Mathematics is the only science
where one never knows what one
is talking about nor whether what
is said is true” - Bertrand Russell
LET US GIVE A TRY !!!!!
SKEWNESS
AND
KURTOSIS
Defining Skewness
Skewness is the measure of asymmetry of the
distribution of a real valued random
variable. It is the standardized 3rd central
moment of a distribution
 Positive Skewness indicates a long right tail
 Negative Skewness indicates a long left tail
 Zero Skewness indicates a symmetry around the mean
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
SKEWNESS
NEGATIVE POSITIVE
CALCULATING SKEWNESS
Given a set of returns r, t = 1,2…..T
Where r and sˆ are the estimated average and standard deviation
SKEWNESS ADJUSTMENT
 A gamma distribution is a
better proxy for skewed
portfolios
SKEWNESS Number of SD measure to achieve 99%
-2.83 3.99
-2.00 3.61
-1.00 3.03
-0.67 2.80
0.00 2.33
0.67 1.83
1.00 1.59
2.00 0.99
2.83 0.71
SYMMETRIC
(NORMAL DISTRIBUTION)
Example: Skewness
“Positively Skewed Distribution”
 Suppose that we live in a neighborhood with 100 homes; 99 of them sell
for $ 100,000, and one sells for $ 1,000,000.The median and the mode will
be $ 100,000, but the mean will be $ 109,000. Hence, the mean has been
"pulled" upward (to the right ) by the existence of one home (outlier) in the
neighborhood.
 For a negatively skewed distribution , the mean is less than
the median , which is less than the mode. In this case, there
are large, negative outlier s which tend to “pull" the mean
downward (to the left ).
Spreadsheet - for Positively
Skewed Distribution…
DEFINING KURTOSIS
KURTOSIS is a a measure of the "peakedness" of
the probability distribution of a real-valued
random variable. Its the standardized fourth
central moment of a distribution.
 Kurtosis for he normal distribution is 3
 Positive excess kurtosis indicate flatness (Long, Fat Tails)
 Negative excess kurtosis indicates peakedness
KURTOSIS
CALCULATING KURTOSIS
Example: Kurtosis
SOURCES
 INTL CFA DERIVATIVE MODULE
 CA MAFA MODULE
 WIKIPEDIA
 CASE STUDY ON MEASUREMENT
THANK YOU !!!
To
Prof. Mahendra Mehta

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cupdf.com_skewness-kurtosis-5584a08ded783.ppt

  • 1. NAVIN BAFNA ARVIND SHAH ABAHAN BANERJEE ABHISHEK CHANDRA ABHISHEK DHAWAN FINANCIAL MATHS GROUP PROJECT
  • 2. “Mathematics is the only science where one never knows what one is talking about nor whether what is said is true” - Bertrand Russell LET US GIVE A TRY !!!!!
  • 4. Defining Skewness Skewness is the measure of asymmetry of the distribution of a real valued random variable. It is the standardized 3rd central moment of a distribution  Positive Skewness indicates a long right tail  Negative Skewness indicates a long left tail  Zero Skewness indicates a symmetry around the mean
  • 6. CALCULATING SKEWNESS Given a set of returns r, t = 1,2…..T Where r and sˆ are the estimated average and standard deviation
  • 7. SKEWNESS ADJUSTMENT  A gamma distribution is a better proxy for skewed portfolios SKEWNESS Number of SD measure to achieve 99% -2.83 3.99 -2.00 3.61 -1.00 3.03 -0.67 2.80 0.00 2.33 0.67 1.83 1.00 1.59 2.00 0.99 2.83 0.71 SYMMETRIC (NORMAL DISTRIBUTION)
  • 8. Example: Skewness “Positively Skewed Distribution”  Suppose that we live in a neighborhood with 100 homes; 99 of them sell for $ 100,000, and one sells for $ 1,000,000.The median and the mode will be $ 100,000, but the mean will be $ 109,000. Hence, the mean has been "pulled" upward (to the right ) by the existence of one home (outlier) in the neighborhood.  For a negatively skewed distribution , the mean is less than the median , which is less than the mode. In this case, there are large, negative outlier s which tend to “pull" the mean downward (to the left ).
  • 9. Spreadsheet - for Positively Skewed Distribution…
  • 10.
  • 11. DEFINING KURTOSIS KURTOSIS is a a measure of the "peakedness" of the probability distribution of a real-valued random variable. Its the standardized fourth central moment of a distribution.  Kurtosis for he normal distribution is 3  Positive excess kurtosis indicate flatness (Long, Fat Tails)  Negative excess kurtosis indicates peakedness
  • 15. SOURCES  INTL CFA DERIVATIVE MODULE  CA MAFA MODULE  WIKIPEDIA  CASE STUDY ON MEASUREMENT
  • 16. THANK YOU !!! To Prof. Mahendra Mehta