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CREATING AN
EMPLOYMENT CENTER
IN UNION SQUARE
Union Square Workshop #2
February 11, 2015
Agenda
1 Introduction
2 Development Economics Primer
3 Market Overview
4 Union Square Strategy
INTRODUCTION
4
Our Mission
Collaborate to create a viable and vital
development plan that realizes SomerVisionʼs goals
for the Union Square neighborhood
D1
D5
D6
D7
D3
D2
D4
We will engage, listen,
synthesize and create
Our Schedule
T Station Construction
2016 20172015
D2 Construction
D2 Design Process
Union
Square
Parcels
Dec. 2017
T Station Open
D2 Completion
we are here
Neighborhood
Plan
D2/D3
start approvals
Development opportunities and realities
Placemaking, Retail, Public Realm, Art
February 4
Creating an Employment Center in Union Square
February 11
Project Realities
February 18
Giving Shape to D2/D3
February 25
1
2
3
4
8
WORKSHOP GOALS
Share our perspective about issues
that will shape the master plan
and the future of the neighborhood
9
WORKSHOP GOALS
Share our findings with you and
ask for your feedback
WORKSHOP GOALS
Start to apply ideas and learnings
to the development plans for D2 & D3
...the train is coming!
Today’s workshop addresses a community goal:
create jobs
Space for nonprofits and offices to increase 
daytime action to support businesses
D3: Could be more office oriented
Bring a large employer like
Harvard Vanguard in Davis—
ideally one that provides a
valuable public service.
JOBS!!!
City-wide Goal: 30,000 New Jobs as
part of a responsible plan to create
opportunity for all Somerville workers
and entrepreneurs
Your Vision
Transform key opportunity areas, such as...
Boynton Yards, and the southeastern portion of
Union Square into dynamic, mixed-use and
transit-oriented districts that serve as economic
engines and complement the neighborhoods of
Somerville.
Your Vision
NEIGHBORHOOD TARGET
DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMICS PRIMER
How do we ensure
our collaboration yields a plan
that meets community objectives
and is financially feasible?
RESULTS
Getting to Success
Community
Objectives
Plans
Economic
Feasibility
REPORT
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adipiscing elit. Morbi nulla erat, dapibus et
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tellus quis libero condimentum sagittis.
Etiam nec posuere tortor, ac pretium
nunc. Etiam consectetur tempus purus, ut
posuere nibh ornare faucibus. In nibh
urna, facilisis in imperdiet quis, bibendum
nec eros. Pellentesque orci mi, interdum
sed velit ac, placerat lobortis massa. Ut
metus nisi, finibus eu tellus sed
Economic
Feasibility
Plans
Community
Objectives
No Alignment
Alignment
Live, work, play
Community benefits
Taxes
Jobs
Housing
A PROJECT
REPORT 2?
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur
adipiscing elit. Morbi nulla erat, dapibus et
elementum at, pharetra in diam. Nunc
congue malesuada efficitur. Duis sagittis
tellus quis libero condimentum sagittis.
Etiam nec posuere tortor, ac pretium
nunc. Etiam consectetur tempus purus, ut
posuere nibh ornare faucibus. In nibh
urna, facilisis in imperdiet quis, bibendum
nec eros. Pellentesque orci mi, interdum
sed velit ac, placerat lobortis massa. Ut
metus nisi, finibus eu tellus sed
What triggers private development?
A “feasible” project that has
sufficient economic return
to cause lenders to provide loans,
equity investors to invest and
developers to risk their resources.
In the planning process,
the developer represents
the future occupants of the building.
Developers put their capital at risk,
believing that they can deliver
the buildings & environment
that tenants will want to lease
and at an acceptable price.
How does development work?
MARKET
FINANCIAL
PHYSICAL
FEASIBLE
PLAN
COST REVENUE
DESIGN
Source: Real Estate Development & Investment, Peca
Investor return requirements drive feasibility
MARKET
VALUE PROJECT
COST
>
RETURN
Return on Investment
or Profit
must compensate
investors for risk
$
Market Value must be
greater than Cost
Site Risks
Soils, hydrology
Environmental
Acquisition Risk
Acquisition Cost
Title & Easement
Entitlement Risk
Permit approvals
Exactions, Impact Fees
Financial Risk
Attract lender/investor
Rate risk
Construction Risk
Budget overruns
Unforeseen conditions
Unforeseen events
Market Risk
Competition
Economic Changes
Operating Risk
Operating Expenses
Ongoing leasing
What risk?
Market Value
• Dictated by investment market
• Based on property income
• Income growth, income stability
yield higher values
MARKET
VALUE
$
Absorption
Occupancy
Tenant
credit
Real estate market
risk
Capital markets
risk
Rents & escalation
value
Market Value Drivers
Project Cost Components
PROJECT
COST
$
• Land Acquisition
• Hard Costs
− Construction
− Environmental remediation
− Infrastructure
• Soft Costs
− Architecture/Engineering
− Legal
− Permits
− Marketing
− Management
• Financing Cost
• Community Benefits
• Construction Types
­ Wood frame or steel/concrete
• Parking
­ Counts
­ Format (surface/structure, above/below grade)
• Environmental Remediation
• Geotechnical
• Infrastructure and Site Costs
• Community Benefits
“D” Block Cost Considerations
Implications of Project Scale
The larger the scale and/or density
of the overall project, the greater the
opportunity to provide more master
improvements or community benefits.
These fixed costs can be amortized
(spread out) over a larger number of
development square feet.
Who funds development projects?
EQUITY
DEBT
Investors
• Invests money
• Repaid last
• Developer, RE
Funds, Life Cos.,
REITS, etc.
• Often a
partnership:
• Developer provides
riskiest capital,
expertise,
guarantees,
takes on greatest risk
• Investor provides
capital,
balance sheet,
relationships
Lenders
• Loans money
• Repaid first
• Institutions:
Banks, Insurance
Cos., etc.
Alternative Sources
Grants, government programs
(e.g., tax credits), subsidies, etc
What do investors and lenders
require before funding a project?
• Solid development plan
• Strength of developer
• Pre-leasing / market certainty
• Sufficient debt coverage
• Sufficient returns on cost and on investment
• Community-based plan + economically feasible =
success
• Feasible developments
­ respond to a market need
­ create market value that exceeds cost
• Investors, lenders & developers require financial
return to accept development risk
• Increase scale and density provide greater
opportunity for master improvements and
community benefits
Summary
QUESTIONS?
MARKET
OVERVIEW
Creating an employment center
starts with the market
Source: Real Estate Development & Investment, Peca
MARKET
FINANCIAL
PHYSICAL
FEASIBLE
PLAN
COST REVENUE
DESIGN
Market = office / R&D users (tenants)
Our project and its value proposition
must be attractive to
employers and employees
UNDERSTANDING THE TENANT MARKET
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS
Educated Population
Local job growth driven by innovation worker,
education and urbanization
37.3
Median Age
Young population
In US In Boston
31.1
28.9%
Bachelor’s or higher
In US
43.9%
In Boston
2,300
2,350
2,400
2,450
2,500
2,550
2,600
2,650
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Employment level surpassing dot-com peak
Thousands of jobs, Greater Boston
Urbanization
0.7%
Population growth rate
In US
1.3%
In Boston
Diverse job growth; healthcare, high tech,
hospitality & life sciences excel
HEALTHCARE
SHARE OF JOBS*: 15.9%
10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +95k
HIGH TECH
SHARE OF JOBS: 2.5%
10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +27k
LIFE SCIENCES
SHARE OF JOBS: 3.2%
10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +22k
LEISURE
SHARE OF JOBS: 9.6%
10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +42k
EDUCATION
SHARE OF JOBS: 5.4%
10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +12k
FINANCIAL /
LEGAL
SHARE OF JOBS: 7.6%
10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: -13k
50%
of U.S. workforce by 2020
24average age todaypeople
80M 75%
of Global workforce by 2025
Millennials are driving
the future of the workplace
4.
SEATTLE
29.8%
6.
SAN FRAN
28.5%
9.
SAN DIEGO
29.8%
7.
DENVER
28.4%
BOSTON
35.0%
2.
AUSTIN
31.8%
10.
NASHVILLE
27.2%
5.
COLUMBUS
29.6% 3.
WASHINGTON
31.4%
8. CHICAGO
27.4%
#1
Attracting millennial talent is a top priority for
employers; Boston metro tops the list
Percentage of Young Professionals
Somerville demographics attractive to employers;
however, most residents leave the city to work
44% OF POPULATION
BETWEEN
20 – 34 YEARS OLD
OF SOMERVILLE RESIDENTS
WORK OUTSIDE OF
SOMERVILLE
OF SOMERVILLE RESIDENTS
HAVE A COLLEGE DEGREE OR
HIGHER
85%
54%
Many of our employees live
in Somerville
A constant market refrain
Office space needs are evolving:
Demographics and technology are driving
productivity and changing utilization
Source: JLL Research
15%
space reduction by
U.S. law firms and
financial services
relocating
72%
of global companies
plan to aggressively
increase density in
next 3 years
150
Square-foot-per-
employee average
target density, down
from 225 in 2009
Example: Technology companies are shifting
Source: JLL Research
22.0%
Percent increase in
high-tech service jobs
since 2009
13.6%
Total vacancy in core tech
markets, compared to 16.3
percent nation-wide
2.2%
Growth in
core tech market
rents in 2014
• Benching is standard
• Less personal space, more
shared and amenity space
• “Open hangar” design
preferred
• Migration to Class B+ with
character
• Space viewed as core to
culture
• Remote work is waning
Kendall Square/Image via Shutterstock/e2dan
EXISTING EMPLOYMENT CENTERS
WHERE IS THE GROWTH?
Boston’s employment centers
SOMERVILLE
~ 800,000 SF (OF)
BOSTON CBD CAMBRIDGE
SUBURBAN
CORE
CLASS A CLASS B CLASS A CLASS B CLASS A
Supply 36.1M SF 21M SF 6.7M SF 3.3M SF 19.7M SF
Vacancy 10.8% 7.8% 5.6% 3.3% 7.7%
Average
Asking Rent
$57.94 $42.40 $58.64 $49.95 $32.00
Boston’s market fundamentals
in existing employment centers are strong
350,000 SF 100,000 SF 75,000 SF 100,000 SF
200,000 SF 750,000 SF 120,000 SF 120,000 SF
150,000 SF 150,000 SF 125,000 SF 125,000 SF
130,000 SF 300,000 SF 250,000 SF 60,000 SF
350,000 SF 280,000 SF 220,000 SF
200,000 SF 185,000 SF 125,000 SF
100,000 SF 130,000 SF 50,000 SF
Boston Cambridge
12%
of the demand is new
to Boston
19
Tenants require over
50,000 SF
28%
of tenants are
expanding footprint
18
Tenants require over
50,000 SF
4.4M
Total SF required
16k
Average size
requirement
4.1M
Total SF required
58k
Average size
requirement
Boston and Cambridge lead the metro
for office and lab space growth
Suburbs Life
Sciences
56%
of tenants are
expanding footprints in
core markets
43
Tenants require over
50,000 SF
6.9M
Total SF
required
36k
Average size
requirement
60%
of tenants are
expanding footprints in
core markets
17
Tenants require over
50,000 SF
3.8M
Total SF
required
82k
Average size
requirement
250,000 SF 200,000 SF 150,000 SF
150,000 SF 150,000 SF 125,000 SF
140,000 SF 130,000 SF 125,000 SF
350,000 SF 280,000 SF 220,000 SF
200,000 SF 185,000 SF 125,000 SF
100,000 SF 130,000 SF 50,000 SF
Suburban markets and life sciences sector
are also experiencing growth
Market dynamic: innovation companies
HARVARD SQUARE
DAVIS SQUARE
INITIAL CHALLENGE INITIAL RELIEF
VALVE
CURRENT
CHALLENGE
$$$$$
ZERO SPACE
KENDALL SQUARE
$$$$$
ZERO SPACE
ZERO SPACE
SEAPORT
Brick and Beam
Creative Space
Access to the T
SEAPORT AND
OTHER RELIEF
VALVES
$$$$$
ZERO SPACE
New innovation economy tenants have emerged:
coworking, makers, incubators and accelerators
ATTRACTING INNOVATION COMPANIES
WHAT ARE TENANTS SEEKING?
“ANYTHING WITH OUTDOOR
SPACE?”
“WE ARE MOSTLY OPEN”“CAN WE RECRUIT HERE?”
“ANYTHING IN A
VIBRANT URBAN LOCATION?”
“WHO ARE THE FIBER
PROVIDERS?”
“ARE THERE HIGH CEILINGS?”
“IS THE LOCATION
ACCESSIBLE?”
“CAN WE FIT ON ONE FLOOR?”
“DO YOU HAVE SHOWERS, BIKE
STORAGE?”
“CAN WE GET SHARED MEETING
SPACE?”
“IS THERE RETAIL NEARBY /
AMENITY RICH?”
“IS THERE PLENTY OF NATURAL
LIGHT?”
What office and innovation tenants want
attract and retain innovation workers
SUPPORT SPACES
100% OUTSIDE AIR, UP TO 1.5
CFM
14-15 FOOT FLOOR TO FLOOR
TO ACCOMMODATE HVAC
40:60% LAB TO OFFICE RATIO
REDUNDANCY OF POWER &
CRITICAL SYSTEMS
PROXIMITY TO UNIVERSITY
RESOURCES
350-550 SQUARE FEET PER FTE
CLUSTERED WITH SYNERGISTIC
USES
URBAN, VIBRANT & AMENITY
RICH NEIGHBORHOOD
SPECIALTY SUITES – (E.G.
VIVARIUM)
24/7 SYSTEM OPERATION AND
BUILDING ACCESS
What lab tenants need
specialized facilities & access to resources
OFFICE / R&D DEVELOPMENT
CREATING NEW EMPLOYMENT SPACES
Approaches to Finance and Develop
an Office or R&D Building
Development Type Composition Risk
BUILD TO SUIT
Single Tenant,
100% Pre-Leased
Low to Medium
tenant driven
credit quality driven
PRE-LEASED
Many Tenants,
% Pre-Leased
Medium
dependent on lead tenant(s)
credit quality driven
most typical approach
SPECULATIVE
Many Tenants,
0% Pre-Leased
High
usually only in mature
markets
Development Market: Boston
Address Size (SF)
1 Parcel L2 – Seaport Sq 455,000
2 Pier 4 350,000
3 Parcel D – Seaport Sq 450,000
4 Boston Garden 600,000
5 Harbor Garage 860,000
6 South Station Tower 1,375,000
7 111 Federal 1,300,000
8 7-9 Channel Center 95,000
9 160 N Washington St 230,000
10 Congress Square 250,000
11 333 Summer Street 117,800
12 101 Seaport Blvd 440,000
13 100 Northern Ave 500,000
14 888 Boylston 425,000
15 350 Boylston 221,000
16 Innovation Square 360,000
17 Government Ctr Garage 1,100,000
Shovel Ready – Seeking Pre-Leasing
Under Construction Spec
Under Construction
In Planning
5,390,000
462,800
1,595,000
1,681,000
MARKET OVERVIEW
1
3
5
6
2
Address Size (SF)
1 NorthPoint 2,000,000
2 40 Thorndike Street 460,000
3 100 Binney Street 401,000
4 50 – 60 Binney Street 530,000
5 MIT Main Street 900,000
6 155 Broadway 600,000
7 Cambridge Discovery Park 400,000
4
7
Development Market: Cambridge
MARKET OVERVIEW
Shovel Ready – Seeking Pre-Leasing
Under Construction Spec
Under Construction
Proposed
2,801,000
530,000
0
1,960,000
UNION SQUARE, SOMERVILLE
HOW DO WE FIT IN?
Davis
Square
Assembly
Square
Other
Supply 202,555 SF 353,800 SF 241,751 SF
Direct
Vacancy
0.9%* 28.6% 16.5%
Total
Availability
12.6% 29.2% 26.9%
Average
Asking
Rent
Low $30’s
– Mid $40’s
Low – Mid
$40’s
Mid $20’s
Somerville Tenants
Somerville’s office market is nascent…
< 1% of metro total, <10% of Cambridge
few large tenants, many small businesses dispersed
Why haven’t market forces created
Office/R&D in Union Square already?
Strengths Challenges
• Frontier Location - Union Square not
viewed as commercial opportunity
• Not a company cluster or adjacent to
universities
• Not a live, work, play environment
• Competition from other sub-markets
• Lack of suitable space
• The Green line is not the Red Line
• Neighborhood services missing
• Built-in talent pool
• Proximity to Kendall, Davis, &
Harvard Squares and clusters
• Access to Harvard/MIT/Tufts
• Food & beverage, neighborhood
“buzz”
• Political support
• Entrepreneurial, creative spirit
• MBTA access
QUESTIONS?
UNION SQUARE
STRATEGY
HARVARD SQUARE
DAVIS SQUARE
INITIAL CHALLENGE INITIAL RELIEF
VALVE
CURRENT
CHALLENGE
OPPORTUNITY
$$$$$
ZERO SPACE
KENDALL SQUARE
$$$$$
ZERO SPACE
ZERO SPACE
SEAPORT
Brick and Beam
Creative Space
Access to the T
SEAPORT AND
OTHER RELIEF
VALVES
$$$$$
ZERO SPACE UNION SQUARE
How do we ensure Union Square will be the solution?
Embracing the
Innovation Economy
is a key to creating a
regional employment center
in Union Square
The Innovation Economy
is a key to making
Union Square
into a Regional Employment Center
For every 1 innovation job added,
5 additional jobs are created
For every 1 manufacturing job added,
1.7 additional jobs are created
1 INNOVATION
JOB
Innovation jobs will spur job opportunities
throughout the local economy
People: Attract Innovation Workers
Environment: Create a Vital Urban Transit-Oriented Environment
Cluster: Link to Start-Up Companies, Evolve Innovation Culture
Space: Develop a Continuum of Employment Spaces
Opportunity: Leverage the Development to Create Jobs &
Workforce Development
1
2
3
4
5
Proposed strategy
People: Attract Innovation Workers
It starts with people - the employees.
Millennials are a significant driver of the present & the future.
1
Office Preferences
• Shared space
• No private offices
• Counters replace desks
• Creative interaction
• Work from
home/car/Starbucks
• Green
• Incubator/temporary
spaces
Consumer Preferences
• Access without
ownership
• Devalue status symbols
• Simplicity
• Healthy
• Shop in stores;
buy online
• Entertainment oriented
Characteristics
• Social
• Connected
• Outspoken
• Educated
• Multi-cultural
• High Performance
• Civic-minded
• Mobile
• Merge live, play and work
• Hyper-connected – create digital &
transportation infrastructure
• Create convenience and choice
• Public and private spaces that promote
community
• Prioritize rental over ownership of space,
equipment, transit, etc.
Union Square should respond to
millennial lifestyle needs and interests
1
“Work space is no longer a line on the Profit &
Loss statement. Itʼs a key piece of the
environment to create a disruptive business.
Companies are seeking access to young
people, transportation, arts and cultural
density as well as live, work and play
environments. Union Square can provide
exactly that.”
Greg Hoffmeister
Managing Director, T3 Advisors
Environment: Create a vital, urban mixed-
use transit oriented environment
2
Successful mixed use districts benefit
from the synergy of a variety of uses
2
SOURCE: URBAN LAND INSTITUTE
MIXED USE
PUBLIC REALM
Mixed-use can create a 24/7 environment
2
HOTELHOUSINGOFFICE
CURATED RETAIL
Curated retail offers neighborhood
services and interesting experiences
2
As part of the initial phase
of mixed-use development,
new residential
will create the
critical mass, vibrancy and amenities
that are important
to potential employers
Adds Vitality Increases Spending Readily Executable
Vision Becomes
Reality for Employers
Support Neighborhood
Services
Realize Housing Goals
Residential adds significant benefits
to a mixed-use environment
2
Pursue Strategic Partnerships with
Bostonʼs Innovation Community and Influencers
Cluster: Link to Start-up Companies,
Evolve Innovation Culture
3
Identify neighborhood and project opportunities
where these users can flourish
Support makers, artists and creative
economy industries
3
Work here, grow here and stay here…”incubator to incorporated”
Space: Develop a Continuum of
Employment Spaces
4
Incremental and deliberate approach to
creating innovation office / R&D spaces
4
A PRIME THE MARKET
Establish smaller scale co-working location in
existing Union Square space soon.
B DEMONSTRATE THE POTENTIAL
Build some speculative office space in first
development phase and lease it up.
C ATTRACT TENANTS & LAUNCH A
BUILDING
Plan and market a multi-tenant building as well as
a build-to-suit opportunity
Opportunity: Leverage the Development
to Create Jobs & Workforce Development
5
• Project jobs = priority to
qualified residents
• Workforce participation
program for locals, vets
• Use local businesses for
good and services
• Internships through Mayor’s
summer jobs program
• Technical assistance to
emerging Somerville firms
• “Fast pay” program
• Education programs
Local Jobs Workforce Development
People: Attract Innovation Workers
Environment: Create a Vital Urban Transit-Oriented Environment
Cluster: Link to Start-Up Companies, Evolve Innovation Culture
Space: Develop a Continuum of Employment Spaces
Opportunity: Leverage the Development to Create Jobs &
Workforce Development
1
2
3
4
5
In Summary
QUESTIONS?
Development opportunities and realities
Placemaking, Retail, Public Realm, Art
February 4
Creating an Employment Center in Union Square
February 11
Project Realities
February 18
Giving Shape to D2/D3
February 25
1
2
3
4

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Creating an Employment Center in Union Square

  • 1. CREATING AN EMPLOYMENT CENTER IN UNION SQUARE Union Square Workshop #2 February 11, 2015
  • 2. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Development Economics Primer 3 Market Overview 4 Union Square Strategy
  • 4. 4 Our Mission Collaborate to create a viable and vital development plan that realizes SomerVisionʼs goals for the Union Square neighborhood
  • 5. D1 D5 D6 D7 D3 D2 D4 We will engage, listen, synthesize and create
  • 6. Our Schedule T Station Construction 2016 20172015 D2 Construction D2 Design Process Union Square Parcels Dec. 2017 T Station Open D2 Completion we are here Neighborhood Plan D2/D3 start approvals
  • 7. Development opportunities and realities Placemaking, Retail, Public Realm, Art February 4 Creating an Employment Center in Union Square February 11 Project Realities February 18 Giving Shape to D2/D3 February 25 1 2 3 4
  • 8. 8 WORKSHOP GOALS Share our perspective about issues that will shape the master plan and the future of the neighborhood
  • 9. 9 WORKSHOP GOALS Share our findings with you and ask for your feedback
  • 10. WORKSHOP GOALS Start to apply ideas and learnings to the development plans for D2 & D3 ...the train is coming!
  • 11. Today’s workshop addresses a community goal: create jobs Space for nonprofits and offices to increase  daytime action to support businesses D3: Could be more office oriented Bring a large employer like Harvard Vanguard in Davis— ideally one that provides a valuable public service. JOBS!!!
  • 12. City-wide Goal: 30,000 New Jobs as part of a responsible plan to create opportunity for all Somerville workers and entrepreneurs Your Vision
  • 13. Transform key opportunity areas, such as... Boynton Yards, and the southeastern portion of Union Square into dynamic, mixed-use and transit-oriented districts that serve as economic engines and complement the neighborhoods of Somerville. Your Vision
  • 16. How do we ensure our collaboration yields a plan that meets community objectives and is financially feasible?
  • 17. RESULTS Getting to Success Community Objectives Plans Economic Feasibility REPORT Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Morbi nulla erat, dapibus et elementum at, pharetra in diam. Nunc congue malesuada efficitur. Duis sagittis tellus quis libero condimentum sagittis. Etiam nec posuere tortor, ac pretium nunc. Etiam consectetur tempus purus, ut posuere nibh ornare faucibus. In nibh urna, facilisis in imperdiet quis, bibendum nec eros. Pellentesque orci mi, interdum sed velit ac, placerat lobortis massa. Ut metus nisi, finibus eu tellus sed Economic Feasibility Plans Community Objectives No Alignment Alignment Live, work, play Community benefits Taxes Jobs Housing A PROJECT REPORT 2? Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Morbi nulla erat, dapibus et elementum at, pharetra in diam. Nunc congue malesuada efficitur. Duis sagittis tellus quis libero condimentum sagittis. Etiam nec posuere tortor, ac pretium nunc. Etiam consectetur tempus purus, ut posuere nibh ornare faucibus. In nibh urna, facilisis in imperdiet quis, bibendum nec eros. Pellentesque orci mi, interdum sed velit ac, placerat lobortis massa. Ut metus nisi, finibus eu tellus sed
  • 18. What triggers private development? A “feasible” project that has sufficient economic return to cause lenders to provide loans, equity investors to invest and developers to risk their resources.
  • 19. In the planning process, the developer represents the future occupants of the building. Developers put their capital at risk, believing that they can deliver the buildings & environment that tenants will want to lease and at an acceptable price.
  • 20. How does development work? MARKET FINANCIAL PHYSICAL FEASIBLE PLAN COST REVENUE DESIGN Source: Real Estate Development & Investment, Peca
  • 21. Investor return requirements drive feasibility MARKET VALUE PROJECT COST > RETURN Return on Investment or Profit must compensate investors for risk $ Market Value must be greater than Cost
  • 22. Site Risks Soils, hydrology Environmental Acquisition Risk Acquisition Cost Title & Easement Entitlement Risk Permit approvals Exactions, Impact Fees Financial Risk Attract lender/investor Rate risk Construction Risk Budget overruns Unforeseen conditions Unforeseen events Market Risk Competition Economic Changes Operating Risk Operating Expenses Ongoing leasing What risk?
  • 23. Market Value • Dictated by investment market • Based on property income • Income growth, income stability yield higher values MARKET VALUE $
  • 24. Absorption Occupancy Tenant credit Real estate market risk Capital markets risk Rents & escalation value Market Value Drivers
  • 25. Project Cost Components PROJECT COST $ • Land Acquisition • Hard Costs − Construction − Environmental remediation − Infrastructure • Soft Costs − Architecture/Engineering − Legal − Permits − Marketing − Management • Financing Cost • Community Benefits
  • 26. • Construction Types ­ Wood frame or steel/concrete • Parking ­ Counts ­ Format (surface/structure, above/below grade) • Environmental Remediation • Geotechnical • Infrastructure and Site Costs • Community Benefits “D” Block Cost Considerations
  • 27. Implications of Project Scale The larger the scale and/or density of the overall project, the greater the opportunity to provide more master improvements or community benefits. These fixed costs can be amortized (spread out) over a larger number of development square feet.
  • 28. Who funds development projects? EQUITY DEBT Investors • Invests money • Repaid last • Developer, RE Funds, Life Cos., REITS, etc. • Often a partnership: • Developer provides riskiest capital, expertise, guarantees, takes on greatest risk • Investor provides capital, balance sheet, relationships Lenders • Loans money • Repaid first • Institutions: Banks, Insurance Cos., etc. Alternative Sources Grants, government programs (e.g., tax credits), subsidies, etc
  • 29. What do investors and lenders require before funding a project? • Solid development plan • Strength of developer • Pre-leasing / market certainty • Sufficient debt coverage • Sufficient returns on cost and on investment
  • 30. • Community-based plan + economically feasible = success • Feasible developments ­ respond to a market need ­ create market value that exceeds cost • Investors, lenders & developers require financial return to accept development risk • Increase scale and density provide greater opportunity for master improvements and community benefits Summary
  • 33. Creating an employment center starts with the market Source: Real Estate Development & Investment, Peca MARKET FINANCIAL PHYSICAL FEASIBLE PLAN COST REVENUE DESIGN
  • 34. Market = office / R&D users (tenants) Our project and its value proposition must be attractive to employers and employees
  • 35. UNDERSTANDING THE TENANT MARKET EMPLOYMENT TRENDS
  • 36. Educated Population Local job growth driven by innovation worker, education and urbanization 37.3 Median Age Young population In US In Boston 31.1 28.9% Bachelor’s or higher In US 43.9% In Boston 2,300 2,350 2,400 2,450 2,500 2,550 2,600 2,650 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Employment level surpassing dot-com peak Thousands of jobs, Greater Boston Urbanization 0.7% Population growth rate In US 1.3% In Boston
  • 37. Diverse job growth; healthcare, high tech, hospitality & life sciences excel HEALTHCARE SHARE OF JOBS*: 15.9% 10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +95k HIGH TECH SHARE OF JOBS: 2.5% 10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +27k LIFE SCIENCES SHARE OF JOBS: 3.2% 10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +22k LEISURE SHARE OF JOBS: 9.6% 10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +42k EDUCATION SHARE OF JOBS: 5.4% 10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: +12k FINANCIAL / LEGAL SHARE OF JOBS: 7.6% 10 YEAR JOB CHANGE: -13k
  • 38. 50% of U.S. workforce by 2020 24average age todaypeople 80M 75% of Global workforce by 2025 Millennials are driving the future of the workplace
  • 39. 4. SEATTLE 29.8% 6. SAN FRAN 28.5% 9. SAN DIEGO 29.8% 7. DENVER 28.4% BOSTON 35.0% 2. AUSTIN 31.8% 10. NASHVILLE 27.2% 5. COLUMBUS 29.6% 3. WASHINGTON 31.4% 8. CHICAGO 27.4% #1 Attracting millennial talent is a top priority for employers; Boston metro tops the list Percentage of Young Professionals
  • 40. Somerville demographics attractive to employers; however, most residents leave the city to work 44% OF POPULATION BETWEEN 20 – 34 YEARS OLD OF SOMERVILLE RESIDENTS WORK OUTSIDE OF SOMERVILLE OF SOMERVILLE RESIDENTS HAVE A COLLEGE DEGREE OR HIGHER 85% 54% Many of our employees live in Somerville A constant market refrain
  • 41. Office space needs are evolving: Demographics and technology are driving productivity and changing utilization Source: JLL Research 15% space reduction by U.S. law firms and financial services relocating 72% of global companies plan to aggressively increase density in next 3 years 150 Square-foot-per- employee average target density, down from 225 in 2009
  • 42. Example: Technology companies are shifting Source: JLL Research 22.0% Percent increase in high-tech service jobs since 2009 13.6% Total vacancy in core tech markets, compared to 16.3 percent nation-wide 2.2% Growth in core tech market rents in 2014 • Benching is standard • Less personal space, more shared and amenity space • “Open hangar” design preferred • Migration to Class B+ with character • Space viewed as core to culture • Remote work is waning
  • 43. Kendall Square/Image via Shutterstock/e2dan EXISTING EMPLOYMENT CENTERS WHERE IS THE GROWTH?
  • 45. BOSTON CBD CAMBRIDGE SUBURBAN CORE CLASS A CLASS B CLASS A CLASS B CLASS A Supply 36.1M SF 21M SF 6.7M SF 3.3M SF 19.7M SF Vacancy 10.8% 7.8% 5.6% 3.3% 7.7% Average Asking Rent $57.94 $42.40 $58.64 $49.95 $32.00 Boston’s market fundamentals in existing employment centers are strong
  • 46. 350,000 SF 100,000 SF 75,000 SF 100,000 SF 200,000 SF 750,000 SF 120,000 SF 120,000 SF 150,000 SF 150,000 SF 125,000 SF 125,000 SF 130,000 SF 300,000 SF 250,000 SF 60,000 SF 350,000 SF 280,000 SF 220,000 SF 200,000 SF 185,000 SF 125,000 SF 100,000 SF 130,000 SF 50,000 SF Boston Cambridge 12% of the demand is new to Boston 19 Tenants require over 50,000 SF 28% of tenants are expanding footprint 18 Tenants require over 50,000 SF 4.4M Total SF required 16k Average size requirement 4.1M Total SF required 58k Average size requirement Boston and Cambridge lead the metro for office and lab space growth
  • 47. Suburbs Life Sciences 56% of tenants are expanding footprints in core markets 43 Tenants require over 50,000 SF 6.9M Total SF required 36k Average size requirement 60% of tenants are expanding footprints in core markets 17 Tenants require over 50,000 SF 3.8M Total SF required 82k Average size requirement 250,000 SF 200,000 SF 150,000 SF 150,000 SF 150,000 SF 125,000 SF 140,000 SF 130,000 SF 125,000 SF 350,000 SF 280,000 SF 220,000 SF 200,000 SF 185,000 SF 125,000 SF 100,000 SF 130,000 SF 50,000 SF Suburban markets and life sciences sector are also experiencing growth
  • 48. Market dynamic: innovation companies HARVARD SQUARE DAVIS SQUARE INITIAL CHALLENGE INITIAL RELIEF VALVE CURRENT CHALLENGE $$$$$ ZERO SPACE KENDALL SQUARE $$$$$ ZERO SPACE ZERO SPACE SEAPORT Brick and Beam Creative Space Access to the T SEAPORT AND OTHER RELIEF VALVES $$$$$ ZERO SPACE
  • 49. New innovation economy tenants have emerged: coworking, makers, incubators and accelerators
  • 50. ATTRACTING INNOVATION COMPANIES WHAT ARE TENANTS SEEKING?
  • 51. “ANYTHING WITH OUTDOOR SPACE?” “WE ARE MOSTLY OPEN”“CAN WE RECRUIT HERE?” “ANYTHING IN A VIBRANT URBAN LOCATION?” “WHO ARE THE FIBER PROVIDERS?” “ARE THERE HIGH CEILINGS?” “IS THE LOCATION ACCESSIBLE?” “CAN WE FIT ON ONE FLOOR?” “DO YOU HAVE SHOWERS, BIKE STORAGE?” “CAN WE GET SHARED MEETING SPACE?” “IS THERE RETAIL NEARBY / AMENITY RICH?” “IS THERE PLENTY OF NATURAL LIGHT?” What office and innovation tenants want attract and retain innovation workers
  • 52. SUPPORT SPACES 100% OUTSIDE AIR, UP TO 1.5 CFM 14-15 FOOT FLOOR TO FLOOR TO ACCOMMODATE HVAC 40:60% LAB TO OFFICE RATIO REDUNDANCY OF POWER & CRITICAL SYSTEMS PROXIMITY TO UNIVERSITY RESOURCES 350-550 SQUARE FEET PER FTE CLUSTERED WITH SYNERGISTIC USES URBAN, VIBRANT & AMENITY RICH NEIGHBORHOOD SPECIALTY SUITES – (E.G. VIVARIUM) 24/7 SYSTEM OPERATION AND BUILDING ACCESS What lab tenants need specialized facilities & access to resources
  • 53. OFFICE / R&D DEVELOPMENT CREATING NEW EMPLOYMENT SPACES
  • 54. Approaches to Finance and Develop an Office or R&D Building Development Type Composition Risk BUILD TO SUIT Single Tenant, 100% Pre-Leased Low to Medium tenant driven credit quality driven PRE-LEASED Many Tenants, % Pre-Leased Medium dependent on lead tenant(s) credit quality driven most typical approach SPECULATIVE Many Tenants, 0% Pre-Leased High usually only in mature markets
  • 55. Development Market: Boston Address Size (SF) 1 Parcel L2 – Seaport Sq 455,000 2 Pier 4 350,000 3 Parcel D – Seaport Sq 450,000 4 Boston Garden 600,000 5 Harbor Garage 860,000 6 South Station Tower 1,375,000 7 111 Federal 1,300,000 8 7-9 Channel Center 95,000 9 160 N Washington St 230,000 10 Congress Square 250,000 11 333 Summer Street 117,800 12 101 Seaport Blvd 440,000 13 100 Northern Ave 500,000 14 888 Boylston 425,000 15 350 Boylston 221,000 16 Innovation Square 360,000 17 Government Ctr Garage 1,100,000 Shovel Ready – Seeking Pre-Leasing Under Construction Spec Under Construction In Planning 5,390,000 462,800 1,595,000 1,681,000 MARKET OVERVIEW
  • 56. 1 3 5 6 2 Address Size (SF) 1 NorthPoint 2,000,000 2 40 Thorndike Street 460,000 3 100 Binney Street 401,000 4 50 – 60 Binney Street 530,000 5 MIT Main Street 900,000 6 155 Broadway 600,000 7 Cambridge Discovery Park 400,000 4 7 Development Market: Cambridge MARKET OVERVIEW Shovel Ready – Seeking Pre-Leasing Under Construction Spec Under Construction Proposed 2,801,000 530,000 0 1,960,000
  • 58. Davis Square Assembly Square Other Supply 202,555 SF 353,800 SF 241,751 SF Direct Vacancy 0.9%* 28.6% 16.5% Total Availability 12.6% 29.2% 26.9% Average Asking Rent Low $30’s – Mid $40’s Low – Mid $40’s Mid $20’s Somerville Tenants Somerville’s office market is nascent… < 1% of metro total, <10% of Cambridge few large tenants, many small businesses dispersed
  • 59. Why haven’t market forces created Office/R&D in Union Square already? Strengths Challenges • Frontier Location - Union Square not viewed as commercial opportunity • Not a company cluster or adjacent to universities • Not a live, work, play environment • Competition from other sub-markets • Lack of suitable space • The Green line is not the Red Line • Neighborhood services missing • Built-in talent pool • Proximity to Kendall, Davis, & Harvard Squares and clusters • Access to Harvard/MIT/Tufts • Food & beverage, neighborhood “buzz” • Political support • Entrepreneurial, creative spirit • MBTA access
  • 62. HARVARD SQUARE DAVIS SQUARE INITIAL CHALLENGE INITIAL RELIEF VALVE CURRENT CHALLENGE OPPORTUNITY $$$$$ ZERO SPACE KENDALL SQUARE $$$$$ ZERO SPACE ZERO SPACE SEAPORT Brick and Beam Creative Space Access to the T SEAPORT AND OTHER RELIEF VALVES $$$$$ ZERO SPACE UNION SQUARE How do we ensure Union Square will be the solution?
  • 63. Embracing the Innovation Economy is a key to creating a regional employment center in Union Square
  • 64. The Innovation Economy is a key to making Union Square into a Regional Employment Center For every 1 innovation job added, 5 additional jobs are created For every 1 manufacturing job added, 1.7 additional jobs are created
  • 65. 1 INNOVATION JOB Innovation jobs will spur job opportunities throughout the local economy
  • 66. People: Attract Innovation Workers Environment: Create a Vital Urban Transit-Oriented Environment Cluster: Link to Start-Up Companies, Evolve Innovation Culture Space: Develop a Continuum of Employment Spaces Opportunity: Leverage the Development to Create Jobs & Workforce Development 1 2 3 4 5 Proposed strategy
  • 67. People: Attract Innovation Workers It starts with people - the employees. Millennials are a significant driver of the present & the future. 1 Office Preferences • Shared space • No private offices • Counters replace desks • Creative interaction • Work from home/car/Starbucks • Green • Incubator/temporary spaces Consumer Preferences • Access without ownership • Devalue status symbols • Simplicity • Healthy • Shop in stores; buy online • Entertainment oriented Characteristics • Social • Connected • Outspoken • Educated • Multi-cultural • High Performance • Civic-minded • Mobile
  • 68. • Merge live, play and work • Hyper-connected – create digital & transportation infrastructure • Create convenience and choice • Public and private spaces that promote community • Prioritize rental over ownership of space, equipment, transit, etc. Union Square should respond to millennial lifestyle needs and interests 1
  • 69. “Work space is no longer a line on the Profit & Loss statement. Itʼs a key piece of the environment to create a disruptive business. Companies are seeking access to young people, transportation, arts and cultural density as well as live, work and play environments. Union Square can provide exactly that.” Greg Hoffmeister Managing Director, T3 Advisors Environment: Create a vital, urban mixed- use transit oriented environment 2
  • 70. Successful mixed use districts benefit from the synergy of a variety of uses 2 SOURCE: URBAN LAND INSTITUTE
  • 71. MIXED USE PUBLIC REALM Mixed-use can create a 24/7 environment 2 HOTELHOUSINGOFFICE
  • 72. CURATED RETAIL Curated retail offers neighborhood services and interesting experiences 2
  • 73. As part of the initial phase of mixed-use development, new residential will create the critical mass, vibrancy and amenities that are important to potential employers
  • 74. Adds Vitality Increases Spending Readily Executable Vision Becomes Reality for Employers Support Neighborhood Services Realize Housing Goals Residential adds significant benefits to a mixed-use environment 2
  • 75. Pursue Strategic Partnerships with Bostonʼs Innovation Community and Influencers Cluster: Link to Start-up Companies, Evolve Innovation Culture 3
  • 76. Identify neighborhood and project opportunities where these users can flourish Support makers, artists and creative economy industries 3
  • 77. Work here, grow here and stay here…”incubator to incorporated” Space: Develop a Continuum of Employment Spaces 4
  • 78. Incremental and deliberate approach to creating innovation office / R&D spaces 4 A PRIME THE MARKET Establish smaller scale co-working location in existing Union Square space soon. B DEMONSTRATE THE POTENTIAL Build some speculative office space in first development phase and lease it up. C ATTRACT TENANTS & LAUNCH A BUILDING Plan and market a multi-tenant building as well as a build-to-suit opportunity
  • 79. Opportunity: Leverage the Development to Create Jobs & Workforce Development 5 • Project jobs = priority to qualified residents • Workforce participation program for locals, vets • Use local businesses for good and services • Internships through Mayor’s summer jobs program • Technical assistance to emerging Somerville firms • “Fast pay” program • Education programs Local Jobs Workforce Development
  • 80. People: Attract Innovation Workers Environment: Create a Vital Urban Transit-Oriented Environment Cluster: Link to Start-Up Companies, Evolve Innovation Culture Space: Develop a Continuum of Employment Spaces Opportunity: Leverage the Development to Create Jobs & Workforce Development 1 2 3 4 5 In Summary
  • 82. Development opportunities and realities Placemaking, Retail, Public Realm, Art February 4 Creating an Employment Center in Union Square February 11 Project Realities February 18 Giving Shape to D2/D3 February 25 1 2 3 4