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Evaluation Framework
October 2015
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | i
Table of Contents
Page
1 Introduction............................................................................................................1
NextGen – Context ..................................................................................................2
NextGen Process – Establishing Values and Priorities.............................................3
2 Evaluation Framework...........................................................................................4
Tier 1 Screening.......................................................................................................5
Tier 2 Project Development and Evaluation ...........................................................11
Modal Evaluation ...................................................................................................14
Outcomes ..............................................................................................................16
Appendix A Community Values .............................................................................18
Introduction............................................................................................................18
Initial Values and Priorities List ..............................................................................18
Values and Priorities List, Version 2.......................................................................19
Values and Priorities List, Version 3.......................................................................19
Results of Values Exercise ....................................................................................20
NextGen Phase 1: Stakeholder and Community Outreach Events.........................21
Appendix B Values Exercise ..................................................................................22
Table of Figures
Page
Figure 1: NextGen Study Area ........................................................................................2
Figure 2: Proposed Tier 1 Measures, Purpose, and Measurements................................6
Figure 3: Tier 1 Evaluation Example (hypothetical scenarios) .........................................8
Figure 4: Proposed Tier 2 Measures, Purpose, and Measurements..............................12
Figure 5: Traveler Experience .......................................................................................14
Figure 6: Safety and Security ........................................................................................15
Figure 7: Financial/Cost ................................................................................................16
Figure 8: Summary of Public Input on Transit Values....................................................20
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 1
1 INTRODUCTION
The Central Ohio Transit Authority (COTA) is undertaking a planning effort, COTA Next
Generation 2050 (branded as “NextGen”), to explore central Ohio’s future public transportation
needs. The planning process began in January 2015 and is designed to create a long-term
perspective on transit investment opportunities, guiding transit development through 2050.
Central Ohio, like urban areas everywhere, is changing. Changes reflect, in part, an increase in
the number of people and jobs in the region, as well as social and demographic changes, as the
region responds to shifting societal values, emerging technologies, and evolving opportunities.
As the region adapts, there will be demand for more and different types of regional services,
including schools and housing, but also public transportation. Preparing for these changes gives
central Ohio residents an opportunity to rethink the role transit plays in the overall transportation
network. NextGen is designed to explore and guide that process. Within this context, the
overarching goals of the NextGen study are to:
Lead the community in a visioning exercise to determine what central Ohio’s public
transportation system needs to accomplish in the coming decades to ensure current and
future residents have access to jobs, housing, education, and services.
Prepare central Ohio for future growth by identifying transit investments that integrate
with regional plans and goals. Critical regional goals include maintaining regional
competitiveness, minimizing sprawl, and responding to demographic preferences.
Create transit investment options to support local and regional efforts to develop transit
oriented development and communities.
Identify conventional and creative revenue options that offer potential to support the
recommended plan and ensure the plan can be implemented.
NextGen’s Phase I steps were two fold. The first effort included extensive stakeholder and
community outreach, with a particular focus on developing a vision for the role public
transportation plays in central Ohio’s future. The second initial effort included a needs
assessment, which involves considering projected growth patterns, evaluating existing transit
services, and examining how communities in the study area are planning for additional transit
investment. These two efforts were also used to develop an evaluation framework; this
framework is designed to reflect the regional goals and values for transit service development
and apply these values to create a methodology that can be used to evaluate and prioritize
transit investment opportunities.
The purpose of this technical memo is to document and describe the evaluation framework for
how the NextGen team will screen identified transit investment needs into a prioritized list, and
eventually evaluate potential transit projects. This technical memo is intended as a working
paper to communicate the NextGen team’s proposed approach to stakeholders.
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 2
NextGen – Context
The NextGen study area is comprised of the COTA service area, which is defined as all of
Franklin County plus parts of Delaware, Union, Fairfield and Licking counties (see Figure 1).
NextGen is being coordinated with two other ongoing regional transportation initiatives: the Mid-
Ohio Regional Planning Commission’s (MORPC) Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP) and
the City of Columbus Multimodal Thoroughfare Plan (branded as Connect Columbus). The
studies are using the same data sources and outreach events are overlapping and coordinated.
The region’s interest in conducting these efforts simultaneously reflects an interest in creating a
strong regional multimodal transportation system that will support economic growth and ensure
a sustainable transportation future.
Figure 1: NextGen Study Area
Source: NelsonNygaard Consulting Associates adapted from US Census TIGER and COTA data
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 3
NextGen Process – Establishing Values and Priorities
The NextGen project broadly
consists of three phases. The first
phase of the project focused on
identifying transit service needs
and establishing community
priorities for transit investment.
Subsequent phases will be
oriented around project development (Phase 2) and funding and implementation (Phase 3).
NextGen’s Phase 1 community engagement efforts were extensive. Activities included in-depth
leader interviews, small group discussions, workshops, public meetings, a Project Advisory
Group (PAG), and presenting information at existing community events. Generally speaking, the
NextGen team used the early outreach activities (interviews and small group discussions) to
broadly understand both people’s ideas for the future of central Ohio and the role transit plays in
that future. The team also used these conversations to understand community values
surrounding transit investment (i.e. why transit is important). Through the outreach process, an
initial list of eight values was drafted. In subsequent outreach activities, the team worked with
community members and stakeholders to refine and prioritize these values (see Appendix A for
an overview of the how values were developed). The process resulted in identification of five
values or priorities for how transit investment should be directed and measured:
1. Make Better Connections – Improve existing transit service’s reach further into the
communities it already serves.
2. Invest in Underserved Communities – Direct transit investment to specific corridors and
neighborhoods.
3. Coordinate with Growth – Encourage inward growth and serve existing neighborhoods.
Strengthen fast-growing areas.
4. Build on Success – Make existing transit service more compelling.
5. Sustainability – Protect the environment and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
These five values create the structure of the evaluation framework.
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 4
2 EVALUATION FRAMEWORK
The NextGen evaluation framework is designed into two phases. The Tier 1 evaluation will
evaluate a broad list of potential high capacity transit corridors and the Tier 2 evaluation will
prioritize and rank specific projects. The evaluation framework will be slightly different for each
tier but will be guided by the same principles and values that were established by stakeholders
and community members. The two tiers are broadly defined as:
Tier 1: Screen Potential High Capacity Transit Corridors. Consider and evaluate
corridors where high capacity transit service is needed and/or where there are
opportunities to use investment in high capacity transit to advance the articulated goals
and values. The corridors considered in the evaluation were identified through the needs
assessment and community engagement process.
Tier 2: Evaluate Individual Transit Projects. Evaluate individual high capacity transit
projects to develop a list of recommended and prioritized regional transit investments.
The NextGen team will develop individual projects and select an appropriate mode for
the corridors identified through the Tier 1 process. The specific proposals for each
recommended corridor will be translated into transit projects using service design
practices and community input.
In addition to the evaluation of high capacity transit investments, the NextGen Plan will include
baseline investments in local fixed route bus, flex service, circulators, commuter services, and
technology, such as fare payment systems and real-time arrival information. These investments
will not go through the screening process, but will be evaluated in the context of future needs
and future high capacity transit investments so that the resulting plan is a holistic network of
transit services.
The evaluation framework is designed to result in a list of projects that reflect regional goals and
support overall local and regional development plans. The screening process is intended to
provide high level information on the relative benefits of corridors and projects in relation to one
another across these goals. In some cases, especially in the Tier 1 evaluation process, the
corridors may all have similar outcomes. In other cases, the differences between corridors may
seem significant, but may not measurably change the overall impact of an alternative in
achieving the regional goals.
The evaluation framework is also designed to be supportive of the Federal Transit
Administration (FTA’s) Capital Investment Grant (CIG) funding program, so the projects in the
NextGen Plan will be well-positioned for federal funding. As a result, the proposed framework
includes a comparison and evaluation of transit needs based on technical merit as well as input
from the public, stakeholders (e.g., residents, business owners, etc.), and local, regional, state
and federal agencies.
The study team will draw upon a variety of sources for the data to support the analysis. Much of
the information needed to conduct the evaluation is available through local, regional and federal
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 5
resources, such as the United States (US) Census bureau, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS),
city and county traffic and transportation departments, city and county appraisal districts, and
MORPC data. Data will also be drawn from existing studies and plans. Other parts of the
analysis will be based on industry standards, best practices, and unit cost measurements.
Tier 1 Screening
The goal of Tier 1 screening is to evaluate the identified high capacity transit needs across the
region based on the established goals and community priorities for transit investment. The Tier
1 screening is focused on corridors rather than specific projects and is intended to highlight the
relative advantages of different corridors, so the transit needs with the most potential can be
prioritized for project development.
The evaluation framework is grounded in the transit values and priorities articulated through the
community engagement process. These goals and values were translated into evaluation
criteria (see Figure 2) which will be used to evaluate each corridor in terms of its ability to meet
the objectives of the established goal.
The NextGen team will evaluate each corridor against the individual criterion, with a focus on
how well each corridor fulfills the screening criterion relative to other corridors under
consideration. Based on the results of the screening, corridors will be rated “High,” “Medium,” or
“Low” for each area. Corridors will not be assigned a single overall score. Rather, this approach
will weigh each corridor based on its ability to meet the criteria, recognizing that some areas
may support some goals more strongly than others. For example, the “Build on Success” value
rewards areas that already have transit services and as a result, areas that don’t currently have
service will not score as highly, though they may score more highly in other areas.
The Tier 1 screening process is intended to be collaborative and iterative. The NextGen team
will share the results with COTA and the PAG (targeted for December 2015 meeting) so they
are able to consider each identified corridor and its performance against the Tier 1 criteria.
Public input collected through an interactive survey tool allowing respondents to select their top
priority corridors will help refine the results of the screening process before finalizing a set of
corridors to move into the Tier 2 screening process.
At the end of the Tier 1 evaluation process, the NextGen team will create a summary matrix that
highlights how each identified high capacity transit corridor scored against each identified value.
The scoring will be qualitative and reflect a scaling of “high, medium, and low”, as shown in
Figure 2. For the corridors recommended for project development, the NextGen team will also
create a transit needs fact sheet that provides more details on the proposed investment area
and why it is recommended for additional consideration.
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 6
Figure 2: Proposed Tier 1 Measures, Purpose, and Measurements
Value Tier 1: Evaluation Measure Measure Determines… Potential Measurements
Make Better Connections
Improve existing transit
service’s reach further into
the communities it already
serves
Opportunities to connect with existing
transit service
If investment will create and
strengthen connections and access to
overall network
• Connects downtown
• Intersecting routes
• Transit centers served
Quality of potential connections
(frequency, span, days of week)
If overall network will be strengthened
by connections with higher quality
service
• TSR frequent routes served
• Routes that operate 7 days a
week served
Consistency with local planning
efforts
If area will be enhanced/ supported by
local efforts
• Identified in previous regional or
municipal planning documents
• Areas with transit supportive
land use policies or zoning
• Identified in COTA plans
Invest in Underserved
Communities
Direct investment to specific
corridors and
neighborhoods
Number of low income households
along corridor
Extent of need in proposed investment
area (as defined by low income
residents)
• Percentage of corridor serving
census tracts with low-income
populations
Number of zero car households along
corridor
Level of opportunity to serve
populations who rely on alternative
modes of transportation
• Percentage of corridor serving
census tracts with zero-car
populations
Jobs – housing balance (ratio of jobs
to residents). Fewer jobs per capita
results in higher need
Areas with fewer jobs per capita,
which means higher demand for travel
• 2015 jobs to employment ratio
from MORPC
• 2040 jobs to employment ratio
from MORPC
Build on Success
Make existing transit service
more compelling
Existing ridership in corridor or area
Demand for future investment (high
ridership suggests more need)
• Total existing corridor or area
ridership from existing COTA
data
Passenger per hour on existing
services
Success of existing service
• Weekday passenger per hour
figures from existing COTA data
Potential for travel time savings
Opportunity for improvement in travel
time given physical conditions
• Traffic Volume/Lane Capacity
Ratio on corridor
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 7
Value Tier 1: Evaluation Measure Measure Determines… Potential Measurements
Coordinate with Growth
Encourage inward growth
and serve existing
neighborhoods.
Strengthen fast growing
areas.
Transit supportive land uses or
development standards for corridor or
service area
If area is oriented towards transit
service
• Assessment of setbacks of
existing land uses in corridor
• Assessment of availability of
pedestrian access/facilities in
corridor
• Meets minimum density
measures for HCT
Population and Employment within ÂĽ
mile of service area/corridor (2040)
Size of population/employment market
served
• From MORPC, the projected
population and employment
within ÂĽ mile of corridor (2040)
Rate of change in population and
employment within ÂĽ mile of corridor
(2015-2040)
Areas with increasing population and
employment density, which
demonstrate transit oriented
environment
• From MORPC, rate of change in
population and employment
within ÂĽ mile of corridor (2015-
2040)
Sustainability
Protect the environment and
reduce greenhouse gas
emissions.
Impact on natural resources (parks,
rivers, green spaces)
Direct impact (positive or negative) on
natural resources
• Corridor serves parkland
• Corridor would require parkland
to construct
Repurposing space (abandoned
corridors, areas)
If investment promotes infill
development or redevelopment of
brownfield sites
• Number of infill or brownfield
redevelopment sites
Service in congested corridors
If investment reduces congestion as a
strategy to reduce tailpipe emission
and greenhouse gases
• Corridor parallels 2015
Congested areas
• Corridor parallels 2040
Congested areas
The following table demonstrates how two hypothetical projects would be rated using the Tier 1 evaluation framework.
Figure 3: Tier 1 Evaluation Example (hypothetical
Make Better
Connections Project A will connect a community that does not
currently have transit service with one BRT line.
Opportunities to connect
with existing transit service
Quality of potential
connections (quality
defined by frequency, span
and days of week)
Consistency with local
planning efforts
Invest in Underserved
Communities
Project A would serve a community with a high
proportion of low income residents
without access to a vehicle. There are
capita in this community
Number of low income
residents along corridor
Number of zero-car
households along corridor
Jobs – housing balance
(ratio of jobs to residents).
Fewer jobs per capita
results in higher need
Evaluation Framework
The following table demonstrates how two hypothetical projects would be rated using the Tier 1 evaluation framework.
: Tier 1 Evaluation Example (hypothetical scenarios)
Project A will connect a community that does not
currently have transit service with one BRT line.
Project B will connect a community that does not currently
have transit service to downtown. The community's
transportation plan specifically calls for a transit connection
to downtown
Project A would serve a community with a high
proportion of low income residents and households
without access to a vehicle. There are few jobs per
in this community.
Project B would connect a middle-class suburb
households have access to a car to downtown. The suburb
is a bedroom community with few jobs but is considered a
desirable place to live.
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 8
The following table demonstrates how two hypothetical projects would be rated using the Tier 1 evaluation framework.
Project B will connect a community that does not currently
have transit service to downtown. The community's
on plan specifically calls for a transit connection
to downtown
class suburb where most
to downtown. The suburb
is a bedroom community with few jobs but is considered a
desirable place to live.
Build on Success
Project A would connect a community that does not
currently have transit service to a
route. This route is the most productive in the
system. The major arterial that this route would
operate on has turn lanes at most intersections
which could be used for queue jumps.
Existing ridership in
corridor or area
Passenger per hour on
existing services
Potential for travel time
savings
Coordinate with
Growth
Project A would serve a community that is primarily
a grid network. Some comments were made
suggesting service during the public outreach
process. The area has remained steady in
population and jobs over the past 15 years
Transit supportive land
uses in corridor or service
area
Population and
Employment within ÂĽ mile
of service area/corridor
(2040)
Rate of change in
population and
employment within ÂĽ mile
of corridor (2015-2040)
Evaluation Framework
Project A would connect a community that does not
currently have transit service to a successful BRT
route. This route is the most productive in the
The major arterial that this route would
operate on has turn lanes at most intersections
which could be used for queue jumps.
Project B would connect a community that does not
currently have transit service to downtown where many
routes converge. Some are more productive than others
The arterial that this route would operate on has narrow
lanes and most intersections do not have turn lanes. Speed
improvements would require tough trade
Project A would serve a community that is primarily
a grid network. Some comments were made
suggesting service during the public outreach
process. The area has remained steady in
population and jobs over the past 15 years
Project B would serve a community with typical suburban
form (culs de sac and large arterials). The community has
grown in residents (not jobs) significantly over the past 15
years and was identified as a potential connection many
times during the outreach process
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 9
Project B would connect a community that does not
have transit service to downtown where many
routes converge. Some are more productive than others.
The arterial that this route would operate on has narrow
lanes and most intersections do not have turn lanes. Speed
improvements would require tough trade-offs.
Project B would serve a community with typical suburban
form (culs de sac and large arterials). The community has
idents (not jobs) significantly over the past 15
years and was identified as a potential connection many
times during the outreach process
Sustainability
Project A would serve an urban environment with
few existing natural resources. There are vacant lots
and abandoned industrial
little congestion
Impact on natural
resources (parks, rivers,
green spaces)
Repurposing space
(abandoned corridors,
areas)
Service in congested
corridors
Evaluation Framework
Project A would serve an urban environment with
few existing natural resources. There are vacant lots
and abandoned industrial and commercial sites, but
little congestion
Project B would serve a community that has undeveloped
open space and rivers running through it. Most of the land
between this community and downtown is farmland or
natural area. Currently there is some congestio
freeways merge and more congestion projected in the future
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 10
Project B would serve a community that has undeveloped
open space and rivers running through it. Most of the land
between this community and downtown is farmland or
natural area. Currently there is some congestion where two
freeways merge and more congestion projected in the future
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 11
Tier 2 Project Development and Evaluation
At the end of the Tier 1 screening, the NextGen team, with assistance from the PAG, will have
identified a shorter list of corridors with a demonstrated need for high capacity transit
investment. As with the Tier 1 screening, the Tier 2 evaluation will be based on the project goals
and community values and will include both qualitative and quantitative measures. While in
some cases the Tier 2 measures will be the same as in Tier 1, generally the Tier 2 evaluation
will be more quantitative and result in a more detailed evaluation of the individual projects. The
Tier 2 evaluation process is designed to evaluate more clearly defined projects and will include
selecting an appropriate mode for each corridor. Once modes are assigned, capital costs and
operating costs will be developed in order to evaluate projects on a financial basis. Similar to the
Tier 1 screening process, a project will be rated “High, “Medium,” or “Low” based on how well
the project fulfills each screening criterion relative to other projects under consideration. Also
similar to Tier 1, there will be no single overall quantitative score assigned to each project, but
rather ratings for each criterion will be considered when determining which individual projects
should be prioritized. Tier 2 places a stronger emphasis on criteria that are factored into the FTA
Capital Investment Grant program to ensure that high priority projects are positioned to access
federal funding.
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 12
Figure 4: Proposed Tier 2 Measures, Purpose, and Measurements
Value Tier 2: Evaluation Measure Measure defines Potential Measurements
Make Better
Connections
Improve existing
transit service’s reach
further into the
communities it already
serves
Estimated service speed and
reliability
Ability of service to stay on
schedule and provide fast, reliable
connections.
• Estimated average service
speed
• Alignment congestion
conditions
Quality of Service (frequency)
Potential for improving connectivity
between existing services. High
frequency services have a low
transfer penalty and contribute to
the strength of the overall network.
• All-day frequency of proposed
service
Connectivity with bicycle and
pedestrian infrastructure
Potential for connectivity with other
modes based on existence of
bicycle and pedestrian
infrastructure, including market
crossings and signalized
intersections.
• Consistency of sidewalk network
and availability of bicycle network
in proposed service area/corridor
Invest in
Underserved
Communities
Direct investment to
specific corridors and
neighborhoods
Low income households along
corridor
Higher demand for transit due to
low income riders, especially in
areas with jobs-housing imbalance
• Percent of low income
residents within ÂĽ mile of
corridor
Minority residents along
corridor
Environmental Justice and Title VI
considerations
• Percent of minority residents
within ÂĽ mile of corridor
Developable land along
corridor
Potential for land use changes as
measured by availability of
developable land
• Developable land within ¼ mile
of service area
Build on Success
Make existing transit
service more
compelling
Change in ridership on corridor
Overall success in attracting new
riders
• Expected change in ridership
on corridor
Operating cost per passenger
Efficiency measured by cost per
passenger in terms of ongoing
operations
• Operating cost per passenger
on proposed service
Capital cost per passenger Efficiency measured by cost for per • Capital cost per passenger on
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 13
Value Tier 2: Evaluation Measure Measure defines Potential Measurements
passenger in terms of service
development costs
proposed service
Coordinate with
Growth
Encourage inward
growth and serve
existing
neighborhoods.
Strengthen fast
growing areas.
Usage of key community
anchors, civic centers, and
cultural assets
Facilities that have high usage,
which suggest transit need and
potential
• Usage data for key community
investments (community
anchors, civic centers and
cultural assets)
Transit supportive land uses for
corridor
If land-use policy in corridor needs
to change in order to support transit
• Portion of corridor with transit
supportive land use
Amount of vacant,
redevelopable, and
underdeveloped land
Ability to shape development
• Amount of vacant,
redevelopable, and
underdeveloped land in corridor
(including surface parking lots)
Sustainability
Protect the
environment and
reduce greenhouse
gas emissions.
Developable sites around
corridor
Potential for repurposing previously
developed sites rather than
greenfield sites, farmland, or
environmental resources
• Number of redevelopable sites
within ÂĽ mile of service area
Reduction in fossil fuel
Ability to influence regional energy
consumption patterns through VMT
reduction and introduction of
alternative fuel technologies
• Reduction in fossil fuel use
Reduction in GHG
Air quality improvements as a
result of congestion mitigation
• Reduction in GHG emissions
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 14
Modal Evaluation
The modal evaluation will take place in conjunction with the Tier 2 screening. The goal of the
evaluation will be to select the appropriate high capacity mode for corridors that, based on
Tier 1 screening, show enough demand to potentially support rail transit. Light rail, heavy rail,
commuter rail, and streetcar vehicles all can have higher capacity than bus-based high
capacity transit. Those corridors that demonstrate the highest need for capacity will be
evaluated across multiple potential modes based on traveler experience, safety and security,
and financial/cost indicators in order to assist the project team in selecting the appropriate
mode.
Tier 2 measures such as operating cost per passenger will not be able to be determined until
this evaluation is carried out because both inputs to calculating the measure are influenced by
mode. Once the modal evaluation is complete, costs and ridership projections (to be
developed by MORPC) will be used to complete the Tier 2 screening. The project team
expects some corridors in the Tier 2 screening will not warrant non-bus based mode choice,
and thus costs and ridership projections will be made without conducting a modal evaluation.
This evaluation will only take place for corridors in which the level of demand could support
multiple modes, so that the project team can evaluate different options and choose that which
is most appropriate.
Figure 5: Traveler Experience
Evaluation Criteria Measure defines Potential Measurements
Speed
Percent proposed fully or partially
dedicated ROW.
Average estimated speed by
modal characteristics and
representative cross-sections
• Each direction, lineal distance
of corridor with fully- or
partially dedicated right of way
• Typical design speeds for
identified mode, right-of-way
design and conceptual stop
spacing
Reliability
Percent proposed fully- or
partially-dedicated ROW
Percent intersections w/ reserved
ROW or priority
Intersection operation
• Each direction, lineal distance
of corridor with fully- or
partially dedicated right of way
• % of corridor intersections
with reserved right of way or
priority
• Expected change in
corridor/intersection traffic
volumes/ operation
Ride quality / comfort
Rail or rubber-tired vehicle;
acceleration, deceleration, and
rider stability characteristics
• Standardized rating for each
mode
Access (distance to stop
and quality)
Typical stop spacing by modal
characteristics (conceptual stop
locations identified based on land
use, geography, route
• Pedestrian conditions and
improvement priorities in
concept station areas
• Street connectivity (density)
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 15
Evaluation Criteria Measure defines Potential Measurements
connections)
Pedestrian conditions and
improvement priorities
and crosswalk frequency
Traffic Impacts
Review whether mode requires
its own lane; mode restricts left
turns
Current traffic volume compared
to model capacity in corridor
Impact of any proposed signal
priority treatment
Impact of any proposed reserved
rights of way
• Based on cross-sectional
designs, review whether
mode requires its own lane;
mode restricts left turns
• Review of traffic volumes
(current and projected) and
lane capacity
• Delay to traffic on cross-
streets
• Reduction in roadway
capacity and resultant delay
Figure 6: Safety and Security
Evaluation Criteria Measure defines Potential Measurements
On and off board
security
Station and on-board security
features associated with mode;
fare collection, policing, and
security practices associated with
each mode
• Qualitative ranking based on
local, regional, and national
practices
Pedestrian / bicycle
conflicts and safety
Pedestrian safety
Typical bicycle conflicts by modal
characteristics and right of way
design options
Conflicts with existing or planned
bicycle routes
• Qualitative assessment based
on potential conflicts with
existing or planned bicycle
corridors; bicycle volumes in
corridor; bicycle corridor
crossings; possible route
changes or closures required
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 16
Figure 7: Financial/Cost
Evaluation Criteria Measure defines Potential Measurements
Operating Cost
Typical operating cost by mode
Operating cost minus fare revenue
per boarding
• Develop sketch level operating
plans for corridor
Capital Cost
Capital cost estimate using typical
per-mile costs for designated cross-
sectional designs
• Use typical local, regional,
and/or national costs based on
corridor characteristics
• Unique order of magnitude cost
of bridges, tunnels, and other
structures and capital-intensive
treatments
Total Cost
Annualized operating and capital
costs
Annualized operating and capital
cost per boarding (per total and per
net new boarding)
• Operating costs—use sketch
level operating plans for corridor
• Capital costs—use FTA
spreadsheet(s) and capital costs
from conceptual capital costing
• Annualize capital costs (20-year
period) and combine with annual
operating costs
Economic Impact
Return on investment
• Jobs created through capital
expenditures
• Jobs created through operating
expenditures
Outcomes
At the conclusion of the Tier 2 screening and modal evaluation COTA will have a list of
prioritized high capacity transit investments. These prioritized investments will be shared with
the community and the PAG during Phase 3 of the outreach process to be conducted in the
Winter and Spring of 2016.
Under the new federal transportation legislation, Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st
Century (MAP-21), FTA’s primary grant program for funding major transit capital investments
is the Capital Investment Grant (CIG). The program includes funding for New Starts and
Small Starts as well as Core Capacity Improvement projects. Projects seeking eligibility for
funding under the CIG program must undergo a multi-step, multi-year project development
process that involves creating, reviewing and evaluating alternatives as well as participating in
an environmental review process.
Assuming the CIG requirements do not change in the near future, the proposed Tier 2 and
modal evaluation criteria align with the CIG evaluation criteria for New Starts, Small Starts,
and Core Capacity projects. For each grant type, CIG criteria focus on the following themes:
Mobility
Cost Effectiveness
Environmental Benefits
Land Use
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 17
Economic Development
Congestion Relief
Local Financial Commitment
Some of the Tier 2 screening criteria were developed to support the metrics used by the FTA
to evaluate projects for CIG funding. For example, the FTA evaluates and rates projects using
a Congestion Relief measure, measured as the number of new transit trips resulting from
implementation of the proposed project. One of the “Build on Success” Tier 2 criteria is
“expected change in ridership on corridor,” which will define each transit project’s projected
change in ridership and overall success in attracting new riders.
It is also worth noting that Tier 2 evaluation will be an iterative process; if some projects
perform poorly on specific criteria, alternatives may be refined to see if the project can be
reasonably changed to better meet regional transit goals. In addition, as part of conducting the
evaluation process, the NextGen team may also need to refine the evaluation measures to
more accurately distinguish the advantages and disadvantages between projects.
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 18
Appendix A Community Values
Introduction
The NextGen project is organized around three project phases, each of which includes
extensive community engagement. The first phase (Phase 1) involved defining transit needs
and exploring community values, aspirations, and priorities about the importance of future public
transit. In the initial stakeholder meetings and interviews, NextGen staff collected ideas about
central Ohio’s future including the role public transit could and should play in that future. These
thoughts and insights were translated into a series of values, to help organize and more clearly
articulate priorities. The draft values were shared with the Project Advisory Group (PAG) as well
as at 16 public and stakeholder meetings held in downtown Columbus and at locations around
Franklin County (see list at end of this section).
As part of each meeting, members of the public discussed each of the values and were asked to
rank and prioritize them. They were told that the values and priorities would be incorporated into
the evaluation framework and would guide the project selection. The following section describes
how the values were developed and the results of the “voting” process.
Initial Values and Priorities List
The first round of outreach engagement consisted of interviews with community leaders and
“focus group” style meetings with populations that tend to use public transportation but are often
left out of traditional public outreach processes (i.e., older adults, people with disabilities, young
professionals, Latino and Somali communities, and representatives from social service
organizations). The NextGen team solicited input on future transit needs and different priorities
for how investment should be made. Based on this round of input, the NextGen team developed
an initial list of eight values. This first attempt to articulate central Ohio’s values for public transit
was shared with COTA staff and at the first PAG meeting held in March 2015. The initial values
were defined as:
Thrive: transit should support neighborhood and community development.
Manage: transit should help the region manage growth and ensure development is
accessible.
Preserve: transit should be used as a strategy to help preserve and improve Central
Ohio’s quality of life.
Sustain: transit should be used as a strategy to help protect the environment and
reduce greenhouse gases.
Equitable: transit should support access to jobs, employment centers, medical facilities,
and educational opportunities.
Attract/retain: transit should help attract young professionals to Central Ohio and retain
the ones that are already here.
Connect: transit should connect people with regional destinations and strengthen local
circulation.
Develop: transit should support regional economic development goals and needs.
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 19
Values and Priorities List, Version 2
PAG members both provided input to the overall list and voted for the three values they believed
were the most important guiding principles for transit investments in central Ohio. Through this
process, some values were combined, some were eliminated and others were refined. At the
end of the PAG meeting, the list was narrowed into five values:
Make Better Connections: extend transit’s reach deeper into the communities it already
serves.
Invest in Overlooked Communities: direct investment to specific corridors and
neighborhoods.
Follow the Growth: strengthen fast growing areas.
Build on Success: make existing transit service more compelling.
Save the Earth: protect the environment and reduce greenhouse gases.
Values and Priorities List, Version 3
The list of five values was used to conduct the values and priorities exercise during the first
public and targeted meetings conducted the week of April 20th, 2015. After the first of these
meetings, COTA staff and members of the project team decided to add a sixth value to the list
that reflected the goal of using public transit to focus growth and influence land use. This sixth
values was verbally added to the list during the values and priorities exercise of subsequent
meetings. The sixth value was defined as:
Focus the Growth: use new transit investments to attract and concentrate growth.
At the May and July 2015 PAG meetings, PAG members reviewed the research to date and
revised the list of values again. Several members commented that the two values related to
growth (Follow the Growth and Focus the Growth) were both too similar and failed to accurately
capture their intent. As a result, the two values were combined into Coordinate with Growth; this
value was further defined as coordinating transit investment with regional growth, to serve fast
growing areas but also as a tool to guide and concentrated growth. In addition PAG members
suggested some changes to the wording of the values. As a result, the following final list of
values was incorporated into the evaluation framework:
1. Make Better Connections – Improve existing transit service’s reach further into the
communities it already serves.
2. Invest in Underserved Communities – Direct transit investment to specific corridors
and neighborhoods.
3. Coordinate with Growth – Encourage inward growth and serve existing
neighborhoods. Strengthen fast-growing areas.
4. Build on Success – Make existing transit service more compelling.
5. Sustainability – Protect the environment and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Please note that the final wording of the values was refined by the PAG and COTA after the
conclusion of the Phase 1 outreach process. The exact wording of the values above differs
slightly from the wording of the values that were identified at the conclusion of the Phase 1
outreach process that is detailed in the in the Community and Stakeholder Outreach Summary
of Phase 1 Findings published under a separate cover as part of this study.
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 20
Results of Values Exercise
At each community event, participants were asked to rank and prioritize the list of values.
Meeting participants voted for up to the three values they believed were the most important
guiding principles for transit investment in central Ohio. Nearly everyone who participated in the
exercise voted using the list of six values (this included Focus the Growth and Follow the
Growth, prior to the consolidation of the two into Coordinate with Growth). During some of the
meetings, participants voted interactively as well as by using a form handed out at the meeting
(see Appendix B). In other meetings, there was no interactive voting and participants voted
solely using the form. In order to be consistent and in an effort to avoid double counting, only
votes submitted using the form were included in the final tally of votes. The NextGen team
compiled these values and analyzed the results of the exercise across all participants.
In total, nearly 200 people cast 569 votes. Make Better Connections received the most votes
with 118, or 21% of all votes. Build on Success received the second highest number of votes,
with 104 (18%). However, the next three values (Focus the Growth (17%), Invest in Overlooked
Communities (16%) and Follow the Growth (16%) were valued similarly. Save the earth
received the lowest number of votes by a significant margin.
Figure 8: Summary of Public Input on Transit Values
Source: NelsonNygaard Consulting Associates
118
91
70
91
104
95
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Make Better
Connections
Follow the
Growth
Save the Earth Invest in
Overlooked
Communities
Build on
Success
Focus the
Growth
NumberofVotes
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 21
NextGen Phase 1: Stakeholder and Community Outreach Events
Public Meetings
1. COTA William G Porter Board Room, Columbus, OH – 4/23/2015, midday session
2. COTA William G Porter Board Room, Columbus, OH – 4/23/2015, evening session
3. The Westerville Senior Center, Westerville, OH – 6/1/2015
4. Dublin Community Recreation Center, Dublin, OH – 6/2/2015
5. Barack Recreation Center, Columbus, OH – 6/3/2015
6. City Hall, Grove City, OH – 6/4/2015
Meetings with Stakeholder Groups
7. Social Services Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health Room 119C, Columbus,
OH – 03/09/2015*
8. Young Professionals Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health Room 119D,
Columbus, OH – 03/10/2015*
9. Somali and New Americans Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health Room 119D,
Columbus, OH – 03/10/2015*
10. Seniors and Persons with Disabilities Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health
Room 119C, Columbus, OH – 03/13/2015*
11. Latino Community Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health Room 119C,
Columbus, OH – 03/13/2015*
12. Economic Development Targeted Workshop, MORPC Scioto Conference Room,
Columbus, OH – 4/23/2015
13. Transportation Advocates Targeted Workshop, COTA William G Porter Board Room,
Columbus, OH – 4/23/2015
14. Short North Alliance, Columbus, OH – 5/6/2015
15. Short North Alliance, Columbus, OH – 5/7/2015
16. Dublin Targeted Workshop, Dublin Community Recreation Center, Dublin OH – 6/2/2015
Outreach at Neighborhood Events
17. MORPC State of the Region Event – 04/01/2015
18. Earth Day Columbus Neighborhood Session, Columbus Commons – 4/25/2015
19. Latino Job Fair, Holiday Inn Worthington – 05/05/2015
20. Columbus Young Professionals Summit, Creekside Conference Center, Gahanna, OH –
5/15/2015
21. Connect Columbus Plan Van – 04/27/2015, 04/28/2015, 04/29/2015
*Note: Events marked with an asterisk took place during Phase 1 outreach before the values exercise was created. These discussions were used to develop the
initial list of values.
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 22
Appendix B Values Exercise
Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 23

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COTA NextGen Evaluation Framework

  • 2. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | i Table of Contents Page 1 Introduction............................................................................................................1 NextGen – Context ..................................................................................................2 NextGen Process – Establishing Values and Priorities.............................................3 2 Evaluation Framework...........................................................................................4 Tier 1 Screening.......................................................................................................5 Tier 2 Project Development and Evaluation ...........................................................11 Modal Evaluation ...................................................................................................14 Outcomes ..............................................................................................................16 Appendix A Community Values .............................................................................18 Introduction............................................................................................................18 Initial Values and Priorities List ..............................................................................18 Values and Priorities List, Version 2.......................................................................19 Values and Priorities List, Version 3.......................................................................19 Results of Values Exercise ....................................................................................20 NextGen Phase 1: Stakeholder and Community Outreach Events.........................21 Appendix B Values Exercise ..................................................................................22 Table of Figures Page Figure 1: NextGen Study Area ........................................................................................2 Figure 2: Proposed Tier 1 Measures, Purpose, and Measurements................................6 Figure 3: Tier 1 Evaluation Example (hypothetical scenarios) .........................................8 Figure 4: Proposed Tier 2 Measures, Purpose, and Measurements..............................12 Figure 5: Traveler Experience .......................................................................................14 Figure 6: Safety and Security ........................................................................................15 Figure 7: Financial/Cost ................................................................................................16 Figure 8: Summary of Public Input on Transit Values....................................................20
  • 3. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 1 1 INTRODUCTION The Central Ohio Transit Authority (COTA) is undertaking a planning effort, COTA Next Generation 2050 (branded as “NextGen”), to explore central Ohio’s future public transportation needs. The planning process began in January 2015 and is designed to create a long-term perspective on transit investment opportunities, guiding transit development through 2050. Central Ohio, like urban areas everywhere, is changing. Changes reflect, in part, an increase in the number of people and jobs in the region, as well as social and demographic changes, as the region responds to shifting societal values, emerging technologies, and evolving opportunities. As the region adapts, there will be demand for more and different types of regional services, including schools and housing, but also public transportation. Preparing for these changes gives central Ohio residents an opportunity to rethink the role transit plays in the overall transportation network. NextGen is designed to explore and guide that process. Within this context, the overarching goals of the NextGen study are to: Lead the community in a visioning exercise to determine what central Ohio’s public transportation system needs to accomplish in the coming decades to ensure current and future residents have access to jobs, housing, education, and services. Prepare central Ohio for future growth by identifying transit investments that integrate with regional plans and goals. Critical regional goals include maintaining regional competitiveness, minimizing sprawl, and responding to demographic preferences. Create transit investment options to support local and regional efforts to develop transit oriented development and communities. Identify conventional and creative revenue options that offer potential to support the recommended plan and ensure the plan can be implemented. NextGen’s Phase I steps were two fold. The first effort included extensive stakeholder and community outreach, with a particular focus on developing a vision for the role public transportation plays in central Ohio’s future. The second initial effort included a needs assessment, which involves considering projected growth patterns, evaluating existing transit services, and examining how communities in the study area are planning for additional transit investment. These two efforts were also used to develop an evaluation framework; this framework is designed to reflect the regional goals and values for transit service development and apply these values to create a methodology that can be used to evaluate and prioritize transit investment opportunities. The purpose of this technical memo is to document and describe the evaluation framework for how the NextGen team will screen identified transit investment needs into a prioritized list, and eventually evaluate potential transit projects. This technical memo is intended as a working paper to communicate the NextGen team’s proposed approach to stakeholders.
  • 4. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 2 NextGen – Context The NextGen study area is comprised of the COTA service area, which is defined as all of Franklin County plus parts of Delaware, Union, Fairfield and Licking counties (see Figure 1). NextGen is being coordinated with two other ongoing regional transportation initiatives: the Mid- Ohio Regional Planning Commission’s (MORPC) Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP) and the City of Columbus Multimodal Thoroughfare Plan (branded as Connect Columbus). The studies are using the same data sources and outreach events are overlapping and coordinated. The region’s interest in conducting these efforts simultaneously reflects an interest in creating a strong regional multimodal transportation system that will support economic growth and ensure a sustainable transportation future. Figure 1: NextGen Study Area Source: NelsonNygaard Consulting Associates adapted from US Census TIGER and COTA data
  • 5. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 3 NextGen Process – Establishing Values and Priorities The NextGen project broadly consists of three phases. The first phase of the project focused on identifying transit service needs and establishing community priorities for transit investment. Subsequent phases will be oriented around project development (Phase 2) and funding and implementation (Phase 3). NextGen’s Phase 1 community engagement efforts were extensive. Activities included in-depth leader interviews, small group discussions, workshops, public meetings, a Project Advisory Group (PAG), and presenting information at existing community events. Generally speaking, the NextGen team used the early outreach activities (interviews and small group discussions) to broadly understand both people’s ideas for the future of central Ohio and the role transit plays in that future. The team also used these conversations to understand community values surrounding transit investment (i.e. why transit is important). Through the outreach process, an initial list of eight values was drafted. In subsequent outreach activities, the team worked with community members and stakeholders to refine and prioritize these values (see Appendix A for an overview of the how values were developed). The process resulted in identification of five values or priorities for how transit investment should be directed and measured: 1. Make Better Connections – Improve existing transit service’s reach further into the communities it already serves. 2. Invest in Underserved Communities – Direct transit investment to specific corridors and neighborhoods. 3. Coordinate with Growth – Encourage inward growth and serve existing neighborhoods. Strengthen fast-growing areas. 4. Build on Success – Make existing transit service more compelling. 5. Sustainability – Protect the environment and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. These five values create the structure of the evaluation framework.
  • 6. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 4 2 EVALUATION FRAMEWORK The NextGen evaluation framework is designed into two phases. The Tier 1 evaluation will evaluate a broad list of potential high capacity transit corridors and the Tier 2 evaluation will prioritize and rank specific projects. The evaluation framework will be slightly different for each tier but will be guided by the same principles and values that were established by stakeholders and community members. The two tiers are broadly defined as: Tier 1: Screen Potential High Capacity Transit Corridors. Consider and evaluate corridors where high capacity transit service is needed and/or where there are opportunities to use investment in high capacity transit to advance the articulated goals and values. The corridors considered in the evaluation were identified through the needs assessment and community engagement process. Tier 2: Evaluate Individual Transit Projects. Evaluate individual high capacity transit projects to develop a list of recommended and prioritized regional transit investments. The NextGen team will develop individual projects and select an appropriate mode for the corridors identified through the Tier 1 process. The specific proposals for each recommended corridor will be translated into transit projects using service design practices and community input. In addition to the evaluation of high capacity transit investments, the NextGen Plan will include baseline investments in local fixed route bus, flex service, circulators, commuter services, and technology, such as fare payment systems and real-time arrival information. These investments will not go through the screening process, but will be evaluated in the context of future needs and future high capacity transit investments so that the resulting plan is a holistic network of transit services. The evaluation framework is designed to result in a list of projects that reflect regional goals and support overall local and regional development plans. The screening process is intended to provide high level information on the relative benefits of corridors and projects in relation to one another across these goals. In some cases, especially in the Tier 1 evaluation process, the corridors may all have similar outcomes. In other cases, the differences between corridors may seem significant, but may not measurably change the overall impact of an alternative in achieving the regional goals. The evaluation framework is also designed to be supportive of the Federal Transit Administration (FTA’s) Capital Investment Grant (CIG) funding program, so the projects in the NextGen Plan will be well-positioned for federal funding. As a result, the proposed framework includes a comparison and evaluation of transit needs based on technical merit as well as input from the public, stakeholders (e.g., residents, business owners, etc.), and local, regional, state and federal agencies. The study team will draw upon a variety of sources for the data to support the analysis. Much of the information needed to conduct the evaluation is available through local, regional and federal
  • 7. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 5 resources, such as the United States (US) Census bureau, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), city and county traffic and transportation departments, city and county appraisal districts, and MORPC data. Data will also be drawn from existing studies and plans. Other parts of the analysis will be based on industry standards, best practices, and unit cost measurements. Tier 1 Screening The goal of Tier 1 screening is to evaluate the identified high capacity transit needs across the region based on the established goals and community priorities for transit investment. The Tier 1 screening is focused on corridors rather than specific projects and is intended to highlight the relative advantages of different corridors, so the transit needs with the most potential can be prioritized for project development. The evaluation framework is grounded in the transit values and priorities articulated through the community engagement process. These goals and values were translated into evaluation criteria (see Figure 2) which will be used to evaluate each corridor in terms of its ability to meet the objectives of the established goal. The NextGen team will evaluate each corridor against the individual criterion, with a focus on how well each corridor fulfills the screening criterion relative to other corridors under consideration. Based on the results of the screening, corridors will be rated “High,” “Medium,” or “Low” for each area. Corridors will not be assigned a single overall score. Rather, this approach will weigh each corridor based on its ability to meet the criteria, recognizing that some areas may support some goals more strongly than others. For example, the “Build on Success” value rewards areas that already have transit services and as a result, areas that don’t currently have service will not score as highly, though they may score more highly in other areas. The Tier 1 screening process is intended to be collaborative and iterative. The NextGen team will share the results with COTA and the PAG (targeted for December 2015 meeting) so they are able to consider each identified corridor and its performance against the Tier 1 criteria. Public input collected through an interactive survey tool allowing respondents to select their top priority corridors will help refine the results of the screening process before finalizing a set of corridors to move into the Tier 2 screening process. At the end of the Tier 1 evaluation process, the NextGen team will create a summary matrix that highlights how each identified high capacity transit corridor scored against each identified value. The scoring will be qualitative and reflect a scaling of “high, medium, and low”, as shown in Figure 2. For the corridors recommended for project development, the NextGen team will also create a transit needs fact sheet that provides more details on the proposed investment area and why it is recommended for additional consideration.
  • 8. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 6 Figure 2: Proposed Tier 1 Measures, Purpose, and Measurements Value Tier 1: Evaluation Measure Measure Determines… Potential Measurements Make Better Connections Improve existing transit service’s reach further into the communities it already serves Opportunities to connect with existing transit service If investment will create and strengthen connections and access to overall network • Connects downtown • Intersecting routes • Transit centers served Quality of potential connections (frequency, span, days of week) If overall network will be strengthened by connections with higher quality service • TSR frequent routes served • Routes that operate 7 days a week served Consistency with local planning efforts If area will be enhanced/ supported by local efforts • Identified in previous regional or municipal planning documents • Areas with transit supportive land use policies or zoning • Identified in COTA plans Invest in Underserved Communities Direct investment to specific corridors and neighborhoods Number of low income households along corridor Extent of need in proposed investment area (as defined by low income residents) • Percentage of corridor serving census tracts with low-income populations Number of zero car households along corridor Level of opportunity to serve populations who rely on alternative modes of transportation • Percentage of corridor serving census tracts with zero-car populations Jobs – housing balance (ratio of jobs to residents). Fewer jobs per capita results in higher need Areas with fewer jobs per capita, which means higher demand for travel • 2015 jobs to employment ratio from MORPC • 2040 jobs to employment ratio from MORPC Build on Success Make existing transit service more compelling Existing ridership in corridor or area Demand for future investment (high ridership suggests more need) • Total existing corridor or area ridership from existing COTA data Passenger per hour on existing services Success of existing service • Weekday passenger per hour figures from existing COTA data Potential for travel time savings Opportunity for improvement in travel time given physical conditions • Traffic Volume/Lane Capacity Ratio on corridor
  • 9. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 7 Value Tier 1: Evaluation Measure Measure Determines… Potential Measurements Coordinate with Growth Encourage inward growth and serve existing neighborhoods. Strengthen fast growing areas. Transit supportive land uses or development standards for corridor or service area If area is oriented towards transit service • Assessment of setbacks of existing land uses in corridor • Assessment of availability of pedestrian access/facilities in corridor • Meets minimum density measures for HCT Population and Employment within ÂĽ mile of service area/corridor (2040) Size of population/employment market served • From MORPC, the projected population and employment within ÂĽ mile of corridor (2040) Rate of change in population and employment within ÂĽ mile of corridor (2015-2040) Areas with increasing population and employment density, which demonstrate transit oriented environment • From MORPC, rate of change in population and employment within ÂĽ mile of corridor (2015- 2040) Sustainability Protect the environment and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Impact on natural resources (parks, rivers, green spaces) Direct impact (positive or negative) on natural resources • Corridor serves parkland • Corridor would require parkland to construct Repurposing space (abandoned corridors, areas) If investment promotes infill development or redevelopment of brownfield sites • Number of infill or brownfield redevelopment sites Service in congested corridors If investment reduces congestion as a strategy to reduce tailpipe emission and greenhouse gases • Corridor parallels 2015 Congested areas • Corridor parallels 2040 Congested areas
  • 10. The following table demonstrates how two hypothetical projects would be rated using the Tier 1 evaluation framework. Figure 3: Tier 1 Evaluation Example (hypothetical Make Better Connections Project A will connect a community that does not currently have transit service with one BRT line. Opportunities to connect with existing transit service Quality of potential connections (quality defined by frequency, span and days of week) Consistency with local planning efforts Invest in Underserved Communities Project A would serve a community with a high proportion of low income residents without access to a vehicle. There are capita in this community Number of low income residents along corridor Number of zero-car households along corridor Jobs – housing balance (ratio of jobs to residents). Fewer jobs per capita results in higher need Evaluation Framework The following table demonstrates how two hypothetical projects would be rated using the Tier 1 evaluation framework. : Tier 1 Evaluation Example (hypothetical scenarios) Project A will connect a community that does not currently have transit service with one BRT line. Project B will connect a community that does not currently have transit service to downtown. The community's transportation plan specifically calls for a transit connection to downtown Project A would serve a community with a high proportion of low income residents and households without access to a vehicle. There are few jobs per in this community. Project B would connect a middle-class suburb households have access to a car to downtown. The suburb is a bedroom community with few jobs but is considered a desirable place to live. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 8 The following table demonstrates how two hypothetical projects would be rated using the Tier 1 evaluation framework. Project B will connect a community that does not currently have transit service to downtown. The community's on plan specifically calls for a transit connection to downtown class suburb where most to downtown. The suburb is a bedroom community with few jobs but is considered a desirable place to live.
  • 11. Build on Success Project A would connect a community that does not currently have transit service to a route. This route is the most productive in the system. The major arterial that this route would operate on has turn lanes at most intersections which could be used for queue jumps. Existing ridership in corridor or area Passenger per hour on existing services Potential for travel time savings Coordinate with Growth Project A would serve a community that is primarily a grid network. Some comments were made suggesting service during the public outreach process. The area has remained steady in population and jobs over the past 15 years Transit supportive land uses in corridor or service area Population and Employment within ÂĽ mile of service area/corridor (2040) Rate of change in population and employment within ÂĽ mile of corridor (2015-2040) Evaluation Framework Project A would connect a community that does not currently have transit service to a successful BRT route. This route is the most productive in the The major arterial that this route would operate on has turn lanes at most intersections which could be used for queue jumps. Project B would connect a community that does not currently have transit service to downtown where many routes converge. Some are more productive than others The arterial that this route would operate on has narrow lanes and most intersections do not have turn lanes. Speed improvements would require tough trade Project A would serve a community that is primarily a grid network. Some comments were made suggesting service during the public outreach process. The area has remained steady in population and jobs over the past 15 years Project B would serve a community with typical suburban form (culs de sac and large arterials). The community has grown in residents (not jobs) significantly over the past 15 years and was identified as a potential connection many times during the outreach process Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 9 Project B would connect a community that does not have transit service to downtown where many routes converge. Some are more productive than others. The arterial that this route would operate on has narrow lanes and most intersections do not have turn lanes. Speed improvements would require tough trade-offs. Project B would serve a community with typical suburban form (culs de sac and large arterials). The community has idents (not jobs) significantly over the past 15 years and was identified as a potential connection many times during the outreach process
  • 12. Sustainability Project A would serve an urban environment with few existing natural resources. There are vacant lots and abandoned industrial little congestion Impact on natural resources (parks, rivers, green spaces) Repurposing space (abandoned corridors, areas) Service in congested corridors Evaluation Framework Project A would serve an urban environment with few existing natural resources. There are vacant lots and abandoned industrial and commercial sites, but little congestion Project B would serve a community that has undeveloped open space and rivers running through it. Most of the land between this community and downtown is farmland or natural area. Currently there is some congestio freeways merge and more congestion projected in the future Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 10 Project B would serve a community that has undeveloped open space and rivers running through it. Most of the land between this community and downtown is farmland or natural area. Currently there is some congestion where two freeways merge and more congestion projected in the future
  • 13. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 11 Tier 2 Project Development and Evaluation At the end of the Tier 1 screening, the NextGen team, with assistance from the PAG, will have identified a shorter list of corridors with a demonstrated need for high capacity transit investment. As with the Tier 1 screening, the Tier 2 evaluation will be based on the project goals and community values and will include both qualitative and quantitative measures. While in some cases the Tier 2 measures will be the same as in Tier 1, generally the Tier 2 evaluation will be more quantitative and result in a more detailed evaluation of the individual projects. The Tier 2 evaluation process is designed to evaluate more clearly defined projects and will include selecting an appropriate mode for each corridor. Once modes are assigned, capital costs and operating costs will be developed in order to evaluate projects on a financial basis. Similar to the Tier 1 screening process, a project will be rated “High, “Medium,” or “Low” based on how well the project fulfills each screening criterion relative to other projects under consideration. Also similar to Tier 1, there will be no single overall quantitative score assigned to each project, but rather ratings for each criterion will be considered when determining which individual projects should be prioritized. Tier 2 places a stronger emphasis on criteria that are factored into the FTA Capital Investment Grant program to ensure that high priority projects are positioned to access federal funding.
  • 14. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 12 Figure 4: Proposed Tier 2 Measures, Purpose, and Measurements Value Tier 2: Evaluation Measure Measure defines Potential Measurements Make Better Connections Improve existing transit service’s reach further into the communities it already serves Estimated service speed and reliability Ability of service to stay on schedule and provide fast, reliable connections. • Estimated average service speed • Alignment congestion conditions Quality of Service (frequency) Potential for improving connectivity between existing services. High frequency services have a low transfer penalty and contribute to the strength of the overall network. • All-day frequency of proposed service Connectivity with bicycle and pedestrian infrastructure Potential for connectivity with other modes based on existence of bicycle and pedestrian infrastructure, including market crossings and signalized intersections. • Consistency of sidewalk network and availability of bicycle network in proposed service area/corridor Invest in Underserved Communities Direct investment to specific corridors and neighborhoods Low income households along corridor Higher demand for transit due to low income riders, especially in areas with jobs-housing imbalance • Percent of low income residents within ÂĽ mile of corridor Minority residents along corridor Environmental Justice and Title VI considerations • Percent of minority residents within ÂĽ mile of corridor Developable land along corridor Potential for land use changes as measured by availability of developable land • Developable land within ÂĽ mile of service area Build on Success Make existing transit service more compelling Change in ridership on corridor Overall success in attracting new riders • Expected change in ridership on corridor Operating cost per passenger Efficiency measured by cost per passenger in terms of ongoing operations • Operating cost per passenger on proposed service Capital cost per passenger Efficiency measured by cost for per • Capital cost per passenger on
  • 15. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 13 Value Tier 2: Evaluation Measure Measure defines Potential Measurements passenger in terms of service development costs proposed service Coordinate with Growth Encourage inward growth and serve existing neighborhoods. Strengthen fast growing areas. Usage of key community anchors, civic centers, and cultural assets Facilities that have high usage, which suggest transit need and potential • Usage data for key community investments (community anchors, civic centers and cultural assets) Transit supportive land uses for corridor If land-use policy in corridor needs to change in order to support transit • Portion of corridor with transit supportive land use Amount of vacant, redevelopable, and underdeveloped land Ability to shape development • Amount of vacant, redevelopable, and underdeveloped land in corridor (including surface parking lots) Sustainability Protect the environment and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Developable sites around corridor Potential for repurposing previously developed sites rather than greenfield sites, farmland, or environmental resources • Number of redevelopable sites within ÂĽ mile of service area Reduction in fossil fuel Ability to influence regional energy consumption patterns through VMT reduction and introduction of alternative fuel technologies • Reduction in fossil fuel use Reduction in GHG Air quality improvements as a result of congestion mitigation • Reduction in GHG emissions
  • 16. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 14 Modal Evaluation The modal evaluation will take place in conjunction with the Tier 2 screening. The goal of the evaluation will be to select the appropriate high capacity mode for corridors that, based on Tier 1 screening, show enough demand to potentially support rail transit. Light rail, heavy rail, commuter rail, and streetcar vehicles all can have higher capacity than bus-based high capacity transit. Those corridors that demonstrate the highest need for capacity will be evaluated across multiple potential modes based on traveler experience, safety and security, and financial/cost indicators in order to assist the project team in selecting the appropriate mode. Tier 2 measures such as operating cost per passenger will not be able to be determined until this evaluation is carried out because both inputs to calculating the measure are influenced by mode. Once the modal evaluation is complete, costs and ridership projections (to be developed by MORPC) will be used to complete the Tier 2 screening. The project team expects some corridors in the Tier 2 screening will not warrant non-bus based mode choice, and thus costs and ridership projections will be made without conducting a modal evaluation. This evaluation will only take place for corridors in which the level of demand could support multiple modes, so that the project team can evaluate different options and choose that which is most appropriate. Figure 5: Traveler Experience Evaluation Criteria Measure defines Potential Measurements Speed Percent proposed fully or partially dedicated ROW. Average estimated speed by modal characteristics and representative cross-sections • Each direction, lineal distance of corridor with fully- or partially dedicated right of way • Typical design speeds for identified mode, right-of-way design and conceptual stop spacing Reliability Percent proposed fully- or partially-dedicated ROW Percent intersections w/ reserved ROW or priority Intersection operation • Each direction, lineal distance of corridor with fully- or partially dedicated right of way • % of corridor intersections with reserved right of way or priority • Expected change in corridor/intersection traffic volumes/ operation Ride quality / comfort Rail or rubber-tired vehicle; acceleration, deceleration, and rider stability characteristics • Standardized rating for each mode Access (distance to stop and quality) Typical stop spacing by modal characteristics (conceptual stop locations identified based on land use, geography, route • Pedestrian conditions and improvement priorities in concept station areas • Street connectivity (density)
  • 17. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 15 Evaluation Criteria Measure defines Potential Measurements connections) Pedestrian conditions and improvement priorities and crosswalk frequency Traffic Impacts Review whether mode requires its own lane; mode restricts left turns Current traffic volume compared to model capacity in corridor Impact of any proposed signal priority treatment Impact of any proposed reserved rights of way • Based on cross-sectional designs, review whether mode requires its own lane; mode restricts left turns • Review of traffic volumes (current and projected) and lane capacity • Delay to traffic on cross- streets • Reduction in roadway capacity and resultant delay Figure 6: Safety and Security Evaluation Criteria Measure defines Potential Measurements On and off board security Station and on-board security features associated with mode; fare collection, policing, and security practices associated with each mode • Qualitative ranking based on local, regional, and national practices Pedestrian / bicycle conflicts and safety Pedestrian safety Typical bicycle conflicts by modal characteristics and right of way design options Conflicts with existing or planned bicycle routes • Qualitative assessment based on potential conflicts with existing or planned bicycle corridors; bicycle volumes in corridor; bicycle corridor crossings; possible route changes or closures required
  • 18. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 16 Figure 7: Financial/Cost Evaluation Criteria Measure defines Potential Measurements Operating Cost Typical operating cost by mode Operating cost minus fare revenue per boarding • Develop sketch level operating plans for corridor Capital Cost Capital cost estimate using typical per-mile costs for designated cross- sectional designs • Use typical local, regional, and/or national costs based on corridor characteristics • Unique order of magnitude cost of bridges, tunnels, and other structures and capital-intensive treatments Total Cost Annualized operating and capital costs Annualized operating and capital cost per boarding (per total and per net new boarding) • Operating costs—use sketch level operating plans for corridor • Capital costs—use FTA spreadsheet(s) and capital costs from conceptual capital costing • Annualize capital costs (20-year period) and combine with annual operating costs Economic Impact Return on investment • Jobs created through capital expenditures • Jobs created through operating expenditures Outcomes At the conclusion of the Tier 2 screening and modal evaluation COTA will have a list of prioritized high capacity transit investments. These prioritized investments will be shared with the community and the PAG during Phase 3 of the outreach process to be conducted in the Winter and Spring of 2016. Under the new federal transportation legislation, Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century (MAP-21), FTA’s primary grant program for funding major transit capital investments is the Capital Investment Grant (CIG). The program includes funding for New Starts and Small Starts as well as Core Capacity Improvement projects. Projects seeking eligibility for funding under the CIG program must undergo a multi-step, multi-year project development process that involves creating, reviewing and evaluating alternatives as well as participating in an environmental review process. Assuming the CIG requirements do not change in the near future, the proposed Tier 2 and modal evaluation criteria align with the CIG evaluation criteria for New Starts, Small Starts, and Core Capacity projects. For each grant type, CIG criteria focus on the following themes: Mobility Cost Effectiveness Environmental Benefits Land Use
  • 19. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 17 Economic Development Congestion Relief Local Financial Commitment Some of the Tier 2 screening criteria were developed to support the metrics used by the FTA to evaluate projects for CIG funding. For example, the FTA evaluates and rates projects using a Congestion Relief measure, measured as the number of new transit trips resulting from implementation of the proposed project. One of the “Build on Success” Tier 2 criteria is “expected change in ridership on corridor,” which will define each transit project’s projected change in ridership and overall success in attracting new riders. It is also worth noting that Tier 2 evaluation will be an iterative process; if some projects perform poorly on specific criteria, alternatives may be refined to see if the project can be reasonably changed to better meet regional transit goals. In addition, as part of conducting the evaluation process, the NextGen team may also need to refine the evaluation measures to more accurately distinguish the advantages and disadvantages between projects.
  • 20. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 18 Appendix A Community Values Introduction The NextGen project is organized around three project phases, each of which includes extensive community engagement. The first phase (Phase 1) involved defining transit needs and exploring community values, aspirations, and priorities about the importance of future public transit. In the initial stakeholder meetings and interviews, NextGen staff collected ideas about central Ohio’s future including the role public transit could and should play in that future. These thoughts and insights were translated into a series of values, to help organize and more clearly articulate priorities. The draft values were shared with the Project Advisory Group (PAG) as well as at 16 public and stakeholder meetings held in downtown Columbus and at locations around Franklin County (see list at end of this section). As part of each meeting, members of the public discussed each of the values and were asked to rank and prioritize them. They were told that the values and priorities would be incorporated into the evaluation framework and would guide the project selection. The following section describes how the values were developed and the results of the “voting” process. Initial Values and Priorities List The first round of outreach engagement consisted of interviews with community leaders and “focus group” style meetings with populations that tend to use public transportation but are often left out of traditional public outreach processes (i.e., older adults, people with disabilities, young professionals, Latino and Somali communities, and representatives from social service organizations). The NextGen team solicited input on future transit needs and different priorities for how investment should be made. Based on this round of input, the NextGen team developed an initial list of eight values. This first attempt to articulate central Ohio’s values for public transit was shared with COTA staff and at the first PAG meeting held in March 2015. The initial values were defined as: Thrive: transit should support neighborhood and community development. Manage: transit should help the region manage growth and ensure development is accessible. Preserve: transit should be used as a strategy to help preserve and improve Central Ohio’s quality of life. Sustain: transit should be used as a strategy to help protect the environment and reduce greenhouse gases. Equitable: transit should support access to jobs, employment centers, medical facilities, and educational opportunities. Attract/retain: transit should help attract young professionals to Central Ohio and retain the ones that are already here. Connect: transit should connect people with regional destinations and strengthen local circulation. Develop: transit should support regional economic development goals and needs.
  • 21. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 19 Values and Priorities List, Version 2 PAG members both provided input to the overall list and voted for the three values they believed were the most important guiding principles for transit investments in central Ohio. Through this process, some values were combined, some were eliminated and others were refined. At the end of the PAG meeting, the list was narrowed into five values: Make Better Connections: extend transit’s reach deeper into the communities it already serves. Invest in Overlooked Communities: direct investment to specific corridors and neighborhoods. Follow the Growth: strengthen fast growing areas. Build on Success: make existing transit service more compelling. Save the Earth: protect the environment and reduce greenhouse gases. Values and Priorities List, Version 3 The list of five values was used to conduct the values and priorities exercise during the first public and targeted meetings conducted the week of April 20th, 2015. After the first of these meetings, COTA staff and members of the project team decided to add a sixth value to the list that reflected the goal of using public transit to focus growth and influence land use. This sixth values was verbally added to the list during the values and priorities exercise of subsequent meetings. The sixth value was defined as: Focus the Growth: use new transit investments to attract and concentrate growth. At the May and July 2015 PAG meetings, PAG members reviewed the research to date and revised the list of values again. Several members commented that the two values related to growth (Follow the Growth and Focus the Growth) were both too similar and failed to accurately capture their intent. As a result, the two values were combined into Coordinate with Growth; this value was further defined as coordinating transit investment with regional growth, to serve fast growing areas but also as a tool to guide and concentrated growth. In addition PAG members suggested some changes to the wording of the values. As a result, the following final list of values was incorporated into the evaluation framework: 1. Make Better Connections – Improve existing transit service’s reach further into the communities it already serves. 2. Invest in Underserved Communities – Direct transit investment to specific corridors and neighborhoods. 3. Coordinate with Growth – Encourage inward growth and serve existing neighborhoods. Strengthen fast-growing areas. 4. Build on Success – Make existing transit service more compelling. 5. Sustainability – Protect the environment and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Please note that the final wording of the values was refined by the PAG and COTA after the conclusion of the Phase 1 outreach process. The exact wording of the values above differs slightly from the wording of the values that were identified at the conclusion of the Phase 1 outreach process that is detailed in the in the Community and Stakeholder Outreach Summary of Phase 1 Findings published under a separate cover as part of this study.
  • 22. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 20 Results of Values Exercise At each community event, participants were asked to rank and prioritize the list of values. Meeting participants voted for up to the three values they believed were the most important guiding principles for transit investment in central Ohio. Nearly everyone who participated in the exercise voted using the list of six values (this included Focus the Growth and Follow the Growth, prior to the consolidation of the two into Coordinate with Growth). During some of the meetings, participants voted interactively as well as by using a form handed out at the meeting (see Appendix B). In other meetings, there was no interactive voting and participants voted solely using the form. In order to be consistent and in an effort to avoid double counting, only votes submitted using the form were included in the final tally of votes. The NextGen team compiled these values and analyzed the results of the exercise across all participants. In total, nearly 200 people cast 569 votes. Make Better Connections received the most votes with 118, or 21% of all votes. Build on Success received the second highest number of votes, with 104 (18%). However, the next three values (Focus the Growth (17%), Invest in Overlooked Communities (16%) and Follow the Growth (16%) were valued similarly. Save the earth received the lowest number of votes by a significant margin. Figure 8: Summary of Public Input on Transit Values Source: NelsonNygaard Consulting Associates 118 91 70 91 104 95 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Make Better Connections Follow the Growth Save the Earth Invest in Overlooked Communities Build on Success Focus the Growth NumberofVotes
  • 23. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 21 NextGen Phase 1: Stakeholder and Community Outreach Events Public Meetings 1. COTA William G Porter Board Room, Columbus, OH – 4/23/2015, midday session 2. COTA William G Porter Board Room, Columbus, OH – 4/23/2015, evening session 3. The Westerville Senior Center, Westerville, OH – 6/1/2015 4. Dublin Community Recreation Center, Dublin, OH – 6/2/2015 5. Barack Recreation Center, Columbus, OH – 6/3/2015 6. City Hall, Grove City, OH – 6/4/2015 Meetings with Stakeholder Groups 7. Social Services Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health Room 119C, Columbus, OH – 03/09/2015* 8. Young Professionals Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health Room 119D, Columbus, OH – 03/10/2015* 9. Somali and New Americans Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health Room 119D, Columbus, OH – 03/10/2015* 10. Seniors and Persons with Disabilities Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health Room 119C, Columbus, OH – 03/13/2015* 11. Latino Community Targeted Workshop, Columbus Public Health Room 119C, Columbus, OH – 03/13/2015* 12. Economic Development Targeted Workshop, MORPC Scioto Conference Room, Columbus, OH – 4/23/2015 13. Transportation Advocates Targeted Workshop, COTA William G Porter Board Room, Columbus, OH – 4/23/2015 14. Short North Alliance, Columbus, OH – 5/6/2015 15. Short North Alliance, Columbus, OH – 5/7/2015 16. Dublin Targeted Workshop, Dublin Community Recreation Center, Dublin OH – 6/2/2015 Outreach at Neighborhood Events 17. MORPC State of the Region Event – 04/01/2015 18. Earth Day Columbus Neighborhood Session, Columbus Commons – 4/25/2015 19. Latino Job Fair, Holiday Inn Worthington – 05/05/2015 20. Columbus Young Professionals Summit, Creekside Conference Center, Gahanna, OH – 5/15/2015 21. Connect Columbus Plan Van – 04/27/2015, 04/28/2015, 04/29/2015 *Note: Events marked with an asterisk took place during Phase 1 outreach before the values exercise was created. These discussions were used to develop the initial list of values.
  • 24. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 22 Appendix B Values Exercise
  • 25. Evaluation Framework | 10/6/2015 | 23