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Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree:
How Many Trees Do You Owe Me?
David J. Nowak
US Forest Service
Syracuse, NY
2004
Google goes Public
Invest $10,000
Boris Badenov
**ONE HUNDRED EIGHTEEN**
**118**
Invest $10,000 – Offer: $12,800 (inflation)
Boris Badenov
**ONE HUNDRED EIGHTEEN**
**118**
Invest $10,000 – Current Value = $95,000
Boris Badenov
**ONE HUNDRED EIGHTEEN**
**118**
Tree Value?
Tree Value?
Fallacy of Tree Value
There is no NASDAQ for trees
We do not know the true value of trees
We may never know the true value of trees
Proposed Solution
Compensate on equal trees, not $
Calculate number small trees = removed tree
Size based methods:
Method No. 1” trees to replace 30” tree
DBH 30
Basal area 900
Leaf area ~70
Proposed Solution
Compensate based on leaf area
Many tree values associated with leaf area
Tends to increase through time (predictable)
Issue
Need to consider future values (lost or gained)
Net present value (NPV) of future leaves
NPV of 1” DBH large, long-lived tree = 34,000 ft2
Replace a 24” DBH large tree:
Years Remaining NPV leaves (3% rate) No. replacement trees
1 6,000 ft2 0.2
50 187,000 ft2 5.6
Calculating Tree Compensation
Tree size
Life span
Growth rate
Discount rate
Tree Size
Large: London
planetree
(Platanus hybrida)
Small: crapemyrtle
(Lagerostroemia
indica).
0.2 in/yr; 100 years to death
Life Span
Combined DBH mortality curve with average
DBH distribution
Life Span
Average population mortality = 1,2,3 or 4%
Life Span
Long-lived = 87 years Mod. Long-lived = 50 yrs Mod. Short-lived = 34 yrs Short-lived = 26 yrs
Calculating Tree Compensation
Tree size (large vs. small)
Life span (1-4% annual mortality rate)
Growth rate (0.2 inches/year)
Discount rate (2, 3, and 4%)
Compensation Rate by DBH (3%; Large Tree)
Replacing large tree with large tree
Maximum Compensation Values (3% rate)
Replacement tree : Large Small
Existing Tree L ML MS S L ML MS S
Large Long-lived (L) 6.6 12.2 20.9 31.5 13.6 19.5 29.9 41.1
Mod. Long-lived (ML) 4.4 8.1 14.0 21.1 9.1 13.0 20.0 27.5
Mod. Short-lived (MS) 3.4 6.2 10.7 16.2 7.0 10.0 15.3 21.1
Short-lived (S) 2.9 5.3 9.1 13.7 5.9 8.5 13.0 17.9
Small Long-lived (L) 0.9 1.6 2.8 4.1 1.8 2.6 3.9 5.4
Mod. Long-lived (ML) 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.4 1.5 2.1 3.3 4.5
Mod. Short-lived (MS) 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.9 1.3 1.8 2.8 3.8
Short-lived (S) 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.5 1.1 1.5 2.4 3.3
Look-up Tables
DBH (inch)
YRS TO
DEATH 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
80 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1
81 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1
82 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.1
83 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.1
84 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.1
85 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2
86 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2
87 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2
88 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2
89 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2
90 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.2
Bold = large, long-lived tree
replaced with comparable tree
Replacement trees: Mod Short-lived Large Tree
Limitations
Likely minimum compensation
Does not include:
Social values (Grandpa planted tree; historical tree)
Punitive damages
Effect of multiple surrounding trees (forests)
Value of dead trees
Compensation
Determine number of trees based on size and
life span remaining (look-up tables or program)
Replant the trees, or
Compensation in dollars based on cost of
planting trees (not value of tree)
Example: owed 10 trees; cost of planting = $1,000
per tree (compensation = $10,000)
Summary
dnowak@fs.fed.us nrs.fs.fed.us/units/urban
Tree compensation:
Can be calculated based on NPV of leaf area
Varies with tree size and life span remaining
Can be converted to dollars based on cost of
planting new trees

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Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

  • 1. Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees Do You Owe Me? David J. Nowak US Forest Service Syracuse, NY
  • 4. Invest $10,000 Boris Badenov **ONE HUNDRED EIGHTEEN** **118**
  • 5. Invest $10,000 – Offer: $12,800 (inflation) Boris Badenov **ONE HUNDRED EIGHTEEN** **118**
  • 6. Invest $10,000 – Current Value = $95,000 Boris Badenov **ONE HUNDRED EIGHTEEN** **118**
  • 9. Fallacy of Tree Value There is no NASDAQ for trees We do not know the true value of trees We may never know the true value of trees
  • 10. Proposed Solution Compensate on equal trees, not $ Calculate number small trees = removed tree Size based methods: Method No. 1” trees to replace 30” tree DBH 30 Basal area 900 Leaf area ~70
  • 11. Proposed Solution Compensate based on leaf area Many tree values associated with leaf area Tends to increase through time (predictable)
  • 12. Issue Need to consider future values (lost or gained) Net present value (NPV) of future leaves NPV of 1” DBH large, long-lived tree = 34,000 ft2 Replace a 24” DBH large tree: Years Remaining NPV leaves (3% rate) No. replacement trees 1 6,000 ft2 0.2 50 187,000 ft2 5.6
  • 13. Calculating Tree Compensation Tree size Life span Growth rate Discount rate
  • 14. Tree Size Large: London planetree (Platanus hybrida) Small: crapemyrtle (Lagerostroemia indica). 0.2 in/yr; 100 years to death
  • 15. Life Span Combined DBH mortality curve with average DBH distribution
  • 16. Life Span Average population mortality = 1,2,3 or 4%
  • 17. Life Span Long-lived = 87 years Mod. Long-lived = 50 yrs Mod. Short-lived = 34 yrs Short-lived = 26 yrs
  • 18. Calculating Tree Compensation Tree size (large vs. small) Life span (1-4% annual mortality rate) Growth rate (0.2 inches/year) Discount rate (2, 3, and 4%)
  • 19. Compensation Rate by DBH (3%; Large Tree) Replacing large tree with large tree
  • 20. Maximum Compensation Values (3% rate) Replacement tree : Large Small Existing Tree L ML MS S L ML MS S Large Long-lived (L) 6.6 12.2 20.9 31.5 13.6 19.5 29.9 41.1 Mod. Long-lived (ML) 4.4 8.1 14.0 21.1 9.1 13.0 20.0 27.5 Mod. Short-lived (MS) 3.4 6.2 10.7 16.2 7.0 10.0 15.3 21.1 Short-lived (S) 2.9 5.3 9.1 13.7 5.9 8.5 13.0 17.9 Small Long-lived (L) 0.9 1.6 2.8 4.1 1.8 2.6 3.9 5.4 Mod. Long-lived (ML) 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.4 1.5 2.1 3.3 4.5 Mod. Short-lived (MS) 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.9 1.3 1.8 2.8 3.8 Short-lived (S) 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.5 1.1 1.5 2.4 3.3
  • 21. Look-up Tables DBH (inch) YRS TO DEATH 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 80 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 81 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 82 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.1 83 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.1 84 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.1 85 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 86 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 87 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 88 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 89 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 90 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.2 Bold = large, long-lived tree replaced with comparable tree
  • 22. Replacement trees: Mod Short-lived Large Tree
  • 23. Limitations Likely minimum compensation Does not include: Social values (Grandpa planted tree; historical tree) Punitive damages Effect of multiple surrounding trees (forests) Value of dead trees
  • 24. Compensation Determine number of trees based on size and life span remaining (look-up tables or program) Replant the trees, or Compensation in dollars based on cost of planting trees (not value of tree) Example: owed 10 trees; cost of planting = $1,000 per tree (compensation = $10,000)
  • 25. Summary dnowak@fs.fed.us nrs.fs.fed.us/units/urban Tree compensation: Can be calculated based on NPV of leaf area Varies with tree size and life span remaining Can be converted to dollars based on cost of planting new trees