Energy Analytics
      Abhinanda Sarkar

  Indian Institute of Science
        October 2012
Power Generation:
   Where do we drill for oil? (Geospatial analysis)
   How much wind/solar might we get? (Weather forecasting)
   What is the state of the power plant? (Monitoring & diagnostics)

Transmission and Distribution:
   Is our electrical grid in good condition? (Reliability analysis)
   When is the highest daily electricity usage? (Pattern recognition)
   Are there indications of power theft? (Machine learning)

ā€œShow me the money!ā€
   What will be the market price of biomass? (Demand analysis)
   Will there be lower tariffs with smart meters? (Asset pricing)
   How do we brand nuclear energy? (Risk management)
How many years does insulation on transformers last?

Step 1: Simulate electrical loads and ambient temperatures
How many years does insulation on transformers last?

Step 2: Use an accepted engineering aging standard
How many years does insulation on transformers last?

Step 3: Simulate to design life based on environment and standard
How many years does insulation on transformers last?

Step 4: Find ā€˜hitting time’ distributions
How many years does insulation on transformers last?

Step 5: Solve business problems
How many years does insulation on transformers last?

Step 5: Solve business problems
How many years does insulation on transformers last?

Step 5: Solve business problems




   Muthanna, Sarkar, Das, and Waldner, IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, 2006
How much power can we get from a wind farm?

Challenge 1: Power curve uncertainty
How much power can we get from a wind farm?

Challenge 2: Variation and correlations across turbines at site
How much power can we get from a wind farm?

Solution 1: A wind farm simulator
How much power can we get from a wind farm?

Solution 2: An operational power production forecasting system
How much power can we get from a wind farm?

Solution 3: Reusable analytics modules




             Vineel and Sarkar, IASTED ICMS, 2006, IEEE ISIE, 2007
Some strategic points of view …

• Research
   - Example: Stanford University and the Global Climate and
   Energy Project (GCEP)

• Technology
   - Example: GE and the ecomagination initiative

• Solutions
   - Example: IBM and Smarter Planet, Green Sigma Coalition
Process, Data and Domain driven Information Excellence




              ABOUT COMPEGENCE
Our Expertise and Focus Areas
 Process + Data + Domain => Decision


Analytics; Data Mining; Big Data; DWH & BI


Architecture and Methodology


Partnered Product Development


Consulting, Competency Building, Advisory, Mentoring


Executive Briefing Sessions and Deep Dive Workshops
Partners in Co-Creating Success


  Process, Data and Domain driven Information Excellence


Process, Data and Domain driven Business Decision Life Cycle




                                            www.compegence.com
                                           info@compegence.com

Compegence: Dr. Abhinanda Sarkar - Energy Analytics_IISC_2012_Oct

  • 1.
    Energy Analytics Abhinanda Sarkar Indian Institute of Science October 2012
  • 4.
    Power Generation: Where do we drill for oil? (Geospatial analysis) How much wind/solar might we get? (Weather forecasting) What is the state of the power plant? (Monitoring & diagnostics) Transmission and Distribution: Is our electrical grid in good condition? (Reliability analysis) When is the highest daily electricity usage? (Pattern recognition) Are there indications of power theft? (Machine learning) ā€œShow me the money!ā€ What will be the market price of biomass? (Demand analysis) Will there be lower tariffs with smart meters? (Asset pricing) How do we brand nuclear energy? (Risk management)
  • 5.
    How many yearsdoes insulation on transformers last? Step 1: Simulate electrical loads and ambient temperatures
  • 6.
    How many yearsdoes insulation on transformers last? Step 2: Use an accepted engineering aging standard
  • 7.
    How many yearsdoes insulation on transformers last? Step 3: Simulate to design life based on environment and standard
  • 8.
    How many yearsdoes insulation on transformers last? Step 4: Find ā€˜hitting time’ distributions
  • 9.
    How many yearsdoes insulation on transformers last? Step 5: Solve business problems
  • 10.
    How many yearsdoes insulation on transformers last? Step 5: Solve business problems
  • 11.
    How many yearsdoes insulation on transformers last? Step 5: Solve business problems Muthanna, Sarkar, Das, and Waldner, IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, 2006
  • 12.
    How much powercan we get from a wind farm? Challenge 1: Power curve uncertainty
  • 13.
    How much powercan we get from a wind farm? Challenge 2: Variation and correlations across turbines at site
  • 14.
    How much powercan we get from a wind farm? Solution 1: A wind farm simulator
  • 15.
    How much powercan we get from a wind farm? Solution 2: An operational power production forecasting system
  • 16.
    How much powercan we get from a wind farm? Solution 3: Reusable analytics modules Vineel and Sarkar, IASTED ICMS, 2006, IEEE ISIE, 2007
  • 17.
    Some strategic pointsof view … • Research - Example: Stanford University and the Global Climate and Energy Project (GCEP) • Technology - Example: GE and the ecomagination initiative • Solutions - Example: IBM and Smarter Planet, Green Sigma Coalition
  • 18.
    Process, Data andDomain driven Information Excellence ABOUT COMPEGENCE
  • 19.
    Our Expertise andFocus Areas Process + Data + Domain => Decision Analytics; Data Mining; Big Data; DWH & BI Architecture and Methodology Partnered Product Development Consulting, Competency Building, Advisory, Mentoring Executive Briefing Sessions and Deep Dive Workshops
  • 20.
    Partners in Co-CreatingSuccess Process, Data and Domain driven Information Excellence Process, Data and Domain driven Business Decision Life Cycle www.compegence.com info@compegence.com