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Role of Energy Efficiency in Asia
Amit Bando, Executive Director, IPEEC
June 2013
What is IPEEC?1.
1
22
IPEEC is an
Autonomous Entity
3
Established in 2009 at the G8 summit in Italy; Reports to G20, Clean
Energy Ministerial & others
Facilitates Rapid Deployment of Clean Technologies Worldwide
The IPEEC Secretariat is located in Paris, France
Members account for over 80% of world GDP and energy
use.
Italy
Russia
Japan
Republic of
Korea
China
India
Australia
Germany
United
Kingdom
France
Canada
USA
Mexico
Brazil
EU
South
Africa
Context2
4
More Than Just Energy
Savings
5
Government Action to Promote Energy Efficiency
Climate Change
Mitigation:
Reduced GHG
Emissions
Sustainable
Development:
Enhanced Energy
Access
Energy
Security:
Reducing
Energy Use
Low Carbon Economy
•Improved air quality
• Jobs created
• Lower energy cost
Global additional investment
by end-use sector
Transport
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Services
Residential
Industry
Billiondollars(2011)
Additional investments required in end-use efficiency are $11.8 trillion over
2012-2035; saving consumers $17.5 trillion in energy expenditures in this period
(Source: IEA)
The Efficient World Scenario relative to the New Policies Scenario
Power generation
Industry
Transport
Other
Room to manoeuvre
The Efficient World Scenario
Delays Carbon Lock-in
Energy efficiency can delay “lock-in” of CO2 emissions permitted under a 2°C
trajectory – which is set to happen in 2017 – until 2022, buying five extra years
5
10
15
20
25
30
2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Gt
2 °C trajectory
Lock-in of existing
infrastructure
2017
Lock-in of infrastructure
in New Policies Scenario
in 2017
2022
35
Lock-in of infrastructure
in Efficient World Scenario
in 2022
Barriers to Energy Efficiency
Barrier Examples
Market  Market organisation and price distortions prevent customers from appraising
the true value of energy efficiency.
 The principal agent problem, in which the investor does not reap the rewards
of improved efficiency (the classic case being the landlord-tenant situation).
 Transaction costs (project costs are high relative to energy savings).
Financial  Up-front costs and dispersed benefits discourage investors.
 Perception of EE investments as complicated & risky - high transaction costs.
 Lack of awareness of financial benefits on the part of financial institutions.
Information and
awareness
 Lack of sufficient information and understanding, on the part of consumers,
to make rational consumption and investment decisions.
Regulatory and
institutional
 Energy tariffs that discourage EE investment (such as declining block prices
and fuel subsidies).
 Incentive structures encourage energy providers to sell energy rather than
invest in cost-effective energy efficiency.
 Institutional bias towards supply-side investments.
Technical  Lack of affordable energy efficiency technologies suitable to local conditions.
 Insufficient local capacities to identify, develop, implement and maintain
energy efficiency investments.
Key Trends in
Asia Pacific
Region
3
10
Urbanization
 Between 2005-2010, urban
population overtook the rural
population
 rising from 49% to 51%
 By 2030, a majority or 2.7 billion
people will live in cities and towns
 equivalent to adding a new
town of 137,000 people every
day for next 21 years!
 In the last two decades the Asia-
Pacific urban proportion has risen
by 29%
 more than any other region
11
Urban population, Asia-Pacific subregions,
1990 and 2010
Source: Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific 2011, UNESCA
Energy Intensity
 Today, Asia covers the lion’s
share of the world’s primary
energy consumption
 Between 2007 and 2030, the
region is projected to
account for 45-50% of the
increase in world primary
energy demand
 Non-OECD Asian nations will
lead industrial energy demand
by an average of 2.3 to 2.6%
per year
 projected annual growth in
OECD nations of 0.5% / year
12
Global Primary Energy Intensity (2009)
Energy Intensity Trends
 Global energy intensity has decreased by 1.4% p.a. since 1990
 Largest reductions found in the regions with the highest energy intensities
(China, CIS and India)
 Industry and power generation accounted for almost ½ of that reduction
(about 30% and 15%, respectively)
 Per capita energy consumption to 2030 is likely to grow at about the same
rate as in 1970 - 90 (0.7% p.a.)
 Energy per unit of GDP – continues to improve globally, and at an
accelerating rate
 This acceleration is important as restrains the overall growth of primary
energy.
Ex: During the 11th Five Year Plan in China, through various EE initiatives,
energy consumption grew at an annual average of 6.6% compared to
average annual growth rate of 11.2% for the national economy
Energy Efficiency
Financing Trends
Asia Pacific deals by sector
14
Source: Final Renewables Deals 2012 Review, PwC.
Energy Service
Companies (ESCOs)
 The ESCO industry in Asia Pacific is poised to grow
 From $3.0 billion in annual revenue in 2009 to $18.5
billion by 2016
 421% increase from 2010 levels
Example: Despite not even being operational until 1998,
annual revenues for China’s ESCO industry to reach $17
billion by 2015, increasing its share of the APAC regional
market to over 90% (Source: Pike Research).
Overcoming
First Cost
Barriers to
Financing
4
16
IPEEC Clears Roadblocks to
Successful EE Financing
 Critical financial and market roadblocks that need to be addressed:
 Fixed cost of lending incentivizes banks to focus on large corporate
loans.
 Information asymmetry between banks and borrowers:
 Adverse selection: Average pricing will attract risky borrowers and turn away
attractive borrowers;
 Moral Hazard: Risky behavior as borrower knows that bank has imperfect
oversight.
 Lack of credit bureaus & clear credit history increases risk-assessment costs.
 Inadequate knowledge and experience with the product .
 Inefficient price signals – consumption disconnected from cost.
 Network of contractors & suppliers unavailable or inexperienced.
18
IPEEC is your partner.
Thank you!
 Any questions? Please contact:
Amit.Bando@ipeec.org
contact@ipeec.org
9 rue de la Fédération
75739 Paris
France

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China global think tank summit presentation 2013

  • 1. Role of Energy Efficiency in Asia Amit Bando, Executive Director, IPEEC June 2013
  • 3. 22
  • 4. IPEEC is an Autonomous Entity 3 Established in 2009 at the G8 summit in Italy; Reports to G20, Clean Energy Ministerial & others Facilitates Rapid Deployment of Clean Technologies Worldwide The IPEEC Secretariat is located in Paris, France Members account for over 80% of world GDP and energy use. Italy Russia Japan Republic of Korea China India Australia Germany United Kingdom France Canada USA Mexico Brazil EU South Africa
  • 6. More Than Just Energy Savings 5 Government Action to Promote Energy Efficiency Climate Change Mitigation: Reduced GHG Emissions Sustainable Development: Enhanced Energy Access Energy Security: Reducing Energy Use Low Carbon Economy •Improved air quality • Jobs created • Lower energy cost
  • 7. Global additional investment by end-use sector Transport 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Services Residential Industry Billiondollars(2011) Additional investments required in end-use efficiency are $11.8 trillion over 2012-2035; saving consumers $17.5 trillion in energy expenditures in this period (Source: IEA) The Efficient World Scenario relative to the New Policies Scenario
  • 8. Power generation Industry Transport Other Room to manoeuvre The Efficient World Scenario Delays Carbon Lock-in Energy efficiency can delay “lock-in” of CO2 emissions permitted under a 2°C trajectory – which is set to happen in 2017 – until 2022, buying five extra years 5 10 15 20 25 30 2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Gt 2 °C trajectory Lock-in of existing infrastructure 2017 Lock-in of infrastructure in New Policies Scenario in 2017 2022 35 Lock-in of infrastructure in Efficient World Scenario in 2022
  • 9.
  • 10. Barriers to Energy Efficiency Barrier Examples Market  Market organisation and price distortions prevent customers from appraising the true value of energy efficiency.  The principal agent problem, in which the investor does not reap the rewards of improved efficiency (the classic case being the landlord-tenant situation).  Transaction costs (project costs are high relative to energy savings). Financial  Up-front costs and dispersed benefits discourage investors.  Perception of EE investments as complicated & risky - high transaction costs.  Lack of awareness of financial benefits on the part of financial institutions. Information and awareness  Lack of sufficient information and understanding, on the part of consumers, to make rational consumption and investment decisions. Regulatory and institutional  Energy tariffs that discourage EE investment (such as declining block prices and fuel subsidies).  Incentive structures encourage energy providers to sell energy rather than invest in cost-effective energy efficiency.  Institutional bias towards supply-side investments. Technical  Lack of affordable energy efficiency technologies suitable to local conditions.  Insufficient local capacities to identify, develop, implement and maintain energy efficiency investments.
  • 11. Key Trends in Asia Pacific Region 3 10
  • 12. Urbanization  Between 2005-2010, urban population overtook the rural population  rising from 49% to 51%  By 2030, a majority or 2.7 billion people will live in cities and towns  equivalent to adding a new town of 137,000 people every day for next 21 years!  In the last two decades the Asia- Pacific urban proportion has risen by 29%  more than any other region 11 Urban population, Asia-Pacific subregions, 1990 and 2010 Source: Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific 2011, UNESCA
  • 13. Energy Intensity  Today, Asia covers the lion’s share of the world’s primary energy consumption  Between 2007 and 2030, the region is projected to account for 45-50% of the increase in world primary energy demand  Non-OECD Asian nations will lead industrial energy demand by an average of 2.3 to 2.6% per year  projected annual growth in OECD nations of 0.5% / year 12 Global Primary Energy Intensity (2009)
  • 14. Energy Intensity Trends  Global energy intensity has decreased by 1.4% p.a. since 1990  Largest reductions found in the regions with the highest energy intensities (China, CIS and India)  Industry and power generation accounted for almost ½ of that reduction (about 30% and 15%, respectively)  Per capita energy consumption to 2030 is likely to grow at about the same rate as in 1970 - 90 (0.7% p.a.)  Energy per unit of GDP – continues to improve globally, and at an accelerating rate  This acceleration is important as restrains the overall growth of primary energy. Ex: During the 11th Five Year Plan in China, through various EE initiatives, energy consumption grew at an annual average of 6.6% compared to average annual growth rate of 11.2% for the national economy
  • 15. Energy Efficiency Financing Trends Asia Pacific deals by sector 14 Source: Final Renewables Deals 2012 Review, PwC.
  • 16. Energy Service Companies (ESCOs)  The ESCO industry in Asia Pacific is poised to grow  From $3.0 billion in annual revenue in 2009 to $18.5 billion by 2016  421% increase from 2010 levels Example: Despite not even being operational until 1998, annual revenues for China’s ESCO industry to reach $17 billion by 2015, increasing its share of the APAC regional market to over 90% (Source: Pike Research).
  • 18. IPEEC Clears Roadblocks to Successful EE Financing  Critical financial and market roadblocks that need to be addressed:  Fixed cost of lending incentivizes banks to focus on large corporate loans.  Information asymmetry between banks and borrowers:  Adverse selection: Average pricing will attract risky borrowers and turn away attractive borrowers;  Moral Hazard: Risky behavior as borrower knows that bank has imperfect oversight.  Lack of credit bureaus & clear credit history increases risk-assessment costs.  Inadequate knowledge and experience with the product .  Inefficient price signals – consumption disconnected from cost.  Network of contractors & suppliers unavailable or inexperienced.
  • 19. 18 IPEEC is your partner. Thank you!  Any questions? Please contact: Amit.Bando@ipeec.org contact@ipeec.org 9 rue de la Fédération 75739 Paris France

Editor's Notes

  1. 7
  2. EE improvement is often hampered by market, financial, information, institutional, and technical barriers. According to survey and interviews, while consumer awareness and low energy prices are two major barriers to EE commonly mentioned worldwide, the lack of affordable financing and the perceived riskiness of EE ranked especially high in the EBRD region. EE policy doesn’t deliver EE savings exist, but in small pockets trapped beneath the these barriers rather than beneath the earth’s surface.
  3. http://eeasia.unescap.org/PDFs/Assessment-Report.pdf