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Mr. Floyd Thomas
Chairman, Caroline County Board of Supervisors
P.O. Box 447
Bowling Green, Virginia 22427

Dear Mr. Thomas;

As the Board of Supervisors is aware, every ten years after the completion of
the decennial census, local governments are required by law to evaluate
population changes within their boundaries and to make changes necessary
to ensure equal representation by and between elected officials.

The Caroline County Board of Supervisors, recognizing the amount of time
and effort required to undertake such an analysis, established the
Redistricting Advisory Committee. The members of the Redistricting
Advisory Committee as appointed by the Board of Supervisors are:

            Chair, William “Duke” Whiteside; Mattaponi
                   Frank Gee; Bowling Green
                   Maynard Penney; Bowling Green
                   Eric Deibel; Madison
                   Scott Roberts; Madison
                   Charles Shewbridge; Madison
                   Lynda Keath; Mattaponi
                   Jim Heimbach; Port Royal
                   Bill Wick; Port Royal
                   Henry Barlow; Reedy Church
                   Demetrice Toliver; Reedy Church
                   Rueben Rock; Mattaponi; Caroline NAACP
                   Mack Wright; Caroline County School Board

The committee was charged with evaluating options for five, six and seven
election districts and making a recommendation to the Board of Supervisors.
The committee has completed its task and presents its findings and
recommendations to the Board.
The committee would also like to acknowledge the efforts of the staff
members who provided assistance to the committee as we prepared our
recommendation to the Board. Those staff members included:

                   Michael Finchum, Director of Planning
                   Angeline Pitts, County Planner
                   Laurel Hammig, Planner-GWRC
                   Ann Neil Cosby, County Attorney

Recommendation

The Redistricting Advisory Committee recommends that the Board of
Supervisors adopt the Five-District Plan (Attachment 1), which retains the
Reedy Church District as a minority-majority district.

Committee Evaluation and Consideration of Options

As requested by Board of Supervisors Chairman Floyd Thomas, the
Committee considered and evaluated the merits of five, six and seven
District options. Multiple versions of each plan were evaluated for their
strengths and weaknesses, while being mindful of the requirements set forth
by the United States Constitution, the Constitution of Virginia, the Code of
Virginia, and the federal Voting Rights Act, as well as traditionally accepted
redistricting criteria. These requirements and criteria include, but are not
limited to, maintaining one person-one vote by keeping the populations of
districts as even as possible, placing boundaries between districts along
easily recognizable landmarks, establishing districts that are compact and
contiguous, preserving communities of interest, accounting for the residency
of incumbents, and addressing non-retrogression, among other factors.
While the committee supports and recommends the five district plan, six and
seven district plans (Attachments 2 and 3) were prepared as requested.

Advantages of the Recommendation

The Committee selected the five district option for several reasons. First,
the option retains a minority-majority district (Reedy Church). Throughout
the process, the committee supported the standards of non-retrogression and
non dilution of minority voting strength. Since we have not found it possible
to maintain two minority-majority districts, even with a seven district option,
we are concerned that increasing the number of districts may be viewed as a
dilution of minority voting strength. The committee feels that the five
district option best addresses those principles, in light of the changing
County demographics, while balancing the various federal and state
requirements and traditional redistricting criteria.

Additional benefits include a compact Madison District with similar
communities of interest and a Port Royal District that is more contiguous
and compact, as compared to its current boundary. This option also retains
all members of the Board of Supervisors within their respective districts.

Disadvantages of the Recommendation

Given the varied population densities and other demographic changes that
have occurred between 2000 and 2010, this plan does create several larger
districts, while other districts are more compact. This is unavoidable due to
the increased population of the County and the need to shift a large block of
population out of the current Madison District (Lake Caroline) while
maintaining that community of interest. This plan also has the unfortunate
effect of placing three members of the Caroline County School Board in one
district.

Summary

We believe that the Five District plan recommended reasonably and best
meets the criteria required by the re-districting process. We also feel that in
these difficult economic times, creating additional districts would be an
unnecessary burden on the taxpayers of Caroline County, when surrounding
counties with comparable or even greater populations have managed well
with only five districts.

We thank you for your willingness to reach out to the citizens of the County
through the appointment of this committee and offer our continued
assistance as you move forward with the process.

Sincerely,


William “Duke” Whiteside
Chairman, 2011 Redistricting Advisory Committee
Attachment 1
5 District Option 
                Total                                                                       Am     %Am 
District                  Deviation    % Dev     White    % White     Black  % Black                         Asian      % Asian  Hawaiian  % Hawaiian  Other  % Other 
              Population                                                                  Indian  Indian 
Bowling 
                5,570        ‐139      ‐2.43%    3,906    70.13%      1,402  25.17%        84      1.51%       24        0.43%        1        0.02%        25    0.45% 
Green 
Madison         5,798        89        1.56%     4,093    70.59%      1,306  22.53%        34      0.59%       53        0.91%       12        0.21%        72    1.24% 
Mattaponi       5,672        ‐37       ‐0.65%    3,951    69.66%      1,383  24.38%        40      0.71%       43        0.76%        3        0.05%        82    1.45% 
Port Royal      5,601        ‐108      ‐1.89%    3,878    69.24%      1,438  25.67%        32      0.57%       27        0.48%        5        0.09%        62    1.11% 
Reedy 
                5,904        195       3.42%     2,821    47.78%      2,846  48.20%        23      0.39%       31        0.53%        1        0.02%        32    0.54% 
Church 
                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                % 18+ 
              Voting Age               % 18+      18+      % 18+     18+ Am                18+     % 18+      18+        % 18+ 
                         18+ White                                                Am                                              18+ Other  % 18+ Other             
              (18+) Pop                White     Black     Black      Indian              Asian    Asian    Hawaiian    Hawaiian 
                                                                                Indian 
Bowling 
                4,415       3,143      71.19%    1,103    24.98%       67       1.52%      21      0.48%       1         0.02%       18        0.41%                 
Green 
Madison         4,100       2,950      71.95%     935     22.80%       23       0.56%      44      1.07%       4         0.10%       53        1.29%                 
Mattaponi       4,284       3,023      70.56%    1,060    24.74%       26       0.61%      36      0.84%       3         0.07%       57        1.33%                 
Port Royal      4,352       3,044      69.94%    1,157    26.59%       20       0.46%      23      0.53%       2         0.05%       35        0.80%                 
Reedy 
                4,550       2,189      48.11%    2,219    48.77%       19       0.42%      27      0.59%       1         0.02%       21        0.46%                 
Church 
Attachment 2
6 District Option 
                Total                                                                       Am     %Am 
District                  Deviation    % Dev     White    % White     Black  % Black                         Asian      % Asian  Hawaiian  % Hawaiian  Other  % Other 
              Population                                                                  Indian  Indian 
Bowling 
                4,740        ‐18       ‐0.38%  3,349      70.65%     1,152  24.30%         79      1.67%       14        0.30%        1        0.02%        25    0.53% 
Green 
Madison         4,833        75        1.58%     3,524    72.92%     1,043  21.58%         33      0.68%       40        0.83%        8        0.17%        46    0.95% 
Lake            4,811        53        1.11%     3,519    73.14%      974  20.25%          34      0.71%       41        0.85%        6        0.12%        62    1.29% 
Mattaponi       4,865        107       2.25%     2,836    58.29%     1,709  35.13%         19      0.39%       47        0.97%        1        0.02%        68    1.40% 
Port Royal      4,774        16        0.34%     3,243    67.93%     1,278  26.77%         26      0.54%       21        0.44%        5        0.10%        57    1.19% 
Reedy 
                4,522       ‐236       ‐4.96%  2,178      48.16%     2,219  49.07%         22      0.49%       15        0.33%        1        0.02%        15    0.33% 
Church 
                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                % 18+ 
              Voting Age               % 18+      18+      % 18+     18+ Am                18+     % 18+      18+        % 18+ 
                         18+ White                                                Am                                              18+ Other  % 18+ Other             
              (18+) Pop                White     Black     Black      Indian              Asian    Asian    Hawaiian    Hawaiian 
                                                                                Indian 
Bowling 
                3,741       2,684      71.75%    902      24.11%       62       1.66%      14      0.37%       1         0.03%       18        0.48%                 
Green 
Madison         3,569       2,663      74.61%    765      21.43%       17       0.48%      31      0.87%       4         0.11%       30        0.84%                 
Lake            3,403       2,535      74.49%    694      20.39%       24       0.71%      38      1.12%       2         0.06%       43        1.26%                 
Mattaponi       3,664       2,142      58.46%  1,318      35.97%       16       0.44%      41      1.12%       1         0.03%       53        1.45%                 
Port Royal      3,733       2,571      68.87%  1,031      27.62%       18       0.48%      17      0.46%       2         0.05%       32        0.86%                 
Reedy 
                3,591       1,754      48.84%  1,764      49.12%       18       0.50%      10      0.28%       1         0.03%        8        0.22%                 
Church 
Attachment 3
7 District Option 
                Total                                                                       Am     %Am 
District                  Deviation    % Dev     White    % White     Black  % Black                         Asian      % Asian  Hawaiian  % Hawaiian  Other  % Other 
              Population                                                                  Indian  Indian 
Bowling 
                4,095        17        0.42%     2,828    69.06%     1,050  25.64%         71      1.73%       14        0.34%        1        0.02%        23    0.56% 
Green 
Carmel 
                4,139        61        1.50%     2,816    68.04%     1,106  26.72%         25      0.60%       34        0.82%        2        0.05%        29    0.70% 
Church 
Lake            4,270        192       4.71%     3,088    72.32%      884  20.70%          25      0.59%       36        0.84%        6        0.14%        58    1.36% 
Madison         4,002        ‐76       ‐1.86%  2,803      70.04%      994  24.84%          31      0.77%       27        0.67%        6        0.15%        39    0.97% 
Mattaponi       4,090        12        0.29%     2,538    62.05%     1,296  31.69%         23      0.56%       35        0.86%        1        0.02%        65    1.59% 
Port Royal      4,027        ‐51       ‐1.25%  2,710      67.30%     1,108  27.51%         20      0.50%       20        0.50%        5        0.12%        44    1.09% 
Reedy 
                3,922       ‐156       ‐3.83%  1,866      47.58%     1,937  49.39%         18      0.46%       12        0.31%        1        0.03%        15    0.38% 
Church 
                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                % 18+ 
              Voting Age               % 18+      18+      % 18+     18+ Am                18+     % 18+      18+        % 18+ 
                         18+ White                                                Am                                              18+ Other  % 18+ Other             
              (18+) Pop                White     Black     Black      Indian              Asian    Asian    Hawaiian    Hawaiian 
                                                                                Indian 
Bowling 
                3,219       2,261      70.24%    816      25.35%       57       1.77%      14      0.43%       1         0.03%       16        0.50%                 
Green 
Carmel 
                3,040       2,100      69.08%    819      26.94%       17       0.56%      31      1.02%       2         0.07%       15        0.49%                 
Church 
Lake            2,993       2,210      73.84%    623      20.82%       18       0.60%      34      1.14%       2         0.07%       41        1.37%                 
Madison         3,010       2,143      71.20%    753      25.02%       18       0.60%      20      0.66%       2         0.07%       28        0.93%                 
Mattaponi       3,186       1,998      62.71%  1,029      32.30%       17       0.53%      27      0.85%       1         0.03%       51        1.60%                 
Port Royal      3,156       2,144      67.93%    899      28.49%       14       0.44%      16      0.51%       2         0.06%       25        0.79%                 
Reedy 
                3,097       1,493      48.21%  1,535      49.56%       14       0.45%       9      0.29%       1         0.03%        8        0.26%                 
Church 

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Caroline County Re-Districting Proposal

  • 1. Mr. Floyd Thomas Chairman, Caroline County Board of Supervisors P.O. Box 447 Bowling Green, Virginia 22427 Dear Mr. Thomas; As the Board of Supervisors is aware, every ten years after the completion of the decennial census, local governments are required by law to evaluate population changes within their boundaries and to make changes necessary to ensure equal representation by and between elected officials. The Caroline County Board of Supervisors, recognizing the amount of time and effort required to undertake such an analysis, established the Redistricting Advisory Committee. The members of the Redistricting Advisory Committee as appointed by the Board of Supervisors are: Chair, William “Duke” Whiteside; Mattaponi Frank Gee; Bowling Green Maynard Penney; Bowling Green Eric Deibel; Madison Scott Roberts; Madison Charles Shewbridge; Madison Lynda Keath; Mattaponi Jim Heimbach; Port Royal Bill Wick; Port Royal Henry Barlow; Reedy Church Demetrice Toliver; Reedy Church Rueben Rock; Mattaponi; Caroline NAACP Mack Wright; Caroline County School Board The committee was charged with evaluating options for five, six and seven election districts and making a recommendation to the Board of Supervisors. The committee has completed its task and presents its findings and recommendations to the Board.
  • 2. The committee would also like to acknowledge the efforts of the staff members who provided assistance to the committee as we prepared our recommendation to the Board. Those staff members included: Michael Finchum, Director of Planning Angeline Pitts, County Planner Laurel Hammig, Planner-GWRC Ann Neil Cosby, County Attorney Recommendation The Redistricting Advisory Committee recommends that the Board of Supervisors adopt the Five-District Plan (Attachment 1), which retains the Reedy Church District as a minority-majority district. Committee Evaluation and Consideration of Options As requested by Board of Supervisors Chairman Floyd Thomas, the Committee considered and evaluated the merits of five, six and seven District options. Multiple versions of each plan were evaluated for their strengths and weaknesses, while being mindful of the requirements set forth by the United States Constitution, the Constitution of Virginia, the Code of Virginia, and the federal Voting Rights Act, as well as traditionally accepted redistricting criteria. These requirements and criteria include, but are not limited to, maintaining one person-one vote by keeping the populations of districts as even as possible, placing boundaries between districts along easily recognizable landmarks, establishing districts that are compact and contiguous, preserving communities of interest, accounting for the residency of incumbents, and addressing non-retrogression, among other factors. While the committee supports and recommends the five district plan, six and seven district plans (Attachments 2 and 3) were prepared as requested. Advantages of the Recommendation The Committee selected the five district option for several reasons. First, the option retains a minority-majority district (Reedy Church). Throughout the process, the committee supported the standards of non-retrogression and non dilution of minority voting strength. Since we have not found it possible to maintain two minority-majority districts, even with a seven district option, we are concerned that increasing the number of districts may be viewed as a
  • 3. dilution of minority voting strength. The committee feels that the five district option best addresses those principles, in light of the changing County demographics, while balancing the various federal and state requirements and traditional redistricting criteria. Additional benefits include a compact Madison District with similar communities of interest and a Port Royal District that is more contiguous and compact, as compared to its current boundary. This option also retains all members of the Board of Supervisors within their respective districts. Disadvantages of the Recommendation Given the varied population densities and other demographic changes that have occurred between 2000 and 2010, this plan does create several larger districts, while other districts are more compact. This is unavoidable due to the increased population of the County and the need to shift a large block of population out of the current Madison District (Lake Caroline) while maintaining that community of interest. This plan also has the unfortunate effect of placing three members of the Caroline County School Board in one district. Summary We believe that the Five District plan recommended reasonably and best meets the criteria required by the re-districting process. We also feel that in these difficult economic times, creating additional districts would be an unnecessary burden on the taxpayers of Caroline County, when surrounding counties with comparable or even greater populations have managed well with only five districts. We thank you for your willingness to reach out to the citizens of the County through the appointment of this committee and offer our continued assistance as you move forward with the process. Sincerely, William “Duke” Whiteside Chairman, 2011 Redistricting Advisory Committee
  • 4. Attachment 1 5 District Option  Total  Am  %Am  District  Deviation  % Dev  White  % White  Black  % Black  Asian  % Asian  Hawaiian  % Hawaiian  Other  % Other  Population  Indian  Indian  Bowling  5,570  ‐139  ‐2.43%  3,906  70.13%  1,402  25.17%  84  1.51%  24  0.43%  1  0.02%  25  0.45%  Green  Madison  5,798  89  1.56%  4,093  70.59%  1,306  22.53%  34  0.59%  53  0.91%  12  0.21%  72  1.24%  Mattaponi  5,672  ‐37  ‐0.65%  3,951  69.66%  1,383  24.38%  40  0.71%  43  0.76%  3  0.05%  82  1.45%  Port Royal  5,601  ‐108  ‐1.89%  3,878  69.24%  1,438  25.67%  32  0.57%  27  0.48%  5  0.09%  62  1.11%  Reedy  5,904  195  3.42%  2,821  47.78%  2,846  48.20%  23  0.39%  31  0.53%  1  0.02%  32  0.54%  Church                                  % 18+  Voting Age % 18+  18+  % 18+  18+ Am  18+  % 18+  18+   % 18+    18+ White  Am   18+ Other  % 18+ Other      (18+) Pop  White  Black  Black  Indian  Asian  Asian  Hawaiian  Hawaiian  Indian  Bowling  4,415  3,143  71.19%  1,103  24.98%  67  1.52%  21  0.48%  1  0.02%  18  0.41%      Green  Madison  4,100  2,950  71.95%  935  22.80%  23  0.56%  44  1.07%  4  0.10%  53  1.29%      Mattaponi  4,284  3,023  70.56%  1,060  24.74%  26  0.61%  36  0.84%  3  0.07%  57  1.33%      Port Royal  4,352  3,044  69.94%  1,157  26.59%  20  0.46%  23  0.53%  2  0.05%  35  0.80%      Reedy  4,550  2,189  48.11%  2,219  48.77%  19  0.42%  27  0.59%  1  0.02%  21  0.46%      Church 
  • 5. Attachment 2 6 District Option  Total  Am  %Am  District  Deviation  % Dev  White  % White  Black  % Black  Asian  % Asian  Hawaiian  % Hawaiian  Other  % Other  Population  Indian  Indian  Bowling  4,740  ‐18  ‐0.38%  3,349  70.65%  1,152  24.30%  79  1.67%  14  0.30%  1  0.02%  25  0.53%  Green  Madison  4,833  75  1.58%  3,524  72.92%  1,043  21.58%  33  0.68%  40  0.83%  8  0.17%  46  0.95%  Lake  4,811  53  1.11%  3,519  73.14%  974  20.25%  34  0.71%  41  0.85%  6  0.12%  62  1.29%  Mattaponi  4,865  107  2.25%  2,836  58.29%  1,709  35.13%  19  0.39%  47  0.97%  1  0.02%  68  1.40%  Port Royal  4,774  16  0.34%  3,243  67.93%  1,278  26.77%  26  0.54%  21  0.44%  5  0.10%  57  1.19%  Reedy  4,522  ‐236  ‐4.96%  2,178  48.16%  2,219  49.07%  22  0.49%  15  0.33%  1  0.02%  15  0.33%  Church                                  % 18+  Voting Age % 18+  18+  % 18+  18+ Am  18+  % 18+  18+   % 18+    18+ White  Am   18+ Other  % 18+ Other      (18+) Pop  White  Black  Black  Indian  Asian  Asian  Hawaiian  Hawaiian  Indian  Bowling  3,741  2,684  71.75%  902  24.11%  62  1.66%  14  0.37%  1  0.03%  18  0.48%      Green  Madison  3,569  2,663  74.61%  765  21.43%  17  0.48%  31  0.87%  4  0.11%  30  0.84%      Lake  3,403  2,535  74.49%  694  20.39%  24  0.71%  38  1.12%  2  0.06%  43  1.26%      Mattaponi  3,664  2,142  58.46%  1,318  35.97%  16  0.44%  41  1.12%  1  0.03%  53  1.45%      Port Royal  3,733  2,571  68.87%  1,031  27.62%  18  0.48%  17  0.46%  2  0.05%  32  0.86%      Reedy  3,591  1,754  48.84%  1,764  49.12%  18  0.50%  10  0.28%  1  0.03%  8  0.22%      Church 
  • 6. Attachment 3 7 District Option  Total  Am  %Am  District  Deviation  % Dev  White  % White  Black  % Black  Asian  % Asian  Hawaiian  % Hawaiian  Other  % Other  Population  Indian  Indian  Bowling  4,095  17  0.42%  2,828  69.06%  1,050  25.64%  71  1.73%  14  0.34%  1  0.02%  23  0.56%  Green  Carmel  4,139  61  1.50%  2,816  68.04%  1,106  26.72%  25  0.60%  34  0.82%  2  0.05%  29  0.70%  Church  Lake  4,270  192  4.71%  3,088  72.32%  884  20.70%  25  0.59%  36  0.84%  6  0.14%  58  1.36%  Madison  4,002  ‐76  ‐1.86%  2,803  70.04%  994  24.84%  31  0.77%  27  0.67%  6  0.15%  39  0.97%  Mattaponi  4,090  12  0.29%  2,538  62.05%  1,296  31.69%  23  0.56%  35  0.86%  1  0.02%  65  1.59%  Port Royal  4,027  ‐51  ‐1.25%  2,710  67.30%  1,108  27.51%  20  0.50%  20  0.50%  5  0.12%  44  1.09%  Reedy  3,922  ‐156  ‐3.83%  1,866  47.58%  1,937  49.39%  18  0.46%  12  0.31%  1  0.03%  15  0.38%  Church                                  % 18+  Voting Age % 18+  18+  % 18+  18+ Am  18+  % 18+  18+   % 18+    18+ White  Am   18+ Other  % 18+ Other      (18+) Pop  White  Black  Black  Indian  Asian  Asian  Hawaiian  Hawaiian  Indian  Bowling  3,219  2,261  70.24%  816  25.35%  57  1.77%  14  0.43%  1  0.03%  16  0.50%      Green  Carmel  3,040  2,100  69.08%  819  26.94%  17  0.56%  31  1.02%  2  0.07%  15  0.49%      Church  Lake  2,993  2,210  73.84%  623  20.82%  18  0.60%  34  1.14%  2  0.07%  41  1.37%      Madison  3,010  2,143  71.20%  753  25.02%  18  0.60%  20  0.66%  2  0.07%  28  0.93%      Mattaponi  3,186  1,998  62.71%  1,029  32.30%  17  0.53%  27  0.85%  1  0.03%  51  1.60%      Port Royal  3,156  2,144  67.93%  899  28.49%  14  0.44%  16  0.51%  2  0.06%  25  0.79%      Reedy  3,097  1,493  48.21%  1,535  49.56%  14  0.45%  9  0.29%  1  0.03%  8  0.26%      Church