This document provides an overview and summary of recent farm legislation and policy developments. It discusses the key provisions and debates around the 2014 Farm Bill, including crop insurance which provides coverage for over 90% of planted acreage. The document outlines challenges for the next Farm Bill in 2018, including budget pressures, commodity prices, and ongoing attacks on "Big Agriculture." It also analyzes factors around the 2016 congressional elections and presidential race that could impact future farm policy.
There has been a lot said about the cannabis market in Canada since October 2018. This presentation looks at many angles as part of assessing what needs to happen to the cannabis market as part of its' long-term growth.
2019 Election| Management of Cannabis| Canada| August 2019paul young cpa, cga
Passing a bill and having full efficient supply chain for cannabis are two different issues
Feds push the cannabis law before law enforcement and the provinces were ready to handle the legalization of pot
Annual retail sales market for marijuana is running about $1B. The GST from the sales is estimated to be about $70M / year https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190621/dq190621a-eng.htm
Healthcare only recently finalized process and sale of edibles - https://www.canada.ca/en/health-canada/news/2019/06/health-canada-finalizes-regulations-for-the-production-and-sale-of-edible-cannabis-cannabis-extracts-and-cannabis-topicals.html
Liberals rushed out the legalization of pot as way to get a win when they are failing as a govt - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/justin-trudeau-and-liberals-success-or-failure
Government has done little to hire and fund inspection of marijuana .
50 US Health-Care Statistics that will Absolutely Astonish you !!Surgerica
The health care system in the United States is so broken that it probably cannot be repaired. The entire thing needs to be dismantled and completely reinvented..Have a look at the presentation and you will understand WHY. Research carried on by Mr. Amit Bhagat ,Co-Founder & CMO of MedicYatra & Kritika Beri, Intern @ MedicYatra, currently studying in SIMC
There has been a lot said about the cannabis market in Canada since October 2018. This presentation looks at many angles as part of assessing what needs to happen to the cannabis market as part of its' long-term growth.
2019 Election| Management of Cannabis| Canada| August 2019paul young cpa, cga
Passing a bill and having full efficient supply chain for cannabis are two different issues
Feds push the cannabis law before law enforcement and the provinces were ready to handle the legalization of pot
Annual retail sales market for marijuana is running about $1B. The GST from the sales is estimated to be about $70M / year https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190621/dq190621a-eng.htm
Healthcare only recently finalized process and sale of edibles - https://www.canada.ca/en/health-canada/news/2019/06/health-canada-finalizes-regulations-for-the-production-and-sale-of-edible-cannabis-cannabis-extracts-and-cannabis-topicals.html
Liberals rushed out the legalization of pot as way to get a win when they are failing as a govt - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/justin-trudeau-and-liberals-success-or-failure
Government has done little to hire and fund inspection of marijuana .
50 US Health-Care Statistics that will Absolutely Astonish you !!Surgerica
The health care system in the United States is so broken that it probably cannot be repaired. The entire thing needs to be dismantled and completely reinvented..Have a look at the presentation and you will understand WHY. Research carried on by Mr. Amit Bhagat ,Co-Founder & CMO of MedicYatra & Kritika Beri, Intern @ MedicYatra, currently studying in SIMC
The legalization of cannabis was a key election promise in 2015. Cannabis has been legalized but there have been many issues with cannabis over the past two years.
WTO Disputes on China's Market Price Support and TRQ Admin for Wheat, Rice an...Lars Brink
The United States is pursuing two WTO disputes against China regarding wheat, rice and corn. This presentation reviews the key issues in the disputes over China's market price support under the Agreement on Agriculture and China's administration of tariff rate quotas for these grains. It draws on public information available as of July 2018 (the Panel is expected to circulate its findings only later in 2018).
State News Magazine – The Georgia Crisis & Access Line was highlighted on the cover of the annual innovations awards issue, circulated to all state legislators, governors, top elected officials, agency heads, the White House and members of Congress.
For 20 years, United States politicians have been interested in fighting their high drug prices by bulk importing prescription drugs from Canada.
Recently, the politically-appointed head of the US Health Department has said they are proposing new rules to make allowances for this practice. The State of Florida, with a population of 25 million, has also passed new legislature and published a 40-page plan, and the Florida Governor has met with the President and the Health Secretary to move forward. This creates a clear and present risk to the supply of medicines for Canadians.
Presented by John Adams, Board Chair, Best Medicines Coalition and Co-Founder, President & CEO, Canadian PKU and Allied Disorders, this webinar offers an opportunity to learn more about this potential threat and how to approach the new Canadian government and urge necessary action before access to prescription drugs is potentially compromised.
Eighty percent of Americans believe the prices of prescription medications are unreasonable. PharmacyChecker president and co-founder, Gabriel Levitt, spoke at the New York Retirees Association of District Council 37 September 2018 meeting about the prescription drug price crisis in America and how international online pharmacies can help seniors today. With around 200-300 members in attendance, the members didn’t hold back in expressing shock at the numbers surrounding the current state of drug prices in the United States vs. the rest of the world. Commonly prescribed drugs, that many uninsured or under-insured Americans can’t afford are much less in Canada and other countries.
17 USC § 107 Limitations on Exclusive Rights – FAIR USE
Gregory Meeks' Bio and/or Biography – Do you know this HOUSE NEGRO?
In our pursuit of the OVERTHROW of the United States’ DESPOTISM Government Regime, we intend to seek the PROSECUTION of these House Negroes (i.e. some of which are LAWYERS). Please NOTE “HOW Many” were EDUCATED under WHITE INSTITUTIONS!
While the AGE REQUIREMENT is 25 Years Old to serve as a United States SENATOR and/or REPRESENTATIVE, as of 2017, the AGE RANGE for the House Negroes Serving is BETWEEN 40 – 88 Years Old!
This is SIGNIFICANT because the House Negroes Placed in the United States Congress are those who GREW UP in the Heart of the CIVIL RIGHTS Movement and EXPERIENCED the BRUTAL Murders/Killings of Civil Rights Leaders as Medgar Evers, Malcolm X and Martin Luther King Jr. Therefore, MAKING them EASY PREY to be CONTROLLED by THREATS and FEAR on their Lives and their Family Members MADE by WHITE Jews/Zionists and WHITE Supremacists!
Help BRING these HOUSE NEGROES to JUSTICE for the ROLES they have PLAYED in the TERRORIST/RACIST/DISCRIMINATORY Practices of the United States’ DESPOTISM Government Regime!
This House Negro had a DUTY and OBLIGATION to NOTIFY the Public/World of the Illegal/Unlawful Occupation of the DESPOT presently CONTROLLING and RUNNING the United States’ DESPOTISM Government Regime!
Moreover, the THREATS made (if any) by WHITE Jews/Zionists and WHITE Supremacists AGAINST them and/or their Family Members, Friends, etc.
Whose to blame for high prescription drug costs?Richard Meyer
Pharma certainly can take the blame for high drug prices but the reality is that even if prescription drugs were free our healthcare costs would still be climbing
Written Statement of W. Scott Marlow: Subcommittee on Commodities and Risk Ma...RAFI-USA
Written Statement of W. Scott Marlow
Director of Farm Sustainability Program
The Rural Advancement Foundation International – USA
To the House Agriculture Committee
Subcommittee on Commodities and Risk Management Hearing
May 14, 2007
The Electoral System of the USA // The 2012 Presidential ElectionValentinSchraub
I have created this presentation for an English exam in my last year at the Immanuel Kant high school in Leinfelden, Germany. It is about the 2012 presidential election in the United States and its electoral system. I got 14 out of 15 credits for this presentation and after it I conducted a spontaneous survey among the 15 students on who they would vote for if they were Americans. 13 out of 15 voted for Barack Obama, the remaining two for Mitt Romney.
Government policies for Legalizing Marijuana - Canada - Analysis and Commentarypaul young cpa, cga
This presentation discusses the effort by the Government of Canada to legalised Pot/Marijuana in Canada.
The presentation will look at all aspects of legalising marijuana including costs associated to the program as well as the revenue that could be generated from pot/marijuana sales.
This presentation looks at some of the key trends in media consolidation and the implications on racial and class bias. It also looks at media consolidation in the Christian sector and the implications that has in a growing non-Western church.
The legalization of cannabis was a key election promise in 2015. Cannabis has been legalized but there have been many issues with cannabis over the past two years.
WTO Disputes on China's Market Price Support and TRQ Admin for Wheat, Rice an...Lars Brink
The United States is pursuing two WTO disputes against China regarding wheat, rice and corn. This presentation reviews the key issues in the disputes over China's market price support under the Agreement on Agriculture and China's administration of tariff rate quotas for these grains. It draws on public information available as of July 2018 (the Panel is expected to circulate its findings only later in 2018).
State News Magazine – The Georgia Crisis & Access Line was highlighted on the cover of the annual innovations awards issue, circulated to all state legislators, governors, top elected officials, agency heads, the White House and members of Congress.
For 20 years, United States politicians have been interested in fighting their high drug prices by bulk importing prescription drugs from Canada.
Recently, the politically-appointed head of the US Health Department has said they are proposing new rules to make allowances for this practice. The State of Florida, with a population of 25 million, has also passed new legislature and published a 40-page plan, and the Florida Governor has met with the President and the Health Secretary to move forward. This creates a clear and present risk to the supply of medicines for Canadians.
Presented by John Adams, Board Chair, Best Medicines Coalition and Co-Founder, President & CEO, Canadian PKU and Allied Disorders, this webinar offers an opportunity to learn more about this potential threat and how to approach the new Canadian government and urge necessary action before access to prescription drugs is potentially compromised.
Eighty percent of Americans believe the prices of prescription medications are unreasonable. PharmacyChecker president and co-founder, Gabriel Levitt, spoke at the New York Retirees Association of District Council 37 September 2018 meeting about the prescription drug price crisis in America and how international online pharmacies can help seniors today. With around 200-300 members in attendance, the members didn’t hold back in expressing shock at the numbers surrounding the current state of drug prices in the United States vs. the rest of the world. Commonly prescribed drugs, that many uninsured or under-insured Americans can’t afford are much less in Canada and other countries.
17 USC § 107 Limitations on Exclusive Rights – FAIR USE
Gregory Meeks' Bio and/or Biography – Do you know this HOUSE NEGRO?
In our pursuit of the OVERTHROW of the United States’ DESPOTISM Government Regime, we intend to seek the PROSECUTION of these House Negroes (i.e. some of which are LAWYERS). Please NOTE “HOW Many” were EDUCATED under WHITE INSTITUTIONS!
While the AGE REQUIREMENT is 25 Years Old to serve as a United States SENATOR and/or REPRESENTATIVE, as of 2017, the AGE RANGE for the House Negroes Serving is BETWEEN 40 – 88 Years Old!
This is SIGNIFICANT because the House Negroes Placed in the United States Congress are those who GREW UP in the Heart of the CIVIL RIGHTS Movement and EXPERIENCED the BRUTAL Murders/Killings of Civil Rights Leaders as Medgar Evers, Malcolm X and Martin Luther King Jr. Therefore, MAKING them EASY PREY to be CONTROLLED by THREATS and FEAR on their Lives and their Family Members MADE by WHITE Jews/Zionists and WHITE Supremacists!
Help BRING these HOUSE NEGROES to JUSTICE for the ROLES they have PLAYED in the TERRORIST/RACIST/DISCRIMINATORY Practices of the United States’ DESPOTISM Government Regime!
This House Negro had a DUTY and OBLIGATION to NOTIFY the Public/World of the Illegal/Unlawful Occupation of the DESPOT presently CONTROLLING and RUNNING the United States’ DESPOTISM Government Regime!
Moreover, the THREATS made (if any) by WHITE Jews/Zionists and WHITE Supremacists AGAINST them and/or their Family Members, Friends, etc.
Whose to blame for high prescription drug costs?Richard Meyer
Pharma certainly can take the blame for high drug prices but the reality is that even if prescription drugs were free our healthcare costs would still be climbing
Written Statement of W. Scott Marlow: Subcommittee on Commodities and Risk Ma...RAFI-USA
Written Statement of W. Scott Marlow
Director of Farm Sustainability Program
The Rural Advancement Foundation International – USA
To the House Agriculture Committee
Subcommittee on Commodities and Risk Management Hearing
May 14, 2007
The Electoral System of the USA // The 2012 Presidential ElectionValentinSchraub
I have created this presentation for an English exam in my last year at the Immanuel Kant high school in Leinfelden, Germany. It is about the 2012 presidential election in the United States and its electoral system. I got 14 out of 15 credits for this presentation and after it I conducted a spontaneous survey among the 15 students on who they would vote for if they were Americans. 13 out of 15 voted for Barack Obama, the remaining two for Mitt Romney.
Government policies for Legalizing Marijuana - Canada - Analysis and Commentarypaul young cpa, cga
This presentation discusses the effort by the Government of Canada to legalised Pot/Marijuana in Canada.
The presentation will look at all aspects of legalising marijuana including costs associated to the program as well as the revenue that could be generated from pot/marijuana sales.
This presentation looks at some of the key trends in media consolidation and the implications on racial and class bias. It also looks at media consolidation in the Christian sector and the implications that has in a growing non-Western church.
Global Wealth Trade Corporation is the small jewelry company kept growing and gaining strength through an evolving product line and a parade of innovational triumphs unprecedented in the history of fine jewelry.http://www.gwtcorp.com
National Health Care Reform: The Proposals and the Politicssoder145
Presentation by Elizabeth Lukanen at the University of Minnesota Academic Health Center's Student Leadership Summit in Minneapolis, MN, December 5, 2009.
On Tuesday, February 22, 2011 the Community Food Security Coalition (CFSC) and the National Farm to School Network (NFSN) hosted an interactive webinar to provide an overview of past Farm Bill successes, and to begin dialogue on potential areas of action for the upcoming 2012 Farm Bill, including regional policy priorities related to local food infrastructure, urban/community-based agriculture, food access, community food projects, farmers markets, linking SNAP (food stamps) to local and healthy foods, Farm to School, and food policy councils. After viewing the webinar, participants are invited to tell us what is most needed in their region of the country by completing the survey at the following link: http://www.zoomerang.com/Survey/WEB22BWUCU6YFL/
Learn more about what is at stake in the “Super Committee” and the federal deficit-reduction deal for children, families, seniors and people with disabilities in Ohio. Leading statewide advocates will discuss how we work to maintain vital programs, such as SNAP, Medicaid, and Medicare.
Advocates for Ohio’s Future and our partners are also gearing up for a statewide “call-in day” on Wednesday, Sept 28 to Senator Portman’s offices in Columbus, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Toledo, and D.C. to make sure the Super Committee’s deficit-reduction plan does not increase poverty or income inequality.
You’ll hear from:
* Lisa Hamler-Fugitt, Executive Director of the Ohio Association of Second Harvest Foodbanks
Luke Russell, Associate State Director for Advocacy, AARP Ohio
Cathy Levine, Executive Director of UHCAN Ohio and Co-Chair of Ohio Consumers for Health Coverage
Deborah Nebel, Director of Public Policy, Linking Employment, Ability, and Potential
Wendy Patton, Senior Associate with Policy Matters Ohio
Will Petrik, Outreach Director with Advocates for Ohio’s Future
After completing this module, you will:
- Describe the farm structure of US Production
- Explain how US farms operate under federal and state frameworks to combat falling prices
- Explain the concept of Farm Management Systems
- Recognize the scope of technology adoption by farms
AheadRace eLearning Module # 04 - New Regulations and Issues in US AgricultureSatyavardhan Reddy
* Factors driving regulatory developments in the U.S. Agriculture Sector
* Explaining the need for marketing, price, and income support and trade management
* Recognize the obstacles of regulatory reform
* Explaining the impact of budget pressures on reforms
The purpose of the webinar was to better understand the importance of federal budget advocacy.
The slides touch the principles of deficit reduction and our shared messaging strategy. The slides also connect you to resources to frame the conversations that need to happen in our communities and with lawmakers in the coming months.
Overheads with excerpts from 2009 study by Chris Edwards of Cato Institute on Agricultural Subsidies. www.downsizinggovernment.org/agriculture/subsidies
Ang Chong Yi Navigating Singaporean Flavors: A Journey from Cultural Heritage...Ang Chong Yi
In the heart of Singapore, where tradition meets modernity, He embarks on a culinary adventure that transcends borders. His mission? Ang Chong Yi Exploring the Cultural Heritage and Identity in Singaporean Cuisine. To explore the rich tapestry of flavours that define Singaporean cuisine while embracing innovative plant-based approaches. Join us as we follow his footsteps through bustling markets, hidden hawker stalls, and vibrant street corners.
Roti Bank Hyderabad: A Beacon of Hope and NourishmentRoti Bank
One of the top cities of India, Hyderabad is the capital of Telangana and home to some of the biggest companies. But the other aspect of the city is a huge chunk of population that is even deprived of the food and shelter. There are many people in Hyderabad that are not having access to
At Taste Of Middle East, we believe that food is not just about satisfying hunger, it's about experiencing different cultures and traditions. Our restaurant concept is based on selecting famous dishes from Iran, Turkey, Afghanistan, and other Arabic countries to give our customers an authentic taste of the Middle East
1. Farm Legislation In An Election Year
2016 Annual CornVention
Fargo, North Dakota
February 3, 2016
James Callan
Founder/CEO of James Callan Associates LLC
www.jamescallanassociates.com
2. Policy Developments Last Year
• Section 179 – benefits small and medium-sized businesses and farms
• Waters of the U.S. (WOTUS) rule from EPA: one of the worst examples of
“overreach” – Bob Stallman, outgoing Farm Bureau President, Jan. 10, 2016. Court
battle so far protects farmers
• GMO labeling – battle continues, delay is in Senate
• RFS – EPA made changes from initial proposal, still well below statute
• RFS future challenges – oil industry, EPA, court battles
3. What Is In Store for This Year?
• Mostly oversight, including of EPA. Administrator Gina McCarthy is appearing
before the House Agriculture Committee.
• Climate change, endangered species, pollinators; child nutrition; trade agreements
• GMO Labeling – can the industry coalition stay together?
• Vermont GMO law already is driving national policy, i.e., Campbell’s
• Biotech approvals – will China provide a more transparent process?
4. The Current Farm Bill: A Recap
• Major crops covered
• Interacts with crop insurance making it the focal point of a revised safety
net
• “Plus up” crop insurance funding ($5.7 billion) over 10 years
5. The Farm Bill In Budget Context
Total budget authority for all mandatory farm bill programs under current law is $995
billion during FY2014-FY2023. Nutrition programs make up 80 percent.
Total savings: $16.6 billion. Of this amount, budget authority for farm safety net
programs is $134 billion over the 10-year period:
-- $44 billion for Title I (including commodity programs) and $90 billion for Title XI
(crop insurance). Disaster programs do not have budget baseline funding.
Source: Congressional Budget Office
6. The Farm Bill Process – What Happens Next?
Farm Bill Reauthorized Every Five Years – Major Drivers of Reform:
• Desire to change farm programs, maintain/improve safety net
• Budget realities – much tighter Federal budget situation; make
programs compliant with WTO rules, U.S. farmers in global context
• New revenue programs “cover shallow losses;” many farmers also
have an enhanced insurance option on top of individual policies
7. The Next Farm Bill
Farm Bill Next Authorization in 2018 ~ Process to Begin in 2017
• It addresses conservation programs in agriculture, energy incentives,
trade access programs, research, and other areas – DOES NOT
reauthorize crop insurance
• Last two Farm Bills contained crop insurance as a key section
8. Key Safety Net: U.S. Federal Crop Insurance Program
In context - insurance for 128 crops, a range of coverage levels:
• Coverage -- 438 combinations of crops and plan types available
(Yield, Revenue, Area/individual farm, Whole farm, Asset)
• 89% of planted acreage; 290 million acres insured; 18 approved
insurance providers; 10,000-plus insurance agents
9. Key Safety Net: U.S. Federal Crop Insurance Program
• Administered by the Risk Management Agency (RMA) of U.S. Department of
Agriculture (USDA); Federal Crop Insurance Corp. Board reviews/approves policies
• Standard Reinsurance Agreement (SRA) between USDA and 18 Private Sector –
RMA renegotiated SRA in 2005 and 2011
• U.S. program is largest, most wide ranging; Spain, Canada, and Japan have well
established programs; China’s is now second; India, Europe want more
Sources: Risk Management Agency - USDA, Crop Insurance In America, James Callan Associates
10. Federal Crop Insurance – Revenue Insurance
Revenue Protection Insurance:
• Provides protection with harvest price component -- upside and downside
protection
• Combination of yield and price protection in the event of reduced production and
higher prices; will provide most of the indemnities in 2016
• Largest part of the Federal crop insurance program – has attention of opponents
and budget cutters
11. Crop Year 2013 2014 2015
Value of Insurance $124 Billion $110 Billion $102 Billion
Acres Insured 296 Million Acres 295 Million Acres 298 Million Acres
Total Premium $11.8 Billion $10.1 Billion $9.7 Billion
Claims Paid So Far In 2015 $12 Billion $9.1 Billion $4.8 Billion
Loss Ratio 1.02 .91 .50
Above equals stability, certainty that funds are available providing support in intensive production
environment with worldwide implications for market certainty, investment, and output
*Combined figures for crop and livestock insurance, where applicable
**These are real-time estimates
Data Source: Risk Management Agency – USDA
U.S. Federal Crop Insurance Program Snapshot* – 1-11-16**
12. Crop Year 2013 2014 2015
Value of Insurance $1.9 Billion $1.2 Billion $1.05 Billion
Acres Insured 4 Million Acres 3 Million Acres 2.76 Million Acres
Total Premium $344 Million $233 Million $204 Million
Claims Paid So Far for 2015 $329 Million $160 Million $66 Million
Loss Ratio .96 .73 .33
**These are real-time estimates
Data Source: Risk Management Agency – USDA
North Dakota Corn Federal Crop Insurance Snapshot* – 1-11-16**
14. Farm Bill Voices – Who are key in Congress?
Farm Bill Reauthorization and Federal Crop Insurance
• Senate Ag Chairman Pat Roberts (R-KS), Ranking Member Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)
• House Ag Chairman Michael Conaway (R-TX-11), Ranking Member Collin Peterson
(D-MN-7)
• Others – Sens. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) and Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), Reps. Ron Kind (D-WI-
3) and Jim Sensenbrenner (R-WI-5) – all have the program in their sights
• Budget process poses risks, even if Farm Bill has “locked” in agreement not to
reduce crop insurance
15. Farm Bill Voices – Who are key in Congress? (cont.)
• Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI-1) received the benefit of former Speaker John Boehner’s
negotiation of the two-year budget deal with The White House and the Senate
• He has not been a strong supporter of crop insurance; needs on-going education
• At $10 billion per year, crop insurance costs the Federal government about ¼ of one
percent of total U.S. government spending
• Your Members are very supportive – Sens. Hoeven, Heitkamp, and Rep. Cramer
16. Congress and the 2016 Elections
Current political makeup
• House: 247 Republicans, 188 Democrats. Most political “experts” believe the
House will remain in Republican hands in November.
• Senate: 54 Republicans, 44 Democrats, 2 Independents (both caucus with the
Democrats)
• Senate is up for grabs, since Republicans are defending 24 seats this cycle, while
Democrats are defending only 10
17. Senators Facing Re-Election in 2016:
Republicans
Kelly Ayotte (New Hampshire) Mike Lee (Utah)
Roy Blunt (Missouri) John McCain (Arizona)
John Boozman (Arkansas) Jerry Moran (Kansas)
Richard Burr (North Carolina) Lisa Murkowski (Alaska)
Dan Coats (Indiana) Rand Paul (Kentucky)
Mike Crapo (Idaho) Rob Portman (Ohio)
Chuck Grassley (Iowa) Marco Rubio (Florida)*
John Hoeven (North Dakota) Tim Scott (South Carolina)
Johnny Isakson (Georgia) Richard Shelby (Alabama)
Ron Johnson (Wisconsin) John Thune (South Dakota)
Mark Kirk (Illinois) Pat Toomey (Pennsylvania)
James Lankford (Oklahoma) David Vitter (Louisiana)
*Running for President, Open Seat
18. Senators Facing Re-Election in 2016:
Democrats
Michael Bennet (Colorado)
Richard Blumenthal (Connecticut)
Barbara Boxer (California) Retiring
Patrick Leahy (Vermont)
Barbara Mikulski (Maryland) Retiring
Patty Murray (Washington)
Harry Reid (Nevada) Retiring
Brian Schatz (Hawaii)
Charles Schumer (New York)
Ron Wyden (Oregon)
19. Congress and the 2016 Elections
Key Senate Races
• 3 toss-ups: New Hampshire (R), Florida (R), Nevada (D)
• If Republicans hold at least one of the above and pick up Nevada, they would likely
keep the Senate – many believe Illinois (R) and Wisconsin (R) will flip from R to D
• Senate more impacted than the House by the presidential race
• Watch Pennsylvania and Ohio - Republicans need to hold them
Sources: Sabato’s Crystal Ball; James Callan Associates LLC
20. U.S. House – What Will Happen?
• 9 competitive races – 7Rs, 2 Ds: IA-R-1, CO-R-6, AZ-D-1 (Open), IL-R-10, FL-D-18
(Open), UT-R-4, MN-R-2, NH-R-1, NJ-R-5). Source: The Hill, Jan. 1, 2016
• If Republicans nominate a controversial presidential candidate, would Democrats
benefit? Or, is the country fed up with “politics as usual” and “ready for change?”
• President Obama’s approval rating has been at about only 47%; unlikely to be as
much enthusiasm in November for the Democrat nominee as in 2008, 2012
• New Census in 2020, resulting in re-districting in 2022; House Republicans have an
advantage until then
21. The Presidential Campaign - Factors
• Controversies surrounding Hillary Clinton unlikely to disappear
• Republicans benefit from history – only one party has won more than two
consecutive terms since 1948
• Is this a change election or the status quo?
• Demographic changes in U.S. favor the Democrats
• The economy – up, down, or sideways? Another terrorist attack in U.S.?
22. Future Farm Policy Challenges
• Cuts to crop insurance
• Vulnerabilities to Prevented Planting
• ARC-Co. yields problem
• Environmental Rules – worker and farm safety; pesticides; “sue and
settle” actions by activist groups
23. Future Farm Policy Challenges (Cont.)
• Commodity Prices, input costs – RFS rollback
• Biotechnology overregulation
• Political environment adverse to rural America
• Need for alliances – food/nutrition, minority/consumer groups
24. Farm Policy Factors
• Budgetary pressures
• Polarization within parties
• Presidential politics – RFS up front w/Iowa caucuses
• Demographics/Foodies
25. Continuing Attacks on “Big Agriculture”
• Farm bill spending – budget reconciliation
• Crop insurance subsidies
• WOTUS
• Endangered Species
• Climate and carbon caps
26. Building Coalitions
• Sportsmen’s groups should be important allies
• Food and Nutrition groups – historically important, but how about
today, i.e., GMO Labeling?
• Other interest groups: CBC? Hispanic coalition? Religious?
Sources: Agri-Pulse, James Callan Associates LLC
27. Questions? Thank you!
For further information, contact:
James Callan
jamescallan@msn.com ~ (703) 577-1978