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ELD in Niger
Bokar Moussa
Ephraim Nkonya
The Sun is Rising in Niger
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1990 1995 2000 2005 2013
GHI(index),IMR(%)
GHI IMR
Why is the sun rising?
There is significant improvement in
Government effectiveness
-1.40
-1.20
-1.00
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
1996 1998 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Niger, Government Effectiveness Trend
GE Index: -2.5 (weak) to 2.5 (strong)
Niger’s investment in natural resource & production increasing
but expenditure on markets is low
Ag expenditure as % of agGDP National Agricultural Investment
(NAI) allocation, % of total NAI
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
20032004200520062007200820092010
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Niger, Forest Planted Area Increasing
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1990 2000 2005 2010
000ha
Planted forest (000ha)
Planted forest (000ha)
Comparison of Niger and other
countries
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Niger
Kenya
Nigeria
Uganda
Deforestation rate (%), 2000-10 Deforestation rate (%), 1990-00
% planted forest, 2000-10
Cost of land degradation as % of GDP>8%
0.11
2.1
2.71
2.91
Rice Millet Overgrazing Sorghum
Challenges
• Decentralization still relatively weak
Source: Nkonya et al 2013
GDP consistently growing, but long-
term per capita GDP falling
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
196019621964196619681970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012
Per capita GDP GDP constant 2005 US$billion
Challenges
• Market connectivity is low
– Logistics performance index of Niger among the
lowest in the world
• Low adoption of agricultural production
technologies
Kenya Niger
% of farmers
ISFM 33.0 0
Manure 68.0 1.0
Fertilizer 36.4 0.1
Improved fallow 4.9 0.6
Rotational grazing 7.5 0.4
Water harvesting 17.2 0.4

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ELD in Niger

  • 1. ELD in Niger Bokar Moussa Ephraim Nkonya
  • 2. The Sun is Rising in Niger 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1990 1995 2000 2005 2013 GHI(index),IMR(%) GHI IMR
  • 3. Why is the sun rising?
  • 4. There is significant improvement in Government effectiveness -1.40 -1.20 -1.00 -0.80 -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 1996 1998 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Niger, Government Effectiveness Trend GE Index: -2.5 (weak) to 2.5 (strong)
  • 5. Niger’s investment in natural resource & production increasing but expenditure on markets is low Ag expenditure as % of agGDP National Agricultural Investment (NAI) allocation, % of total NAI 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 20032004200520062007200820092010 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
  • 6. Niger, Forest Planted Area Increasing 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1990 2000 2005 2010 000ha Planted forest (000ha) Planted forest (000ha)
  • 7. Comparison of Niger and other countries 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Niger Kenya Nigeria Uganda Deforestation rate (%), 2000-10 Deforestation rate (%), 1990-00 % planted forest, 2000-10
  • 8. Cost of land degradation as % of GDP>8% 0.11 2.1 2.71 2.91 Rice Millet Overgrazing Sorghum
  • 9. Challenges • Decentralization still relatively weak Source: Nkonya et al 2013
  • 10. GDP consistently growing, but long- term per capita GDP falling 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 196019621964196619681970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012 Per capita GDP GDP constant 2005 US$billion
  • 11. Challenges • Market connectivity is low – Logistics performance index of Niger among the lowest in the world • Low adoption of agricultural production technologies Kenya Niger % of farmers ISFM 33.0 0 Manure 68.0 1.0 Fertilizer 36.4 0.1 Improved fallow 4.9 0.6 Rotational grazing 7.5 0.4 Water harvesting 17.2 0.4