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Next Generation Broadband
Enables Vital Business
Transformation
Benoît Felten
Senior Analyst
bfelten@yankeegroup.com




© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.
Yankee Group: The Global Connectivity Experts                                                                         TM




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© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008    Page 2
Preliminary comments

• This is a vision,
  not the results
  of a study

• The figures
  quoted lack
  consistency
  and are
  presented to
  support a
  reasoning.

• Anyone willing
  to finance a more
  in-depth study to
  support this vision
  with hard facts is
  welcome to contact
  me!

© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008   Page 3
Reducing light-vehicle carbon emissions

• « Transport is the second-largest source of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions
  and household vehicle use alone accounts for roughly 16 percent of total
  U.S. emissions. These emissions have been growing roughly 1.5 percent per
  year. » (source: www.rff.org)
• In the European Union, light vehicle carbon emissions account for 12% of
  the total EU carbon emissions (source: EU)
• Three factors account for light-vehicle Carbon Emissions:
      • Vehicle use
      • Fuel economy
      • Carbon emissions from production and consumption




© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008   Page 4
Analysing some of the planned or implemented measures

Bonus/Malus Ecologique                                    Stopping idle car engines

                                                                                                       • Micro-measures
                                                                                                         won’t cut it.

                                                                                                       • Advances in
                                                                                                         engine technology
                                                                                                         will help with fuel
                                                                                                         economy and
                                                                                                         carbon emissions.
• Impact on:                                                • Impact on:
        •
        •
             vehicle use: none
             fuel economy: none
                                                                     •
                                                                     •
                                                                         vehicle use: none
                                                                         fuel economy: none
                                                                                                       • Vehicle use is the
        •    Carbon emissions: very
             limited
                                                                     •   Carbon emissions: none          highest impacting
                                                            • Adverse effects:
                                                                                                         factor. Who will
• Adverse effects:
        •    More cars on the roads?
                                                                     •   Angry motorists                 tackle that?


© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.       Connected Urban Development       Sept. 24th, 2008   Page 5
Facts about commuting (UK)

• 25 million workers out of 29
  in the UK commute daily.                                                                   18m. daily car commutes

• 71% of workers commute by car,                                                                       40bn km driven
  est. 54% of cars commute any
  given day.                                                                                       in commutes each year

• Average UK commuter                                                                              4 bn hours spent
  makes 160 trips p.a. and                                                                     commuting by car each year
  travels 1391 miles (2240 km)
  in a year.
                                                                                               5.7bn hours spent
• Average time of a                                                                        commuting altogether each year
  commuting trip (one way) by car
  is just under 30mn.
                                                                                                     This is only for the UK!
                     Source: RAC Foundation - The UK Commute:
                                   Healthy or hazardous? (2007)
                                  http://www.racfoundation.org/files/theukcommute.pdf


© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development            Sept. 24th, 2008    Page 6
A necessary business transformation

• The intense commuting required of workers is a result of an
  industrial age conception of work organisation.

• In this conception, « work » is a place more than an activity.
  Therefore, workers must come to work.

• The prevalence of service jobs allows us to imagine a different
  conception of work organisation:
      • Service jobs are more likely to be able to be performed remotely: 69% of
        OECD employment is in Services (Source: OECD, 2004)
      • 83% broadband coverage on average in OECD countries (Source: OECD,
        2005) allows for widescale remote work (in theory)

• The opportunity is there to reverse the industrial age paradigm and
  have work come to workers.

• This is the most actionable short to mid-term way of reducing
  commuting and it has wide-ranging benefits beyond that.

© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008   Page 7
Key benefits to all interested parties
     BUSINESSES                                                      WORKERS                                  NATIONS
• Save money on                                                • Save time and                     • Significantly
  real estate,                                                   money not having                    reduce carbon
  company cars and                                               to use cars to get                  emissions
  mileage expenses                                               to work as often
• Gain productivity                                                                                • Drive business
  and efficiency                                               • Preserve more                       efficiency and
                                                                 harmonious living                   associated macro-
• Gain loyalty from                                              conditions (family                  economic benefits
  happier employees                                              life, etc.)
                                                                                                   • Retain jobs that
• Tap into qualified                                           • Lower stress levels                 tend to be
  workforce not                                                  by working in                       outsourced in-
  available outside of                                           quieter and more                    country through
  home                                                           personal work                       « homesourcing »
• Can boast their                                                environments
  green-ness


© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008     Page 8
Fact or fantasy ?

      « Is this the real life, is this just fantasy? »
                                                                        20th Century Philosopher

• The impetus has to come from businesses
  themselves. If businesses are not willing to play, it won’t happen.
• The key driver for businesses is monetary. Test cases are emerging
  that demonstrate significant savings for organisations that have
  gone down that path:
      • BT (own footprint) has implemented widespread flexible and remote working
        conditions and said it saved ~8500 EUR per employee per year.
      • IBM has implemented homeworking for 30% of employees and say it
        generates savings of $100 million p.a.

• Other benefits (BT figures):
      • 80% homeworker satisfaction
      • Productivity improvement 20%
      • Absenteeism 3.1% vs. 8.5% national average                                                                    Source: BT


© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008       Page 9
Hurdles
  • Business transformation on such scale does not occur overnight. There are
    important hurdles, essentially of three natures:
             Business                                                      Work
                                                                                                                 Technology
             Structures                                                 Environment
• Work organisation has                                        • How do you emulate all              • Today’s technologies
  high inertia                                                   the rest:                             could allow to emulate
                                                                      • social interaction,            some of that, but
• Financial gains are the                                             • visual contact,                solutions need to be
  key driver for                                                      • anecdotal circulation of       adopted by businesses
  businesses but benefits                                               information,                   and workers.
  are not well-known                                                  • company culture,
                                                                      • document sharing,            • IT Resources need to
• Employer to employee                                                                                 move to the cloud.
  relationship is not as                                              • water cooler
                                                                        discussions, etc.
  « trusting » as                                                                                    • The current generation
  businesses like to say                                                                               of networks is a strong
                                                                                                       limitation :
• A boss often thinks his                                                                                  • Bandwidth
  job is to supervise                                                                                      • Latency
                                                                                                           • Reliability and stability

        Redefining the                                                Driving adoption of            Accelerating deployment of
      « social contract »                                            work environment 2.0            next generation broadband

© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.     Connected Urban Development    Sept. 24th, 2008             Page 10
Redefining the social contract
« manage • verb
       1 be in charge of; run.
       2 supervise (staff).
       3 administer and regulate (resources). »

• The weight of the management relationship is on the
  shoulder of the business
• But just because an employee is not a manager does not
  mean he’s trustworthy…

• The main hurdle facing remote work is the absence of a
  relation of trust between employer and employee

• A redefinition of the work social contract is needed for
  that relationship to be established.

• This requires clearer objectives for employees and
  managers, and a shift of the manager’s role from
  superviser to coordinator.

• It also requires a contract whereby employees win from
  success and lose from failure


© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008   Page 11
Driving adoption of work environment 2.0
• Adoption of next-gen work tools is
  slow and often against IT’s will.
• HD two-way video is a key enabler
  of more « trustworthy » commu-
  nication and collaboration but is
      • non-existent in the home
      • too pricey
      • not interoperable enough

• A true « anywhere » work
  experience requires employees to
  access real-time collaborative
  software resources which implies
  a healthy dose of applications in
  the cloud.

• These are both supply and
  demand issues

© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008   Page 12
Accelerating deployment of next generation broadband

• Only FTTH can provide the stability, QoS,
  bandwidth and low latency in the home
  required for systematic business use.

• The deployment of next generation
  broadband in the employment region
  around businesses is a crucial component
  of this business transformation.

• Accelerating this deployment of NGANs
  requires:
      • A proper legislative context for deployment
      • A proper legislative context for local government
        involvement
      • A proper documentation of available duct and
        pole infrastructure
      • Raising citizen awareness
      • Getting players who are to benefit from
        infrastructure around the table




© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008   Page 13
Winners and losers

                 Potential winners                                                                 Potential loosers

  • Building companies                                                                • Oil companies

  • Telcos                                                                            • Car industry

  • System Integrators                                                                • Business real estate
                                                                                        companies
  • Business organisation
    consultancies

  • Equipment vendors

           YOUR CITIZENS

© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development         Sept. 24th, 2008   Page 14
Thank you for your interest!




Benoît FELTEN
bfelten@yankeegroup.com
M: +3 618 243 189



                                                                                                                      Please visit our
                                                                                                                         website:

                                                                                                              www.yankeegroup.com




© Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Connected Urban Development   Sept. 24th, 2008                 Page 15

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Benoit Felten - Next Generation Broadband Enables Vital Business Transformation

  • 1. Next Generation Broadband Enables Vital Business Transformation Benoît Felten Senior Analyst bfelten@yankeegroup.com © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 2. Yankee Group: The Global Connectivity Experts TM The first independent technology research and consulting firm, trusted for nearly 40 years The only firm focused exclusively on the global connectivity revolution Subscription research, forecasts, surveys, tools, inquiry, consulting, events Global in mission, presence, and influence Rigorous methodologies and unique insight © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 2
  • 3. Preliminary comments • This is a vision, not the results of a study • The figures quoted lack consistency and are presented to support a reasoning. • Anyone willing to finance a more in-depth study to support this vision with hard facts is welcome to contact me! © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 3
  • 4. Reducing light-vehicle carbon emissions • « Transport is the second-largest source of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and household vehicle use alone accounts for roughly 16 percent of total U.S. emissions. These emissions have been growing roughly 1.5 percent per year. » (source: www.rff.org) • In the European Union, light vehicle carbon emissions account for 12% of the total EU carbon emissions (source: EU) • Three factors account for light-vehicle Carbon Emissions: • Vehicle use • Fuel economy • Carbon emissions from production and consumption © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 4
  • 5. Analysing some of the planned or implemented measures Bonus/Malus Ecologique Stopping idle car engines • Micro-measures won’t cut it. • Advances in engine technology will help with fuel economy and carbon emissions. • Impact on: • Impact on: • • vehicle use: none fuel economy: none • • vehicle use: none fuel economy: none • Vehicle use is the • Carbon emissions: very limited • Carbon emissions: none highest impacting • Adverse effects: factor. Who will • Adverse effects: • More cars on the roads? • Angry motorists tackle that? © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 5
  • 6. Facts about commuting (UK) • 25 million workers out of 29 in the UK commute daily. 18m. daily car commutes • 71% of workers commute by car, 40bn km driven est. 54% of cars commute any given day. in commutes each year • Average UK commuter 4 bn hours spent makes 160 trips p.a. and commuting by car each year travels 1391 miles (2240 km) in a year. 5.7bn hours spent • Average time of a commuting altogether each year commuting trip (one way) by car is just under 30mn. This is only for the UK! Source: RAC Foundation - The UK Commute: Healthy or hazardous? (2007) http://www.racfoundation.org/files/theukcommute.pdf © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 6
  • 7. A necessary business transformation • The intense commuting required of workers is a result of an industrial age conception of work organisation. • In this conception, « work » is a place more than an activity. Therefore, workers must come to work. • The prevalence of service jobs allows us to imagine a different conception of work organisation: • Service jobs are more likely to be able to be performed remotely: 69% of OECD employment is in Services (Source: OECD, 2004) • 83% broadband coverage on average in OECD countries (Source: OECD, 2005) allows for widescale remote work (in theory) • The opportunity is there to reverse the industrial age paradigm and have work come to workers. • This is the most actionable short to mid-term way of reducing commuting and it has wide-ranging benefits beyond that. © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 7
  • 8. Key benefits to all interested parties BUSINESSES WORKERS NATIONS • Save money on • Save time and • Significantly real estate, money not having reduce carbon company cars and to use cars to get emissions mileage expenses to work as often • Gain productivity • Drive business and efficiency • Preserve more efficiency and harmonious living associated macro- • Gain loyalty from conditions (family economic benefits happier employees life, etc.) • Retain jobs that • Tap into qualified • Lower stress levels tend to be workforce not by working in outsourced in- available outside of quieter and more country through home personal work « homesourcing » • Can boast their environments green-ness © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 8
  • 9. Fact or fantasy ? « Is this the real life, is this just fantasy? » 20th Century Philosopher • The impetus has to come from businesses themselves. If businesses are not willing to play, it won’t happen. • The key driver for businesses is monetary. Test cases are emerging that demonstrate significant savings for organisations that have gone down that path: • BT (own footprint) has implemented widespread flexible and remote working conditions and said it saved ~8500 EUR per employee per year. • IBM has implemented homeworking for 30% of employees and say it generates savings of $100 million p.a. • Other benefits (BT figures): • 80% homeworker satisfaction • Productivity improvement 20% • Absenteeism 3.1% vs. 8.5% national average Source: BT © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 9
  • 10. Hurdles • Business transformation on such scale does not occur overnight. There are important hurdles, essentially of three natures: Business Work Technology Structures Environment • Work organisation has • How do you emulate all • Today’s technologies high inertia the rest: could allow to emulate • social interaction, some of that, but • Financial gains are the • visual contact, solutions need to be key driver for • anecdotal circulation of adopted by businesses businesses but benefits information, and workers. are not well-known • company culture, • document sharing, • IT Resources need to • Employer to employee move to the cloud. relationship is not as • water cooler discussions, etc. « trusting » as • The current generation businesses like to say of networks is a strong limitation : • A boss often thinks his • Bandwidth job is to supervise • Latency • Reliability and stability Redefining the Driving adoption of Accelerating deployment of « social contract » work environment 2.0 next generation broadband © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 10
  • 11. Redefining the social contract « manage • verb 1 be in charge of; run. 2 supervise (staff). 3 administer and regulate (resources). » • The weight of the management relationship is on the shoulder of the business • But just because an employee is not a manager does not mean he’s trustworthy… • The main hurdle facing remote work is the absence of a relation of trust between employer and employee • A redefinition of the work social contract is needed for that relationship to be established. • This requires clearer objectives for employees and managers, and a shift of the manager’s role from superviser to coordinator. • It also requires a contract whereby employees win from success and lose from failure © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 11
  • 12. Driving adoption of work environment 2.0 • Adoption of next-gen work tools is slow and often against IT’s will. • HD two-way video is a key enabler of more « trustworthy » commu- nication and collaboration but is • non-existent in the home • too pricey • not interoperable enough • A true « anywhere » work experience requires employees to access real-time collaborative software resources which implies a healthy dose of applications in the cloud. • These are both supply and demand issues © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 12
  • 13. Accelerating deployment of next generation broadband • Only FTTH can provide the stability, QoS, bandwidth and low latency in the home required for systematic business use. • The deployment of next generation broadband in the employment region around businesses is a crucial component of this business transformation. • Accelerating this deployment of NGANs requires: • A proper legislative context for deployment • A proper legislative context for local government involvement • A proper documentation of available duct and pole infrastructure • Raising citizen awareness • Getting players who are to benefit from infrastructure around the table © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 13
  • 14. Winners and losers Potential winners Potential loosers • Building companies • Oil companies • Telcos • Car industry • System Integrators • Business real estate companies • Business organisation consultancies • Equipment vendors YOUR CITIZENS © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 14
  • 15. Thank you for your interest! Benoît FELTEN bfelten@yankeegroup.com M: +3 618 243 189 Please visit our website: www.yankeegroup.com © Copyright 2007. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Connected Urban Development Sept. 24th, 2008 Page 15