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THE PAST, PRESENT
AND FUTURE OF
ADVERTISING
FOLLOW ME! LINKEDIN.COM/IN/BENFOX, @BENFOXGO
2005
2013
1900
0
$70B
SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES
201220001960
(Inflation
unadjusted)
$30B
198019401920
US NEWSPAPER
AD SPEND 1704-2012
303 YEARS
NEWSPAPER
1900
0
2012
(Inflation
unadjusted)
US RADIO
AD SPEND 1922-2012
RADIO
90 YEARS
20001960 198019401920
SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES
NEWSPAPER
$70B
$30B
1900
0
2012
(Inflation
unadjusted)
US TV
AD SPEND 1945-2012
RADIO
TV
68 YEARS
20001960 198019401920
SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES
NEWSPAPER
$70B
$30B
1900
0
SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES
20131993
(Inflation
unadjusted)
US DIGITAL
AD SPEND 1993-2013 ~36.5 B
RADIO
20 YEARS
1960 198019401920 2000
$70B
$30B
TV
NEWSPAPER
IN 2003, WHEN YAHOO
BOUGHT OVERTURE,
WE SPENT ALL OUR
TIME EXPLAINING
“SEARCH ADVERTISING”
(And don’t say “Algorithmic
Search Results”)
1993:THE FIRST BANNER AD
ATT on HOTWIRED.COM CTR 78%!
ONLINE AD MEETINGS WITH CMO’s IN 2003
“Does this mean
advertising on
those AOL Disks?”
– Automotive CMO
Objection #1:
ONLINE AD MEETINGS WITH CMO’s IN 2003
“Does this mean
advertising on
those AOL Disks?”
– Automotive CMO
Objection #1:
“Why do I need to spend money
online? I don’t even have
the internet at my house!”
– Fortune 500 CEO
Objection #2:
ONLINE AD MEETINGS WITH CMO’s IN 2003
“Does this mean
advertising on
those AOL Disks?”
– Automotive CMO
Objection #1:
“Why do I need to spend money
online? I don’t even have
the internet at my house!”
– Fortune 500 CEO
Objection #2:
Well how have you been
replying to my emails?
Follow up:
“Oh that’s my secretary reading
them to me and replying
back to you!”
ONLINE AD MEETINGS WITH CMO’s IN 2003
“Does this mean
advertising on
those AOL Disks?”
– Automotive CMO
Objection #1:
“Why do I need to spend money
online? I don’t even have
the internet at my house!”
– Fortune 500 CEO
Objection #2:
Well how have you been
replying to my emails?
Follow up:
$7B
2003 ENTIRE US ONLINE
ADVERTISING SPEND
2013 DISPLAY: $8B!
$7B
2003 ENTIRE US ONLINE
ADVERTISING SPEND
$46B
2013 ENTIRE US ONLINE
ADVERTISING SPEND
2013 DISPLAY: $8B!
$7B
2003 ENTIRE US ONLINE
ADVERTISING SPEND
IN THE NEXT 10 YEARS
HAVE ONE OF THE
BIGGEST OPPORTUNITIES
OF THE LAST 100 YEARS
AVERAGE
AGE OF AGENCY
EMPLOYEE:
28!
NEWS INVENTORY,
SOCIAL INVENTORY
SMART PHONE ADS
ON PANDORA
CTV SAMSUNG
INVENTORY
CTV EXCLUSIVE,
NETBLOCKS
EMAIL
NEWSPAPER
RADIO
TV
BILLBOARDS
DIRECT MAIL
WHAT DO
YOU DO NEXT?
HERE’S THE PLAYBOOK
FOCUS ON CONSUMER STATE
DISRUPTION DRIVES EVOLUTION
THE 1:1 MARKETING CONVERGENCE
1
2
3
FOCUS ON THE CONSUMER STATE!
1
1 THE CONSUMER STATE AT HOME IS SIMULTANEOUS!
TOP ACTIVITIES PERFORMED DURING
SIMULTANEOUS SCREEN USAGE
BASE: MULTI-SCREEN OCCASIONS (4486) Q: Which Activities did you do on your [DEVICE]
SOURCE: GOOGLE .COM “THE NEW MULTI-SCREEN WORLD: UNDERSTANDING CROSS-PLATFORM CONSUMER BEHAVIOR.” 2012
TOP ACTIVITIES PERFORMED DURING
SIMULTANEOUS SCREEN USAGE
BASE: MULTI-SCREEN OCCASIONS (4486) Q: Which Activities did you do on your [DEVICE]
SOURCE: GOOGLE .COM “THE NEW MULTI-SCREEN WORLD: UNDERSTANDING CROSS-PLATFORM CONSUMER BEHAVIOR.” 2012
THE TOP STATES FOR USERS
ON MULTI-SCREEN ARE
EMAIL, WEB BROWSING
& SOCIAL!
HOW MANY TV PLANNERS
ARE IN THE ROOM?
HOW MANY TV PLANNERS HAVE
PUT EMAIL & TV
ON A SINGLE IO?
MOBILE IS A TECHNOLOGY FEATURE,
NOT AN ADVERTISING SILO.
“Mobile” is actually
an at home device!
Second only to time
spent on TV
Source: Edwin Wong, Senior Director,
B2B of Strategic Insights, Yahoo!
EMAIL & SOCIAL DOMINATE THE MOBILE STATE
Source: Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in
Journalism in collaboration with The Economist Group
Source: ExactTarget channel study 2012
DOES ANYONE KNOW WHAT THIS IS?
ADVERTISING
CHARACTERISTICS:
AFFLUENT EARLY ADOPTERS
SAFE BRAND ENVIRONMENT
HOME PAGE IS DEFAULT
HIGHLY ENGAGED AUDIENCE
ACTIVE USAGE
THIS IS A SAMSUNG SMART TV
THIS IS A SAMSUNG SMART TV
THIS IS A SAMSUNG SMART TV
THIS IS A SAMSUNG SMART TV
THE FUNDAMENTAL SHIFT TO SMART TV IS WELL UNDERWAY
18% of US Homes currently
own a Smart TV
33% of US Homes will have a
Smart TV in 2015
By 2015, 77MM Smart TV’s
will be shipped globally
– Morgan Stanley
– Forrester
– IHS
HOURS
PER DAY
AVERAGE 25-34 Y.O. CONSUMER
5 LIVE, DVR+3
$70B
WATCHING
TRADITIONAL
TV / DVR+3
SOCIALSEARCH
“TV” AD PLANNING MIGHT LOOK
VERY DIFFERENT IN THE FUTURE!
EMAIL
$42B
$14B
$14B BROWSE
1
1HOUR
HOURS
HOUR
3
THE BEST AD
PLANNERS IN
THE WORLD MAP
CONSUMER
STATE
THEIR ADVERTISING TO THE
DISRUPTION DRIVES
EVOLUTION
2
DEVICE ADVERTISINGDEVICE ADVERTISING
CONTENT &
DISTRIBUTION
DEVICE ADVERTISINGDEVICE ADVERTISING
CONTENT &
DISTRIBUTION
CONTENT &
DISTRIBUTION ADVERTISINGDEVICE
CROSS CHANNEL PLATFORM
AN ADVERTISING ECOSYSTEM
LOCKED IN SILOS BY DISTRIBUTION IS NOW OPEN!
DISRUPTION WILL DRIVE AGENCY EVOLUTION
Monthly Planning Cycles
All Media GRP
Agency Performance Fee
Guaranteed Performance
Sales revenue share
NEXT
Fractional Attribution
Interactive, User Selected, Single user
targeted
$+
12-24 Month Planning Cycles
No Online GRP
Agency Flat Fee
NOW
Last View/Click Attribution
22 mins Contact/8 mins ads/30
Second Interruption Spot
$
ORGANIZATION
Be an integrated agency even if your client isn’t
AGENCY EVOLUTION ROADMAP
HIRING DNA
The math major, not the marketing major, becomes the new must hire
DYNAMICALLY APPROVED CREATIVES
Let algorithms dynamically create, test, and recommend millions of creatives for you
DATA INTEGRATION
Deep integration with your clients’ sales data
TECHNOLOGY & VENDOR LEADERSHIP
Focus on data integration, analytics, reporting and optimization. Master delivery through long
term vendor partnerships
THE 1:1 MARKETING
CONVERGENCE
3
CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
1900
0
SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES
20131993
(Inflation
unadjusted)
ALL CURRENT US
AD SPEND
$160 Billion 2012
RADIO
1960 198019401920 2000
$70B
$30B
TV
NEWSPAPER
DIGITAL
THE DEATH OF
“TV”, “RADIO”, “OUTDOOR”, ETC.
IS NOT GOING TO HAPPEN!
THEY ALL EVOLVE!
2013
$
2023
RADIO
NEWS
PAPER
TV
LAST
PRINTED
Page
AM/FM
AUDIO
FTP/ CABLE
STREAMING AUDIO
DIGITAL PRINT
LTE/FIBER
$200B
2013
$200B
2023
ADVERTISING EVOLVES INTO A DIGITAL SINGULARITY
PRAGMATIC PLANNING
THE NEAR FUTURE
MEDIA PLAN:
DEVICE AGNOSTIC
CONSUMER STATE
DEVICE AGNOSTIC
CONSUMER STATE
MEASURING ACROSS MEDIA TYPES
USING ALGORITHMIC CREATIVES
THROUGH CENTRALIZED DELIVERY
USING AN ALL MEDIA GRPs
WITH TRUE FRACTIONAL ATTRIBUTION
TARGETING ALL AUDIENCES OR A SINGLE PERSON
DIRECTLY INTEGRATED TO YOUR ADVERTISERS’
SALES DATA WAREHOUSE AND CRM
WHILE OPTIMIZING AGAINST DAILY POINT OF SALE RESULTS
BILLIONS OF EXCHANGE BIDS
WHILE BACKING OUT AGAINST A TOTAL LIFETIME CUSTOMER VALUE METRIC
COLLECTING YOUR AGENCY FEE AS A SALES BASED REVENUE SHARE
In real time.
THE ADCONION MARKETPLACE
77OF TOP
100ADVERTISERS
1.1 BILLION
VIDEO AND
DISPLAY
STREAMS, OF
WHICH 65% ARE
EXCLUSIVE
REVENUE SPLIT
50%
AGENCY
5,000+
TOP-TIER
INVENTORY
PARTNERS
INTEGRATED
TECH STACK
BIG DATA PREDICTIVE
MODELING
PROPRIETARY
RTB
AUDIENCE 360
ANALYTICS
DEVICE MANUFACTURERSAPP DEVELOPERSCONTENT OWNERS
CROSS-CHANNEL, CROSS-DEVICE
DISPLAY MOBILE SOCIAL CTV
700MM
UNIQUES PER
MONTH
50%
DIRECT
CLIENT
40 BILLION
EVENTS PER MONTH
2.7 BILLION
BID REQUESTS
PER DAY
3 GLOBAL
CO-LOCATION
FACILITIES ON
CONTINENTS
3
ADCONION TARGETING PLATFORM
OUR SUPPLY
OUR DEMAND
2005
2013
2023
2023
2023
2023
THE NEXT 10 YEARS
IS YOUR TIME.
ARE YOU READY!?
FOLLOW ME!:
linkedin.com/in/benfox
@benfoxgo
CONTACT ADCONION DIRECT AT:
s a l e s @ a d c o n i o n d i r e c t . c o m

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Ben Fox Discusses the Past, Present and Future of Advertising

  • 1. THE PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE OF ADVERTISING FOLLOW ME! LINKEDIN.COM/IN/BENFOX, @BENFOXGO
  • 3. 1900 0 $70B SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES 201220001960 (Inflation unadjusted) $30B 198019401920 US NEWSPAPER AD SPEND 1704-2012 303 YEARS NEWSPAPER
  • 4. 1900 0 2012 (Inflation unadjusted) US RADIO AD SPEND 1922-2012 RADIO 90 YEARS 20001960 198019401920 SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES NEWSPAPER $70B $30B
  • 5. 1900 0 2012 (Inflation unadjusted) US TV AD SPEND 1945-2012 RADIO TV 68 YEARS 20001960 198019401920 SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES NEWSPAPER $70B $30B
  • 6. 1900 0 SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES 20131993 (Inflation unadjusted) US DIGITAL AD SPEND 1993-2013 ~36.5 B RADIO 20 YEARS 1960 198019401920 2000 $70B $30B TV NEWSPAPER
  • 7. IN 2003, WHEN YAHOO BOUGHT OVERTURE, WE SPENT ALL OUR TIME EXPLAINING “SEARCH ADVERTISING” (And don’t say “Algorithmic Search Results”) 1993:THE FIRST BANNER AD ATT on HOTWIRED.COM CTR 78%!
  • 8. ONLINE AD MEETINGS WITH CMO’s IN 2003 “Does this mean advertising on those AOL Disks?” – Automotive CMO Objection #1:
  • 9. ONLINE AD MEETINGS WITH CMO’s IN 2003 “Does this mean advertising on those AOL Disks?” – Automotive CMO Objection #1: “Why do I need to spend money online? I don’t even have the internet at my house!” – Fortune 500 CEO Objection #2:
  • 10. ONLINE AD MEETINGS WITH CMO’s IN 2003 “Does this mean advertising on those AOL Disks?” – Automotive CMO Objection #1: “Why do I need to spend money online? I don’t even have the internet at my house!” – Fortune 500 CEO Objection #2: Well how have you been replying to my emails? Follow up:
  • 11. “Oh that’s my secretary reading them to me and replying back to you!” ONLINE AD MEETINGS WITH CMO’s IN 2003 “Does this mean advertising on those AOL Disks?” – Automotive CMO Objection #1: “Why do I need to spend money online? I don’t even have the internet at my house!” – Fortune 500 CEO Objection #2: Well how have you been replying to my emails? Follow up:
  • 12. $7B 2003 ENTIRE US ONLINE ADVERTISING SPEND
  • 13. 2013 DISPLAY: $8B! $7B 2003 ENTIRE US ONLINE ADVERTISING SPEND
  • 14. $46B 2013 ENTIRE US ONLINE ADVERTISING SPEND 2013 DISPLAY: $8B! $7B 2003 ENTIRE US ONLINE ADVERTISING SPEND
  • 15. IN THE NEXT 10 YEARS HAVE ONE OF THE BIGGEST OPPORTUNITIES OF THE LAST 100 YEARS AVERAGE AGE OF AGENCY EMPLOYEE: 28!
  • 16. NEWS INVENTORY, SOCIAL INVENTORY SMART PHONE ADS ON PANDORA CTV SAMSUNG INVENTORY CTV EXCLUSIVE, NETBLOCKS EMAIL NEWSPAPER RADIO TV BILLBOARDS DIRECT MAIL
  • 17. WHAT DO YOU DO NEXT?
  • 18. HERE’S THE PLAYBOOK FOCUS ON CONSUMER STATE DISRUPTION DRIVES EVOLUTION THE 1:1 MARKETING CONVERGENCE 1 2 3
  • 19. FOCUS ON THE CONSUMER STATE! 1
  • 20. 1 THE CONSUMER STATE AT HOME IS SIMULTANEOUS!
  • 21. TOP ACTIVITIES PERFORMED DURING SIMULTANEOUS SCREEN USAGE BASE: MULTI-SCREEN OCCASIONS (4486) Q: Which Activities did you do on your [DEVICE] SOURCE: GOOGLE .COM “THE NEW MULTI-SCREEN WORLD: UNDERSTANDING CROSS-PLATFORM CONSUMER BEHAVIOR.” 2012
  • 22. TOP ACTIVITIES PERFORMED DURING SIMULTANEOUS SCREEN USAGE BASE: MULTI-SCREEN OCCASIONS (4486) Q: Which Activities did you do on your [DEVICE] SOURCE: GOOGLE .COM “THE NEW MULTI-SCREEN WORLD: UNDERSTANDING CROSS-PLATFORM CONSUMER BEHAVIOR.” 2012 THE TOP STATES FOR USERS ON MULTI-SCREEN ARE EMAIL, WEB BROWSING & SOCIAL!
  • 23. HOW MANY TV PLANNERS ARE IN THE ROOM?
  • 24. HOW MANY TV PLANNERS HAVE PUT EMAIL & TV ON A SINGLE IO?
  • 25. MOBILE IS A TECHNOLOGY FEATURE, NOT AN ADVERTISING SILO. “Mobile” is actually an at home device! Second only to time spent on TV
  • 26. Source: Edwin Wong, Senior Director, B2B of Strategic Insights, Yahoo! EMAIL & SOCIAL DOMINATE THE MOBILE STATE Source: Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism in collaboration with The Economist Group Source: ExactTarget channel study 2012
  • 27. DOES ANYONE KNOW WHAT THIS IS? ADVERTISING CHARACTERISTICS: AFFLUENT EARLY ADOPTERS SAFE BRAND ENVIRONMENT HOME PAGE IS DEFAULT HIGHLY ENGAGED AUDIENCE ACTIVE USAGE
  • 28. THIS IS A SAMSUNG SMART TV
  • 29. THIS IS A SAMSUNG SMART TV
  • 30. THIS IS A SAMSUNG SMART TV
  • 31. THIS IS A SAMSUNG SMART TV
  • 32. THE FUNDAMENTAL SHIFT TO SMART TV IS WELL UNDERWAY 18% of US Homes currently own a Smart TV 33% of US Homes will have a Smart TV in 2015 By 2015, 77MM Smart TV’s will be shipped globally – Morgan Stanley – Forrester – IHS
  • 33. HOURS PER DAY AVERAGE 25-34 Y.O. CONSUMER 5 LIVE, DVR+3 $70B
  • 34. WATCHING TRADITIONAL TV / DVR+3 SOCIALSEARCH “TV” AD PLANNING MIGHT LOOK VERY DIFFERENT IN THE FUTURE! EMAIL $42B $14B $14B BROWSE 1 1HOUR HOURS HOUR 3
  • 35. THE BEST AD PLANNERS IN THE WORLD MAP CONSUMER STATE THEIR ADVERTISING TO THE
  • 40. AN ADVERTISING ECOSYSTEM LOCKED IN SILOS BY DISTRIBUTION IS NOW OPEN!
  • 41. DISRUPTION WILL DRIVE AGENCY EVOLUTION Monthly Planning Cycles All Media GRP Agency Performance Fee Guaranteed Performance Sales revenue share NEXT Fractional Attribution Interactive, User Selected, Single user targeted $+ 12-24 Month Planning Cycles No Online GRP Agency Flat Fee NOW Last View/Click Attribution 22 mins Contact/8 mins ads/30 Second Interruption Spot $
  • 42. ORGANIZATION Be an integrated agency even if your client isn’t AGENCY EVOLUTION ROADMAP HIRING DNA The math major, not the marketing major, becomes the new must hire DYNAMICALLY APPROVED CREATIVES Let algorithms dynamically create, test, and recommend millions of creatives for you DATA INTEGRATION Deep integration with your clients’ sales data TECHNOLOGY & VENDOR LEADERSHIP Focus on data integration, analytics, reporting and optimization. Master delivery through long term vendor partnerships
  • 44. CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
  • 45. CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
  • 46. CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
  • 47. CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
  • 48. CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
  • 49. CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
  • 50. CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
  • 51. CONSUMERS ARE LIVING IN A REAL-TIME WORLD!
  • 52. 1900 0 SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER, PURPLE MOTES 20131993 (Inflation unadjusted) ALL CURRENT US AD SPEND $160 Billion 2012 RADIO 1960 198019401920 2000 $70B $30B TV NEWSPAPER DIGITAL
  • 53. THE DEATH OF “TV”, “RADIO”, “OUTDOOR”, ETC. IS NOT GOING TO HAPPEN! THEY ALL EVOLVE! 2013 $ 2023 RADIO NEWS PAPER TV LAST PRINTED Page AM/FM AUDIO FTP/ CABLE
  • 55. PRAGMATIC PLANNING THE NEAR FUTURE MEDIA PLAN:
  • 57. DEVICE AGNOSTIC CONSUMER STATE MEASURING ACROSS MEDIA TYPES USING ALGORITHMIC CREATIVES THROUGH CENTRALIZED DELIVERY USING AN ALL MEDIA GRPs
  • 58. WITH TRUE FRACTIONAL ATTRIBUTION TARGETING ALL AUDIENCES OR A SINGLE PERSON DIRECTLY INTEGRATED TO YOUR ADVERTISERS’ SALES DATA WAREHOUSE AND CRM WHILE OPTIMIZING AGAINST DAILY POINT OF SALE RESULTS BILLIONS OF EXCHANGE BIDS WHILE BACKING OUT AGAINST A TOTAL LIFETIME CUSTOMER VALUE METRIC COLLECTING YOUR AGENCY FEE AS A SALES BASED REVENUE SHARE
  • 60. THE ADCONION MARKETPLACE 77OF TOP 100ADVERTISERS 1.1 BILLION VIDEO AND DISPLAY STREAMS, OF WHICH 65% ARE EXCLUSIVE REVENUE SPLIT 50% AGENCY 5,000+ TOP-TIER INVENTORY PARTNERS INTEGRATED TECH STACK BIG DATA PREDICTIVE MODELING PROPRIETARY RTB AUDIENCE 360 ANALYTICS DEVICE MANUFACTURERSAPP DEVELOPERSCONTENT OWNERS CROSS-CHANNEL, CROSS-DEVICE DISPLAY MOBILE SOCIAL CTV 700MM UNIQUES PER MONTH 50% DIRECT CLIENT 40 BILLION EVENTS PER MONTH 2.7 BILLION BID REQUESTS PER DAY 3 GLOBAL CO-LOCATION FACILITIES ON CONTINENTS 3 ADCONION TARGETING PLATFORM OUR SUPPLY OUR DEMAND
  • 62. 2023
  • 63. 2023
  • 64. 2023
  • 65. 2023
  • 66. THE NEXT 10 YEARS IS YOUR TIME. ARE YOU READY!?
  • 67. FOLLOW ME!: linkedin.com/in/benfox @benfoxgo CONTACT ADCONION DIRECT AT: s a l e s @ a d c o n i o n d i r e c t . c o m

Editor's Notes

  1. First radio ad – WEAF New York, for an Apartment Building in Queens, 10 minutes for 50$
  2. First radio ad – WEAF New York, for an Apartment Building in Queens, 10 minutes for 50$
  3. First radio ad – WEAF New York, for an Apartment Building in Queens, 10 minutes for 50$
  4. What are they doing when using other screens?Emailing, Web Browsing and Social networking funnily search was a distance 5th… they are multi-taskingConsumers engagement is on the 2nd and 3rd screen, brands need to be here in order to capture engagement
  5. What are they doing when using other screens?Emailing, Web Browsing and Social networking funnily search was a distance 5th… they are multi-taskingConsumers engagement is on the 2nd and 3rd screen, brands need to be here in order to capture engagement