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Avoiding Flawed Logic
Induction…
Starts by examining particulars and arriving
at a generalization that represents
probability.
Whenever we observe something around us
and then draw a conclusion about this, we
are engaging in inductive reasoning.
We should always ask three
questions of an inductive argument:
1. Is the evidence sufficient?
2. Is it representative?
3. Is it up-to-date?
Inductive Leap
When you jump from the observations
you’ve made or the examples you’ve
found and reason that the same is true of
other things…
This reasoning is not necessarily faulty, but
you have to be careful not to commit the
fallacy of Hasty Generalization.
Difference between sound inductive
reasoning and
Hasty Generalization:
• An inference from a sample of a group to
a whole group is legitimate only if the
sample is representative —that is, only if
the sample is sufficiently large and every
member of the group has an equal chance
to be a part of the sample.
A Deductive Argument:
• Is intended to provide conclusive support
for its conclusion.
• If it succeeds in providing conclusive
support it is valid.
• If it fails to support its conclusion, it is
invalid.
Valid Deductive Arguments:
• If the premises are true, then the conclusion
MUST be true.
• It is impossible for a deductively valid argument
to have true premises and a false conclusion.
• Thus, we must distinguish whether or not the
premises are indeed true, since just because an
argument is in valid form does not necessarily
mean the conclusion is true; if the premises are
false, then the conclusion may also be false.
Example of a valid deductive
argument that is false:
Major premise: If you have scars on your
body, then you have been abducted by
space aliens.
Minor premise: You obviously do have scars
on your body.
Conclusion: Therefore, you have been
abducted by space aliens.
(This argument is valid, but it is not sound).
Example of a valid and sound
deductive argument:
All minors are under the age of eighteen.
My son is under the age of eighteen.
Therefore, my son is a minor.
Consider the following
deductive argument…
Penelope claims that all her test scores have been good, and so
her course grade should be good, too.
We can express this argument as a syllogism:
All those who receive good test scores receive good
course grades.
Penelope’s received good test scores.
Therefore, Penelope gets a good course grade.
Is it valid? Is it sound?
When a premise is omitted…
• Some deductive arguments might seem
confusing or misleading because they are
missing a premise (usually the major
premise).
• We need to evaluate the truth of the
unexpressed premise in order to decide if
the logic is truly sound. (This is similar to
examining the implicit warrants in an
argument).
Enthymemes…
• Results when only two parts of the
syllogism appear.
• Thus, if a deductive argument is missing
a premise (if it is implied but not explicitly
stated) then the resulting syllogism is
called an enthymeme.
Example of an enthymeme:
Susan studies rhetoric, so I know she
speaks eloquently.
What is left out here is the major premise
that all those who study rhetoric speak
eloquently.
Another enthymeme…
The gun has the defendant's fingerprints on
the trigger. He is clearly guilty!
What is missing here, is the major premise
that links the gun to the crime, such as it
being found next to the murdered person's
body or that bullets from the body match
the gun.
What could go wrong with this
enthymeme?
"If you have been healed or saved or blessed
through TBN and have not contributed . . .
you are robbing God and will lose your
reward in heaven."
(Paul Crouch, co-founder of the Trinity Broadcasting Network, quoted
by William Lobdell, The Week, August 10, 2007)
What’s the missing premise?
It's morally wrong to treat human beings as
mere objects.
So, genetically engineering human beings is
morally wrong.
And these?
"Hungry? Grab a Snickers."
(advertising slogan for Snickers chocolate bar)
"One of the Soviet Georgia's senior citizens
thought Dannon was an excellent yogurt.
She ought to know. She's been eating
yogurt for 137 years."
(1970s television advertisement for Dannon Yogurt)
Missing premise?
"I wanted to serve as President because
I love this country and because I love
the people of this Nation."
(Jimmy Carter, 1980 Concession Address)
Final thoughts on enthymemes…
When a part of the argument is missing, it is assumed
not only to be true, but so obvious that it is not worth
including.
This makes it very difficult to challenge, as questioning the
obvious is an admission of ignorance, which puts
oneself lower down the social order and opens oneself
to attack.
It also uses and 'out of sight, out of mind' principle: when
the unsafe part of the argument is missed out, then
people may not realize that it has been omitted.
Advertisers and politicians thus make great use of
enthymemes (as we’ve seen in some of the previous
examples).
Let’s take apart some
arguments and find some
fallacies…
It’s way better than fast food.
It’s Wendy’s.
The Earth has air, water, and
living organisms.
Mars has air and water.
Therefore Mars has living
organisms.
Ever since I started wearing these crystals
around my neck I haven’t caught a cold.
I bought some crystals for all my family
members so that they will also stay
healthy.
The following appeared in a letter from the principal of Allentown High School
to the teachers in the school:
Backusville High School instituted a policy last year
requiring all of its students to arrive at school half an
hour early to finish all their homework before
attending classes. Since the inception of this policy,
15 percent more students have enrolled at
Backusville. The Board of Education reminds us that
the more students we have enrolled at Allentown
High School, the more federal funding we receive, so
it’s clear to improve the quality of education for all
Allentown students we need to institute an early-
attendance policy similar to the one that Backusville
has instituted.
Claim (Conclusion):
Support (Premises):
Warrant (Assumptions):
Possible fallacies?
Name that fallacy…
Q: Now, the United States government says that you are still funding military training
camps here in Afghanistan for militant, Islamic fighters and that you're a sponsor of
international terrorism... Are these accusations true?
Osama Bin Laden: ...At the time that they condemn any Muslim who
calls for his right, they receive the highest top official of the Irish
Republican Army at the White House as a political leader, while
woe, all woe is the Muslims if they cry out for their rights. Wherever
we look, we find the US as the leader of terrorism and crime in the
world. The US does not consider it a terrorist act to throw atomic
bombs at nations thousands of miles away, when it would not be
possible for those bombs to hit military troops only. These bombs
were rather thrown at entire nations, including women, children and
elderly people and up to this day the traces of those bombs remain
in Japan. The US does not consider it terrorism when hundreds of
thousands of our sons and brothers in Iraq died for lack of food or
medicine. So, there is no base for what the US says and this saying
does not affect us...
Source: "CNN March 1997 Interview with Osama bin Laden"
• Tu Quoque (two wrongs make a right) is a very
common fallacy in which one attempts to defend
oneself or another from criticism by turning the
critique back against the accuser.
• This is a classic Red Herring since whether the
accuser is guilty of the same, or a similar, wrong
is irrelevant to the truth of the original charge.
However, as a diversionary tactic, Tu Quoque
can be very effective, since the accuser is put on
the defensive, and frequently feels compelled to
defend against the accusation.
Some of you may have seen the 90-minute ABC network television show…
entitled "Growing Up in the Age of AIDS".… I was one of nine guests on
that live program.… …[A] single 45-second sound bite cost me a long
journey and two hectic days in New York City.
Why…did I travel to The Big Apple for such an insignificant role? …I felt a
responsibility to express the abstinence position on national television.…
How sad that adolescents hear only the dangerous "safe sex" message from
adults who should know better.
What follows, then, is what I would have said on television.…
Q: Why, apart from moral considerations, do you think teenagers should be taught to
abstain from sex until marriage?
…[N]ot one of 800 sexologists at a recent conference raised
a hand when asked if they would trust a thin rubber
sheath to protect them during intercourse with a known
HIV infected person. … And yet they're perfectly willing
to tell our kids that "safe sex" is within reach and that
they can sleep around with impunity.
Source: James C. Dobson, in a fund-raising letter for "Focus on the Family", February 13, 1992.

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Avoiding flawed logic

  • 2. Induction… Starts by examining particulars and arriving at a generalization that represents probability. Whenever we observe something around us and then draw a conclusion about this, we are engaging in inductive reasoning.
  • 3. We should always ask three questions of an inductive argument: 1. Is the evidence sufficient? 2. Is it representative? 3. Is it up-to-date?
  • 4. Inductive Leap When you jump from the observations you’ve made or the examples you’ve found and reason that the same is true of other things… This reasoning is not necessarily faulty, but you have to be careful not to commit the fallacy of Hasty Generalization.
  • 5. Difference between sound inductive reasoning and Hasty Generalization: • An inference from a sample of a group to a whole group is legitimate only if the sample is representative —that is, only if the sample is sufficiently large and every member of the group has an equal chance to be a part of the sample.
  • 6. A Deductive Argument: • Is intended to provide conclusive support for its conclusion. • If it succeeds in providing conclusive support it is valid. • If it fails to support its conclusion, it is invalid.
  • 7. Valid Deductive Arguments: • If the premises are true, then the conclusion MUST be true. • It is impossible for a deductively valid argument to have true premises and a false conclusion. • Thus, we must distinguish whether or not the premises are indeed true, since just because an argument is in valid form does not necessarily mean the conclusion is true; if the premises are false, then the conclusion may also be false.
  • 8. Example of a valid deductive argument that is false: Major premise: If you have scars on your body, then you have been abducted by space aliens. Minor premise: You obviously do have scars on your body. Conclusion: Therefore, you have been abducted by space aliens. (This argument is valid, but it is not sound).
  • 9. Example of a valid and sound deductive argument: All minors are under the age of eighteen. My son is under the age of eighteen. Therefore, my son is a minor.
  • 10. Consider the following deductive argument… Penelope claims that all her test scores have been good, and so her course grade should be good, too. We can express this argument as a syllogism: All those who receive good test scores receive good course grades. Penelope’s received good test scores. Therefore, Penelope gets a good course grade. Is it valid? Is it sound?
  • 11. When a premise is omitted… • Some deductive arguments might seem confusing or misleading because they are missing a premise (usually the major premise). • We need to evaluate the truth of the unexpressed premise in order to decide if the logic is truly sound. (This is similar to examining the implicit warrants in an argument).
  • 12. Enthymemes… • Results when only two parts of the syllogism appear. • Thus, if a deductive argument is missing a premise (if it is implied but not explicitly stated) then the resulting syllogism is called an enthymeme.
  • 13. Example of an enthymeme: Susan studies rhetoric, so I know she speaks eloquently. What is left out here is the major premise that all those who study rhetoric speak eloquently.
  • 14. Another enthymeme… The gun has the defendant's fingerprints on the trigger. He is clearly guilty! What is missing here, is the major premise that links the gun to the crime, such as it being found next to the murdered person's body or that bullets from the body match the gun.
  • 15. What could go wrong with this enthymeme? "If you have been healed or saved or blessed through TBN and have not contributed . . . you are robbing God and will lose your reward in heaven." (Paul Crouch, co-founder of the Trinity Broadcasting Network, quoted by William Lobdell, The Week, August 10, 2007)
  • 16. What’s the missing premise? It's morally wrong to treat human beings as mere objects. So, genetically engineering human beings is morally wrong.
  • 17. And these? "Hungry? Grab a Snickers." (advertising slogan for Snickers chocolate bar) "One of the Soviet Georgia's senior citizens thought Dannon was an excellent yogurt. She ought to know. She's been eating yogurt for 137 years." (1970s television advertisement for Dannon Yogurt)
  • 18. Missing premise? "I wanted to serve as President because I love this country and because I love the people of this Nation." (Jimmy Carter, 1980 Concession Address)
  • 19. Final thoughts on enthymemes… When a part of the argument is missing, it is assumed not only to be true, but so obvious that it is not worth including. This makes it very difficult to challenge, as questioning the obvious is an admission of ignorance, which puts oneself lower down the social order and opens oneself to attack. It also uses and 'out of sight, out of mind' principle: when the unsafe part of the argument is missed out, then people may not realize that it has been omitted. Advertisers and politicians thus make great use of enthymemes (as we’ve seen in some of the previous examples).
  • 20. Let’s take apart some arguments and find some fallacies…
  • 21. It’s way better than fast food. It’s Wendy’s.
  • 22. The Earth has air, water, and living organisms. Mars has air and water. Therefore Mars has living organisms.
  • 23. Ever since I started wearing these crystals around my neck I haven’t caught a cold. I bought some crystals for all my family members so that they will also stay healthy.
  • 24. The following appeared in a letter from the principal of Allentown High School to the teachers in the school: Backusville High School instituted a policy last year requiring all of its students to arrive at school half an hour early to finish all their homework before attending classes. Since the inception of this policy, 15 percent more students have enrolled at Backusville. The Board of Education reminds us that the more students we have enrolled at Allentown High School, the more federal funding we receive, so it’s clear to improve the quality of education for all Allentown students we need to institute an early- attendance policy similar to the one that Backusville has instituted. Claim (Conclusion): Support (Premises): Warrant (Assumptions): Possible fallacies?
  • 25. Name that fallacy… Q: Now, the United States government says that you are still funding military training camps here in Afghanistan for militant, Islamic fighters and that you're a sponsor of international terrorism... Are these accusations true? Osama Bin Laden: ...At the time that they condemn any Muslim who calls for his right, they receive the highest top official of the Irish Republican Army at the White House as a political leader, while woe, all woe is the Muslims if they cry out for their rights. Wherever we look, we find the US as the leader of terrorism and crime in the world. The US does not consider it a terrorist act to throw atomic bombs at nations thousands of miles away, when it would not be possible for those bombs to hit military troops only. These bombs were rather thrown at entire nations, including women, children and elderly people and up to this day the traces of those bombs remain in Japan. The US does not consider it terrorism when hundreds of thousands of our sons and brothers in Iraq died for lack of food or medicine. So, there is no base for what the US says and this saying does not affect us... Source: "CNN March 1997 Interview with Osama bin Laden"
  • 26. • Tu Quoque (two wrongs make a right) is a very common fallacy in which one attempts to defend oneself or another from criticism by turning the critique back against the accuser. • This is a classic Red Herring since whether the accuser is guilty of the same, or a similar, wrong is irrelevant to the truth of the original charge. However, as a diversionary tactic, Tu Quoque can be very effective, since the accuser is put on the defensive, and frequently feels compelled to defend against the accusation.
  • 27. Some of you may have seen the 90-minute ABC network television show… entitled "Growing Up in the Age of AIDS".… I was one of nine guests on that live program.… …[A] single 45-second sound bite cost me a long journey and two hectic days in New York City. Why…did I travel to The Big Apple for such an insignificant role? …I felt a responsibility to express the abstinence position on national television.… How sad that adolescents hear only the dangerous "safe sex" message from adults who should know better. What follows, then, is what I would have said on television.… Q: Why, apart from moral considerations, do you think teenagers should be taught to abstain from sex until marriage? …[N]ot one of 800 sexologists at a recent conference raised a hand when asked if they would trust a thin rubber sheath to protect them during intercourse with a known HIV infected person. … And yet they're perfectly willing to tell our kids that "safe sex" is within reach and that they can sleep around with impunity. Source: James C. Dobson, in a fund-raising letter for "Focus on the Family", February 13, 1992.