Geoscience Australia is working with Papua New Guinea to develop earthquake scenarios and a national seismic hazard map using open-source GEM tools. Under an agreement with DFAT, Geoscience Australia is strengthening Papua New Guinea's capacity to create earthquake scenarios and develop the first national seismic hazard map. The seismic hazard assessment uses a source model with 24 area sources, 2 complex faults, 53,186 point sources, and 4 tectonic regimes. Probabilistic seismic hazard maps of PNG were created using the OpenQuake engine and 11 ground motion prediction equations.
The talk will be divided into two parts. The first one is about geospatial open data and several Copernicus services where those data can be downloaded. The second one is about Forest and Climate project, as an example of geospatial analysis. The aim of the project was to identify the most suitable area for afforestation in Serbia by using satellite and Earth observation data. The results can be found at https://sumeiklima.org/.
Social Vulnerability Datasets through the OpenQuake Platform and Description of a Case-Scenario of Integrated Risk and Resilience using OpenQuake Tools.
The talk will be divided into two parts. The first one is about geospatial open data and several Copernicus services where those data can be downloaded. The second one is about Forest and Climate project, as an example of geospatial analysis. The aim of the project was to identify the most suitable area for afforestation in Serbia by using satellite and Earth observation data. The results can be found at https://sumeiklima.org/.
Similar to GEM tools in PracticeExamples from Papua New Guinea (6)
Social Vulnerability Datasets through the OpenQuake Platform and Description of a Case-Scenario of Integrated Risk and Resilience using OpenQuake Tools.
3. Seismic Risk in PNG?
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
4. GA’s role
Under Record of Understanding No. 51172 between Geoscience
Australia and DFAT, GA is committed to
• Strengthening capacity in Papua New Guinea to develop
earthquake scenarios
• Develop the national seismic hazard map of Papua New
Guinea
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
5. Why GEM?
Free, publically available and open-source
Tools/products are reasonably well-documented
Scenario and probabilistic seismic hazard and risk
Allows calculations at many scales
Runs on a single laptop as well as on a cloud
Technical support service
Geoscience Australia has signed a collaborative agreement with GEM as a public partner
6. Tools/Products
OpenQuake hazard engine
GEM global historical earthquake archive and catalogue
ISC-GEM global instrumental earthquake catalogue
GEM global active faults database
Hazard Modeller’s Toolkit
7. GA’s role
Under Record of Understanding No. 51172 between Geoscience
Australia and DFAT, GA is committed to
• Strengthening capacity in Papua New Guinea to develop
earthquake scenarios
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Scenario
Accounting for spatial correlation
Supporting multiple operating systems ×
Built-in user-interface ×
11. GA’s role
Under Record of Understanding No. 51172 between Geoscience
Australia and DFAT, GA is committed to
• Develop the national seismic hazard map of Papua New
Guinea
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Classical PSHA
Deaggregation
Uniform Hazard Spectrum
Flexible logic-tree structure
Supporting multiple operating systems ×
Built-in user-interface ×
12. Input model
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Source Model
A
GM11
GM12
GM13
GM21
GM22
GM23
GM31
GM32
GM33
GM41
GM42
Source Model
B
13. Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
No. of Area-Sources: 24
(18 shallow, 6 deep)
No. of Complex-Faults: 2
(along New Britain Trench)
No. of Tectonic regimes: 4
(Active Shallow Crust, Subduction-Interface,
Subduction-Intraslab, Stable Shallow Crust)
GEM global historical earthquake archive and catalogue
ISC-GEM global instrumental earthquake catalogue
GEM global active faults database
Hazard Modeller’s Toolkit
14. Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
No. of Point-Sources: 53,186
(shallow and deep)
No. of Tectonic regimes: 4
(Active Shallow Crust, Subduction-Interface,
Subduction-Intraslab, Stable Shallow Crust)
GEM global historical earthquake archive and catalogue
ISC-GEM global instrumental earthquake catalogue
Hazard Modeller’s Toolkit
15. Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
No. of Tectonic regimes: 4
Active Shallow Crust: 3 GMPEs
Subduction-Interface: 3 GMPEs
Subduction-Intraslab: 3 GMPEs
Stable Shallow Crust: 2 GMPEs
Supported Ground-Motion Prediction Equations by OQ
Ground-Motion Prediction Equations project
In PoM Previously, using commercial softwares (could not maintain any more)
Not a black box (for second item)
Fit the purpose of this project
Join google group community
Specific tools and products used in the PNG study
Bottom two under development looked at them but didn’t apply in this case
Modules of OQ hazard engine that we used for this task
Challenges:
Just supported on Ubuntu OS
And no user interface so hard for capacity building from low level
Developed GUI to overcome challnege
Core is OQ but we added some new features to it to make it suitable to our clients
Eg. scaling relationsjhip if they don’t have a soucre mo0del so can use empirical relationships
If no local VS30 can use USGS
used another ground motion to intentisty conversion eq to convert OQ output to MMI
As above for 2nd outcome
Logic tree is to capture epistemic uncertainty
This is the logic tree we used in PNG study
Figure shows 18 shallow
These are the GEM products we used along with other references to model source model A
Smoothed or gridded seismicity
Eg for New Briatin, red points are seismic sources
Each tecntonic regime has 3 or 2 different ground motion models, all GMPEs supported by OQ
Seismic hazard map showing level of peak ground acceleration
Workshop showing map
Wrote a python wrapper around all probabilistic seismic prodcuts to visualise
PGA hazard map
Or the hazard curve for a particular location (can change vs30 value and target parameter eg. spectral acceleration)
To select scenario for different site conditions, target parameter and return periods
Uniform hazard spectrum can be used as a design spectrum same flexibitiliyy