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GEM tools in Practice 
Examples from Papua New Guinea 
Andrew Jones
Seismic Hazard in PNG? 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Seismic Risk in PNG? 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
GA’s role 
Under Record of Understanding No. 51172 between Geoscience 
Australia and DFAT, GA is committed to 
• Strengthening capacity in Papua New Guinea to develop 
earthquake scenarios 
• Develop the national seismic hazard map of Papua New 
Guinea 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Why GEM? 
Free, publically available and open-source 
Tools/products are reasonably well-documented 
Scenario and probabilistic seismic hazard and risk 
Allows calculations at many scales 
Runs on a single laptop as well as on a cloud 
Technical support service 
Geoscience Australia has signed a collaborative agreement with GEM as a public partner
Tools/Products 
OpenQuake hazard engine 
GEM global historical earthquake archive and catalogue 
ISC-GEM global instrumental earthquake catalogue 
GEM global active faults database 
Hazard Modeller’s Toolkit
GA’s role 
Under Record of Understanding No. 51172 between Geoscience 
Australia and DFAT, GA is committed to 
• Strengthening capacity in Papua New Guinea to develop 
earthquake scenarios 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea 
Scenario  
Accounting for spatial correlation  
Supporting multiple operating systems × 
Built-in user-interface ×
Earthquake scenarios for PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Earthquake scenarios for PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Earthquake scenarios for PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
GA’s role 
Under Record of Understanding No. 51172 between Geoscience 
Australia and DFAT, GA is committed to 
• Develop the national seismic hazard map of Papua New 
Guinea 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea 
Classical PSHA  
Deaggregation  
Uniform Hazard Spectrum  
Flexible logic-tree structure  
Supporting multiple operating systems × 
Built-in user-interface ×
Input model 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea 
Source Model 
A 
GM11 
GM12 
GM13 
GM21 
GM22 
GM23 
GM31 
GM32 
GM33 
GM41 
GM42 
Source Model 
B
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea 
No. of Area-Sources: 24 
(18 shallow, 6 deep) 
No. of Complex-Faults: 2 
(along New Britain Trench) 
No. of Tectonic regimes: 4 
(Active Shallow Crust, Subduction-Interface, 
Subduction-Intraslab, Stable Shallow Crust) 
GEM global historical earthquake archive and catalogue 
ISC-GEM global instrumental earthquake catalogue 
GEM global active faults database 
Hazard Modeller’s Toolkit
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea 
No. of Point-Sources: 53,186 
(shallow and deep) 
No. of Tectonic regimes: 4 
(Active Shallow Crust, Subduction-Interface, 
Subduction-Intraslab, Stable Shallow Crust) 
GEM global historical earthquake archive and catalogue 
ISC-GEM global instrumental earthquake catalogue 
Hazard Modeller’s Toolkit
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea 
No. of Tectonic regimes: 4 
Active Shallow Crust: 3 GMPEs 
Subduction-Interface: 3 GMPEs 
Subduction-Intraslab: 3 GMPEs 
Stable Shallow Crust: 2 GMPEs 
Supported Ground-Motion Prediction Equations by OQ 
Ground-Motion Prediction Equations project
Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG 
Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
Insert Title Here <view/master/slidemaster> 
Acknowledgement

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GEM tools in Practice Examples from Papua New Guinea

  • 1. GEM tools in Practice Examples from Papua New Guinea Andrew Jones
  • 2. Seismic Hazard in PNG? Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 3. Seismic Risk in PNG? Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 4. GA’s role Under Record of Understanding No. 51172 between Geoscience Australia and DFAT, GA is committed to • Strengthening capacity in Papua New Guinea to develop earthquake scenarios • Develop the national seismic hazard map of Papua New Guinea Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 5. Why GEM? Free, publically available and open-source Tools/products are reasonably well-documented Scenario and probabilistic seismic hazard and risk Allows calculations at many scales Runs on a single laptop as well as on a cloud Technical support service Geoscience Australia has signed a collaborative agreement with GEM as a public partner
  • 6. Tools/Products OpenQuake hazard engine GEM global historical earthquake archive and catalogue ISC-GEM global instrumental earthquake catalogue GEM global active faults database Hazard Modeller’s Toolkit
  • 7. GA’s role Under Record of Understanding No. 51172 between Geoscience Australia and DFAT, GA is committed to • Strengthening capacity in Papua New Guinea to develop earthquake scenarios Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea Scenario  Accounting for spatial correlation  Supporting multiple operating systems × Built-in user-interface ×
  • 8. Earthquake scenarios for PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 9. Earthquake scenarios for PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 10. Earthquake scenarios for PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 11. GA’s role Under Record of Understanding No. 51172 between Geoscience Australia and DFAT, GA is committed to • Develop the national seismic hazard map of Papua New Guinea Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea Classical PSHA  Deaggregation  Uniform Hazard Spectrum  Flexible logic-tree structure  Supporting multiple operating systems × Built-in user-interface ×
  • 12. Input model Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea Source Model A GM11 GM12 GM13 GM21 GM22 GM23 GM31 GM32 GM33 GM41 GM42 Source Model B
  • 13. Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea No. of Area-Sources: 24 (18 shallow, 6 deep) No. of Complex-Faults: 2 (along New Britain Trench) No. of Tectonic regimes: 4 (Active Shallow Crust, Subduction-Interface, Subduction-Intraslab, Stable Shallow Crust) GEM global historical earthquake archive and catalogue ISC-GEM global instrumental earthquake catalogue GEM global active faults database Hazard Modeller’s Toolkit
  • 14. Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea No. of Point-Sources: 53,186 (shallow and deep) No. of Tectonic regimes: 4 (Active Shallow Crust, Subduction-Interface, Subduction-Intraslab, Stable Shallow Crust) GEM global historical earthquake archive and catalogue ISC-GEM global instrumental earthquake catalogue Hazard Modeller’s Toolkit
  • 15. Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea No. of Tectonic regimes: 4 Active Shallow Crust: 3 GMPEs Subduction-Interface: 3 GMPEs Subduction-Intraslab: 3 GMPEs Stable Shallow Crust: 2 GMPEs Supported Ground-Motion Prediction Equations by OQ Ground-Motion Prediction Equations project
  • 16. Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 17. Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 18. Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 19. Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 20. Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 21. Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 22. Probabilistic seismic hazard map of PNG Seismic Hazard Assessment of Papua New Guinea
  • 23. Insert Title Here <view/master/slidemaster> Acknowledgement

Editor's Notes

  1. In PoM Previously, using commercial softwares (could not maintain any more) Not a black box (for second item) Fit the purpose of this project Join google group community
  2. Specific tools and products used in the PNG study Bottom two under development looked at them but didn’t apply in this case
  3. Modules of OQ hazard engine that we used for this task Challenges: Just supported on Ubuntu OS And no user interface so hard for capacity building from low level
  4. Developed GUI to overcome challnege
  5. Core is OQ but we added some new features to it to make it suitable to our clients Eg. scaling relationsjhip if they don’t have a soucre mo0del so can use empirical relationships If no local VS30 can use USGS used another ground motion to intentisty conversion eq to convert OQ output to MMI
  6. As above for 2nd outcome
  7. Logic tree is to capture epistemic uncertainty This is the logic tree we used in PNG study
  8. Figure shows 18 shallow These are the GEM products we used along with other references to model source model A
  9. Smoothed or gridded seismicity Eg for New Briatin, red points are seismic sources
  10. Each tecntonic regime has 3 or 2 different ground motion models, all GMPEs supported by OQ Seismic hazard map showing level of peak ground acceleration
  11. Workshop showing map
  12. Wrote a python wrapper around all probabilistic seismic prodcuts to visualise
  13. PGA hazard map
  14. Or the hazard curve for a particular location (can change vs30 value and target parameter eg. spectral acceleration)
  15. To select scenario for different site conditions, target parameter and return periods
  16. Uniform hazard spectrum can be used as a design spectrum same flexibitiliyy