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International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962
Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021)
www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5
37 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
An Impact of Capital Adequacy Ratio on the Profitability of Private
Sector Banks in India – A Study
Jayesh J Jadhav1
, Ashish Kathale2
and Shreeya Rajpurohit3
1
Assistant Professor, School of Commerce, MIT World Peace University, Pune, INDIA
2
Assistant Professor, School of Commerce, MIT World Peace University, Pune, INDIA
3
Assistant Professor, School of Commerce, MIT World Peace University, Pune, INDIA
1
Corresponding Author: jayesh.jadhav@mitwpu.edu.in
ABSTRACT
Profitability being one of the cardinal principles of
bank lending acts as a game changer for the survival and
success of private sector banks in India. In order to stay
profitable, banks have to capitalise on every penny advanced
to yield the expected returns. However, considering the
constraints laid down by the Reserve Bank of India, banks
have to maintain a minimum capital adequacy ratio, as per
the current BASEL III regulations active in India. With the
mergers of public sector banks, the challenge has got just
tougher for the private sector banks in India. Expansion and
Diversification are the key strategies adopted by the key
players from the private banking sector, however, with the
minimum capital adequacy ratio observed by them, it is
necessary to understand its actual impact on the bank’s
profitability. This research paper aims to throw light upon
the linkage that capital adequacy has with the bank’s
profitability. It attempts to establish a relation between the
Capital Adequacy Ratio with the Net profits of the bank. For
the purpose of this study, data from the past 5 years of the
leading private sector banks has been collected, namely,
HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, AXIS
Bank and YES Bank. The collected data has been analysed
using Pearson’s Correlation to establish a relation between
the CAR Ratio & the bank’s profitability. Hypothesis testing
has been further done to study the quantum of proportionate
change in the profitability with a change in the CAR Ratio
for private sector banks using applicable research tools. The
said research tools are applied to achieve the desired results
while maintaining the required quantum of accuracy. It also
aims to understand the proportionate impact of changes in
CAR to the bank’s profitability, which can act as a suggested
measure for banks to develop a reliable framework for
efficient capital management and increase overall efficiency.
The results derived from the data collected and analyzed aim
to provide scope for further study on the subject matter.
Keywords-- Capital Adequacy, Profitability, CAR Ratio,
Net Profits, Private Sector Banks
I. INTRODUCTION
The banking has played a significant role in the
development of the Indian economy and continues to
represent as one of the strongest pillars of our country. By
fulfilling its primary functions of accepting deposits and
granting loans, banks play a vital role by providing credit
to the needy, thereby acting as a vital link between the
borrowers and the lenders, further fulfilling the function of
transfer of credit. The banking system plays the role of
transferring funds from the saving unites to the investing
units (Saona, 2011), thereby generating reasonable income
in the process. Considering the changes in lending pattern
nature of businesses, volume of credit requirements and
regulatory compliances developed over time, it has been a
greater challenge for private sector banks to Keep up with
the Jonas. As the country relies strongly on public sector
banks, secured lendings and deposits have already proven
to be a major threat for the survival and flourishing of
private sector banks in India. Since the introduction of
Basel, I norms post the NEP policy of 1991 and further
strengthening the grip on revised capital framework
through implementation of Basel II norms in 2004, it has
been all but challenging for the private sector banks to
compete on a fair accord with the public sector giants.
With the implementation of Basel III and the arrival of
Basel IV norms in India proposed from 2023 onwards, it
appears crucial for the private sector banks to meet
compliance parameters on the reserves, along with
handling pressure from stakeholders on profit
maximization while continuing to aim at higher returns by
marginal risk increase. The essence of establishing
compliance with capital ratios, liquidity rules, enforcement
of larger exposure rules and the right of inspection is to
deter excessive risk taking (Saona, 2011, Valdez, 2001).
RBI has been tightening its grip around all commercial
banks with regards to the capital to risk weighted assets
lendings are concerned, with an effort to eliminate risky
lendings as much as possible. To make the private players
avoid getting beaten to a hasty retreat, an effort is made
through this research paper to understand how the private
sector banks have currently set their capital adequacy
ratios to achieve the targeted profits annually. This paper
also aims to understand if these capital decisions are
associated with their risk-taking capacity as well as
changes in regulatory capital requirements. A verification,
International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962
Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021)
www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5
38 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
much necessary, of the association between the bank’s
capital regulations and the bank management’s capital
advancing decisions might provide some insights about the
effectiveness of the bank’s internal regulatory framework.
The purpose for this study becomes essential as it affects
banking system operations in general, as this nexus
between bank capital / earnings / regulations are seldom
researched although it is often stressed as a key policy
issue in regulating banks in developing countries, and
India is no exception to it. Several internal factors
affecting a bank’s profitability include diversion of funds
for expansion, diversification, taking up new projects,
promoting associate concerns, cost overruns during the
project implementation stage, business (product,
marketing, etc.) failure, inefficient management, strained
labor relations, inappropriate technical problems, product
obsolescence, etc., while external factors include
recession, non-payment in other countries, input shortage,
price escalation, accidents and natural calamities
(Muniappan, 2002). Hence, the main objective of this
paper is to investigate whether the increasing capital
adequacy ratios in the last 3 years through the previously
implemented Basel norms produce the desired increase in
the bank’s profitability, thereby reducing risky lendings
and NPA’s. An empirical verification of the association
between capital regulations and bank management’s
capital decisions might provide some clue about the
effectiveness of a regulatory framework of India's banking
system operation. With the other Asian nations
successfully adopting Basel norms prior to India,
(Malaysia adopting Basel I in 1989 with 8% CAR Ratio
and further increasing it to 10% in 1999), the risk coverage
was widened for the banks, further enhancing profitability
(Rubi Ahmed & M. Ariff, 2009). This paper aims to
identify the impact of the increased capital adequacy ratio
and its contribution towards the profitability of private
sector banks in India. HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak
Mahindra Bank, AXIS Bank and YES Bank have been the
top 5 players in the private sector banks in the country, and
hence have been chosen for the purpose of the study. Over
the last decade, majority of these banks have enjoyed high
earnings in India. This could also majorly be due to the
excellent economic outlooks; however, a study needs to be
performed as to how much have the increased capital
adequacy ratios contributed to the bank’s vault. Our
findings may also help to establish some benchmarks for
future studies on bank capital adequacy ratios and to
evaluate the usefulness of higher regulatory capital
standards as imposed by regulators to promote sound
lendings by private sector banks in India.
II. LITERATURE REVIEW
Profitability is the prime motive of private sector
banks in India and the only source for their survival,
growth, expansion and diversification. Several attempts
were made previously to empirically evaluate the effect of
capital adequacy requirement on bank profitability include
but are not limited to the following: Staikouras and Wood
(2004) found that bank profitability is positively affected
by the variables of concentration and market share.
Sayilgan and Yildirim (2009) through their study had
found that capital adequacy positively impacts on
profitability on banks. Financial performance is an
assessment of the financial conditions or profitability of a
bank in order to gain insight into the health of the bank
using an index that relates two pieces of financial data,
called financial ratios (Torbira and Zaagha, 2016). Some
previous studies have attempted to show that capital
adequacy measures indeed influence the financial
performance variable of businesses in general and banks in
particular. Onoalapo and Olufemi (2012) study reveal that,
capital adequacy ratio did not reflect the profitability of
banks represented by Return on Assets, Return on Capital
Employed and Percentage of Profit before Tax. Similarly,
Santos (2000) asserts that bank regulation through higher
capital requirements negatively affect bank development
and credit expansion by increasing fixed and operating
costs. However, Ezike and Oke (2013) study shows that
capital adequacy proxied by Shareholders Fund exert
positive influence on banks’ profit, total assets, total
deposits, return on assets, earnings per share, loans and
advances and credit risk, although not all were statistically
significant. Asikhia & Sokefun (2013), examined the effect
of capital adequacy on profitability of deposit- taking
banks in Nigeria. The study was performed to assess the
effect of Capital Adequacy of both foreign and domestic
banks in Nigeria and their profitability. The results derived
from the study revealed that there was a strong positive
relationship between the capital adequacy ratio and the
profitability of banks in Nigeria. However, given the
situation, other internal and external factors were also
responsible for the results to be derived as expected.
Considering the Indian economy, the volume, leverage and
quantum of banking transactions vary and factor-wise
impact may also make a difference. Hence, it is difficult to
state that a similar situation exists with the private sector
banks in our country. Agbeja, O., Adelakun, O.J., &
Olufemi, F. I. (2015), examined whether or not capital
adequacy ratio affects bank profitability, it also analyzes
the effect of loans and advances on bank profitability as
well as the impact of capital adequacy ratio on banks’
exposure to credit risk. This study also had similar results
that higher the capital adequacy ratio, higher the
profitability of the banks. As most of the countries
mentioned in the literature review have varied results and
findings, it is necessary to consider that the results derived
International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962
Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021)
www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5
39 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
from this study will be based upon the time period
selected, considering other internal and external variables
observing normal mode of deviation (not too fluctuating or
changing).
III. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Problem Statement
Over the years researchers have studied the
problems related to how profits play a crucial role for the
survival of banks. It has been observed that when the
bank’s monitor their credit control techniques strictly, the
profitability increases and losses are reduced. Heavy losses
affect the bank’s lending capacity, further decreasing the
profitability, which further stresses several other factors.
The bank’s health is determined by its profitability which
in turn is affected by the efficiency shown by a bank in
managing its lendings. There is abundant literature
available on the profitability concern for private sector
banks and several studies have denoted the reasons for the
same. However, there is an acute lacuna when it comes to
the contribution of capital adequacy towards the
profitability of private sector banks in India, in specific.
This study aims to cover the phenomenon not studied
earlier for the selected banks for the last 3 years and
identify the relationship between the two variables, namely
Capital Adequacy (Variable 1) and Profitability (Variable
2).
3.2 Objectives of the Study
The main objectives of the study are:
1. To study the capital adequacy trend along with
concurrent profitability for selected private sector
banks in India.
2. To identify the relation of the bank’s capital
adequacy ratio with the bank’s profits
3. To analyze the impact of changing capital
adequacy ratio on the bank’s profitability
4. To assess the contribution of capital adequacy
towards the bank’s profitability
3.3 Period of the Study
This study intends to examine the impact of
capital adequacy ratios on the profitability of the selected
private sector banks in India. The 5 banks are selected to
measure the profitability over the last 3 financial years
from 2017-18 to 2019-20.
3.4 Scope of the Study
This study is designed to understand the impact of
change of a bank’s capital adequacy on its overall
profitability. While the various factors contributing to the
bank’s profitability have been studied earlier, the impact of
capital adequacy ratio on the profitability of private sector
banks is poorly understood. The scope of the study is
limited to the 5 private sector banks selected for the time
period specified above.
3.5 Data Source
This research is purely analytical research based
on Secondary data collected from the list of sources which
are mentioned in Annexure I. The data for the purpose has
been collected from the annual reports of the concerned
banks. For the purpose of verifying the quantum of the
data collected, additional sources were referred to for
support, mentioned in Annexure II.
3.6 Data Collection
The data relating to Profitability and Capital
Adequacy for this research paper was collected from
various sources, some of which are government databases
and are reliable for our study like www.rbi.org.in,
www.moneycontrol.com, www.bseindia.com, the official
websites of the banks taken for this study and from other
additional sources.
3.7 Research Design
This study employs the quantitative research
design. This is because the study involves events that have
already taken place. Annual aggregate bank data on return
on assets, total qualifying capital and net profits, capital
adequacy ratios, total advances, deposits and return on
assts has been generated from secondary sources (Annual
Reports of the banks) for the period of 2017 to 2020). The
research design selected for the purpose of this study is
Longitudinal Correlation Design. The two variables to
be analyzed for the purpose of this study include Capital
Adequacy and Net Profits. To identify the relation between
the two variables, Pearson’s Correlation has been used.
The study intends to observe the collected data without
trying to influence any of the variables involved. The
design is selected to establish a real sequence of the events
and to derive the results while maintaining the quantum of
accuracy. The following charts and diagrams signify the
Year Wise, Bank Wise and Overall Bank Statistics with
regards to Capital Adequacy Ratios, Gross Profits, Net
Profits and Net Profits percentage to earnings. The effort
taken in the process is to identify the behavior of the year
on year changing CAR Ratio towards the Net profits of the
selected banks. All information needed for the purpose of
the study was collected from reliable government sources
and any excess information which is irrelevant for the
purpose of this study hitherto has been discarded.
Hypothesis testing has been performed to test the derived
results out of this study. The results were tested under One
Null Hypothesis (H0) and One Alternate Hypothesis (H1)
as follows:
H0: There is no relation between Capital Adequacy and
Net Profits of the banks.
H1: There is a relation between Capital Adequacy and Net
Profits of the banks.
International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962
Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021)
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40 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Table 1.1: Overall Bank Data for 3 Financial Years
The above table depicts the overall bank data for
the last three financial years from 2017 eighteen till 2019
20 for the five selected banks. As per the annual reports
HDFC Bank has reported an increasing net profit year on
year, which is in line with its increasing capital adequacy
ratio for all the three years. On the other hand, ICICI bank
has seen a dip in net profits for be financially or 2018
nineteen which appears to be consequent to its reduced
capital adequacy ratio. Kotak bank also has seen a dip in
the capital adequacy ratio for the financial year 2018
nineteen followed by a marginal increase in the capital
adequacy ratio thereby increasing its profitability for
financial year 2019 twenty as compared to the previous
financial year. in the case of YES bank considering the
scam that was revealed two years ago, is bank had seen
highest dip in the capital adequacy ratio as compared to all
the other banks considered for the purpose of the study.
While computing YES bank’s profitability, it happens to
be the only bank with a net loss for financial year 2019 20
with a consequent decrease in its capital adequacy ratio
and tier one capital ratio, and hence a challenge in the
analysis. The trend with Axis Bank seems to be unstable as
far as net profits of the bank are concerned, however, the
bank has shown a steady increase in the operating profits
year on year as per its financial records it's an annual
report as follows:
Axis Bank Operating Profit (₹. in Cr)
FY 2017-18 – 15594 FY 2018-19 – 19005 FY 2019-20 – 23438
Figure 1.1: Net Profits for the banks for the 3 Financial Years
Sr. No Bank Name Year CAR Ratio Tier 1Capital Ratio Deposits Gross Advances (₹ in Cr) Net profit (₹ in Cr) Increase in Profitability Return on Assets (ROA)
2017-18 14.8 13.25 788771 658333 17487 - 1.93
2018-19 17.1 15.78 923141 819401 21078 20.50% 1.9
2019-20 18.5 17.23 1147502 993703 26257.3 24.60% 2.01
2017-18 18.42 14.35 560975 512395 6777 - 0.87
2018-19 16.89 15.09 652920 586647 3363 -50.37627269 0.39
2019-20 16.11 14.72 770969 645290 7931 135.8311032 0.81
2017-18 18.2 17.6 1912357 205997 6201 - 1.73
2018-19 17.5 16.9 2248242 243462 7204 16.17481051 1.69
2019-20 17.9 17.3 2406002 249879 8593 19.28095502 1.87
2017-18 18.4 13.2 200738 203534 4225 0 1.6
2018-19 16.5 11.3 227610 241500 1720 -59.28994083 0.5
2019-20 8.5 6.5 105363 171443 -16418 -1054.534884 -5.1
2017-18 16.57 13.04 640105 439650 276 - 0.04
2018-19 15.84 12.54 548471 494798 4677 1594.565217 0.63
2019-20 17.53 14.49 640105 571424 1627 -65.21274321 0.2
1
2
3
4
5
HDFC BANK
ICICI BANK
KOTAK BANK
YES BANK
AXIS BANK
International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962
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Figure 1.1 depicts the year-on-year net profits for
all the five banks selected. As per market capitalization,
HDFC Bank holds the largest states in the private banking
sector in our country. Answering the huge and varied
diversification the bank has recorded are your own your
increase in the net profits but the subsequent increase in
the capital adequacy ratio as well. the second player in the
league being ICICI bank stands to be the second strongest.
Kotak bank has also emerged as a new player in the private
banking sector in India has still managed to become an
integral part of the top three private sector banks in our
country with a constantly increasing net profit recorded
here on your basis and stop. The focus of Axis Bank all
domain an increasing that operating profit trend year-on-
year basis has been establishing a diversified portfolio
further giving relevance to write off bad debts which in
turn resulted and overall end the net profits for the
financial year 2019-20. The YES BANK scam DID impact
the financial statements brutally and further reduction of
the CAR ratio has led to not only heavy losses but also a
negative return on assets for the bank.
Figure 1.2: Capital Adequacy Ratio to Net Profit Comparison for 3 Financial years
Figure 1.2 is a clear indication that the net profits
of the banks have a similar alignment to the capital
adequacy ratios of the selected banks. The bank’s net
profits align considerably parallel to the bank’s overall
profitability. To understand if the relation between the
capital adequacy ratio and net profit of each bank is
aligned in a similar pattern, a year wise bifurcation has
been done to understand if both the variables align in a
similar pattern. Further data analysis on the collected data
have been performed to understand the statistical results on
a year wise basis.
-20000
-15000
-10000
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
HDFC BANK ICICI BANK KOTAK BANK YES BANK AXIS BANK
CAR to Net Profit Comparison
CAR Ratio Net profit (₹ in Cr)
International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962
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Table 1.2: Year-wise comparison of Capital Adequacy to Profitability
The above table clearly depicts the statistics for
each year consolidated for all banks collectively. The
Standard Deviation achieved year-wise for the selected
private sector banks collectively is derived at 1.58 for
2017-18, 0.63 for 2018-19 and 4.12 for 2019-20. However,
the major component that describes the relationship
between the two variables selected and also is the major
indicator for the purpose of this study is the correlation
between the capital adequacy ratio and the net profits of
the private sector banks. looking at the correlation trend
year wise, we have a changing relationship between the
CAR Ratio and the bank’s profitability. On the basis of the
literature review, it is true that CAR ratio may not be the
only factor to contribute towards the bank’s profitability.
Considering a year-wise analysis, the Correlation is –0.62
for 2017-18, 0.40 for 2018-19 and 0.85 for 2019-20. The
negative correlation derived for 2017-18 is due to the
sudden changes faced by private banks in 2017, in line
with the implementation of BASEL III norms. However, to
understand and establish a relation between the CAR ratio
and its impact on the overall profitability of the selected
banks, the overall correlation for all 3 years was needed to
be derived on the basis of overall analysis of the data
collected and presented in Table 1.1. The year-wise data
reflects inconsistency in the correlation between the 2
variables studied for the purpose of this research paper.
However, as per the analysis, the correlation seems to be
changing on a year-on-year basis, hence to identify the
sensitivity between the variables, a further analysis of
bank-wise analysis has been conducted.
Table 1.3: Descriptive Statistics for Table 1.1
A per Table 1.3, considering the risk to return
ratio, the standard deviation for CAR Ratio is derived at
2.47, whereas that for ROA is derived at 1.760. A negative
skew denotes that the mean of the CAR and profitability
for the selected banks is less than the mode. It signifies
that out of the total banks selected, most of the banks have
shown a similar reaction to the CAR ratio for the given
time period. Considering the tail of distribution through
Kurtosis, it denotes as a Platykurtic as the CAR and
profitability seem to have a spread-out distribution,
resulting in flattening of the trend line, as earlier displayed
in Figure 1.2. It denotes that the two variables have a
relatively spread-out sensitivity and are not hyper-reactive
to each other. On analyzing the overall distribution, we can
reach a point that helps us to analyze the overall results
from this study for the considered time period.
Bank Name CAR Ratio Net Profits CAR Ratio Net Profits CAR Ratio Net Profits
HDFC Bank 14.8 17487 17.1 21078 18.5 26257.3
ICICI Bank 18.42 6777 16.89 3363 16.11 7931
Kotak Bank 18.2 6201 17.5 7204 17.9 8593
YES Bank 18.4 4225 16.5 1720 8.5 -16418
Axis Bank 16.57 276 15.84 4677 17.53 1627
Mean 17.278 6993.2 16.766 7608.4 15.708 5598.06
Std Deviation 1.585472 0.631253 4.124218
Co-Variance -5066.22 1591.276 43327.97
Correlation -0.6246 0.404374 0.855879
Year-Wise Statistics
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
Net profit (₹ in Cr) Increase in Profitability
Mean 16.584 Mean 6733.22 Mean 42.45928304 Mean 0.738
Standard Error 0.640298 Standard Error 2543.679928 Standard Error 137.7703848 Standard Error 0.454474265
Median 17.1 Median 6201 Median 0 Median 0.87
Std Deviation 2.479864 Standard Deviation 9851.629998 Standard Deviation 533.5824059 Standard Deviation 1.760171258
Sample Variance 6.149726 Sample Variance 97054613.63 Sample Variance 284710.1839 Sample Variance 3.098202857
Kurtosis 8.807596 Kurtosis 1.965196159 Kurtosis 8.294156157 Kurtosis 9.652492913
Skewness -2.739974 Skewness -0.116697479 Skewness 1.728671632 Skewness -2.875600043
CAR Ratio Return on Assets (ROA)
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Table 1.4: Overall Summary Bank-wise and Year-wise
Overall Standard Deviation was derived at 2.47.
After analyzing the collected data and applying Pearson’s
Correlation to it, the overall correlation between the two
variables was derived at 0.411. A positive correlation
denotes that there is a positive relationship between the
two variables, which means that every increase in variable
1 will lead to a subsequent increase in variable 2. As the
correlation derived does not equate to ZERO, the null
hypothesis H0 does not stand to be valid, and hence is
VOID. To further elaborate on H1, as the correlation
derived is a POSITIVE 0.411, it is clear that there is a
significant positive relation between the CAR ratio and the
net profits of the bank for the time period selected.
Considering the changing correlation each year, a further
analysis of variances (ANOVA) is performed to
understand the degree of sensitivity of subsequent change
in Variable 2 with each change in Variable 1. The results
derived were as follows:
Table 1.5: ANOVA TEST on Variable 1 and 2
The results derived from ANOVA testing is F-
value 6.97 and P-Value 0.01. The huge F-Value also
supports the earlier analysis of hypothesis testing done,
clearly ruling out H0 as void. The P-value derived from
the data analysis is 0.01, further strongly proving alternate
hypothesis H1 to be true from the above study.
IV. RESULTS AND FINDINGS
On the basis of application of the research tools
and methods, the findings from the testings performed are
as follows:
ANOVA
Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit
Rows 679588274.1 14 48542019.58 1.000606 0.49955553 2.483725741
Columns 338348993.7 1 338348993.7 6.974456 0.019369423 4.600109937
Error 679176402.8 14 48512600.2
Total 1697113671 29
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Application of Pearson’s Correlation on a year-
wise basis derived contradictory results, with 2017-18
having a negative correlation between Variable 1 and 2,
whereas 2018-19 and 2019-20 having a positive
correlation between Variable 1 and 2. The overall results
derived reflect a positive correlation between the variables,
further proving that other external factors being constant, a
bank’s higher capital adequacy ratio will have an increase
in its overall profitability. To further elaborate the studied
data and results, the year-wise correlation does not appear
to be stable or moving at a constant pace along the axis.
This is an important indication that there could be other
factors responsible for the bank’s overall profitability,
which appears as a limitation to this study. Also, from the
analysis it is clear that the degree of change in net profits is
not equal to the degree of change in the CAR ratio for the
banks. Hence, although the direction of change is the
same, the velocity differs. As per our analysis, it is
understood that capital adequacy ratio is one of the
important and contributing factors towards the profitability
of private sector banks in India. However, we are depicting
the possibility for it i.e. CAR not be the only contributing
factor to a bank’s profitability.
V. CONCLUSION
This study evaluated the changing trend of capital
adequacy ratio and its subsequent impact on the
profitability of private sector banks in India. Though the
years studied, it has been identified that increase in capital
adequacy has resulted in an increase in the overall
profitability and the return on assets for private sector
banks in India. As the private sector banks become
profitable, it reduces the propensity of losses to the
banking sector in India, and apparently aims towards
achieving a stable banking sector and system in the
country. The study also derived an observation that capital
adequacy is not the only factor to yield high profitability
for the banks, and hence, bank regulators should not only
focus on maintaining a high capital adequacy, but also
focus on strategic monitoring and regular evaluations in
order to maintain the bank’s financial strength and
stability, further increasing the bank’s overall
performance. Private sector banks have been the major
contributors in India, and their performance will have a
parallel impact on the economy. With the predicted
implementation of BASEL IV norms in India, it will
become all but difficult for the private sector banks to
design the pattern of lendings and stand strong against the
ever-merging public sector banks in our country. As a
measure of recommendation, private sector banks should
focus on effective internal control to absorb any external
shocks that it faces. As those remains an area of concern
for a few loss-making private sector banks, stabilizing the
CAR Ratio while focussing on risk averse lending’s with
high earning potential appears as the only ray of hope over
the horizon in years to come.
REFERENCES
[1] Saona. (2011). An integrated model of capital structure
to study the differences in the speed of adjustment to target
corporate debt maturity among developed countries. Int. J.
Banking, Accounting and Finance, 3(4).
[2] Muniappan. (2002). The NPA overhang, magnitude,
solutions and legal reforms. Reserve Bank of India.
[3] Rubi Ahmed & M. Ariff. (2009). The determinants of
bank capital ratios in a developing economy. CARF-F-147,
Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of
Economics, The University of Tokyo.
[4] Staikouras, C. K. & Wood, G. E. (2004). The
determinants of european bank profitability. International
Business & Economics Research Journal (IBER), 3(6) 57-
68.
[5] Sayilgan, G. & Yildirim, O. (2009). Determinants of
profitability in Turkish banking sector: 2002-
2007. International Research Journal of Finance and
Economics, 28, 207-214.
[6] Torbira, L. L & Zaagha, A.S. (2016). Capital adequacy
measures and bank financial performance in Nigeria: A
cointegration analysis. Journal of Finance and Economic
Research, 3(1).
[7] Arogbeyen, O. & Olufemi, J. (2011). The impact of
recapitalization and consolidation on banks cost of equity
in Nigeria. International Journal of Business Management,
5(3), 159-165.
[8] Santos J. A. C. (2000). Bank capital regulation in
contemporary banking theory: A review of literature. BIS
Working Paper, 90, 1-32.
[9] Ezike E.E & Oke M.O. (2013). Capital adequacy
standards, basel accord and bank performance: The
Nigerian experience (A case study of selected banks in
Nigeria). Asian Economic and Financial Review, 3(2),
146-159.
[10] Asikhia, O & Sokefun. (2013). Capital adequacy and
bank profitability: Empirical evidence from Nigeria.
American Internal Journal of Contemporary Research,
3(10).
[11] Agbeja, O., Adelakun, O.J., & Olufemi, F. I. (2015).
Capital adequacy ratio and bank profitability in Nigeria: A
linear approach. International Journal of Novel Research
in Marketing Management and Economics, 2(3), 91-99.
[12] Chandrasegaran, Larojan. (2020). Capital adequacy
requirements and profitability: An empirical study on
banking industry in Sri Lanka. Journal of Economics and
Business, 3(2).
International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962
Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021)
www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5
45 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Annexure 1: Data Sources
Sr. No Particulars
1 HDFC Bank Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20
2 AXIS Bank Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20
3 YES BANK Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20
4 KOTAK Bank Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20
5 ICICI Bank Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20
6 www.rbi.org.in
7 www.moneycontrol.com
8 www.economictimes.com
9 www.business-standard.com

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An Impact of Capital Adequacy Ratio on the Profitability of Private Sector Banks in India – A Study

  • 1. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962 Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021) www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5 37 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. An Impact of Capital Adequacy Ratio on the Profitability of Private Sector Banks in India – A Study Jayesh J Jadhav1 , Ashish Kathale2 and Shreeya Rajpurohit3 1 Assistant Professor, School of Commerce, MIT World Peace University, Pune, INDIA 2 Assistant Professor, School of Commerce, MIT World Peace University, Pune, INDIA 3 Assistant Professor, School of Commerce, MIT World Peace University, Pune, INDIA 1 Corresponding Author: jayesh.jadhav@mitwpu.edu.in ABSTRACT Profitability being one of the cardinal principles of bank lending acts as a game changer for the survival and success of private sector banks in India. In order to stay profitable, banks have to capitalise on every penny advanced to yield the expected returns. However, considering the constraints laid down by the Reserve Bank of India, banks have to maintain a minimum capital adequacy ratio, as per the current BASEL III regulations active in India. With the mergers of public sector banks, the challenge has got just tougher for the private sector banks in India. Expansion and Diversification are the key strategies adopted by the key players from the private banking sector, however, with the minimum capital adequacy ratio observed by them, it is necessary to understand its actual impact on the bank’s profitability. This research paper aims to throw light upon the linkage that capital adequacy has with the bank’s profitability. It attempts to establish a relation between the Capital Adequacy Ratio with the Net profits of the bank. For the purpose of this study, data from the past 5 years of the leading private sector banks has been collected, namely, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, AXIS Bank and YES Bank. The collected data has been analysed using Pearson’s Correlation to establish a relation between the CAR Ratio & the bank’s profitability. Hypothesis testing has been further done to study the quantum of proportionate change in the profitability with a change in the CAR Ratio for private sector banks using applicable research tools. The said research tools are applied to achieve the desired results while maintaining the required quantum of accuracy. It also aims to understand the proportionate impact of changes in CAR to the bank’s profitability, which can act as a suggested measure for banks to develop a reliable framework for efficient capital management and increase overall efficiency. The results derived from the data collected and analyzed aim to provide scope for further study on the subject matter. Keywords-- Capital Adequacy, Profitability, CAR Ratio, Net Profits, Private Sector Banks I. INTRODUCTION The banking has played a significant role in the development of the Indian economy and continues to represent as one of the strongest pillars of our country. By fulfilling its primary functions of accepting deposits and granting loans, banks play a vital role by providing credit to the needy, thereby acting as a vital link between the borrowers and the lenders, further fulfilling the function of transfer of credit. The banking system plays the role of transferring funds from the saving unites to the investing units (Saona, 2011), thereby generating reasonable income in the process. Considering the changes in lending pattern nature of businesses, volume of credit requirements and regulatory compliances developed over time, it has been a greater challenge for private sector banks to Keep up with the Jonas. As the country relies strongly on public sector banks, secured lendings and deposits have already proven to be a major threat for the survival and flourishing of private sector banks in India. Since the introduction of Basel, I norms post the NEP policy of 1991 and further strengthening the grip on revised capital framework through implementation of Basel II norms in 2004, it has been all but challenging for the private sector banks to compete on a fair accord with the public sector giants. With the implementation of Basel III and the arrival of Basel IV norms in India proposed from 2023 onwards, it appears crucial for the private sector banks to meet compliance parameters on the reserves, along with handling pressure from stakeholders on profit maximization while continuing to aim at higher returns by marginal risk increase. The essence of establishing compliance with capital ratios, liquidity rules, enforcement of larger exposure rules and the right of inspection is to deter excessive risk taking (Saona, 2011, Valdez, 2001). RBI has been tightening its grip around all commercial banks with regards to the capital to risk weighted assets lendings are concerned, with an effort to eliminate risky lendings as much as possible. To make the private players avoid getting beaten to a hasty retreat, an effort is made through this research paper to understand how the private sector banks have currently set their capital adequacy ratios to achieve the targeted profits annually. This paper also aims to understand if these capital decisions are associated with their risk-taking capacity as well as changes in regulatory capital requirements. A verification,
  • 2. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962 Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021) www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5 38 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. much necessary, of the association between the bank’s capital regulations and the bank management’s capital advancing decisions might provide some insights about the effectiveness of the bank’s internal regulatory framework. The purpose for this study becomes essential as it affects banking system operations in general, as this nexus between bank capital / earnings / regulations are seldom researched although it is often stressed as a key policy issue in regulating banks in developing countries, and India is no exception to it. Several internal factors affecting a bank’s profitability include diversion of funds for expansion, diversification, taking up new projects, promoting associate concerns, cost overruns during the project implementation stage, business (product, marketing, etc.) failure, inefficient management, strained labor relations, inappropriate technical problems, product obsolescence, etc., while external factors include recession, non-payment in other countries, input shortage, price escalation, accidents and natural calamities (Muniappan, 2002). Hence, the main objective of this paper is to investigate whether the increasing capital adequacy ratios in the last 3 years through the previously implemented Basel norms produce the desired increase in the bank’s profitability, thereby reducing risky lendings and NPA’s. An empirical verification of the association between capital regulations and bank management’s capital decisions might provide some clue about the effectiveness of a regulatory framework of India's banking system operation. With the other Asian nations successfully adopting Basel norms prior to India, (Malaysia adopting Basel I in 1989 with 8% CAR Ratio and further increasing it to 10% in 1999), the risk coverage was widened for the banks, further enhancing profitability (Rubi Ahmed & M. Ariff, 2009). This paper aims to identify the impact of the increased capital adequacy ratio and its contribution towards the profitability of private sector banks in India. HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, AXIS Bank and YES Bank have been the top 5 players in the private sector banks in the country, and hence have been chosen for the purpose of the study. Over the last decade, majority of these banks have enjoyed high earnings in India. This could also majorly be due to the excellent economic outlooks; however, a study needs to be performed as to how much have the increased capital adequacy ratios contributed to the bank’s vault. Our findings may also help to establish some benchmarks for future studies on bank capital adequacy ratios and to evaluate the usefulness of higher regulatory capital standards as imposed by regulators to promote sound lendings by private sector banks in India. II. LITERATURE REVIEW Profitability is the prime motive of private sector banks in India and the only source for their survival, growth, expansion and diversification. Several attempts were made previously to empirically evaluate the effect of capital adequacy requirement on bank profitability include but are not limited to the following: Staikouras and Wood (2004) found that bank profitability is positively affected by the variables of concentration and market share. Sayilgan and Yildirim (2009) through their study had found that capital adequacy positively impacts on profitability on banks. Financial performance is an assessment of the financial conditions or profitability of a bank in order to gain insight into the health of the bank using an index that relates two pieces of financial data, called financial ratios (Torbira and Zaagha, 2016). Some previous studies have attempted to show that capital adequacy measures indeed influence the financial performance variable of businesses in general and banks in particular. Onoalapo and Olufemi (2012) study reveal that, capital adequacy ratio did not reflect the profitability of banks represented by Return on Assets, Return on Capital Employed and Percentage of Profit before Tax. Similarly, Santos (2000) asserts that bank regulation through higher capital requirements negatively affect bank development and credit expansion by increasing fixed and operating costs. However, Ezike and Oke (2013) study shows that capital adequacy proxied by Shareholders Fund exert positive influence on banks’ profit, total assets, total deposits, return on assets, earnings per share, loans and advances and credit risk, although not all were statistically significant. Asikhia & Sokefun (2013), examined the effect of capital adequacy on profitability of deposit- taking banks in Nigeria. The study was performed to assess the effect of Capital Adequacy of both foreign and domestic banks in Nigeria and their profitability. The results derived from the study revealed that there was a strong positive relationship between the capital adequacy ratio and the profitability of banks in Nigeria. However, given the situation, other internal and external factors were also responsible for the results to be derived as expected. Considering the Indian economy, the volume, leverage and quantum of banking transactions vary and factor-wise impact may also make a difference. Hence, it is difficult to state that a similar situation exists with the private sector banks in our country. Agbeja, O., Adelakun, O.J., & Olufemi, F. I. (2015), examined whether or not capital adequacy ratio affects bank profitability, it also analyzes the effect of loans and advances on bank profitability as well as the impact of capital adequacy ratio on banks’ exposure to credit risk. This study also had similar results that higher the capital adequacy ratio, higher the profitability of the banks. As most of the countries mentioned in the literature review have varied results and findings, it is necessary to consider that the results derived
  • 3. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962 Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021) www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5 39 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. from this study will be based upon the time period selected, considering other internal and external variables observing normal mode of deviation (not too fluctuating or changing). III. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 3.1 Problem Statement Over the years researchers have studied the problems related to how profits play a crucial role for the survival of banks. It has been observed that when the bank’s monitor their credit control techniques strictly, the profitability increases and losses are reduced. Heavy losses affect the bank’s lending capacity, further decreasing the profitability, which further stresses several other factors. The bank’s health is determined by its profitability which in turn is affected by the efficiency shown by a bank in managing its lendings. There is abundant literature available on the profitability concern for private sector banks and several studies have denoted the reasons for the same. However, there is an acute lacuna when it comes to the contribution of capital adequacy towards the profitability of private sector banks in India, in specific. This study aims to cover the phenomenon not studied earlier for the selected banks for the last 3 years and identify the relationship between the two variables, namely Capital Adequacy (Variable 1) and Profitability (Variable 2). 3.2 Objectives of the Study The main objectives of the study are: 1. To study the capital adequacy trend along with concurrent profitability for selected private sector banks in India. 2. To identify the relation of the bank’s capital adequacy ratio with the bank’s profits 3. To analyze the impact of changing capital adequacy ratio on the bank’s profitability 4. To assess the contribution of capital adequacy towards the bank’s profitability 3.3 Period of the Study This study intends to examine the impact of capital adequacy ratios on the profitability of the selected private sector banks in India. The 5 banks are selected to measure the profitability over the last 3 financial years from 2017-18 to 2019-20. 3.4 Scope of the Study This study is designed to understand the impact of change of a bank’s capital adequacy on its overall profitability. While the various factors contributing to the bank’s profitability have been studied earlier, the impact of capital adequacy ratio on the profitability of private sector banks is poorly understood. The scope of the study is limited to the 5 private sector banks selected for the time period specified above. 3.5 Data Source This research is purely analytical research based on Secondary data collected from the list of sources which are mentioned in Annexure I. The data for the purpose has been collected from the annual reports of the concerned banks. For the purpose of verifying the quantum of the data collected, additional sources were referred to for support, mentioned in Annexure II. 3.6 Data Collection The data relating to Profitability and Capital Adequacy for this research paper was collected from various sources, some of which are government databases and are reliable for our study like www.rbi.org.in, www.moneycontrol.com, www.bseindia.com, the official websites of the banks taken for this study and from other additional sources. 3.7 Research Design This study employs the quantitative research design. This is because the study involves events that have already taken place. Annual aggregate bank data on return on assets, total qualifying capital and net profits, capital adequacy ratios, total advances, deposits and return on assts has been generated from secondary sources (Annual Reports of the banks) for the period of 2017 to 2020). The research design selected for the purpose of this study is Longitudinal Correlation Design. The two variables to be analyzed for the purpose of this study include Capital Adequacy and Net Profits. To identify the relation between the two variables, Pearson’s Correlation has been used. The study intends to observe the collected data without trying to influence any of the variables involved. The design is selected to establish a real sequence of the events and to derive the results while maintaining the quantum of accuracy. The following charts and diagrams signify the Year Wise, Bank Wise and Overall Bank Statistics with regards to Capital Adequacy Ratios, Gross Profits, Net Profits and Net Profits percentage to earnings. The effort taken in the process is to identify the behavior of the year on year changing CAR Ratio towards the Net profits of the selected banks. All information needed for the purpose of the study was collected from reliable government sources and any excess information which is irrelevant for the purpose of this study hitherto has been discarded. Hypothesis testing has been performed to test the derived results out of this study. The results were tested under One Null Hypothesis (H0) and One Alternate Hypothesis (H1) as follows: H0: There is no relation between Capital Adequacy and Net Profits of the banks. H1: There is a relation between Capital Adequacy and Net Profits of the banks.
  • 4. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962 Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021) www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5 40 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. Table 1.1: Overall Bank Data for 3 Financial Years The above table depicts the overall bank data for the last three financial years from 2017 eighteen till 2019 20 for the five selected banks. As per the annual reports HDFC Bank has reported an increasing net profit year on year, which is in line with its increasing capital adequacy ratio for all the three years. On the other hand, ICICI bank has seen a dip in net profits for be financially or 2018 nineteen which appears to be consequent to its reduced capital adequacy ratio. Kotak bank also has seen a dip in the capital adequacy ratio for the financial year 2018 nineteen followed by a marginal increase in the capital adequacy ratio thereby increasing its profitability for financial year 2019 twenty as compared to the previous financial year. in the case of YES bank considering the scam that was revealed two years ago, is bank had seen highest dip in the capital adequacy ratio as compared to all the other banks considered for the purpose of the study. While computing YES bank’s profitability, it happens to be the only bank with a net loss for financial year 2019 20 with a consequent decrease in its capital adequacy ratio and tier one capital ratio, and hence a challenge in the analysis. The trend with Axis Bank seems to be unstable as far as net profits of the bank are concerned, however, the bank has shown a steady increase in the operating profits year on year as per its financial records it's an annual report as follows: Axis Bank Operating Profit (₹. in Cr) FY 2017-18 – 15594 FY 2018-19 – 19005 FY 2019-20 – 23438 Figure 1.1: Net Profits for the banks for the 3 Financial Years Sr. No Bank Name Year CAR Ratio Tier 1Capital Ratio Deposits Gross Advances (₹ in Cr) Net profit (₹ in Cr) Increase in Profitability Return on Assets (ROA) 2017-18 14.8 13.25 788771 658333 17487 - 1.93 2018-19 17.1 15.78 923141 819401 21078 20.50% 1.9 2019-20 18.5 17.23 1147502 993703 26257.3 24.60% 2.01 2017-18 18.42 14.35 560975 512395 6777 - 0.87 2018-19 16.89 15.09 652920 586647 3363 -50.37627269 0.39 2019-20 16.11 14.72 770969 645290 7931 135.8311032 0.81 2017-18 18.2 17.6 1912357 205997 6201 - 1.73 2018-19 17.5 16.9 2248242 243462 7204 16.17481051 1.69 2019-20 17.9 17.3 2406002 249879 8593 19.28095502 1.87 2017-18 18.4 13.2 200738 203534 4225 0 1.6 2018-19 16.5 11.3 227610 241500 1720 -59.28994083 0.5 2019-20 8.5 6.5 105363 171443 -16418 -1054.534884 -5.1 2017-18 16.57 13.04 640105 439650 276 - 0.04 2018-19 15.84 12.54 548471 494798 4677 1594.565217 0.63 2019-20 17.53 14.49 640105 571424 1627 -65.21274321 0.2 1 2 3 4 5 HDFC BANK ICICI BANK KOTAK BANK YES BANK AXIS BANK
  • 5. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962 Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021) www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5 41 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. Figure 1.1 depicts the year-on-year net profits for all the five banks selected. As per market capitalization, HDFC Bank holds the largest states in the private banking sector in our country. Answering the huge and varied diversification the bank has recorded are your own your increase in the net profits but the subsequent increase in the capital adequacy ratio as well. the second player in the league being ICICI bank stands to be the second strongest. Kotak bank has also emerged as a new player in the private banking sector in India has still managed to become an integral part of the top three private sector banks in our country with a constantly increasing net profit recorded here on your basis and stop. The focus of Axis Bank all domain an increasing that operating profit trend year-on- year basis has been establishing a diversified portfolio further giving relevance to write off bad debts which in turn resulted and overall end the net profits for the financial year 2019-20. The YES BANK scam DID impact the financial statements brutally and further reduction of the CAR ratio has led to not only heavy losses but also a negative return on assets for the bank. Figure 1.2: Capital Adequacy Ratio to Net Profit Comparison for 3 Financial years Figure 1.2 is a clear indication that the net profits of the banks have a similar alignment to the capital adequacy ratios of the selected banks. The bank’s net profits align considerably parallel to the bank’s overall profitability. To understand if the relation between the capital adequacy ratio and net profit of each bank is aligned in a similar pattern, a year wise bifurcation has been done to understand if both the variables align in a similar pattern. Further data analysis on the collected data have been performed to understand the statistical results on a year wise basis. -20000 -15000 -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 HDFC BANK ICICI BANK KOTAK BANK YES BANK AXIS BANK CAR to Net Profit Comparison CAR Ratio Net profit (₹ in Cr)
  • 6. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962 Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021) www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5 42 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. Table 1.2: Year-wise comparison of Capital Adequacy to Profitability The above table clearly depicts the statistics for each year consolidated for all banks collectively. The Standard Deviation achieved year-wise for the selected private sector banks collectively is derived at 1.58 for 2017-18, 0.63 for 2018-19 and 4.12 for 2019-20. However, the major component that describes the relationship between the two variables selected and also is the major indicator for the purpose of this study is the correlation between the capital adequacy ratio and the net profits of the private sector banks. looking at the correlation trend year wise, we have a changing relationship between the CAR Ratio and the bank’s profitability. On the basis of the literature review, it is true that CAR ratio may not be the only factor to contribute towards the bank’s profitability. Considering a year-wise analysis, the Correlation is –0.62 for 2017-18, 0.40 for 2018-19 and 0.85 for 2019-20. The negative correlation derived for 2017-18 is due to the sudden changes faced by private banks in 2017, in line with the implementation of BASEL III norms. However, to understand and establish a relation between the CAR ratio and its impact on the overall profitability of the selected banks, the overall correlation for all 3 years was needed to be derived on the basis of overall analysis of the data collected and presented in Table 1.1. The year-wise data reflects inconsistency in the correlation between the 2 variables studied for the purpose of this research paper. However, as per the analysis, the correlation seems to be changing on a year-on-year basis, hence to identify the sensitivity between the variables, a further analysis of bank-wise analysis has been conducted. Table 1.3: Descriptive Statistics for Table 1.1 A per Table 1.3, considering the risk to return ratio, the standard deviation for CAR Ratio is derived at 2.47, whereas that for ROA is derived at 1.760. A negative skew denotes that the mean of the CAR and profitability for the selected banks is less than the mode. It signifies that out of the total banks selected, most of the banks have shown a similar reaction to the CAR ratio for the given time period. Considering the tail of distribution through Kurtosis, it denotes as a Platykurtic as the CAR and profitability seem to have a spread-out distribution, resulting in flattening of the trend line, as earlier displayed in Figure 1.2. It denotes that the two variables have a relatively spread-out sensitivity and are not hyper-reactive to each other. On analyzing the overall distribution, we can reach a point that helps us to analyze the overall results from this study for the considered time period. Bank Name CAR Ratio Net Profits CAR Ratio Net Profits CAR Ratio Net Profits HDFC Bank 14.8 17487 17.1 21078 18.5 26257.3 ICICI Bank 18.42 6777 16.89 3363 16.11 7931 Kotak Bank 18.2 6201 17.5 7204 17.9 8593 YES Bank 18.4 4225 16.5 1720 8.5 -16418 Axis Bank 16.57 276 15.84 4677 17.53 1627 Mean 17.278 6993.2 16.766 7608.4 15.708 5598.06 Std Deviation 1.585472 0.631253 4.124218 Co-Variance -5066.22 1591.276 43327.97 Correlation -0.6246 0.404374 0.855879 Year-Wise Statistics 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 Net profit (₹ in Cr) Increase in Profitability Mean 16.584 Mean 6733.22 Mean 42.45928304 Mean 0.738 Standard Error 0.640298 Standard Error 2543.679928 Standard Error 137.7703848 Standard Error 0.454474265 Median 17.1 Median 6201 Median 0 Median 0.87 Std Deviation 2.479864 Standard Deviation 9851.629998 Standard Deviation 533.5824059 Standard Deviation 1.760171258 Sample Variance 6.149726 Sample Variance 97054613.63 Sample Variance 284710.1839 Sample Variance 3.098202857 Kurtosis 8.807596 Kurtosis 1.965196159 Kurtosis 8.294156157 Kurtosis 9.652492913 Skewness -2.739974 Skewness -0.116697479 Skewness 1.728671632 Skewness -2.875600043 CAR Ratio Return on Assets (ROA)
  • 7. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962 Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021) www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5 43 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. Table 1.4: Overall Summary Bank-wise and Year-wise Overall Standard Deviation was derived at 2.47. After analyzing the collected data and applying Pearson’s Correlation to it, the overall correlation between the two variables was derived at 0.411. A positive correlation denotes that there is a positive relationship between the two variables, which means that every increase in variable 1 will lead to a subsequent increase in variable 2. As the correlation derived does not equate to ZERO, the null hypothesis H0 does not stand to be valid, and hence is VOID. To further elaborate on H1, as the correlation derived is a POSITIVE 0.411, it is clear that there is a significant positive relation between the CAR ratio and the net profits of the bank for the time period selected. Considering the changing correlation each year, a further analysis of variances (ANOVA) is performed to understand the degree of sensitivity of subsequent change in Variable 2 with each change in Variable 1. The results derived were as follows: Table 1.5: ANOVA TEST on Variable 1 and 2 The results derived from ANOVA testing is F- value 6.97 and P-Value 0.01. The huge F-Value also supports the earlier analysis of hypothesis testing done, clearly ruling out H0 as void. The P-value derived from the data analysis is 0.01, further strongly proving alternate hypothesis H1 to be true from the above study. IV. RESULTS AND FINDINGS On the basis of application of the research tools and methods, the findings from the testings performed are as follows: ANOVA Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit Rows 679588274.1 14 48542019.58 1.000606 0.49955553 2.483725741 Columns 338348993.7 1 338348993.7 6.974456 0.019369423 4.600109937 Error 679176402.8 14 48512600.2 Total 1697113671 29
  • 8. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962 Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021) www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5 44 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. Application of Pearson’s Correlation on a year- wise basis derived contradictory results, with 2017-18 having a negative correlation between Variable 1 and 2, whereas 2018-19 and 2019-20 having a positive correlation between Variable 1 and 2. The overall results derived reflect a positive correlation between the variables, further proving that other external factors being constant, a bank’s higher capital adequacy ratio will have an increase in its overall profitability. To further elaborate the studied data and results, the year-wise correlation does not appear to be stable or moving at a constant pace along the axis. This is an important indication that there could be other factors responsible for the bank’s overall profitability, which appears as a limitation to this study. Also, from the analysis it is clear that the degree of change in net profits is not equal to the degree of change in the CAR ratio for the banks. Hence, although the direction of change is the same, the velocity differs. As per our analysis, it is understood that capital adequacy ratio is one of the important and contributing factors towards the profitability of private sector banks in India. However, we are depicting the possibility for it i.e. CAR not be the only contributing factor to a bank’s profitability. V. CONCLUSION This study evaluated the changing trend of capital adequacy ratio and its subsequent impact on the profitability of private sector banks in India. Though the years studied, it has been identified that increase in capital adequacy has resulted in an increase in the overall profitability and the return on assets for private sector banks in India. As the private sector banks become profitable, it reduces the propensity of losses to the banking sector in India, and apparently aims towards achieving a stable banking sector and system in the country. The study also derived an observation that capital adequacy is not the only factor to yield high profitability for the banks, and hence, bank regulators should not only focus on maintaining a high capital adequacy, but also focus on strategic monitoring and regular evaluations in order to maintain the bank’s financial strength and stability, further increasing the bank’s overall performance. Private sector banks have been the major contributors in India, and their performance will have a parallel impact on the economy. With the predicted implementation of BASEL IV norms in India, it will become all but difficult for the private sector banks to design the pattern of lendings and stand strong against the ever-merging public sector banks in our country. As a measure of recommendation, private sector banks should focus on effective internal control to absorb any external shocks that it faces. As those remains an area of concern for a few loss-making private sector banks, stabilizing the CAR Ratio while focussing on risk averse lending’s with high earning potential appears as the only ray of hope over the horizon in years to come. REFERENCES [1] Saona. (2011). An integrated model of capital structure to study the differences in the speed of adjustment to target corporate debt maturity among developed countries. Int. J. Banking, Accounting and Finance, 3(4). [2] Muniappan. (2002). The NPA overhang, magnitude, solutions and legal reforms. Reserve Bank of India. [3] Rubi Ahmed & M. Ariff. (2009). The determinants of bank capital ratios in a developing economy. CARF-F-147, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo. [4] Staikouras, C. K. & Wood, G. E. (2004). The determinants of european bank profitability. International Business & Economics Research Journal (IBER), 3(6) 57- 68. [5] Sayilgan, G. & Yildirim, O. (2009). Determinants of profitability in Turkish banking sector: 2002- 2007. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 28, 207-214. [6] Torbira, L. L & Zaagha, A.S. (2016). Capital adequacy measures and bank financial performance in Nigeria: A cointegration analysis. Journal of Finance and Economic Research, 3(1). [7] Arogbeyen, O. & Olufemi, J. (2011). The impact of recapitalization and consolidation on banks cost of equity in Nigeria. International Journal of Business Management, 5(3), 159-165. [8] Santos J. A. C. (2000). Bank capital regulation in contemporary banking theory: A review of literature. BIS Working Paper, 90, 1-32. [9] Ezike E.E & Oke M.O. (2013). Capital adequacy standards, basel accord and bank performance: The Nigerian experience (A case study of selected banks in Nigeria). Asian Economic and Financial Review, 3(2), 146-159. [10] Asikhia, O & Sokefun. (2013). Capital adequacy and bank profitability: Empirical evidence from Nigeria. American Internal Journal of Contemporary Research, 3(10). [11] Agbeja, O., Adelakun, O.J., & Olufemi, F. I. (2015). Capital adequacy ratio and bank profitability in Nigeria: A linear approach. International Journal of Novel Research in Marketing Management and Economics, 2(3), 91-99. [12] Chandrasegaran, Larojan. (2020). Capital adequacy requirements and profitability: An empirical study on banking industry in Sri Lanka. Journal of Economics and Business, 3(2).
  • 9. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research e-ISSN: 2250-0758 | p-ISSN: 2394-6962 Volume-11, Issue-5 (October 2021) www.ijemr.net https://doi.org/10.31033/ijemr.11.5.5 45 This Work is under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. Annexure 1: Data Sources Sr. No Particulars 1 HDFC Bank Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20 2 AXIS Bank Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20 3 YES BANK Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20 4 KOTAK Bank Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20 5 ICICI Bank Annual Report 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20 6 www.rbi.org.in 7 www.moneycontrol.com 8 www.economictimes.com 9 www.business-standard.com