American Express: An Owners Manual for Investors
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As an owner of American Express stock, you are entitled to a share of the company's earnings. American Express' 12-month earnings were $5.8 billion, or $5.54 per share. Its current price-to-earnings ratio is 12.94, implying an earnings yield of 7.7% compared to other typical investments. While shareholders do not receive direct payments of earnings per share, American Express pays quarterly dividends currently yielding 1.62% of the share price. Analysts expect the company's earnings to grow in the current and next fiscal years.
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Warren Salvodon
Ashford University
BUS401
September 10, 2021
Part 1: Dividend Analysis
Date
Name
Price
Dividend
Yield
Annual growth rate
05/05/2021
Duke Energy Corp
100.54
3.82
-
2%
05/06/2020
Duke Energy Corp
80.31
3.75
-
3%
05/01/2019
Duke Energy Corp
89.81
3.64
-
4%
05/02/2018
Duke Energy Corp
79.76
3.49
-
4%
05/03/2017
Duke Energy Corp
82.59
3.36
-
4%
05/04/2016
Duke Energy Corp
80.18
3.24
4.54
3%
05/06/2015
Duke Energy Corp
76.81
3.15
3.77
2%
04/30/2014
Duke Energy Corp
74.58
3.09
4.48
1%
05/01/2013
Duke Energy Corp
74.78
3.03
4.75
4%
05/02/2012
Duke Energy Corp
64.20
2.97
4.50
3%
05/04/2011
Duke Energy Corp
56.16
2.91
5.45
3%
The Most Recent 10, 5 and 3 Years
Date
Annual growth rate
05/05/2021
2%
05/06/2020
3%
05/01/2019
4%
05/02/2018
4%
05/03/2017
4%
05/04/2016
3%
05/06/2015
2%
04/30/2014
1%
05/01/2013
4%
05/04/2011
3%
Period of Years
Average dividend growth rate
10 yrs
3%
5 yrs
3.4%
3 yrs
3%
Summary of the Dividend Growth
The average dividend growth for the company has remained constant at 3% in both periods. However, the average growth over the last five years had a slight increase of 0.4% compared to other periods (Insider, 2021). During the previous ten years, the company’s average growth was impacted by the constant dividends it paid. It continuously inclined from 1% to 4%. Over the last five recent years, the average increased as it stagnated at 4% in about three consecutive years (Thakur, 2021). However, over the previous three recent years, the average dividend growth declined with the decline of dividends it paid during the period of years.
Distinct Estimates of the Future Dividend Growth Rate
Based on the Low-End Growth Rate and its dividend growth rate, the company has reached its minimum, and the only way is forward. It is likely to increase its dividend growth to 3%, and after another, it may jump to 4% when High-End Growth Rate is the concern. Howeve ...
FIN 370 Week 2 Problem Sets
Students are assigned problems from chapters 5-8 of their finance textbook to calculate time value of money concepts such as present and future value, interest rates, bond valuation, and stock valuation using the dividend discount model. The problems are to be completed in Microsoft Excel or Word and submitted through the online system. Templates are provided for some of the problems. Students must show their work and analysis and format their assignment consistent with APA guidelines.
Stated and effective interest rate
This document discusses stated and effective annual interest rates. It begins by explaining how corporate finance textbooks typically cover the calculation of stated and effective annual interest rates. However, it notes that textbooks often fail to provide additional important context. Specifically, textbooks do not clarify that interest is usually paid at the end of a period, not the beginning, and do not address whether rates with different compounding methods are truly equivalent. The document then provides an expanded explanation of these issues and cautions readers to think critically about interest rate conversions.
Financial management
1. The document provides financial information about a company including its capital structure, long-term debt instruments, preferred stock, and common stock.
2. Key figures given include annual revenues of $9 billion, a capital structure of 34% long-term debt, 3% preferred stock, and 63% common stock. Details are provided on two long-term debt instruments, the preferred stock, and the common stock.
3. The document poses 10 questions asking the reader to calculate various metrics like yield and required rate of return based on the information provided, and to evaluate whether investments in the company's bonds and stock would be recommended.
Finance 1 3
This document provides an introduction to corporate finance concepts including:
- The roles and responsibilities of financial managers in making capital budgeting, capital structure, and working capital decisions.
- The three major forms of business organization: sole proprietorship, partnership, and corporation.
- The goal of financial management and agency problems that can arise between owners and managers.
- Basic definitions related to present and future value, interest rates, and discount rates.
- Formulas for calculating future and present values of single and multiple cash flows.
Chapter7 an introduction to risk and return
This chapter discusses risk and return in financial markets. It defines realized and expected rates of return as well as risk. Historically, riskier investments like small stocks have achieved higher average returns than less risky investments like government bonds, but also experienced greater price fluctuations. The chapter compares arithmetic and geometric average returns and explains why the geometric average best measures the compound growth rate. The efficient market hypothesis posits that market prices instantly reflect all available information.
09 Chapter modelChapter 9. Stocks and Their Valuation (Models)Thi.docx
09 Chapter modelChapter 9. Stocks and Their Valuation (Models)This model is similar to the bond valuation models developed in Chapter 7 in that we employ discounted cash flow analysis to find the value of a firm's stock.THE DISCOUNTED DIVIDEND MODEL (Section 9-4)The value of any financial asset is equal to the present value of future cash flows provided by the asset. Stocks can be evaluated in two ways: (1) by finding the present value of the expected future dividends, or (2) by finding the present value of the firm's expected future free cash flows, subtracting the market value of the debt and preferred stock to find the total value of the common equity, and then dividing that total value by the number of shares outstanding to find the value per share. Both approaches are examined in this spreadsheet.When an investor buys a share of stock, he/she typically expects to receive cash in the form of dividends and then, eventually, to sell the stock and to receive cash from the sale. Moreover, the price any investor receives is dependent upon the dividends the next investor expects to earn, and so on for different generations of investors. The basic dividend valuation equation is:P0 =D1+D2+. . . .Dn( 1 + rs )( 1 + rs ) 2( 1 + rs ) nThe dividend stream theoretically extends on out forever, i.e., n = infinity. It would not be feasible to deal with an infinite stream of dividends, but if dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate, we can use the constant growth equation as developed in the text to find the value.CONSTANT GROWTH STOCKS (Section 9-5)In the constant growth model, we assume that the dividend will grow forever at a constant growth rate. This is a very strong assumption, but for stable, mature firms, it can be reasonable to assume that the firm will experience some ups and downs throughout its life but those ups and downs balance each other out and result in a long-term constant rate. In addition, we assume that the required return for the stock is a constant. With these assumptions, the price equation for a common stock simplifies to the following expression:P 0 =D 1( r s − g )The long-run growth rate (g) is especially difficult to measure, but one approximates this rate by multiplying the firm's return on equity by the fraction of earnings retained, ROE x
(1 – Payout ratio). Generally speaking, the long-run growth rate is likely to fall between 5% and 8%.EXAMPLEAllied Food Products just paid a dividend of $1.15, and the dividend is expected to grow at a constant rate of 8.3%. What stock price is consistent with these numbers, assuming a 13.7% required return?D0$2.15g8.3%rs13.7%P0 =D1=D0 (1+g)=$2.33( rs − g )( rs − g )0.054P0 =$43.12STOCK PRICE SENSITIVITYOne of the keys to understanding stock valuation is knowing how various factors affect the stock price. We construct below a series of data tables and a graph to show how the stock price is affected by changes in the dividend, the growth rate, and rs. R ...
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American Express: An Owners Manual for Investors
- 1. American Express An Owner's Manual for Investors
- 2. you're entitled to a share of its earnings. As an owner of American Express' stock
- 4. If you divide AMEX's share price by its earnings per share (EPS), you get its price-to-earnings ratio.
- 5. P/E Ratio = Share Price EPS 12.94= $71.65 $5.54 = This is how much it costs to buy $1 of AMEX's annual earnings.
- 6. A higher P/E ratio implies a lower potential return.
- 7. 1 10 100 1,000 100 Biggest S&P Companies P/ERatio Most companies have P/E ratios between 12 and 30 What is a Typical Stock's P/E Ratio?
- 8. You can also use American Express' P/E ratio to derive its earnings yield.
- 10. This helps you compare a stock to other types of investments, such as bonds and real estate.
- 11. 7.73% 6.63% 4.33% 2.90% 2.45%2.21% AMEX's Earnings Yield Class A Office Building Cap Rate S&P 500 Earnings Yield 10-Year AAA Corp. Bonds 5-Year CDs 10-Year Treasuries Average Rates of Return
- 12. Of course, if you own one share of American Express stock, you don't get a check each year for its EPS.
- 13. You receive quarterly dividends instead, which typically account for only a portion of total earnings.
- 14. 20% AMEX's Payout Ratio The payout ratio is the percent of earnings paid as dividends. Anywhere from 30% to 70% is normal.
- 15. 1.62%American Express' Dividend Yield
- 17. You can then use this to compare stocks based on their income- generating potential.
- 18. 1.62% 3.57% 3.33% 2.72% 1.64% 0.71% AMEX Exxon Walmart Wells Fargo Comcast Visa Representative Dividend Yields
- 19. AMEX also buys back its own stock.
- 20. This reduces its share count, which increases the ownership interest of each remaining share.
- 22. American Express' stock? So, what does the future hold for
- 23. AMEX 51% S&P 500 119% -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% Today20132011200920072005 If the Past is Prologue... Total return since Jan. 1, 2005
- 24. American Express' earnings to grow. While it's impossible to predict the future with precision, analysts expect
- 25. $5.28 $5.43 Current Fiscal Year Next Fiscal Year Average Earnings per Share Estimate Among Wall Street Analysts Divining American Express' Future
- 26. Looking for more information like this? The Motley Fool’s mission is to help the world invest better. We’ve done this over the past 20 years by thinking long term and outside the box – even if that means turning Wall Street on its head. To receive a special free report about what The Motley Fool thinks might be the next big industry to come out of Silicon Valley, click here now.