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The PHM X  Technology – Risk minimization Jacek S. Stecki PHM Technology X  PHM -  Prognostics and Health Management
Key issues – Risk drivers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Integrated Logistics Support ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Integrated Logistics Support Assuring continued operation and functioning of the systems
Performance-based Logistics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Reliability - Availability – Maintainability (RAM) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risk reduction – CBM/PHM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PHM - Fusion of the technologies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PHM Paradigm (Joint Strike Fighter F35)
Goals of PHM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Autonomic logistics support (JSF) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PHM Architecture and Enabling Technologies – JSF Program  Air Vehicle On-Board Health Assessment Health Management, Reporting & Recording Autonomic Logistics & Off-Board PHM PVI MAINTAINER VEHICLE INTERFACE Mission Critical PHM Data Displays & Controls Crash Recorder Maintenance Interface Panel IETMs Consumables On-Board Diagnostics PMD PMA In-Flight & Maintenance Data Link Flight Critical PHM / Service Info Database PHM Area  Managers MS Subsys ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Provides: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Methods Used: FCS/Utility Subsystems NVM ICAWS Manager Hosted in VMC AVPHM Hosted in ICP Structures Mission Systems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],VS Propulsion Results In: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],. AMD/PMD
Aerospace / Subsea ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CBM/PHM - what are we dealing with? FMECA Production Losses Reliability Condition monitoring Prognostics Maintenance Detection Diagnosis Algorithms Failure modes Faults Simulation Downtime Testing Risk Minimization $$$$$$$! Training Fall-back Analysis Hazards Safety Training FMECA Standards Training FMECA Reliability Diagnosis Sensor fusion Failure modes BIT Training FMECA Fault Tree ROI FMECA Reliability Sensors Diagnosis Education Failure modes Training Training FMECA Functional Analysis Training Education Sensor fusion Sensor fusion Artificial intelligence Maintainability Availability
Identifying Risk
Reasons for failure of Risk Assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risk reduction or is it? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Barriers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Barriers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risk Assessment FMECA Failure Modes Effects Criticality Analysis What effect does  the failure have ? Criticality Analysis of failure Possible   Failures FM ECA FM E C A FME CA
Risk Assessment – e.g. FMECA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Modeling Failure
Modelling of failure
Dependencies Modelling
All faults are enumerated. Transient and steady-state responses to faults are identified Fault propagation - dependability
Failures  -  Symptoms/Syndromes
Taxonomy problems
Sensor selection
PHM Cycle PHM requires two main cycles of development, design and operation ,[object Object],[object Object]
Interaction between MAD and CBM/PHM Layers at Design Stage MAD –  Maintenance aware Design
Criteria for RCM Processes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MADe software
RR250 Engine Lubrication System
Jet Engine Lubrication System Model
Model of pump
Define Component Structure
Define Component Functions
Define Physical Failures
Propagate  Functional Failures >> Dependency
Assess Criticality
Produce FMEA/FMECA Report
Assess hardware Reliability
Fault Tree
Define Sensors Locations
Select sensors and generate diagnostic rules
CAD concurrent with MADe
PHM Design Cycle Deliverables ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Concluding Remarks
Plan of Presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Preamble ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some Expectations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],based on The Prognostic Requirement for Advanced Sensors and Non-traditional Detection Technologies - A. Hess
Barriers ctd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Analysis of maintenance data from 12 mining sites ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The rise ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Taxonomy issues

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Editor's Notes

  1. [2 min] This slide is intended to be a lead in to Session 2 - Introduction to theory of designing and selecting machinery systems
  2. [2 min] This slide is intended to be a lead in to Session 2 - Introduction to theory of designing and selecting machinery systems
  3. [2 min] This slide is intended to be a lead in to Session 2 - Introduction to theory of designing and selecting machinery systems
  4. [2 min] Renting a motors – performance -based example
  5. [2 min] This slide is intended to be a lead in to Session 2 - Introduction to theory of designing and selecting machinery systems
  6. [2 min] This slide is intended to be a lead in to Session 2 - Introduction to theory of designing and selecting machinery systems