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Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
CLIMATE CHANGE – KEY FINDINGS FROM THE IPCC
FIFTH ASSESSMENT REPORT (AR5) RELEVANT TO IRAN
OUTREACH EVENT ON THE ACTIVITIES AN D FINDINGS
OFTHE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE – THE IPCC
Tehran, IR Iran
18 June 2018
The Islamic Republic of Iran Meteorological Organization (IRIMO)
By: Dr. Mostafa Jafari
IPCC Lead Author, WGIII, Chapter 11, AFOLU
AR6, WGII, Chapter 10, Asia
In the occasion of the meeting:
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
POINTS OF DISCUSSION
The issue could be considered in two dimensions:
I) Direct reference to Iran in the IPCC-ar5 reports
II) Reference to the region like (Middle East, and/ or West Asia)
III) Also we have a glance on Iran' activities in the same time slice
Climate Change – key findings from the IPCC - ar5 relevant to Iran
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
IRAN LISTED AS WEST ASIA GROUP
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
REFERENCE TO IRAN IN IPCC-AR5 REPORTS
Despite of Iranian work on climate change, which have been done in Iran,
the direct reference to Iran location and condition is limited.
Perhaps because of limited access to the available publication.
Few example of direct references are listed here:
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
VULNERABILITY
Biodiversity
IPCC - 2014
AR5
WGII
Chapter 24
Asia
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
ADAPTATION
Disease
Malaria
IPCC - 2014
AR5
WGII
Chapter 24
Asia
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
MIDDLE EAST
IPCC - 2014
AR5
WGII
Chapter 24
Asia
Food price
poverty
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
MIDDLE EAST
IPCC - 2014
AR5
WGIII
Chapter 11
AFOLU
Carbon price
deforestation
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
MIDDLE EAST
IPCC - 2014
AR5
WGIII
Chapter 11
AFOLU
Increase number of animals
CH4 trend
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
MIDDLE
EAST
IPCC - 2014
AR5
WGIII
Chapter 11
AFOLU
Severe water
Scarce
Bioenergy
production
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
SCIENTIFIC COOPERATION – IPCC AR5
Iranian scientists’ cooperation with the latest
report:
IPCC – ar5 - 2014
WGI – Chapter 5 – RE
WGIII – Chapter 11 – LA
IPCC, 2014: Annex IV: Contributors to the IPCC WGIII Fifth Assessment Report. In: Climate Change 2014:
Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Edenhofer, O., R. Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, E. Farahani, S.
Kadner, K. Seyboth, A. Adler, I. Baum, S. Brunner, P. Eickemeier, B. Kriemann, J. Savolainen, S. Schlömer,
C. von Stechow, T. Zwickel and J.C. Minx (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom
and New York, NY, USA.
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
IRAN' ACTIVITIES IN THE SAME TIME SLICE
Valuable reports and analysis produced and published by IRIMO could be
used as source of data and IPCC references for its assessments.
Heavy work have been done on “National Climate Change strategy”
Important data and information available in “3rd National Report on Climate
Change” as national communication to UNFCCC
Some activities such as “National strategic plan on climate change” and “3rd
National Report” could be used as references.
Note: It is a need which an “official” paper, article or report be published.
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
IRAN’S ACTIVITIES UNDER THE UNFCCC
2013
Reported by
National Climate Change Project Manager
(Dr. Mohammad Soltanieh)
Department of Environment
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
RESEARCH PRIORITY
Science, Research and Technology
Climate Change Group
High council of
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
POLICY AND PRIORITIES
Including Climate Change Group
For Research and technology
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
REPORT AND ANALYSIS
No official report
No scientific article
Difficult to use in IPCC report, according to reference regulation
Prepared by office of climate change, department of environment
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
OTHER REPORTS
Governmental report
NGOs or
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
IMPACTS
Uncertinities
Agriculture
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
CONCLUSIONS
National communications to UNFCCC are good source of information
Professional reports and analysis produced by professional agencies such
as IRIMO also are good source of reliable data and information
How it is possible to calculate uncertainties in these reports?
In comparison with peer review papers, How we can consider these reports
to play its role in IPCC assessments?
Which mechanism could facilitate and help IPCC to access to the
scientifically published articles in national level and local languages?
General
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Thank you
mostafajafari@rifr-ac.ir
jafarimostafa@yahoo.com
mostafajafari@libero.it

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Academia - Key Findings from the IPCC - Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) relevant to Iran

  • 1. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report CLIMATE CHANGE – KEY FINDINGS FROM THE IPCC FIFTH ASSESSMENT REPORT (AR5) RELEVANT TO IRAN OUTREACH EVENT ON THE ACTIVITIES AN D FINDINGS OFTHE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE – THE IPCC Tehran, IR Iran 18 June 2018 The Islamic Republic of Iran Meteorological Organization (IRIMO) By: Dr. Mostafa Jafari IPCC Lead Author, WGIII, Chapter 11, AFOLU AR6, WGII, Chapter 10, Asia In the occasion of the meeting:
  • 2. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report POINTS OF DISCUSSION The issue could be considered in two dimensions: I) Direct reference to Iran in the IPCC-ar5 reports II) Reference to the region like (Middle East, and/ or West Asia) III) Also we have a glance on Iran' activities in the same time slice Climate Change – key findings from the IPCC - ar5 relevant to Iran
  • 3. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report IRAN LISTED AS WEST ASIA GROUP
  • 4. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report REFERENCE TO IRAN IN IPCC-AR5 REPORTS Despite of Iranian work on climate change, which have been done in Iran, the direct reference to Iran location and condition is limited. Perhaps because of limited access to the available publication. Few example of direct references are listed here:
  • 5. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report VULNERABILITY Biodiversity IPCC - 2014 AR5 WGII Chapter 24 Asia
  • 6. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 7. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report ADAPTATION Disease Malaria IPCC - 2014 AR5 WGII Chapter 24 Asia
  • 8. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 9. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report MIDDLE EAST IPCC - 2014 AR5 WGII Chapter 24 Asia Food price poverty
  • 10. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report MIDDLE EAST IPCC - 2014 AR5 WGIII Chapter 11 AFOLU Carbon price deforestation
  • 11. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report MIDDLE EAST IPCC - 2014 AR5 WGIII Chapter 11 AFOLU Increase number of animals CH4 trend
  • 12. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report MIDDLE EAST IPCC - 2014 AR5 WGIII Chapter 11 AFOLU Severe water Scarce Bioenergy production
  • 13. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report SCIENTIFIC COOPERATION – IPCC AR5 Iranian scientists’ cooperation with the latest report: IPCC – ar5 - 2014 WGI – Chapter 5 – RE WGIII – Chapter 11 – LA IPCC, 2014: Annex IV: Contributors to the IPCC WGIII Fifth Assessment Report. In: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Edenhofer, O., R. Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, E. Farahani, S. Kadner, K. Seyboth, A. Adler, I. Baum, S. Brunner, P. Eickemeier, B. Kriemann, J. Savolainen, S. Schlömer, C. von Stechow, T. Zwickel and J.C. Minx (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  • 14. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report IRAN' ACTIVITIES IN THE SAME TIME SLICE Valuable reports and analysis produced and published by IRIMO could be used as source of data and IPCC references for its assessments. Heavy work have been done on “National Climate Change strategy” Important data and information available in “3rd National Report on Climate Change” as national communication to UNFCCC Some activities such as “National strategic plan on climate change” and “3rd National Report” could be used as references. Note: It is a need which an “official” paper, article or report be published.
  • 15. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report IRAN’S ACTIVITIES UNDER THE UNFCCC 2013 Reported by National Climate Change Project Manager (Dr. Mohammad Soltanieh) Department of Environment
  • 16. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 17. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 18. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 19. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 20. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 21. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 22. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 23. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 24. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report RESEARCH PRIORITY Science, Research and Technology Climate Change Group High council of
  • 25. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report POLICY AND PRIORITIES Including Climate Change Group For Research and technology
  • 26. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report REPORT AND ANALYSIS No official report No scientific article Difficult to use in IPCC report, according to reference regulation Prepared by office of climate change, department of environment
  • 27. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 28. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
  • 29. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report OTHER REPORTS Governmental report NGOs or
  • 30. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report IMPACTS Uncertinities Agriculture
  • 31. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report CONCLUSIONS National communications to UNFCCC are good source of information Professional reports and analysis produced by professional agencies such as IRIMO also are good source of reliable data and information How it is possible to calculate uncertainties in these reports? In comparison with peer review papers, How we can consider these reports to play its role in IPCC assessments? Which mechanism could facilitate and help IPCC to access to the scientifically published articles in national level and local languages? General
  • 32. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Thank you mostafajafari@rifr-ac.ir jafarimostafa@yahoo.com mostafajafari@libero.it