Financing Companies In The
     New Environment –
Challenges and Opportunities




          A General View with applications to Assisted
                            Living
What is going on in
the World?


  A Personal, Somewhat
  Click to edit Master subtitle style   Pessimistic
  Observation by
  Yuval Binur, Ph.D.
  Accelerated Technologies Partners
Innovations – The Key to
       our Business.
Successful Innovations require:
• Entrepreneurial spirit and culture: allow risk
  taking
• Industrial and academic infrastructure:
  provide trained management and research
  support
• Understanding market unmet needs: ensure
  the right product solutions
• Active and growing local capital market:
  provide the FUEL that move the innovation
  vehicle to success
Let’s focus on the Fuel…

What has changed that affects our
ability to raise capital for medical
             companies?




      and what opportunities arise?
These are the main factors that
have changed and affect our ability
       to finance companies:
• The depressed world economy
• Shifting global markets
• Health care reform (US) and similar
  global H/C system problems
• The changes in H/C unmet needs
• The state of large corporations
• The failure of the VC model
Thunderstorms over the world’s
   economy – how long they will last?

                they will last?




                                   DJIA
                                   2010




“Today, the only trades that can make some money to
 investors last on the average 11 minutes from buy to
                         sell...”
                                   SJP, a NY investment banker
Wow! my family owes
                        $174,132.24 to
                                U.S. NATIONAL DEBT CLOCK
The Outstanding Public Debt as of 05 Sep 2010 at 08:52:07 PM GMT is:


                                                                                                                              

     The estimated population of the United States is
                       309,059,262
         so each citizen's share of this debt is
                       $43,533.06.
     The National Debt has continued to increase an
                        average of
     $4.14 billion per day since September 28, 2007!
Shifting Global Markets

”Empires don’t lose power overnight ,they
   fade away”… and markets follow
We have been slow to recognize the
     emerging new world order:
Our maps still place the Atlantic in
          the center…
Unmet Needs and H/C reform
• Remaining unmet clinical needs that
  can be addressed by current
  technologies are few and difficult
• The #1 killer in the developed world
  is being shifted from CV to Cancer,
  followed by Obesity/Diabetes
• A new family of unmet needs surfaced:
   Cost-cutting therapies to replace more
               expensive ones
Regulatory processes are becoming
     more difficult and costly
• The US          becomes more
  restrictive – they operate from fear
• Costs of meeting regulatory
  requirements are skyrocketing
• We as an industry need to
  understand better the regulatory
  processes in the emerging markets
The State of Large Corporations:
• With disappearing IPO markets,
    corporations are the only exit to full
    liquidity
•   Organic R&D is largely dead despite huge
    mergers in the pharma industry
•   However, to be attractive for acquisition,
    strong IP, proof of concept, advanced
    clinical data and in many cases revenues are
    required.
Now we come to the core:
The failure of the current VC model:

the venture capital model was developed in
     the late ‘50s and was based on a
 supercharged IPO market fueled by the
      emergence of new technologies.
…”Just place your BP and shake the money tree…”




                  Business plan
“My portfolio of venture funds is mostly
  under water, depends only how deep.
They all live on oxygen that is diminishing in
                their tanks…”
                                      A large institutional manager




  Lacking IPO exits, most of the VC funds cannot show returns
     that compensate for the risk taken by the institutional
                           investors
So what do the VCs do?

• To address lack of returns, venture
 capitalists selected a strategy of :
 “Invest only in late stage companies”
                   But
 With no flow of early stage there will
be no late stage companies for them to
                invest in…
A few of the pitfalls of the VC
               Industry:
• In today’s changing world, it takes
  $80m to $200m from inception to
  commercialization of a medical product
• These sums are beyond the typical VC
  capabilities – their answer is syndication
• Syndications create boards of directors
  with conflicting interests, usually all
  VCs
In the last 5 years, incompetent boards
    killed more companies than failed
                technologies
So what do we do?
Optimists, Pessimists




      Let’s be
      realists…
What can we do? A laundry list for
financing medical companies today
(a) Before starting a Company:
• Focus on unmet needs rather than on
  technology
• Plan a long term budget to cash
  break-even point
• Talk to the regulatory and
  reimbursement advisors to get ideas
  as to what the barriers are
• Review IP and FtO carefully
Assisted Living and Market
        opportunities
• Define the unmet needs
• Identify technologies that can address
  the unmet need
• Example: IT in Assist Living
• Build a business model – it is all about
  return on investments
Ageing and ICT

 Social
 •   • 80+ population: doubles until 2050
 •   • 60+ population: from 20% in 1995 to 25% in 2020
 •   • 50+ population: 21% has severe vision/hearing/dexterity problems
 •   • Today 4 working for 1 retired, in 2050 only 2 working for 1 retired
 •   • Cost of pensions/health/long-term care: up by 4-8 % of GDP (2025)
 •   • Shortfall of care staff



 Economy
 • • Wealth and revenues in Europe of persons over 65 is over 3000 B€
 • • Smart homes market will triple between 2005 and 2020
 • • Early patient discharge by tele-health: reduced cost of 1,5 B€ p.a.
     (DE)
 • • Tele-care technology at home: Empowerment of elderly and efficiency
What can we do? A laundry list for
 financing medical companies today (II)
(b) Preparing to raise funds:
• Remember that the value is in the equity – try to
  keep as much of it as long as possible
• Do thorough DD on your funding sources as much
  as they do on your business
• Think out of the box on funding sources – do not
  rush to the VC community:
   – Angles (covered by my colleague in this
     conference
   – Grants and government support (NIH, EU)
   – Early corporate money
   – Friends and family
   – New World money
What can we do? A laundry list for
financing medical companies today (III)
• Establish relations with the BD guys in the
    relevant corporations

• Maintain control within the Board, either
    through majority or through protective
    provisions in the investment agreement
•   Plan exit on day one based on M&A, not
    IPO.
•   Build and maintain a capital efficient
    company
In Summary:

Be realistic                Be focused



Be flexible        Be resilient

          Think out of the box
The old fashioned way is gone:
  No more Vikings to conquer the world



      No more smokestack industries




Old fashioned VC is not optimal any longer
It is all about people…

“…with the world becoming this flat – with so
many distributed tools of innovation
empowering individuals to compete, connect
and collaborate, the most important
competition is between you and your
imagination...” – Tom Friedman
As a final note -
            I am a realist:
♥I  recognize the trends ahead
♥I  believe in people’s abilities
♥I  believe that crisis brings opportunities
♥I  believe in early stage innovative ideas
  that can grow to impact how we live
♥ I look every morning in the mirror and try
  to see the reality
THANK YOU

  TACK

AAL Investment Forum 2010 - Financing companies in the new environment – challenges and opportunities

  • 1.
    Financing Companies InThe New Environment – Challenges and Opportunities A General View with applications to Assisted Living
  • 2.
    What is goingon in the World? A Personal, Somewhat Click to edit Master subtitle style Pessimistic Observation by Yuval Binur, Ph.D. Accelerated Technologies Partners
  • 3.
    Innovations – TheKey to our Business. Successful Innovations require: • Entrepreneurial spirit and culture: allow risk taking • Industrial and academic infrastructure: provide trained management and research support • Understanding market unmet needs: ensure the right product solutions • Active and growing local capital market: provide the FUEL that move the innovation vehicle to success
  • 4.
    Let’s focus onthe Fuel… What has changed that affects our ability to raise capital for medical companies? and what opportunities arise?
  • 5.
    These are themain factors that have changed and affect our ability to finance companies: • The depressed world economy • Shifting global markets • Health care reform (US) and similar global H/C system problems • The changes in H/C unmet needs • The state of large corporations • The failure of the VC model
  • 6.
    Thunderstorms over theworld’s economy – how long they will last? they will last? DJIA 2010 “Today, the only trades that can make some money to investors last on the average 11 minutes from buy to sell...” SJP, a NY investment banker
  • 7.
    Wow! my familyowes $174,132.24 to U.S. NATIONAL DEBT CLOCK The Outstanding Public Debt as of 05 Sep 2010 at 08:52:07 PM GMT is:                                                                                                                                The estimated population of the United States is 309,059,262 so each citizen's share of this debt is $43,533.06. The National Debt has continued to increase an average of $4.14 billion per day since September 28, 2007!
  • 8.
    Shifting Global Markets ”Empiresdon’t lose power overnight ,they fade away”… and markets follow
  • 9.
    We have beenslow to recognize the emerging new world order: Our maps still place the Atlantic in the center…
  • 10.
    Unmet Needs andH/C reform • Remaining unmet clinical needs that can be addressed by current technologies are few and difficult • The #1 killer in the developed world is being shifted from CV to Cancer, followed by Obesity/Diabetes • A new family of unmet needs surfaced: Cost-cutting therapies to replace more expensive ones
  • 11.
    Regulatory processes arebecoming more difficult and costly • The US becomes more restrictive – they operate from fear • Costs of meeting regulatory requirements are skyrocketing • We as an industry need to understand better the regulatory processes in the emerging markets
  • 12.
    The State ofLarge Corporations: • With disappearing IPO markets, corporations are the only exit to full liquidity • Organic R&D is largely dead despite huge mergers in the pharma industry • However, to be attractive for acquisition, strong IP, proof of concept, advanced clinical data and in many cases revenues are required.
  • 13.
    Now we cometo the core: The failure of the current VC model: the venture capital model was developed in the late ‘50s and was based on a supercharged IPO market fueled by the emergence of new technologies. …”Just place your BP and shake the money tree…” Business plan
  • 14.
    “My portfolio ofventure funds is mostly under water, depends only how deep. They all live on oxygen that is diminishing in their tanks…” A large institutional manager Lacking IPO exits, most of the VC funds cannot show returns that compensate for the risk taken by the institutional investors
  • 15.
    So what dothe VCs do? • To address lack of returns, venture capitalists selected a strategy of : “Invest only in late stage companies” But With no flow of early stage there will be no late stage companies for them to invest in…
  • 16.
    A few ofthe pitfalls of the VC Industry: • In today’s changing world, it takes $80m to $200m from inception to commercialization of a medical product • These sums are beyond the typical VC capabilities – their answer is syndication • Syndications create boards of directors with conflicting interests, usually all VCs In the last 5 years, incompetent boards killed more companies than failed technologies
  • 17.
    So what dowe do?
  • 18.
    Optimists, Pessimists Let’s be realists…
  • 19.
    What can wedo? A laundry list for financing medical companies today (a) Before starting a Company: • Focus on unmet needs rather than on technology • Plan a long term budget to cash break-even point • Talk to the regulatory and reimbursement advisors to get ideas as to what the barriers are • Review IP and FtO carefully
  • 20.
    Assisted Living andMarket opportunities • Define the unmet needs • Identify technologies that can address the unmet need • Example: IT in Assist Living • Build a business model – it is all about return on investments
  • 21.
    Ageing and ICT Social • • 80+ population: doubles until 2050 • • 60+ population: from 20% in 1995 to 25% in 2020 • • 50+ population: 21% has severe vision/hearing/dexterity problems • • Today 4 working for 1 retired, in 2050 only 2 working for 1 retired • • Cost of pensions/health/long-term care: up by 4-8 % of GDP (2025) • • Shortfall of care staff Economy • • Wealth and revenues in Europe of persons over 65 is over 3000 B€ • • Smart homes market will triple between 2005 and 2020 • • Early patient discharge by tele-health: reduced cost of 1,5 B€ p.a. (DE) • • Tele-care technology at home: Empowerment of elderly and efficiency
  • 22.
    What can wedo? A laundry list for financing medical companies today (II) (b) Preparing to raise funds: • Remember that the value is in the equity – try to keep as much of it as long as possible • Do thorough DD on your funding sources as much as they do on your business • Think out of the box on funding sources – do not rush to the VC community: – Angles (covered by my colleague in this conference – Grants and government support (NIH, EU) – Early corporate money – Friends and family – New World money
  • 23.
    What can wedo? A laundry list for financing medical companies today (III) • Establish relations with the BD guys in the relevant corporations • Maintain control within the Board, either through majority or through protective provisions in the investment agreement • Plan exit on day one based on M&A, not IPO. • Build and maintain a capital efficient company
  • 24.
    In Summary: Be realistic Be focused Be flexible Be resilient Think out of the box
  • 25.
    The old fashionedway is gone: No more Vikings to conquer the world No more smokestack industries Old fashioned VC is not optimal any longer
  • 26.
    It is allabout people… “…with the world becoming this flat – with so many distributed tools of innovation empowering individuals to compete, connect and collaborate, the most important competition is between you and your imagination...” – Tom Friedman
  • 27.
    As a finalnote - I am a realist: ♥I recognize the trends ahead ♥I believe in people’s abilities ♥I believe that crisis brings opportunities ♥I believe in early stage innovative ideas that can grow to impact how we live ♥ I look every morning in the mirror and try to see the reality
  • 28.