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Introduction to Data Analytics
Lecture: Random Variables and Probability distributions - 2
NPTEL MOOC
By
Prof. Nandan Sudarsanam, DoMS, IIT-M and
Prof. B. Ravindran, CS&E, IIT-M
• Uniform
• Discrete
• The six sided dice, coin toss
• Formula for pdf: 𝑓 𝑋 = 𝑥 =
1
𝑘
for all 𝑥 that belongs to a specific set with k elements
And 𝑓 𝑋 = 𝑥 = 0 for all other values of x.
• Continuous
• Number of seconds past the minute
• Exact age of a randomly selected person between the ages of 50-60
• Formula for PDF:
• What is the CDF, mean and Variance?
CDF =
𝑥−𝑎
𝑏−𝑎
Mean =
1
2
(𝑏 + 𝑎)
Variance =
1
12
(𝑏 − 𝑎)2
Common distributions
1
for a x b
(x)= b-a
0 for x<a and x>b
f
 
 
 
 
 
 
1/(b-a)
Common distributions
• Binomial
• What is it + Example: Toy problem
• Example Real-world: Probability of 3 out of 10 mergers. Probability of there
being 5 defective products in a batch of 20.
• Formula for PMF:
• Formula for CDF is just the summation
• It is more useful for small n’s
• Mean: np, variance: np(1-p)
k
n
k
p
p
k
n 









)
1
(
• Poisson
• Discrete distribution that signifies the probability of ‘x’ occurrences of a
certain event over a certain period of time or space.
• Examples: Number of defaults per month, Number of banks per square
kilometre.
• PMF (not PDF)
• Mean and variance are 𝜆 (lambda >0)
Common distributions

 
e
k
k
!
Common distribution
1
(1 )k
p p


1 (1 )k
p
 
Common distributions
• Exponential
• The interarrival times of the Poisson distribution
• The continuous version of the geometric distribution
• Memoryless
• PDF: 𝜆𝑒−𝜆𝑥, where lambda>0
• CDF: 1-𝑒−𝜆𝑥
• Mean:
1
𝜆
• Variance:
1
𝜆2
Common distributions
Interarival Distribution
Count per unit interarrival
distribution
Discrete Interarrival Geometric Binomial
Continuous interarrival Exponential Poisson
Continuous Distribution
Discrete Distribution
• Parallels to the Binomial, Exponential, Geometric
working with distributions
• Going from PDF to CDF (continuous)
𝐹 𝑥 = 𝑓 𝑥 𝑑𝑥
𝑥
−∞
• Going from CDF to PDF (continuous)
𝑓 𝑥 =
𝑑
𝑑𝑥
𝐹(𝑥)
• Mean
• Variance/Standard deviation
1 2 ... n
x x x
x
n
  
  
1
i i
i
E x p x


    ( )
E x xf x dx


 
2
1
1
( )
1
n
i
i
s x x
N 
 

 𝜎 =
1
𝑁
(𝑥𝑖 − 𝜇)2
𝑁
𝑖=1
𝑝𝑖 = 𝜎 = 𝑥2𝑓 𝑥 𝑑𝑥 − 𝜇2
∞
−∞

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5.pdf

  • 1. Introduction to Data Analytics Lecture: Random Variables and Probability distributions - 2 NPTEL MOOC By Prof. Nandan Sudarsanam, DoMS, IIT-M and Prof. B. Ravindran, CS&E, IIT-M
  • 2. • Uniform • Discrete • The six sided dice, coin toss • Formula for pdf: 𝑓 𝑋 = 𝑥 = 1 𝑘 for all 𝑥 that belongs to a specific set with k elements And 𝑓 𝑋 = 𝑥 = 0 for all other values of x. • Continuous • Number of seconds past the minute • Exact age of a randomly selected person between the ages of 50-60 • Formula for PDF: • What is the CDF, mean and Variance? CDF = 𝑥−𝑎 𝑏−𝑎 Mean = 1 2 (𝑏 + 𝑎) Variance = 1 12 (𝑏 − 𝑎)2 Common distributions 1 for a x b (x)= b-a 0 for x<a and x>b f             1/(b-a)
  • 3. Common distributions • Binomial • What is it + Example: Toy problem • Example Real-world: Probability of 3 out of 10 mergers. Probability of there being 5 defective products in a batch of 20. • Formula for PMF: • Formula for CDF is just the summation • It is more useful for small n’s • Mean: np, variance: np(1-p) k n k p p k n           ) 1 (
  • 4. • Poisson • Discrete distribution that signifies the probability of ‘x’ occurrences of a certain event over a certain period of time or space. • Examples: Number of defaults per month, Number of banks per square kilometre. • PMF (not PDF) • Mean and variance are 𝜆 (lambda >0) Common distributions    e k k !
  • 5. Common distribution 1 (1 )k p p   1 (1 )k p  
  • 6. Common distributions • Exponential • The interarrival times of the Poisson distribution • The continuous version of the geometric distribution • Memoryless • PDF: 𝜆𝑒−𝜆𝑥, where lambda>0 • CDF: 1-𝑒−𝜆𝑥 • Mean: 1 𝜆 • Variance: 1 𝜆2
  • 7. Common distributions Interarival Distribution Count per unit interarrival distribution Discrete Interarrival Geometric Binomial Continuous interarrival Exponential Poisson Continuous Distribution Discrete Distribution • Parallels to the Binomial, Exponential, Geometric
  • 8. working with distributions • Going from PDF to CDF (continuous) 𝐹 𝑥 = 𝑓 𝑥 𝑑𝑥 𝑥 −∞ • Going from CDF to PDF (continuous) 𝑓 𝑥 = 𝑑 𝑑𝑥 𝐹(𝑥) • Mean • Variance/Standard deviation 1 2 ... n x x x x n       1 i i i E x p x       ( ) E x xf x dx     2 1 1 ( ) 1 n i i s x x N      𝜎 = 1 𝑁 (𝑥𝑖 − 𝜇)2 𝑁 𝑖=1 𝑝𝑖 = 𝜎 = 𝑥2𝑓 𝑥 𝑑𝑥 − 𝜇2 ∞ −∞