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5G in sub-Saharan Africa:
what trends in the region?
Elena Scaramuzzi, Cullen International
8th sub-Saharan Africa Spectrum Management Conference
Yaoundé, 4 August 2023
regulation made simple
Cutting through the complexity of regulation in:
telecommunications media digital economy postal
competition law
and as applied in the above sectors
News Alerts Monitoring Benchmarks Databases Enquiries
what we do
• National strategies and policies on 5G
• Identifying and freeing spectrum for 5G.
Key licensing aspects
• Operators’ deployments and
commercial approaches on 5G in
relevant SSA markets
New Cullen International research on 5G in SSA (Aug. 2023)
© Cullen International
Ghana
33.5m
Nigeria
218.5m
DR Congo
99.0m
Namibia
2.6m
South Africa
59.9m
Mozambique
33.0m
Tanzania
65.5m
Kenya
54.0m
Rwanda
13.8m
Uganda
47.3m Ethiopia
123.4m
Zambia
20.0m
Mali
22.6m Niger
26.2m
Angola
35.6m
Botswana
2.6m
Cameroon
27.9m
Côte d’Ivoire
28.2m
Senegal
17.3m
Madagascar
29.6m
- SSA sub-regions represented
- 82% of the total SSA population
- Diverse incidence of rural vs urban
pop (SSA avg is 58%)
Country selection
Demographic data: World Bank, 2022
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Niger
Cameroon
Ethiopia
Madagascar
Uganda
Angola
Congo (DR)
Mozambique
Mali
Tanzania
Ghana
Namibia
Nigeria
Senegal
Botswana
Côte D'Ivoire
Zambia
Kenya
South Africa
Rwanda
At least LTE or WiMax
Most countries are still deploying 4G
ITU, 2022. Population coverage with at least 4G or WiMax
Africa avg.
Government
Strategies, roadmaps, plans on 5G
Technical & regulatory “enablers”
Radio spectrum for 5G
Industry initiative
From testing to commercial availability
Upgrades to 5G: three levels of engagement
Top-down
or
bottom-up?
Cullen International, 2023
In the
context of
broadband
plans
and/or
digital
strategies
Spectrum-
related
and/or
decisions
affecting
the mobile
competitive
context
Governments’ commitment on 5G: examples
Tanzania has been promoting a
vision for 5G as well as a
spectrum auction, which took
place in May 2022
Nigeria adopted in Sep. 2021 a
national policy on 5G networks
for Nigeria's digital economy,
setting precise targets bound to
5G. 3.5 GHz spectrum allocations
Rwanda adopted a new National
Broadband Policy and Strategy in Oct.
2022. The NBPS highlights the
government aims to ensure that all
operators have the ability to deploy
advanced broadband networks in 4G,
5G technology and beyond
Namibia adopted a Strategy in
respect of the implementation of
IMT-2020 for the period 2023-2027.
Ongoing assignment procedure of
below 1-GHz spectrum. 3.G GHz
spectrum assignment scheduled in
4Q 2023
Cullen International, 2023
© Cullen International
Ghana
Nigeria
DR Congo
Namibia
South Africa
Mozambique
Tanzania
Kenya
Rwanda
Uganda
Ethiopia
Zambia
Angola
Botswana
Madagascar
Cameroon
Mali Niger
Senegal
Côte d’Ivoire
Yes
No
Testing
Operators’ 5G initiatives also vary
Amongst the 20 surveyed
countries, 5G is currently:
- available (at least one
operator, at selected
locations) in 9 countries
- being tested / pre-
commercial availability in
at least 6 more countries
Thank you!
Elena@cullen-international.com

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5G in sub-Saharan Africa: what trends in the region?

  • 1. 5G in sub-Saharan Africa: what trends in the region? Elena Scaramuzzi, Cullen International 8th sub-Saharan Africa Spectrum Management Conference Yaoundé, 4 August 2023
  • 2. regulation made simple Cutting through the complexity of regulation in: telecommunications media digital economy postal competition law and as applied in the above sectors News Alerts Monitoring Benchmarks Databases Enquiries what we do
  • 3. • National strategies and policies on 5G • Identifying and freeing spectrum for 5G. Key licensing aspects • Operators’ deployments and commercial approaches on 5G in relevant SSA markets New Cullen International research on 5G in SSA (Aug. 2023)
  • 4. © Cullen International Ghana 33.5m Nigeria 218.5m DR Congo 99.0m Namibia 2.6m South Africa 59.9m Mozambique 33.0m Tanzania 65.5m Kenya 54.0m Rwanda 13.8m Uganda 47.3m Ethiopia 123.4m Zambia 20.0m Mali 22.6m Niger 26.2m Angola 35.6m Botswana 2.6m Cameroon 27.9m Côte d’Ivoire 28.2m Senegal 17.3m Madagascar 29.6m - SSA sub-regions represented - 82% of the total SSA population - Diverse incidence of rural vs urban pop (SSA avg is 58%) Country selection Demographic data: World Bank, 2022
  • 5. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Niger Cameroon Ethiopia Madagascar Uganda Angola Congo (DR) Mozambique Mali Tanzania Ghana Namibia Nigeria Senegal Botswana Côte D'Ivoire Zambia Kenya South Africa Rwanda At least LTE or WiMax Most countries are still deploying 4G ITU, 2022. Population coverage with at least 4G or WiMax Africa avg.
  • 6. Government Strategies, roadmaps, plans on 5G Technical & regulatory “enablers” Radio spectrum for 5G Industry initiative From testing to commercial availability Upgrades to 5G: three levels of engagement Top-down or bottom-up? Cullen International, 2023
  • 7. In the context of broadband plans and/or digital strategies Spectrum- related and/or decisions affecting the mobile competitive context Governments’ commitment on 5G: examples Tanzania has been promoting a vision for 5G as well as a spectrum auction, which took place in May 2022 Nigeria adopted in Sep. 2021 a national policy on 5G networks for Nigeria's digital economy, setting precise targets bound to 5G. 3.5 GHz spectrum allocations Rwanda adopted a new National Broadband Policy and Strategy in Oct. 2022. The NBPS highlights the government aims to ensure that all operators have the ability to deploy advanced broadband networks in 4G, 5G technology and beyond Namibia adopted a Strategy in respect of the implementation of IMT-2020 for the period 2023-2027. Ongoing assignment procedure of below 1-GHz spectrum. 3.G GHz spectrum assignment scheduled in 4Q 2023 Cullen International, 2023
  • 8. © Cullen International Ghana Nigeria DR Congo Namibia South Africa Mozambique Tanzania Kenya Rwanda Uganda Ethiopia Zambia Angola Botswana Madagascar Cameroon Mali Niger Senegal Côte d’Ivoire Yes No Testing Operators’ 5G initiatives also vary Amongst the 20 surveyed countries, 5G is currently: - available (at least one operator, at selected locations) in 9 countries - being tested / pre- commercial availability in at least 6 more countries