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Next generation satellite
services
1 September 2022
André Gomes
regulation
made simple
>35
Years of
Experience
4x4
Covering
4 Sectors Across
4 Continents
>270
Clients
from
90
Different
Countries
70
Countries Covered
>70
Team Members
25
Different
Nationalities
26
Different
Languages
who we are
in numbers
Massive transformation
• Satellites/year:
• 1967: 143
• 2020: 1200
• 2021: 1778
• Similar average for 10 years
Satellites skyrocketing
Source: Edison Group. Euroconsult.
Satellite manufacturing and launch revenues: very long tail
Manufacturing and launch revenues
Satellites
per
company
5 companies will launch 58% of
new satellites until 2030
System Amazon
Kuiper
Guowang OneWeb SpaceX
Starlink
Telesat
Lightspeed
Planned satellites 3,276 12,992 648 12,000
30,000
298
Spectrum bands Ka Ka, V Ku, Ka V
Ku, Ka, E
Ku, Ka
Orbital height (km) 590-630 1100 1200 335-570
328-614
1015-1325
Manufacturer ABL Space
System
(start-up)
China SpaceSat
(R&D and
manufacturing)
JV with Airbus Space X Thales-Alenia
Space
Approx. life 5-10 years
Approx. data rates 100-400 Mbps
Approx. costs LEO: US$ 10,000-20,000 per Kg
Examples of mega-constellations
Downstream
Upstream
e.g. Airbus
e.g. SpaceX
GROUND TECHNOLOGY
e.g. Echostar
MANUFACTURING
LAUNCH SERVICES
e.g. SES
SERVICE PROVIDERS
Non-terrestrial Terrestrial
e.g. AT&T
End
customers
Industry
verticals,
enterprise
customers,
etc.
Satellites value chain
Business models: relationship with telecoms operators
Wholesale Retail
Greenfield
Brownfield - Distribution agreements
(e.g. retail broadband)
- Intermediate services
(e.g. backhaul LTE and 5G;
backup to navigation
systems)
Shareholder
JSTL j.v.
Eutelsat & OneWeb
Mergers and acquisitions
Amount Description
Covered
period
US US$24.00bn Proposed funding for NASA in FY 2022. (But only US$224m for
NASA’s commercial LEO development programme). SpaceX
(supplier of NASA).
Proposed
FY 2022
EU US$15.44bn Total budget of the EU Space Programme. (Proposed: US$2.69bn to
be allocated for the Secure Connectivity Programme)
2021-2027
Japan US$4.50bn Total space-related budget (of these, US$71.4m are for satellite
quantum cryptography R&D projects)
2022
China US$3.15bn First phase of deployment of the Hongyan constellation.
(No information available on other constellations)
2016–2021
Canada US$1.14bn (69% repayable loan and 31% equity) for Telesat Lightspeed 2021
UK US$1.00bn Equity stake in OneWeb 2020
Korea US$530.90m Space-related budget 2022
South Africa US$293.52m Government funding for the National Space Agency’s space
infrastructure hub
2020
Singapore US$110.92m Flagship space technology development programme 2022
Relationships with governments
Key issues in satellite services regulation
Licensing
Interference
and
coexistence
• Satellite capacity and satellite services
providers (concession/ licence/
authorisation)
• Earth stations (permit)
• Duration: 3-5-10-20 years, satellite lifespan
• Fees: per terminal or blanket licensing
• Regulators impose technical rules to
avoid interference
• Service providers must avoid
interferences/ report if existent
Migration
• Each country has own coexistence
parameters
• Varies per spectrum band
• Per spectrum band
Licensing requirements can be challenging
• Technical characteristics & performance of new generation
satellites present opportunities and challenges
• Some governments see new opportunities in this field. Direct
funding, equity investor, as clients, or a combination of the above.
Bridge coverage gaps, development opportunities for the domestic
industry, competitive advantage.
• New dynamism in the industry. Incumbent groups, start-ups, new
partnerships of different sizes. Vision and business models vary.
• Long-term promises: R&D on quantum cryptography for enhanced
security, and on hybrid networks (combination of terrestrial and
satellite in view of 6G).
Main takeaways - opportunities
Main takeaways – open issues
• Due to the current high CAPEX requirements,
revenue uncertainties and short lifespan of LEO
satellites, concerns over the economic
sustainability of many of these systems.
• Capability to address "global" challenges
(accidents, space debris, liabilities, how to
collaborate, relations among governments) in an
increasingly “crowded” satellite space.
Thank you!
andre.gomes@cullen-International.com

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Next generation satellite services

  • 1. Next generation satellite services 1 September 2022 André Gomes
  • 2. regulation made simple >35 Years of Experience 4x4 Covering 4 Sectors Across 4 Continents >270 Clients from 90 Different Countries 70 Countries Covered >70 Team Members 25 Different Nationalities 26 Different Languages who we are in numbers
  • 4. • Satellites/year: • 1967: 143 • 2020: 1200 • 2021: 1778 • Similar average for 10 years Satellites skyrocketing Source: Edison Group. Euroconsult.
  • 5. Satellite manufacturing and launch revenues: very long tail Manufacturing and launch revenues Satellites per company 5 companies will launch 58% of new satellites until 2030
  • 6. System Amazon Kuiper Guowang OneWeb SpaceX Starlink Telesat Lightspeed Planned satellites 3,276 12,992 648 12,000 30,000 298 Spectrum bands Ka Ka, V Ku, Ka V Ku, Ka, E Ku, Ka Orbital height (km) 590-630 1100 1200 335-570 328-614 1015-1325 Manufacturer ABL Space System (start-up) China SpaceSat (R&D and manufacturing) JV with Airbus Space X Thales-Alenia Space Approx. life 5-10 years Approx. data rates 100-400 Mbps Approx. costs LEO: US$ 10,000-20,000 per Kg Examples of mega-constellations
  • 7. Downstream Upstream e.g. Airbus e.g. SpaceX GROUND TECHNOLOGY e.g. Echostar MANUFACTURING LAUNCH SERVICES e.g. SES SERVICE PROVIDERS Non-terrestrial Terrestrial e.g. AT&T End customers Industry verticals, enterprise customers, etc. Satellites value chain
  • 8. Business models: relationship with telecoms operators Wholesale Retail Greenfield Brownfield - Distribution agreements (e.g. retail broadband) - Intermediate services (e.g. backhaul LTE and 5G; backup to navigation systems) Shareholder JSTL j.v.
  • 9. Eutelsat & OneWeb Mergers and acquisitions
  • 10. Amount Description Covered period US US$24.00bn Proposed funding for NASA in FY 2022. (But only US$224m for NASA’s commercial LEO development programme). SpaceX (supplier of NASA). Proposed FY 2022 EU US$15.44bn Total budget of the EU Space Programme. (Proposed: US$2.69bn to be allocated for the Secure Connectivity Programme) 2021-2027 Japan US$4.50bn Total space-related budget (of these, US$71.4m are for satellite quantum cryptography R&D projects) 2022 China US$3.15bn First phase of deployment of the Hongyan constellation. (No information available on other constellations) 2016–2021 Canada US$1.14bn (69% repayable loan and 31% equity) for Telesat Lightspeed 2021 UK US$1.00bn Equity stake in OneWeb 2020 Korea US$530.90m Space-related budget 2022 South Africa US$293.52m Government funding for the National Space Agency’s space infrastructure hub 2020 Singapore US$110.92m Flagship space technology development programme 2022 Relationships with governments
  • 11. Key issues in satellite services regulation Licensing Interference and coexistence • Satellite capacity and satellite services providers (concession/ licence/ authorisation) • Earth stations (permit) • Duration: 3-5-10-20 years, satellite lifespan • Fees: per terminal or blanket licensing • Regulators impose technical rules to avoid interference • Service providers must avoid interferences/ report if existent Migration • Each country has own coexistence parameters • Varies per spectrum band • Per spectrum band
  • 12. Licensing requirements can be challenging
  • 13. • Technical characteristics & performance of new generation satellites present opportunities and challenges • Some governments see new opportunities in this field. Direct funding, equity investor, as clients, or a combination of the above. Bridge coverage gaps, development opportunities for the domestic industry, competitive advantage. • New dynamism in the industry. Incumbent groups, start-ups, new partnerships of different sizes. Vision and business models vary. • Long-term promises: R&D on quantum cryptography for enhanced security, and on hybrid networks (combination of terrestrial and satellite in view of 6G). Main takeaways - opportunities
  • 14. Main takeaways – open issues • Due to the current high CAPEX requirements, revenue uncertainties and short lifespan of LEO satellites, concerns over the economic sustainability of many of these systems. • Capability to address "global" challenges (accidents, space debris, liabilities, how to collaborate, relations among governments) in an increasingly “crowded” satellite space.