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BUSINESS COUNCIL of MONGOLIA
NewsWire
www.bcmongolia.org
info@bcmongolia.org
Issue 237 – August 31, 2012
NEWS HIGHLIGHTS:
Business
 Discover Mongolia: Day One
 Mining minister seeks larger stake in OT;
 Rio “confident” of securing power supply for OT from China;
 Aspire Mining receives approval for Ovoot mining license;
 IFC proposes USD 900 million financing for OT;
 Haranga in agreement with government on allocation of rail capacity;
 Manas begins drilling for oil;
 Rosnefti provides extra fuel supplies;
 Suu expands product line, production capacity;
 Golomt prices tugrug above competitors;
 Fitch withdraws expected rating for XacBank’s notes;
 BDSec sees 31 percent growth in earnings for H1 2012;
 Noble Group to return to form with base metals push;
 Centerra experiences quarterly loss.
Economics
 North Korea proposes to open port to TT coal;
 Mayor staggers school hours of operation;
 New timetable targets reduced city traffic;
 Sainshand-Choir road to open September 2013;
 Mongolia to join expanded Trans-Siberian rail line;
 Government debt climbs to MNT 750 billion;
 Sainshand to introduce materials handling;
 Mongolia attempts to break free of foreign fuel dependence;
 Construction and industry top students' interest;
 A window of opportunity;
 Former ambassador helps send Mongolian students to U.S. college;
 Chinese discrimination in Mongolia;
 Volatility in cashmere;
 Government looks to stimulate wool industry;
 Big coal faces steel slowdowns;
 Copper prices plunge amid economic uncertainty.
Politics
 Cabinet restructures government;
 Local elections scheduled for November;
 Government prepares for election of citizens’ assembly;
 8,000 band together to demand land promised to them;
 Government to distribute student stipends of up to MNT 140,400 a month;
 Foreign minister arrives in Iran for NAM summit;
 China vows to support upgrade of Mongolia's industries;
 China commits to USD 7.9 million grant;
 Mongolia confirms new U.S. ambassador;
 Politicians juggle nationalism with dependence on China;
 Mongolia and North Korea’s lingering ties with Russia;
 Chinese cultural heritage month launches in UB;
 Mongolia, Australia celebrate 40 years of diplomatic relations;
 Khaan Quest 2012 concludes;
 The just.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS:
 MSE Top 20 Index by Market Capitalization;
 Foreign-listed Companies with Mongolian Assets;
 Supermarket Price Comparison – August 2012;
 Inflation;
 Central Bank policy rate;
 Currency rates.
*Click on titles above to link to articles.
SPONSORS
Khan Bank Eznis Airways
Kempinski Hotel Khan Palace Mongolian National Broadcasting
Breakthrough PR Oxford Business Group
BCM MONTHLY MEETING RECAP
The meeting on 27 August with Laurenz Melchers in the chair was attended by 125 members and
invited guests. Melchers introduced the recently arrived new U.S. ambassador to Mongolia, Piper
Campbell. Campbell greeted the audience, expressing her wishes to introduce ways to aid business
relations between the two nations and foster greater cooperation.
BCM Executive Director Jim Dwyer announced that 130 volunteers are currently working in BCM's
various working groups. The tax working group has been busy arranging a training session in October
for over 50 Mongolian Tax Authority (MTA) officials. He added that the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) had asked the BCM to arrange a meeting on August 24 with large tax paying entities to derive
additional issues and recommendations for their ongoing consulting program with the MTA and its
Large Taxpayer Office. Additionally, with the start of the new school year the education working
group will soon restart its ‗BCM in the Classroom‘ program.
BCM membership now stands at 239 compared with 188 a year ago, an increase of 51 members. The
12 most recent new members are:
1. GEE - offers to supply highly experienced personnel, including Mongolian personnel or foreign
personnel for any position. It has available highly experienced personnel of all disciplines, from
engineers, managers, geologists, contracts, admin, schedulers, planners, safety supervisors and all
other disciplines and all levels of seniority.
GEE has a huge personnel data base of some 3,000 Mongolian personnel and 30,000 foreign
personnel of all nationalities. Customers include some of the major mining and exploration
companies in Mongolia.
2. HarrisMoure Mongolia - is a boutique U.S. law firm (16 lawyers, 5 paralegals), headquartered in
Seattle, Washington, working exclusively in international business transactions and dispute
resolution matters. Its Mongolia office was established to offer its global reach and experience to
clients.
Russell Murphy is the partner leading the Mongolia practice based in Ulaanbaatar, along with firm
founder Charles Moure in the Seattle office.
3. International SOS - provides medical and security assistance to companies operating in Mongolia.
The medical services division assists organizations operating in Mongolia to assess health risks and
deliver high-level medical services to employees working in some of the most remote and difficult
environments in the world.
4. KPMG Audit – has a Mongolia team of approximately 50 professionals, providing a full range of
audit, tax, advisory and consulting services to major local and international clients across a range of
sectors and industries.
5. Modern Capital Vest - was incorporated in Mongolia in 2011 to manage and operate jointly the
first international Jackpot lottery games in Mongolia with Biz INVIN LLC, a Mongolian company
incorporated in 2009. Biz INVIN is a majority-owned subsidiary of Monvest Group. The lottery
business is operated under the name of Mongolia National Lottery.
6. Monrusconsulting - is a full service corporate law firm committed to helping its clients negotiate
the often intricate and confusing Mongolian and Siberian legal and regulatory environments. It has
a strong international team of American, Russian and Mongolian attorneys who all have extensive
experience working in Ulaanbaatar.
7. Netcapital – is a non-banking financial institution that operates in the areas of loans, deposits,
currency exchange, and consulting. Itsmission is to continue maintaining a leading role in the
microfinance sector through services tailored to the needs of customers and employees who are
highly productive.
8. Sod Gazar - was established in 2005 and has its main office in Ulaanbaatar. Since its
establishment the company has performed geological surveys every year. It has discovered several
new ore deposits, including coal, iron, fluorspar and molybdenum.
9. Specialized Career Consulting - specializes in search and selection to access the very best
Mongolian and international candidates within management, sales, logistics, procurement, safety,
mining technical and back office financial positions.
10. Sustainable Environment Consulting - was founded in 2008 by a group of well-known
environmental experts. It is specialized in conducting environmental and social impact assessment
and rehabilitation projects.
Some of its big environmental projects include environmental and social impact reports for Oyu
Tolgoi, SouthGobi Sands, and Energy Resources.
11. Traverse Resources - is a world-class drilling company servicing the resources industry
throughout multiple geographical locations. It specializes particularly in remote and challenging
environments, and currently operates in Papua New Guinea, Fiji, Indonesia and Mongolia.
12. Woodmont International - is a public and government affairs firm headquartered in Ulaanbaatar
that provides clients meaningful solutions to external issues such as media, community
engagement, and government relations. It also assists a wide range of investors from around the
world on understanding opportunities in Mongolia.
The evening's presentations began with an introduction by Nigel Finch, director of admissions and
associate professor at the University of Sydney Business School. Dr. Finch and Professor Andrew
Terry, also of the University of Sydney, will be developing a plan to give training to officials for
greater transparency at the Ministry of Finance, the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) and the
Financial Regulatory Commission (FRC).
The goals of this operation for the public sector are to identify deficiencies, build capacities, and
design a process for the dissemination of information to inform investors.
Finch pointed to benchmarks such as the World Bank's Doing Business report and Transparency
International's Perception of Corruption Index as evidence that Mongolia needs assistance in
cleaning up its public sector.
―The general trend is Mongolia is ripe for improvement in transparency,‖ said Finch.
Finch said the program is hoping to help raise Mongolia's sovereign credit rating two notches for a
target of ―BBB- which could save up to USD 500 million in interest per year on the forecasted
national debt.‖
Next, Peter Benson, team leader of the Asia Development Bank's initiative to improve Mongolia's
roads, spoke on the progress he has seen. Benson is an employee of VicRoads, an Australian
government organization that has experience building 24,500 kilometers of roads and 54,000
kilometers of lanes in both rural and metropolitan areas.
Benson and his team aim to develop a road map, provide on-the-job training for construction and
supervision, introduce international practices and standards, and establish a capacity for technical
development and transfer. The main goal, however, is to build 180 kilometers of road for 2013 with
a needed budget of between MNT 20 billion and MNT 30 billion from the government.
Additionally, Benson said he hopes to break up the government monopoly and replace it with
competitive bidding with government participation in work practices. The roads expert said
periodic maintenance is a much better strategy for road maintenance rather than waiting for
potholes to form.
―It's better to look out for it before it falls apart as opposed to fixing up a broken road,‖ said
Benson. ―That's not what happens in Mongolia. There is no such budget; no such skill.‖
Other objectives are to create a Road Fund, restructure the Department of Roads and create a Road
Research Institute.
Carolyn Clarke, Managing Partner, PricewaterhouseCoopers Audit LLC, spoke next to discuss the
recently conducted International Women's Forum. The event featured a visit from U.S. Secretary of
State Hillary Clinton, as the event is a passion project for the former U.S. first lady. Clarke said the
event provided the opportunity to raise many issues that are relevant to both men and women.
Although the event had good attendance from the public sector, participation from the private
sector was lacking. Clarke requested that the business owners in the audience ―volunteer and put
forth your female workers for a working group and help implement the ideas that came out of the
forum.‖
She asked the audience to consider the existing labor laws and if they favor either gender. It is up
to the private sector, she said, to address the fact that 70 to 80 percent of graduates are female,
while far less hold management positions.
Finally John Bachrach, director of IEEC, a member of the IMC Montan group, spoke on his company
and how it helps to add values to the minerals sector. Established in 1992, IEEC has provided
specialist mining consultancy for over 300 assignments.
―We don't drill holes, but we do advise on where those holes should be drilled,‖ said Bachrach.
IEEC and companies like his provide help in developing feasibility studies and mineral expert reports
for public offerings. With a strong knowledge in exploration and practices, a strategic vision and
technical knowledge, and extensive experience, IEEC can provide added value to mining operations.
BUSINESS
DISCOVER MONGOLIA: DAY ONE
This year's mantra of the 10th annual Discover Mongolia international mining investors' forum was
―From Discovery to Developing,‖ which is fitting given that Mongolia is on the brink of even greater
economic growth certain to propel it to a new stage of development.
The morning opened with remarks from Mongolia's recently installed Minister of Mining, D.
Gankhuyag and Mongolia's first president and chairman of the organizing committee, Mr. Ochirbat
Punsalmaa. While many were hoping the new minister would give some hint as to what investors
could expect during his reign over Mongolia's mining industry, his speech was tightly scripted and
revealed little other than his intention to put Mongolians first and maintain the protection of the
environment as a priority.
Karr McCurdy, President and Chief Executive Officer of Behre Dolbear which has a JV in Mongolia
with MIH Group, opened with the first speech of the day to describe the advantages Mongolia has in
its mining sector.
―Mining is a very capital intensive industry.... it tends to be very labor intensive,‖ said McCurdy.
The minerals sector, he said, has propelled Mongolia's growth while employing 32 percent of the
country‘s workforce.
Cameron McRae, President and CEO, Oyu Tolgoi (OT), gave a very informative speech noting the OT
investment agreement executed in March 2010 which kick-started the flood of foreign investment
into Mongolia. He pointed out that phase one is about complete at OT with some USD 6 billion
invested, all from foreign investors, and commercial production to begin in the first half of 2013.
Phase two will begin next year and run to 2017 utilizing Rio Tinto‘s unique cave mining techniques
which will create some 250 kilometers of underground pathways and cost another USD 6-8 billion.
He emphasized to date OT has sent about USD 750 million to the government which has not had to
pay anything for its 34 percent ownership interest. McRae pointed out that the government will get
between 51 and 71 percent of all future cash payments from the project.
L. Zoljargal, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Mongolia, reminded the audience that although the
mining sector can provide tremendous financial gains, it cannot match them with employment.
―The mining sector doesn't employ so much because it's so productive, three times as productive as
the banking sector. It will not employ many more people for us,‖ said Zoljargal.
He warned that boom-bust cycles and too-concentrated economy focused on mining would
eventually lead to economic turmoil. Instead he recommended a diversified economy using the
funds gained from mining to benefit the middle-class.
Rounding out the day‘s events were presentations from mining firms, including Erdenes Tavan
Tolgoi JSC, Mongolia Mining Corp., Aspire Mining Ltd., Erdene Resource Development Corp., and
Xanadu Mines.
Source: BCM
MINING MINISTER SEEKS LARGER STAKE IN OT
Mongolia should seek to raise its stake in the giant Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold project, the new
mining minister said, adding weight to concerns among foreign investors about rising resource
nationalism following a June election.
D. Gankhuyag, speaking to the Udriin Sonin, said he hoped his government would implement
Resolution 57, which states that Mongolia should acquire 50 percent of Oyu Tolgoi once the
principal investors—Rio Tinto PLC and Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd.—have recouped their start-up
investment.
―We believe there is a likelihood that a number of MPs from all parties could view favorably,‖ said
Origo Partners in a note to investors. ―As a result there is risk of a further attempt by these MPs and
possibly the government to renegotiate the Oyu Tolgoi investment agreement.‖
In 2011 Gankhuyag was one of several lawmakers to sign a letter urging Rio Tinto and Turquoise
Hill—then known as Ivanhoe Mines Ltd.—to renegotiate the 2009 agreement. Ivanhoe Mines refused
that request and said it expected all parties to honor the existing deal.
Source: Reuters
RIO “CONFIDENT” OF SECURING POWER SUPPLY FOR OT FROM CHINA
Rio Tinto PLC is certain it will reach a power-supply agreement with China for the Oyu Tolgoi
copper and gold project, scheduled to start production next year.
―The negotiation is going well,‖ Andrew Harding, chief executive officer of the London-based
company's copper unit, said in Parkes, Australia. ―I'm very coincident the negotiations will deliver
the outcomes that I need. The power supply line is ready to go.‖
Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd., a unit of Rio Tinto, said 15 August it expects talks with the Mongolian
and Chinese governments for a power agreement to be expedited and supply to be available during
the third quarter. Should talks fail, the developers of Oyu Tolgoi would need to build its own power
plant, delaying the start, it said. Rio Tinto this month reported a 22 percent drop in first-half
profits and is assessing spending plans on new operations, joining rivals BHP Billiton Ltd. and Xstrata
PLC.
―We've taken and are taking a full look at the portfolio and being very sensible about the rate of
spending at some of the projects,‖ Harding said, specifying there are not changes planned for Oyu
Tolgoi.
Rio Tinto expects global copper demand to grow 25 percent to 25.2 million tons by 2020, it said on
its website. The global copper outlook remained positive, driven by industrialization and producers
struggling to bring on new supply, Harding said. Increased copper production from Oyu Tolgoi will
help diversify Rio Tinto's income stream. Iron ore provided 79 percent of profits last year, followed
by copper with 12 percent.
―By 2014, we estimate copper will make up a quarter of Rio Tinto's earnings and iron ore 60
percent, so Oyu Tolgoi certainly helps,‖ Lyndon Fagon, a Sydney-based resources analyst with
JPMorgan Chase & Co., said by phone.
During a two-day working visit in Mongolia, at the invitation of Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs G.
Tenger, the vice chairman of China's autonomous Inner Mongolia region made official negotiations
for the importation of power to Oyu Tolgoi.
Source: Bloomberg, Info Mongolia
ASPIRE MINING RECEIVES APPROVAL FOR OVOOT MINING LICENSE
Aspire Mining Ltd. has been granted a mining license covering the 5,758 hectares of the Ovoot
coking coal project.
The mining license covers both the planned open-pit and the potential underground mining
operations. Under existing minerals law, the mining license has tenure of 30 years from the date of
grant with an option to extend for two additional 20-year periods.
―The Ovoot coking coal project is one of the most important new coking coal projects in Mongolia
and has the potential to significantly enhance the economic development in northern Mongolia,‖
said David Paull, managing director. ―Achieving a mining license is an important step along the path
of financing more development and associated road and rail infrastructure.‖
Aspire Mining currently holds some AUD 20 million in cash to fund operations.
Meanwhile the firm continues to intersect coal outside of the existing resource at Ovoot, which has
the potential to increase the already large reserve base. Recent drilling testing for extensions to
mineralization demonstrate enough potential for Aspire Mining to extend the open pit further north.
With only 20 percent of the Ovoot Basin explored, the site has room to grow to a Tier 1 resource.
Additionally, Aspire Mining has completed a pre-feasibility study that has delivered positive
parameters, including an internal rate of return of 43 percent. The study confirms that Ovoot is
financially robust and technically and commercially feasible based on an open-pit probable coal
reserve of 178 million tons.
The first stage of operations would involve production of 6 million tons a year of saleable coal
delivered on 191 kilometers over sealed road to the new railhead at Murun before transport to end
markets beginning in 2016. A planned rail spur line from Ovoot to Murun would facilitate the
targeted full-scale operations to 12 million tons a year.
Source: Proactive Investors
IFC PROPOSES USD 900 MILLION FINANCING FOR OT
IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, has proposed to finance almost one-quarter of the USD 4
billion project debt for the Oyu Tolgoi copper goal mine.
IFC's proposed financing of Oyu Tolgoi LLC is a USD 300 million senior A Loan as well as a USD 600
million B Loan to be syndicated to international commercial banks, as part of a proposed USD 4
billion project debt financing scheme. Co-arrangers of the proposed debt financing are European
Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Export Development Canada (EDC), Standard
Chartered Bank, BNP Paribas, US Export Import Bank, and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency
(MIGA).
The balance of the funding for the project is expected to come from sponsor equity, shareholder
loans, and project generated cash flow.
Source: Cbonds
HARANGA IN AGREEMENT WITH GOVERNMENT ON ALLOCATION OF RAIL CAPACITY
Haranga Resources Ltd. has entered into a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the
Mongolian government for the allocation of up to 5 million tons per year of rail capacity for iron ore
from its Selenge project.
The MOU was an agreement between Haranga Resources and both the Mongolian Railway Authority
and Ministry of Roads, Transportation, Construction and Urban Development (MRTCUD). It asks for
support for up to one million tons per year of export rail capacity for its iron ore from both agencies
once operations begin and five million tons per year beginning in 2015. In return, Haranga
Resources would share its plans to transport its iron ore and other commodities from Selenge as
well as its feasibility study results on any proposed new rail infrastructure project from there. The
government agencies have also promised to attain all the required licensing and permits for
construction and operation of any proposed rail infrastructure.
The company's main priority for now is to continue drilling and build up its inventory of resources.
Haranga currently has nine drill rigs in operation at the Selenge project and expects to complete its
mining license application by October 2012.
Source: Haranga Resources Ltd.
MANAS BEGINS DRILLING FOR OIL
Switzerland-based Manas Petroleum said it has started drilling in Mongolia.
The company's subsidiary, Gobi Energy Partners, spud its first well in the region and plans to drill
the first well, known as Ger Chuluu A1, to a depth of 1,200 meters and into Jurassic-Paleozoic
formations. Target horizons in Ger Chuluu A1 are the Lower Zuunbayan and Tsagaantsav formations.
Manas expects the well to cost USD 1.8 million, with the well reaching target depth and being
logged in mid-September. If there is a discovery, Gobi Energy plans to test the well with a workover
rig and move the rig to the site of the second exploration well—around 170 kilometers northeast of
the first well.
―Ger Chuluu A1 represents the next step in the evaluation of our Mongolian assets and a major step
in the company's development,‖ said Manas President Werner Ladwein.
The 2012 seismic survey, for a total of 335 kilometers, will be finished in the next few days, the oil
and gas explorer said. The detailed prospect seismic will form the basis for the 2012 and 2013
drilling locations.
Source: Proactive Investors
ROSNEFTI PROVIDES EXTRA FUEL SUPPLIES
Russian fuel producer Rosnefti LLC plans to increase its supply to Mongolia by 28 percent.
Originally the company had agreed to export 1.1 million tons of fuel to Mongolia by December 2012,
but did not specify the terms. The firm's board of directors has now decided to sell 1.4 million tons
of fuel for USD 1 billion.
A gap in supply last January resulted in spikes in fuel prices that angered many citizens. Mongolia
consumes, on average, 0.8 to 1 million tons of fuel a year.
Source: Unuudur
SUU EXPANDS PRODUCT LINE, PRODUCTION CAPACITY
National dairy company Suu JSC has doubled its capacity, and it looks to expand into greater ice
cream production and enter the pre-made beverage market.
The technological upgrade now allows Suu to process 250 tons of milk daily. The Italian and
Mongolian engineers are working on assembling a new equipment and production line from Matrix
Engineering Technofreese for ice cream production. The system would increase production by 1.5
times to 10,000 ice cream bars daily. The firm would also expand its product line to 20 different
varieties.
Not satisfied with just ice cream, Suu is also looking to venture into pre-made milk tetra packs as
well.
Source: Unuudur
GOLOMT PRICES TUGRUG ABOVE COMPETITORS
This week the tugrug hit its weakest exchange rate in Golomt Bank compared to all others, showing
the return of a weak tugrug.
Golomt Bank sold tugrugs at an exchange of MNT 1,390 compared to the average of MNT 1,380. At
that time the Bank of Mongolia had an exchange rate of MNT 1,370.35. Last month, commercial
banks exchanged tugrugs for dollars at a rate between MNT 1,352 and MNT 1,355.
Economists have pointed to the recent spike in market demand and expanded in-flow of U.S. dollars
as the reason for the tugrugs recent fall.
Source: Zuunii Medee
FITCH WITHDRAWS EXPECTED RATING FOR XACBANK‟S NOTES
Fitch Ratings has withdrawn the expected rating on Mongolia-based XacBank LLC's foreign currency
senior unsecured notes and recovery rating.
The decision comes from the indefinite hold put on the placement. The senior notes, a draw-down
from XacBank's USD 300 million medium-term notes program, had an expected rating of B and a
recovery rating of ―RR4‖. XacBank is the fourth-largest bank in Mongolia with a 9 percent market
share in lending and a 7 percent share in deposits. The bank experienced 66 percent annual loan
growth in 2011, but Fitch expects this to slow down due to an absence of planned refinancing for
the bank's market funding.
Source: Fitch Ratings
BDSEC SEES 31 PERCENT GROWTH IN EARNINGS FOR H1 2012
BDSec JSC reported a 31 percent increase in revenues in its interim results for the first half of 2012.
Revenues for the six months ended 30 June 2012 were MNT 3.03 billion compared with 2.31 billion
for the same period last year. During this period, net profits nearly doubled, coming in at MNT
827.1 million, an increase of MNT 336 million year-on-year. The basic earnings attributed to equity
shareholders of BDSec amounted to some MNT 75.2 million compared with MNT 55.64 in the year-
ago period.
In the first half of 2012, BDSec managed the first and only initial public offering (IPO) seen on the
Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) this year for E-Trans Logistics. The firm is the first transport
company to list on the MSE, raising its target capital of MNT 924 million. BDSec reported a full
investment banking pipeline, including a major mining project and several other issues concerning a
construction materials producer, a real estate developer, and a consumer goods company. Beren
JSC, an iron ore miner and explorer, is set to raise USD 100 million in the largest IPO in the history
of the MSE.
In light of its earnings growth, the company has opened a new office in Darkhan.
Source: BDSec
NOBLE GROUP TO RETURN TO FORM WITH BASE METALS PUSH
Commodity merchant Noble Group, a stake holder in both Mongolia explorers Aspire Mining Ltd. and
Xanadu Mines Ltd., is gearing up for its biggest push in decades into the base metals markets, hiring
two senior traders to expand out of Asia.
The Hong Kong-based company, run by its third chief executive in two years after posting its first
quarterly loss in a decade last year, is putting renewed focus on markets such as copper and zinc
after breakneck growth in energy, which now delivers two-thirds of its revenues.
Noble has hired Mark Hansen from hedge fund Brevan Howard to run the global metals business
from London. He has been tasked by new head Yusuf Alireza with building up the company‘s
smallest division by revenue. Paul Wilkes, a London Metal Exchange (LME) trader formerly at
Macquarie Bank, will join next month to run the hedging and proprietary trading desk.
While historically a trader known for aluminum, iron ore and ferroalloys, Noble has failed to
challenge rivals such as Glencore International and Trafigura for a large piece of the base metals
markets. Beyond aluminum, it has few physical metals assets or off-take deals.
Noble is looking to broaden its metals off-take portfolio by product and location after rapidly
building up its energy agricultural divisions.
Read more…
The move would be a return to the company‘s roots. Minerals and metals made up 90 percent of
turnover compared with 13 percent last year. In recent years Noble has focused on expanding its
energy trading team.
Noble hopes to find opportunities by funding new projects similar to its niche in the Indian iron-ore
market. With weak LME prices potentially preventing projects from getting off the ground, junior
miners may seek help from traders. Merchants often provide funding for start-ups in return for a
minority stake and output once the mine is operating.
―Trafigura [and Glencore] were early movers with a good franchise. But there‘s still plenty of room
at the table. Juniors are hurting at these levels and [Noble] will be happy to help out,‖ said a
source familiar with the matter.
Source: Reuters
CENTERRA EXPERIENCES QUARTERLY LOSS
Shares of Centerra Gold Inc. fell more than 2 percent on Thursday, a day after the Canadian gold
miner and operator of the Boroo gold mine reported a quarterly loss on lower output at its Kumtor
gold mine in Kyrgyzstan and higher operating costs.
Centerra reported a net loss of USD 54.6 million for the second quarter ended 30 June. That
compared with profits of USD 71.1 million in the year-earlier period. Revenue in the quarter fell 63
percent to USD 89.7 million as gold production dropped 66 percent. At the same time, cash costs
rose 72 percent to USD 885 an ounce, compared with USD 513 an ounce in the second quarter of
2011. Toronto-based Centerra maintained its adjusted full-year production outlook of 450,000 to
470,000 ounces of gold.
Earlier this year, Centerra was forced to cut its planned output at Kumtor by about a third due to
ice movement in the pit at the high-altitude project. Kumtor is Centerra's largest gold mine. The
company is currently studying the possibilities for expanding the pit, which would boost reserves
and extend the mine's life. That study is expected to be completed in the third quarter.
Centerra has faced mounting opposition to its Kumtor operation since a scathing Kyrgyz
parliamentary report in June that criticized the environmental impact of the mine. The company
maintains that the report is without merit and said it is working with the Kyrgyz government to
address the issue raised.
Source: Reuters
ECONOMY
NORTH KOREA PROPOSES TO OPEN PORT TO TT COAL
A meeting between Parliament Speaker Z. Enkhbold and the North Korean ambassador has bought
about the possibility of opening a new port to transport coal from Tavan Tolgoi.
Speaker of Parliament Z. Enkhbold received at his office North Korean Ambassador to Mongolia Lee
Chul-gwan where Lee announced that Chairman Choe Thae-Bok would make an official visit
sometime this year. The ambassador also reported on North Korea's hopes of establishing a North
Korea-Mongolia Business Council.
―For a landlocked country such as Mongolia, there is an opportunity to open its sea-outlet through
the Rason Special Economic Zone of North Korea and our country plan to accommodate a port for
Mongolia, where the port is connected with railroads from Russia and China, from where it
continues onto the Trans-Siberian Railway,‖ said Lee.
The Rason zone, formerly known as the Rajin-Sonbong Economic Special Zone, was established
during the early 1990s by the North Korean government near Rason to promote economic growth
through foreign investment. Both Russia and China have invested in the economic zone, where the
use of foreign currency is permitted.
Enkhbold responded with gratitude on behalf of Mongolia's Parliament and said he believed
organizations such as the business association Lee proposed could do much to expand relations
between nations.
Source: Info Mongolia
MAYOR STAGGERS SCHOOL HOURS OF OPERATION
As part of the government's ongoing efforts to reduce traffic in Ulaanbaatar, the mayor has
submitted a new schedule for school hours.
Ulaanbaatar Mayor E. Bat-Uul has developed a timetable that staggers the school hours open in the
hopes of reducing city traffic in Ulaanbaatar. Beginning 3 September, schools will open from 8:00 to
17:00. Kindergartens and secondary schools will open at 8:00 while colleges and universities open at
9:00.
Last year's decision by the city government to open government offices at 8:00 has reportedly
reduced city traffic by 20 percent.
Source: Zuunii Medee
NEW TIMETABLE TARGETS REDUCED CITY TRAFFIC
Ulaanbaatar's mayor has introduced a new timetable for businesses to operate, in the hopes of
reducing traffic in the capital.
The timetable presented by Mayor E. Bat-Uul targets specific markets, such as the so-called ―black
market‖ Narantuul, Sunday Plaza and food markets Bayanzurkh and Mercury. The hope from the
city government is that by staggering the times the markets open and establishing different days for
them to close it can help reduce traffic. The scheme will run until 25 October when the city
municipality will decide if it should be renewed. Its decision for renewal will depend on the
perceived effectiveness of the scheme.
Source: Info Mongolia
SAINSHAND-CHOIR ROAD TO OPEN SEPTEMBER 2013
A new road connecting Choir with the Sainshand industrial complex is planned to begin service in
September next year.
Construction of the road is being led by the Millennium Challenge Account-Mongolia, providing USD
88.4 million for the 176.4-kilometer road. The level-three capacity road will be able to service
between 15 and 20 ton vehicles and is planned for a lifetime of 20 years. Additionally, the road will
be connected by eight bridges.
The project comes from a consortium of Holland's Grontmay Karlbro, India's SIE Engineering and
Mongolia's Monconsulting. The first stretch of 90 kilometers is to be built by Korea's Halla
Engineering and Construction Corp., while the second will be left to China's Gianshi Water and
Hydropower Construction. The road is already 70 percent complete, with all preparatory work to
conclude this year.
The road's construction has been under tight control regarding the materials and quality of cement.
For example, water from the Gobi Desert is salty, requiring the necessary materials and
construction techniques to ensure longevity.
The Sainshand-Choir road is the first conducted by MCA. It places significant importance on
environmental conservation, health and safety. Originally MCA hoped to help build rail lines, but
when that proved impossible it instead turned its focus to constructing a road network connecting
the north and southern borders.
Source: Zuunii Medee
MONGOLIA TO JOIN EXPANDED TRANS-SIBERIAN RAIL LINE
Once considered slow and a relic of the past, Russia's mighty Trans-Siberian Railway has come to
life in the 21st century to play a pivotal role in cargo transport, connecting economies such as
Mongolia's, from Europe to the Asia-Pacific region.
There are efforts in nations to create a multilayer railway networking linking Europe with Asia. For
landlocked nations such as Mongolia, getting a foothold into such a network provides an opportunity
for economic development. Plans call for connecting the Trans-Siberian Railway with the huge
Tavan Tolgoi coal mine in a few years.
Although coal is actually closer to the Chinese border, the strategy among Mongolian officials is to
utilize the Trans-Siberian Railway to export coal to Russia, Japan and South Korea. While
maintaining a delicate balance between China and Russia, Mongolia is also seeking an exit to the
Sea of Japan for its enormous reserves of natural resources. Railway engineers in Mongolia also
pointed to the fact that officials are wary about Beijing's motives because China in 2002 cut off rail
lines from Mongolia for more than a day because of a visit from the Dalai Lama.
The construction of the new railway line means that in the future the Sainshand industrial complex
will serve as an intersection for transport.
―We will create jobs for 300,000 people by construction of a heavy industry complex,‖ said P.
Gankhuyag.
Source: Asahi Shimbun
GOVERNMENT DEBT CLIMBS TO MNT 750 BILLION
Ch. Ulaan is stepping into a difficult situation as he becomes minister of finance for a third time.
Inflation is in force worldwide, especially in neighboring China and Russia, leaving its mark in
Mongolia as well. The decline in commodity prices has not gone unnoticed either, particularly for
coal and copper.
The barrage of economic downturns has left Mongolia's budget in a deficit of MNT 1.2 trillion, with
debt totaling MNT 750 billion. The government has many outstanding debts, with that to the Human
Development Fund (HDF) looming particularly heavily. The first priority should be concluding the
distribution of cash handouts owed to Mongolia's population from the HDF, said the minister. As for
inflation, Mongolian exports have reduced in value while export prices are on the rise, so efficient
budgeting is all the more important. The Stabilization Fund will likely be necessary to keep the
situation in check, Ulaan said.
One issue Ulaan pointed out as in need of attention is the USD 90,000 lost daily by the Development
Bank because it failed to invest the money collected from its USD 575 million debt offering. The
bank must now direct that money to short-term investment such as government bonds and work by
the Bank of Mongolia, the minister said.
―We will look for possible investment to cut those losses by half, at least.‖
The Ministry of Finance will also look to reduce spending by other ministries, many of which
exceeded their budget, said Ulaan. Many projects have been put on hold due to a lack of financing,
which is directly related to the falling prices of commodities. Because Mongolia is already incurring
many debts, the ministry is looking to introduce the Mongolia Without Debts policy. It also hopes to
increase the productivity of government agencies to match the salaries raises given this year.
―Increases in salaries to government workers without any increase in productivity only brings
negative consequences. This needs regulation too.‖
Source: Zuunii Medee
SAINSHAND TO INTRODUCE MATERIALS HANDLING
The Sainshand industrial park is expected to be where major primary transformation industries will
be located to supply the country's basic needs, as well as earn export revenues. A central materials
handling and storage facility is being planned to serve all the plants.
Coal will be brought in from the Tavan Tolgoi coal fields to feed the coal gasification plant, the
cement plant and a metallurgical coke pellet plant. The coal gasification plant will generate
synthetic fuel gas that will supply the energy needs of the power plant, the iron ore pellet-
manufacturing plant, and the iron reducing plant.
Iron ore will be brought from the Tumurtei mines for iron pellet manufacturing and hot briquetted
pellets. Copper concentrates from the Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine will supply a copper
smelter, which will produce copper anodes and also substantial quantities of gold and silver. The
copper operation will also generate industrial quantities of sulfuric acid. A cement plant will
receive train loads of limestone and various other minerals to produce bulk cement on a national
scale. The power plant will also provide high, medium and low pressure to the coke oven, the
copper smelter and the iron reducing plant.
A central material handling and storage facility is being planned to serve all the plants. It will have
multiple rail loops for both unloading and loading unit trains. The storage facilities will have
stockpiles for several grades of coal, iron ore, and copper as well as for the coke and iron pellets
being produced.
Source: Asahi
MONGOLIA ATTEMPTS TO BREAK FREE OF FOREIGN FUEL DEPENDENCE
Dependence on Russia for fuel has put the nation at its mercy, forcing Mongolians to pay much more
for gasoline than international prices. Recent hikes in fuel taxes have raised the price of petroleum
by MNT 905.
Fuel shortages have not left Mongolia's booming minerals industry unscathed. As this is the chief
driver of the country's rapid economic growth, attention must be paid to this problem. The prospect
of building a petroleum processing factory is considered essential but nothing has materialized yet.
After years of negotiation, the government has finally opted to build an oil refinery in Darkhan Uul
as well as Dornod and Dornogobi Aimags. However, the source of crude oil to feed these refineries
has not yet been determined.
Mongolia will need some 1 million tons of gasoline annually for its domestic supply, with plans by
the government to purchase petroleum from Russia and Kazakhstan. PetroChina Daqing Tamsag is
one option for a domestic supply. However, the factories the government has planned for are
located between 200 and 1,000 kilometers away from PetroChina. This shows little thought went
into the logistics of this issue.
This would not be the first time Mongolia tried its hand in oil refinery. A plant opened in 1959 in
Dornogobi, providing 20 percent of Mongolia's petroleum needs. However, it's clear that small
factories will not be enough for Mongolia.
Source: Zuunii Medee
CONSTRUCTION AND INDUSTRY TOP STUDENTS‟ INTEREST
With the new school year to begin next Monday, universities are seeing great interest from students
in studying professions such as construction.
This year will see 8,049 students studying for construction and 6,493 for industry production. The
government has pushed for students to study for professions most in demand in Mongolia. Other
popular studies include 1,580 students for interior decorating, 1,521 for culinary arts, 1,440 for
welding, 1,165 for plumbing, and 1,085 for auto mechanics.
Source: Zuunii Medee
A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
Life expectancy in Mongolia is heading towards an upward trend, which is reason for the populace
to rejoice but for policymakers to worry about.
A country with more than 12 percent of its population above the age of sixty is considered an
―ageing population.‖ That means fewer able-bodied workers and a greater number of retirees to
support.
―According to observations made, since 2000 birth rates have declined and lifespans have
prolonged,‖ said project coordinator of the government sponsored Healthy Seniors program.
―Mongolia is now among the countries with an average life expectancy. However, this can be seen
as a sign that Mongolia is on its way of becoming an 'old' country.‖
Issues on ageing trace back to the 20th century, beginning with a United Nations conference on the
issues in 1982. Mongolia ratified its own strategy to combat the issue in 2009, but was already
among average ageing countries at that time. Currently 64.7 percent of the population is working-
aged, between 25 and 50 years old. If utilized correctly, this window period can be used to enhance
the speed of development in Mongolia, focusing on something for the next generation that is worth
inheriting.
The sudden emergence of income from the mining sector might close this window shut, however.
Large numbers of Chinese operate mines in Mongolia instead of Mongolia-born citizens. If this issue
continues to be ignored, the next generation of Mongolians will carry a heavy burden supporting
those who stand in line for their monthly cash handouts today.
Looking at the experiences of old nations, supporting expedient births, regulating the ageing
structure linked with economic and social development, and improving the standards of living of the
elderly are the best objective to focus on. Mongolia's median ages have grown from between 16 and
18 to 22.5 in just 10 years. There's no time left to lose.
Source: Mongolian Economy
FORMER AMBASSADOR HELPS SEND MONGOLIAN STUDENTS TO U.S. COLLEGE
With help from former U.S. Ambassador to Mongolia Jonathan Addleton, Wesleyan College receives
its first two Mongolian students this fall.
The women‘s school has historically had strong links to Asia. It has also hosted students from Russia.
Addleton mentioned to his sister, Macon City, Georgia Councilwoman Nancy White, that he would
eventually like to see some Mongolians study in his hometown. White relayed the message to Steve
Farr, vice president for enrollment services at Wesleyan. Already planning a trip to China and
Singapore, Farr tacked on a three-day visit to Ulaanbaatar.
―Nowadays when you‘re talking about what does it mean with the changes in Russia or China or
South America, and when you have students that can present that firsthand perspective, it‘s that
much more of an enriching educational perspective,‖ he said.
Source: Global Atlanta
CHINESE DISCRIMINATION IN MONGOLIA
Over recent years Chinese migrant workers have poured into Mongolia and clashed with locals. They
face discrimination and often aggravate the situation through their own behavior, leading to some
violent conflicts and legislation aimed at keeping the number of foreign workers limited.
Zhao Jurong, chairman of a real estate company in Mongolia, said that in recent years the booming
Mongolian real estate industry has created demand for a large number of skilled workers, which has
attracted many Chinese. Conflicts can arise from language barriers and misunderstandings.
Southern Chinese tend to speak very fast with high voices. Conversely, Mongolians speak softly and
only raise their voices when arguing. When in close contact, Mongolians might misinterpret Chinese
people and think they're being scolded.
Chinese workers can also aggravate problems by discriminating against Mongolians, calling them
sluggish or alcoholic and unwilling to adhere to normal working hours. Sometimes they mock
Mongolia's lack of development compared to China's, or claim Mongolia as a lost territory of theirs.
In situations where things get out of hand, Mongolians sometimes call radical right-wing
organizations such as Dayan Mongol where the conflict basically descends into a gang war.
Anti-China sentiment also comes from a Mongolian version of the ―China threat theory.‖ The
thinking is that China has already taken Hong Kong and Macao back, soon it will get Taiwan, then
next it will set its sights on Mongolia. Historical disputes make China a natural enemy that politician
can use in riling up nationalistic support. Leaders have had to cater to anti-foreign sentiment in the
form of legislation such as laws to control migrant workers. One such law sets a quota that prohibits
the numbers of any one nationality to exceed 1 percent of the population. Based on Mongolia's
population of 2.8 million, the number of foreign workers for one nation can't exceed 28,000.
Source: The Economic Observer
VOLATILITY IN CASHMERE
Unexpected fluctuations in cashmere prices in 2012 have dampened optimism in Mongolia's textiles
sector, despite the introduction of incentives from the government aimed at streamlining the
industry. However, industry players say a planned commodities exchange will resolve the issue.
After opening at MNT 70,000 per kilogram in the March-April buying season for the country's pivotal
cashmere industry, prices quickly fell to as low as MNT 40,000 a kilogram. Local media reported
that herders had expected to see prices climb as high as MNT 100,000 a kilogram. Producers and
herders blame the dip on traders from China, accusing them of straying from National Cashmere
and Wool Association (NCWA) price estimates, which were between MNT 56,000 and MNT 58,000.
However, officials say the instability was a result of government loans being misused by domestic
producers who ―conspired‖ to drive prices up.
Reports by international groups suggest local traders indeed attempted to influence the market.
The World Bank wrote in its quarterly economic update, saying, ―herders and traders attempted to
push up prices of greasy (raw) cashmere by limiting the volume of greasy being sold on the market
and available for export. As a result, export earnings from greasy cashmere were down by 57
percent year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first quarter of 2012, while export volumes were 36 percent
lower.‖
Despite the controversy over the funds, the introduction of a unique trademark for Mongolian
cashmere products by the Ministry of Food, Agriculture, and Light Industry (MFALI) in April is a sign
of progress. Industry players have said the Agricultural Market Law, which established the Mongolian
Agricultural Commodity Exchange (MACE) for trading agricultural goods and raw materials, could
resolve price issues within the industry. The MACE, established in July, has been designed to cover
all products of animal origin and raw materials, as well as act as a mechanism to ensure fair prices.
Source: Oxford Business Group
GOVERNMENT LOOKS TO STIMULATE WOOL INDUSTRY
The Ministry of Agriculture and Light Industry is poised to purchase 12,000 tons of wool to stimulate
the industry.
Last year the government passed the resolution to enact this purchase, which will take effect in
November. However, herders must have their documents filled out and sent to local officials by 1
September.
Last year the government allocated MNT 8.8 billion to 32,000 herders.
Source: Zuunii Medee
BIG COAL FACES STEEL SLOWDOWNS
A bet by four of the United States' top coal producers on coking coal, a commodity of rapidly
growing importance to Mongolia, has not worked out as planned. Mongolia Mining Corp. (MMC) has
made a similar bet with a decision to scale down thermal coal production in favor of the
metallurgical variety.
Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) Inc., presumed Tavan Tolgoi operator Peabody Energy Corp., Arch
Coal Inc. (ACI) and Walter Energy Inc. (WLT) completed takeovers that boosted sales of
metallurgical coal used in steelmaking. The companies bet that coal, which sells for a higher price
than the thermal variety burned to general electricity, would benefit from booming Asia demand
and counter threats from falling natural-gas prices and extra environmental regulation. That
strategy hasn't worked out as planned, with metallurgical coal prices falling 16 percent so far this
year compared with 50 percent growth projections.
―There was some belief that there was counter cyclicality between met and thermal,‖ said David
Gagliano, an analyst at Barclay's PLC in New York. ―What we've learned is that they aren't that
different.‖
Low-volatility metallurgical-coal prices are down 34 percent over the last 12 months to USD 192.50
a tons, according to Energy Publishing Inc. China, the second-largest economy and biggest
steelmaker, expanded 7.6 percent in the second quarter, the slowest pace in three years. Recession
in Europe is adding to the gloom.
Metallurgical coal will not rebound in 2013, and prices will average USD 210 next year, up 9 percent
from yesterday‘s price. Thermal coal will be USD 70, a 20 percent increase from current prices.
Peabody Energy, ANR and ACI all reported negative free cash flow in the second quarter, meaning
they did not generate enough cash to run their businesses. Peabody acquired Australia's MacArthur
Coal Ltd. in December for AUD 3. billion (USD 3.9 billion) to expand its sales of metallurgical coal in
Asia.
Source: Bloomberg
COPPER PRICES FALL AMID ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY
Copper prices fell on Tuesday on renewed concerns about future demand for the metal amid
weaker-than-expected growth data from Spain and a downgrade in outlook for Japan's economy.
Copper has historically been the linchpin to Mongolia's economy with production coming from the
Erdenet copper mine and soon from Oyu Tolgoi.
The most actively traded contract, for September delivery, was recently down USD 0.0185, or 5
percent, at USD 3.46 a pound on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Spain's economy contracted
0.4 percent in the second quarter from the first quarter, and by 1.3 percent compared with the
2011 second quarter.
The data highlighted that the euro zone's fourth-largest economy is facing a deepening recession.
Elsewhere, the Japanese government cut its view of the economy in August for the first time in 10
months, citing slower exports and sluggish consumer spending.
Copper is widely used in general manufacturing, automotive production, electronics and
construction, and investors worry that slowing business activity will pressure demand for the metal.
Source: Wall Street Journal
POLITICS
CABINET RESTRUCTURES GOVERNMENT
The Cabinet of Ministries dissolved several agencies during an irregular session, leaving a total of 11
regulatory and 17 implementation agencies.
The Cabinet discussed the new structure of ministries, with Prime Minister N. Altankhuyag warning
against adding a number of staffers. The cabinet agreed that all 16 ministries may have their own
departments for policy planning, and implementation as well as administration, and control and
monitoring.
The Cabinet decided that public offices will open at 8:00 and finish at 17:00. Secondary schools and
kindergartens will open at 8:00 while higher education institutions will open at 9:00, beginning 3
September. It also tasked Ulaanbaatar Mayor E. Bat-Uul with creating a timetable for different
industries to operation in the hopes of reducing traffic by regulation the hours these offices open
and close.
The abolished agencies are the National Development and Innovation Committee, Department of
Information, Post, Department of Communication and Technology, Department for Children,
Department of State Service and Maintenance, Management Academy, Department of Diplomatic
Missions, Service and Maintenance, Department of Foreign Investment, Forestry Authority, Water
Authority, Committee of Culture and Arts, Department of Professional Education and Training,
Railway Authority, Transport Authority, Department of Roads, Department of Land Relations,
Construction, Geodesy, and Cartography, Department of Welfare Services, Department of Small and
Medium Business, Energy Authority, Department of Physical Education and Sports, and Department
of Health.
Source: Montsame
LOCAL ELECTIONS SCHEDULED FOR NOVEMBER
Local elections have been scheduled for November, according to a draft of the Law on Local
Elections.
The decision was announced by A. Bakei, chairman of the standing committee on state structure as
well as N. Luvsanjav, chairman of the General Election Committee (GEC). Bakei noted that GEC
should present a budget for local elections as soon as possible. The draft legislation allots some
MNT 9.2 billion for election expenditures.
―An irregular session of Parliament scheduled for 29 August will discuss amendments of the 2012
budget,‖ said Bakei. ―The discussion of the budget will include expenditures for local elections.‖
Luvsanjav said more time was needed to prepare the ballots for the election. She said 10 days was
necessary to print the 50 different ballot lists for the 28 June election compared with 1,000
different ballot varieties needed for local elections. GEC has asked that representatives of local
governor administrations come to Ulaanbaatar to confirm ballot lists.
Source: Info Mongolia
GOVERNMENT PREPARES FOR ELECTION OF CITIZENS' ASSEMBLY
The government is planning to hold an irregular session of government to decide on the details of
the citizens' assembly election.
The session, which will likely be held within the next two weeks, will be used to discuss the
budgeting and the recently passed Law on Provincial Assemblies. The election is tentatively
scheduled for October.
In the last government, before the June elections, members had submitted three project proposals
for the assembly. Since only a few of the project authors have remained in power since the
election, new proposals will likely be drafted.
The elections will use a mixed system of direct (70 percent) and proportional election by party list
(30 percent). Each provincial capital as well as village will receive representation, totaling in 41
representatives for 31 districts.
Source: Undesnii Shuudan
8,000 BAND TOGETHER TO DEMAND LAND PROMISED TO THEM
Ulaanbaatar's property-less citizens have banded together to establish a civil organization to
demand land for themselves.
The Union of Citizens without Land or Home has attracted more than 8,000 members since it
opened just a few days before the time of this report. The initiative to launch the organization
came first from the residents of Bayanzurkh District. The organization claims that people there
don't have homes or property. The last government promised land to Ulaanbaatar's citizens, but the
newly established city government has since decided to put that program on hold until proper urban
planning can be established.
―People with money and power are taking the land that is available, while others ignorant of the
law simply wait and have their right to 0.7 hectares of land denied to them,‖ said organization
leader B. Nyamkhainyambuu.
Nyamkhainyambuu said he has seen ordinary citizens denied land. Meanwhile the property market is
booming, leaving corrupt politicians to reap the benefits, he said. He added that the only response
comes from the ban on the distribution of exploration licenses to mining firms and the sale of land
to foreigners.
Although there is land available at Gatchuurt, officials have said that land would not be allocated
to ordinary citizens but instead to companies to develop the tourism and recreation industries.
―Money wins while the people without money lose,‖ said Nyamkhainyambuu. ―The property industry
is a business for the mafia of officials.‖
He promised to expand his organization‘s reach from outside Bayanzurkh to the entire city and
eventually grow countrywide. He added, there would be no need to focus on the city if land would
be provided outside Ulaanbaatar and sufficient infrastructure was granted. Nyamkhainyambuu said
the development of another city is possible and should be a focus of government.
Source: Udriin Sonin
GOVERNMENT TO DISTRIBUTE STUDENT STIPENDS OF UP TO MNT 140,400 A MONTH
The government of Mongolia plans to distribute four types of stipends to students studying at
Mongolia's accredited higher education institutions.
The type of stipend students receive will depend on performance criteria, resulting in bonuses of
between 50 to 100 percent of their stipend. Students have been receiving stipends of MNT 70,000 a
month since 1 January this year. To be eligible, a student must also be studying in one of the top 20
professions most in demand, as listed by the government.
The first type of stipend allocates MNT 70,200 to each student. Students can earn a bonus of 50
percent bonus totaling in MNT 105,300 for a grade point average (GPA) of at least 3.2, a 75 percent
bonus for a GPA of at least 3.6 and a 100 percent bonus if one receives one of the three places from
the Olympics competition, organized by the Ministry of Education and Science.
The top 20 professions, according to the regulations for the stipends, are road construction, primary
education, preschool education, natural science education, geology, hydrogeology, hydro-
mechanical engineering, water reserve ecology, mining technology, mining machinery and
equipment, veterinary science, information systems, oil reserves and transportation, plumbing,
renewable energy, nanotechnology engineering, biotechnology, nuclear energy, medical diagnosis,
and therapy.
Source: Info Mongolia
FOREIGN MINISTER ARRIVES IN IRAN FOR NAM SUMMIT
The minister of foreign relations arrived in Tehran, Iran for the 16th Non-Aligned Movement (NAM)
summit, held from 30 to 31 August.
Upon his arrival, Minister of Foreign Affairs G. Zandanshatar announced that his purpose was to
promote global peace, one of the main objectives of the summit. He said all countries participating
in the NAM summit champion the cause of global peace and stability.
At the time of this report, President Ts. Elbegdorj also had plans to attend the summit.
Source: ABNA
CHINA VOWS TO SUPPORT UPGRADE OF MONGOLIA'S INDUSTRIES
China promises to support Mongolia as it upgrades its massive minerals industry, said China's
councilor during an official visit.
Foreign Councilor Dai Bingguo made his remarks follow the transition to a new government many
hope will promote a friendlier investment climate. The new government has vowed to boost the
country's economy, setting the goal for annual economic growth of 14 to 15 percent over the next
eight years.
―We will actively support and take part in Mongolia's strategy to rejuvenate the nation by
developing the mineral industry,‖ said Dai. ―We support Mongolia to develop further processing of
mineral products and extend the industry chain. We would like to deepen cooperation with
Mongolia in that regard to help Mongolia accelerate its industry upgrading.‖
Dai said China is interested in cooperating with Mongolia on processing mineral and energy
products, infrastructure and construction, clean energy and efforts against desertification. A deputy
minister of Mongolia's Ministry of Mineral Resource and Energy said earlier this month that 60
percent of investment in Mongolia's mineral resources came from China. He said Ulaanbaatar is in
strong need of Chinese investment for further processing of its mineral and energy resources.
―We still hope more Chinese companies come, not only to draw away the coal but to build more
factories,‖
Chinese Ambassador to Mongolia Wang Xiaolong said on the eve of Dai's visit that this year is a
―special and important‖ one for China and Mongolia, as both are set to see new leadership. At such
a critical moment, the two neighbors ―need to beef up high-level communication‖, ―properly
handle problems in bilateral ties‖ and make plans to ensure stable growth of their ties, Wang said.
Source: China Daily
CHINA COMMITS TO USD 7.9 MILLION GRANT
Dai Bingguo committed to a grant of CNY 50 million (USD 7.87 million) to Mongolia during his recent
visit.
The grant was bartered by Deputy Prime Minister of the Government Palace D. Terbishdagva. Prime
Minister N. Altankhuyag sent his gratitude for the assistance, in addition to remarks in support of
closer relations between their respective nations.
Source: Undesnii Shuudan
MONGOLIA CONFIRMS NEW U.S. AMBASSADOR
The new U.S. ambassador to Mongolia has arrived and has had her position confirmed by
government.
Ambassador Piper Campbell presented her credentials to President Ts. Elbegdorj at the Government
Palace on 24 August. The ceremony began with a presentation of the nation's honored guards at
Sukhbaatar Square before Campbell met with the president followed by Minister of Foreign Affairs
L. Bold.
Elbegdorj congratulated the new ambassador on obtaining the post, noting that this year marks the
25th anniversary of diplomatic relations between the United States and Mongolia. During this
quarter of a decade, both nations have collaborated on numerous projects. The president gave his
gratitude for the United States' support for Mongolia's fledgling democracy and the development of
its market economy. Elbegdorj also spoke of the expanding economic ties between the two nations,
including a growing volume of investment coming from the United States.
In 2011, the United States had 289 U.S. businesses operating in Mongolia, including 117 in trade and
service, 19 in geology exploration, 13 in tourism, 11 in light industry, six in banking, and four in
animal husbandry. Total trade turnover from the United States is estimated at USD 541.9 million, as
of December 2011. That constitutes an increase of 3.3 times compared with the same period in
2010.
Campbell promised to give her strongest efforts to establish broader relations between the two
countries and contribute to the democracy and freedom of Mongolia's people.
Source: Info Mongolia
POLITICIANS JUGGLE NATIONALISM WITH DEPENDENCE ON CHINA
It is no surprise that one of the first foreign officials on the plane to Ulaanbaatar last week after a
new Mongolian government was finally put together after June's election was China's state councilor
and national security advisor, Dai Bingguo.
In a three-day visit, Dai did the rounds of the new government, including Prime Minister N.
Altankhuyag of the Democratic Party, with the message that China is a friendly and dependable
partner for its northern neighbor.
Much of the Mongolian population is not so sure and politicians frequently echo the fears that
China's passion for Mongolia's extraordinary reserves of mineral resources is only the tip of the
iceberg of imperial ambitions in Beijing. Previous governments have taken several steps to try to
curb Chinese investment in mineral deposits, which have had a chilling effect on all foreign
investment. But the reality is that China is now Mongolia's top trade partner, taking over 90 percent
of its exports.
Although the markets welcomed the coming of a government led by the Democratic Party, which is
judged to be less extreme in its suspicion of foreign investment than other parties, it has joined
forces with the Mongolia's People's Revolutionary Party (MPRP), which is in favor or nationalizing
resources. The new prime minister's has attempted to placate the economic nationalists in his camp
by appointing D. Gankhuyag, a critic of the Oyu Tolgoi investment agreement. Gankhuyag did not
disappoint the resources nationalists, calling for the state to enforce a resolution that would
require 50 percent ownership, compared with the 34 percent it now holds, of the massive Oyu
Tolgoi copper and gold project once project developer Turquoise Hill Resources recoups its money
spent.
Of immediate concern for Beijing is the USD 926 million bid by China's state-controlled Aluminum
Corp. of China Ltd. (Chalco) for the purchase of the 58 percent interest in SouthGobi Resources Ltd.
held by Turquoise Hill. The deal, which Turquoise Hill says it needs to finance the Oyu Tolgoi
copper and gold project, was blocked by new foreign investment legislation. SouthGobi Resources
Chief Executive Alex Molyneux has said the government has done everything in its power to block
the Chalco purchase.
Source: Vancouver Sun
MONGOLIA AND NORTH KOREA‟S LINGERING TIES WITH RUSSIA
Russia is favored by Mongolia and North Korea, who provide opportunities for Russia to raise its
stakes in Northeast Asian matters.
Despite the collapse of the Soviet Union and relative inattention by the Kremlin in the 1990s,
Ulaanbaatar and Pyongyang never abandoned their attempts to renew ties with Russia. Positive
responses came after a decade when President Vladimir Putin‘s visits to North Korea and Mongolia
in 2000 demonstrated the Kremlin‘s new emphasis on its former allies. Their treaties of mutual
assistance with Russia were replaced by treaties of good neighborliness. The debts incurred during
the Soviet era were resolved favorably for each.
As a result, Russia seems to have secured its stake in key infrastructure development projects: the
trans-Korean railway, a gas pipeline, special economic zones and education in North Korea; and the
trans-Mongolian railway, its extension and the mining of uranium and aluminum in Mongolia.
Mongolia and North Korea collaborate with Russia for fear of Chinese expansion, their small
populations and their reputation as underdeveloped parts of Northeast Asia compared with China,
Japan and South Korea. Russia is the only way Mongolia and North Korea can reach Eurasian markets
and to import fuel and technology. Both North Korea and Mongolia actively avoid increasing
dependence on Chinese investment, technology, and markets.
All three have distinct geopolitical needs. For Russia, North Korea provides a strategic buffer from
the United States and Japan, while Mongolia seeks the same insulation from China. Russia‘s
partnership with North Korea makes it more able to handle economic issues with South Korea and
Japan as well as the United States on security issues. Mongolia similarly increases Russia‘s stake in
Sino-Russian relations and offers leverage for Moscow when dealing with Beijing.
However, Russia is caught in a situation where it cannot engage in intensive security ties with both
nations. Any military move would undermine relations with key investors China, Japan, and South
Korea. Assertive moves might also push Mongolia and North Korea closer to China. Both nations will
serve as Russia‘s economic gateways to Northeast Asia and a strategic buffer from its competitors.
Source: Bangkok Post
CHINESE CULTURAL HERITAGE MONTH LAUNCHES IN UB
Chinese cultural month began on 29 August in Mongolia, with an opening ceremony held on 30
August at the Central Cultural Palace.
During the month of celebration of Chinese culture will be live concerts featuring both Mongolian
and Chinese musicians. It will also feature a photo exhibition to display the cultural heritage of
Ulaan Khan and a week of Chinese film.
A Mongolian cultural heritage month was held last April in Beijing, China.
Source: News.mn
MONGOLIA, AUSTRALIA CELEBRATE 40 YEARS OF DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS
September marks the 40th anniversary of the diplomatic relations between Australia and Mongolia.
Back in 15 September 1972, the two countries established diplomatic relations. Since then many
intergovernmental actions have broadened the friendly relationships between the two countries.
This includes the opening of a Australian General Consulate in Ulaanbaatar this year in May. A
Mongolian Embassy to Australia opened in Canberra in 2008, led by Mongolia's first ambassador, Ts.
Jambaldorj.
For this event, Australia's ambassador to Mongolia, a resident of Seoul, Korea, Sam Gerovich will
deliver a speech entitled ―The Australia-Mongolia Relationship‖ on 14 September at the Round Hall
of the National University of Mongolia (NUM).
Source: Info Mongolia
KHAAN QUEST 2012 CONCLUDES
Khaan Quest 2012, an annual multinational peacekeeping exercise, concluded on 23 August. The
event is a joint activity by the Mongolian Armed Forces and United States Pacific Command.
The closing ceremony was attend by many officials, including Parliament Speaker Z. Enkhbold, who
noted, ―Peacekeeping is an honored duty of any military servant, showing his bravery, tolerance,
hardiness and high professional skills.‖
This year's Khaan Quest military exercise coincided with the 20th anniversary of established
diplomatic relations between the United States and Mongolia, he said.
Source: Info Mongolia
THE JUST
The source of Mongolia's vast wealth has less to do with the hard work ethic, courageous struggle
and resilience of its people than its good fortune to hold its vast mineral resources. The old cliché
that the fortune that came from unexpected growth in commodity prices is a heritage passed down
from Chinggis Khaan line is a lie. Chinggis did not entrust this mineral wealth, which dates back 60
to 70 million years, to Altankhuyag nor Batbold.
The current budget is estimated at between USD 30 million and USD 50 million. The state budget
stands at 56 percent of gross national product (GDP) today compared with 28 percent in 1998. The
figure is likely to grow to 70 percent as a result of the proposed government policies. Participation
from the private sector has fallen from a high of 80 percent of GDP to 30 percent in four years.
Clearly the capitalist era has come to an end.
The minerals sector is currently carrying the weight of Mongolia's economy, society and politics. An
injection of USD 2 billion into the economy via the Oyu Tolgoi investment agreement makes it
responsible for one out of every MNT 3 in 2011. Spent wisely, that money could have contributed to
investment in education, infrastructure, health care, and the service sector, much as Canada,
Australia, Norway and Chile did. Instead that money was mismanaged and given away.
Not much can be expected from the new government. The Justice Coalition that makes up a portion
of the government has been best known to the public as the loudest opponent against foreign
investment and the mining industry. The major faction leading the government, the Democratic
Party (DP), has announced its Cabinet of Ministries. It includes as minister of minerals D.
Gankhuyag, who rose to the public spotlight criticizing the Oyu Tolgoi investment agreement and
trumpeting the need to nationalize other deposits. However, while Gankhuyag focuses chiefly on
the magic number 51 (the percentage he demands for Mongolia's stake in the Oyu Tolgoi copper-
gold project), it would be more beneficial to the country to claim half the profits through a better
arrangement of royalties and tax under a production sharing agreement.
A new ministry, one for economic development, has been established, and is meant to be a revival
of the former National Development and Innovation Committee. Unfortunately, it is under the guide
of N. Batbayar. He is nicknamed the ―disaster‖ by investors and has a reputation for anti-foreign
views on investment. History will remember Batbayar for two accomplishments: The 68 percent
windfall tax that was eventually repealed and the recently passed foreign investment law. The
former led to a 90 percent fall in gold production and eventual tax revenue in Mongolia as well as
the imprisonment of many. The second has already driven many companies out of Mongolia.
If foreign investors leave, the government will not have the USD 30 billion it wants to splurge on. If
exports in Mongolia disappear, imports will soon follow. The sectors that thrive—construction and
mining—would collapse. On the bright side, prices would fall and agricultural products, especially
cashmere, would take center stage in the economy. There would even be money left for cigarettes!
Author B. “Baabar” Batbayar is a former minister of finance and member of Parliament. Since
2006, he has run Nepko Publishing Company, and in 2009 he was awarded the honor of “History of
Mongolia” from the State Awards of Mongolia.
Source: Baabar
NEW MONGOLIAN LAWS
The following law was published in the latest weekly Government bulletin. Unless otherwise
decided by Parliament, it will take effect ten (10) days after publication.
Date Laws
21.08.2012 Amendments to Law on Parliament of Mongolia
Please visit BCM's website, Legislative Working Group, for a summary of new Mongolian laws. BCM
members who wish to access complete versions of the laws and regulations in Mongolian language
are welcome to email the BCM office: info@bcmongolia.org.
ANNOUNCEMENTS
DISCOVER MONGOLIA-2012, AUGUST 30-31
The Discover Mongolia conference is being held on August 30-31 in Ulaanbaatar. The conference
venue is again the Children's Palace. BCM is a supporting organization of Discover Mongolia 2012,
and its members have had the opportunity for an early-bird rate for attendance.
Oyu Tolgoi LLC, Mongolia's largest copper and gold mining firm, is the event's premier sponsor, in
addition to the forum's ―gold sponsors‖: Monnis International Inc., Xanadu Mines Ltd., Aspire Mining
Ltd., Micromine Mongolia LLC, and Mongolian Mining Corp. The conference agenda concentrates on
recent developments that have taken place in Mongolia's mining and foreign investment landscape.
For more information, call +976 7014 9762 or email info@discovermongoliaforum.com.
___________________________________________
MINING MONGOLIA 2012 AND BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION MONGOLIA 2012
190 companies from 22 countries including pavilions from Australia, Canada and Germany will
display a wide range of technology, supplies and services for the mining and the construction
sector, on a scale never seen before in Mongolia. Inside and outside displays, providing a first
opportunity for buyers to see technology and learn about new mining & construction service from
industry experts at the Buyant-Ukhaa Sports Palace from 5-7 September 2012.
For more show information, please visit http://www.miningandconstructionmongolia.com. The
online registration is closed, please bring your name card to the show venue – Buyant UkhaaSports
Palace, go to the visitor registration counter to receive your visitor badge. The visitor entry is FREE
OF CHARGE.
BCM is supporting this event. BCM members will have 5% discount to book the exhibition space.
___________________________________________
MONGOLIA INVESTMENT SUMMIT 2012, HONG KONG, OCTOBER 30-31
The Mongolia Investment Summit 2012 will be held from 29 to 30 October at the Four Seasons Hotel
in Hong Kong to once again bring the best of Mongolia's investment opportunities to Asia's leading
investment hub.
Now in its third year, the summit has strongly cemented its position as the largest Mongolian
investment event outside of Ulaanbaatar, providing foreign investors with the most comprehensive
overview of Mongolia's key economic growth sectors all under one roof.
Speakers to the event include Altai Khangai, Chief Executive Officer of the Mongolian Stock
Exchange (MSE), Cameron McRae, President and Chief Executive Officer of Oyu Tolgoi LLC, and
James Passin, Co-founder and Manager of Firebird Mongolia Fund.
BCM is again a Supporting Organization for the event. Jim Dwyer, Executive Director of BCM, will
chair both morning sessions. For more information, find a brochure to the event by logging on to
the website: mongoliainvestmentsummit.com.
___________________________________________
REGISTER NOW FOR MONGOLIAN MINING DIRECTORY-2013
Mongolian Mining Directory-2013 which provides information database for Mining companies,
investors, suppliers, service companies, government and non government organizations will be
published for the fourth year to commemorate the 90th anniversary of the Mongolian mining
industry. The MMD is distributed free of charge to international and domestic mining companies,
international conferences and exhibition, embassy offices in Mongolia and foreign countries to
investors.
BCM is a Supporting Organization of the MMD and welcomes Mongolian mining industry participants
who are interested in advertising their products and services in Mongolian Mining Directory-2013.
For more information please visit: www.mining.mn, www.mongolianminingdirectory.mn or call
+976-7011 5590.
___________________________________________
REGISTER FOR BCM‟S MINING SUPPLY CHAIN DATABASE AT NO COST
The new version of BCM‘s Mining Supply Chain Database is ready for use. Following the initiative of
Oyu Tolgoi LLC, the BCM has maintained the Mining supply chain database since March 2009. It is
honor to introduce you to the new version of the database which is totally upgraded as to its
content and use of information technology opportunities.
We are inviting all Mongolian mining suppliers and buyer companies to join the Mining Supply Chain
Database. Please visit here for registration.
If you have any questions regarding the database, please contact Undral at undral@bcmongolia.org
or 317027.
BCM WEBSITES
MONGOLIAN WEBSITE „PRESENTATIONS‟ AND „NEWS‟ SECTIONS
The new ‗Presentations‘ section on BCM‘s Mongolian website can be reached via link to
bcm.mn/itgeluud. Several presentations already posted include World Bank‘s Mongolia Quarterly
Economic Update–June 2012; 11 speeches from the 2nd Coaltrans on May 23-24 in UB.
As a key component of BCM‘s Mongolian website ‗News‘ section, articles from the Government‘s
―Open-Government.mn‖ site are regularly posted.
___________________________________________
ENGLISH WEBSITE 'PRESENTATIONS', 'MONGOLIA REPORTS' AND „MONGOLIAN BUSINESS NEWS‟
On BCM‘s English website, ‗Resource, Presentations‘ section, for your review are the following
recent postings:
•Lowering the High Cost of Paying Taxes by Olin McGill, Business Environment Reform Advisor, BPI-
"Quantifying the Costs of Regulatory Inefficiency" workshop, July 23, 2012
•Quantifying the Costs of Regulatory Inefficiency by Olin McGill, Business Environment Reform
Advisor, BPI-"Quantifying the Costs of Regulatory Inefficiency" workshop, July 23, 2012
•Why Businesses Cheat: Mongolia Reforms Confiscatory Costs of Paying Taxes by Olin McGill Business
Environment Reform Advisor, BPI-"Quantifying the Costs of Regulatory Inefficiency" workshop, July
23, 2012
• 4 presentations from BCM‘s June 25 monthly meeting;
•12 presentations from the 2nd Coaltrans on May 23-24 in UB.
Also on BCM‘s English website, ‗Resource, Mongolia Reports‘ section, please note the following
recent postings:
•Taxes of expatriates in Mongolia from PricewaterhouseCoopers on August 18, 2012;
•2012 Mongolia Investment Climate Statement by Economic and Commercial Section of the US
Embassy, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia;
•World Bank: Mongolia Quarterly Economic Update- June, 2012;
•Risk report for Mongolia 2012 by Mongolia Economic Forum;
•Polit Barometer, June 2012, and the Polit Barometer, April 2012 by Sant Maral Foundation
(Mongolian and English versions);
•ADB‘s Asian Development Outlook, April 2012;
•Detailed results of BCM‘s NewsWire survey of March 2012.
We are now posting some news stories and analyses relevant to Mongolia to BCM website's
‗Mongolian Business News‘ as they come, instead of waiting until each Friday to put them all
together in the weekly NewsWire. The NewsWire will, however, continue to be issued on Friday,
and will incorporate items that are already on the home page, so that it presents a consolidated
account of the week‘s events.
___________________________________________
MONGOLIAN WEBSITE „PRESENTATIONS‟ AND „NEWS‟ SECTIONS
The new ‗Presentations‘ section on BCM‘s Mongolian website can be reached via link to
bcm.mn/itgeluud. Several presentations already posted include World Bank‘s Mongolia Quarterly
Economic Update–June 2012; 11 speeches from the 2nd Coaltrans on May 23-24 in UB.
As a key component of BCM‘s Mongolian website ‗News‘ section, articles from the Government‘s
―Open-Government.mn‖ site are regularly posted.
___________________________________________
SOCIAL NETWORK WITH BCM
The Business Council of Mongolia (BCM) has expanded its reach to your favorite social networks.
Keep up to date on the latest business deals in Mongolia and how the climate for investment is
improving each day with BCM.
Connect with BCM on Linked-in to join the diverse group of professional contacts creating a better
business environment in Mongolia today.
Add BCM on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/pages/THE-BUSINESS-COUNCIL-OF-
MONGOLIA/129826330435540 to read the latest announcements and comment on events carried in
the NewsWire with the community.
Hear breaking news and announcements as they happen when you follow BCM on Twitter at
http://twitter.com/#!/bcMongolia.
Of course for news information, interviews, and announcements regarding our organization, visit
the official BCM website at www.bcmongolia.org and www.bcm.mn.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
INFLATION
Year 2006 6.0% [source: National Statistical Office of Mongolia (NSOM)]
Year 2007 *15.1% [source: NSOM]
Year 2008 *22.1% [source: NSOM]
Year 2009 *4.2% [source: NSOM]
Year 2010 *13.0% [source: NSOM]
Year 2011 *10.2% [source: NSOM]
July 31, 2012 *14.5% [source: NSOM]
*Year-over-year (y-o-y), nationwide
Note: 14.9% y-o-y, Ulaanbaatar city, July 31, 2012
CENTRAL BANK POLICY RATE
December 31, 2008 9.75% [source: IMF]
March 11, 2009 14.00% [source: IMF]
May 12, 2009 12.75% [source: IMF]
June 12, 2009 11.50% [source: IMF]
September 30, 2009 10.00% [source: IMF]
May 12, 2010 11.00% [source: IMF]
April 28, 2011 11.50% [source: IMF]
August 25, 2011 11.75% [source: IMF]
October 25, 2011 12.25% [source: IMF]
March 19, 2012 12.75% [source: Mongol Bank]
April 18, 2012 13.25% [source: Mongol Bank]
CURRENCY RATES – August 30, 2012
Currency Name Currency Rate
U.S. dollar USD 1,381.09
Euro EUR 1,733.34
Japanese yen JPY 17.57
British pound GBP 2,187.30
Hong Kong dollar HKD 177.78
Chinese yuan CNY 217.51
South Korean won KRW 1.22
Russian ruble RUB 42.78
Disclaimer: Except for reporting on BCM‘s activities, all information in the BCM NewsWire is
selected from various news sources. Opinions are those of the respective news sources.

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31.08.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 237

  • 1. BUSINESS COUNCIL of MONGOLIA NewsWire www.bcmongolia.org info@bcmongolia.org Issue 237 – August 31, 2012 NEWS HIGHLIGHTS: Business  Discover Mongolia: Day One  Mining minister seeks larger stake in OT;  Rio “confident” of securing power supply for OT from China;  Aspire Mining receives approval for Ovoot mining license;  IFC proposes USD 900 million financing for OT;  Haranga in agreement with government on allocation of rail capacity;  Manas begins drilling for oil;  Rosnefti provides extra fuel supplies;  Suu expands product line, production capacity;  Golomt prices tugrug above competitors;  Fitch withdraws expected rating for XacBank’s notes;  BDSec sees 31 percent growth in earnings for H1 2012;  Noble Group to return to form with base metals push;  Centerra experiences quarterly loss. Economics  North Korea proposes to open port to TT coal;  Mayor staggers school hours of operation;  New timetable targets reduced city traffic;  Sainshand-Choir road to open September 2013;  Mongolia to join expanded Trans-Siberian rail line;  Government debt climbs to MNT 750 billion;  Sainshand to introduce materials handling;  Mongolia attempts to break free of foreign fuel dependence;  Construction and industry top students' interest;  A window of opportunity;  Former ambassador helps send Mongolian students to U.S. college;  Chinese discrimination in Mongolia;  Volatility in cashmere;  Government looks to stimulate wool industry;  Big coal faces steel slowdowns;  Copper prices plunge amid economic uncertainty. Politics  Cabinet restructures government;  Local elections scheduled for November;  Government prepares for election of citizens’ assembly;  8,000 band together to demand land promised to them;  Government to distribute student stipends of up to MNT 140,400 a month;  Foreign minister arrives in Iran for NAM summit;  China vows to support upgrade of Mongolia's industries;  China commits to USD 7.9 million grant;  Mongolia confirms new U.S. ambassador;  Politicians juggle nationalism with dependence on China;
  • 2.  Mongolia and North Korea’s lingering ties with Russia;  Chinese cultural heritage month launches in UB;  Mongolia, Australia celebrate 40 years of diplomatic relations;  Khaan Quest 2012 concludes;  The just. ECONOMIC INDICATORS:  MSE Top 20 Index by Market Capitalization;  Foreign-listed Companies with Mongolian Assets;  Supermarket Price Comparison – August 2012;  Inflation;  Central Bank policy rate;  Currency rates. *Click on titles above to link to articles. SPONSORS Khan Bank Eznis Airways Kempinski Hotel Khan Palace Mongolian National Broadcasting Breakthrough PR Oxford Business Group BCM MONTHLY MEETING RECAP The meeting on 27 August with Laurenz Melchers in the chair was attended by 125 members and invited guests. Melchers introduced the recently arrived new U.S. ambassador to Mongolia, Piper Campbell. Campbell greeted the audience, expressing her wishes to introduce ways to aid business relations between the two nations and foster greater cooperation. BCM Executive Director Jim Dwyer announced that 130 volunteers are currently working in BCM's various working groups. The tax working group has been busy arranging a training session in October for over 50 Mongolian Tax Authority (MTA) officials. He added that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had asked the BCM to arrange a meeting on August 24 with large tax paying entities to derive additional issues and recommendations for their ongoing consulting program with the MTA and its
  • 3. Large Taxpayer Office. Additionally, with the start of the new school year the education working group will soon restart its ‗BCM in the Classroom‘ program. BCM membership now stands at 239 compared with 188 a year ago, an increase of 51 members. The 12 most recent new members are: 1. GEE - offers to supply highly experienced personnel, including Mongolian personnel or foreign personnel for any position. It has available highly experienced personnel of all disciplines, from engineers, managers, geologists, contracts, admin, schedulers, planners, safety supervisors and all other disciplines and all levels of seniority. GEE has a huge personnel data base of some 3,000 Mongolian personnel and 30,000 foreign personnel of all nationalities. Customers include some of the major mining and exploration companies in Mongolia. 2. HarrisMoure Mongolia - is a boutique U.S. law firm (16 lawyers, 5 paralegals), headquartered in Seattle, Washington, working exclusively in international business transactions and dispute resolution matters. Its Mongolia office was established to offer its global reach and experience to clients. Russell Murphy is the partner leading the Mongolia practice based in Ulaanbaatar, along with firm founder Charles Moure in the Seattle office. 3. International SOS - provides medical and security assistance to companies operating in Mongolia. The medical services division assists organizations operating in Mongolia to assess health risks and deliver high-level medical services to employees working in some of the most remote and difficult environments in the world. 4. KPMG Audit – has a Mongolia team of approximately 50 professionals, providing a full range of audit, tax, advisory and consulting services to major local and international clients across a range of sectors and industries. 5. Modern Capital Vest - was incorporated in Mongolia in 2011 to manage and operate jointly the first international Jackpot lottery games in Mongolia with Biz INVIN LLC, a Mongolian company incorporated in 2009. Biz INVIN is a majority-owned subsidiary of Monvest Group. The lottery business is operated under the name of Mongolia National Lottery. 6. Monrusconsulting - is a full service corporate law firm committed to helping its clients negotiate the often intricate and confusing Mongolian and Siberian legal and regulatory environments. It has a strong international team of American, Russian and Mongolian attorneys who all have extensive experience working in Ulaanbaatar. 7. Netcapital – is a non-banking financial institution that operates in the areas of loans, deposits, currency exchange, and consulting. Itsmission is to continue maintaining a leading role in the microfinance sector through services tailored to the needs of customers and employees who are highly productive. 8. Sod Gazar - was established in 2005 and has its main office in Ulaanbaatar. Since its establishment the company has performed geological surveys every year. It has discovered several new ore deposits, including coal, iron, fluorspar and molybdenum. 9. Specialized Career Consulting - specializes in search and selection to access the very best Mongolian and international candidates within management, sales, logistics, procurement, safety, mining technical and back office financial positions. 10. Sustainable Environment Consulting - was founded in 2008 by a group of well-known
  • 4. environmental experts. It is specialized in conducting environmental and social impact assessment and rehabilitation projects. Some of its big environmental projects include environmental and social impact reports for Oyu Tolgoi, SouthGobi Sands, and Energy Resources. 11. Traverse Resources - is a world-class drilling company servicing the resources industry throughout multiple geographical locations. It specializes particularly in remote and challenging environments, and currently operates in Papua New Guinea, Fiji, Indonesia and Mongolia. 12. Woodmont International - is a public and government affairs firm headquartered in Ulaanbaatar that provides clients meaningful solutions to external issues such as media, community engagement, and government relations. It also assists a wide range of investors from around the world on understanding opportunities in Mongolia. The evening's presentations began with an introduction by Nigel Finch, director of admissions and associate professor at the University of Sydney Business School. Dr. Finch and Professor Andrew Terry, also of the University of Sydney, will be developing a plan to give training to officials for greater transparency at the Ministry of Finance, the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) and the Financial Regulatory Commission (FRC). The goals of this operation for the public sector are to identify deficiencies, build capacities, and design a process for the dissemination of information to inform investors. Finch pointed to benchmarks such as the World Bank's Doing Business report and Transparency International's Perception of Corruption Index as evidence that Mongolia needs assistance in cleaning up its public sector. ―The general trend is Mongolia is ripe for improvement in transparency,‖ said Finch. Finch said the program is hoping to help raise Mongolia's sovereign credit rating two notches for a target of ―BBB- which could save up to USD 500 million in interest per year on the forecasted national debt.‖ Next, Peter Benson, team leader of the Asia Development Bank's initiative to improve Mongolia's roads, spoke on the progress he has seen. Benson is an employee of VicRoads, an Australian government organization that has experience building 24,500 kilometers of roads and 54,000 kilometers of lanes in both rural and metropolitan areas. Benson and his team aim to develop a road map, provide on-the-job training for construction and supervision, introduce international practices and standards, and establish a capacity for technical development and transfer. The main goal, however, is to build 180 kilometers of road for 2013 with a needed budget of between MNT 20 billion and MNT 30 billion from the government. Additionally, Benson said he hopes to break up the government monopoly and replace it with competitive bidding with government participation in work practices. The roads expert said periodic maintenance is a much better strategy for road maintenance rather than waiting for potholes to form. ―It's better to look out for it before it falls apart as opposed to fixing up a broken road,‖ said Benson. ―That's not what happens in Mongolia. There is no such budget; no such skill.‖ Other objectives are to create a Road Fund, restructure the Department of Roads and create a Road Research Institute. Carolyn Clarke, Managing Partner, PricewaterhouseCoopers Audit LLC, spoke next to discuss the recently conducted International Women's Forum. The event featured a visit from U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, as the event is a passion project for the former U.S. first lady. Clarke said the event provided the opportunity to raise many issues that are relevant to both men and women. Although the event had good attendance from the public sector, participation from the private sector was lacking. Clarke requested that the business owners in the audience ―volunteer and put forth your female workers for a working group and help implement the ideas that came out of the
  • 5. forum.‖ She asked the audience to consider the existing labor laws and if they favor either gender. It is up to the private sector, she said, to address the fact that 70 to 80 percent of graduates are female, while far less hold management positions. Finally John Bachrach, director of IEEC, a member of the IMC Montan group, spoke on his company and how it helps to add values to the minerals sector. Established in 1992, IEEC has provided specialist mining consultancy for over 300 assignments. ―We don't drill holes, but we do advise on where those holes should be drilled,‖ said Bachrach. IEEC and companies like his provide help in developing feasibility studies and mineral expert reports for public offerings. With a strong knowledge in exploration and practices, a strategic vision and technical knowledge, and extensive experience, IEEC can provide added value to mining operations. BUSINESS DISCOVER MONGOLIA: DAY ONE This year's mantra of the 10th annual Discover Mongolia international mining investors' forum was ―From Discovery to Developing,‖ which is fitting given that Mongolia is on the brink of even greater economic growth certain to propel it to a new stage of development. The morning opened with remarks from Mongolia's recently installed Minister of Mining, D. Gankhuyag and Mongolia's first president and chairman of the organizing committee, Mr. Ochirbat Punsalmaa. While many were hoping the new minister would give some hint as to what investors could expect during his reign over Mongolia's mining industry, his speech was tightly scripted and revealed little other than his intention to put Mongolians first and maintain the protection of the environment as a priority. Karr McCurdy, President and Chief Executive Officer of Behre Dolbear which has a JV in Mongolia with MIH Group, opened with the first speech of the day to describe the advantages Mongolia has in its mining sector. ―Mining is a very capital intensive industry.... it tends to be very labor intensive,‖ said McCurdy. The minerals sector, he said, has propelled Mongolia's growth while employing 32 percent of the country‘s workforce. Cameron McRae, President and CEO, Oyu Tolgoi (OT), gave a very informative speech noting the OT investment agreement executed in March 2010 which kick-started the flood of foreign investment into Mongolia. He pointed out that phase one is about complete at OT with some USD 6 billion invested, all from foreign investors, and commercial production to begin in the first half of 2013. Phase two will begin next year and run to 2017 utilizing Rio Tinto‘s unique cave mining techniques which will create some 250 kilometers of underground pathways and cost another USD 6-8 billion. He emphasized to date OT has sent about USD 750 million to the government which has not had to pay anything for its 34 percent ownership interest. McRae pointed out that the government will get between 51 and 71 percent of all future cash payments from the project. L. Zoljargal, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Mongolia, reminded the audience that although the mining sector can provide tremendous financial gains, it cannot match them with employment. ―The mining sector doesn't employ so much because it's so productive, three times as productive as the banking sector. It will not employ many more people for us,‖ said Zoljargal. He warned that boom-bust cycles and too-concentrated economy focused on mining would eventually lead to economic turmoil. Instead he recommended a diversified economy using the funds gained from mining to benefit the middle-class. Rounding out the day‘s events were presentations from mining firms, including Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi JSC, Mongolia Mining Corp., Aspire Mining Ltd., Erdene Resource Development Corp., and Xanadu Mines. Source: BCM
  • 6. MINING MINISTER SEEKS LARGER STAKE IN OT Mongolia should seek to raise its stake in the giant Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold project, the new mining minister said, adding weight to concerns among foreign investors about rising resource nationalism following a June election. D. Gankhuyag, speaking to the Udriin Sonin, said he hoped his government would implement Resolution 57, which states that Mongolia should acquire 50 percent of Oyu Tolgoi once the principal investors—Rio Tinto PLC and Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd.—have recouped their start-up investment. ―We believe there is a likelihood that a number of MPs from all parties could view favorably,‖ said Origo Partners in a note to investors. ―As a result there is risk of a further attempt by these MPs and possibly the government to renegotiate the Oyu Tolgoi investment agreement.‖ In 2011 Gankhuyag was one of several lawmakers to sign a letter urging Rio Tinto and Turquoise Hill—then known as Ivanhoe Mines Ltd.—to renegotiate the 2009 agreement. Ivanhoe Mines refused that request and said it expected all parties to honor the existing deal. Source: Reuters RIO “CONFIDENT” OF SECURING POWER SUPPLY FOR OT FROM CHINA Rio Tinto PLC is certain it will reach a power-supply agreement with China for the Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold project, scheduled to start production next year. ―The negotiation is going well,‖ Andrew Harding, chief executive officer of the London-based company's copper unit, said in Parkes, Australia. ―I'm very coincident the negotiations will deliver the outcomes that I need. The power supply line is ready to go.‖ Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd., a unit of Rio Tinto, said 15 August it expects talks with the Mongolian and Chinese governments for a power agreement to be expedited and supply to be available during the third quarter. Should talks fail, the developers of Oyu Tolgoi would need to build its own power plant, delaying the start, it said. Rio Tinto this month reported a 22 percent drop in first-half profits and is assessing spending plans on new operations, joining rivals BHP Billiton Ltd. and Xstrata PLC. ―We've taken and are taking a full look at the portfolio and being very sensible about the rate of spending at some of the projects,‖ Harding said, specifying there are not changes planned for Oyu Tolgoi. Rio Tinto expects global copper demand to grow 25 percent to 25.2 million tons by 2020, it said on its website. The global copper outlook remained positive, driven by industrialization and producers struggling to bring on new supply, Harding said. Increased copper production from Oyu Tolgoi will help diversify Rio Tinto's income stream. Iron ore provided 79 percent of profits last year, followed by copper with 12 percent. ―By 2014, we estimate copper will make up a quarter of Rio Tinto's earnings and iron ore 60 percent, so Oyu Tolgoi certainly helps,‖ Lyndon Fagon, a Sydney-based resources analyst with JPMorgan Chase & Co., said by phone. During a two-day working visit in Mongolia, at the invitation of Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs G. Tenger, the vice chairman of China's autonomous Inner Mongolia region made official negotiations for the importation of power to Oyu Tolgoi. Source: Bloomberg, Info Mongolia ASPIRE MINING RECEIVES APPROVAL FOR OVOOT MINING LICENSE Aspire Mining Ltd. has been granted a mining license covering the 5,758 hectares of the Ovoot coking coal project. The mining license covers both the planned open-pit and the potential underground mining operations. Under existing minerals law, the mining license has tenure of 30 years from the date of grant with an option to extend for two additional 20-year periods. ―The Ovoot coking coal project is one of the most important new coking coal projects in Mongolia and has the potential to significantly enhance the economic development in northern Mongolia,‖ said David Paull, managing director. ―Achieving a mining license is an important step along the path
  • 7. of financing more development and associated road and rail infrastructure.‖ Aspire Mining currently holds some AUD 20 million in cash to fund operations. Meanwhile the firm continues to intersect coal outside of the existing resource at Ovoot, which has the potential to increase the already large reserve base. Recent drilling testing for extensions to mineralization demonstrate enough potential for Aspire Mining to extend the open pit further north. With only 20 percent of the Ovoot Basin explored, the site has room to grow to a Tier 1 resource. Additionally, Aspire Mining has completed a pre-feasibility study that has delivered positive parameters, including an internal rate of return of 43 percent. The study confirms that Ovoot is financially robust and technically and commercially feasible based on an open-pit probable coal reserve of 178 million tons. The first stage of operations would involve production of 6 million tons a year of saleable coal delivered on 191 kilometers over sealed road to the new railhead at Murun before transport to end markets beginning in 2016. A planned rail spur line from Ovoot to Murun would facilitate the targeted full-scale operations to 12 million tons a year. Source: Proactive Investors IFC PROPOSES USD 900 MILLION FINANCING FOR OT IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, has proposed to finance almost one-quarter of the USD 4 billion project debt for the Oyu Tolgoi copper goal mine. IFC's proposed financing of Oyu Tolgoi LLC is a USD 300 million senior A Loan as well as a USD 600 million B Loan to be syndicated to international commercial banks, as part of a proposed USD 4 billion project debt financing scheme. Co-arrangers of the proposed debt financing are European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Export Development Canada (EDC), Standard Chartered Bank, BNP Paribas, US Export Import Bank, and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA). The balance of the funding for the project is expected to come from sponsor equity, shareholder loans, and project generated cash flow. Source: Cbonds HARANGA IN AGREEMENT WITH GOVERNMENT ON ALLOCATION OF RAIL CAPACITY Haranga Resources Ltd. has entered into a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the Mongolian government for the allocation of up to 5 million tons per year of rail capacity for iron ore from its Selenge project. The MOU was an agreement between Haranga Resources and both the Mongolian Railway Authority and Ministry of Roads, Transportation, Construction and Urban Development (MRTCUD). It asks for support for up to one million tons per year of export rail capacity for its iron ore from both agencies once operations begin and five million tons per year beginning in 2015. In return, Haranga Resources would share its plans to transport its iron ore and other commodities from Selenge as well as its feasibility study results on any proposed new rail infrastructure project from there. The government agencies have also promised to attain all the required licensing and permits for construction and operation of any proposed rail infrastructure. The company's main priority for now is to continue drilling and build up its inventory of resources. Haranga currently has nine drill rigs in operation at the Selenge project and expects to complete its mining license application by October 2012. Source: Haranga Resources Ltd. MANAS BEGINS DRILLING FOR OIL Switzerland-based Manas Petroleum said it has started drilling in Mongolia. The company's subsidiary, Gobi Energy Partners, spud its first well in the region and plans to drill the first well, known as Ger Chuluu A1, to a depth of 1,200 meters and into Jurassic-Paleozoic formations. Target horizons in Ger Chuluu A1 are the Lower Zuunbayan and Tsagaantsav formations. Manas expects the well to cost USD 1.8 million, with the well reaching target depth and being logged in mid-September. If there is a discovery, Gobi Energy plans to test the well with a workover
  • 8. rig and move the rig to the site of the second exploration well—around 170 kilometers northeast of the first well. ―Ger Chuluu A1 represents the next step in the evaluation of our Mongolian assets and a major step in the company's development,‖ said Manas President Werner Ladwein. The 2012 seismic survey, for a total of 335 kilometers, will be finished in the next few days, the oil and gas explorer said. The detailed prospect seismic will form the basis for the 2012 and 2013 drilling locations. Source: Proactive Investors ROSNEFTI PROVIDES EXTRA FUEL SUPPLIES Russian fuel producer Rosnefti LLC plans to increase its supply to Mongolia by 28 percent. Originally the company had agreed to export 1.1 million tons of fuel to Mongolia by December 2012, but did not specify the terms. The firm's board of directors has now decided to sell 1.4 million tons of fuel for USD 1 billion. A gap in supply last January resulted in spikes in fuel prices that angered many citizens. Mongolia consumes, on average, 0.8 to 1 million tons of fuel a year. Source: Unuudur SUU EXPANDS PRODUCT LINE, PRODUCTION CAPACITY National dairy company Suu JSC has doubled its capacity, and it looks to expand into greater ice cream production and enter the pre-made beverage market. The technological upgrade now allows Suu to process 250 tons of milk daily. The Italian and Mongolian engineers are working on assembling a new equipment and production line from Matrix Engineering Technofreese for ice cream production. The system would increase production by 1.5 times to 10,000 ice cream bars daily. The firm would also expand its product line to 20 different varieties. Not satisfied with just ice cream, Suu is also looking to venture into pre-made milk tetra packs as well. Source: Unuudur GOLOMT PRICES TUGRUG ABOVE COMPETITORS This week the tugrug hit its weakest exchange rate in Golomt Bank compared to all others, showing the return of a weak tugrug. Golomt Bank sold tugrugs at an exchange of MNT 1,390 compared to the average of MNT 1,380. At that time the Bank of Mongolia had an exchange rate of MNT 1,370.35. Last month, commercial banks exchanged tugrugs for dollars at a rate between MNT 1,352 and MNT 1,355. Economists have pointed to the recent spike in market demand and expanded in-flow of U.S. dollars as the reason for the tugrugs recent fall. Source: Zuunii Medee FITCH WITHDRAWS EXPECTED RATING FOR XACBANK‟S NOTES Fitch Ratings has withdrawn the expected rating on Mongolia-based XacBank LLC's foreign currency senior unsecured notes and recovery rating. The decision comes from the indefinite hold put on the placement. The senior notes, a draw-down from XacBank's USD 300 million medium-term notes program, had an expected rating of B and a recovery rating of ―RR4‖. XacBank is the fourth-largest bank in Mongolia with a 9 percent market share in lending and a 7 percent share in deposits. The bank experienced 66 percent annual loan growth in 2011, but Fitch expects this to slow down due to an absence of planned refinancing for the bank's market funding. Source: Fitch Ratings BDSEC SEES 31 PERCENT GROWTH IN EARNINGS FOR H1 2012 BDSec JSC reported a 31 percent increase in revenues in its interim results for the first half of 2012.
  • 9. Revenues for the six months ended 30 June 2012 were MNT 3.03 billion compared with 2.31 billion for the same period last year. During this period, net profits nearly doubled, coming in at MNT 827.1 million, an increase of MNT 336 million year-on-year. The basic earnings attributed to equity shareholders of BDSec amounted to some MNT 75.2 million compared with MNT 55.64 in the year- ago period. In the first half of 2012, BDSec managed the first and only initial public offering (IPO) seen on the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) this year for E-Trans Logistics. The firm is the first transport company to list on the MSE, raising its target capital of MNT 924 million. BDSec reported a full investment banking pipeline, including a major mining project and several other issues concerning a construction materials producer, a real estate developer, and a consumer goods company. Beren JSC, an iron ore miner and explorer, is set to raise USD 100 million in the largest IPO in the history of the MSE. In light of its earnings growth, the company has opened a new office in Darkhan. Source: BDSec NOBLE GROUP TO RETURN TO FORM WITH BASE METALS PUSH Commodity merchant Noble Group, a stake holder in both Mongolia explorers Aspire Mining Ltd. and Xanadu Mines Ltd., is gearing up for its biggest push in decades into the base metals markets, hiring two senior traders to expand out of Asia. The Hong Kong-based company, run by its third chief executive in two years after posting its first quarterly loss in a decade last year, is putting renewed focus on markets such as copper and zinc after breakneck growth in energy, which now delivers two-thirds of its revenues. Noble has hired Mark Hansen from hedge fund Brevan Howard to run the global metals business from London. He has been tasked by new head Yusuf Alireza with building up the company‘s smallest division by revenue. Paul Wilkes, a London Metal Exchange (LME) trader formerly at Macquarie Bank, will join next month to run the hedging and proprietary trading desk. While historically a trader known for aluminum, iron ore and ferroalloys, Noble has failed to challenge rivals such as Glencore International and Trafigura for a large piece of the base metals markets. Beyond aluminum, it has few physical metals assets or off-take deals. Noble is looking to broaden its metals off-take portfolio by product and location after rapidly building up its energy agricultural divisions. Read more… The move would be a return to the company‘s roots. Minerals and metals made up 90 percent of turnover compared with 13 percent last year. In recent years Noble has focused on expanding its energy trading team. Noble hopes to find opportunities by funding new projects similar to its niche in the Indian iron-ore market. With weak LME prices potentially preventing projects from getting off the ground, junior miners may seek help from traders. Merchants often provide funding for start-ups in return for a minority stake and output once the mine is operating. ―Trafigura [and Glencore] were early movers with a good franchise. But there‘s still plenty of room at the table. Juniors are hurting at these levels and [Noble] will be happy to help out,‖ said a source familiar with the matter. Source: Reuters CENTERRA EXPERIENCES QUARTERLY LOSS Shares of Centerra Gold Inc. fell more than 2 percent on Thursday, a day after the Canadian gold miner and operator of the Boroo gold mine reported a quarterly loss on lower output at its Kumtor gold mine in Kyrgyzstan and higher operating costs. Centerra reported a net loss of USD 54.6 million for the second quarter ended 30 June. That compared with profits of USD 71.1 million in the year-earlier period. Revenue in the quarter fell 63 percent to USD 89.7 million as gold production dropped 66 percent. At the same time, cash costs rose 72 percent to USD 885 an ounce, compared with USD 513 an ounce in the second quarter of 2011. Toronto-based Centerra maintained its adjusted full-year production outlook of 450,000 to
  • 10. 470,000 ounces of gold. Earlier this year, Centerra was forced to cut its planned output at Kumtor by about a third due to ice movement in the pit at the high-altitude project. Kumtor is Centerra's largest gold mine. The company is currently studying the possibilities for expanding the pit, which would boost reserves and extend the mine's life. That study is expected to be completed in the third quarter. Centerra has faced mounting opposition to its Kumtor operation since a scathing Kyrgyz parliamentary report in June that criticized the environmental impact of the mine. The company maintains that the report is without merit and said it is working with the Kyrgyz government to address the issue raised. Source: Reuters ECONOMY NORTH KOREA PROPOSES TO OPEN PORT TO TT COAL A meeting between Parliament Speaker Z. Enkhbold and the North Korean ambassador has bought about the possibility of opening a new port to transport coal from Tavan Tolgoi. Speaker of Parliament Z. Enkhbold received at his office North Korean Ambassador to Mongolia Lee Chul-gwan where Lee announced that Chairman Choe Thae-Bok would make an official visit sometime this year. The ambassador also reported on North Korea's hopes of establishing a North Korea-Mongolia Business Council. ―For a landlocked country such as Mongolia, there is an opportunity to open its sea-outlet through the Rason Special Economic Zone of North Korea and our country plan to accommodate a port for Mongolia, where the port is connected with railroads from Russia and China, from where it continues onto the Trans-Siberian Railway,‖ said Lee. The Rason zone, formerly known as the Rajin-Sonbong Economic Special Zone, was established during the early 1990s by the North Korean government near Rason to promote economic growth through foreign investment. Both Russia and China have invested in the economic zone, where the use of foreign currency is permitted. Enkhbold responded with gratitude on behalf of Mongolia's Parliament and said he believed organizations such as the business association Lee proposed could do much to expand relations between nations. Source: Info Mongolia MAYOR STAGGERS SCHOOL HOURS OF OPERATION As part of the government's ongoing efforts to reduce traffic in Ulaanbaatar, the mayor has submitted a new schedule for school hours. Ulaanbaatar Mayor E. Bat-Uul has developed a timetable that staggers the school hours open in the hopes of reducing city traffic in Ulaanbaatar. Beginning 3 September, schools will open from 8:00 to 17:00. Kindergartens and secondary schools will open at 8:00 while colleges and universities open at 9:00. Last year's decision by the city government to open government offices at 8:00 has reportedly reduced city traffic by 20 percent. Source: Zuunii Medee NEW TIMETABLE TARGETS REDUCED CITY TRAFFIC Ulaanbaatar's mayor has introduced a new timetable for businesses to operate, in the hopes of reducing traffic in the capital. The timetable presented by Mayor E. Bat-Uul targets specific markets, such as the so-called ―black market‖ Narantuul, Sunday Plaza and food markets Bayanzurkh and Mercury. The hope from the city government is that by staggering the times the markets open and establishing different days for them to close it can help reduce traffic. The scheme will run until 25 October when the city municipality will decide if it should be renewed. Its decision for renewal will depend on the
  • 11. perceived effectiveness of the scheme. Source: Info Mongolia SAINSHAND-CHOIR ROAD TO OPEN SEPTEMBER 2013 A new road connecting Choir with the Sainshand industrial complex is planned to begin service in September next year. Construction of the road is being led by the Millennium Challenge Account-Mongolia, providing USD 88.4 million for the 176.4-kilometer road. The level-three capacity road will be able to service between 15 and 20 ton vehicles and is planned for a lifetime of 20 years. Additionally, the road will be connected by eight bridges. The project comes from a consortium of Holland's Grontmay Karlbro, India's SIE Engineering and Mongolia's Monconsulting. The first stretch of 90 kilometers is to be built by Korea's Halla Engineering and Construction Corp., while the second will be left to China's Gianshi Water and Hydropower Construction. The road is already 70 percent complete, with all preparatory work to conclude this year. The road's construction has been under tight control regarding the materials and quality of cement. For example, water from the Gobi Desert is salty, requiring the necessary materials and construction techniques to ensure longevity. The Sainshand-Choir road is the first conducted by MCA. It places significant importance on environmental conservation, health and safety. Originally MCA hoped to help build rail lines, but when that proved impossible it instead turned its focus to constructing a road network connecting the north and southern borders. Source: Zuunii Medee MONGOLIA TO JOIN EXPANDED TRANS-SIBERIAN RAIL LINE Once considered slow and a relic of the past, Russia's mighty Trans-Siberian Railway has come to life in the 21st century to play a pivotal role in cargo transport, connecting economies such as Mongolia's, from Europe to the Asia-Pacific region. There are efforts in nations to create a multilayer railway networking linking Europe with Asia. For landlocked nations such as Mongolia, getting a foothold into such a network provides an opportunity for economic development. Plans call for connecting the Trans-Siberian Railway with the huge Tavan Tolgoi coal mine in a few years. Although coal is actually closer to the Chinese border, the strategy among Mongolian officials is to utilize the Trans-Siberian Railway to export coal to Russia, Japan and South Korea. While maintaining a delicate balance between China and Russia, Mongolia is also seeking an exit to the Sea of Japan for its enormous reserves of natural resources. Railway engineers in Mongolia also pointed to the fact that officials are wary about Beijing's motives because China in 2002 cut off rail lines from Mongolia for more than a day because of a visit from the Dalai Lama. The construction of the new railway line means that in the future the Sainshand industrial complex will serve as an intersection for transport. ―We will create jobs for 300,000 people by construction of a heavy industry complex,‖ said P. Gankhuyag. Source: Asahi Shimbun GOVERNMENT DEBT CLIMBS TO MNT 750 BILLION Ch. Ulaan is stepping into a difficult situation as he becomes minister of finance for a third time. Inflation is in force worldwide, especially in neighboring China and Russia, leaving its mark in Mongolia as well. The decline in commodity prices has not gone unnoticed either, particularly for coal and copper. The barrage of economic downturns has left Mongolia's budget in a deficit of MNT 1.2 trillion, with debt totaling MNT 750 billion. The government has many outstanding debts, with that to the Human Development Fund (HDF) looming particularly heavily. The first priority should be concluding the distribution of cash handouts owed to Mongolia's population from the HDF, said the minister. As for
  • 12. inflation, Mongolian exports have reduced in value while export prices are on the rise, so efficient budgeting is all the more important. The Stabilization Fund will likely be necessary to keep the situation in check, Ulaan said. One issue Ulaan pointed out as in need of attention is the USD 90,000 lost daily by the Development Bank because it failed to invest the money collected from its USD 575 million debt offering. The bank must now direct that money to short-term investment such as government bonds and work by the Bank of Mongolia, the minister said. ―We will look for possible investment to cut those losses by half, at least.‖ The Ministry of Finance will also look to reduce spending by other ministries, many of which exceeded their budget, said Ulaan. Many projects have been put on hold due to a lack of financing, which is directly related to the falling prices of commodities. Because Mongolia is already incurring many debts, the ministry is looking to introduce the Mongolia Without Debts policy. It also hopes to increase the productivity of government agencies to match the salaries raises given this year. ―Increases in salaries to government workers without any increase in productivity only brings negative consequences. This needs regulation too.‖ Source: Zuunii Medee SAINSHAND TO INTRODUCE MATERIALS HANDLING The Sainshand industrial park is expected to be where major primary transformation industries will be located to supply the country's basic needs, as well as earn export revenues. A central materials handling and storage facility is being planned to serve all the plants. Coal will be brought in from the Tavan Tolgoi coal fields to feed the coal gasification plant, the cement plant and a metallurgical coke pellet plant. The coal gasification plant will generate synthetic fuel gas that will supply the energy needs of the power plant, the iron ore pellet- manufacturing plant, and the iron reducing plant. Iron ore will be brought from the Tumurtei mines for iron pellet manufacturing and hot briquetted pellets. Copper concentrates from the Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine will supply a copper smelter, which will produce copper anodes and also substantial quantities of gold and silver. The copper operation will also generate industrial quantities of sulfuric acid. A cement plant will receive train loads of limestone and various other minerals to produce bulk cement on a national scale. The power plant will also provide high, medium and low pressure to the coke oven, the copper smelter and the iron reducing plant. A central material handling and storage facility is being planned to serve all the plants. It will have multiple rail loops for both unloading and loading unit trains. The storage facilities will have stockpiles for several grades of coal, iron ore, and copper as well as for the coke and iron pellets being produced. Source: Asahi MONGOLIA ATTEMPTS TO BREAK FREE OF FOREIGN FUEL DEPENDENCE Dependence on Russia for fuel has put the nation at its mercy, forcing Mongolians to pay much more for gasoline than international prices. Recent hikes in fuel taxes have raised the price of petroleum by MNT 905. Fuel shortages have not left Mongolia's booming minerals industry unscathed. As this is the chief driver of the country's rapid economic growth, attention must be paid to this problem. The prospect of building a petroleum processing factory is considered essential but nothing has materialized yet. After years of negotiation, the government has finally opted to build an oil refinery in Darkhan Uul as well as Dornod and Dornogobi Aimags. However, the source of crude oil to feed these refineries has not yet been determined. Mongolia will need some 1 million tons of gasoline annually for its domestic supply, with plans by the government to purchase petroleum from Russia and Kazakhstan. PetroChina Daqing Tamsag is one option for a domestic supply. However, the factories the government has planned for are located between 200 and 1,000 kilometers away from PetroChina. This shows little thought went into the logistics of this issue.
  • 13. This would not be the first time Mongolia tried its hand in oil refinery. A plant opened in 1959 in Dornogobi, providing 20 percent of Mongolia's petroleum needs. However, it's clear that small factories will not be enough for Mongolia. Source: Zuunii Medee CONSTRUCTION AND INDUSTRY TOP STUDENTS‟ INTEREST With the new school year to begin next Monday, universities are seeing great interest from students in studying professions such as construction. This year will see 8,049 students studying for construction and 6,493 for industry production. The government has pushed for students to study for professions most in demand in Mongolia. Other popular studies include 1,580 students for interior decorating, 1,521 for culinary arts, 1,440 for welding, 1,165 for plumbing, and 1,085 for auto mechanics. Source: Zuunii Medee A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY Life expectancy in Mongolia is heading towards an upward trend, which is reason for the populace to rejoice but for policymakers to worry about. A country with more than 12 percent of its population above the age of sixty is considered an ―ageing population.‖ That means fewer able-bodied workers and a greater number of retirees to support. ―According to observations made, since 2000 birth rates have declined and lifespans have prolonged,‖ said project coordinator of the government sponsored Healthy Seniors program. ―Mongolia is now among the countries with an average life expectancy. However, this can be seen as a sign that Mongolia is on its way of becoming an 'old' country.‖ Issues on ageing trace back to the 20th century, beginning with a United Nations conference on the issues in 1982. Mongolia ratified its own strategy to combat the issue in 2009, but was already among average ageing countries at that time. Currently 64.7 percent of the population is working- aged, between 25 and 50 years old. If utilized correctly, this window period can be used to enhance the speed of development in Mongolia, focusing on something for the next generation that is worth inheriting. The sudden emergence of income from the mining sector might close this window shut, however. Large numbers of Chinese operate mines in Mongolia instead of Mongolia-born citizens. If this issue continues to be ignored, the next generation of Mongolians will carry a heavy burden supporting those who stand in line for their monthly cash handouts today. Looking at the experiences of old nations, supporting expedient births, regulating the ageing structure linked with economic and social development, and improving the standards of living of the elderly are the best objective to focus on. Mongolia's median ages have grown from between 16 and 18 to 22.5 in just 10 years. There's no time left to lose. Source: Mongolian Economy FORMER AMBASSADOR HELPS SEND MONGOLIAN STUDENTS TO U.S. COLLEGE With help from former U.S. Ambassador to Mongolia Jonathan Addleton, Wesleyan College receives its first two Mongolian students this fall. The women‘s school has historically had strong links to Asia. It has also hosted students from Russia. Addleton mentioned to his sister, Macon City, Georgia Councilwoman Nancy White, that he would eventually like to see some Mongolians study in his hometown. White relayed the message to Steve Farr, vice president for enrollment services at Wesleyan. Already planning a trip to China and Singapore, Farr tacked on a three-day visit to Ulaanbaatar. ―Nowadays when you‘re talking about what does it mean with the changes in Russia or China or South America, and when you have students that can present that firsthand perspective, it‘s that much more of an enriching educational perspective,‖ he said. Source: Global Atlanta
  • 14. CHINESE DISCRIMINATION IN MONGOLIA Over recent years Chinese migrant workers have poured into Mongolia and clashed with locals. They face discrimination and often aggravate the situation through their own behavior, leading to some violent conflicts and legislation aimed at keeping the number of foreign workers limited. Zhao Jurong, chairman of a real estate company in Mongolia, said that in recent years the booming Mongolian real estate industry has created demand for a large number of skilled workers, which has attracted many Chinese. Conflicts can arise from language barriers and misunderstandings. Southern Chinese tend to speak very fast with high voices. Conversely, Mongolians speak softly and only raise their voices when arguing. When in close contact, Mongolians might misinterpret Chinese people and think they're being scolded. Chinese workers can also aggravate problems by discriminating against Mongolians, calling them sluggish or alcoholic and unwilling to adhere to normal working hours. Sometimes they mock Mongolia's lack of development compared to China's, or claim Mongolia as a lost territory of theirs. In situations where things get out of hand, Mongolians sometimes call radical right-wing organizations such as Dayan Mongol where the conflict basically descends into a gang war. Anti-China sentiment also comes from a Mongolian version of the ―China threat theory.‖ The thinking is that China has already taken Hong Kong and Macao back, soon it will get Taiwan, then next it will set its sights on Mongolia. Historical disputes make China a natural enemy that politician can use in riling up nationalistic support. Leaders have had to cater to anti-foreign sentiment in the form of legislation such as laws to control migrant workers. One such law sets a quota that prohibits the numbers of any one nationality to exceed 1 percent of the population. Based on Mongolia's population of 2.8 million, the number of foreign workers for one nation can't exceed 28,000. Source: The Economic Observer VOLATILITY IN CASHMERE Unexpected fluctuations in cashmere prices in 2012 have dampened optimism in Mongolia's textiles sector, despite the introduction of incentives from the government aimed at streamlining the industry. However, industry players say a planned commodities exchange will resolve the issue. After opening at MNT 70,000 per kilogram in the March-April buying season for the country's pivotal cashmere industry, prices quickly fell to as low as MNT 40,000 a kilogram. Local media reported that herders had expected to see prices climb as high as MNT 100,000 a kilogram. Producers and herders blame the dip on traders from China, accusing them of straying from National Cashmere and Wool Association (NCWA) price estimates, which were between MNT 56,000 and MNT 58,000. However, officials say the instability was a result of government loans being misused by domestic producers who ―conspired‖ to drive prices up. Reports by international groups suggest local traders indeed attempted to influence the market. The World Bank wrote in its quarterly economic update, saying, ―herders and traders attempted to push up prices of greasy (raw) cashmere by limiting the volume of greasy being sold on the market and available for export. As a result, export earnings from greasy cashmere were down by 57 percent year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first quarter of 2012, while export volumes were 36 percent lower.‖ Despite the controversy over the funds, the introduction of a unique trademark for Mongolian cashmere products by the Ministry of Food, Agriculture, and Light Industry (MFALI) in April is a sign of progress. Industry players have said the Agricultural Market Law, which established the Mongolian Agricultural Commodity Exchange (MACE) for trading agricultural goods and raw materials, could resolve price issues within the industry. The MACE, established in July, has been designed to cover all products of animal origin and raw materials, as well as act as a mechanism to ensure fair prices. Source: Oxford Business Group GOVERNMENT LOOKS TO STIMULATE WOOL INDUSTRY The Ministry of Agriculture and Light Industry is poised to purchase 12,000 tons of wool to stimulate the industry. Last year the government passed the resolution to enact this purchase, which will take effect in
  • 15. November. However, herders must have their documents filled out and sent to local officials by 1 September. Last year the government allocated MNT 8.8 billion to 32,000 herders. Source: Zuunii Medee BIG COAL FACES STEEL SLOWDOWNS A bet by four of the United States' top coal producers on coking coal, a commodity of rapidly growing importance to Mongolia, has not worked out as planned. Mongolia Mining Corp. (MMC) has made a similar bet with a decision to scale down thermal coal production in favor of the metallurgical variety. Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) Inc., presumed Tavan Tolgoi operator Peabody Energy Corp., Arch Coal Inc. (ACI) and Walter Energy Inc. (WLT) completed takeovers that boosted sales of metallurgical coal used in steelmaking. The companies bet that coal, which sells for a higher price than the thermal variety burned to general electricity, would benefit from booming Asia demand and counter threats from falling natural-gas prices and extra environmental regulation. That strategy hasn't worked out as planned, with metallurgical coal prices falling 16 percent so far this year compared with 50 percent growth projections. ―There was some belief that there was counter cyclicality between met and thermal,‖ said David Gagliano, an analyst at Barclay's PLC in New York. ―What we've learned is that they aren't that different.‖ Low-volatility metallurgical-coal prices are down 34 percent over the last 12 months to USD 192.50 a tons, according to Energy Publishing Inc. China, the second-largest economy and biggest steelmaker, expanded 7.6 percent in the second quarter, the slowest pace in three years. Recession in Europe is adding to the gloom. Metallurgical coal will not rebound in 2013, and prices will average USD 210 next year, up 9 percent from yesterday‘s price. Thermal coal will be USD 70, a 20 percent increase from current prices. Peabody Energy, ANR and ACI all reported negative free cash flow in the second quarter, meaning they did not generate enough cash to run their businesses. Peabody acquired Australia's MacArthur Coal Ltd. in December for AUD 3. billion (USD 3.9 billion) to expand its sales of metallurgical coal in Asia. Source: Bloomberg COPPER PRICES FALL AMID ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY Copper prices fell on Tuesday on renewed concerns about future demand for the metal amid weaker-than-expected growth data from Spain and a downgrade in outlook for Japan's economy. Copper has historically been the linchpin to Mongolia's economy with production coming from the Erdenet copper mine and soon from Oyu Tolgoi. The most actively traded contract, for September delivery, was recently down USD 0.0185, or 5 percent, at USD 3.46 a pound on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Spain's economy contracted 0.4 percent in the second quarter from the first quarter, and by 1.3 percent compared with the 2011 second quarter. The data highlighted that the euro zone's fourth-largest economy is facing a deepening recession. Elsewhere, the Japanese government cut its view of the economy in August for the first time in 10 months, citing slower exports and sluggish consumer spending. Copper is widely used in general manufacturing, automotive production, electronics and construction, and investors worry that slowing business activity will pressure demand for the metal. Source: Wall Street Journal POLITICS CABINET RESTRUCTURES GOVERNMENT The Cabinet of Ministries dissolved several agencies during an irregular session, leaving a total of 11
  • 16. regulatory and 17 implementation agencies. The Cabinet discussed the new structure of ministries, with Prime Minister N. Altankhuyag warning against adding a number of staffers. The cabinet agreed that all 16 ministries may have their own departments for policy planning, and implementation as well as administration, and control and monitoring. The Cabinet decided that public offices will open at 8:00 and finish at 17:00. Secondary schools and kindergartens will open at 8:00 while higher education institutions will open at 9:00, beginning 3 September. It also tasked Ulaanbaatar Mayor E. Bat-Uul with creating a timetable for different industries to operation in the hopes of reducing traffic by regulation the hours these offices open and close. The abolished agencies are the National Development and Innovation Committee, Department of Information, Post, Department of Communication and Technology, Department for Children, Department of State Service and Maintenance, Management Academy, Department of Diplomatic Missions, Service and Maintenance, Department of Foreign Investment, Forestry Authority, Water Authority, Committee of Culture and Arts, Department of Professional Education and Training, Railway Authority, Transport Authority, Department of Roads, Department of Land Relations, Construction, Geodesy, and Cartography, Department of Welfare Services, Department of Small and Medium Business, Energy Authority, Department of Physical Education and Sports, and Department of Health. Source: Montsame LOCAL ELECTIONS SCHEDULED FOR NOVEMBER Local elections have been scheduled for November, according to a draft of the Law on Local Elections. The decision was announced by A. Bakei, chairman of the standing committee on state structure as well as N. Luvsanjav, chairman of the General Election Committee (GEC). Bakei noted that GEC should present a budget for local elections as soon as possible. The draft legislation allots some MNT 9.2 billion for election expenditures. ―An irregular session of Parliament scheduled for 29 August will discuss amendments of the 2012 budget,‖ said Bakei. ―The discussion of the budget will include expenditures for local elections.‖ Luvsanjav said more time was needed to prepare the ballots for the election. She said 10 days was necessary to print the 50 different ballot lists for the 28 June election compared with 1,000 different ballot varieties needed for local elections. GEC has asked that representatives of local governor administrations come to Ulaanbaatar to confirm ballot lists. Source: Info Mongolia GOVERNMENT PREPARES FOR ELECTION OF CITIZENS' ASSEMBLY The government is planning to hold an irregular session of government to decide on the details of the citizens' assembly election. The session, which will likely be held within the next two weeks, will be used to discuss the budgeting and the recently passed Law on Provincial Assemblies. The election is tentatively scheduled for October. In the last government, before the June elections, members had submitted three project proposals for the assembly. Since only a few of the project authors have remained in power since the election, new proposals will likely be drafted. The elections will use a mixed system of direct (70 percent) and proportional election by party list (30 percent). Each provincial capital as well as village will receive representation, totaling in 41 representatives for 31 districts. Source: Undesnii Shuudan 8,000 BAND TOGETHER TO DEMAND LAND PROMISED TO THEM Ulaanbaatar's property-less citizens have banded together to establish a civil organization to demand land for themselves.
  • 17. The Union of Citizens without Land or Home has attracted more than 8,000 members since it opened just a few days before the time of this report. The initiative to launch the organization came first from the residents of Bayanzurkh District. The organization claims that people there don't have homes or property. The last government promised land to Ulaanbaatar's citizens, but the newly established city government has since decided to put that program on hold until proper urban planning can be established. ―People with money and power are taking the land that is available, while others ignorant of the law simply wait and have their right to 0.7 hectares of land denied to them,‖ said organization leader B. Nyamkhainyambuu. Nyamkhainyambuu said he has seen ordinary citizens denied land. Meanwhile the property market is booming, leaving corrupt politicians to reap the benefits, he said. He added that the only response comes from the ban on the distribution of exploration licenses to mining firms and the sale of land to foreigners. Although there is land available at Gatchuurt, officials have said that land would not be allocated to ordinary citizens but instead to companies to develop the tourism and recreation industries. ―Money wins while the people without money lose,‖ said Nyamkhainyambuu. ―The property industry is a business for the mafia of officials.‖ He promised to expand his organization‘s reach from outside Bayanzurkh to the entire city and eventually grow countrywide. He added, there would be no need to focus on the city if land would be provided outside Ulaanbaatar and sufficient infrastructure was granted. Nyamkhainyambuu said the development of another city is possible and should be a focus of government. Source: Udriin Sonin GOVERNMENT TO DISTRIBUTE STUDENT STIPENDS OF UP TO MNT 140,400 A MONTH The government of Mongolia plans to distribute four types of stipends to students studying at Mongolia's accredited higher education institutions. The type of stipend students receive will depend on performance criteria, resulting in bonuses of between 50 to 100 percent of their stipend. Students have been receiving stipends of MNT 70,000 a month since 1 January this year. To be eligible, a student must also be studying in one of the top 20 professions most in demand, as listed by the government. The first type of stipend allocates MNT 70,200 to each student. Students can earn a bonus of 50 percent bonus totaling in MNT 105,300 for a grade point average (GPA) of at least 3.2, a 75 percent bonus for a GPA of at least 3.6 and a 100 percent bonus if one receives one of the three places from the Olympics competition, organized by the Ministry of Education and Science. The top 20 professions, according to the regulations for the stipends, are road construction, primary education, preschool education, natural science education, geology, hydrogeology, hydro- mechanical engineering, water reserve ecology, mining technology, mining machinery and equipment, veterinary science, information systems, oil reserves and transportation, plumbing, renewable energy, nanotechnology engineering, biotechnology, nuclear energy, medical diagnosis, and therapy. Source: Info Mongolia FOREIGN MINISTER ARRIVES IN IRAN FOR NAM SUMMIT The minister of foreign relations arrived in Tehran, Iran for the 16th Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) summit, held from 30 to 31 August. Upon his arrival, Minister of Foreign Affairs G. Zandanshatar announced that his purpose was to promote global peace, one of the main objectives of the summit. He said all countries participating in the NAM summit champion the cause of global peace and stability. At the time of this report, President Ts. Elbegdorj also had plans to attend the summit. Source: ABNA CHINA VOWS TO SUPPORT UPGRADE OF MONGOLIA'S INDUSTRIES China promises to support Mongolia as it upgrades its massive minerals industry, said China's
  • 18. councilor during an official visit. Foreign Councilor Dai Bingguo made his remarks follow the transition to a new government many hope will promote a friendlier investment climate. The new government has vowed to boost the country's economy, setting the goal for annual economic growth of 14 to 15 percent over the next eight years. ―We will actively support and take part in Mongolia's strategy to rejuvenate the nation by developing the mineral industry,‖ said Dai. ―We support Mongolia to develop further processing of mineral products and extend the industry chain. We would like to deepen cooperation with Mongolia in that regard to help Mongolia accelerate its industry upgrading.‖ Dai said China is interested in cooperating with Mongolia on processing mineral and energy products, infrastructure and construction, clean energy and efforts against desertification. A deputy minister of Mongolia's Ministry of Mineral Resource and Energy said earlier this month that 60 percent of investment in Mongolia's mineral resources came from China. He said Ulaanbaatar is in strong need of Chinese investment for further processing of its mineral and energy resources. ―We still hope more Chinese companies come, not only to draw away the coal but to build more factories,‖ Chinese Ambassador to Mongolia Wang Xiaolong said on the eve of Dai's visit that this year is a ―special and important‖ one for China and Mongolia, as both are set to see new leadership. At such a critical moment, the two neighbors ―need to beef up high-level communication‖, ―properly handle problems in bilateral ties‖ and make plans to ensure stable growth of their ties, Wang said. Source: China Daily CHINA COMMITS TO USD 7.9 MILLION GRANT Dai Bingguo committed to a grant of CNY 50 million (USD 7.87 million) to Mongolia during his recent visit. The grant was bartered by Deputy Prime Minister of the Government Palace D. Terbishdagva. Prime Minister N. Altankhuyag sent his gratitude for the assistance, in addition to remarks in support of closer relations between their respective nations. Source: Undesnii Shuudan MONGOLIA CONFIRMS NEW U.S. AMBASSADOR The new U.S. ambassador to Mongolia has arrived and has had her position confirmed by government. Ambassador Piper Campbell presented her credentials to President Ts. Elbegdorj at the Government Palace on 24 August. The ceremony began with a presentation of the nation's honored guards at Sukhbaatar Square before Campbell met with the president followed by Minister of Foreign Affairs L. Bold. Elbegdorj congratulated the new ambassador on obtaining the post, noting that this year marks the 25th anniversary of diplomatic relations between the United States and Mongolia. During this quarter of a decade, both nations have collaborated on numerous projects. The president gave his gratitude for the United States' support for Mongolia's fledgling democracy and the development of its market economy. Elbegdorj also spoke of the expanding economic ties between the two nations, including a growing volume of investment coming from the United States. In 2011, the United States had 289 U.S. businesses operating in Mongolia, including 117 in trade and service, 19 in geology exploration, 13 in tourism, 11 in light industry, six in banking, and four in animal husbandry. Total trade turnover from the United States is estimated at USD 541.9 million, as of December 2011. That constitutes an increase of 3.3 times compared with the same period in 2010. Campbell promised to give her strongest efforts to establish broader relations between the two countries and contribute to the democracy and freedom of Mongolia's people. Source: Info Mongolia
  • 19. POLITICIANS JUGGLE NATIONALISM WITH DEPENDENCE ON CHINA It is no surprise that one of the first foreign officials on the plane to Ulaanbaatar last week after a new Mongolian government was finally put together after June's election was China's state councilor and national security advisor, Dai Bingguo. In a three-day visit, Dai did the rounds of the new government, including Prime Minister N. Altankhuyag of the Democratic Party, with the message that China is a friendly and dependable partner for its northern neighbor. Much of the Mongolian population is not so sure and politicians frequently echo the fears that China's passion for Mongolia's extraordinary reserves of mineral resources is only the tip of the iceberg of imperial ambitions in Beijing. Previous governments have taken several steps to try to curb Chinese investment in mineral deposits, which have had a chilling effect on all foreign investment. But the reality is that China is now Mongolia's top trade partner, taking over 90 percent of its exports. Although the markets welcomed the coming of a government led by the Democratic Party, which is judged to be less extreme in its suspicion of foreign investment than other parties, it has joined forces with the Mongolia's People's Revolutionary Party (MPRP), which is in favor or nationalizing resources. The new prime minister's has attempted to placate the economic nationalists in his camp by appointing D. Gankhuyag, a critic of the Oyu Tolgoi investment agreement. Gankhuyag did not disappoint the resources nationalists, calling for the state to enforce a resolution that would require 50 percent ownership, compared with the 34 percent it now holds, of the massive Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold project once project developer Turquoise Hill Resources recoups its money spent. Of immediate concern for Beijing is the USD 926 million bid by China's state-controlled Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd. (Chalco) for the purchase of the 58 percent interest in SouthGobi Resources Ltd. held by Turquoise Hill. The deal, which Turquoise Hill says it needs to finance the Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold project, was blocked by new foreign investment legislation. SouthGobi Resources Chief Executive Alex Molyneux has said the government has done everything in its power to block the Chalco purchase. Source: Vancouver Sun MONGOLIA AND NORTH KOREA‟S LINGERING TIES WITH RUSSIA Russia is favored by Mongolia and North Korea, who provide opportunities for Russia to raise its stakes in Northeast Asian matters. Despite the collapse of the Soviet Union and relative inattention by the Kremlin in the 1990s, Ulaanbaatar and Pyongyang never abandoned their attempts to renew ties with Russia. Positive responses came after a decade when President Vladimir Putin‘s visits to North Korea and Mongolia in 2000 demonstrated the Kremlin‘s new emphasis on its former allies. Their treaties of mutual assistance with Russia were replaced by treaties of good neighborliness. The debts incurred during the Soviet era were resolved favorably for each. As a result, Russia seems to have secured its stake in key infrastructure development projects: the trans-Korean railway, a gas pipeline, special economic zones and education in North Korea; and the trans-Mongolian railway, its extension and the mining of uranium and aluminum in Mongolia. Mongolia and North Korea collaborate with Russia for fear of Chinese expansion, their small populations and their reputation as underdeveloped parts of Northeast Asia compared with China, Japan and South Korea. Russia is the only way Mongolia and North Korea can reach Eurasian markets and to import fuel and technology. Both North Korea and Mongolia actively avoid increasing dependence on Chinese investment, technology, and markets. All three have distinct geopolitical needs. For Russia, North Korea provides a strategic buffer from the United States and Japan, while Mongolia seeks the same insulation from China. Russia‘s partnership with North Korea makes it more able to handle economic issues with South Korea and Japan as well as the United States on security issues. Mongolia similarly increases Russia‘s stake in Sino-Russian relations and offers leverage for Moscow when dealing with Beijing. However, Russia is caught in a situation where it cannot engage in intensive security ties with both
  • 20. nations. Any military move would undermine relations with key investors China, Japan, and South Korea. Assertive moves might also push Mongolia and North Korea closer to China. Both nations will serve as Russia‘s economic gateways to Northeast Asia and a strategic buffer from its competitors. Source: Bangkok Post CHINESE CULTURAL HERITAGE MONTH LAUNCHES IN UB Chinese cultural month began on 29 August in Mongolia, with an opening ceremony held on 30 August at the Central Cultural Palace. During the month of celebration of Chinese culture will be live concerts featuring both Mongolian and Chinese musicians. It will also feature a photo exhibition to display the cultural heritage of Ulaan Khan and a week of Chinese film. A Mongolian cultural heritage month was held last April in Beijing, China. Source: News.mn MONGOLIA, AUSTRALIA CELEBRATE 40 YEARS OF DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS September marks the 40th anniversary of the diplomatic relations between Australia and Mongolia. Back in 15 September 1972, the two countries established diplomatic relations. Since then many intergovernmental actions have broadened the friendly relationships between the two countries. This includes the opening of a Australian General Consulate in Ulaanbaatar this year in May. A Mongolian Embassy to Australia opened in Canberra in 2008, led by Mongolia's first ambassador, Ts. Jambaldorj. For this event, Australia's ambassador to Mongolia, a resident of Seoul, Korea, Sam Gerovich will deliver a speech entitled ―The Australia-Mongolia Relationship‖ on 14 September at the Round Hall of the National University of Mongolia (NUM). Source: Info Mongolia KHAAN QUEST 2012 CONCLUDES Khaan Quest 2012, an annual multinational peacekeeping exercise, concluded on 23 August. The event is a joint activity by the Mongolian Armed Forces and United States Pacific Command. The closing ceremony was attend by many officials, including Parliament Speaker Z. Enkhbold, who noted, ―Peacekeeping is an honored duty of any military servant, showing his bravery, tolerance, hardiness and high professional skills.‖ This year's Khaan Quest military exercise coincided with the 20th anniversary of established diplomatic relations between the United States and Mongolia, he said. Source: Info Mongolia THE JUST The source of Mongolia's vast wealth has less to do with the hard work ethic, courageous struggle and resilience of its people than its good fortune to hold its vast mineral resources. The old cliché that the fortune that came from unexpected growth in commodity prices is a heritage passed down from Chinggis Khaan line is a lie. Chinggis did not entrust this mineral wealth, which dates back 60 to 70 million years, to Altankhuyag nor Batbold. The current budget is estimated at between USD 30 million and USD 50 million. The state budget stands at 56 percent of gross national product (GDP) today compared with 28 percent in 1998. The figure is likely to grow to 70 percent as a result of the proposed government policies. Participation from the private sector has fallen from a high of 80 percent of GDP to 30 percent in four years. Clearly the capitalist era has come to an end. The minerals sector is currently carrying the weight of Mongolia's economy, society and politics. An injection of USD 2 billion into the economy via the Oyu Tolgoi investment agreement makes it responsible for one out of every MNT 3 in 2011. Spent wisely, that money could have contributed to investment in education, infrastructure, health care, and the service sector, much as Canada, Australia, Norway and Chile did. Instead that money was mismanaged and given away. Not much can be expected from the new government. The Justice Coalition that makes up a portion
  • 21. of the government has been best known to the public as the loudest opponent against foreign investment and the mining industry. The major faction leading the government, the Democratic Party (DP), has announced its Cabinet of Ministries. It includes as minister of minerals D. Gankhuyag, who rose to the public spotlight criticizing the Oyu Tolgoi investment agreement and trumpeting the need to nationalize other deposits. However, while Gankhuyag focuses chiefly on the magic number 51 (the percentage he demands for Mongolia's stake in the Oyu Tolgoi copper- gold project), it would be more beneficial to the country to claim half the profits through a better arrangement of royalties and tax under a production sharing agreement. A new ministry, one for economic development, has been established, and is meant to be a revival of the former National Development and Innovation Committee. Unfortunately, it is under the guide of N. Batbayar. He is nicknamed the ―disaster‖ by investors and has a reputation for anti-foreign views on investment. History will remember Batbayar for two accomplishments: The 68 percent windfall tax that was eventually repealed and the recently passed foreign investment law. The former led to a 90 percent fall in gold production and eventual tax revenue in Mongolia as well as the imprisonment of many. The second has already driven many companies out of Mongolia. If foreign investors leave, the government will not have the USD 30 billion it wants to splurge on. If exports in Mongolia disappear, imports will soon follow. The sectors that thrive—construction and mining—would collapse. On the bright side, prices would fall and agricultural products, especially cashmere, would take center stage in the economy. There would even be money left for cigarettes! Author B. “Baabar” Batbayar is a former minister of finance and member of Parliament. Since 2006, he has run Nepko Publishing Company, and in 2009 he was awarded the honor of “History of Mongolia” from the State Awards of Mongolia. Source: Baabar NEW MONGOLIAN LAWS The following law was published in the latest weekly Government bulletin. Unless otherwise decided by Parliament, it will take effect ten (10) days after publication. Date Laws 21.08.2012 Amendments to Law on Parliament of Mongolia Please visit BCM's website, Legislative Working Group, for a summary of new Mongolian laws. BCM members who wish to access complete versions of the laws and regulations in Mongolian language are welcome to email the BCM office: info@bcmongolia.org. ANNOUNCEMENTS DISCOVER MONGOLIA-2012, AUGUST 30-31 The Discover Mongolia conference is being held on August 30-31 in Ulaanbaatar. The conference venue is again the Children's Palace. BCM is a supporting organization of Discover Mongolia 2012, and its members have had the opportunity for an early-bird rate for attendance. Oyu Tolgoi LLC, Mongolia's largest copper and gold mining firm, is the event's premier sponsor, in addition to the forum's ―gold sponsors‖: Monnis International Inc., Xanadu Mines Ltd., Aspire Mining Ltd., Micromine Mongolia LLC, and Mongolian Mining Corp. The conference agenda concentrates on recent developments that have taken place in Mongolia's mining and foreign investment landscape. For more information, call +976 7014 9762 or email info@discovermongoliaforum.com. ___________________________________________ MINING MONGOLIA 2012 AND BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION MONGOLIA 2012 190 companies from 22 countries including pavilions from Australia, Canada and Germany will display a wide range of technology, supplies and services for the mining and the construction sector, on a scale never seen before in Mongolia. Inside and outside displays, providing a first
  • 22. opportunity for buyers to see technology and learn about new mining & construction service from industry experts at the Buyant-Ukhaa Sports Palace from 5-7 September 2012. For more show information, please visit http://www.miningandconstructionmongolia.com. The online registration is closed, please bring your name card to the show venue – Buyant UkhaaSports Palace, go to the visitor registration counter to receive your visitor badge. The visitor entry is FREE OF CHARGE. BCM is supporting this event. BCM members will have 5% discount to book the exhibition space. ___________________________________________ MONGOLIA INVESTMENT SUMMIT 2012, HONG KONG, OCTOBER 30-31 The Mongolia Investment Summit 2012 will be held from 29 to 30 October at the Four Seasons Hotel in Hong Kong to once again bring the best of Mongolia's investment opportunities to Asia's leading investment hub. Now in its third year, the summit has strongly cemented its position as the largest Mongolian investment event outside of Ulaanbaatar, providing foreign investors with the most comprehensive overview of Mongolia's key economic growth sectors all under one roof. Speakers to the event include Altai Khangai, Chief Executive Officer of the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE), Cameron McRae, President and Chief Executive Officer of Oyu Tolgoi LLC, and James Passin, Co-founder and Manager of Firebird Mongolia Fund. BCM is again a Supporting Organization for the event. Jim Dwyer, Executive Director of BCM, will chair both morning sessions. For more information, find a brochure to the event by logging on to the website: mongoliainvestmentsummit.com. ___________________________________________ REGISTER NOW FOR MONGOLIAN MINING DIRECTORY-2013 Mongolian Mining Directory-2013 which provides information database for Mining companies, investors, suppliers, service companies, government and non government organizations will be published for the fourth year to commemorate the 90th anniversary of the Mongolian mining industry. The MMD is distributed free of charge to international and domestic mining companies, international conferences and exhibition, embassy offices in Mongolia and foreign countries to investors. BCM is a Supporting Organization of the MMD and welcomes Mongolian mining industry participants who are interested in advertising their products and services in Mongolian Mining Directory-2013. For more information please visit: www.mining.mn, www.mongolianminingdirectory.mn or call +976-7011 5590. ___________________________________________ REGISTER FOR BCM‟S MINING SUPPLY CHAIN DATABASE AT NO COST The new version of BCM‘s Mining Supply Chain Database is ready for use. Following the initiative of Oyu Tolgoi LLC, the BCM has maintained the Mining supply chain database since March 2009. It is honor to introduce you to the new version of the database which is totally upgraded as to its content and use of information technology opportunities. We are inviting all Mongolian mining suppliers and buyer companies to join the Mining Supply Chain Database. Please visit here for registration. If you have any questions regarding the database, please contact Undral at undral@bcmongolia.org or 317027. BCM WEBSITES MONGOLIAN WEBSITE „PRESENTATIONS‟ AND „NEWS‟ SECTIONS The new ‗Presentations‘ section on BCM‘s Mongolian website can be reached via link to bcm.mn/itgeluud. Several presentations already posted include World Bank‘s Mongolia Quarterly Economic Update–June 2012; 11 speeches from the 2nd Coaltrans on May 23-24 in UB.
  • 23. As a key component of BCM‘s Mongolian website ‗News‘ section, articles from the Government‘s ―Open-Government.mn‖ site are regularly posted. ___________________________________________ ENGLISH WEBSITE 'PRESENTATIONS', 'MONGOLIA REPORTS' AND „MONGOLIAN BUSINESS NEWS‟ On BCM‘s English website, ‗Resource, Presentations‘ section, for your review are the following recent postings: •Lowering the High Cost of Paying Taxes by Olin McGill, Business Environment Reform Advisor, BPI- "Quantifying the Costs of Regulatory Inefficiency" workshop, July 23, 2012 •Quantifying the Costs of Regulatory Inefficiency by Olin McGill, Business Environment Reform Advisor, BPI-"Quantifying the Costs of Regulatory Inefficiency" workshop, July 23, 2012 •Why Businesses Cheat: Mongolia Reforms Confiscatory Costs of Paying Taxes by Olin McGill Business Environment Reform Advisor, BPI-"Quantifying the Costs of Regulatory Inefficiency" workshop, July 23, 2012 • 4 presentations from BCM‘s June 25 monthly meeting; •12 presentations from the 2nd Coaltrans on May 23-24 in UB. Also on BCM‘s English website, ‗Resource, Mongolia Reports‘ section, please note the following recent postings: •Taxes of expatriates in Mongolia from PricewaterhouseCoopers on August 18, 2012; •2012 Mongolia Investment Climate Statement by Economic and Commercial Section of the US Embassy, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia; •World Bank: Mongolia Quarterly Economic Update- June, 2012; •Risk report for Mongolia 2012 by Mongolia Economic Forum; •Polit Barometer, June 2012, and the Polit Barometer, April 2012 by Sant Maral Foundation (Mongolian and English versions); •ADB‘s Asian Development Outlook, April 2012; •Detailed results of BCM‘s NewsWire survey of March 2012. We are now posting some news stories and analyses relevant to Mongolia to BCM website's ‗Mongolian Business News‘ as they come, instead of waiting until each Friday to put them all together in the weekly NewsWire. The NewsWire will, however, continue to be issued on Friday, and will incorporate items that are already on the home page, so that it presents a consolidated account of the week‘s events. ___________________________________________ MONGOLIAN WEBSITE „PRESENTATIONS‟ AND „NEWS‟ SECTIONS The new ‗Presentations‘ section on BCM‘s Mongolian website can be reached via link to bcm.mn/itgeluud. Several presentations already posted include World Bank‘s Mongolia Quarterly Economic Update–June 2012; 11 speeches from the 2nd Coaltrans on May 23-24 in UB. As a key component of BCM‘s Mongolian website ‗News‘ section, articles from the Government‘s ―Open-Government.mn‖ site are regularly posted. ___________________________________________ SOCIAL NETWORK WITH BCM The Business Council of Mongolia (BCM) has expanded its reach to your favorite social networks. Keep up to date on the latest business deals in Mongolia and how the climate for investment is improving each day with BCM. Connect with BCM on Linked-in to join the diverse group of professional contacts creating a better business environment in Mongolia today. Add BCM on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/pages/THE-BUSINESS-COUNCIL-OF- MONGOLIA/129826330435540 to read the latest announcements and comment on events carried in the NewsWire with the community.
  • 24. Hear breaking news and announcements as they happen when you follow BCM on Twitter at http://twitter.com/#!/bcMongolia. Of course for news information, interviews, and announcements regarding our organization, visit the official BCM website at www.bcmongolia.org and www.bcm.mn. ECONOMIC INDICATORS
  • 25.
  • 26. INFLATION Year 2006 6.0% [source: National Statistical Office of Mongolia (NSOM)] Year 2007 *15.1% [source: NSOM] Year 2008 *22.1% [source: NSOM] Year 2009 *4.2% [source: NSOM] Year 2010 *13.0% [source: NSOM] Year 2011 *10.2% [source: NSOM] July 31, 2012 *14.5% [source: NSOM] *Year-over-year (y-o-y), nationwide Note: 14.9% y-o-y, Ulaanbaatar city, July 31, 2012 CENTRAL BANK POLICY RATE December 31, 2008 9.75% [source: IMF] March 11, 2009 14.00% [source: IMF] May 12, 2009 12.75% [source: IMF] June 12, 2009 11.50% [source: IMF] September 30, 2009 10.00% [source: IMF] May 12, 2010 11.00% [source: IMF] April 28, 2011 11.50% [source: IMF] August 25, 2011 11.75% [source: IMF] October 25, 2011 12.25% [source: IMF] March 19, 2012 12.75% [source: Mongol Bank] April 18, 2012 13.25% [source: Mongol Bank] CURRENCY RATES – August 30, 2012 Currency Name Currency Rate U.S. dollar USD 1,381.09 Euro EUR 1,733.34 Japanese yen JPY 17.57 British pound GBP 2,187.30 Hong Kong dollar HKD 177.78 Chinese yuan CNY 217.51 South Korean won KRW 1.22 Russian ruble RUB 42.78 Disclaimer: Except for reporting on BCM‘s activities, all information in the BCM NewsWire is selected from various news sources. Opinions are those of the respective news sources.