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Quantifying the Costs
of Regulatory Inefficiency
July, 2012
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
Olin McGill
Business Environment
Reform Advisor
Working Documents On Competitiveness And Business Enabling Environment -- Mongolia
Methodology Seminar:
“How much in value
will this project
actually deliver?”
-- Kakha Bendookidze,
State Minister on
Reforms Coordination
The $100 Million Question:
Georgia’s Unprecedented Rise on Doing Business
$744 million
Annual Savings
to Business and
Government
Annual Return on
USAID’s 4-Year
Investment
-- $57 to $1
Georgia Efficiency
Generates
Investment:
• Based on methodology by The Netherlands to quantify
administrative burdens on business.
• Monetizing Benefits v. Quantifying Costs
• Benefits /Costs to business = Costs X Quantity
Costs = financial (fees, bribes(?), etc.) + compliance
Quantity = number of businesses X frequency of
obligations/year
• Benefits/Costs to government = Administrative Savings
Savings = hourly rate of government employees X hours saved
Other = rental space, storage space, retrieval time, etc.
Methodology of calculations
GDT’s Hidden Costs of Storing Paper
Methodology Strengths and Weaknesses
• Strengths:
– Disaggregates impact of USAID assistance on a specific
reform
– Useful order of magnitude estimate of impacts
– Helps generate political will
– Good for prioritizing
• Weaknesses:
– Too time-consuming to capture all impacts
– Relies on inaccurate, incomplete government statistics
– Some things are difficult to measure – electricity privatization
– Apples + Oranges = Fruit (Savings, transfers, fees)
Issues we have to define – monetizing benefits v.
quantifying costs:
• Describing the process
• Identify stakeholders burdened by inefficiency we reform
• Define key measurement units – per shipment v. per
business
• Specify relevant costs – of process v. of reform
• Specify sources and assumptions
• Provide calculations spreadsheet
• Put everything together in a summary memo
Prioritizing Doing Business Reforms
Starting a business
 All procedures to open a business
 Total days to complete all procedures
 Official fees as % of per capita income
 Paid-in capital as % of per capita income
Protecting investors
Legal protections provided to minority shareholders
against related-party transactions by company
owners/managers
Dealing with construction permits
 All procedures to complete standard building
 Total days to complete all procedures
 Official fees as % of per capita income
Paying taxes
 Total number of payments/reports a year
 Total time required to make payments and reports
 Total tax rate as % of profits
Getting electricity
 All procedures to connect a standard building
 Total days to complete all procedures
 Official fees as % of per capita income
Trading across borders
 All procedures to import and export
 Total days to complete all procedures
 Official fees for all procedures
Registering property
 All procedures to transfer property
 Total days to complete all procedures
 Official fees as % of property value
Enforcing contracts
 All procedures from filing to enforcement
 Total days to complete all procedures
 Total costs of lawyers, court, enforcement
Getting credit
 Effectiveness of legal regime for secured lending
and protecting borrowers and lenders
 Availability of credit information
Resolving insolvency
The time and cost required to resolve bankruptcy
Where Georgia started:
3-day line to cross border
Lower transit costs increased Georgia’s trade
Process
2006
# Trucks
Days
Saved
Cost per Day Savings
Import 42,000 1 $288 $ 12.096 million
Export 17,000 1 $288 $ 4.896 million
Transit 40,000 2 $288 $ 23.040 million
Annual Benefit
2006 $ 39.992 million
2008 +$133.367 million
Increased Trade Volume 2006-08 333 percent growth
Number of Days to Export
54
13
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2005 Year 2006 Year
Number of days to import
52
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2005 Year 2006 Year
Georgia Traders’ Reduced time to clear goods …
… Increases velocity of capital:
365 / 52 = 7 turns a year
365 / 15 = 24 turns a year
Georgia Customs Streamlining – Opportunity Costs
• 15% = average annual opportunity cost
• 0.04% = average daily opportunity cost
• Import: 37 days (52-15) X 0.04% X $2.491 billion
= $36.8 million
• Export: 41 days (54-13) X 0.04% X $866.7 million
= $14.2 million
Totals: $51 million opportunity costs
+$40 million trucking savings
=$91 million total savings
Increase in imports/exports
Exports increased by 21.6 % Imports increased by 56.8 %
$524 Million
$638 Million
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
In USD
Millions
Export in
January-August 2005
Export in
January-August 2006
Total Exports
$1.4
Billion
$2.25
5 Billion
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
Import in
January-August 2005
Import in
January-August 2006
Total Imports
In USD
Millions
Now only 15 minutes at border
Unified Business and Tax Registration
1. 92 GEL = average daily net profit of businesses in Georgia
* 43,000 business registered annually
* 5 days saved by new procedures
= 19.78 million GEL
2. 1 day of accountant/lawyer work saved
* 45 GEL average daily salary
=1.935 million GEL
3. 22 Tax Department personnel reassigned
* 4,500 GEL average annual salary
= 99 000 GEL
Total annual savings = 21,814,000 GEL or $ 12.4 million.
Registrations
Nearly Double
40,916
77,778
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Taxpayers registered in
September 1, 2004 - August
31, 2005
Taxpayers registered in
September 1, 2005 - August
31, 2006
Simplified Registration of Individual Taxpayers
1. 11 GEL = average daily salary
* 78,000 annual individual registrations
* 1 day saved by new procedures
= 858,000 GEL
2. 5 GEL notary fee eliminated
* 78,000 annual individual registrations
= 390,000 GEL
3. 0.50 needed to serve each applicant
* 78,000 annual applications
* 18 GEL average Tax Department employee salary
= 88,000 GEL
Total annual savings = 1.336 million GEL or $763,500 USD.
Registrations
Increase 4X
7,114
28,077
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
Natural Persons registered in April, May, June (25 days) of 2006
Natural Persons registered in July, August, September (25 days) of 2006
Exhibit 14: Reductions in Payments, Time, and Costs Allocated by Reform
Reform Agency Tax Comment Payments Time
Costs (billion
MNT)
Totals by Reform
Payments Time Costs
E-
Signature
GDT
VAT
Eliminates filing 12
paper reports -12 -34.5 -1,8
-32 -102.6 -15,3
Corporate Income
Tax
Eliminates filing 12
paper reports -4 -22.0 -4,6
MOF
Quarterly Financial
Reporting
Eliminates filing 4
paper reports -4 -24.2 -5,3
SID Social Insurance
Eliminates filing 12
paper reports -12 -21.9 -3,6
Exhibit 14: Reductions in Payments, Time, and Costs Allocated by Reform
Reform Agency Tax Comment Payments Time
Costs (billion
MNT)
Totals by Reform
Paymen
ts
Time Costs
True E-
Filing
GDT
VAT
Reduces Payments count
from 12 to 1; Reduces time
and cost to calculate, prepare,
pay, and submit report.
-11 -86.4 -4,5
-36.0 -275.8 -43,6
Corporate
Income Tax
Reduces Payments count
from 12 to 1; Reduces time
and cost to calculate, prepare,
pay, and submit e-report.
-11 -21.0 -4,4
MOF
Quarterly
Financial
Reporting
Reduces Payments count
from 4 to 1; Reduces time
and cost to calculate, prepare,
pay, and submit e-report.
-3 -129.5 -28,3
SID Social Insurance
Reduces Payments count
from 4 to 1; Reduces time
and cost to calculate, prepare,
pay, and submit e-report.
-11 -38.9 -6,4
Exhibit 14: Reductions in Payments, Time, and Costs Allocated by Reform
Reform Agency Tax Comment Payments Time
Costs
(billion
MNT)
Totals by Reform
Payments Time Costs
Combine
Employee
Withholding
and Social
Insurance
GDT &
SID
Social Insurance +
Employee
Withholding
Combining social
insurance and employee
withholding eliminate
all burdens with one tax.
Calculations Employee
withholding eliminated
because times involved
are greater.
-24 -78.4 -13 -24 -78.4 -13
Make Vehicle
Tax Annual
GDT Vehicle Tax
Switch from quarterly to
annual eliminates 3
payments
-3 N/A N/A -3 N/A N/A
TOTALS BEFORE REFORM 101 592.8 93,5
SAVINGS FROM REFORMS -95 -456.8 -71,9
TOTALS AFTER REFORMS 6 136.0 21,5
Reforming Mongolia’s High Cost of Paying Taxes
Tax or Mandatory
Contribution
Payments Total Hours per Firm
Total Annual Cost for All
Firms (Billion MNT)
Before
Reform
After
Reform
Before
Reform
After
Reform
Before
Reform
After
Reform
Annual
Savings
Employer paid- Social
insurance contributions
24 1 80.4 19.6 13.2 3.2 10
Value added tax (VAT) 24 1 163.1 42.2 8.5 2.2 6.3
Quarterly Financial
Reports to MOF
8 1 215.8 62.1 47.3 13.6 33.7
Corporate income tax 16 1 55.1 12.1 11.5 2.5 9.0
Employee Withholding** 24 0 78.4 0.0 13.0 0 13.0
Property Tax 1 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Vehicle Tax 4 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
BPI Totals 101 6 592.8 136.0 93.5 21.5 72
GDT Calculates savings for CIT e-filers
• 5 hours to file paper returns (to and from office)
• X 3,405 MNT average hourly wage of an accountant MNT
(monthly 600,000 MNT) = 17,025 MNT ($13)
• + 6 km average round trip to tax office X 700 MNT taxi per km
= 4,200 MNT
• + 8 MNT per return X 8 pages each return = 64 MNT
• = 21,289 MNT ($16.25) per return
• X 4 time per year = 85,156 MNT ($65) per taxpayer per year
• X 55,331 CIT electronic filers per year
• = 4.7 billion MNT ($3.6 million) per year savings
Test Case: Paper work Cripples Mongolia Meat Exporters:
Agency Purpose Required Documents
Mongolian Taxation Agency To certify meat exporter doesn’t owe taxes - Copy of State Registration Certificate
MNCCI Certificate of Origin
- Copy of State Registration Certificate
- Copy of Sales Contract
- Invoice
- Packing list
GASI and the Central
Laboratory
test results
- Copy of Certificate of Origin
- Copy of State Registration Certificate
- Copy of Sales Contract
- Application form
GASI Conformity Certificate
- Copy of State Registration Certificate
- Certification of Origin
- Test Results
- Invoice
- Application form
NARTAM & Railway Admin. CMR transport documentation
- Copy of Sales Contract
- Copy of State Registration Certificate
MCGA customs clearance
- Sale of Goods Contract
- Copy of State Registration Certificate
- Conformity Certificate
- CMR
- Certification of Origin
- Taxation Certificate
- Export Certificate

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23.07.2012 Quantifying the costs of regulatory inefficiency, Olin McGill

  • 1. Quantifying the Costs of Regulatory Inefficiency July, 2012 Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Olin McGill Business Environment Reform Advisor Working Documents On Competitiveness And Business Enabling Environment -- Mongolia Methodology Seminar:
  • 2. “How much in value will this project actually deliver?” -- Kakha Bendookidze, State Minister on Reforms Coordination The $100 Million Question:
  • 3. Georgia’s Unprecedented Rise on Doing Business
  • 4. $744 million Annual Savings to Business and Government Annual Return on USAID’s 4-Year Investment -- $57 to $1 Georgia Efficiency Generates Investment:
  • 5. • Based on methodology by The Netherlands to quantify administrative burdens on business. • Monetizing Benefits v. Quantifying Costs • Benefits /Costs to business = Costs X Quantity Costs = financial (fees, bribes(?), etc.) + compliance Quantity = number of businesses X frequency of obligations/year • Benefits/Costs to government = Administrative Savings Savings = hourly rate of government employees X hours saved Other = rental space, storage space, retrieval time, etc. Methodology of calculations
  • 6. GDT’s Hidden Costs of Storing Paper
  • 7. Methodology Strengths and Weaknesses • Strengths: – Disaggregates impact of USAID assistance on a specific reform – Useful order of magnitude estimate of impacts – Helps generate political will – Good for prioritizing • Weaknesses: – Too time-consuming to capture all impacts – Relies on inaccurate, incomplete government statistics – Some things are difficult to measure – electricity privatization – Apples + Oranges = Fruit (Savings, transfers, fees)
  • 8. Issues we have to define – monetizing benefits v. quantifying costs: • Describing the process • Identify stakeholders burdened by inefficiency we reform • Define key measurement units – per shipment v. per business • Specify relevant costs – of process v. of reform • Specify sources and assumptions • Provide calculations spreadsheet • Put everything together in a summary memo
  • 9. Prioritizing Doing Business Reforms Starting a business  All procedures to open a business  Total days to complete all procedures  Official fees as % of per capita income  Paid-in capital as % of per capita income Protecting investors Legal protections provided to minority shareholders against related-party transactions by company owners/managers Dealing with construction permits  All procedures to complete standard building  Total days to complete all procedures  Official fees as % of per capita income Paying taxes  Total number of payments/reports a year  Total time required to make payments and reports  Total tax rate as % of profits Getting electricity  All procedures to connect a standard building  Total days to complete all procedures  Official fees as % of per capita income Trading across borders  All procedures to import and export  Total days to complete all procedures  Official fees for all procedures Registering property  All procedures to transfer property  Total days to complete all procedures  Official fees as % of property value Enforcing contracts  All procedures from filing to enforcement  Total days to complete all procedures  Total costs of lawyers, court, enforcement Getting credit  Effectiveness of legal regime for secured lending and protecting borrowers and lenders  Availability of credit information Resolving insolvency The time and cost required to resolve bankruptcy
  • 10. Where Georgia started: 3-day line to cross border
  • 11. Lower transit costs increased Georgia’s trade Process 2006 # Trucks Days Saved Cost per Day Savings Import 42,000 1 $288 $ 12.096 million Export 17,000 1 $288 $ 4.896 million Transit 40,000 2 $288 $ 23.040 million Annual Benefit 2006 $ 39.992 million 2008 +$133.367 million Increased Trade Volume 2006-08 333 percent growth
  • 12. Number of Days to Export 54 13 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2005 Year 2006 Year Number of days to import 52 15 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2005 Year 2006 Year Georgia Traders’ Reduced time to clear goods … … Increases velocity of capital: 365 / 52 = 7 turns a year 365 / 15 = 24 turns a year
  • 13. Georgia Customs Streamlining – Opportunity Costs • 15% = average annual opportunity cost • 0.04% = average daily opportunity cost • Import: 37 days (52-15) X 0.04% X $2.491 billion = $36.8 million • Export: 41 days (54-13) X 0.04% X $866.7 million = $14.2 million Totals: $51 million opportunity costs +$40 million trucking savings =$91 million total savings
  • 14. Increase in imports/exports Exports increased by 21.6 % Imports increased by 56.8 % $524 Million $638 Million $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 In USD Millions Export in January-August 2005 Export in January-August 2006 Total Exports $1.4 Billion $2.25 5 Billion $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 Import in January-August 2005 Import in January-August 2006 Total Imports In USD Millions
  • 15. Now only 15 minutes at border
  • 16. Unified Business and Tax Registration 1. 92 GEL = average daily net profit of businesses in Georgia * 43,000 business registered annually * 5 days saved by new procedures = 19.78 million GEL 2. 1 day of accountant/lawyer work saved * 45 GEL average daily salary =1.935 million GEL 3. 22 Tax Department personnel reassigned * 4,500 GEL average annual salary = 99 000 GEL Total annual savings = 21,814,000 GEL or $ 12.4 million.
  • 17. Registrations Nearly Double 40,916 77,778 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 Taxpayers registered in September 1, 2004 - August 31, 2005 Taxpayers registered in September 1, 2005 - August 31, 2006
  • 18. Simplified Registration of Individual Taxpayers 1. 11 GEL = average daily salary * 78,000 annual individual registrations * 1 day saved by new procedures = 858,000 GEL 2. 5 GEL notary fee eliminated * 78,000 annual individual registrations = 390,000 GEL 3. 0.50 needed to serve each applicant * 78,000 annual applications * 18 GEL average Tax Department employee salary = 88,000 GEL Total annual savings = 1.336 million GEL or $763,500 USD.
  • 19. Registrations Increase 4X 7,114 28,077 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 Natural Persons registered in April, May, June (25 days) of 2006 Natural Persons registered in July, August, September (25 days) of 2006
  • 20. Exhibit 14: Reductions in Payments, Time, and Costs Allocated by Reform Reform Agency Tax Comment Payments Time Costs (billion MNT) Totals by Reform Payments Time Costs E- Signature GDT VAT Eliminates filing 12 paper reports -12 -34.5 -1,8 -32 -102.6 -15,3 Corporate Income Tax Eliminates filing 12 paper reports -4 -22.0 -4,6 MOF Quarterly Financial Reporting Eliminates filing 4 paper reports -4 -24.2 -5,3 SID Social Insurance Eliminates filing 12 paper reports -12 -21.9 -3,6
  • 21. Exhibit 14: Reductions in Payments, Time, and Costs Allocated by Reform Reform Agency Tax Comment Payments Time Costs (billion MNT) Totals by Reform Paymen ts Time Costs True E- Filing GDT VAT Reduces Payments count from 12 to 1; Reduces time and cost to calculate, prepare, pay, and submit report. -11 -86.4 -4,5 -36.0 -275.8 -43,6 Corporate Income Tax Reduces Payments count from 12 to 1; Reduces time and cost to calculate, prepare, pay, and submit e-report. -11 -21.0 -4,4 MOF Quarterly Financial Reporting Reduces Payments count from 4 to 1; Reduces time and cost to calculate, prepare, pay, and submit e-report. -3 -129.5 -28,3 SID Social Insurance Reduces Payments count from 4 to 1; Reduces time and cost to calculate, prepare, pay, and submit e-report. -11 -38.9 -6,4
  • 22. Exhibit 14: Reductions in Payments, Time, and Costs Allocated by Reform Reform Agency Tax Comment Payments Time Costs (billion MNT) Totals by Reform Payments Time Costs Combine Employee Withholding and Social Insurance GDT & SID Social Insurance + Employee Withholding Combining social insurance and employee withholding eliminate all burdens with one tax. Calculations Employee withholding eliminated because times involved are greater. -24 -78.4 -13 -24 -78.4 -13 Make Vehicle Tax Annual GDT Vehicle Tax Switch from quarterly to annual eliminates 3 payments -3 N/A N/A -3 N/A N/A TOTALS BEFORE REFORM 101 592.8 93,5 SAVINGS FROM REFORMS -95 -456.8 -71,9 TOTALS AFTER REFORMS 6 136.0 21,5
  • 23. Reforming Mongolia’s High Cost of Paying Taxes Tax or Mandatory Contribution Payments Total Hours per Firm Total Annual Cost for All Firms (Billion MNT) Before Reform After Reform Before Reform After Reform Before Reform After Reform Annual Savings Employer paid- Social insurance contributions 24 1 80.4 19.6 13.2 3.2 10 Value added tax (VAT) 24 1 163.1 42.2 8.5 2.2 6.3 Quarterly Financial Reports to MOF 8 1 215.8 62.1 47.3 13.6 33.7 Corporate income tax 16 1 55.1 12.1 11.5 2.5 9.0 Employee Withholding** 24 0 78.4 0.0 13.0 0 13.0 Property Tax 1 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Vehicle Tax 4 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A BPI Totals 101 6 592.8 136.0 93.5 21.5 72
  • 24. GDT Calculates savings for CIT e-filers • 5 hours to file paper returns (to and from office) • X 3,405 MNT average hourly wage of an accountant MNT (monthly 600,000 MNT) = 17,025 MNT ($13) • + 6 km average round trip to tax office X 700 MNT taxi per km = 4,200 MNT • + 8 MNT per return X 8 pages each return = 64 MNT • = 21,289 MNT ($16.25) per return • X 4 time per year = 85,156 MNT ($65) per taxpayer per year • X 55,331 CIT electronic filers per year • = 4.7 billion MNT ($3.6 million) per year savings
  • 25. Test Case: Paper work Cripples Mongolia Meat Exporters: Agency Purpose Required Documents Mongolian Taxation Agency To certify meat exporter doesn’t owe taxes - Copy of State Registration Certificate MNCCI Certificate of Origin - Copy of State Registration Certificate - Copy of Sales Contract - Invoice - Packing list GASI and the Central Laboratory test results - Copy of Certificate of Origin - Copy of State Registration Certificate - Copy of Sales Contract - Application form GASI Conformity Certificate - Copy of State Registration Certificate - Certification of Origin - Test Results - Invoice - Application form NARTAM & Railway Admin. CMR transport documentation - Copy of Sales Contract - Copy of State Registration Certificate MCGA customs clearance - Sale of Goods Contract - Copy of State Registration Certificate - Conformity Certificate - CMR - Certification of Origin - Taxation Certificate - Export Certificate