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Housing Market and
Economic Update
January 2016
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential
Housing overview
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential2
Residential real estate underpins Australia's
wealth and has reached $6.4 trillion
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential3
As at the end of December 2015
Residential Real Estate
$6.4 Trillion
Australian Superannuation
$2.3 Trillion
Australian Listed Stocks
$1.6 Trillion
Commercial Real Estate
$0.7 Trillion
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Sep-90 Sep-95 Sep-00 Sep-05 Sep-10 Sep-15
Residential land & dwellings Equities Superannuation Other
Residential real estate accounts for more than
half of all household wealth
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential4
Distribution of household wealth, Australia
52.1%
7.1%
21.0%
19.8%
Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15
The annual rate of capital gain has been
trending lower since July 2015
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential5
Rolling annual change in dwelling values, combined capital cities
Median Prices Capital Gain
$625,000
Houses Units Dwellings
Past 12 months 7.8% 7.9% 7.8%
$527,500
Annual over five years 4.2% 3.9% 4.1%
Annual over ten years 5.6% 5.1% 5.6%
CoreLogic’s suite of hedonic indices are
available across broad housing types and
across geographical areas including
statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions
and postcodes nationally. For further
information an our hedonic method, please
visit www.corelogic.com.au/indices
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-0.5%
3.8% 3.8% 3.7%
-13.8%
4.4%
-22.7%
1.1%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
NSW Vic Qld SA WA Tas NT ACT
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Oct 93 Oct 95 Oct 97 Oct 99 Oct 01 Oct 03 Oct 05 Oct 07 Oct 09 Oct 11 Oct 13 Oct 15
House sales (with 6 month moving avg)
Unit sales (with 6 month moving avg)
Turnover: transaction numbers have trended
higher across most states over the past year
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential6
Monthly house and unit sales, national
YoY % change in sales, states and territoriesAnnual Sales
Year to
Oct 2015
Year to
Oct 2014
% change
Houses 362,320 350,108 3.5%
Units 139,624 149,690 -6.7%
Dwellings 501,945 499,798 0.4%
Note the most recent 8 months worth of sales is modelled based on historical sales levels due to the lag associated with collecting sales records. ‘Off the plan’ sales
are not included in transaction counts until settled.
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
3.1%
3.4%
3.8%
4.2%
4.2%
4.3%
5.3%
5.4%
3.5%
0% 2% 4% 6%
Melbourne
Sydney
Perth
Adelaide
Canberra
Brisbane
Darwin
Hobart
Combined capitals
-12.6%
-9.0%
-0.9%
-0.8%
2.1%
2.1%
3.4%
3.7%
1.8%
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5%
Darwin
Perth
Adelaide
Brisbane
Canberra
Melbourne
Sydney
Hobart
Combined capitals
-13.5%
-7.9%
-0.2%
-0.2%
0.3%
1.6%
1.9%
2.3%
0.0%
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5%
Darwin
Perth
Brisbane
Adelaide
Hobart
Sydney
Canberra
Melbourne
Combined capitals
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Dec-97 Dec-99 Dec-01 Dec-03 Dec-05 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15
Grossrentalyield
Annualrentalchange
Annual change in rents Gross rental yield
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential7
Rental growth has continued to slow over the
year, rising by just 0.3%
Annual change in rents vs gross rental yield, combined capital cities
Annual change in house rents
CoreLogic’s suite of rental statistics are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions
and postcodes nationally.
Annual change in unit rents Gross rental yields
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
Nov 05 Nov 07 Nov 09 Nov 11 Nov 13 Nov 15
0
20
40
60
80
Nov 05 Nov 07 Nov 09 Nov 11 Nov 13 Nov 15
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15
Numberofauctions
Clearancerate
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential8
Vendor metrics: auction clearance rates shifted
lower late last year
Combined capital city auction clearance rates and volumes
Avg vendor discount, combined capitals Avg time on market, combined capitals
CoreLogic’s suite of vendor metrics are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally.
Note that we typically see a seasonal peak in average time on market each year in January and February.
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
State
No of new
listings
12 mth
change (%)
No of total
listings
12 mth
change (%)
NSW 5,053 -7.3% 49,255 -7.7%
Vic 4,861 -11.6% 49,186 -9.2%
Qld 5,397 -6.4% 58,111 -7.2%
SA 1,462 -6.3% 15,922 0.2%
WA 2,975 -5.5% 32,623 3.2%
Tas 778 -0.9% 9,785 -3.8%
NT 93 -29.5% 1,970 13.1%
ACT 121 -6.9% 1,928 -2.3%
National 20,740 -7.7% 218,780 -5.5%
Capital city
No of new
listings
12 mth
change (%)
No of total
listings
12 mth
change (%)
Sydney 1,693 -20.0% 16,984 3.2%
Melbourne 2,610 -8.9% 23,991 -11.0%
Brisbane 1,966 -4.7% 15,549 -11.3%
Adelaide 815 -2.6% 6,732 -4.8%
Perth 1,835 -4.2% 18,408 6.5%
Hobart 287 5.5% 2,512 -10.6%
Darwin 66 -32.0% 1,461 13.8%
Canberra 117 -9.3% 1,880 -2.5%
Combined capitals 9,389 -8.8% 87,517 -4.2%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Total listings New listings
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential9
Listings: the seasonal listings slowdown is in
full-swing
National number of new and total listings, rolling 4 weeks
State and territory property listings Capital city property listings
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-40.0%
-20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
Dec-97 Dec-99 Dec-01 Dec-03 Dec-05 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15
Annual growth in housing finance (ex refi) Annual growth in property values
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
Oct-95 Oct-99 Oct-03 Oct-07 Oct-11 Oct-15
Totalvalue($b)
Owner occupier new loans
Owner occupier refinances
Investment
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential10
Investor mortgage demand continues to fall with
owner occupier demand rising
Value of housing finance commitments – monthly, national
Owner
occupier loans
(excl. refi)
$14.4b
Investor loans
$11.5b
Annual change in home values vs annual change in home lending (ex refinances)
Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
Nov-93 Nov-95 Nov-97 Nov-99 Nov-01 Nov-03 Nov-05 Nov-07 Nov-09 Nov-11 Nov-13 Nov-15
Housing Business Other personal
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Nov-95 Nov-00 Nov-05 Nov-10 Nov-15
Owner occupier housing Investment housing
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential11
The annual pace of investment credit growth has
fallen below the APRA benchmark of 10%
Annual change in total housing credit, owner occupiers vs investors
Proportion of total outstanding credit to ADIs
10% pa growth
Source: CoreLogic RP Data, RBA
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15
Number of platform events v Number of owner occ housing finance commitments
RMI ABS Owner Occupier Housing Finance
-50.0%
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15
Monthly % change in platform events v Number of owner occ housing finance commitments
RMI ABS Owner Occupier Housing Finance
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential12
CoreLogic’s Mortgage Index indicates easing
mortgage demand over coming months
CoreLogic’s Mortgage Index measures valuation activity across RP Data platforms, which more than 90% of ADI valuation requests nationally use, providing an almost real time indicator for how
much mortgage activity is taking place. For more information, contact RP Data via email: ask@corelogic.com.au
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
Capital city housing market indicators
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential13
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15
Combined capital cities Sydney
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential14
Sydney: annual rate of capital gain has fallen
from a recent peak of 18.4% to 11.5%
Rolling annual change in Sydney dwelling values v. combined capital cities
Median Prices Capital Gain
$935,000
Houses Units Dwellings
Past 12 months 11.5% 11.3% 11.5%
$676,000
Annual over five years 7.5% 6.3% 7.3%
Annual over ten years 6.0% 5.5% 5.9%
RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further
information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15
Combined capital cities Melbourne
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential15
Melbourne: annual capital gains have slipped
from a recent peak of 14.2% to 11.2%
Rolling annual change in Melbourne dwelling values v. combined capital cities
Median Prices Capital Gain
$675,000
Houses Units Dwellings
Past 12 months 11.7% 6.9% 11.2%
$506,000
Annual over five years 4.0% 2.1% 3.8%
Annual over ten years 7.2% 5.6% 7.1%
RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further
information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15
Combined capital cities Brisbane
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential16
Brisbane: annual capital gains have been
moderate and continue to track just above 4.0%
Rolling annual change in Brisbane dwelling values v. combined capital cities
Median Prices Capital Gain
$507,500
Houses Units Dwellings
Past 12 months 4.3% 1.8% 4.1%
$390,000
Annual over five years 1.3% 0.2% 1.2%
Annual over ten years 3.9% 3.3% 3.9%
RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further
information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15
Combined capital cities Adelaide
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential17
Adelaide: home values are virtually unchanged
over the past year
Rolling annual change in Adelaide dwelling values v. combined capital cities
Median Prices Capital Gain
$440,000
Houses Units Dwellings
Past 12 months -0.3% 1.4% -0.1%
$350,000
Annual over five years 0.5% -0.9% 0.4%
Annual over ten years 3.6% 3.3% 3.5%
RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further
information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15
Combined capital cities Perth
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential18
Perth: Home values across the city continue to
fall, down -3.7% in 2015
Rolling annual change in Perth dwelling values v. combined capital cities
Median Prices Capital Gain
$525,000
Houses Units Dwellings
Past 12 months -3.8% -3.5% -3.7%
$425,000
Annual over five years 1.0% 0.4% 1.0%
Annual over ten years 4.2% 4.1% 4.2%
RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further
information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15
Combined capital cities Hobart
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential19
Hobart: a 1.6% fall in house values has been
offset by a strong 8.6% gain in unit values
Rolling annual change in Hobart dwelling values v. combined capital cities
Median Prices Capital Gain
$369,500
Houses Units Dwellings
Past 12 months -1.6% 8.6% -0.7%
$287,500
Annual over five years -1.0% 1.4% -0.8%
Annual over ten years 1.1% 3.1% 1.2%
RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further
information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15
Combined capital cities Darwin
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential20
Darwin: home values continue to trend lower
after peaking in May 2014
Rolling annual change in Darwin dwelling values v. combined capital cities
Median Prices Capital Gain
$540,000
Houses Units Dwellings
Past 12 months -3.7% -3.3% -3.6%
$506,200
Annual over five years -0.6% -1.2% -0.7%
Annual over ten years 6.0% 5.4% 5.9%
RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further
information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15
Combined capital cities Canberra
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential21
Canberra: dwelling values are rising due to higher
house values while unit values remain soft
Rolling annual change in Canberra dwelling values v. combined capital cities
Median Prices Capital Gain
$638,000
Houses Units Dwellings
Past 12 months 4.5% -0.8% 4.1%
$415,000
Annual over five years 1.2% -0.4% 1.1%
Annual over ten years 3.9% 2.5% 3.8%
RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further
information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
Macroeconomic and demographic indicators
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential22
1.4%
1.7%
1.2%
0.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.4%
1.4%
1.4%
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0%
NSW
VIC
QLD
SA
WA
TAS
NT
ACT
AUST
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Jun-85 Jun-95 Jun-05 Jun-15
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Jun-85 Jun-95 Jun-05 Jun-15
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Jun-85 Jun-90 Jun-95 Jun-00 Jun-05 Jun-10 Jun-15
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential23
Housing demand: population growth has
continued to slow due to fewer overseas migrants
Quarterly change in national population
Net overseas migration Natural increase Annual change in population
Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
Oct-87 Oct-91 Oct-95 Oct-99 Oct-03 Oct-07 Oct-11 Oct-15
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Perth
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
Oct-85 Oct-90 Oct-95 Oct-00 Oct-05 Oct-10 Oct-15
Houses Units
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
Oct-85 Oct-90 Oct-95 Oct-00 Oct-05 Oct-10 Oct-15
Total dwelling approvals Total dwelling approvals (6 month rolling avg)
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential24
Housing supply: dwelling approvals have
eased but remain close to record high levels
Monthly number of dwelling approvals, national
National dwelling approvals, houses v units Major capital city annual approvals
Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Oct-85 Oct-90 Oct-95 Oct-00 Oct-05 Oct-10 Oct-15
Total quarterly dwelling approvals Quarterly change in population growth
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential25
Housing supply: the gap between housing
demand and supply is narrowing
Quarterly dwellings approved for construction v quarterly change in population, national
Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
Dec-97 Dec-00 Dec-03 Dec-06 Dec-09 Dec-12 Dec-15
Consumer sentiment Capital city home values
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Dec-95 Dec-99 Dec-03 Dec-07 Dec-11 Dec-15
Consumer Sentiment (LHS)
Sales vols (Syd, Mel and Bris) (RHS)
60
80
100
120
140
Dec-90 Dec-95 Dec-00 Dec-05 Dec-10 Dec-15
Consumer Sentiment Index Six month rolling average
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential26
Consumer sentiment remained slightly more
optimistic than pessimistic in December
Consumer sentiment index
Annual change in consumer
sentiment v dwelling values
Consumer sentiment
v dwelling sales
Source: CoreLogic RP Data, Westpac-Melbourne Institute
60.0
61.0
62.0
63.0
64.0
65.0
66.0
67.0
Nov-00 Nov-03 Nov-06 Nov-09 Nov-12 Nov-15
%
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Nov-00 Nov-03 Nov-06 Nov-09 Nov-12 Nov-15
%
-5.0%
-3.0%
-1.0%
1.0%
3.0%
5.0%
7.0%
9.0%
Nov-97 Nov-99 Nov-01 Nov-03 Nov-05 Nov-07 Nov-09 Nov-11 Nov-13 Nov-15
Full-time employment Part-time employment
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential27
Labour force: the unemployment rate (5.8%) is at
its lowest level in two years
Annual change in employment, full time v part time
National unemployment rate National participation rate
Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08 Jan-12 Jan-16
Standard variable mortgage rates 3 yr fixed mortgage rates Cash rate
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
Oct-95 Oct-99 Oct-03 Oct-07 Oct-11 Oct-15
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential28
Mortgage rates: financial markets aren’t factoring
in any further rate cuts
Mortgage rates and cash rate over time
% of owner occupier loan commitments
on fixed rate
ASX cash rate futures implied yield
curve
Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS, RBA
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential29
About Us
CoreLogic RP Data is a wholly owned subsidiary of CoreLogic (NYSE: CLGX),which is the largest data and analytics company in
the world with revenues of $1.3Bn USD from 50,000 business and government customers and over 1 million end users. CoreLogic
RP Data provides property information, analytics and services across Australia and New Zealand and is currently developing and
growing partnerships throughout Asia.
With Australia’s most comprehensive property databases, the company’s combined data offering is derived from public,
contributory and proprietary sources and includes over 500 million decision points spanning over three decades of collection,
providing detailed coverage of property and other encumbrances such as tenancy, location, hazard risk and related performance
information. With over 11,000 customers and 120,000 end users, CoreLogic RP Data is the leading provider of property data,
analytics and related services to consumers, investors, real estate, mortgage, finance, banking, insurance, developers, wealth
management and government.
CoreLogic RP Data delivers value to clients through unique data, analytics, workflow technology, advisory and geo spatial services.
Clients rely on CoreLogic RP Data to help identify and manage growth opportunities, improve performance and mitigate risk.
CoreLogic RP Data employs over 480 people at nine locations across Australia and in New Zealand. For more information call
1300 734 318 or visit www.corelogic.com.au
CoreLogic RP Data produces an advanced suite of housing market analytics that provides key insights for understanding housing
market conditions at a granular geographic level. Granular data is often used for portfolio analysis and benchmarking, risk
assessments and understanding development feasibility and market sizing. It gives industry professionals valuable modules which
provide essential analytics and insights for decision making and strategy formation within the residential property asset class. We
can tailor reports to suit your business requirements.
Call us on 1300 734 318 or email us at ask@corelogic.com.au or visit us at www.corelogic.com.au
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential30
Granular Data and Analytics
Market Scorecard: Monitor and measure market share and performance of real estate agents at an individual office or a Franchise
brand level across Australia. Identify the competing brands and independents at a suburb, postcode, user defined territory and
State level. Easily locate growth opportunities and market hotspots, and view the performance of the established offices in these
new areas of interest.
Market Trends: Detailed housing market indicators down to the suburb level, with data in time series or snapshot and segmented
across houses, units and land. The Market Trends data includes key housing market metrics such as median prices, median
values, transaction volumes, rental statistics, vendor metrics such as average selling time and vendor discounting rates.
CoreLogic RP Data Indices: The suite of CoreLogic RP Data Indices range from simple market measurements such as
median prices through to repeat sales indices and our flagship hedonic home value indices. The CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic index
has been specifically designed to track the value of a portfolio of properties over time and is relied upon by Australian regulators
and industry as the most up to date and accurate measurement of housing market performance.
Economist Pack: A suite of indices and indicators designed specifically for Australian economic commentators who require the
most up to date and detailed view of housing market conditions. The economist pack includes the CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic
indices for capital cities and ‘rest of state’ indices, the stratified hedonic index, hedonic total return index, auction clearance rates
and median prices.
Investor Concentration Report: Understanding ownership concentrations is an important part of assessing risk. Areas with high
investor concentrations are typically allocated higher risk ratings due to the over-representation of a particular segment of the
market. Through a series of rules and logic, CoreLogic RP Data has flagged the likely ownership type of every residential property
nationally as either owner occupied, investor owned or government owned.
Mortgage Market Trend Report: CoreLogic RP Data is in a unique position to monitor mortgage related housing market
activity. Transaction volumes, dwelling values and mortgage related valuation events all comprise our Mortgage market
trend report which provides an invaluable tool for mortgage industry benchmarking and strategy.
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential31
Disclaimer
In compiling this publication, RP Data Pty Ltd trading as CoreLogic has relied upon information supplied by a number of external sources. CoreLogic does not warrant its
accuracy or completeness and to the full extent allowed by law excludes liability in contract, tort or otherwise, for any loss or damage sustained by subscribers, or by any
other person or body corporate arising from or in connection with the supply or use of the whole or any part of the information in this publication through any cause
whatsoever and limits any liability it may have to the amount paid to CoreLogic for the supply of such information.
Queensland Data
Based on or contains data provided by the State of Queensland (Department of Natural Resources and Mines) 2016. In consideration of the State permitting use of this
data you acknowledge and agree that the State gives no warranty in relation to the data (including accuracy, reliability, completeness, currency or suitability) and accepts
no liability (including without limitation, liability in negligence) for any loss, damage or costs (including consequential damage) relating to any use of the data. Data must not
be used for direct marketing or be used in breach of the privacy laws.
South Australian Data
This information is based on data supplied by the South Australian Government and is published by permission. The South Australian Government does not accept any
responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the published information or suitability for any purpose of the published information or the underlying data.
New South Wales Data
Contains property sales information provided under licence from the Land and Property Information (“LPI”). CoreLogic is authorised as a Property Sales Information
provider by the LPI.
Victorian Data
The State of Victoria owns the copyright in the Property Sales Data which constitutes the basis of this report and reproduction of that data in any way without the consent of
the State of Victoria will constitute a breach of the Copyright Act 1968 (Cth). The State of Victoria does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information
contained in this report and any person using or relying upon such information does so on the basis that the State of Victoria accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever
for any errors, faults, defects or omissions in the information supplied.
Western Australian Data
Based on information provided by and with the permission of the Western Australian Land Information Authority (2015) trading as Landgate.
Australian Capital Territory Data
The Territory Data is the property of the Australian Capital Territory. No part of it may in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, microcopying, photocopying,
recording or otherwise) be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted without prior written permission. Enquiries should be directed to: Director, Customer
Services ACT Planning and Land Authority GPO Box 1908 Canberra ACT 2601.
Tasmanian Data
This product incorporates data that is copyright owned by the Crown in Right of Tasmania. The data has been used in the product with the permission of the Crown in Right
of Tasmania. The Crown in Right of Tasmania and its employees and agents:
a) give no warranty regarding the data's accuracy, completeness, currency or suitability for any particular purpose; and
b) do not accept liability howsoever arising, including but not limited to negligence for any loss resulting from the use of or reliance upon the data.
Base data from the LIST © State of Tasmania http://www.thelist.tas.gov.au
© 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential32
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2016 01-january property and economic overview

  • 1. Housing Market and Economic Update January 2016 © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential
  • 2. Housing overview © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential2
  • 3. Residential real estate underpins Australia's wealth and has reached $6.4 trillion © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential3 As at the end of December 2015 Residential Real Estate $6.4 Trillion Australian Superannuation $2.3 Trillion Australian Listed Stocks $1.6 Trillion Commercial Real Estate $0.7 Trillion Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 4. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Sep-90 Sep-95 Sep-00 Sep-05 Sep-10 Sep-15 Residential land & dwellings Equities Superannuation Other Residential real estate accounts for more than half of all household wealth © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential4 Distribution of household wealth, Australia 52.1% 7.1% 21.0% 19.8% Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
  • 5. -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15 The annual rate of capital gain has been trending lower since July 2015 © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential5 Rolling annual change in dwelling values, combined capital cities Median Prices Capital Gain $625,000 Houses Units Dwellings Past 12 months 7.8% 7.9% 7.8% $527,500 Annual over five years 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% Annual over ten years 5.6% 5.1% 5.6% CoreLogic’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.au/indices Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 6. -0.5% 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% -13.8% 4.4% -22.7% 1.1% -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% NSW Vic Qld SA WA Tas NT ACT 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Oct 93 Oct 95 Oct 97 Oct 99 Oct 01 Oct 03 Oct 05 Oct 07 Oct 09 Oct 11 Oct 13 Oct 15 House sales (with 6 month moving avg) Unit sales (with 6 month moving avg) Turnover: transaction numbers have trended higher across most states over the past year © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential6 Monthly house and unit sales, national YoY % change in sales, states and territoriesAnnual Sales Year to Oct 2015 Year to Oct 2014 % change Houses 362,320 350,108 3.5% Units 139,624 149,690 -6.7% Dwellings 501,945 499,798 0.4% Note the most recent 8 months worth of sales is modelled based on historical sales levels due to the lag associated with collecting sales records. ‘Off the plan’ sales are not included in transaction counts until settled. Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 7. 3.1% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 5.3% 5.4% 3.5% 0% 2% 4% 6% Melbourne Sydney Perth Adelaide Canberra Brisbane Darwin Hobart Combined capitals -12.6% -9.0% -0.9% -0.8% 2.1% 2.1% 3.4% 3.7% 1.8% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% Darwin Perth Adelaide Brisbane Canberra Melbourne Sydney Hobart Combined capitals -13.5% -7.9% -0.2% -0.2% 0.3% 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 0.0% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% Darwin Perth Brisbane Adelaide Hobart Sydney Canberra Melbourne Combined capitals 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Dec-97 Dec-99 Dec-01 Dec-03 Dec-05 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15 Grossrentalyield Annualrentalchange Annual change in rents Gross rental yield © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential7 Rental growth has continued to slow over the year, rising by just 0.3% Annual change in rents vs gross rental yield, combined capital cities Annual change in house rents CoreLogic’s suite of rental statistics are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. Annual change in unit rents Gross rental yields Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 8. -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% Nov 05 Nov 07 Nov 09 Nov 11 Nov 13 Nov 15 0 20 40 60 80 Nov 05 Nov 07 Nov 09 Nov 11 Nov 13 Nov 15 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Numberofauctions Clearancerate © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential8 Vendor metrics: auction clearance rates shifted lower late last year Combined capital city auction clearance rates and volumes Avg vendor discount, combined capitals Avg time on market, combined capitals CoreLogic’s suite of vendor metrics are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. Note that we typically see a seasonal peak in average time on market each year in January and February. Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 9. State No of new listings 12 mth change (%) No of total listings 12 mth change (%) NSW 5,053 -7.3% 49,255 -7.7% Vic 4,861 -11.6% 49,186 -9.2% Qld 5,397 -6.4% 58,111 -7.2% SA 1,462 -6.3% 15,922 0.2% WA 2,975 -5.5% 32,623 3.2% Tas 778 -0.9% 9,785 -3.8% NT 93 -29.5% 1,970 13.1% ACT 121 -6.9% 1,928 -2.3% National 20,740 -7.7% 218,780 -5.5% Capital city No of new listings 12 mth change (%) No of total listings 12 mth change (%) Sydney 1,693 -20.0% 16,984 3.2% Melbourne 2,610 -8.9% 23,991 -11.0% Brisbane 1,966 -4.7% 15,549 -11.3% Adelaide 815 -2.6% 6,732 -4.8% Perth 1,835 -4.2% 18,408 6.5% Hobart 287 5.5% 2,512 -10.6% Darwin 66 -32.0% 1,461 13.8% Canberra 117 -9.3% 1,880 -2.5% Combined capitals 9,389 -8.8% 87,517 -4.2% 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Total listings New listings © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential9 Listings: the seasonal listings slowdown is in full-swing National number of new and total listings, rolling 4 weeks State and territory property listings Capital city property listings Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 10. -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% Dec-97 Dec-99 Dec-01 Dec-03 Dec-05 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15 Annual growth in housing finance (ex refi) Annual growth in property values 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 Oct-95 Oct-99 Oct-03 Oct-07 Oct-11 Oct-15 Totalvalue($b) Owner occupier new loans Owner occupier refinances Investment © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential10 Investor mortgage demand continues to fall with owner occupier demand rising Value of housing finance commitments – monthly, national Owner occupier loans (excl. refi) $14.4b Investor loans $11.5b Annual change in home values vs annual change in home lending (ex refinances) Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
  • 11. 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% Nov-93 Nov-95 Nov-97 Nov-99 Nov-01 Nov-03 Nov-05 Nov-07 Nov-09 Nov-11 Nov-13 Nov-15 Housing Business Other personal 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% Nov-95 Nov-00 Nov-05 Nov-10 Nov-15 Owner occupier housing Investment housing © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential11 The annual pace of investment credit growth has fallen below the APRA benchmark of 10% Annual change in total housing credit, owner occupiers vs investors Proportion of total outstanding credit to ADIs 10% pa growth Source: CoreLogic RP Data, RBA
  • 12. 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Number of platform events v Number of owner occ housing finance commitments RMI ABS Owner Occupier Housing Finance -50.0% -40.0% -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Monthly % change in platform events v Number of owner occ housing finance commitments RMI ABS Owner Occupier Housing Finance © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential12 CoreLogic’s Mortgage Index indicates easing mortgage demand over coming months CoreLogic’s Mortgage Index measures valuation activity across RP Data platforms, which more than 90% of ADI valuation requests nationally use, providing an almost real time indicator for how much mortgage activity is taking place. For more information, contact RP Data via email: ask@corelogic.com.au Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 13. Capital city housing market indicators © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential13
  • 14. -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15 Combined capital cities Sydney © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential14 Sydney: annual rate of capital gain has fallen from a recent peak of 18.4% to 11.5% Rolling annual change in Sydney dwelling values v. combined capital cities Median Prices Capital Gain $935,000 Houses Units Dwellings Past 12 months 11.5% 11.3% 11.5% $676,000 Annual over five years 7.5% 6.3% 7.3% Annual over ten years 6.0% 5.5% 5.9% RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 15. -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15 Combined capital cities Melbourne © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential15 Melbourne: annual capital gains have slipped from a recent peak of 14.2% to 11.2% Rolling annual change in Melbourne dwelling values v. combined capital cities Median Prices Capital Gain $675,000 Houses Units Dwellings Past 12 months 11.7% 6.9% 11.2% $506,000 Annual over five years 4.0% 2.1% 3.8% Annual over ten years 7.2% 5.6% 7.1% RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 16. -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15 Combined capital cities Brisbane © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential16 Brisbane: annual capital gains have been moderate and continue to track just above 4.0% Rolling annual change in Brisbane dwelling values v. combined capital cities Median Prices Capital Gain $507,500 Houses Units Dwellings Past 12 months 4.3% 1.8% 4.1% $390,000 Annual over five years 1.3% 0.2% 1.2% Annual over ten years 3.9% 3.3% 3.9% RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 17. -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15 Combined capital cities Adelaide © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential17 Adelaide: home values are virtually unchanged over the past year Rolling annual change in Adelaide dwelling values v. combined capital cities Median Prices Capital Gain $440,000 Houses Units Dwellings Past 12 months -0.3% 1.4% -0.1% $350,000 Annual over five years 0.5% -0.9% 0.4% Annual over ten years 3.6% 3.3% 3.5% RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 18. -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15 Combined capital cities Perth © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential18 Perth: Home values across the city continue to fall, down -3.7% in 2015 Rolling annual change in Perth dwelling values v. combined capital cities Median Prices Capital Gain $525,000 Houses Units Dwellings Past 12 months -3.8% -3.5% -3.7% $425,000 Annual over five years 1.0% 0.4% 1.0% Annual over ten years 4.2% 4.1% 4.2% RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 19. -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15 Combined capital cities Hobart © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential19 Hobart: a 1.6% fall in house values has been offset by a strong 8.6% gain in unit values Rolling annual change in Hobart dwelling values v. combined capital cities Median Prices Capital Gain $369,500 Houses Units Dwellings Past 12 months -1.6% 8.6% -0.7% $287,500 Annual over five years -1.0% 1.4% -0.8% Annual over ten years 1.1% 3.1% 1.2% RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 20. -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15 Combined capital cities Darwin © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential20 Darwin: home values continue to trend lower after peaking in May 2014 Rolling annual change in Darwin dwelling values v. combined capital cities Median Prices Capital Gain $540,000 Houses Units Dwellings Past 12 months -3.7% -3.3% -3.6% $506,200 Annual over five years -0.6% -1.2% -0.7% Annual over ten years 6.0% 5.4% 5.9% RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 21. -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% Dec 97 Dec 99 Dec 01 Dec 03 Dec 05 Dec 07 Dec 09 Dec 11 Dec 13 Dec 15 Combined capital cities Canberra © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential21 Canberra: dwelling values are rising due to higher house values while unit values remain soft Rolling annual change in Canberra dwelling values v. combined capital cities Median Prices Capital Gain $638,000 Houses Units Dwellings Past 12 months 4.5% -0.8% 4.1% $415,000 Annual over five years 1.2% -0.4% 1.1% Annual over ten years 3.9% 2.5% 3.8% RP Data’s suite of hedonic indices are available across broad housing types and across geographical areas including statistical divisions, statistical subdivisions and postcodes nationally. For further information an our hedonic method, please visit www.corelogic.com.aui/indices Source: CoreLogic RP Data
  • 22. Macroeconomic and demographic indicators © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential22
  • 23. 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT AUST -20,000 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 Jun-85 Jun-95 Jun-05 Jun-15 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Jun-85 Jun-95 Jun-05 Jun-15 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 Jun-85 Jun-90 Jun-95 Jun-00 Jun-05 Jun-10 Jun-15 © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential23 Housing demand: population growth has continued to slow due to fewer overseas migrants Quarterly change in national population Net overseas migration Natural increase Annual change in population Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
  • 24. 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 Oct-87 Oct-91 Oct-95 Oct-99 Oct-03 Oct-07 Oct-11 Oct-15 Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Perth 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 Oct-85 Oct-90 Oct-95 Oct-00 Oct-05 Oct-10 Oct-15 Houses Units 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 Oct-85 Oct-90 Oct-95 Oct-00 Oct-05 Oct-10 Oct-15 Total dwelling approvals Total dwelling approvals (6 month rolling avg) © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential24 Housing supply: dwelling approvals have eased but remain close to record high levels Monthly number of dwelling approvals, national National dwelling approvals, houses v units Major capital city annual approvals Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
  • 25. 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 Oct-85 Oct-90 Oct-95 Oct-00 Oct-05 Oct-10 Oct-15 Total quarterly dwelling approvals Quarterly change in population growth © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential25 Housing supply: the gap between housing demand and supply is narrowing Quarterly dwellings approved for construction v quarterly change in population, national Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
  • 26. -40.0% -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% Dec-97 Dec-00 Dec-03 Dec-06 Dec-09 Dec-12 Dec-15 Consumer sentiment Capital city home values 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Dec-95 Dec-99 Dec-03 Dec-07 Dec-11 Dec-15 Consumer Sentiment (LHS) Sales vols (Syd, Mel and Bris) (RHS) 60 80 100 120 140 Dec-90 Dec-95 Dec-00 Dec-05 Dec-10 Dec-15 Consumer Sentiment Index Six month rolling average © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential26 Consumer sentiment remained slightly more optimistic than pessimistic in December Consumer sentiment index Annual change in consumer sentiment v dwelling values Consumer sentiment v dwelling sales Source: CoreLogic RP Data, Westpac-Melbourne Institute
  • 27. 60.0 61.0 62.0 63.0 64.0 65.0 66.0 67.0 Nov-00 Nov-03 Nov-06 Nov-09 Nov-12 Nov-15 % 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 Nov-00 Nov-03 Nov-06 Nov-09 Nov-12 Nov-15 % -5.0% -3.0% -1.0% 1.0% 3.0% 5.0% 7.0% 9.0% Nov-97 Nov-99 Nov-01 Nov-03 Nov-05 Nov-07 Nov-09 Nov-11 Nov-13 Nov-15 Full-time employment Part-time employment © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential27 Labour force: the unemployment rate (5.8%) is at its lowest level in two years Annual change in employment, full time v part time National unemployment rate National participation rate Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS
  • 28. 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08 Jan-12 Jan-16 Standard variable mortgage rates 3 yr fixed mortgage rates Cash rate 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% Oct-95 Oct-99 Oct-03 Oct-07 Oct-11 Oct-15 © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential28 Mortgage rates: financial markets aren’t factoring in any further rate cuts Mortgage rates and cash rate over time % of owner occupier loan commitments on fixed rate ASX cash rate futures implied yield curve Source: CoreLogic RP Data, ABS, RBA
  • 29. © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential29 About Us CoreLogic RP Data is a wholly owned subsidiary of CoreLogic (NYSE: CLGX),which is the largest data and analytics company in the world with revenues of $1.3Bn USD from 50,000 business and government customers and over 1 million end users. CoreLogic RP Data provides property information, analytics and services across Australia and New Zealand and is currently developing and growing partnerships throughout Asia. With Australia’s most comprehensive property databases, the company’s combined data offering is derived from public, contributory and proprietary sources and includes over 500 million decision points spanning over three decades of collection, providing detailed coverage of property and other encumbrances such as tenancy, location, hazard risk and related performance information. With over 11,000 customers and 120,000 end users, CoreLogic RP Data is the leading provider of property data, analytics and related services to consumers, investors, real estate, mortgage, finance, banking, insurance, developers, wealth management and government. CoreLogic RP Data delivers value to clients through unique data, analytics, workflow technology, advisory and geo spatial services. Clients rely on CoreLogic RP Data to help identify and manage growth opportunities, improve performance and mitigate risk. CoreLogic RP Data employs over 480 people at nine locations across Australia and in New Zealand. For more information call 1300 734 318 or visit www.corelogic.com.au CoreLogic RP Data produces an advanced suite of housing market analytics that provides key insights for understanding housing market conditions at a granular geographic level. Granular data is often used for portfolio analysis and benchmarking, risk assessments and understanding development feasibility and market sizing. It gives industry professionals valuable modules which provide essential analytics and insights for decision making and strategy formation within the residential property asset class. We can tailor reports to suit your business requirements. Call us on 1300 734 318 or email us at ask@corelogic.com.au or visit us at www.corelogic.com.au
  • 30. © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential30 Granular Data and Analytics Market Scorecard: Monitor and measure market share and performance of real estate agents at an individual office or a Franchise brand level across Australia. Identify the competing brands and independents at a suburb, postcode, user defined territory and State level. Easily locate growth opportunities and market hotspots, and view the performance of the established offices in these new areas of interest. Market Trends: Detailed housing market indicators down to the suburb level, with data in time series or snapshot and segmented across houses, units and land. The Market Trends data includes key housing market metrics such as median prices, median values, transaction volumes, rental statistics, vendor metrics such as average selling time and vendor discounting rates. CoreLogic RP Data Indices: The suite of CoreLogic RP Data Indices range from simple market measurements such as median prices through to repeat sales indices and our flagship hedonic home value indices. The CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic index has been specifically designed to track the value of a portfolio of properties over time and is relied upon by Australian regulators and industry as the most up to date and accurate measurement of housing market performance. Economist Pack: A suite of indices and indicators designed specifically for Australian economic commentators who require the most up to date and detailed view of housing market conditions. The economist pack includes the CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic indices for capital cities and ‘rest of state’ indices, the stratified hedonic index, hedonic total return index, auction clearance rates and median prices. Investor Concentration Report: Understanding ownership concentrations is an important part of assessing risk. Areas with high investor concentrations are typically allocated higher risk ratings due to the over-representation of a particular segment of the market. Through a series of rules and logic, CoreLogic RP Data has flagged the likely ownership type of every residential property nationally as either owner occupied, investor owned or government owned. Mortgage Market Trend Report: CoreLogic RP Data is in a unique position to monitor mortgage related housing market activity. Transaction volumes, dwelling values and mortgage related valuation events all comprise our Mortgage market trend report which provides an invaluable tool for mortgage industry benchmarking and strategy.
  • 31. © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential31 Disclaimer In compiling this publication, RP Data Pty Ltd trading as CoreLogic has relied upon information supplied by a number of external sources. CoreLogic does not warrant its accuracy or completeness and to the full extent allowed by law excludes liability in contract, tort or otherwise, for any loss or damage sustained by subscribers, or by any other person or body corporate arising from or in connection with the supply or use of the whole or any part of the information in this publication through any cause whatsoever and limits any liability it may have to the amount paid to CoreLogic for the supply of such information. Queensland Data Based on or contains data provided by the State of Queensland (Department of Natural Resources and Mines) 2016. In consideration of the State permitting use of this data you acknowledge and agree that the State gives no warranty in relation to the data (including accuracy, reliability, completeness, currency or suitability) and accepts no liability (including without limitation, liability in negligence) for any loss, damage or costs (including consequential damage) relating to any use of the data. Data must not be used for direct marketing or be used in breach of the privacy laws. South Australian Data This information is based on data supplied by the South Australian Government and is published by permission. The South Australian Government does not accept any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the published information or suitability for any purpose of the published information or the underlying data. New South Wales Data Contains property sales information provided under licence from the Land and Property Information (“LPI”). CoreLogic is authorised as a Property Sales Information provider by the LPI. Victorian Data The State of Victoria owns the copyright in the Property Sales Data which constitutes the basis of this report and reproduction of that data in any way without the consent of the State of Victoria will constitute a breach of the Copyright Act 1968 (Cth). The State of Victoria does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this report and any person using or relying upon such information does so on the basis that the State of Victoria accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any errors, faults, defects or omissions in the information supplied. Western Australian Data Based on information provided by and with the permission of the Western Australian Land Information Authority (2015) trading as Landgate. Australian Capital Territory Data The Territory Data is the property of the Australian Capital Territory. No part of it may in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, microcopying, photocopying, recording or otherwise) be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted without prior written permission. Enquiries should be directed to: Director, Customer Services ACT Planning and Land Authority GPO Box 1908 Canberra ACT 2601. Tasmanian Data This product incorporates data that is copyright owned by the Crown in Right of Tasmania. The data has been used in the product with the permission of the Crown in Right of Tasmania. The Crown in Right of Tasmania and its employees and agents: a) give no warranty regarding the data's accuracy, completeness, currency or suitability for any particular purpose; and b) do not accept liability howsoever arising, including but not limited to negligence for any loss resulting from the use of or reliance upon the data. Base data from the LIST © State of Tasmania http://www.thelist.tas.gov.au
  • 32. © 2016 CoreLogic, Inc. ■ Proprietary & Confidential32 Better data + Better analytics = Better decisions