SlideShare a Scribd company logo
0194866-00007-01                       Confidential; notProfessional Use Only.
                                         For Financial for further distribution.
For Financial Professional Use Only.
Opening Remarks
Paul Rogers, EVP & COO, Pacific Resources

Managing Employee Benefits in a Challenging Environment
Charles Lowrey, EVP & COO, U.S. Businesses, Prudential

The Significance of 2/7/64 and the Implications of Pension De-risking in the U.S.
Richard Farr, Head of Pensions Advisory, BDO

Healthcare Reform and the Use of Technology to Manage Employer Costs
Rohail Khan Executive Managing Director, ACS, Human Resource Services, A Xerox Company
       Khan,                   Director ACS                  Services

Audience Q&A
Paul Rogers, EVP & COO, Pacific Resources

Closing R
Cl i    Remarksk
Paul Rogers, EVP & COO, Pacific Resources




                                                                                    For Financial Professional Use Only.
                                                                                       For Financial Professional Use Only.
Charles Lowrey
                                                            Executive Vice P id t &
                                                            E    ti Vi President
                                                Chief Operating Officer, U.S. Businesses
                                                              Prudential Financial, Inc.




                                       Managing E l
                                       M      i Employee B  Benefits
                                                                fit
                                       in a Challenging Environment
                                                                    Confidential; notProfessional Use Only.
                                                                      For Financial for further distribution.
For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior      What senior finance executives are saying
       Executive
       Forum       about managing employee benefits



   Playing more of a role in
   benefits decisions


   Increased focus on
   pension benefits risk
   management


   Reliance on DC plans for
   employees’ retirement
      p y
   savings and income


   Increased focus on cost of
   benefits, particularly
   b    fit     ti l l
   healthcare costs



Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies
with DB plans with $5 billion or more in assets.
                                                                                                                       4
                                                                                      For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
Executive
Forum




             Increased Focus on
            Pension Benefits Risk
                Management
                M           t



                                                                     5
                                    For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
       Executive   Increased focus on pension benefits risk management
       Forum


   Drivers of i
   Di       f increased focus
                      df                                      Implications for companies
                                                              I li ti      f         i
     by finance executives
 Funding                                                     • 54% of finance executives
 • Stiffer funding requirements                                 report that their companies are
                                                                         h h i             i
   introduced by 2006 Pension                                   either likely to increase, or have
   Protection Act (PPA)                                         already increased, contributions
 • Although conditions are                                      to close a funding gap
   improving, the financial crisis
   continues to have an impact on
   DB plans

 Accounting                                                  • Increases in financial statement
 • Funding status appears on the                               volatility affect a company’s:
                                                                           ff             ’
   corporate balance sheet – no                                   – Stock price
   longer relegated to footnotes                                  – Beta
 • FASB is likely to reconsider                                   – Cost of capital
                                                                                 p
   pension smoothing rules in favor
   of mark-to-market accounting,
                                                             • Risk management strategies
   which would increase income
                                                               more important
   statement volatility


Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies
                                                                                                                       6
with DB plans with $5 billion or more in assets.
                                                                                      For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
    Executive   Current environment for pension risk transfer
    Forum



The environment has changed                You wouldn’t acquire a pension plan
• Balance sheet volatility is here         • Pensions are not a core business
• Income statement volatility is             for most companies
  inevitable                               • Rating agencies and equity analysts
• PPA funding rules shift focus to           view pension underfunding as debt
  short-term investment results            • Company stock prices incorporate
• PPA allows employer to fully fund          pension risk
  plan on a tax deductible basis           • Financial leverage is better taken
                                             elsewhere


Value is attractive                        Waiting entails risk
• First-mover pricing is available today   • Waiting for the “right” interest rate
• Attractive borrowing rates mitigate        environment to execute a risk transfer
  concerns about Buy-In or Buy-Out           strategy raises the challenge of how to
  costs in a low interest rate               invest assets in the meantime
  environment                              • Capacity is available today, but may
                                             not be tomorrow
                                           • The market is beginning to move


                                                                                                       7
                                                                      For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
        Executive   Range of solutions to mitigate or transfer risk in DB plans
        Forum




                                                                                  Buy-out



                                                     Buy-in               • Liability transferred to
                                                                            insurance company
                                           • A guaranteed annuity         • Settles a plan
                                             asset with a market value      sponsor’s obligation
                                                                             p             g
             Liability Driven Investing      to match the value of a
                        (LDI)                                              –Does trigger
 Funding                                     liability
                                                                            settlement accounting
             • An investor’s approach        –Insurance contract
insulation
               that correlates                 version of LDI
               investments in a DB plan      –Does not disrupt current
               to the liabilities in the       funded status
               plan                          –Liability remains on plan
               –Imperfect hedge                sponsor's balance sheet
               –Credit and duration risk     –Revocable – does not
             • Liability remains on plan       trigger settlement
                                                  gg
               sponsor's balance sheet         accounting

                                                                                                              Cost
                  Annual                           One time               One time premium
               management fee                      premium                        +
                                                                          Settlement charge
                                                                                                                                8
                                                                                               For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
        Executive    Developing a long-term pension risk transfer strategy
        Forum



 • DB plan sponsors are monitoring the capital markets to determine when favorable
   pricing exists to implement a buy-in, possibly as a transition to a buy-out

 • Pricing varies by plan population and is a function of mortality, interest rates,
   and investment spreads

 • Liability tranches (portions of the plan population) should be selected in a
   strategic manner




            • Develop                      • Price                        • Transition
              buy-in or                                                     assets
              buy-out                      • Market rates
              strategy                       and spreads                  • Identify
  Work                         Determine                       Prepare      insurer(s)
  with      • Identify           action    • Settlement           to
actuaries     tranches to       triggers     charge            transact   • Establish
              transfer                                                      terms
                                           • Impact on
            • Prepare                        investment                   • Monitor the
              data                           return                         market




                                                                                                             9
                                                                            For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
        Executive   CFO perspectives on pension risk management
        Forum



   Likelihood of adopting DB                               Key factors that would drive
   risk management strategies                              companies to transfer DB risk
   in next two years




Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies
with DB plans with $5 billion or more in assets.
                                                                                                                      10
                                                                                       For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
Executive
Forum




       Shift from DB to DC Plans




                                                                   11
                                   For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
        Executive   Shift from DB to DC plans
        Forum

                                Solutions for creating
Implications of shift from                                   Guaranteed income trends
                                more DB-like outcomes
     DB to DC plans                                            in large plan market
                                    from DC plans

• For individuals:             • Several solutions have      • Accelerated demand to
  increasing responsibility      been firmly established       augment target date
  for managing risks they        in DC plans                   funds with income
  are typically ill-equipped        – Automatic                guarantees
  to h dl
  t handle                            enrollment and
     – Investment risk                escalation             • Fewer portability
     – Longevity risk               – Portfolio                concerns: critical mass
                                      rebalancingg                            p
                                                               of recordkeepers
• For employers:                    – Investment defaults      participating in industry
  responsibility to offer           – Stable value             initiative to accommodate
  more robust DC plans to                                      income solutions
  fill the DB void             • H
                                 However, guaranteed
                                                  t d
                                 lifetime income solutions   • Additional safeguard
                                 are missing from most         developed to address
                                 DC plans                      insolvency, replaceability,
                                                                            y
                                                               and continuity

                                                                                                        12
                                                                         For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
        Executive   CFO perspectives on guaranteed lifetime income
        Forum


50% have already adopted or are                     Key factors that would drive companies to
likely to offer products that generate              adopt guaranteed lifetime income products
guaranteed lifetime income in the
next two years




Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies
with DB plans with $5 billion or more in assets.                                                                      13
                                                                                       For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
Executive
Forum




            Focus on Benefits Costs




                                                                     14
                                      For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
           Executive     CFO perspectives on managing benefits costs
           Forum


 Expected implications
    of healthcare
     legislation *




  Planned approaches
       to control
   healthcare costs *



                                                                                                          Percentage of plan
   Role of voluntary                                                                                      sponsors that rate
 benefits in managing                                                                                     as highly important
   benefits costs **


* Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies
  with DB plans with $5 billi or more i assets.
   ith     l     ith    billion       in     t

** Source: Prudential’s “Fifth Annual Study of Employee Benefits: Today and Beyond,” 2010.
   Survey results shown are based on companies of all sizes.                                                                     15
                                                                                                  For Financial Professional Use Only.
Senior
     Executive   Solutions for managing employee benefits offerings
     Forum




• Finance executives face a number of challenges related to
  employee benefits
     p y

• Employers express concerns about managing the rising cost of
  healthcare benefits, reducing DB risk, and ensuring employees are
  adequately prepared for retirement

• There is a wide range of solutions to help companies manage their
  employee benefits offerings, including the expansion of voluntary
    p y                     g           g      p                  y
  benefits

• Many employers are poised to consider adopting DB risk management
  strategies and adding guaranteed lifetime income options to DC plans




                                                                                             16
                                                              For Financial Professional Use Only.
Richard Farr
                                                          Head f P i
                                                          H d of Pensions Ad i
                                                                          Advisory, BDO




                             The Si ifi
                             Th Significance of 2/7/64 and i li ti
                                              f          d implications f
                                                                        for
                                           Pension De-Risking in the U.S.
                                                                     Confidential; notProfessional Use Only.
                                                                       For Financial for further distribution.
For Financial Professional Use Only.
The Beatles bring a UK Pop explosion to the U.S.

•   On February 7, 1964, the Beatles landed in New
    York for
    Y k f an appearance on Th Ed S lli
                                 The  Sullivan Sh
                                               Show
    and by 4 April 1964, the Beatles held twelve
    positions on the Billboard Hot 100 singles chart,
    including the top five positions
•   So started the British Pop explosion in the U.S.

•   40 years later the UK enacted a new pensions regulatory regime which aimed to give UK
    pension plans more control to maintain adequate funding
•   Today that regime has created an environment of higher funding targets and more control
    in the hands of the Pension Plan trustees, supported by a regulatory framework predicated
    on the threat of action
•   What started out as a well meaning attempt to protect ‘deferred pay’ has turned into a
    headache for many UK CEOs and CFOs…and its arrival in the U.S. is as inevitable as the
    Beatles in 1964



                                                                                         Page 18
The Employer’s position
•   Focus on cash
      •   Liabilities matter as deficits consume cash that could be generate better return
          on capital from internal projects or growth e g acquisitions
                                                      e.g.
      •   The UK Pensions Regulator has dramatically improved the funding regime of
          UK pension plans
      •   The U S eq i alent PPA f nding r les which strengthen f nding req irements in
               U.S. equivalent:     funding rules, hich         funding requirements
          the U.S., are fully phased-in beginning in 2011
•   Forecasting cash requirements (amount and timing) is very difficult
      •   Alternative sources of capital cannot b assumed t b f l available now
          Alt    ti            f    it l      t be      d to be freely il bl
      •   Under PPA, funding is essentially market-to-market, resulting in volatile,
          difficult to forecast contribution requirements
•   Accounting deficit is not a true reflection of the Employer’s f
                 f                     f         f                funding obligation
      •   IAS19 and FAS in the U.S. are at least regular and comparable
      •   What started out as a target has now become a minimum requirement……



                                                                                       Page 19
Shareholders and other Stakeholders
• Short-termism
    •   Shareholders typically focused on prospects over the next two years at most
        and believe pensions is a long term issue and will not bite short term
    •   Demographic change (e.g. longevity) will be the greatest long term impact, but
        is little understood and is not currently an easily tradable risk
• Analysts
    •   Very few analysts focus on pricing in pensions risk, therefore “off radar” for
        shareholders…but this is changing, increasingly the p
                                      g g,           gy       pension deficit ( a
                                                                              (on
        scheme funding, not an accounting basis) is treated as debt
• Banks/Debt Providers
    •   See pensions as a potential for profitable hedging business on a vast scale
    •   Bank providers are starting to treat pension plans as competing debt
        providers



                                                                                     Page 20
The investor’s position
• Increasing publicity of public pension deficits is increasing awareness
• Whether deb o equ y, s ou d as
    e e debt or equity, should ask:
    •   What is the pension deficit and on what basis (accounting, self
        sufficiency, buy-out)?
    •   What
        Wh t are th cash fl
                 the   h flow consequences/priorities?
                                          / i iti ?
    •   What risks are is the company exposed to?
    •   Can the risk be measured, managed or migrated?
                                ,     g        g
• IAS19 deficit is considered as debt, but is this the right number?
• Comparing total liability with market capitalisation indicates “pension
  leverage” and so sensitivity to a change in yields
  l       ” d              iti it t   h      i i ld
    •   Transparency is limited in current published information, it doesn’t help
        identify those companies that would benefit most from de-risking



                                                                                    Page 21
The Gorilla in the Garden (data) shed
• Investors hate uncertainty
• Corporate activity (M&A restructuring) means the valuation basis shifts
                     (M&A,
  to buy out pricing
    •   A peculiarly British problem!

• Solvency basis rarely assessed, even more rarely disclosed




                   IT’S A CASE OF MUSICAL CHAIRS –
        THE MUSIC WILL STOP AS SOON AS THE ANALYSTS WAKE UP


                                                                       Page 22
Pension Risk Quadrants© - A cash flow pipeline
Unrewarded Risks                                               Obligation Risk

• Interest rates                                               • Shock factor of
• Longevity                                                      Regulator change
                                                                 R    l t   h
• Inflation                                                    • Cost of compliance
                                                               • Wide reaching
                                                                 powers
                                                               • Unintended
                                                                 consequences

    MIGRATE                                                     UNDERSTAND

The most important                                             Rewarded Risks
risk
• Underwriting:                                                • Risk seeking
  — Benefit promise                                            • Duration matching
  — Asset                                                      • Liability Driven
     performance                                                 Investing
• Non pension risk                                             • Dynamic Asset
• Should determine                                               Allocation
  prudency adopted by
  Actuary
• Mitigation = risk
   DETERMINE
  reduction             PENSION RISK INTEGRATION – JOINED UP       MANAGE
                                      APPROACH


                                                                                      Page 23
Is the music stopping now?
• Latest regulatory pronouncements would point towards this.....


• Super priority for pension plans is the new reality….
    •   e.g. Nortel: court judgement that the pension deficit ranks as an expense of the
        administration not an unsecured claim



• S l
  Solvency II impacts e.g. impact on Banks and I
              i    t       i    t    B k     d Insurers with DB pension
                                                         ith        i
  plans
    •   When is the general market going to adopt the same approach for the same risk?




                                                                                           Page 24
We can’t just do what we’ve always done
                                          1. Understand liability cash flows
                                          2. Ensure assumptions are fit for
                                             purpose
                                          3. Forward planning – short, medium
                                             and long term strategies
                                                    g            g
                                          4. Reduce liabilities first
                                          5. Long-term risk plan requires
                                             co-ordination of asset and liability
                                                   di ti    f     t d li bilit
                                             strategies
                                          6. De-risking often requires cash, but
                                             there are clear benefits
                                             th         l    b   fit
                                          7. Employer Covenant - risk or
 PENSION RISK IS ASYMMETRIC – IGNORE IT
                                             opportunity? – treat it as part of the
             AT YOUR PERIL
                                             investment strategy

                                                                               Page 25
A new paradigm
• The pension problem is a multi-faceted combination of long-term
  financial uncertainties and shorter term market sentiment
• Investment volatility arises from non-core operations managed
  inconsistently with wider ERM approaches
    •   Few companies were established as i
        F            i          t bli h d insurance risk
                                                     i k
        carriers/asset managers

• Shareholder value will be created from stabilising cash flows – the
  “certainty premium”
• This requires a clear pension risk transfer plan
    •   Communicated and executed
        C     i t d d         t d
    •   There will never be a better time to start!




                                                                        Page 26
What can Pensions learn from The Beatles?

Do You Want to              Current accounting measures do not accurately represent the
Know a Secret?
K      S     t?             economic reality of pensions
                                    i   lit f       i

Twist and                   Pension volatility is already impacting the balance sheet of
Shout                       U.S. corporations, the income statement is next

I Want to Hold              A more robust regulatory framework, that embraces economic
Your Hand                   risk may be inevitable

Boy, you re
Boy you’re going to         Pensions will weigh on the bottom line of companies who don’t
                                                                                    don t
“Carry That Weight”         thoughtfully address their pension risk

                            By setting out a thoughtful plan, many companies can add
We Can Work it Out
                            value by de risking today A brighter future awaits
                                     de-risking today.


Employers should act now to prepare for a UK style pension explosion:
De-risk unrewarded risks and manage rewarded risks to close the p
                                  g                             pension deficit



                                                                                       Page 27
Important notes
Whilst all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation of this presentation
no liability is accepted under any circumstances by BDO LLP for any loss or
damage occurring as a result of reliance on any statement, opinion, or any error or
d                i           lt f li               t t    t   i i
omission contained herein. Any statement or opinion unless otherwise stated
should not be construed as independent research and reflects our understanding
of current or proposed legislation and regulation which may change without notice
                                                                            notice.
The content of this document should not be regarded as specific advice in relation
to the matters addressed.




                                                                               Page 28
Rohail Khan
                               Executive Managing Di t
                               E    ti M       i Director,
                              ACS Human Resource Services
                                          A Xerox Company




Healthcare R f
H lth      Reform and th U of T h l
                    d the Use f Technology t
                                           to
                       Manage Employer Costs
                                        Confidential; notProfessional Use Only.
                                          For Financial for further distribution.
Paul Rogers
 Executive Vice P id t &
 E    ti Vi President
    Chief Operating Officer
           Pacific Resources




Audience Q&A
        Confidential; notProfessional Use Only.
          For Financial for further distribution.
Paul Rogers
   Executive Vice P id t &
   E    ti Vi President
      Chief Operating Officer
             Pacific Resources




Closing Remarks
          Confidential; notProfessional Use Only.
            For Financial for further distribution.
Prudential is not affiliated with ACS Human Resource Services, BDO or Pacific Resources.

Prudential, the Prudential logo and th R k symbol are service marks of P d ti l Fi
P d ti l th P d ti l l            d the Rock  b l         i      k f Prudential Financial, I
                                                                                      i l Inc. and it related entities,
                                                                                                 d its l t d titi
registered in many jurisdictions worldwide.

For Financial Professional Use Only.

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2011 Senior Executive Forum Final Presentation

  • 1. 0194866-00007-01 Confidential; notProfessional Use Only. For Financial for further distribution. For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 2. Opening Remarks Paul Rogers, EVP & COO, Pacific Resources Managing Employee Benefits in a Challenging Environment Charles Lowrey, EVP & COO, U.S. Businesses, Prudential The Significance of 2/7/64 and the Implications of Pension De-risking in the U.S. Richard Farr, Head of Pensions Advisory, BDO Healthcare Reform and the Use of Technology to Manage Employer Costs Rohail Khan Executive Managing Director, ACS, Human Resource Services, A Xerox Company Khan, Director ACS Services Audience Q&A Paul Rogers, EVP & COO, Pacific Resources Closing R Cl i Remarksk Paul Rogers, EVP & COO, Pacific Resources For Financial Professional Use Only. For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 3. Charles Lowrey Executive Vice P id t & E ti Vi President Chief Operating Officer, U.S. Businesses Prudential Financial, Inc. Managing E l M i Employee B Benefits fit in a Challenging Environment Confidential; notProfessional Use Only. For Financial for further distribution. For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 4. Senior What senior finance executives are saying Executive Forum about managing employee benefits Playing more of a role in benefits decisions Increased focus on pension benefits risk management Reliance on DC plans for employees’ retirement p y savings and income Increased focus on cost of benefits, particularly b fit ti l l healthcare costs Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies with DB plans with $5 billion or more in assets. 4 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 5. Senior Executive Forum Increased Focus on Pension Benefits Risk Management M t 5 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 6. Senior Executive Increased focus on pension benefits risk management Forum Drivers of i Di f increased focus df Implications for companies I li ti f i by finance executives Funding • 54% of finance executives • Stiffer funding requirements report that their companies are h h i i introduced by 2006 Pension either likely to increase, or have Protection Act (PPA) already increased, contributions • Although conditions are to close a funding gap improving, the financial crisis continues to have an impact on DB plans Accounting • Increases in financial statement • Funding status appears on the volatility affect a company’s: ff ’ corporate balance sheet – no – Stock price longer relegated to footnotes – Beta • FASB is likely to reconsider – Cost of capital p pension smoothing rules in favor of mark-to-market accounting, • Risk management strategies which would increase income more important statement volatility Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies 6 with DB plans with $5 billion or more in assets. For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 7. Senior Executive Current environment for pension risk transfer Forum The environment has changed You wouldn’t acquire a pension plan • Balance sheet volatility is here • Pensions are not a core business • Income statement volatility is for most companies inevitable • Rating agencies and equity analysts • PPA funding rules shift focus to view pension underfunding as debt short-term investment results • Company stock prices incorporate • PPA allows employer to fully fund pension risk plan on a tax deductible basis • Financial leverage is better taken elsewhere Value is attractive Waiting entails risk • First-mover pricing is available today • Waiting for the “right” interest rate • Attractive borrowing rates mitigate environment to execute a risk transfer concerns about Buy-In or Buy-Out strategy raises the challenge of how to costs in a low interest rate invest assets in the meantime environment • Capacity is available today, but may not be tomorrow • The market is beginning to move 7 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 8. Senior Executive Range of solutions to mitigate or transfer risk in DB plans Forum Buy-out Buy-in • Liability transferred to insurance company • A guaranteed annuity • Settles a plan asset with a market value sponsor’s obligation p g Liability Driven Investing to match the value of a (LDI) –Does trigger Funding liability settlement accounting • An investor’s approach –Insurance contract insulation that correlates version of LDI investments in a DB plan –Does not disrupt current to the liabilities in the funded status plan –Liability remains on plan –Imperfect hedge sponsor's balance sheet –Credit and duration risk –Revocable – does not • Liability remains on plan trigger settlement gg sponsor's balance sheet accounting Cost Annual One time One time premium management fee premium + Settlement charge 8 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 9. Senior Executive Developing a long-term pension risk transfer strategy Forum • DB plan sponsors are monitoring the capital markets to determine when favorable pricing exists to implement a buy-in, possibly as a transition to a buy-out • Pricing varies by plan population and is a function of mortality, interest rates, and investment spreads • Liability tranches (portions of the plan population) should be selected in a strategic manner • Develop • Price • Transition buy-in or assets buy-out • Market rates strategy and spreads • Identify Work Determine Prepare insurer(s) with • Identify action • Settlement to actuaries tranches to triggers charge transact • Establish transfer terms • Impact on • Prepare investment • Monitor the data return market 9 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 10. Senior Executive CFO perspectives on pension risk management Forum Likelihood of adopting DB Key factors that would drive risk management strategies companies to transfer DB risk in next two years Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies with DB plans with $5 billion or more in assets. 10 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 11. Senior Executive Forum Shift from DB to DC Plans 11 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 12. Senior Executive Shift from DB to DC plans Forum Solutions for creating Implications of shift from Guaranteed income trends more DB-like outcomes DB to DC plans in large plan market from DC plans • For individuals: • Several solutions have • Accelerated demand to increasing responsibility been firmly established augment target date for managing risks they in DC plans funds with income are typically ill-equipped – Automatic guarantees to h dl t handle enrollment and – Investment risk escalation • Fewer portability – Longevity risk – Portfolio concerns: critical mass rebalancingg p of recordkeepers • For employers: – Investment defaults participating in industry responsibility to offer – Stable value initiative to accommodate more robust DC plans to income solutions fill the DB void • H However, guaranteed t d lifetime income solutions • Additional safeguard are missing from most developed to address DC plans insolvency, replaceability, y and continuity 12 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 13. Senior Executive CFO perspectives on guaranteed lifetime income Forum 50% have already adopted or are Key factors that would drive companies to likely to offer products that generate adopt guaranteed lifetime income products guaranteed lifetime income in the next two years Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies with DB plans with $5 billion or more in assets. 13 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 14. Senior Executive Forum Focus on Benefits Costs 14 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 15. Senior Executive CFO perspectives on managing benefits costs Forum Expected implications of healthcare legislation * Planned approaches to control healthcare costs * Percentage of plan Role of voluntary sponsors that rate benefits in managing as highly important benefits costs ** * Source: 2010 Prudential Financial survey of CFOs. Survey results shown are based on companies with DB plans with $5 billi or more i assets. ith l ith billion in t ** Source: Prudential’s “Fifth Annual Study of Employee Benefits: Today and Beyond,” 2010. Survey results shown are based on companies of all sizes. 15 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 16. Senior Executive Solutions for managing employee benefits offerings Forum • Finance executives face a number of challenges related to employee benefits p y • Employers express concerns about managing the rising cost of healthcare benefits, reducing DB risk, and ensuring employees are adequately prepared for retirement • There is a wide range of solutions to help companies manage their employee benefits offerings, including the expansion of voluntary p y g g p y benefits • Many employers are poised to consider adopting DB risk management strategies and adding guaranteed lifetime income options to DC plans 16 For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 17. Richard Farr Head f P i H d of Pensions Ad i Advisory, BDO The Si ifi Th Significance of 2/7/64 and i li ti f d implications f for Pension De-Risking in the U.S. Confidential; notProfessional Use Only. For Financial for further distribution. For Financial Professional Use Only.
  • 18. The Beatles bring a UK Pop explosion to the U.S. • On February 7, 1964, the Beatles landed in New York for Y k f an appearance on Th Ed S lli The Sullivan Sh Show and by 4 April 1964, the Beatles held twelve positions on the Billboard Hot 100 singles chart, including the top five positions • So started the British Pop explosion in the U.S. • 40 years later the UK enacted a new pensions regulatory regime which aimed to give UK pension plans more control to maintain adequate funding • Today that regime has created an environment of higher funding targets and more control in the hands of the Pension Plan trustees, supported by a regulatory framework predicated on the threat of action • What started out as a well meaning attempt to protect ‘deferred pay’ has turned into a headache for many UK CEOs and CFOs…and its arrival in the U.S. is as inevitable as the Beatles in 1964 Page 18
  • 19. The Employer’s position • Focus on cash • Liabilities matter as deficits consume cash that could be generate better return on capital from internal projects or growth e g acquisitions e.g. • The UK Pensions Regulator has dramatically improved the funding regime of UK pension plans • The U S eq i alent PPA f nding r les which strengthen f nding req irements in U.S. equivalent: funding rules, hich funding requirements the U.S., are fully phased-in beginning in 2011 • Forecasting cash requirements (amount and timing) is very difficult • Alternative sources of capital cannot b assumed t b f l available now Alt ti f it l t be d to be freely il bl • Under PPA, funding is essentially market-to-market, resulting in volatile, difficult to forecast contribution requirements • Accounting deficit is not a true reflection of the Employer’s f f f f funding obligation • IAS19 and FAS in the U.S. are at least regular and comparable • What started out as a target has now become a minimum requirement…… Page 19
  • 20. Shareholders and other Stakeholders • Short-termism • Shareholders typically focused on prospects over the next two years at most and believe pensions is a long term issue and will not bite short term • Demographic change (e.g. longevity) will be the greatest long term impact, but is little understood and is not currently an easily tradable risk • Analysts • Very few analysts focus on pricing in pensions risk, therefore “off radar” for shareholders…but this is changing, increasingly the p g g, gy pension deficit ( a (on scheme funding, not an accounting basis) is treated as debt • Banks/Debt Providers • See pensions as a potential for profitable hedging business on a vast scale • Bank providers are starting to treat pension plans as competing debt providers Page 20
  • 21. The investor’s position • Increasing publicity of public pension deficits is increasing awareness • Whether deb o equ y, s ou d as e e debt or equity, should ask: • What is the pension deficit and on what basis (accounting, self sufficiency, buy-out)? • What Wh t are th cash fl the h flow consequences/priorities? / i iti ? • What risks are is the company exposed to? • Can the risk be measured, managed or migrated? , g g • IAS19 deficit is considered as debt, but is this the right number? • Comparing total liability with market capitalisation indicates “pension leverage” and so sensitivity to a change in yields l ” d iti it t h i i ld • Transparency is limited in current published information, it doesn’t help identify those companies that would benefit most from de-risking Page 21
  • 22. The Gorilla in the Garden (data) shed • Investors hate uncertainty • Corporate activity (M&A restructuring) means the valuation basis shifts (M&A, to buy out pricing • A peculiarly British problem! • Solvency basis rarely assessed, even more rarely disclosed IT’S A CASE OF MUSICAL CHAIRS – THE MUSIC WILL STOP AS SOON AS THE ANALYSTS WAKE UP Page 22
  • 23. Pension Risk Quadrants© - A cash flow pipeline Unrewarded Risks Obligation Risk • Interest rates • Shock factor of • Longevity Regulator change R l t h • Inflation • Cost of compliance • Wide reaching powers • Unintended consequences MIGRATE UNDERSTAND The most important Rewarded Risks risk • Underwriting: • Risk seeking — Benefit promise • Duration matching — Asset • Liability Driven performance Investing • Non pension risk • Dynamic Asset • Should determine Allocation prudency adopted by Actuary • Mitigation = risk DETERMINE reduction PENSION RISK INTEGRATION – JOINED UP MANAGE APPROACH Page 23
  • 24. Is the music stopping now? • Latest regulatory pronouncements would point towards this..... • Super priority for pension plans is the new reality…. • e.g. Nortel: court judgement that the pension deficit ranks as an expense of the administration not an unsecured claim • S l Solvency II impacts e.g. impact on Banks and I i t i t B k d Insurers with DB pension ith i plans • When is the general market going to adopt the same approach for the same risk? Page 24
  • 25. We can’t just do what we’ve always done 1. Understand liability cash flows 2. Ensure assumptions are fit for purpose 3. Forward planning – short, medium and long term strategies g g 4. Reduce liabilities first 5. Long-term risk plan requires co-ordination of asset and liability di ti f t d li bilit strategies 6. De-risking often requires cash, but there are clear benefits th l b fit 7. Employer Covenant - risk or PENSION RISK IS ASYMMETRIC – IGNORE IT opportunity? – treat it as part of the AT YOUR PERIL investment strategy Page 25
  • 26. A new paradigm • The pension problem is a multi-faceted combination of long-term financial uncertainties and shorter term market sentiment • Investment volatility arises from non-core operations managed inconsistently with wider ERM approaches • Few companies were established as i F i t bli h d insurance risk i k carriers/asset managers • Shareholder value will be created from stabilising cash flows – the “certainty premium” • This requires a clear pension risk transfer plan • Communicated and executed C i t d d t d • There will never be a better time to start! Page 26
  • 27. What can Pensions learn from The Beatles? Do You Want to Current accounting measures do not accurately represent the Know a Secret? K S t? economic reality of pensions i lit f i Twist and Pension volatility is already impacting the balance sheet of Shout U.S. corporations, the income statement is next I Want to Hold A more robust regulatory framework, that embraces economic Your Hand risk may be inevitable Boy, you re Boy you’re going to Pensions will weigh on the bottom line of companies who don’t don t “Carry That Weight” thoughtfully address their pension risk By setting out a thoughtful plan, many companies can add We Can Work it Out value by de risking today A brighter future awaits de-risking today. Employers should act now to prepare for a UK style pension explosion: De-risk unrewarded risks and manage rewarded risks to close the p g pension deficit Page 27
  • 28. Important notes Whilst all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation of this presentation no liability is accepted under any circumstances by BDO LLP for any loss or damage occurring as a result of reliance on any statement, opinion, or any error or d i lt f li t t t i i omission contained herein. Any statement or opinion unless otherwise stated should not be construed as independent research and reflects our understanding of current or proposed legislation and regulation which may change without notice notice. The content of this document should not be regarded as specific advice in relation to the matters addressed. Page 28
  • 29. Rohail Khan Executive Managing Di t E ti M i Director, ACS Human Resource Services A Xerox Company Healthcare R f H lth Reform and th U of T h l d the Use f Technology t to Manage Employer Costs Confidential; notProfessional Use Only. For Financial for further distribution.
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  • 42. Paul Rogers Executive Vice P id t & E ti Vi President Chief Operating Officer Pacific Resources Audience Q&A Confidential; notProfessional Use Only. For Financial for further distribution.
  • 43. Paul Rogers Executive Vice P id t & E ti Vi President Chief Operating Officer Pacific Resources Closing Remarks Confidential; notProfessional Use Only. For Financial for further distribution.
  • 44. Prudential is not affiliated with ACS Human Resource Services, BDO or Pacific Resources. Prudential, the Prudential logo and th R k symbol are service marks of P d ti l Fi P d ti l th P d ti l l d the Rock b l i k f Prudential Financial, I i l Inc. and it related entities, d its l t d titi registered in many jurisdictions worldwide. For Financial Professional Use Only.