2. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
4Q 2012 Macro Highlights
• Global economic growth remained fragile, policy interventions played a key role in investor confidence
• Politics: Obama reelected - the ‘fiscal cliff’still needs to be addressed and Chinese leadership changed – eyes on
economic growth
Low interest rate – low
• Spain, France and Hungary faced rating downgrades, ECB approved aid to Spanish banks
growth environment
• Eurozone growth forecasts were cut –only policy response expected from the ECB remains via the Outright
Monetary Transactions (OMT)
• Oil remained flattish as gold lost value of c.a. 5%
• Turkish economy grew by 1.6% in 3Q12, below expectations-- indicators sign a continuous contribution from
foreign demand with a deceleration and weak domestic demand in the last quarter.
• Current account deficit continued to narrow to US$ 51.9 billion as of Nov’12 while there might be signals for
the reacceleration.
Successful rebalancing • Annual inflation reached 6.16% as unprocessed food prices lowered the total inflation during the whole year
amid a soft landing with low levels.
earning investment • CBRT lowered upper band of the corridor gradually from 10% to 9% leaving lower band of corridor unchanged
at 5% and cut the policy rate by 25bps to 5.5% in December.
grade by Fitch
• CBRT continued to utilize multiple tools in order to support financial stability -- increased reserve requirement
(RR) on FC liabilities and Reserve Option Coefficients (ROCs) for holding FC and gold instead of TL.
• CBRT remaines firmly focused on financial stability and continues to take measures aimed at, on the one hand,
reducing the appreciation pressure on TL and, on the other, controlling credit growth to ensure that the
ongoing economic recovery remains “balanced”.
• After having appreciated by 4%, 1%, 2% against the currency basket in 3 consecutive quarters, TL depreciated
by 1.5% in 4Q12.
• Benchmark bond yield, on a monthly average basis, declined to 6.4% in 4Q from 7.6% in 3Q12.
2
3. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
2012 Highlights
Leveraging reduced share of securities with higher yielding loans
Selective lending strategy
Increasingly • Healthy market share gains ytd in key profitable products: Mortgages, GPLs and Auto loans
customer-driven • Rational pricing stance - Intentional market share loss in TL commercial loans & some retail products
in 4Q
asset mix • Revival of FX lending in 2H12 w/ increasing demand - driven by working capital & investment loans
Timely managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge for volatility
Solid, deposit-heavy and actively managed funding mix
• Reigned by mass deposits: SME+Consumer: 66% of total deposits
• Proven success in attracting demand deposits : 22% of total customer deposits
Liquid, low risk & • Ability to access alternative funding sources: Repos & money market borrowings, foreign funding,
bonds
well-capitalized
Risk-return balance priority
balance sheet • NPL ratio sliding upwards, as expected -- yet, at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly due to non-recurring
NPL inflows
• Sustained strong coverage and provisioning levels
Further strengthened capital base mirroring the high internal capital generation capability
• Basel II CAR: 17%, Leverage:7x
Healthy profit
generation based on Comparable1 net profit up by 23% y-o-y-- ROAE: 19%; ROAA: 2.2%,
Expanding margins q-o-q & y-o-y -- result of effective management of asset/liability mix
strong core banking Growth momentum sustained on a comparable basis2 despite the highest base in Net F&Cs
income and efficient Commitment to strict cost discipline
cost management • Uninterrupted investment in distribution network while preserving highest efficiencies
1 Comparable refering to «Business as Usual». Please follow the detailed analysis in slide 4
2 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012 3
4. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Results underscore the sound core banking performance…
Net Income (TL Million)
2012
60 80 25 3,729
3,362 252 + Improving Core Banking
Revenues
• NII exc. CPI linkers: +26% yoy
• Continuously growing fee base
on a comparable basis4
• BaU Gross CoR <100bps ,
as expected
Reported Net One-off effect Additional Other NPL Sale ADJ. Net
Income on specific General Prov.2
Provisions 3 Income Business As Usual* Prudent provisioning
prov. 1
(Checks)
Net Income - pressured profitability
2011 up by 23%
43
y-o-y
3,346 188 73 90 162 85
+ BaU* ROAE: 18.9%
3,030
Reported ROAE: 17.0%
BaU* ROAA: 2.2%
+ Reported ROAA: 2.0%
Reported Regulatory One-off Free NPL Sale Eureko, Subsidiary ADJ. Net
Net Income effect on effect on Provisions Mastercard Valuation Income
fees 4 specific & Visa
prov.1 stake sale
*Business as Usual = Excluding non-recurring items and the regulatory effects in the P&L
1 Provisions (post-tax) resulting from non-recurring NPL inflows related to a few commercial files w/ strong collateralization: 4Q12: TL173mn; 3Q12:11mn; 2Q12: TL42mn & TL26mn for alignment of coverage ratio to pre-NPL sale level; 4Q11: TL73mn. 4
2 Additional general provisions, defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years. 3 Provisions for the potential default risk of
check customers 4 Assuming consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
5. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
…and higher provisioning in 4Q, due to prudent provisioning
Quarterly Net Income (TL million)
(TL Million) 4Q 12 3Q 12 D QoQ Increasing LtD spread coupled w/
declining costs of other funding
(+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers 1,462 1,263 16% sources drived NII growth
1Q12: 962
Quarterly drop due to timing
(+) Net fees and comm. 492 547 -10% of account maintenance fees
Specific & General Prov.
2Q12: 820 (-) - exc. regulatory & one-offs effects -270 -257 5% BaU CoR at <100 bps
IMPROVED CORE BANKING
= CORE BANKING REVENUES 1,684 1,553 8% PERFORMANCE
3Q12: 824 (+) Income on CPI linkers
Contribution by the soaring CPI
NI Growth - 8% 602 30 n.m linker yields in 4Q --to 27% from
1.4% in 3Q12
*BaU: +8% (+) Collections
25 52 -51% Collections picking up pace
4Q12: 756 (+) Trading & FX gains
in 2013
-7 468 -102% Lower trading gains after
strong profit realizations in 3Q
(+) Other income 134 103 30%
(-) OPEX -1,135 -1,014 12% As guided
2012: 3,362 (-) Other provisions -25 -17 50%
(-) Taxation -297 -251 18%
= *BaU NET INCOME
GENERATION OF
(exc. regulatory & one-off prov.) 987 918 8% SOLID RESULTS
(-) Additional General Prov.
for loans before 2006 -60 0 n.m
(-) Free Provision 82 -82 n.m.
(-) One-off on specific prov. -173 -11 n.m
(-) Other Provisions (checks) -80 0 n.m.
= NET INCOME
756 824 -8%
*Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and regulatory effects in the P&L
5
7. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Strategically managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge
for volatility
Total Securities (TL billion) TL Securities (TL billion)
Securities2/Assets
9% 18%
37.0
41.0
15%
41.3
14%
39.3 40.4
10%
20%
9% 34.8 35.7 35.6 36.3
17% 30.7
down from 21% at 9M12
(5%) 3% 13% 3% (0%) 2%
11% 1%
91% CPI: CPI:
85% 86% 90% CPI: CPI:
CPI: 31% 32%
83% 32%
29% 28%
FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRN mix1 in total
29% 30% 30% 30% 30%
2011 1Q12 2Q12
TL FC
3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 62%
Total Securities Composition FC Securities (USD billion) up from 58% at 2011
(31%)
3.4 3.5
3.1
AFS 95.4%
Trading 1.2%
2.3
HTM 3.4%
(10%) 2.1
4%
(34%)
12%
FRNs: FRNs: FRNs:
30% 33% FRNs: FRNs:
Unrealized gain 31%
53% 52%
as of December-end ~TL 1.2bn1
2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012
1 Based on bank-only MIS data
2 Excluding accruals 7
Note: Fixed / Floating breakdown of securities portfolio is based on bank-only MIS data
8. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Selective lending continues on high yielding products
Total Loan1 Growth & Loans by LOB2 (TL million)
10% TL Loans1 FC Loans1(in US$)
16% 9%
3%
5% 2%
90.3
1%
90.9
95.1
96.9
99.5
50.0 51.2
55.2 56.7
3%
58.1
+ 23.5
16.5% 21.6 22.6 22.4 22.7
15.9% 3% 3%
18.2% 16.0% 1%
Corporate 16.3% 8%
2% (-1%)
4%
37.9% 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012
39.5% 39.4% 39.0% 38.3%
Commercial
• Lucrative retail products • Slight pick-up in 2H12 driven
13.4% 12.8% 12.1%
SME 11.8% 12.8% continued to be the front- by working capital &
12.4% 13.0% 13.1% runner in TL lending growth investment loans
Credit Cards 11.9% 12.2%
19.2% 20.1% 20.5% • Intentional market share loss • Demand in FC loans is
Consumer 18.5% 19.3%
in TL commercial lending -- expected to revive in 2013
2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 dragged down total TL loan
growth
TL (% in total) 55% 56% 58% 58% 58%
Market share3: 10.8% at 2012 Market share 3 : 18.3% at 2012
FC (% in total) 45% 44% 42% 42% 42% vs.11.0% in 3Q12 & 11.3% in 2011 vs.18.5% in 3Q12 & 18.5% in 2011
US$/TL 1.865 1.760 1.780 1.772 1.760
1 Performing cash loans
2 Based on bank-only MIS data 8
3 Based on bank-only financials for fair comparison with sector. Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only
9. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Retail lending strategy feeding through to healthy market share gains in
key profitable products
Retail Loans1 (TL billion) Mortgage (TL billion)
17% 17%
45.4
46.9 • Rational pricing stance
43.7 11.9
40.2 41.2
10.2 10.3 10.7 11.2
0.9 supporting margins
12.5 12.5 0.6 0.6
12.5 0.6 0.6
11.0 11.4
6% 4% 3% 1% 4% 4% 6% • Generating cross-sell &
3%
10.5 11.0 increasing customer
34.4 9.6 9.7 10.1
29.8 31.2 32.9 retention
29.2
2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012
Consumer Loans Commercial Installment Loans
Auto Loan (TL billion) General Purpose Loan5 (TL billion) Market Shares2,3
11% 16%
YTD Dec’ 12 Rank4
2.8 18.0 19.0 19.5 20.0
17.3 Mortgage 13.5% #1
9.2 9.2
8.7 9.3
3.2 3.3 3.1 8.3 Auto 16.1% #3
2.8 2.8
2% 3%
2.1 2.1 1.8 4% 6% General
1.7 1.7 10.7% #2
Purpose5
1% 15% 1% (5%) 9.3 9.7 10.3 10.8
8.9
1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 Retail1 12.8% #2
2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012
1 Including consumer, commercial installment, overdraft accounts, credit cards and other
2 Including consumer and commercial installment loans
3 Based on bank-only financials for fair comparison with sector. Sector figures are based on bank-only BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
9
4 As of 9M12 among private banks 5 Including other loans and overdrafts
10. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Solid market presence in credit cards
-- good contibutor to sustainable revenues
Issuing Volume (TL billion) Acquiring Volume (TL billion)
#1 in card business
18% 19% Per Debit Card Spending
69.9
64.6
58.6
~2.5x the sector
54.9 ... with the ultimate aim of creating
cashless society
Per Card Spending (TL, Dec’122)
9,600
9,075
Garanti Sector
2011 2012 2011 2012
No. of Credit Cards (thousand) Credit Card Balances (TL billion) Market Shares
20%
YTD ∆ 2012 Rank
11.5 12.0
544 10.8 Acquiring
10.0 10.1 -78 bps 19.2% #1
(Cumulative)
9,088
8,544 Issuing -102 bps 17.9% #1
(Cumulative)
6% 4%
7%
1%
# of CCs +9 bps 16.7% #1
POS1 +19 bps 17.7% #1
ATM -41 bps 9.7% #3*
2011 2012 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2012
1 Excluding shared POS
2 Annualized
*Among private banks 10
Note: All figures are per bank-only data except for credit card balances
11. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
NPL ratio sliding upwards as expected -- yet at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly
driven by non-recurring NPL inflows due to a few commercial files
Net Quarterly NPLs (TL billion) NPL Categorisation1
NPL inflows resulting from
408 few commercial files with
strong collateralization;
Retail Banking
4Q12
(Consumer & SME Personal) Increasing retail NPL
276 246 Garanti: TL 176mn
Romania: TL 70mn 23% of total loans inflow in-line with soft
29 54
402 2 3Q12 lending in the economy
59 52
60 GBI: TL 54mn 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% • low-ticket items
242
72
264
2Q12 • recoveries are very
233 Garanti: TL 60mn 1.6% 1.7% 1.8%
167 168 1.6% strong
New NPL
Collections -43 -75
-106 -111 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12
Write-off -83
-1803 NPL sale
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12
Credit Cards
NPL Ratio1 Significant NPL sales in
13% of total loans
the sector dragged
Global Crisis & 5.8% down sector’s NPL
Hard Lending
Recovery Soft Lending 5.4%
5.2% 5.2% ratio
5.8%
Garanti
(Cons.) 2.4% 4.1% 3.1% 2.1% 2.6% 4.8% 5.0% 4.9%
5.9%
4.6% 4.1%
3.9% 3.7% 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12
4.8%
3.4% 3.0%
2.7% 2.4%
5.2% Business Banking
3.6% (Including SME Business) NPL inflows related
3.4% 64% of total loans
4.3% 2.6% 2.8% to a few commercial
2.8% 2.7% files hit 4Q
2.9% 2.3% 2.5% 2.4%
2.4% 1.8% -- collections expected
1.8% in 2013
1.3% 1.4% 1.5%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Garanti Sector 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12
Garanti excld.NPL sales & write-offs* Sector w/ no NPL sales & write-offs*
1 NPL ratio and NPL categorisation for Garanti and sector figures are per BRSA bank-only data for fair comparison
2 NPL inflow from Romanian subsidiary 3 Garanti NPL sale amounts TL218 mn, of which TL188 mn relates to NPL portfolio with 100% coverage and the remaining TL31 mn being from the previously written-off NPLs
* Adjusted with write-offs in 2008,2009,2010,2011 & 2012 Source: BRSA, TBA & CBT 11
12. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Extraordinary increase in provisions, due to regulatory requirements &
non- recurring NPL inflows, temporarily lifting the CoR level to >100bps
Quarterly Loan-Loss Provisions (TL million) Cumulative Gross Cost of Risk (bps)
Coverage Ratio
Mar 12 June 12 Sept 12 Dec 12 128
97
Sector1 82% 81% 75% 76% 87
Garanti 81% 81% 81% 81%
47 89
Garanti 79% 78% 77% 78% 83
(Cons.) 69
47
*NPL inflows resulting 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12
from few commercial Garanti: TL 52mn GBI: TL 14mn Garanti: TL 141mn
files with strong Additional Romania: TL 70mn 3M12 6M12 9M12 2012
collateralization; provisions of GBI: TL 6mn
TL32mn set aside
for alignment of
coverage ratio to
541 Cumulative CoR Cumulative CoR
pre-NPL sale level
(exc. regulatory & one-off effects)
217*
297
278
52* 14*
157
Strong coverage Cumulative CoR
32*
ratio sustained at
108
194
602
89bps
105
161
106
81% per bank-only excluding
regulatory & one-off effects
52 70
vs. sector’s 76%1
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 78% per consolidated figures
General Specific
1 Sector figures are per BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
2 Additional general provisions, defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years 12
13. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Solid and actively managed funding mix -- Reigned by customer deposits
& reinforced with alternative funding sources
Composition of Liabilities
- Double digit annual growth in
avg. total deposits was
Other 7.6% 8.0% 8.5% hampered with last two weeks’
SHE 10.9% 11.9% 12.0%
deposit run-off, due to intensified
pricing competition
Demand Deposits 12.4% 11.9%
+ Opportunistic utilization
12.2%
Funding base of repos & money market borrowings,
foreign funding including the largest
IBL: reinforced with ever non-sovereign Eurobond out of
44.3% 69% 45.4% IBL: 41.9%
Time Deposits
68% IBL: alternative Turkey amounting US$1.3bn
with the lowest coupon rate
67% funding sources
Bonds Issued 2.2% 3.3%
Repos 7.2%
3.5%
4.7% 7.8% + ~US$ 1.1bn
15.3%
syndication roll-over at the
14.6% 14.2%
Funds Borrowed lowest cost in 2012
2011 3Q12 2012 + ~TL 2bn
Total Deposits (TL billion) TL bond roll-over
5%
(2%) Comfortable level of LtD ratio
93.2 97.0 99.7 97.8
92.6 Loans/Deposits ~102% vs. 97% in 3Q12
49% 49% 48% 47% 49% FC
5%2 3%2 (1%)2 4%2 LtD ratio slightly heading north in 4Q, due to:
• Rational pricing stance in deposits -- supported
(6%) with healthy B/S structure enabling access to
7%
(0%) 5% 53% TL alternative funding sources
51% 51% 52% 51%
Loans / Deposits
adj. w/ merchant payables1
~98%
2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2012
1 Payables from credit card transactions. Please refer to footnote 5.2.4.3 miscellaneous payables as per BRSA Consolidated financial report
2 Growth in USD terms 13
14. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Increasingly customer-driven deposit base bolstered by the success in
attracting demand deposits
Deposits by LOB1 (Excluding bank deposits) Demand Deposits (TL billion)
8%
16.3% 14.2% 13.2%
6%
21.9
20.3 20.6
21.3% 20.4% 20.0 1.3
20.9% 0.8 18.3 0.9 0.8
0.5
16.4% 16.4%
16.0%
19.5 19.1 19.8 20.6
17.8
Corporate
Commercial 50.0%
48.1%
46.8%
SME 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2012
Consumer
Bank Deposits Customer Deposits
2011 3Q12 2012 Sustained solid demand deposits
Customer Demand Deposits /
Consumer+SME /Total Deposits Total Customer Deposits: 21% vs. Sector’s 18%2 22%
Capturing a per bank-only figures
66%
wider customer 65% Customer demand deposits
base 63%
market share2 13.5%
1 Based on bank-only MIS data
2 Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only 14
15. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Improving core spreads…
Loan Yields & Deposit Costs (Quarterly)1
Loan Yields (Quarterly Averages)
LtD spread qoq:
+~85bps improvement
16.0% 16.1% 15.9% 15.4% TL Yield
5.5% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7%
FC Yield
Retail loan yields
1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 4Q 12
remain resilient q-o-q,
limiting the negative effect
from declining rates in TL
Cost of Deposits (Quarterly Averages)
= commercial lending
10.5% 10.4%
9.8%
8.1%
9.0% 8.9%
8.4%
TL Time Easing deposit
6.9%
TL Blended costs
3.5% 3.2% 3.0% More evident
2.7%
FC Time decline in cost of
2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.0% FC Blended deposits along with
CBRT’s more
1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 4Q 12 accommodative
policy
1 Based on bank-only MIS data and calculated using daily averages
15
16. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
… coupled with the sharp increase in CPI-linker income, result in
~196bps quarterly margin expansion
Quarterly NIM (Net Interest Income / Average IEAs) Cumulative NIM
NIM Adjusted NIM
3 bps
4.0% 2010 4.6%
196 bps 4.0%
3.9%
5.4%
4.1% 4.2% 2011 3.9%
3.4% 3.6% + ~35 bps
+ ~25bps exc.
CPI linkers
2012 4.3%
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12
Q-o-Q Evolution of Margin Components (in bps)
Declining cost of liabilities
+65 +1 538 -141 shoring up lower asset yields
+149 -22 +4 Other • NIM up by ~50bps q-o-q,
Exp. Items -2
Sec. Other Deposits
395 excluding quarterly income
342 exc. CPI Inc. Items volatility from CPI linkers
-1 Provisions FX&
Loans Securities Trading
CPI
Adj. NIM pressured by higher
quarterly provisions
• up by ~70bps q-o-q, excluding
one-off & regulatory effects on
3Q 12 4Q 12 4Q 12
NIM NIM Adj NIM provisions
Adjustments to NIM: Net Interest Income/ Average IEA adjusted by FX gain/loss, provision for loans and securities, and net trading income/loss
16
17. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Sustainably growing and highly diversified fee base supporting ordinary
banking income
Net Fees & Commissions (TL million) Highly diversified fee base reinforces
Double digit growth momentum maintained on a bank-only basis; sustainable income generation
on a consolidated basis, growth momentum was limited due to change
Growth3 (y-o-y)
in accounting methodology in booking fees of some subsidiaries
Cash loans 21%
(3%) Money transfer 12%
2,129
2,071
Assuming that consumer loan Payment Systems 12%
origination fees for 2011 are 1,894
accounted for on an accrual basis
and the avg. cap applied on fund
#1 in Ordinary Banking Income4 generation
management fees for 2011 is at with the highest Net F&C market share
the same level as 2012
2011 2012
Net Fees & Commissions Breakdown 2,3
2011 2012
Cash Loans Cash Loans • Leader in interbank money transfer
Payment 19.8% Payment 21.3% 17% market share vs. the peer average of 10%
Systems Systems
33.9% 40.3% • Highest payment systems commissions per volume
Non Cash Non Cash 1.5% vs. the peer average of 1.1%1
Loans Loans
8.8% 7.8% • #1 in bancassurrance5
Money Money
Transfer
9.2%
Transfer • Strong presence in brokerage
Other 9.2%
11.1%
Insurance Other
Insurance ~7% market share
6.6% 5.2%
Asset Mgt Brokerage 10.8% Asset Mgt Brokerage
6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 3.6%
1 Peer average as of 9M12
2 Breakdown is on a comparable basis to same period last year 3 Bank-only MIS data 17
4 Defined as; net interest income adjusted with provisions for loans and securities, net FX and trading gains + net fees and commissions; as of 9M12
5 Among private banks as of November 2012
18. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Further strenghtened capital base mirroring the high internal capital
generation capability
CAR & Tier I ratio
16.4%
16.9% Strategic capital allocation for
TIER I
TIER I
• healthy,
15.5%
15.1%
• profitable &
• long-term sustainable growth
Recommended
12%
Basel II CAR: 17%
Investment grade level
Required
8%
impact on CAR: ~+20bps
Leverage: 7x
Comfortable level of
Basel II Basel II free funds:
3Q12 4Q12 Free funds/IEA: 18%
Free Equity = SHE - ( Net NPL+ Investment in Associates and Subsidiaries + Tangible and Intangible Assets+ AHR+ Reserve Requirements)
Free Funds = Free Equity + Demand Deposits 18
19. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012
Differentiated business model -- reflected, once again, in strong results
(TL Million) 2011 2012 D YoY
(+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers 3,854 4,849 26% Double digit growth
momentum maintained
(+) Net fees and comm. (on a comparable basis)1 1,894 2,071 9%
on a bank-only basis2
(-)
Specific & General Prov.
- exc. one-offs on specific prov. -676 -848 25%
OPEX/Avg. Assets
=
(+)
CORE BANKING REVENUES
Income on CPI linkers
5,071 6,072 20%
Growing core banking
2.4%
1,405 1,571 12% revenues vs. 2.5% in 2011
(+) Collections 435 167 -62%
(+) Trading & FX gains 353 605 71%
(+) Other income -before one-offs 418 466 11%
(-) OPEX • 18 net branch openings;
Fees/OPEX
-3,720 -4,056 9%
(-)
(-)
Other provisions
Taxation
-53
-879
-70
-1,025
34%
17%
• Successive & targeted
investments in digital
platforms
51%
vs. 51% in 2011
= BaU NET INCOME (exc. regulatory & one-off prov.) • +7% rise in # of ATMs
3,030 3,728 23%
• ~500 new hires
(-) Additional General Prov. for loans before 2006 0 -60 n.m
(-) Free Provision -90 0 n.m
(-) One-off on specific prov. -73 -252 n.m
Cost/Income
(-) Other Provisions (checks) 0 -80 n.m
(+) Regulatory effects on fees
(+) NPL sale
188
43 25
0 n.m
n.m
48%
(+) Eureko, Mastercard & Visa stake sale 162 0 n.m
(+) Subsidiary valuation 85 0 n.m
= NET INCOME 3,346 3,362 0%
*Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and the regulatory effects in the P&L
19
1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012