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Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012




Earnings
Presentation


             December 31, 2012
         BRSA Consolidated Financials
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



 4Q 2012 Macro Highlights

                          • Global economic growth remained fragile, policy interventions played a key role in investor confidence
                          • Politics: Obama reelected - the ‘fiscal cliff’still needs to be addressed and Chinese leadership changed – eyes on
                            economic growth
Low interest rate – low
                          • Spain, France and Hungary faced rating downgrades, ECB approved aid to Spanish banks
 growth environment
                          • Eurozone growth forecasts were cut –only policy response expected from the ECB remains via the Outright
                            Monetary Transactions (OMT)
                          • Oil remained flattish as gold lost value of c.a. 5%


                          • Turkish economy grew by 1.6% in 3Q12, below expectations-- indicators sign a continuous contribution from
                            foreign demand with a deceleration and weak domestic demand in the last quarter.
                          • Current account deficit continued to narrow to US$ 51.9 billion as of Nov’12 while there might be signals for
                            the reacceleration.
Successful rebalancing    • Annual inflation reached 6.16% as unprocessed food prices lowered the total inflation during the whole year
 amid a soft landing        with low levels.
 earning investment       • CBRT lowered upper band of the corridor gradually from 10% to 9% leaving lower band of corridor unchanged
                            at 5% and cut the policy rate by 25bps to 5.5% in December.
    grade by Fitch
                          • CBRT continued to utilize multiple tools in order to support financial stability -- increased reserve requirement
                            (RR) on FC liabilities and Reserve Option Coefficients (ROCs) for holding FC and gold instead of TL.
                          • CBRT remaines firmly focused on financial stability and continues to take measures aimed at, on the one hand,
                            reducing the appreciation pressure on TL and, on the other, controlling credit growth to ensure that the
                            ongoing economic recovery remains “balanced”.
                          • After having appreciated by 4%, 1%, 2% against the currency basket in 3 consecutive quarters, TL depreciated
                            by 1.5% in 4Q12.
                          • Benchmark bond yield, on a monthly average basis, declined to 6.4% in 4Q from 7.6% in 3Q12.

                                                                                                                                           2
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



2012 Highlights

                                                        Leveraging reduced share of securities with higher yielding loans
                                                        Selective lending strategy
    Increasingly                                        • Healthy market share gains ytd in key profitable products: Mortgages, GPLs and Auto loans
  customer-driven                                       • Rational pricing stance - Intentional market share loss in TL commercial loans & some retail products
                                                          in 4Q
      asset mix                                         • Revival of FX lending in 2H12 w/ increasing demand - driven by working capital & investment loans
                                                        Timely managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge for volatility


                                                      Solid, deposit-heavy and actively managed funding mix
                                                       • Reigned by mass deposits: SME+Consumer: 66% of total deposits
                                                       • Proven success in attracting demand deposits : 22% of total customer deposits
  Liquid, low risk &                                   • Ability to access alternative funding sources: Repos & money market borrowings, foreign funding,
                                                         bonds
   well-capitalized
                                                      Risk-return balance priority
    balance sheet                                      • NPL ratio sliding upwards, as expected -- yet, at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly due to non-recurring
                                                         NPL inflows
                                                       • Sustained strong coverage and provisioning levels
                                                       Further strengthened capital base mirroring the high internal capital generation capability
                                                       • Basel II CAR: 17%, Leverage:7x
    Healthy profit
generation based on                                    Comparable1 net profit up by 23% y-o-y-- ROAE: 19%; ROAA: 2.2%,
                                                       Expanding margins q-o-q & y-o-y -- result of effective management of asset/liability mix
 strong core banking                                   Growth momentum sustained on a comparable basis2 despite the highest base in Net F&Cs
income and efficient                                   Commitment to strict cost discipline
  cost management                                      • Uninterrupted investment in distribution network while preserving highest efficiencies

1 Comparable refering to «Business as Usual». Please follow the detailed analysis in slide 4
2 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012         3
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



  Results underscore the sound core banking performance…

  Net Income (TL Million)
 2012
                                                    60                       80                     25                    3,729
   3,362                     252                                                                                                                                                               + Improving Core Banking
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Revenues
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • NII exc. CPI linkers: +26% yoy
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Continuously growing fee base
                                                                                                                                                                                                        on a comparable basis4
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • BaU Gross CoR <100bps ,
                                                                                                                                                                                                        as expected
Reported Net One-off effect Additional                                   Other                 NPL Sale                ADJ. Net
  Income      on specific General Prov.2
                                                                       Provisions 3                                    Income             Business As Usual*                                      Prudent provisioning
                prov. 1
                                                                        (Checks)
                                                                                                                                             Net Income                                         - pressured profitability
 2011                                                                                                                                              up by       23%
                                                                         43
                                                                                                                                                       y-o-y
  3,346              188               73              90                                 162                85
                                                                                                                                                                                               + BaU* ROAE: 18.9%
                                                                                                                           3,030
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Reported ROAE: 17.0%


                                                                                                                                                                                                 BaU* ROAA: 2.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                               + Reported ROAA: 2.0%

 Reported Regulatory One-off      Free    NPL Sale Eureko, Subsidiary ADJ. Net
Net Income effect on effect on Provisions         Mastercard Valuation Income
              fees 4  specific                       & Visa
                       prov.1                      stake sale

 *Business as Usual = Excluding non-recurring items and the regulatory effects in the P&L
 1 Provisions (post-tax) resulting from non-recurring NPL inflows related to a few commercial files w/ strong collateralization: 4Q12: TL173mn; 3Q12:11mn; 2Q12: TL42mn & TL26mn for alignment of coverage ratio to pre-NPL sale level; 4Q11: TL73mn.              4
 2 Additional general provisions, defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years. 3 Provisions for the potential default risk of
 check customers      4 Assuming consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



…and higher provisioning in 4Q, due to prudent provisioning

 Quarterly Net Income (TL million)
                                                                                      (TL Million)                                       4Q 12 3Q 12      D QoQ      Increasing LtD spread coupled w/
                                                                                                                                                                     declining costs of other funding
                                                                                       (+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers              1,462   1,263      16%      sources drived NII growth
 1Q12:                                962
                                                                                                                                                                     Quarterly drop due to timing
                                                                                       (+) Net fees and comm.                              492     547     -10%      of account maintenance fees
                                                                                           Specific & General Prov.
 2Q12:                               820                                               (-) - exc. regulatory & one-offs effects           -270    -257       5%      BaU CoR at <100 bps

                                                                                                                                                                     IMPROVED CORE BANKING
                                                                                         = CORE BANKING REVENUES                         1,684   1,553       8%      PERFORMANCE
 3Q12:                               824                                               (+) Income on CPI linkers
                                                                                                                                                                     Contribution by the soaring CPI
                                                             NI Growth - 8%                                                                602      30      n.m      linker yields in 4Q --to 27% from
                                                                                                                                                                     1.4% in 3Q12
                                                                *BaU: +8%              (+) Collections
                                                                                                                                            25      52     -51%      Collections picking up pace
 4Q12:                               756                                               (+) Trading & FX gains
                                                                                                                                                                     in 2013
                                                                                                                                            -7     468    -102%      Lower trading gains after
                                                                                                                                                                     strong profit realizations in 3Q
                                                                                       (+) Other income                                    134     103      30%
                                                                                        (-) OPEX                                        -1,135 -1,014       12%      As guided
 2012:                             3,362                                                (-) Other provisions                               -25     -17      50%
                                                                                        (-) Taxation                                      -297    -251      18%
                                                                                         = *BaU NET INCOME
                                                                                                                                                                        GENERATION OF
                                                                                             (exc. regulatory & one-off prov.)             987     918       8%         SOLID RESULTS
                                                                                             (-) Additional General Prov.
                                                                                             for loans before 2006                         -60        0     n.m
                                                                                             (-) Free Provision                             82      -82     n.m.
                                                                                             (-) One-off on specific prov.                -173      -11     n.m
                                                                                             (-) Other Provisions (checks)                 -80       0      n.m.
                                                                                         =   NET INCOME
                                                                                                                                           756     824      -8%
*Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and regulatory effects in the P&L
                                                                                                                                                                                                    5
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Increasingly customer-driven & liquid asset composition

Total Assets (TL/USD billion)                                          Composition of Assets1
                                                                         2012                                                                   Loans/Assets
                                10%                                                                Other

                                                  4%
                                                                           Loans
                                                                                                    IEAs
                                                                                                   8.2%
                                                                                                                                                   55%
                                                         179.8
                                                                           54.7%                                       Reserve req.          Leveraging reduced share
                                 173.1                                                                 Non-IEAs           7.4%               of securities with higher
      163.5                                                                                             17.1%            Others                   yielding loans
                                                                                                                          9.6%
                                                        108.5
                             104.9
                                                                                                       Securities
  92.3
                                                                                                         20.0%
                                                                                   IEA / Assets: 83%
                                                                                                                                         Timely management
                                                                         2011                                                               of asset mix
                                                                                                  Other                                        Avg.             Growth(%)
                                                                                                   IEAs                                    Bond Yield(%)   Securities Loans
                                                                                                  12.6%                               1Q12    9.8%            11%       1%
                                                                                                                      Reserve req.
                                                                           Loans                       Non-IEAs          4.4%         2Q12      9.3%         1%         5%
            38.1                        38.5                    40.5       54.5%                        11.9%          Others
                                                                                                                        7.5%          3Q12      7.7%         -5%        2%

                                                                                                         Securities                   4Q12      6.6%         3%         3%
       2011
       2011                      2Q12
                                 3Q12                    3Q12
                                                          2012                                             21.0%
       TL             FC (USD)                    Total Assets (TL)                IEA / Assets: 88%



1 Accrued interest on B/S items are shown in non-IEAs                                                                                                                  6
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Strategically managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge
for volatility
Total Securities (TL billion)                                                               TL Securities (TL billion)
                                                                                                                                                                    Securities2/Assets
                                       9%                                                                                  18%


37.0
                41.0
                  15%
                                  41.3
                                   14%
                                                   39.3              40.4
                                                                      10%
                                                                                                                                                                           20%
                                                     9%                                                   34.8          35.7        35.6          36.3
17%                                                                                        30.7
                                                                                                                                                                   down from    21% at 9M12
                                              (5%)                3%                                13%            3%            (0%)           2%
         11%                1%
                                                     91%                                                                                CPI:          CPI:
                  85%              86%                                 90%                                 CPI:          CPI:
                                                                                            CPI:                                        31%           32%
83%                                                                                         32%
                                                                                                           29%           28%

                                                                                           FRNs:          FRNs:         FRNs:       FRNs:            FRNs:           FRN mix1 in total
                                                                                            29%            30%           30%         30%              30%

2011            1Q12             2Q12
                                TL          FC
                                                   3Q12              2012                  2011           1Q12          2Q12        3Q12             2012                  62%
Total Securities Composition                                                                FC Securities (USD billion)                                              up from   58% at 2011
                                                                                                                            (31%)

                                                                                            3.4           3.5
                                                                                                                         3.1
                                                                    AFS 95.4%
Trading 1.2%
                                                                                                                                                      2.3
   HTM 3.4%
                                                                                                                   (10%)                2.1
                                                                                                    4%
                                                                                                                                (34%)
                                                                                                                                                12%
                                                                                            FRNs:          FRNs:        FRNs:
                                                                                                            30%          33%            FRNs:        FRNs:
       Unrealized gain                                                                       31%
                                                                                                                                         53%          52%
       as of December-end ~TL 1.2bn1
                                                                                            2011          1Q12          2Q12        3Q12             2012

 1 Based on bank-only MIS data
 2 Excluding accruals                                                                                                                                                                           7
 Note: Fixed / Floating breakdown of securities portfolio is based on bank-only MIS data
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



 Selective lending continues on high yielding products

  Total Loan1 Growth & Loans by LOB2 (TL million)

                                                                   10%                                                                    TL Loans1                                   FC Loans1(in US$)
                                                                                                                                                         16%                                            9%
                                                                                                 3%
                                                      5%                     2%



                       90.3
                                   1%

                                           90.9
                                                              95.1
                                                                                   96.9
                                                                                                       99.5
                                                                                                                                         50.0    51.2
                                                                                                                                                         55.2    56.7

                                                                                                                                                                     3%
                                                                                                                                                                          58.1
                                                                                                                                                                                 +                                    23.5
                                                                                                       16.5%                                                                           21.6   22.6   22.4     22.7
                                                                                   15.9%                                                                        3%                                                   3%
                        18.2%                                   16.0%                                                                                                                                    1%
   Corporate                                16.3%                                                                                                       8%
                                                                                                                                            2%                                                  (-1%)
                                                                                                                                                                                         4%



                                                                                                       37.9%                             2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012                     2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012
                       39.5%               39.4%               39.0%               38.3%
 Commercial

                                                                                                                                        • Lucrative retail products                  • Slight pick-up in 2H12 driven
                                                               13.4%               12.8%               12.1%
           SME         11.8%               12.8%                                                                                          continued to be the front-                   by working capital &
                                                               12.4%               13.0%               13.1%                              runner in TL lending growth                  investment loans
 Credit Cards          11.9%               12.2%

                                                               19.2%               20.1%               20.5%                            • Intentional market share loss              • Demand in FC loans is
   Consumer            18.5%               19.3%
                                                                                                                                          in TL commercial lending --                  expected to revive in 2013
                        2011               1Q12                2Q12                3Q12                2012                               dragged down total TL loan
                                                                                                                                          growth
TL (% in total)            55%             56%                 58%                  58%                 58%
                                                                                                                                        Market share3: 10.8% at 2012                 Market share 3 : 18.3% at 2012
FC (% in total)            45%             44%                 42%                  42%                 42%                             vs.11.0% in 3Q12 & 11.3% in 2011             vs.18.5% in 3Q12 & 18.5% in 2011
US$/TL                    1.865           1.760               1.780                1.772               1.760


  1 Performing cash loans
  2 Based on bank-only MIS data                                                                                                                                                                                           8
  3 Based on bank-only financials for fair comparison with sector. Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Retail lending strategy feeding through to healthy market share gains in
key profitable products
 Retail Loans1 (TL billion)                                                                           Mortgage (TL billion)
                                    17%                                                                                                  17%

                                                       45.4
                                                                         46.9                                                                                                    • Rational pricing stance
                                      43.7                                                                                                                     11.9
    40.2             41.2
                                                                                                    10.2             10.3              10.7           11.2
                                                                                                                                                                   0.9             supporting margins
                                                        12.5             12.5                                                           0.6           0.6
                                      12.5                                                            0.6              0.6
    11.0             11.4

                               6%                 4%              3%                                           1%               4%               4%           6%                 • Generating cross-sell &
             3%
                                                                                                                                                      10.5         11.0            increasing customer
                                                                         34.4                         9.6              9.7             10.1
                     29.8             31.2              32.9                                                                                                                       retention
    29.2




   2011             1Q12             2Q12              3Q12             2012                        2011             1Q12             2Q12            3Q12     2012
                                          Consumer Loans                                                                     Commercial Installment Loans


 Auto Loan (TL billion)                                                                                General Purpose Loan5 (TL billion)                                                  Market Shares2,3

                                       11%                                                                                                 16%
                                                                                                                                                                                             YTD   Dec’ 12    Rank4
                                                                               2.8                                       18.0             19.0         19.5         20.0
                                                                                                       17.3                                                                     Mortgage             13.5%      #1
                                                                                                                                                        9.2          9.2
                                                                                                                          8.7              9.3
                                            3.2              3.3                3.1                      8.3                                                                    Auto                 16.1%      #3
       2.8                2.8
                                                                                                                                                  2%           3%
                                            2.1               2.1               1.8                               4%               6%                                           General
       1.7               1.7                                                                                                                                                                         10.7%      #2
                                                                                                                                                                                Purpose5
                  1%              15%                  1%             (5%)                                                9.3              9.7         10.3         10.8
                                                                                                        8.9
       1.1               1.1                1.2               1.2               1.3                                                                                             Retail1              12.8%      #2

     2011              1Q12              2Q12               3Q12              2012                     2011             1Q12             2Q12          3Q12         2012

1 Including consumer, commercial installment, overdraft accounts, credit cards and other
2 Including consumer and commercial installment loans
3 Based on bank-only financials for fair comparison with sector. Sector figures are based on bank-only BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  9
4 As of 9M12 among private banks           5 Including other loans and overdrafts
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Solid market presence in credit cards
-- good contibutor to sustainable revenues
Issuing Volume (TL billion)                                                 Acquiring Volume (TL billion)
                                                                                                                                                          #1 in card business
                                      18%                                                              19%                                                Per Debit Card Spending
                                                                                                                   69.9
                                                     64.6
                                                                                           58.6
                                                                                                                                                     ~2.5x the sector
                       54.9                                                                                                                      ... with the ultimate aim of creating
                                                                                                                                                            cashless society
                                                                                                                                                    Per Card Spending (TL, Dec’122)
                                                                                                                                                                                    9,600
                                                                                                                                                                                 9,075
                                                                                                                                                          Garanti      Sector

                      2011                           2012                                 2011                     2012


No. of Credit Cards (thousand)                                              Credit Card Balances (TL billion)                                                   Market Shares
                                                                                                    20%
                                                                                                                                                                    YTD ∆       2012        Rank
                                                                                                                 11.5          12.0
                                     544                                                            10.8                                   Acquiring
                                                                           10.0        10.1                                                                     -78 bps         19.2%       #1
                                                                                                                                           (Cumulative)
                                                    9,088
                     8,544                                                                                                                 Issuing             -102 bps         17.9%       #1
                                                                                                                                           (Cumulative)
                                                                                                            6%            4%
                                                                                               7%
                                                                                  1%
                                                                                                                                           # of CCs             +9 bps          16.7%       #1

                                                                                                                                           POS1                +19 bps          17.7%       #1
                                                                                                                                           ATM                  -41 bps         9.7%        #3*
                     2011                           2012                   2011        1Q 12        2Q 12    3Q 12         2012

1 Excluding shared POS
2 Annualized
*Among private banks                                                                                                                                                                        10
Note: All figures are per bank-only data except for credit card balances
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



      NPL ratio sliding upwards as expected -- yet at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly
      driven by non-recurring NPL inflows due to a few commercial files
      Net Quarterly NPLs (TL billion)                                                                                                                            NPL Categorisation1
                                                                                       NPL inflows resulting from
                                                                      408              few commercial files with
                                                                                       strong collateralization;
                                                                                                                                                                     Retail Banking
                                                                                         4Q12
                                                                                                                                                                     (Consumer & SME Personal)                           Increasing retail NPL
                                                     276               246               Garanti: TL 176mn
                                                                                         Romania: TL 70mn                                                             23% of total loans                                 inflow in-line with soft
                                    29                 54
                                                      402                   2            3Q12                                                                                                                            lending in the economy
                  59                                                   52
                                    60                                                   GBI: TL 54mn                                                                2.0%          2.0%          2.2%         2.1%       • low-ticket items
                                    242
                      72
                                                     264
                                                                                          2Q12                                                                                                                           • recoveries are very
                                                                      233                 Garanti: TL 60mn                                                                        1.6%           1.7%        1.8%
                  167               168                                                                                                                             1.6%                                                   strong
 New NPL
 Collections                        -43              -75
                  -106                                                -111                                                                                           1Q12           2Q12          3Q12           4Q12
 Write-off                                           -83
                                   -1803     NPL sale

               1Q12              2Q12              3Q12              4Q12
                                                                                                                                                                        Credit Cards
     NPL       Ratio1                                                                                                                                                                                                    Significant NPL sales in
                                                                                                                                                                        13% of total loans
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         the sector dragged
            Global Crisis &                                                                                                                                             5.8%                                             down sector’s NPL
            Hard Lending
                                                    Recovery                            Soft Lending                                                                                               5.4%
                                                                                                                                                                                     5.2%                         5.2%   ratio
                                                                                                                                                                       5.8%
Garanti
(Cons.)        2.4%              4.1%                  3.1%                     2.1%                 2.6%                                                                            4.8%          5.0%           4.9%
                                  5.9%
                                                      4.6%                                           4.1%
           3.9%                                                                 3.7%                                                                                   1Q12          2Q12          3Q12          4Q12
                                  4.8%
                                                      3.4%                                         3.0%
           2.7%                                                                 2.4%
                                  5.2%                                                                                                                                Business Banking
                                                      3.6%                                                                                                            (Including SME Business)                           NPL inflows related
           3.4%                                                                                                                                                        64% of total loans
                                 4.3%                                           2.6%                2.8%                                                                                                                 to a few commercial
                                                                                                                                                                                          2.8%                 2.7%      files hit 4Q
                                                      2.9%                                          2.3%                                                               2.5%      2.4%
            2.4%                                                                1.8%                                                                                                                                     -- collections expected
                                                                                                                                                                                                               1.8%      in 2013
                                                                                                                                                                     1.3%           1.4%         1.5%
            2008                 2009                 2010                  2011                2012
          Garanti                                                 Sector                                                                                              1Q12          2Q12          3Q12          4Q12
          Garanti excld.NPL sales & write-offs*                   Sector w/ no NPL sales & write-offs*

       1 NPL ratio and NPL categorisation for Garanti and sector figures are per BRSA bank-only data for fair comparison
       2 NPL inflow from Romanian subsidiary 3 Garanti NPL sale amounts TL218 mn, of which TL188 mn relates to NPL portfolio with 100% coverage and the remaining TL31 mn being from the previously written-off NPLs
       * Adjusted with write-offs in 2008,2009,2010,2011 & 2012 Source: BRSA, TBA & CBT                                                                                                                                                       11
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012


    Extraordinary increase in provisions, due to regulatory requirements &
    non- recurring NPL inflows, temporarily lifting the CoR level to >100bps
     Quarterly Loan-Loss Provisions (TL million)                                                                                                      Cumulative Gross Cost of Risk (bps)
  Coverage Ratio
           Mar 12                                June 12                       Sept 12                      Dec 12                                                                                                                                128
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            97
Sector1            82%                             81%                           75%                           76%                                                                                   87
Garanti            81%                             81%                           81%                          81%
                                                                                                                                                                       47                                                                        89
Garanti            79%                             78%                           77%                          78%                                                                                                           83
(Cons.)                                                                                                                                                                                              69
                                                                                                                                                                       47
*NPL inflows resulting                    2Q12                          3Q12                            4Q12
from few commercial                       Garanti: TL 52mn              GBI: TL 14mn                    Garanti: TL 141mn
files with strong                         Additional                                                    Romania: TL 70mn                                             3M12                          6M12                   9M12                  2012
collateralization;                        provisions of                                                 GBI: TL 6mn
                                          TL32mn set aside
                                          for alignment of
                                          coverage ratio to
                                                                                                              541                                                              Cumulative CoR                            Cumulative CoR
                                          pre-NPL sale level
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         (exc. regulatory & one-off effects)


                                                                                                               217*


                                                 297
                                                                               278
                                                  52*                            14*
                                                                                                               157
                                                                                                                                                  Strong coverage                                                        Cumulative CoR
                                                  32*
                                                                                                                                                  ratio sustained at
                 108
                                                                                194
                                                                                                                602
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  89bps
                  105
                                                 161

                                                                                                               106
                                                                                                                                                  81% per bank-only                                                             excluding
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       regulatory & one-off effects
                                                  52                             70
                                                                                                                                                             vs. sector’s 76%1
                 1Q12                          2Q12                           3Q12                           4Q12                                78% per consolidated figures
                                                  General                         Specific

     1 Sector figures are per BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
     2 Additional general provisions, defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years                                    12
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



 Solid and actively managed funding mix -- Reigned by customer deposits
 & reinforced with alternative funding sources
  Composition of Liabilities
                                                                                                                                                                    - Double digit annual growth in
                                                                                                                                                                       avg. total deposits was
Other                      7.6%                          8.0%                         8.5%                                                                             hampered with last two weeks’
SHE                       10.9%                        11.9%                         12.0%
                                                                                                                                                                       deposit run-off, due to intensified
                                                                                                                                                                       pricing competition
Demand Deposits           12.4%                        11.9%
                                                                                                                                                                    + Opportunistic utilization
                                                                                     12.2%
                                                                                                                                            Funding base              of repos & money market borrowings,
                                                                                                                                                                       foreign funding including the largest
                                IBL:                                                                                                        reinforced with            ever non-sovereign Eurobond out of
                          44.3% 69%                    45.4%           IBL:          41.9%
Time Deposits
                                                                       68%                           IBL:                                   alternative                Turkey amounting US$1.3bn
                                                                                                                                                                       with the lowest coupon rate
                                                                                                     67%                                    funding sources
Bonds Issued               2.2%                                                       3.3%
Repos                      7.2%
                                                         3.5%
                                                         4.7%                         7.8%                                                                          + ~US$ 1.1bn
                          15.3%
                                                                                                                                                                       syndication roll-over at the
                                                       14.6%                         14.2%
Funds Borrowed                                                                                                                                                         lowest cost in 2012
                           2011                         3Q12                          2012                                                                          + ~TL 2bn
 Total Deposits (TL billion)                                                                                                                                           TL bond roll-over

                                                      5%
                                                                                         (2%)                                                             Comfortable level of LtD ratio
              93.2                                       97.0                99.7                   97.8
                                    92.6                                                                                                                  Loans/Deposits ~102% vs. 97% in 3Q12
               49%                  49%                  48%                    47%                  49%          FC
                        5%2                     3%2                   (1%)2                4%2                                                             LtD ratio slightly heading north in 4Q, due to:
                                                                                                                                                           • Rational pricing stance in deposits -- supported
                                                                                          (6%)                                                               with healthy B/S structure enabling access to
                                                                    7%
                        (0%)                    5%                             53%                                TL                                         alternative funding sources
               51%                   51%                 52%                                        51%
                                                                                                                                                           Loans / Deposits
                                                                                                                                                           adj. w/ merchant payables1
                                                                                                                                                                                     ~98%
             2011                 1Q 12                2Q 12                 3Q 12                 2012
  1 Payables from credit card transactions. Please refer to footnote 5.2.4.3 miscellaneous payables as per BRSA Consolidated financial report
  2 Growth in USD terms                                                                                                                                                                                         13
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Increasingly customer-driven deposit base bolstered by the success in
attracting demand deposits
 Deposits by LOB1                    (Excluding bank deposits)                  Demand Deposits (TL billion)

                                                                                                                     8%
                                     16.3%                     14.2%    13.2%
                                                                                                                                     6%
                                                                                                                                          21.9
                                                                                           20.3                              20.6
                                                               21.3%    20.4%                                      20.0                    1.3
                                     20.9%                                                  0.8       18.3          0.9        0.8
                                                                                                       0.5

                                                               16.4%    16.4%
                                     16.0%
                                                                                            19.5                   19.1       19.8         20.6
                                                                                                       17.8
 Corporate
 Commercial                                                             50.0%
                                                                48.1%
                                     46.8%
 SME                                                                                       2011       1Q 12        2Q 12     3Q 12        2012
 Consumer
                                                                                                   Bank Deposits           Customer Deposits


                                     2011                      3Q12     2012          Sustained solid demand deposits
                                                                                      Customer Demand Deposits /
                          Consumer+SME /Total Deposits                                Total Customer Deposits: 21% vs. Sector’s 18%2   22%
Capturing a                                                                                                                  per bank-only figures
                                                                        66%
wider customer                                                    65%                 Customer demand deposits
base                                         63%
                                                                                      market share2                                    13.5%
1 Based on bank-only MIS data
2 Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only                                                                                 14
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Improving core spreads…

Loan Yields & Deposit Costs (Quarterly)1
    Loan Yields (Quarterly Averages)
                                                                                                            LtD spread qoq:
                                                                                                               +~85bps improvement
     16.0%                       16.1%                     15.9%     15.4% TL Yield


      5.5%                        5.8%                     5.8%      5.7%
                                                                              FC Yield
                                                                                                                           Retail loan yields
       1Q 12                     2Q 12                     3Q 12     4Q 12
                                                                                                                         remain resilient q-o-q,
                                                                                                                         limiting the negative effect
                                                                                                                          from declining rates in TL
    Cost of Deposits (Quarterly Averages)
                                                                                           =                                 commercial lending

     10.5%                        10.4%
                                                              9.8%
                                                                       8.1%
     9.0%                       8.9%
                                                              8.4%
                                                                              TL Time                     Easing deposit
                                                                      6.9%
                                                                              TL Blended                       costs
      3.5%                         3.2%                      3.0%                                           More evident
                                                                      2.7%
                                                                           FC Time                         decline in cost of
     2.6%                         2.5%                       2.3%     2.0% FC Blended                     deposits along with
                                                                                                             CBRT’s more
       1Q 12                      2Q 12                      3Q 12    4Q 12                                accommodative
                                                                                                                 policy

1 Based on bank-only MIS data and calculated using daily averages
                                                                                                                                                           15
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



… coupled with the sharp increase in CPI-linker income, result in
~196bps quarterly margin expansion
Quarterly NIM (Net Interest Income / Average IEAs)                                                                                                                         Cumulative NIM
   NIM                                                                                         Adjusted NIM
                                                                                                                                                 3 bps
                                                                                                   4.0%                                                                  2010                                  4.6%
                                               196 bps                                                                                                   4.0%
                                                                                                                                       3.9%
                                                           5.4%
     4.1%              4.2%                                                                                                                                              2011                    3.9%
                                         3.4%                                                                        3.6%                                                                                        + ~35 bps
                                                                                                                                                                                                                + ~25bps exc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  CPI linkers
                                                                                                                                                                         2012                           4.3%
     1Q12              2Q12              3Q12             4Q12                                    1Q12               2Q12              3Q12              4Q12



                                            Q-o-Q Evolution of Margin Components (in bps)
                                                                                                                                                                             Declining cost of liabilities
                                                                                  +65            +1            538             -141                                          shoring up lower asset yields
                                   +149             -22  +4               Other                                                                                               • NIM up by ~50bps q-o-q,
                                                                        Exp. Items                                                                -2
                                                Sec.     Other Deposits
                                                                                                                                                          395                     excluding quarterly income
     342                                      exc. CPI Inc. Items                                                                                                                 volatility from CPI linkers
                   -1                                                                                                     Provisions FX&
                 Loans Securities                                                                                                   Trading
                          CPI
                                                                                                                                                                             Adj. NIM pressured by higher
                                                                                                                                                                             quarterly provisions
                                                                                                                                                                              • up by ~70bps q-o-q, excluding
                                                                                                                                                                                  one-off & regulatory effects on
     3Q 12                                                                                                   4Q 12                                        4Q 12
      NIM                                                                                                     NIM                                        Adj NIM                  provisions

Adjustments to NIM: Net Interest Income/ Average IEA adjusted by FX gain/loss, provision for loans and securities, and net trading income/loss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        16
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



 Sustainably growing and highly diversified fee base supporting ordinary
 banking income
 Net Fees & Commissions (TL million)                                                                                                                               Highly diversified fee base reinforces
 Double digit growth momentum maintained on a bank-only basis;                                                                                                            sustainable income generation
 on a consolidated basis, growth momentum was limited due to change
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Growth3 (y-o-y)
 in accounting methodology in booking fees of some subsidiaries
                                                                                                                                                                             Cash loans                      21%
                                                                                 (3%)                                                                                        Money transfer                  12%
                                                                2,129
                                                                                           2,071
  Assuming that consumer loan                                                                                                                                                Payment Systems                 12%
  origination fees for 2011 are                                  1,894
  accounted for on an accrual basis
  and the avg. cap applied on fund
                                                                                                                                                                    #1 in Ordinary Banking Income4 generation
  management fees for 2011 is at                                                                                                                                    with the highest Net F&C market share
  the same level as 2012



                                                                 2011                        2012

 Net Fees & Commissions Breakdown 2,3
 2011                                                                                          2012
                                              Cash Loans                                                                   Cash Loans                           • Leader in interbank money transfer
Payment                                         19.8%                       Payment                                          21.3%                                17% market share vs. the peer average of 10%
Systems                                                                     Systems
 33.9%                                                                       40.3%                                                                              • Highest payment systems commissions per volume
                                                   Non Cash                                                                Non Cash                               1.5% vs. the peer average of 1.1%1
                                                     Loans                                                                   Loans
                                                      8.8%                                                                   7.8%                               • #1 in bancassurrance5
                                                   Money                                                                  Money
                                                  Transfer
                                                    9.2%
                                                                                                                         Transfer                               • Strong presence in brokerage
   Other                                                                                                                   9.2%
   11.1%
                                            Insurance                                 Other
                                                                                                                    Insurance                                     ~7% market share
                                              6.6%                                                                    5.2%
                   Asset Mgt         Brokerage                                        10.8%         Asset Mgt Brokerage
                     6.7%              4.0%                                                           1.8%      3.6%
  1 Peer average as of 9M12
  2 Breakdown is on a comparable basis to same period last year 3 Bank-only MIS data                                                                                                                                 17
  4 Defined as; net interest income adjusted with provisions for loans and securities, net FX and trading gains + net fees and commissions; as of 9M12
  5 Among private banks as of November 2012
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Further strenghtened capital base mirroring the high internal capital
generation capability
               CAR & Tier I ratio



                            16.4%
                                                                    16.9%                                                                          Strategic capital allocation for
                             TIER I
                                                                      TIER I
                                                                                                                                                     • healthy,
                                                                    15.5%
                            15.1%
                                                                                                                                                     • profitable &
                                                                                                                                                     • long-term sustainable growth
                                                                                              Recommended
                                                                                                     12%

                                                                                                                                           Basel II CAR: 17%
                                                                                                                                           Investment grade level
                                                                                                 Required
                                                                                                      8%
                                                                                                                                           impact on CAR: ~+20bps

                                                                                                                                           Leverage: 7x

                                                                                                                                           Comfortable level of
                           Basel II                                Basel II                                                                free funds:
                            3Q12                                    4Q12                                                                   Free funds/IEA: 18%




Free Equity = SHE - ( Net NPL+ Investment in Associates and Subsidiaries + Tangible and Intangible Assets+ AHR+ Reserve Requirements)
Free Funds = Free Equity + Demand Deposits                                                                                                                                                          18
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Differentiated business model -- reflected, once again, in strong results

(TL Million)                                                                                      2011          2012            D YoY
    (+)      NII- excl .income on CPI linkers                                                    3,854         4,849              26%               Double digit growth
                                                                                                                                                    momentum maintained
    (+)      Net fees and comm. (on a comparable basis)1                                         1,894         2,071                9%
                                                                                                                                                    on a bank-only basis2
     (-)
             Specific & General Prov.
             - exc. one-offs on specific prov.                                                     -676          -848             25%
                                                                                                                                                                                           OPEX/Avg. Assets

      =
    (+)
             CORE BANKING REVENUES
             Income on CPI linkers
                                                                                                 5,071         6,072              20%
                                                                                                                                                    Growing core banking
                                                                                                                                                                                                 2.4%
                                                                                                 1,405         1,571              12%               revenues                                  vs. 2.5% in 2011
    (+)      Collections                                                                            435           167            -62%
    (+)      Trading & FX gains                                                                     353           605             71%
    (+)      Other income -before one-offs                                                          418           466             11%
     (-)     OPEX                                                                                                                                    • 18 net branch openings;
                                                                                                                                                                                                Fees/OPEX
                                                                                                -3,720        -4,056                9%
     (-)
     (-)
             Other provisions
             Taxation
                                                                                                     -53
                                                                                                   -879
                                                                                                                   -70
                                                                                                              -1,025
                                                                                                                                  34%
                                                                                                                                  17%
                                                                                                                                                     • Successive & targeted
                                                                                                                                                       investments in digital
                                                                                                                                                       platforms
                                                                                                                                                                                                 51%
                                                                                                                                                                                              vs. 51% in 2011
      =      BaU NET INCOME (exc. regulatory & one-off prov.)                                                                                        • +7% rise in # of ATMs
                                                                                                 3,030         3,728              23%
                                                                                                                                                     • ~500 new hires
                (-) Additional General Prov. for loans before 2006                                      0          -60              n.m
                (-) Free Provision                                                                   -90              0             n.m
                (-) One-off on specific prov.                                                        -73          -252              n.m
                                                                                                                                                                                               Cost/Income
                (-) Other Provisions (checks)                                                           0          -80              n.m
                (+) Regulatory effects on fees

                (+) NPL sale
                                                                                                    188

                                                                                                      43            25
                                                                                                                      0             n.m

                                                                                                                                    n.m
                                                                                                                                                                                                  48%
               (+) Eureko, Mastercard & Visa stake sale                                             162               0             n.m
               (+) Subsidiary valuation                                                               85              0             n.m
      =      NET INCOME                                                                          3,346         3,362                0%



*Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and the regulatory effects in the P&L
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     19
1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Appendix




                                                                       20
Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012



Balance Sheet - Summary

                      (TL million)                           Dec-11    Mar-12     Jun-12      Sep-12         Dec-12     YTD Change


                      Cash &Banks1                           17,851    13,403    12,407      12,794         12,973             -27%
                      Reserve Requirements                    7,185     9,101     9,854      11,868         13,365              86%
                      Securities                             36,992    40,974    41,329      39,291         40,358               9%
   Assets




                      Performing Loans                       90,329    90,922    95,056      96,933         99,527              10%
                      Fixed Assets & Subsidiaries             1,662     1,639     1,615       1,607          1,697               2%
                      Other                                   9,457     9,658    10,334      10,584         11,860              25%
                      TOTAL ASSETS                          163,475   165,696   170,597     173,078        179,779              10%

                      Deposits                               93,236    92,607    97,032      99,722         97,778               5%
    Liabilities&SHE




                      Repos & Interbank                      11,738    13,173    12,245       8,094         14,107              20%
                      Bonds Issued                            3,742     3,751     4,005       6,160          6,077              62%
                      Funds Borrowed2                        25,297    24,856    25,253      25,530         25,893               2%
                      Other                                  11,562    12,143    12,754      12,934         14,268              23%
                      SHE                                    17,900    19,166    19,309      20,637         21,657              21%
                      TOTAL LIABILITIES & SHE               163,475   165,696   170,597     173,078        179,779              10%



1 Includes banks, interbank, other financial institutions
2 Includes funds borrowed and sub-debt                                                                                                          21
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Consolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Consolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Consolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Consolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Consolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Consolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Consolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Consolidated Financials December 31, 2012

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Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Consolidated Financials December 31, 2012

  • 1. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Earnings Presentation December 31, 2012 BRSA Consolidated Financials
  • 2. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 4Q 2012 Macro Highlights • Global economic growth remained fragile, policy interventions played a key role in investor confidence • Politics: Obama reelected - the ‘fiscal cliff’still needs to be addressed and Chinese leadership changed – eyes on economic growth Low interest rate – low • Spain, France and Hungary faced rating downgrades, ECB approved aid to Spanish banks growth environment • Eurozone growth forecasts were cut –only policy response expected from the ECB remains via the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) • Oil remained flattish as gold lost value of c.a. 5% • Turkish economy grew by 1.6% in 3Q12, below expectations-- indicators sign a continuous contribution from foreign demand with a deceleration and weak domestic demand in the last quarter. • Current account deficit continued to narrow to US$ 51.9 billion as of Nov’12 while there might be signals for the reacceleration. Successful rebalancing • Annual inflation reached 6.16% as unprocessed food prices lowered the total inflation during the whole year amid a soft landing with low levels. earning investment • CBRT lowered upper band of the corridor gradually from 10% to 9% leaving lower band of corridor unchanged at 5% and cut the policy rate by 25bps to 5.5% in December. grade by Fitch • CBRT continued to utilize multiple tools in order to support financial stability -- increased reserve requirement (RR) on FC liabilities and Reserve Option Coefficients (ROCs) for holding FC and gold instead of TL. • CBRT remaines firmly focused on financial stability and continues to take measures aimed at, on the one hand, reducing the appreciation pressure on TL and, on the other, controlling credit growth to ensure that the ongoing economic recovery remains “balanced”. • After having appreciated by 4%, 1%, 2% against the currency basket in 3 consecutive quarters, TL depreciated by 1.5% in 4Q12. • Benchmark bond yield, on a monthly average basis, declined to 6.4% in 4Q from 7.6% in 3Q12. 2
  • 3. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 2012 Highlights Leveraging reduced share of securities with higher yielding loans Selective lending strategy Increasingly • Healthy market share gains ytd in key profitable products: Mortgages, GPLs and Auto loans customer-driven • Rational pricing stance - Intentional market share loss in TL commercial loans & some retail products in 4Q asset mix • Revival of FX lending in 2H12 w/ increasing demand - driven by working capital & investment loans Timely managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge for volatility Solid, deposit-heavy and actively managed funding mix • Reigned by mass deposits: SME+Consumer: 66% of total deposits • Proven success in attracting demand deposits : 22% of total customer deposits Liquid, low risk & • Ability to access alternative funding sources: Repos & money market borrowings, foreign funding, bonds well-capitalized Risk-return balance priority balance sheet • NPL ratio sliding upwards, as expected -- yet, at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly due to non-recurring NPL inflows • Sustained strong coverage and provisioning levels Further strengthened capital base mirroring the high internal capital generation capability • Basel II CAR: 17%, Leverage:7x Healthy profit generation based on Comparable1 net profit up by 23% y-o-y-- ROAE: 19%; ROAA: 2.2%, Expanding margins q-o-q & y-o-y -- result of effective management of asset/liability mix strong core banking Growth momentum sustained on a comparable basis2 despite the highest base in Net F&Cs income and efficient Commitment to strict cost discipline cost management • Uninterrupted investment in distribution network while preserving highest efficiencies 1 Comparable refering to «Business as Usual». Please follow the detailed analysis in slide 4 2 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012 3
  • 4. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Results underscore the sound core banking performance… Net Income (TL Million) 2012 60 80 25 3,729 3,362 252 + Improving Core Banking Revenues • NII exc. CPI linkers: +26% yoy • Continuously growing fee base on a comparable basis4 • BaU Gross CoR <100bps , as expected Reported Net One-off effect Additional Other NPL Sale ADJ. Net Income on specific General Prov.2 Provisions 3 Income Business As Usual* Prudent provisioning prov. 1 (Checks) Net Income - pressured profitability 2011 up by 23% 43 y-o-y 3,346 188 73 90 162 85 + BaU* ROAE: 18.9% 3,030 Reported ROAE: 17.0% BaU* ROAA: 2.2% + Reported ROAA: 2.0% Reported Regulatory One-off Free NPL Sale Eureko, Subsidiary ADJ. Net Net Income effect on effect on Provisions Mastercard Valuation Income fees 4 specific & Visa prov.1 stake sale *Business as Usual = Excluding non-recurring items and the regulatory effects in the P&L 1 Provisions (post-tax) resulting from non-recurring NPL inflows related to a few commercial files w/ strong collateralization: 4Q12: TL173mn; 3Q12:11mn; 2Q12: TL42mn & TL26mn for alignment of coverage ratio to pre-NPL sale level; 4Q11: TL73mn. 4 2 Additional general provisions, defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years. 3 Provisions for the potential default risk of check customers 4 Assuming consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
  • 5. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 …and higher provisioning in 4Q, due to prudent provisioning Quarterly Net Income (TL million) (TL Million) 4Q 12 3Q 12 D QoQ Increasing LtD spread coupled w/ declining costs of other funding (+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers 1,462 1,263 16% sources drived NII growth 1Q12: 962 Quarterly drop due to timing (+) Net fees and comm. 492 547 -10% of account maintenance fees Specific & General Prov. 2Q12: 820 (-) - exc. regulatory & one-offs effects -270 -257 5% BaU CoR at <100 bps IMPROVED CORE BANKING = CORE BANKING REVENUES 1,684 1,553 8% PERFORMANCE 3Q12: 824 (+) Income on CPI linkers Contribution by the soaring CPI NI Growth - 8% 602 30 n.m linker yields in 4Q --to 27% from 1.4% in 3Q12 *BaU: +8% (+) Collections 25 52 -51% Collections picking up pace 4Q12: 756 (+) Trading & FX gains in 2013 -7 468 -102% Lower trading gains after strong profit realizations in 3Q (+) Other income 134 103 30% (-) OPEX -1,135 -1,014 12% As guided 2012: 3,362 (-) Other provisions -25 -17 50% (-) Taxation -297 -251 18% = *BaU NET INCOME GENERATION OF (exc. regulatory & one-off prov.) 987 918 8% SOLID RESULTS (-) Additional General Prov. for loans before 2006 -60 0 n.m (-) Free Provision 82 -82 n.m. (-) One-off on specific prov. -173 -11 n.m (-) Other Provisions (checks) -80 0 n.m. = NET INCOME 756 824 -8% *Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and regulatory effects in the P&L 5
  • 6. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Increasingly customer-driven & liquid asset composition Total Assets (TL/USD billion) Composition of Assets1 2012 Loans/Assets 10% Other 4% Loans IEAs 8.2% 55% 179.8 54.7% Reserve req. Leveraging reduced share 173.1 Non-IEAs 7.4% of securities with higher 163.5 17.1% Others yielding loans 9.6% 108.5 104.9 Securities 92.3 20.0% IEA / Assets: 83% Timely management 2011 of asset mix Other Avg. Growth(%) IEAs Bond Yield(%) Securities Loans 12.6% 1Q12 9.8% 11% 1% Reserve req. Loans Non-IEAs 4.4% 2Q12 9.3% 1% 5% 38.1 38.5 40.5 54.5% 11.9% Others 7.5% 3Q12 7.7% -5% 2% Securities 4Q12 6.6% 3% 3% 2011 2011 2Q12 3Q12 3Q12 2012 21.0% TL FC (USD) Total Assets (TL) IEA / Assets: 88% 1 Accrued interest on B/S items are shown in non-IEAs 6
  • 7. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Strategically managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge for volatility Total Securities (TL billion) TL Securities (TL billion) Securities2/Assets 9% 18% 37.0 41.0 15% 41.3 14% 39.3 40.4 10% 20% 9% 34.8 35.7 35.6 36.3 17% 30.7 down from 21% at 9M12 (5%) 3% 13% 3% (0%) 2% 11% 1% 91% CPI: CPI: 85% 86% 90% CPI: CPI: CPI: 31% 32% 83% 32% 29% 28% FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRN mix1 in total 29% 30% 30% 30% 30% 2011 1Q12 2Q12 TL FC 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 62% Total Securities Composition FC Securities (USD billion) up from 58% at 2011 (31%) 3.4 3.5 3.1 AFS 95.4% Trading 1.2% 2.3 HTM 3.4% (10%) 2.1 4% (34%) 12% FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: 30% 33% FRNs: FRNs: Unrealized gain 31% 53% 52% as of December-end ~TL 1.2bn1 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 1 Based on bank-only MIS data 2 Excluding accruals 7 Note: Fixed / Floating breakdown of securities portfolio is based on bank-only MIS data
  • 8. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Selective lending continues on high yielding products Total Loan1 Growth & Loans by LOB2 (TL million) 10% TL Loans1 FC Loans1(in US$) 16% 9% 3% 5% 2% 90.3 1% 90.9 95.1 96.9 99.5 50.0 51.2 55.2 56.7 3% 58.1 + 23.5 16.5% 21.6 22.6 22.4 22.7 15.9% 3% 3% 18.2% 16.0% 1% Corporate 16.3% 8% 2% (-1%) 4% 37.9% 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 39.5% 39.4% 39.0% 38.3% Commercial • Lucrative retail products • Slight pick-up in 2H12 driven 13.4% 12.8% 12.1% SME 11.8% 12.8% continued to be the front- by working capital & 12.4% 13.0% 13.1% runner in TL lending growth investment loans Credit Cards 11.9% 12.2% 19.2% 20.1% 20.5% • Intentional market share loss • Demand in FC loans is Consumer 18.5% 19.3% in TL commercial lending -- expected to revive in 2013 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 dragged down total TL loan growth TL (% in total) 55% 56% 58% 58% 58% Market share3: 10.8% at 2012 Market share 3 : 18.3% at 2012 FC (% in total) 45% 44% 42% 42% 42% vs.11.0% in 3Q12 & 11.3% in 2011 vs.18.5% in 3Q12 & 18.5% in 2011 US$/TL 1.865 1.760 1.780 1.772 1.760 1 Performing cash loans 2 Based on bank-only MIS data 8 3 Based on bank-only financials for fair comparison with sector. Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only
  • 9. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Retail lending strategy feeding through to healthy market share gains in key profitable products Retail Loans1 (TL billion) Mortgage (TL billion) 17% 17% 45.4 46.9 • Rational pricing stance 43.7 11.9 40.2 41.2 10.2 10.3 10.7 11.2 0.9 supporting margins 12.5 12.5 0.6 0.6 12.5 0.6 0.6 11.0 11.4 6% 4% 3% 1% 4% 4% 6% • Generating cross-sell & 3% 10.5 11.0 increasing customer 34.4 9.6 9.7 10.1 29.8 31.2 32.9 retention 29.2 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 Consumer Loans Commercial Installment Loans Auto Loan (TL billion) General Purpose Loan5 (TL billion) Market Shares2,3 11% 16% YTD Dec’ 12 Rank4 2.8 18.0 19.0 19.5 20.0 17.3 Mortgage 13.5% #1 9.2 9.2 8.7 9.3 3.2 3.3 3.1 8.3 Auto 16.1% #3 2.8 2.8 2% 3% 2.1 2.1 1.8 4% 6% General 1.7 1.7 10.7% #2 Purpose5 1% 15% 1% (5%) 9.3 9.7 10.3 10.8 8.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 Retail1 12.8% #2 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 1 Including consumer, commercial installment, overdraft accounts, credit cards and other 2 Including consumer and commercial installment loans 3 Based on bank-only financials for fair comparison with sector. Sector figures are based on bank-only BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only 9 4 As of 9M12 among private banks 5 Including other loans and overdrafts
  • 10. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Solid market presence in credit cards -- good contibutor to sustainable revenues Issuing Volume (TL billion) Acquiring Volume (TL billion) #1 in card business 18% 19% Per Debit Card Spending 69.9 64.6 58.6 ~2.5x the sector 54.9 ... with the ultimate aim of creating cashless society Per Card Spending (TL, Dec’122) 9,600 9,075 Garanti Sector 2011 2012 2011 2012 No. of Credit Cards (thousand) Credit Card Balances (TL billion) Market Shares 20% YTD ∆ 2012 Rank 11.5 12.0 544 10.8 Acquiring 10.0 10.1 -78 bps 19.2% #1 (Cumulative) 9,088 8,544 Issuing -102 bps 17.9% #1 (Cumulative) 6% 4% 7% 1% # of CCs +9 bps 16.7% #1 POS1 +19 bps 17.7% #1 ATM -41 bps 9.7% #3* 2011 2012 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2012 1 Excluding shared POS 2 Annualized *Among private banks 10 Note: All figures are per bank-only data except for credit card balances
  • 11. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 NPL ratio sliding upwards as expected -- yet at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly driven by non-recurring NPL inflows due to a few commercial files Net Quarterly NPLs (TL billion) NPL Categorisation1 NPL inflows resulting from 408 few commercial files with strong collateralization; Retail Banking 4Q12 (Consumer & SME Personal) Increasing retail NPL 276 246 Garanti: TL 176mn Romania: TL 70mn 23% of total loans inflow in-line with soft 29 54 402 2 3Q12 lending in the economy 59 52 60 GBI: TL 54mn 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% • low-ticket items 242 72 264 2Q12 • recoveries are very 233 Garanti: TL 60mn 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 167 168 1.6% strong New NPL Collections -43 -75 -106 -111 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Write-off -83 -1803 NPL sale 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Credit Cards NPL Ratio1 Significant NPL sales in 13% of total loans the sector dragged Global Crisis & 5.8% down sector’s NPL Hard Lending Recovery Soft Lending 5.4% 5.2% 5.2% ratio 5.8% Garanti (Cons.) 2.4% 4.1% 3.1% 2.1% 2.6% 4.8% 5.0% 4.9% 5.9% 4.6% 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 4.8% 3.4% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 5.2% Business Banking 3.6% (Including SME Business) NPL inflows related 3.4% 64% of total loans 4.3% 2.6% 2.8% to a few commercial 2.8% 2.7% files hit 4Q 2.9% 2.3% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% -- collections expected 1.8% in 2013 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Garanti Sector 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Garanti excld.NPL sales & write-offs* Sector w/ no NPL sales & write-offs* 1 NPL ratio and NPL categorisation for Garanti and sector figures are per BRSA bank-only data for fair comparison 2 NPL inflow from Romanian subsidiary 3 Garanti NPL sale amounts TL218 mn, of which TL188 mn relates to NPL portfolio with 100% coverage and the remaining TL31 mn being from the previously written-off NPLs * Adjusted with write-offs in 2008,2009,2010,2011 & 2012 Source: BRSA, TBA & CBT 11
  • 12. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Extraordinary increase in provisions, due to regulatory requirements & non- recurring NPL inflows, temporarily lifting the CoR level to >100bps Quarterly Loan-Loss Provisions (TL million) Cumulative Gross Cost of Risk (bps) Coverage Ratio Mar 12 June 12 Sept 12 Dec 12 128 97 Sector1 82% 81% 75% 76% 87 Garanti 81% 81% 81% 81% 47 89 Garanti 79% 78% 77% 78% 83 (Cons.) 69 47 *NPL inflows resulting 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 from few commercial Garanti: TL 52mn GBI: TL 14mn Garanti: TL 141mn files with strong Additional Romania: TL 70mn 3M12 6M12 9M12 2012 collateralization; provisions of GBI: TL 6mn TL32mn set aside for alignment of coverage ratio to 541 Cumulative CoR Cumulative CoR pre-NPL sale level (exc. regulatory & one-off effects) 217* 297 278 52* 14* 157 Strong coverage Cumulative CoR 32* ratio sustained at 108 194 602 89bps 105 161 106 81% per bank-only excluding regulatory & one-off effects 52 70 vs. sector’s 76%1 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 78% per consolidated figures General Specific 1 Sector figures are per BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only 2 Additional general provisions, defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years 12
  • 13. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Solid and actively managed funding mix -- Reigned by customer deposits & reinforced with alternative funding sources Composition of Liabilities - Double digit annual growth in avg. total deposits was Other 7.6% 8.0% 8.5% hampered with last two weeks’ SHE 10.9% 11.9% 12.0% deposit run-off, due to intensified pricing competition Demand Deposits 12.4% 11.9% + Opportunistic utilization 12.2% Funding base of repos & money market borrowings, foreign funding including the largest IBL: reinforced with ever non-sovereign Eurobond out of 44.3% 69% 45.4% IBL: 41.9% Time Deposits 68% IBL: alternative Turkey amounting US$1.3bn with the lowest coupon rate 67% funding sources Bonds Issued 2.2% 3.3% Repos 7.2% 3.5% 4.7% 7.8% + ~US$ 1.1bn 15.3% syndication roll-over at the 14.6% 14.2% Funds Borrowed lowest cost in 2012 2011 3Q12 2012 + ~TL 2bn Total Deposits (TL billion) TL bond roll-over 5% (2%) Comfortable level of LtD ratio 93.2 97.0 99.7 97.8 92.6 Loans/Deposits ~102% vs. 97% in 3Q12 49% 49% 48% 47% 49% FC 5%2 3%2 (1%)2 4%2 LtD ratio slightly heading north in 4Q, due to: • Rational pricing stance in deposits -- supported (6%) with healthy B/S structure enabling access to 7% (0%) 5% 53% TL alternative funding sources 51% 51% 52% 51% Loans / Deposits adj. w/ merchant payables1 ~98% 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2012 1 Payables from credit card transactions. Please refer to footnote 5.2.4.3 miscellaneous payables as per BRSA Consolidated financial report 2 Growth in USD terms 13
  • 14. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Increasingly customer-driven deposit base bolstered by the success in attracting demand deposits Deposits by LOB1 (Excluding bank deposits) Demand Deposits (TL billion) 8% 16.3% 14.2% 13.2% 6% 21.9 20.3 20.6 21.3% 20.4% 20.0 1.3 20.9% 0.8 18.3 0.9 0.8 0.5 16.4% 16.4% 16.0% 19.5 19.1 19.8 20.6 17.8 Corporate Commercial 50.0% 48.1% 46.8% SME 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2012 Consumer Bank Deposits Customer Deposits 2011 3Q12 2012 Sustained solid demand deposits Customer Demand Deposits / Consumer+SME /Total Deposits Total Customer Deposits: 21% vs. Sector’s 18%2 22% Capturing a per bank-only figures 66% wider customer 65% Customer demand deposits base 63% market share2 13.5% 1 Based on bank-only MIS data 2 Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only 14
  • 15. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Improving core spreads… Loan Yields & Deposit Costs (Quarterly)1 Loan Yields (Quarterly Averages) LtD spread qoq: +~85bps improvement 16.0% 16.1% 15.9% 15.4% TL Yield 5.5% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% FC Yield Retail loan yields 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 4Q 12 remain resilient q-o-q, limiting the negative effect from declining rates in TL Cost of Deposits (Quarterly Averages) = commercial lending 10.5% 10.4% 9.8% 8.1% 9.0% 8.9% 8.4% TL Time Easing deposit 6.9% TL Blended costs 3.5% 3.2% 3.0% More evident 2.7% FC Time decline in cost of 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.0% FC Blended deposits along with CBRT’s more 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 4Q 12 accommodative policy 1 Based on bank-only MIS data and calculated using daily averages 15
  • 16. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 … coupled with the sharp increase in CPI-linker income, result in ~196bps quarterly margin expansion Quarterly NIM (Net Interest Income / Average IEAs) Cumulative NIM NIM Adjusted NIM 3 bps 4.0% 2010 4.6% 196 bps 4.0% 3.9% 5.4% 4.1% 4.2% 2011 3.9% 3.4% 3.6% + ~35 bps + ~25bps exc. CPI linkers 2012 4.3% 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Q-o-Q Evolution of Margin Components (in bps) Declining cost of liabilities +65 +1 538 -141 shoring up lower asset yields +149 -22 +4 Other • NIM up by ~50bps q-o-q, Exp. Items -2 Sec. Other Deposits 395 excluding quarterly income 342 exc. CPI Inc. Items volatility from CPI linkers -1 Provisions FX& Loans Securities Trading CPI Adj. NIM pressured by higher quarterly provisions • up by ~70bps q-o-q, excluding one-off & regulatory effects on 3Q 12 4Q 12 4Q 12 NIM NIM Adj NIM provisions Adjustments to NIM: Net Interest Income/ Average IEA adjusted by FX gain/loss, provision for loans and securities, and net trading income/loss 16
  • 17. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Sustainably growing and highly diversified fee base supporting ordinary banking income Net Fees & Commissions (TL million) Highly diversified fee base reinforces Double digit growth momentum maintained on a bank-only basis; sustainable income generation on a consolidated basis, growth momentum was limited due to change Growth3 (y-o-y) in accounting methodology in booking fees of some subsidiaries Cash loans 21% (3%) Money transfer 12% 2,129 2,071 Assuming that consumer loan Payment Systems 12% origination fees for 2011 are 1,894 accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund #1 in Ordinary Banking Income4 generation management fees for 2011 is at with the highest Net F&C market share the same level as 2012 2011 2012 Net Fees & Commissions Breakdown 2,3 2011 2012 Cash Loans Cash Loans • Leader in interbank money transfer Payment 19.8% Payment 21.3% 17% market share vs. the peer average of 10% Systems Systems 33.9% 40.3% • Highest payment systems commissions per volume Non Cash Non Cash 1.5% vs. the peer average of 1.1%1 Loans Loans 8.8% 7.8% • #1 in bancassurrance5 Money Money Transfer 9.2% Transfer • Strong presence in brokerage Other 9.2% 11.1% Insurance Other Insurance ~7% market share 6.6% 5.2% Asset Mgt Brokerage 10.8% Asset Mgt Brokerage 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 3.6% 1 Peer average as of 9M12 2 Breakdown is on a comparable basis to same period last year 3 Bank-only MIS data 17 4 Defined as; net interest income adjusted with provisions for loans and securities, net FX and trading gains + net fees and commissions; as of 9M12 5 Among private banks as of November 2012
  • 18. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Further strenghtened capital base mirroring the high internal capital generation capability CAR & Tier I ratio 16.4% 16.9% Strategic capital allocation for TIER I TIER I • healthy, 15.5% 15.1% • profitable & • long-term sustainable growth Recommended 12% Basel II CAR: 17% Investment grade level Required 8% impact on CAR: ~+20bps Leverage: 7x Comfortable level of Basel II Basel II free funds: 3Q12 4Q12 Free funds/IEA: 18% Free Equity = SHE - ( Net NPL+ Investment in Associates and Subsidiaries + Tangible and Intangible Assets+ AHR+ Reserve Requirements) Free Funds = Free Equity + Demand Deposits 18
  • 19. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Differentiated business model -- reflected, once again, in strong results (TL Million) 2011 2012 D YoY (+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers 3,854 4,849 26% Double digit growth momentum maintained (+) Net fees and comm. (on a comparable basis)1 1,894 2,071 9% on a bank-only basis2 (-) Specific & General Prov. - exc. one-offs on specific prov. -676 -848 25% OPEX/Avg. Assets = (+) CORE BANKING REVENUES Income on CPI linkers 5,071 6,072 20% Growing core banking 2.4% 1,405 1,571 12% revenues vs. 2.5% in 2011 (+) Collections 435 167 -62% (+) Trading & FX gains 353 605 71% (+) Other income -before one-offs 418 466 11% (-) OPEX • 18 net branch openings; Fees/OPEX -3,720 -4,056 9% (-) (-) Other provisions Taxation -53 -879 -70 -1,025 34% 17% • Successive & targeted investments in digital platforms 51% vs. 51% in 2011 = BaU NET INCOME (exc. regulatory & one-off prov.) • +7% rise in # of ATMs 3,030 3,728 23% • ~500 new hires (-) Additional General Prov. for loans before 2006 0 -60 n.m (-) Free Provision -90 0 n.m (-) One-off on specific prov. -73 -252 n.m Cost/Income (-) Other Provisions (checks) 0 -80 n.m (+) Regulatory effects on fees (+) NPL sale 188 43 25 0 n.m n.m 48% (+) Eureko, Mastercard & Visa stake sale 162 0 n.m (+) Subsidiary valuation 85 0 n.m = NET INCOME 3,346 3,362 0% *Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and the regulatory effects in the P&L 19 1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
  • 20. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Appendix 20
  • 21. Investor Relations / BRSA Consolidated Earnings Presentation 2012 Balance Sheet - Summary (TL million) Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 YTD Change Cash &Banks1 17,851 13,403 12,407 12,794 12,973 -27% Reserve Requirements 7,185 9,101 9,854 11,868 13,365 86% Securities 36,992 40,974 41,329 39,291 40,358 9% Assets Performing Loans 90,329 90,922 95,056 96,933 99,527 10% Fixed Assets & Subsidiaries 1,662 1,639 1,615 1,607 1,697 2% Other 9,457 9,658 10,334 10,584 11,860 25% TOTAL ASSETS 163,475 165,696 170,597 173,078 179,779 10% Deposits 93,236 92,607 97,032 99,722 97,778 5% Liabilities&SHE Repos & Interbank 11,738 13,173 12,245 8,094 14,107 20% Bonds Issued 3,742 3,751 4,005 6,160 6,077 62% Funds Borrowed2 25,297 24,856 25,253 25,530 25,893 2% Other 11,562 12,143 12,754 12,934 14,268 23% SHE 17,900 19,166 19,309 20,637 21,657 21% TOTAL LIABILITIES & SHE 163,475 165,696 170,597 173,078 179,779 10% 1 Includes banks, interbank, other financial institutions 2 Includes funds borrowed and sub-debt 21