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Investment Grade Solar
       System Feasibility
       Underwriting, Production, and Presentation of
                Investment Grade Studies
                        UCBX 430


Produced and Presented By Theodore Horton, LEED AP, Managing Member NorCal PV LLC.
Key Concepts
Instant Feasibility
Quantifying Demand
The Value Stack vs the Cost Stack
Harvesting & System Design
Let’s Make A Deal
The Five Questions
You Need to Answer on any Project
1. Why is this the Right Customer?
2. Why is this the Right Site?
3. Why is this the Right Way to Buy Solar?
4.Is the Pain Worth the Gain?
5. Why Do It Now?
Course Objectives
•Get to feasible projects faster
•Use tax, technology, customer to get to a deal
•Do it right, build it now.
PV
POWER
PARTNERING




    WHERE PV
     WORKS.
YES         Wants       YES
Tax Appetite?
                      Performance Risk?
                                               Got Cash?         Balance Sheet


                          NO                                     Capital Lease
         NO

                                                   NO
                       Bankable?                             NO PROJECT
                         YES
                            Wants              YES
                                                             Operating Lease
                      Performance Risk?

                           NO                                       CREBs
                                              NO
Which
                                                           YES
Financing Structure?                      > 400kW?                    PPA
15%



      Power Revenues (net of rent)
      California Performance Based Incentive
      SRECS
      Federal Investment Tax Credit
      After Tax Value of Depreciation
      After Tax Residual Value




           VALUE
           STACK
Tilt & Azimuth Matter
The Solar Trinity

             Monetize Tax Attributes



  Aggregate Demand         Vendor Relationships
50 The Right Customer—16MAR10

       40 The Right Site—30MAR10


              25 Right Value Stack—06APR10

                         Mitigating Risk—13APR10
                      10          Term Sheet
                              4         1 Do It Now
The 12 Step Solar System Feasibility Process
              Step                            Task                         Goal
1.   Host Customer Description       Solar intent, Onsite Loads         Define Need

2.    Tax Equity Monetization    Treasury cash grants, ITC, MACRS      Capitalization

3.      Production Forecast        Energy production, guarantees       Onsite Savings

4.         Site Control              Lease, license, easement             Control

5.         System Costs          Contracts, leases, finance package       Contract

6.         Risk Factors           Design, Construction, Operation       Buy Out Risk

7.         Capitalization         PBI, Lease, debt, equity, SRECs     Low Cost of Funds
The 12 Step Solar System Development Process
              Step                            Task                              Goal
8.          Permitting          Fire, electrical, site code compliance     Building Permit

9.         Procurement           Component & equipment delivery          Vendor Agreements

10.        Construction              Quality, pace and intensity         On-time, On-budget

11.       Commissioning              Reduce errors and defects            Utility Connection

12.   Monitoring & Operations      System yield, warranty service         Beat Projections



      Reversion & Expansion      Add’l sites, sale/xfer of PV assets        Profitability
The scientists
represented by the
IPCC have spoken —
what we need now
are passionate, even
partisan political
soldiers to lead the
way and push the
final tipping point
from awareness to
action.
       --Bill Walsh, CNN
See you
Saturday 13MAR 9A


Registration: http://www.unex.berkeley.edu/cat/course1885.html

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2010 Spring Investment Solar System Feasibility Course

  • 1. Investment Grade Solar System Feasibility Underwriting, Production, and Presentation of Investment Grade Studies UCBX 430 Produced and Presented By Theodore Horton, LEED AP, Managing Member NorCal PV LLC.
  • 2. Key Concepts Instant Feasibility Quantifying Demand The Value Stack vs the Cost Stack Harvesting & System Design Let’s Make A Deal
  • 3. The Five Questions You Need to Answer on any Project 1. Why is this the Right Customer? 2. Why is this the Right Site? 3. Why is this the Right Way to Buy Solar? 4.Is the Pain Worth the Gain? 5. Why Do It Now?
  • 4. Course Objectives •Get to feasible projects faster •Use tax, technology, customer to get to a deal •Do it right, build it now.
  • 5. PV POWER PARTNERING WHERE PV WORKS.
  • 6. YES Wants YES Tax Appetite? Performance Risk? Got Cash? Balance Sheet NO Capital Lease NO NO Bankable? NO PROJECT YES Wants YES Operating Lease Performance Risk? NO CREBs NO Which YES Financing Structure? > 400kW? PPA
  • 7. 15% Power Revenues (net of rent) California Performance Based Incentive SRECS Federal Investment Tax Credit After Tax Value of Depreciation After Tax Residual Value VALUE STACK
  • 8.
  • 9. Tilt & Azimuth Matter
  • 10. The Solar Trinity Monetize Tax Attributes Aggregate Demand Vendor Relationships
  • 11. 50 The Right Customer—16MAR10 40 The Right Site—30MAR10 25 Right Value Stack—06APR10 Mitigating Risk—13APR10 10 Term Sheet 4 1 Do It Now
  • 12. The 12 Step Solar System Feasibility Process Step Task Goal 1. Host Customer Description Solar intent, Onsite Loads Define Need 2. Tax Equity Monetization Treasury cash grants, ITC, MACRS Capitalization 3. Production Forecast Energy production, guarantees Onsite Savings 4. Site Control Lease, license, easement Control 5. System Costs Contracts, leases, finance package Contract 6. Risk Factors Design, Construction, Operation Buy Out Risk 7. Capitalization PBI, Lease, debt, equity, SRECs Low Cost of Funds
  • 13. The 12 Step Solar System Development Process Step Task Goal 8. Permitting Fire, electrical, site code compliance Building Permit 9. Procurement Component & equipment delivery Vendor Agreements 10. Construction Quality, pace and intensity On-time, On-budget 11. Commissioning Reduce errors and defects Utility Connection 12. Monitoring & Operations System yield, warranty service Beat Projections Reversion & Expansion Add’l sites, sale/xfer of PV assets Profitability
  • 14. The scientists represented by the IPCC have spoken — what we need now are passionate, even partisan political soldiers to lead the way and push the final tipping point from awareness to action. --Bill Walsh, CNN
  • 15. See you Saturday 13MAR 9A Registration: http://www.unex.berkeley.edu/cat/course1885.html