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4TH Annual Leadership Keynote Michael Skok
Dries Buytaert CTO & Co-Founder Jim Whitehurst President & CEO Michael Skok General Partner Tim Yeaton President & CEO Larry Augustin CEO March 17, 2010 2
Agenda March 17, 2010 3 Survey! You! Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
3/17/10 4
March 17, 2010 5 Who Took the 2010 Survey?
Record response 435 551 2009 2010 March 17, 2010 6
Survey Respondents  2 4 5 8 % % Vendors Non-Vendors March 17, 2010 7
Survey Respondents Titles  Vendors Non-Vendors March 17, 2010 8
What You Asked For… Which sectors are susceptible to disruption? What are the barriers for Open Source? What business strategies create value? 3/17/10 9 242 206 181
Agenda March 17, 2010 10 Survey! You! Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
Is a Turbulent Economy Goodor Bad for Open Source? March 17, 2010 11
What Makes OSS Attractive? 2010 2009 2008 March 17, 2010 12
Drivers of OSS Tipping Point Private Sector Adoption Public Sector Adoption Other Economic Downturn Past Experience With OSS March 17, 2010 13
March 17, 2010 14 Barriers to OSS? 206
Top 3 Barriers to OSS selection Unfamiliarity with open source solutions  Lack of internal technical skills Lack of formal commercial vendor support  March 17, 2010 15 1 2 3
March 17, 2010 16 IMPACT of Open Source
Sectors to be Disrupted by OSS Over the Next 5 Years March 17, 2010 17 MOST Susceptible to Disruption Database 242 WCM/CMS/Social Software OperatingSystems ERP/CRM Security tools Office Productivity LEAST Susceptible to Disruption
Sectors to be Disrupted by OSS Over the Next 5 Years March 17, 2010 18 MOST Susceptible to Disruption Database 242 WCM/CMS/Social Software OperatingSystems OfficeProductivity Office Productivity ERP/CRM Security tools LEAST Susceptible to Disruption
OSS Component Impact on the Complexity of Managing Apps   Less More 2009 Same 2010 March 17, 2010 19
March 17, 2010 20 So, what ARE you  doing with OSS?
Your Use of OSS Vendors Non-Vendors March 17, 2010 21
VENDOR Revenue Generation March 17, 2010 22
Strategies to create value 2010 2009 March 17, 2010 23 Which business strategies will create the most value for OSS Vendors ? 181
Impact on OSS Vendors? March 17, 2010 24 SaaS VirtualizedInfrastructure CloudComputing
Cool OSS Projects! March 17, 2010 25
Up & Coming OSS Companies March 17, 2010 26 2009 2010
Agenda March 17, 2010 27 Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
Magic Numbers 3/17/10 28 Dollars Invested DealsDone $4.3B M&A 37% 20% 12 1.2 OverallExists 66 12 $375M
Agenda March 17, 2010 29 Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
Direction? 3/17/10 30 OPEN
TODAY: How much OSS is Deployed in Your Organization March 17, 2010 31 0%- 25% 25% -50% 75%-100% 50%-75% % of IT Deployment which is OSS
IN 5 YEARS: What % of Software Purchases Will be OSS? March 17, 2010 32 50% or more on OSS 2010-2015 2009-2014 2008-2013
Agenda March 17, 2010 33 Survey! You! Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
Summary Tipping point New sectors Innovation But… 3/17/10 34
Traditional cycle See Try Buy Fly Die
Die Free? Open Source barriers: See Try Buy Fly Die Skills? Visibility? Unfamiliarity Value add? Solo? Vendor support Free?
Die Free or Live Open? Commercial Open Source v2.0: Virtuous Cycle of open innovation  Live Open Managed Supported … as a Service On demand Self service Friction free Marketplace Open Source barriers: See Try Buy Fly Die Skills? Visibility? Unfamiliarity Value add? Solo? Vendor support Free?
March 17, 2010 38 tinyurl.com/FOOS2010

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2010 Future of Open Source Survey Results

  • 1. 4TH Annual Leadership Keynote Michael Skok
  • 2. Dries Buytaert CTO & Co-Founder Jim Whitehurst President & CEO Michael Skok General Partner Tim Yeaton President & CEO Larry Augustin CEO March 17, 2010 2
  • 3. Agenda March 17, 2010 3 Survey! You! Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
  • 5. March 17, 2010 5 Who Took the 2010 Survey?
  • 6. Record response 435 551 2009 2010 March 17, 2010 6
  • 7. Survey Respondents 2 4 5 8 % % Vendors Non-Vendors March 17, 2010 7
  • 8. Survey Respondents Titles Vendors Non-Vendors March 17, 2010 8
  • 9. What You Asked For… Which sectors are susceptible to disruption? What are the barriers for Open Source? What business strategies create value? 3/17/10 9 242 206 181
  • 10. Agenda March 17, 2010 10 Survey! You! Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
  • 11. Is a Turbulent Economy Goodor Bad for Open Source? March 17, 2010 11
  • 12. What Makes OSS Attractive? 2010 2009 2008 March 17, 2010 12
  • 13. Drivers of OSS Tipping Point Private Sector Adoption Public Sector Adoption Other Economic Downturn Past Experience With OSS March 17, 2010 13
  • 14. March 17, 2010 14 Barriers to OSS? 206
  • 15. Top 3 Barriers to OSS selection Unfamiliarity with open source solutions Lack of internal technical skills Lack of formal commercial vendor support March 17, 2010 15 1 2 3
  • 16. March 17, 2010 16 IMPACT of Open Source
  • 17. Sectors to be Disrupted by OSS Over the Next 5 Years March 17, 2010 17 MOST Susceptible to Disruption Database 242 WCM/CMS/Social Software OperatingSystems ERP/CRM Security tools Office Productivity LEAST Susceptible to Disruption
  • 18. Sectors to be Disrupted by OSS Over the Next 5 Years March 17, 2010 18 MOST Susceptible to Disruption Database 242 WCM/CMS/Social Software OperatingSystems OfficeProductivity Office Productivity ERP/CRM Security tools LEAST Susceptible to Disruption
  • 19. OSS Component Impact on the Complexity of Managing Apps Less More 2009 Same 2010 March 17, 2010 19
  • 20. March 17, 2010 20 So, what ARE you doing with OSS?
  • 21. Your Use of OSS Vendors Non-Vendors March 17, 2010 21
  • 22. VENDOR Revenue Generation March 17, 2010 22
  • 23. Strategies to create value 2010 2009 March 17, 2010 23 Which business strategies will create the most value for OSS Vendors ? 181
  • 24. Impact on OSS Vendors? March 17, 2010 24 SaaS VirtualizedInfrastructure CloudComputing
  • 25. Cool OSS Projects! March 17, 2010 25
  • 26. Up & Coming OSS Companies March 17, 2010 26 2009 2010
  • 27. Agenda March 17, 2010 27 Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
  • 28. Magic Numbers 3/17/10 28 Dollars Invested DealsDone $4.3B M&A 37% 20% 12 1.2 OverallExists 66 12 $375M
  • 29. Agenda March 17, 2010 29 Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
  • 31. TODAY: How much OSS is Deployed in Your Organization March 17, 2010 31 0%- 25% 25% -50% 75%-100% 50%-75% % of IT Deployment which is OSS
  • 32. IN 5 YEARS: What % of Software Purchases Will be OSS? March 17, 2010 32 50% or more on OSS 2010-2015 2009-2014 2008-2013
  • 33. Agenda March 17, 2010 33 Survey! You! Industry Industry Investment Investment Direction Direction
  • 34. Summary Tipping point New sectors Innovation But… 3/17/10 34
  • 35. Traditional cycle See Try Buy Fly Die
  • 36. Die Free? Open Source barriers: See Try Buy Fly Die Skills? Visibility? Unfamiliarity Value add? Solo? Vendor support Free?
  • 37. Die Free or Live Open? Commercial Open Source v2.0: Virtuous Cycle of open innovation Live Open Managed Supported … as a Service On demand Self service Friction free Marketplace Open Source barriers: See Try Buy Fly Die Skills? Visibility? Unfamiliarity Value add? Solo? Vendor support Free?
  • 38. March 17, 2010 38 tinyurl.com/FOOS2010

Editor's Notes

  1. • Larry Augustin, CEO, SugarCRM• Dries Buytaert, CTO & Co-Founder, Acquia• Jim Whitehurst, CEO, Red Hat• Tim Yeaton, CEO & President, Black Duck Software
  2. Demographic Overview
  3. Demographic Overview – First Year we segregated user & VENDOR responses – thanks to feedback from collaborators, especially Andrew Aitken of Olliance GroupNote that user/VENDOR perceptions were not all that different on many issues; industry is aligned
  4. Demographics
  5. Transition to “Drivers”Michael: Refer to 451 Group CAOS survey which further validates this
  6. This question was added based on collaborator input. Andrew Aitken of the Olliance Group very interested in Public Sector AdoptionPossible Panel Q’s…..Dries: Acquia’s present experience with GovernmentTim O’Reilly: Dedicated to Gov 2.0Larry: customers we can't mentionJim: Business unit the size of Europe doing Federal work. NSA wrote SELinux security regime; international adoption is huge
  7. Michael: Discuss rPath’s experienceTim Yeaton: CommentAll:  For people just now taking advance of OS, it seems complex, but not for the last wave
  8. Tim Yeaton:  Will comment on trending of component use as a % of component baseLarry:  SugarCRM is being used as  platform for application buildingWhich best describes your organization's use of open source software?
  9. Larry Augustin: SugarCRM - Topic – Biggest Revenue Generating Opportunities/TrendsDries Buytaert: Acquia – Comment on the commercialization of Drupal – differences pre& post commercialization via Acquia
  10. Transition to “Company” section of presentation
  11. Here we can see how much OSS has been deployed within respondent’s IT deployments; from none to 25%, 25% to half, etc. What’s great is that the biggest percentage of those who took the survey have between 75-100% of OSS deployed. And we can see a trend of those from 25% to 75% increasing. The big opportunity for everyone here is there is getting everyone in the first column to move to the right over the next year.
  12. Tim: Will look at research & take a swath of customers & discuss deployment
  13. Open Source can be a win win win Customers need visibility and supportCommercial Vendors can deliverCommunity benefits by adoptionVC investment more discerningbut selectively available
  14. North Bridge would like to thank our panel and a special thanks to our collaborators and YOU our participants