Industry update
                                                                  Handsets
 Korea / Handsets
                                                                  Into the storm
 5 March 2013                      OVERWEIGHT
                                                                  We maintain our OVERWEIGHT weighting for Korean handset makers and
                                                                  recommend Samsung Electro-Mechanics (SEMCO; 009150 KS) as our sector
                                                                  top pick. Smartphone demand growth in 2013 will be driven by emerging
                                                                  markets. The recent rapid market share gains by Chinese smartphone makers
                                                                  will lower industry-wide ASPs and margins, but help enhance the average
                                                                  hardware performance of handsets, thus boosting demand for high-end
 Stocks under coverage                                            components going forward. In addition, the expected market share expansion
 Company                    Rating       Price     Target price   by SEC in 2013 should lead to qualitative and quantitative growth of SEMCO,
 LG Electronics (066570 KS)  BUY      78,300         88,000       the largest parts supplier for SEC.
 SEMCO (009150 KS)           BUY      95,500        125,000
 LG Innotek (011070 KS)      BUY      75,700         83,000
 Melfas (096640 KS)          BUY      20,550         35,000       Chinese handset makers to expand local market share
 Silicon Works (108320 KS)   BUY      21,300         38,000
 Note: Prices are in KRW; price close as of 1 Mar. 2013
                                                                  Chinese smartphone makers ZTE, Huawei and Lenovo are aiming to expand
                                                                  local market share in 1H13; we expect their combined market share in China
 Global handset market share in 4Q12                              to rise by 3.9ppt YoY to 22.2% in 2013, as a result. At the Mobile World
                                                                  Congress (MWC), we confirmed that the three Chinese handset makers are: 1)
              Others,
              30.4%
                                            SEC, 23.6%            rapidly advancing, in terms of smartphone hardware competitiveness; 2)
                                                                  competitive against peers, in terms of production costs; and 3) set to see
      HTC, 1.4%
                                                                  shipment growth, with new smartphones slated for release in early 2Q12
                                                                  through local telecom carriers (China Mobile, China Unicom and China
     RIM, 1.6%
                                                         Nokia,
                                                                  Telecom). We expect the three Chinese smartphone makers to swiftly expand
     Google,
      1.7%                                               18.3%    their market shares in mid- to low-end smartphones and steadily eat into the
     Sony, 1.7%                                                   white-box smartphone market going forward.
                                                  Apple,
    Lenovo,                                       10.1%
                Huawei,
     1.8%
                 2.9% LGE, 3.3%
                                ZTE, 3.4%
                                                                  Profitability of mid-to-low-end smartphones to decline in 2H13
                                                                  We expect market competition among handset makers to stiffen further in 2H13,
 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research
                                                                  with the three Chinese companies set to post rapid growth in 1H13 and new
                                                                  flagship models to be released by Samsung Electronics and Apple in 2Q13.
 Global smartphone market share in 4Q12
                                                                  Meanwhile, we believe the increasing size of the Chinese market and the rise in
                        Others,
                        22.0%
                                                                  Chinese handset makers’ global market share will pull down worldwide
                                               SEC, 30.1%         smartphone ASP by 13.6% YoY in 2013, driving up the cost burden of
          Google,
           2.2%                                                   components for handset makers, as a result. Moreover, the aggressive release of
      Sony, 3.4%
                                                                  new smartphones in 2H13 should spark subsidy competition, driving down the
        LGE, 4.1%                                                 profitability of mid-to-low-end smartphones even further going forward. We thus
       Nokia, 3.2%                                                expect the operating margin of SEC’s IM division to decrease by 1.9ppt to 16.0%
           ZTE, 4.0%
                                                Apple,
                                                                  in 2013 and the operating margin of LG Electronics’ MC division to increase to a
            Huawei,
             4.2%                               20.9%             high of 4.1% in 3Q13, before decreasing to 3.4% in 4Q13.
                    HTC, 3.2%      RIM, 3.5%


 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research
                                                                  Return of smartphone paradigm identity and eco-system
                                                                  At this year’s MWC, we noted that handset suppliers are focusing on building
                                                                  the identities of new flagship models through UX and killer applications, while
                                                                  seeking to develop an independent ecosystem by diversifying platforms
                                                                  beyond the oligopolistic Android (whose smartphone OS market share stood at
                                                                  64% in 2012) in 2013. Through these efforts, handset makers are seeking to
                                                                  protect the premium of high-margin flagship smartphones, reinforce customer
                                                                  loyalty through the emphasis on differentiation and reduce marketing costs for
 Jinho Cho, Analyst
 82 2 3774 3831           jcho@miraeasset.com
                                                                  mid- to low-end models. Between 2011 and 2012, competition in the handset
                                                                  industry had focused primarily on developing advanced hardware features.
 Yongjei Jeong                                                    However, due to the rapid improvement in flagship smartphone hardware,
 82 2 3774 1938 yongjei@miraeasset.com                            competition to find differentiation points in hardware ceased in 2013, with
                                                                  latecomers closing the gap with top-tiers, in terms of hardware
                                                                  competitiveness.

See the last page of this report for important disclosures
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                Handsets




                                         SEMCO remains our top pick, LG Electronics our second pick
                                         We expect Samsung Electronics’ global market share to continue to grow by 0.4ppt YoY to
                                         23.6% in 2013, benefiting its largest parts supplier, SEMCO (009150 KS). SEMCO remains our
                                         top pick, as: 1) parts shipments are set to grow visibly, with Samsung Electronics’ smartphone
                                         shipments forecast to rise by 34.4% YoY to 290m units in 2013; 2) backed by 89% YoY
                                         growth in Samsung Electronics’ flagship smartphone shipments to 146m units in 2013,
                                         product mix improvement should drive up SEMCO’s profitability; and 3) market prices of
                                         handsets components are unlikely to decline, despite the recently improved profitability of
                                         Japanese parts makers. LG Electronics (066570 KS) is selected as our second top pick, given:
                                         1) the steady improvement in the competitiveness of its flagship smartphones; and 2)
                                         forecasts for market share recovery in Korea and Latin America and improvement in
                                         profitability in 1H13, backed by a competitive smartphone lineup and its platform-sharing
                                         strategy.




                                                                                                                                   22
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                         Handsets




                                         T a b l e   o f   c o n t e n t s



                                         Ⅰ. Executive Summary                                                               4
                                             1. Summary                                                                     4
                                             2. Valuation                                                                   6

                                         Ⅱ. Investment Points                                                              13
                                             1. Continued demand growth in emerging markets                                13
                                             2. Chinese peers to expand local market share on reinforced competitiveness   15
                                             3. SEC to outshine peers in cost and supply chain competitiveness             22
                                             4. Smartphone industry paradigm returning to identity and ecosystem           26
                                             5. SEMCO (009150 KS) remains our top-pick, LGE is our second pick             32

                                         Ⅲ. Appendix                                                                       33
                                             1. 1Q13E smartphone peers’ earnings guidance & consensus                      33
                                             2. Handset peers’ shipment portions by country                                35
                                             3. Handset market share by vendor in 2012                                     36
                                             4. Smartphone market share by vendor in 2012                                  37
                                             5. Tablet PC market share and line-up in 2013                                 38

                                         Company Analysis                                                                  39
                                             Samsung Electro-Mechanics (009150 KS, BUY, TP: KRW125,000)                    40
                                             LG Electronics (066570 KS, BUY, TP: KRW88,00)                                 54




                                                                                                                            33
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                 Handsets




                                         Ⅰ. Executive summary
                                         1. Summary
                                         Demand growth to be driven by emerging markets
 Demand: Global demand                   We forecast global demand for handsets and smartphones in 2013 to reach 1.89bn units (+8.7%
 growth will continue into               YoY) and 897m units (+32.4% YoY), respectively. We expect China to drive global demand
 2013, driven by China
                                         growth in 2013, as demand for handsets and smartphones in China should expand by 21.8% YoY
                                         (to 495m units) and 56% YoY (to 270m units), respectively. Notably, China’s contribution to
                                         global demand should rise by 4.6ppt YoY to 30.2% in 2013. We see ample upside in demand
                                         growth in China, given that: 1) smartphone users’ portion of mobile phone subscribers in China
                                         remains relatively low, at 24% (compared with 48% in North America); and 2) the smartphone
                                         penetration rate in China is also lower than that of North America (42.6%, versus 65.3%); and 3)
                                         the portion of white-box smartphones in China is also high (45.2% in 2012).
                                         Top-3 Chinese handset makers to expand local market share
 Supply: Top-three Chinese               The top-three Chinese smartphone makers, ZTE, Huawei and Lenovo, are aiming to expand
 smartphone makers (ZTE,                 local market share in 1H13; as a result, we expect their combined market share in China to
 Huawei and Lenovo) to
 expand their local market               rise by 3.9ppt YoY to 22.2% in 2013. At this year’s Mobile World Congress (MWC), we
 share                                   confirmed that the three Chinese handset makers are: 1) rapidly advancing, in terms of
                                         smartphone hardware competitiveness; 2) competitive against peers, in terms of production
                                         costs; and 3) set to see shipment growth, with new smartphones slated for release in early
                                         2Q12 through local telecom carriers (China Mobile, China Unicom and China Telecom). We
                                         expect the three Chinese smartphone makers to rapidly expand their market shares in low-to
                                         mid-end smartphones and steadily eat into the white-box smartphone market going forward.
                                         SEC to outshine peers in cost and supply chain competitiveness
 Competitive landscape: SEC              We expect market competition among handset makers to stiffen further in 2H13, with the top-
 to outshine peers in cost
                                         three Chinese companies set to post rapid growth in 1H13 and new flagship models to be
 and supply chain
 competitiveness                         released by SEC and Apple in 2Q13. Meanwhile, we believe the increasing weight of the
                                         Chinese market in global demand and the rise in Chinese handset makers’ global market share
                                         will lower worldwide smartphone ASP by 13.6% YoY in 2013, driving up the cost burden of
                                         components for handset makers as a result. Moreover, the aggressive release of new
                                         smartphones in 2H13 should spark subsidy competition, driving down the industry’s
                                         profitability even further going forward. Nevertheless, we expect SEC to continue to expand
                                         its Chinese and global market share in 2013, outpacing market growth with limited
                                         fluctuations in profitability. With a relatively high portion of in-house produced components
                                         and strict control exerted over its (financially sound) supply chain, we believe SEC still has the
                                         scope for additional reductions in components’ portion of total costs.
                                         Smartphone paradigm returning to identity and eco-system
 Industry paradigm                       At this year’s MWC, we noted that handset suppliers are focusing on building the identities of
 returning to identity and               their new flagship models through UX and killer applications, while seeking to develop an
 eco-system                              independent ecosystem by diversifying platforms beyond the oligopolistic Android (whose
                                         smartphone OS market share stood at 64% in 2012) in 2013. Through these efforts, handset
                                         makers are seeking to preserve the premium of high-margin flagship smartphones, reinforce
                                         customer loyalty through the emphasis on differentiation and reduce marketing costs for low-to
                                         mid-end models. Between 2011 and 2012, competition in the handset industry had focused
                                         primarily on developing advanced hardware features. However, due to the rapid improvement in
                                         flagship smartphone hardware, competition to find differentiation points in hardware ceased in
                                         2013, with latecomers closing the gap with top-tiers, in terms of hardware competitiveness.
                                         Through efforts to establish a solid identity, handset makers are seeking to: 1) preserve
                                         margins for high-margin flagship smartphones; 2) increase customer loyalty and expand
                                         market share through the development of an independent ecosystem; 3) reduce marketing
                                         costs for low-to mid-end models; and 4) diversify profit models to software/content (after
                                         focusing primarily on hardware sales to date). In sharp contrast to Chinese smartphone
                                         makers, which continued to emphasize the advanced hardware performance of their flagship
                                         models at the 2013 MWC, other smartphone makers (SEC, LG Electronics, Nokia, HTC and
                                         Sony) focused on the identity and differentiated UX of their new smartphone models.

                                                                                                                                       44
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                    Handsets




                                             SEMCO (009150 KS) remains our top-pick; LGE is our second pick
 SEMCO remains our sector-                   In light of the likely continued expansion in SEC’s global market share in 2013 (+0.4ppt YoY
 top pick, with an unchanged                 to 23.6%), we reiterate our BUY rating and target price of KRW125,000 for SEMCO, as a top-
 target price of KRW125,000
                                             pick for the sector. We believe that: 1) 34.4% YoY growth in SEC’s smartphone shipments (to
                                             290m units) expected in 2013 should drive up shipments of related components; 2) the
                                             expected 89% YoY growth in SEC’s flagship smartphone shipments (to 146m units) should
                                             improve SEMCO’s product mix, thus lifting its profitability; and 3) component ASPs are unlikely
                                             to decline, despite the recent margin improvement by Japanese component makers. Our
                                             second-pick for the sector is LGE, due to: 1) the gradual improvement in the competitiveness
                                             of its flagship smartphone models; and 2) the likely recovery in its market shares in both
                                             Korea and Latin America in 1H13, backed by its competitive new smartphone lineup and
                                             platform-sharing strategy.


Figure 1 Handset shipment forecasts by supplier
                                                 1Q13E      2Q13E    3Q13E     4Q13E       2011     2012E      2013E      2014E     2015E
  Population/m                                     7,022     7,041    7,060     7,079      7,062     7,135      7,207      7,279     7,425
  Subscriber/m                                     6,192     6,308    6,424     6,540      5,613     6,120      6,559      6,955     7,319
  Shipment/m                     Total                415      445      489       543      1,776     1,741      1,892      2,026     2,106
                          Smartphone                  201      212      233       251        473        678       897      1,108     1,319
      QoQ/YoY (%)                Total            (12.0)       7.0     10.0      11.0       11.2      (2.0)       8.7        7.1       4.0
                          Smartphone                (3.0)      5.0     10.0       8.0       58.2       43.3      32.4       23.5      19.1
                    Penetration (%)                  48.5     47.6     47.6      46.3       26.6       38.9      47.4       54.7      62.6
                           Net added                                                         584        506       439        396       365
                         Replacement                                                       1,191     1,234      1,453      1,629     1,741
                  Replacement/month                                                           51         55        51         48        48
                             ASP/US$                                                         130        149       157        142       139
                 Market sales/US$ bn                                                         231        260       297        287       294
  Shipment/m
           Total                                     415       445      489        543     1,776      1,741     1,892      2,026     2,106
                    Nokia                             82        88       97        107       414        335       375        401       417
                    Samsung                          100       108      114        123       328        405       446        536       615
                    LG Electronics                    15        16       18         18        87         56        67         67        68
                    RIM                                9         9       10         10        52         34        38         36        38
                    Sony                               8         9       10         11        33         31        38         41        42
                    Google                             8         8       11         13        41         34        41         48        49
                    Apple                             35        37       43         50        91        134       166        207       259
                    HTC                                9         8        8         12        43         32        36         45        46
                    ZTE                               25        31       37         41        56         68       133        152       158
                    Huawei                            17        22       29         38        41         47       106        142       147
                    Lenovo                            12        13       15         16        16         28        57         61        63
           MS (%) Nokia                             19.8      19.8     19.8       19.8      23.3       19.2      19.8       19.8      19.8
                    Samsung                         24.1      24.3     23.4       22.7      18.5       23.2      23.6       26.5      29.2
                    LG Electronics                   3.7       3.6      3.6        3.3       4.9        3.2       3.5        3.3       3.2
                    RIM                              2.2       2.1      2.0        1.8       2.9        2.0       2.0        1.8       1.8
                    Sony                             2.0       2.0      2.0        2.0       1.8        1.8       2.0        2.0       2.0
                    Google                           2.0       1.9      2.3        2.3       2.3        1.9       2.1        2.3       2.3
                    Apple                            8.5       8.4      8.8        9.2       5.1        7.7       8.8       10.2      12.3
                    HTC                              2.2       1.7      1.6        2.2       2.4        1.8       1.9        2.2       2.2
                    ZTE                              6.0       7.0      7.5        7.5       3.1        3.9       7.1        7.5       7.5
                    Huawei                           4.0       5.0      6.0        7.0       2.3        2.7       5.6        7.0       7.0
                    Lenovo                           3.0       3.0      3.0        3.0       0.9        1.6       3.0        3.0       3.0
           Smartphone shipments
                    Nokia                            6.4       6.7      7.4        8.0      85.9       35.0      28.5       35.2      41.9
                    Samsung                         60.1      69.1     76.0       85.1      97.0      216.0     290.3      393.2     483.3
                    LG Electronics                   9.4      10.3     12.4       13.0      19.0       26.2      45.2       51.8      56.5
                    RIM                              9.1       9.3      9.8        9.8      52.7       35.2      38.0       36.5      37.9
                    Sony                             7.7       8.0      8.6        8.8      19.6       24.5      33.1       38.8      42.2
                    Google                           5.6       5.7      6.3        6.5      18.6       19.5      24.2       31.2      46.2
                    Apple                           35.4      37.5     42.8       49.8      90.6      133.8     165.5      207.4     259.2
                    HTC                              9.1       7.6      7.8       11.9      43.6       32.1      36.5       44.6      46.3
                    ZTE                              8.1       8.5      9.3       10.1      10.5       26.8      35.9       44.3      52.8
                    Huawei                           8.4       8.8      9.7       10.5      15.6       27.2      37.4       46.2      55.0
                    Lenovo                           8.1       8.5      9.3       10.1       1.7       21.7      35.9       44.3      52.8
Source: Gartner, IMF, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                        55
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                   Handsets




                                           2. Valuation
 Pure smartphone suppliers                 Pure smartphone suppliers, such as Apple, HTC and RIM, have traded at an average P/B of
 have traded within P/B
                                           5.2x (3.6x-9.7x) since 2007, when the smartphone market began to expand significantly.
 band of 3.6-9.7x since 2007
                                           These companies have enjoyed a price premium to feature-phone suppliers, such as LGE and
                                           Nokia, whose shares have traded at an average P/B of 2.1x (0.6x-6.3x) during the same
                                           period. Compared with feature-phone suppliers, pure smartphone suppliers: 1) have been
                                           able to achieve faster market share gains, thanks to steep increases in smartphone
                                           penetration rates; 2) have maintained stronger profitability; and 3) have seen higher BPS
                                           growth rate from 2007 to 2012 (+30.6%, compared with +28.2% for feature-phone vendors).

 Valuation premium versus                  However, smartphone demand growth began to slow from 1Q12 (when the penetration rate
 second-tiers should narrow                of smartphones in North America exceeded 50%), while the rapid growth of Chinese handset
 going forward
                                           suppliers (ZTE, Huawei and Lenovo) intensified competiton over ASP. Moreover, SEC and
                                           Apple confirmed their competitiveness in the smartphone market by increasing their market
                                           shares.
 Handset suppliers’ valuation              In 2013, handset suppliers valuations should remain almost unchanged (in 2012, smartphone
 should remain unchanged in                suppliers’ average P/B was 2.3x, while that of feature-phone suppliers was 1.2x). Global
 2013
                                           demand should remain relatively strong, as handset and smartphone shipments should
                                           increase by 8.7% YoY and 32.4% YoY in 2013. However, the profitability improvement of
                                           second-tiers should remain limited, as: 1) the penetration rate of smartphones (+8.5ppt YoY
                                           to 47.4%) should increase at a slower pace; and 2) top-tiers SEC and Apple, as well as
                                           Chinese vendors, should continue to expand their shipments.
 China’s top-three
 smartphone makers should                  With their cost competitiveness, China’s top-three smartphone makers (ZTE, Huawei and
 achieve market share gains                Lenovo) should rapidly expand their presence in China, as well as emerging markets and thus
 both in China and emerging
 markets and thus maintain                 see a continued increase in shipments in 2013. As such, they should enjoy a valuation
 valuation premium vs. peers               premium to peers in 2013.


 Figure 2 Smartphone vendors’ (Apple, HTC, RIM) P/B band                   Figure 3 Handset vendors’ (Nokia, LGE) P/B band

   (x)                                                                       (x)
   16                                                                        7

   14                                                                        6

   12
                                                                             5
   10                                              High
                                                                             4
     8
                                                                             3
     6                          Average                                                        Average
                                                                                                                          High
                                                                             2
     4
                                          Low                                                                 Low
                                                                             1
     2

     0                                                                       0
           2007          2008     2009    2010   2011     2012E   2013E             2007     2008      2009      2010   2011     2012E   2013E

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                   Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                 66
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                              Handsets




Figure 4 Handset peers’ valuation table
                                               LGE           Apple              SEC        HTC           Nokia         RIM       ZTE    Lenovo
  Price (KRW,US$,HK$,NT$)                   78,300              434      1,544,000         280.0               3.6     13.7      12.8      9.0
  Market cap.(US$ m)                        11,819         407,633         208,594         8,047         13,407       7,165     5,510   12,107
  Sales (US$ m)
                           2010             48,239          65,225         133,789         8,858         56,309      19,907    10,330   21,594
                           2011             49,021         108,249         149,080        15,849         53,829      18,435    13,348   29,574
                           2012E            46,327         156,212         183,017         9,991         39,628      11,267    14,262   34,311
                           2013E            46,477         182,497         195,583         9,495         39,119      12,928    16,677   38,669
                           2014E            48,763         205,625         211,741        10,100         40,025      12,101    18,825   42,594
  OP (US$ m)
                           2010                  76         18,385           14,381        1,402          2,746        4,636      616      369
                           2011                 310         33,790           13,964        2,341             24        1,845      426      594
                           2012E              1,022         55,252           26,413          661            115      (1,160)     (34)      778
                           2013E              1,299         55,296           31,427          454          1,311        (458)      579      975
                           2014E              1,377         63,371           35,085          591          1,386        (374)      686    1,112
  NI (US$ m)
                           2010               1,062         14,013           13,670        1,256          2,454       3,411       480      273
                           2011               (424)         25,922           12,070        2,109        (1,621)       1,164       319      473
                           2012E                 83         41,811           21,677          578          (894)       (629)     (178)      619
                           2013E                916         42,016           25,818          438            144       (198)       329      764
                           2014E                979         47,935           28,805          495            545       (234)       432      885
  P/E (x)
                           2010                48.3            19.3             8.8         18.6              15.5     10.4      22.4     20.1
                           2011                   -            14.6            11.7          6.8                 -      3.3      32.4     19.3
                           2012E              174.2             9.8             9.7         14.3                 -        -         -     19.3
                           2013E               12.5             9.8             8.3         17.7              60.0        -      17.4     15.7
                           2014E               11.7             8.6             7.3         14.2              21.7        -      13.2     13.5
  P/B (x)
                           2010                 1.4              5.6                1.9      9.7               2.0       3.9      3.3      3.1
                           2011                 1.0              4.9                1.8      4.1               1.2       0.7      2.8      3.9
                           2012E                1.0              3.5                2.2      2.7               1.2       0.8      1.5      4.5
                           2013E                1.0              2.8                1.8      2.6               1.3       0.8      1.4      3.7
                           2014E                1.0              2.3                1.5      2.4               1.2       0.8      1.3      3.3
  EV/EBITDA (x)
                           2010                16.3            11.2                 5.0     14.4               6.4       5.8     16.4      5.2
                           2011                11.5             8.3                 5.3      4.6               6.9       1.6     17.2      7.0
                           2012E                7.2             4.8                 4.6      7.9              10.7       8.5    195.6      8.5
                           2013E                6.6             4.6                 3.7     10.5               4.4       4.2     10.4      6.4
                           2014E                6.3             3.9                 3.0      9.3               3.3       6.3      8.7      5.2
  ROE (%)
                           2010                11.3            35.3            21.2         56.3            13.5        41.2     16.3     15.9
                           2011               (3.7)            41.7            15.0         70.4           (8.9)        12.2      8.7     22.5
                           2012E                0.5            40.5            22.0         17.8          (15.2)       (8.1)    (4.9)     24.1
                           2013E                7.8            31.8            21.3         15.2             0.5       (2.3)      8.4     26.0
                           2014E                7.7            28.2            19.8         16.0             7.0       (2.8)     10.2     25.8
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research
Note: Mirae Asset estimates for LGE and SEC (share price data as of 1 March 2013)




                                                                                                                                            77
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                Handsets




Figure 5 Handset peers’ historical valuations
                                          2007            2008     2009     2010           2011        2012E    2013E    2014E
  LGE (066570 KS)
            EPS           KRW              7,625           2,717   14,197    7,612        (3,132)         422    6,249    6,678
            BPS           KRW             49,289          57,223   81,014   87,280         71,303      70,220   75,590   81,343
            P/E           (x)               13.1            27.5      8.6     48.3               -      174.2     12.5     11.7
                          high              73.2            27.5     54.7     48.3            50.8      174.2
                          low               13.1             9.2      8.6      6.5            22.3       13.5
                  P/B     (x)                2.0             1.3      1.5      1.4             1.0        1.0      1.0      1.0
                          high               2.7             3.3      2.6      1.6             1.4        1.6
                          low                1.3             1.3      1.2      1.1             0.6        0.7
                  ROE     (%)               31.5            14.7     30.2     11.3           (3.7)        0.5      7.8      7.7
  Apple (AAPL US)
             EPS          US$                4.0             6.9      9.2     15.4              28.1     44.3     44.5     50.7
             BPS          US$               16.7            25.1     35.2     52.2              82.4    124.6    154.2    192.2
             P/E          (x)               39.1            18.9     20.1     19.3              14.6     10.0     10.0      8.8
                          high              88.0            49.6     31.2     35.8              27.9     25.4
                          low               36.7            12.6     11.5     21.2              14.6     12.1
                  P/B     (x)                9.2             5.1      5.2      5.6               4.9      3.6      2.9      2.3
                          high              17.1            11.7      8.4      9.3               8.1      8.5
                          low                7.1             3.4      3.1      5.5               4.9      4.2
             ROE          (%)               28.5            33.2     30.5     35.3              41.7     40.5     31.8     28.2
  HTC (2498 TT)
             EPS          US$                1.0             1.0      0.8      1.5               2.5      0.7      0.5      0.7
             BPS          US$                2.0             2.1      2.4      3.0               4.0      3.6      3.6      3.9
             P/E          (x)               11.9             8.6     12.8     18.6               6.8     14.2     17.5     14.1
                          high              11.9            17.6     14.1     31.8              26.8     14.9
                          low                6.9             5.4      8.2      9.7               6.8      2.6
                  P/B     (x)                6.1             4.0      4.4      9.7               4.1      2.7      2.6      2.4
                          high               7.1             9.1      6.6     11.0              14.1      5.5
                          low                4.1             2.8      3.8      3.3               4.1      1.6
             ROE          (%)               58.7            49.1     35.8     56.3              70.4     17.8     15.2     16.0
  Nokia (NOK US)
             EPS          US$                2.5             1.6      0.3      0.7          (0.4)       (0.3)      0.1      0.2
             BPS          US$                5.4             5.4      5.1      5.2            4.1         2.9      2.5      3.0
             P/E          (x)               14.3            10.4     37.1     15.5              -           -     62.5     22.6
                          high              27.0            13.9     37.1     48.7           16.8           -
                          low               13.8             5.4      6.5     15.5            6.9           -
                  P/B     (x)                7.1             2.9      2.5      2.0            1.2         1.3      1.3      1.3
                          high               9.8             7.0      3.1      3.3            2.2         1.4
                          low                5.0             2.7      1.8      1.9            0.9         0.4
            ROE           (%)               53.9            27.5      6.5     13.5          (8.9)      (15.2)      0.5      7.0
  RIM (BBRY US)
            EPS           US$                2.3             3.3      4.3      6.4               2.2    (1.2)    (0.3)    (0.4)
            BPS           US$                7.0            10.4     13.6     17.1              19.3     17.5     17.2     17.1
            P/E           (x)               46.3            12.2     16.6     10.4               3.3        -        -
                          high              71.3            65.3     26.0     17.8              11.0      4.2
                          low               23.3            12.3     10.7      9.1               2.0      1.5
                  P/B     (x)               15.0             3.9      5.2      3.9               0.7      0.8      0.8      0.8
                          high              17.7            21.1      8.3      5.6               4.1      0.9
                          low                5.8             3.9      3.4      3.1               0.7      0.3
             ROE          (%)               40.3            38.6     36.5     41.2              12.2    (8.1)    (2.3)    (2.8)
  ZTE (763 HK)
             EPS          US$                0.1             0.1      0.1      0.1               0.1    (0.1)      0.1      0.1
             BPS          US$                0.5             0.7      0.7      1.0               1.1      1.1      1.2      1.3
             P/E          (x)               30.4            14.4     30.2     22.4              32.4    (0.0)     18.0     13.7
                          high              57.9            34.8     35.4     33.6              32.4     33.1
                          low               30.4             7.9     13.5     14.1              12.2     12.4
                  P/B     (x)                3.1             1.7      4.6      3.3               2.8      1.6      1.5      1.3
                          high               4.1             3.6      4.6      5.1               3.8      2.9
                          low                2.5             0.8      1.6      2.1               1.8      1.1
                  ROE     (%)               10.9            12.6     15.8     16.3               8.7    (4.9)      8.4     10.2
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                            88
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                          Handsets




 Figure 6 SEC handset division’s OP vs. stock price                               Figure 7 LGE MC division’s OP vs. stock price

  (KRW bn)                                                       ('000 KRW)
                                                                                    (KRW 100m)                                                            (KRW)
  6,000                                                               1,800
                                                                                     8,000                                                             180,000
                                                                      1,600
  5,000                                                                                                                                                160,000
                                                                                     6,000
                                                                      1,400                                                                            140,000
  4,000                                                               1,200          4,000                                                             120,000
                                                                      1,000                                                                            100,000
  3,000                                                                              2,000
                                                                      800                                                                              80,000
                                                                                          0                                                            60,000
  2,000                                                               600
                                                                                                                                                       40,000
                                                                      400           (2,000)
  1,000                                                                                                                                                20,000
                                                                      200
                                                                                    (4,000)                                      0
         0                                                            0                   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
          2006 2007 2008          2009    2010     2011   2012 2013
                                OP(LHS)      KRW(RHS)                                                        OP(LHS)              Price(RHS)

 Source: SEC, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                     Source: LGE, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 8 Apple ( AAPL US) iPhone OP vs. stock price                              Figure 9 HTC (2498 TT) OP vs. stock price

  (US$ bn)                                                             (US$)        (NT$ bn)                                                              (NT$)
  14                                                                     800        25                                                                    1,400

  12                                                                      700                                                                             1,200
                                                                                    20
                                                                          600
  10                                                                                                                                                      1,000
                                                                          500       15
    8                                                                                                                                                     800
                                                                          400
    6                                                                                                                                                     600
                                                                          300       10
    4                                                                                                                                                     400
                                                                          200
                                                                                      5
    2                                                                     100                                                                             200

    0                                                                    0            0                                                                   0
        2008       2009          2010      2011           2012       2013             2008        2009       2010          2011        2012        2013

                            OP(LHS)          Pirce(RHS)                                                        OP(LHS)             Price(RHS)

 Source: Apple, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                   Source: HTC, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 10 Nokia (NOK US) handset division’s OP vs. stock price                   Figure 11 RIM (RIMM US) OP vs. stock price

  (US$ bn)                                                             (EUR)        (US$ m)                                                               (US$)
   5                                                                      30        1,400                                                                   160
                                                                                    1,200                                                                     140
   4                                                                         25     1,000
                                                                                                                                                              120
   3                                                                                  800
                                                                             20
                                                                                      600                                                                     100
   2
                                                                             15       400                                                                     80
   1                                                                                  200                                                                     60
                                                                             10           0
   0                                                                                                                                                          40
                                                                                      (200)
  (1)                                                                        5
                                                                                      (400)                                                                   20

  (2)                                                                    0            (600)                                                                   0
    2006       2007      2008     2009     2010      2011     2012    2013                2006    2007    2008      2009    2010      2011      2012   2013

                                OP(LHS)          Price(RHS)                                                    Price(RHS)            OP(LHS)

 Source: Nokia, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                   Source: RIM, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research



                                                                                                                                                                   99
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                   Handsets




 Figure 12 SEC P/E band                                                 Figure 13 SEC P/B band

  (KRW '000)                                                              (KRW '000)

  2,000                                                           14x     2,500
  1,800
                                                                  12x
  1,600                                                                   2,000
                                                                                                                                           2.5x
  1,400                                                           10x

  1,200                             Share price                           1,500
                                                                  8x                                  Share price                          2.0x
  1,000
                                                                                                                                           1.0x
     800                                                                  1,000
     600                                                                                                                                   0.5x

     400                                                                    500

     200
          0                                                                      0
          2000    2002    2004     2006     2008   2010   2012                   2000     2002     2004     2006    2008    2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 14 LGE P/E band                                                 Figure 15 LGE P/B band

  (KRW '000)                                                              (KRW '000)
                                                                                              Share price
   500
                                                                          180

   400                       Share price                                  160
                                                                          140                                                              2.0x
   300
                                                                          120
                                                                  40x
   200                                                                    100                                                              1.5x
                                                                  30x
   100                                                            20x       80
                                                                                                                                           1.0x
                                                                  10x       60
      0
                                                                            40                                                             0.5x
  (100)                                                                     20

  (200)                                                                      0
      2002         2004     2006          2008     2010    2012                  2002     2004       2006          2008     2010    2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 16 Apple (AAPL US) P/E band                                     Figure 17 Apple (AAPL US) P/B band

  (US$)                                                                   (US$)
  1,200                                                                     1,200
                                                                                                                                           9x
                                                                  25x

  1,000                                                                     1,000

                                                                  20x                                                                      7x
     800                                                                      800

                                                                  15x                                Share price
                                                                              600                                                          5x
     600
                             Share price

     400                                                          10x         400
                                                                                                                                           3x

     200                                                                      200


          0                                                                       0
          2000    2002    2004   2006      2008    2010   2012                    2000     2002    2004     2006     2008   2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research



                                                                                                                                                10
                                                                                                                                                 10
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                         Handsets




 Figure 18 Nokia (NOK US) P/E band                                            Figure 19 Nokia (NOK US) P/B band

  (US$)                                                                         (US$)
  120                                                                           70
  100                            Share price                                    60
                                                                                                             Share price
    80
                                                                                50
    60
                                                                                40
    40
                                                                                30
    20
                                                                        10x
                                                                                20
     0                                                                  20x                                                                       6.0x
                                                                        30x                                                                       4.5x
   (20)                                                                         10
                                                                        40x
                                                                                                                                                  3.0x
   (40)                                                                           0                                                               1.5x
      2000       2002       2004     2006      2008     2010     2012             2000        2002     2004       2006     2008     2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                      Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 20 RIM (RIMM US) P/E band                                             Figure 21 RIM (RIMM US) P/B band

  (US$)                                                                          (US$)

  160                                                                           160
                                Share price
  140                                                                           140
                                                                                                             Share price
  120                                                                           120
  100                                                                           100
    80                                                                                                                                            5.0x
                                                                                  80
    60
                                                                                  60                                                              3.5x
    40
                                                                                  40
    20                                                                                                                                            2.0x
                                                                                  20
     0                                                                   5x
                                                                                                                                                  0.5x
   (20)                                                                 10x        0
                                                                         15            2000    2002      2004      2006    2008     2010   2012
   (40)                                                                 20x
      2000      2002        2004    2006       2008     2010    2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                      Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 22 HTC (2498 TT) P/E band                                             Figure 23 HTC (2498 TT) P/B band

   (NT$)                                                                         (NT$)

  1,600                                                                         1,400

  1,400                                                                         1,200
                                Share price
  1,200                                                                                                               Share price
                                                                                1,000
  1,000                                                                                                                                             8x
                                                                                  800
     800                                                                                                                                            6x
                                                                        20x       600
     600
                                                                        15x                                                                         4x
                                                                                  400
     400
                                                                        10x
                                                                         5x       200                                                               2x
     200

         0                                                                             0
         2003            2005       2007         2009          2011                    2003           2005         2007        2009        2011

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                      Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research



                                                                                                                                                     11
                                                                                                                                                      11
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                               Handsets




 Figure 24 ZTE (763 HK) P/E band                                       Figure 25 ZTE (763 HK) P/B band

                                                                                                Share price
  (HK$)                                                                  (HK$)
  45                                                                     35
                             Share price
                                                                                                                                       4x
  40                                                                     30
  35
                                                                         25
                                                                                                                                       3x
  30
                                                                         20
  25                                                             40x
                                                                                                                                       2x
  20                                                                     15
                                                                 30x
  15
                                                                         10
                                                                 20x
  10                                                                                                                                   1x
                                                                           5
    5                                                            10x

    0                                                                      0
    2004 2005 2006         2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012                   2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                               Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 26      Sony (6758 JP) P/E band                                Figure 27     Sony (6758 JP) P/B band

   (JPY)                                                                 (JPY)
                     Share price
    20                                                                   18

    15                                                                   16

                                                                         14
    10                                                                                   Share price
                                                                         12
     5                                                           40x
                                                                         10
     0                                                           30x
                                                                           8
                                                                 20x                                                                  3.5x
    (5)                                                          10x       6
                                                                                                                                      2.5x
   (10)                                                                    4
                                                                                                                                      1.5x
   (15)                                                                    2
                                                                                                                                      0.5x
                                                                           0
   (20)
                                                                           2000     2002      2004     2006      2008   2010   2012
      2000      2002     2004      2006    2008   2010    2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                               Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                         12
                                                                                                                                          12
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                          Handsets




                                          Ⅱ. Investment points

                                          1. Continued demand growth in emerging markets

 Global demand growth will                We forecast global demand for handsets and smartphones in 2013 to reach 1.89bn units
 continue to be driven by                 (+8.7% YoY) and 897m units (+32.4% YoY), respectively. We expect China to drive global
 China in 2013                            demand growth in 2013, as demand for handsets and smartphones in China should expand by
                                          21.8% YoY (to 495m units) and 56% YoY (to 270m units), respectively. Notably, China’s
                                          contribution to global demand should rise by 4.6ppt YoY to 30.2% in 2013. We see ample
                                          upside in demand growth in China, given that: 1) smartphone users’ portion of mobile phone
                                          subscribers in China remains relatively low, at 24% (compared with 48% in North America);
                                          and 2) the smartphone penetration rate in China is also lower than that of North America
                                          (42.6%, versus 65.3%); and 3) the portion of white-box smartphones is high (45.2% in 2012).

 Figure 28 Global handset demand (new + replacement) and                      Figure 29 Smartphone users by country and portion
           YoY growth

  (m units)                                                          (%)       (m people)                                                                                    (%)

  2,500                                                                  35    300                                                                                              70

                                                                         30    250                                                                                              60
  2,000
                                                                         25                                                                                                     50
                                                                               200
                                                                         20                                                                                                     40
  1,500                                                                        150
                                                                         15                                                                                                     30
                                                                               100
  1,000                                                                  10                                                                                                     20
                                                                                50                                                                                              10
                                                                         5
     500
                                                                         0        0                                                                                             0
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            2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20122013E
                                                  2014E
                                                      2015E




                                                                                                                                                 Fr
                                                                                                                                                do
                                                                                                                                              In
                  New(LHS)          Replacement(LHS)          YoY(RHS)                                              Smartphone                        Portion
 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                        Source: KPCB Mary Meeker, Mirae Asset Research


 Capex by China Mobile to                 Meanwhile, as of end-2012, 3G’s portion of mobile telecom network in Asia (including China)
 drive demand growth in                   stood at 19.9%, far lower than the 89.1% in North America. Given the sharp expansion of
 China
                                          handset demand in North America, buoyed by network upgrades resulting from massive
                                          investments in CDMA (2000) and 3G (2007), we believe that China’s smartphone demand
                                          growth in 2013 should also be driven by 3G coverage expansion and investments in TD-LTE
                                          by China Mobile (66.1% of total mobile subscribers in China, as of end-2012).

 Figure 30 China handset demand in 2012                                       Figure 31 China handset supply market share trend

                                                       Mid-smartphone:         (%)
                      Low
                   smartphone,                         CNY1,000~2,000          100
                                                                                                                                                                          Others
                     16.6%                                                      90                                                                                        Ginoee
                                                                                80                                                                                        TCL
                                                                                70                                                                                        Yulong

             Mid                                                                60                                                                                        Lenovo
         smartphone,                                                            50                                                                                        Huawei
           15.3%                                          Feature,                                                                                                        ZTE
                                                                                40
                                                           57.4%                                                                                                          HTC
                                                                                30
                                                                                20                                                                                        Apple
                   High                                                                                                                                                   LGE
                                                                                10
                smartphone,                                                                                                                                               SEC
                  10.7%                                                           0
                                                                                                                                                                          Nokia
                                                                                      1Q08
                                                                                             3Q08
                                                                                                    1Q09
                                                                                                           3Q09
                                                                                                                  1Q10
                                                                                                                         3Q10
                                                                                                                                1Q11
                                                                                                                                       3Q11
                                                                                                                                              1Q12
                                                                                                                                                     3Q12
                                                                                                                                                            1Q13
                                                                                                                                                                   3Q13




 Source: Mirae Asset Research                                                 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research

                                                                                                                                                                                     13
                                                                                                                                                                                      13
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                        Handsets




 China’s top-three                          We expect demand growth in China in 2013 to be led by demand increases for low-to mid-end
 smartphone suppliers (ZTE,                 smartphones (mid-end: RMB1,000-2,000, low-end: RMB1,000 or below). We forecast demand
 Huawei and Lenovo) to eat                  for mid-end and low-end smartphones in China to jump by 58.5% YoY (to 98.9m units) and
 rapidly into low-to mid-end
 market share in 2013                       66.8% YoY (112.7m units), respectively. Chinese local smartphone suppliers plan to offer new
                                            high-end smartphone models, with specifications comparable to SEC’s Galaxy S series and
                                            Apple’s iPhone, for ASPs of RMB2,000 or below, thus stimulating demand for mid-end models.
                                            In addition, their aggressive lineup expansion should lower the ASP for low-end smartphones
                                            to the levels of feature-phones, thus boosting low-end demand.


 Figure 32 China-based makers’ shipments by price                             Figure 33 China-based makers’ shipment portions by price

  (m units)                                                                    (%)
  600                                                                          100
                                                                                90
  500
                                                                                80
  400                                                                           70
                                                                                60
  300
                                                                                50
  200                                                                           40
                                                                                30
  100
                                                                                20
     0                                                                          10
             2011        2012       2013      2014     2015       2016
                                                                                  0
                                                                                          2011     2012    2013    2014           2015      2016
         Less than $50    $51-$100       $101-$150   More than $150                   Less than $50 $51-$100 $101-$150          More than $150

 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                        Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research



 High-end smartphone                        Notably, high-end smartphone demand in China should remain solid in 2013, as its high-end
 demand in China to remain                  demand growth (YoY) should reach 35.6%, outpacing the global market grwoth (32.4% YoY).
 solid
                                            Likely continued concentration of mobile carriers’ subsidies in high-end smartphone models
                                            should keep gross margins for high-end models higher than those of low-to mid-end models.


 Figure 34 China handset supply market share in 4Q12                          Figure 35 China smartphone supply market share in 4Q12

                                                                        (%)                                                                      (%)
                                SEC, 10.7       ZTE, 5.0                                                                  SEC, 15.9

                                                           Huawei, 5.5                                                           Apple, 8.7
                                                                                      Others, 44.1



                                                           Lenovo, 7.5                                                                ZTE, 8.2


          Others, 66.6                                     Apple, 4.6

                                                                                                                            Huawei, 9.4
                                                                                                                Lenovo,
                                                                                                                  13.6




 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                        Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                   14
                                                                                                                                                    14
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                      Handsets




                                          2. Chinese peers to expand local market share on reinforced competitiveness
Chinese smartphone makers                 Based on developments witnessed at this year’s MWC, we expect China’s top-three
to expand local market                    smartphone makers, i.e. ZTE, Huawei and Lenovo, to show visible progress in 1H13, as they
share in 1H13, backed by:
1) reinforced hardware                    aim to expand their local market shares. With the three Chinese companies (ZTE, Huawei, and
competitiveness;                          Lenovo) quickly catching up to global peers, in terms of hardware competiveness, existing
                                          players are finding it increasingly difficult to differentiate their products through enhancement
                                          of hardware features. ZTE’s flagship smartphone, Grand Memo, slated for release in 1Q13,
                                          employs Qualcomm Snapdragon 600, the fastest AP on the market, offering a 40%
                                          improvement in performance, compared with its predecessor, the Qualcomm S4 Pro. The
                                          Grand Memo model also adopts a 5.7”, 1280x720, 288ppi HD display, on par with other
                                          display-focused smartphone models, such as LG Electronics’ Optimus G Pro (5.5”, 1920x1080,
                                          400ppi display) and Sony’s Xperia Z (5”, 1920x1080, 441ppi display). Moreover, ZTE’s new
                                          model runs on the latest version of the Android platform (4.1.2), demonstrating the
                                          company’s advancement, in terms of software competitiveness.
…2) cost competitiveness;                 In addition to reinforcing hardware competitiveness, China’s top-three smartphone makers are
                                          seeking to cut ASP to improve price competitiveness, backed by lower production costs. ZTE’s
                                          Grand S, scheduled for market release in 1Q13, has an estimated bill of materials (BOM) of
                                          US$178, 16.7% lower than Galaxy S3’s BOM of US$213.5. In addition, it is forecast to sell for
                                          an ASP of US$499.99, US$100 cheaper than Galaxy S3. We do not expect the Chinese
                                          companies to see rapid growth in sell-through of their smartphone models within 1H13, given
                                          their absence of competitive brand images or differentiation points (setting their products
                                          apart from the flagship models of existing companies). However, due to expanded marketing
                                          spending, on the back of steady growth in shipments and reduction of materials costs, we
                                          believe Chinese smartphone makers will gradually eat into the high-end market shares of
                                          other second-tiers from 2H13.


Figure 36 Chinese makers’ flagship smartphone line-up
   Vendor                    ZTE                    Huawei                 Lenovo                          Meizu                 OPPO
   Picture




    Name                 Grand S                    Ascend D2                 K900                       Meizu MX2           OPPO Find 5
     Core          Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz        Hi-silicon K3V2 1.5GHz    Intel Atom 2.0GHz              1.6GHz Quad core    Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz
      OS                Android 4.1               Android 4.1.2            Android 4.2                   Android 4.1         Android 4.1.2
    Display                                                            5.5" (1920x1080),
                  5" (1920x1080),441ppi      5" (1920x1080),441ppi                              4.4" (1280x800), 343ppi   5" (1920x1080), 441ppi
                                                                              400ppi
     Size                142x69x6.9mm            140x71x9.4mm          thickness: 6.9mm           124.9x64.9x10.2mm         141.8x68.8x8.9mm
   Weight                     TBA                    170g                      162g                      142g                     165g
   Memory                  2GB RAM                    2GB                       2GB                    2GB RAM                  2GB RAM
   Storage                   16GB                    32GB                      16GB                      64GB                     16GB
   Battery                 1780mAh                 3000mAh                      TBA                    1800mAh                  2500mAh
   Release                  2013.1Q                 2013.01                  2013.04                  2012-11-27               2012-12-12
Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                 Handsets




Figure 37 Global handset makers’ smartphone line-up in 1Q13
   Vendor                Samsung                         LGE              Apple                    RIM                      Sony
   Picture




   Name              Galaxy S3 LTE             Optimus G Pro             iPhone 5             BlackBerry Z10               Xperia Z
    Core           Exynos 4412 1.4GHz        Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz              A6            Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz       Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz
     OS                 Android 4.1               Android 4.1               iOS 6               BlackBerry 10            Android 4.1.2
   Display       4.8" (1280x720), 306ppi       5.5" (1920x1080)    4" (1136x640), 326ppi   4.2" (1280x768),355ppi   5" (1920x1080), 441ppi
     Size           136.6x70.6x9.0mm          150.2x76.1x9.4mm      123.8x58.6x7.6mm           130x65.6x9mm             139x71x7.9mm
   Weight                 138.5g                     172g                   112g                     138g                    146g
   Memory                2GB RAM                   2GB RAM               1GB RAM                  2GB RAM                  2GB RAM
   Storage                 32GB                      32GB                  16GB~                    16GB                     16GB
   Battery               2100mAh                   3140mAH               1440mAh                  1,800mAh                 2330mAh
   Release              2012.05.29                2013.02.20            2012.09.21               2013.01.31               2013.02.09
Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                           Handsets




Figure 38 Samsung Galaxy S3 BOM costs                                             Figure 39 ZTE Grand S BOM costs
  Galaxy Note 2                                                                     ZTE Grand S
  Components                       Manufacturer                   Cost (US$)        Components                   Manufacturer             Cost (US$)
  BOM + manufacturing                                                 213.5         BOM + manufacturing                                        178.0
               Total BOM cost                                         205.5                     Total BOM cost                                 175.0
          Manufacturing cost                                             8.0               Manufacturing cost                                    3.0
  Major cost drivers                                                                Major cost drivers
  Memory                           Samsung                             20.0         Memory                                                      23.0
  Display/touchscreen              Samsung/Melfas                      62.0         Display/touchscreen                                         45.5
  Processor                        Samsung                             15.0         Processor                    Qualcomm                       15.0
  Wireless section                 Intel/Qualcomm                      25.0         Wireless section                                            20.0
  User interface                                                                    User interface
                                   SEMCO/Infineon                      16.5                                                                     13.0
  & sensors & WLAN/BT/FM                                                            & sensors & WLAN/BT/FM
  Power management                 Maxim                               11.0         Power management                                            10.0
  Battery                          Samsung                               5.0        Battery                                                      4.5
  Mech./electro-mech.              SEMCO                               30.0         Mech./electro-mech.                                         23.0
  Camera                           SEMCOP/Patron                       15.0         Camera                                                      18.0
  Box contents                                                           6.0        Box contents                                                 3.0
Source: Mirae Asset Research                                                      Source: Mirae Asset Research


…and 3) wider telecom                      Buoyed by reinforced hardware/software competitiveness and reduced production costs, the
carrier lineup                             top-three smartphone makers in China (ZTE, Huawei, Lenovo) are set to see visible shipment
                                           growth, with new smartphones slated for release in early 2Q12 (through local telecom carriers,
                                           i.e. China Mobile, China Unicom and China Telecom). In 1H13, we expect the three Chinese
                                           smartphone makers to rapidly expand their shares of the low-to mid-end smartphones and
                                           steadily eat into the white-box smartphone market, enhancing the brand image of their flagship
                                           models as a result. In 2H13, we expect the three companies to expand their footing aggressively
                                           in the US, Latin American and Indian handset markets. Overall, we expect the combined market
                                           share of the three companies in China to rise by 3.9ppt YoY to 22.2% in 2013.


Figure 40 Specifications of smartphone line-ups in 1Q13
  Company         Product              Display                        CPU                              Memory    Storage        Battery     Launch
                                                                                                                                 (mAh)
  Global manufacturers
  SEC             Galaxy S3            4.8” (1280x720), 306ppi        Exynos 4412 1.4Ghz               1GB RAM      32GM          2,100   2012-05-22
  LGE             Optimus G Pro        5.5" (1920x1080), 400ppi       Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz              2GB RAM       32GB         3.140   2013-02-20
  LGE             Optimus F7           4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi        1.5GHz Dual core                 2GB RAM        8GB         2.540     2013.1Q
  LGE             Optimus L7 Ⅱ         4.4" (800x480), 217ppi         Qualcomm S4 1GHz             768MB RAM          4GB         2.460     2013.1Q
  Apple           iPhone 5             4.0” (1136x640), 326ppi        Apple A6 1.3GHz                  1GB RAM       16GB         1,440   2012-09-21
  RIM             BlackBerry Z10       4.2" (1280x768), 356ppi        Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz               2GB RAM       16GB         1,800   2013-01-31
  Sony            Xperia Z             5" (1920x1080), 441ppi         Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz               2GB RAM       16GB         2,330   2013-02-09
  HTC             One                  4.7" (1920x1080), 469ppi       Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz              2GB RAM       32GB         2,300     2013.1Q
  Chinese manufacturers
  ZTE             Grand S              5" (1920x1080), 441ppi         Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz               2GB RAM       16GB         1,780     2013.1Q
  ZTE             Grand Memo           5.7” (1280x720), 258ppi        Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz               2GB RAM       16GB         3,200     2013.1Q
  ZTE             Nubia Z5             5.0” (1920x1280), 441ppi       Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz               2GB RAM       32GB         2,300     2013.01
  Huawei          Ascend P2            4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi        1.5GHz Quad core                 1GB RAM       16GB         2.420     2013.1Q
  Huawei          Ascend D2            5.0” (1920x1280), 441ppi       Hi-Silicon 1.5GHz                2GB RAM       32GB         3,000     2013.1Q
  Lenovo          K900                 5.5” (1920x1080), 401ppi       Intel Atom 2GHz                  2GB RAM       16GB          TBA      2013-04
  Meizu           Meizu MX2            4.4” (1280x800), 343ppi        1.6GHz Quad core                 2GB RAM       64GB         1,800     2012-11
  OPPO            OPPO Find 5          5.0” (1920x1080), 441ppi       Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz               2GB RAM       16GB         2,500     2012-12
Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                 17
                                                                                                                                                  17
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                      Handsets




 Chinese local players’ rapid                  Meanwhile, we believe that any adverse impact from Chinese local players’ rapid market share
 market share gains will have                  gains in China on Korean smartphone makers should remain limited in 1H13, given that: 1)
 a marginal impact on SEC                      the portion of low-end models in SEC’s total smartphone shipments to China is low, at mere
                                               5% levels; 2) SEC’s mid-end models should maintain a solid brand premium, despite improved
                                               price competitiveness; and 3) Chinese smartphone makers’ new flagship models, which have
                                               failed to secure their own identity, are unlikely to eat into the market shares of SEC’s Galaxy
                                               series. Chinese players should erode the market shares of peers with relatively low cost
                                               competitiveness and brand premiums, while rapidly absorbing demand for white-box
                                               smartphones, which represented a hefty 45.2% (-5.2ppt YoY) of global demand, as of end-
                                               2012.

 Adverse impact on LGE                         LGE should see marginal impact from Chinese players’ market share gains in China in 1H13, in
 should also be limited in                     light of its negligible market share in China (0.2% as of end-2012) and the meager portion of
 1H13; from 2H13, margin
 improvement could slow,
                                               China-bound shipments (1.3% in end-2012, down by 4.3ppt YoY). However, LGE could see a
 due to ASP declines                           slight fall in its market share in 2H13, due to an increase in COGS/sales ratio resulting from
                                               ASP declines and a subsequent slowdown in profitability improvement.


 Figure 41 Supply portion of China smartphone market by price

   (%)
   100
    90                                                                                                                                     Low
    80
    70
    60
    50                                                                                                                                     Mid
    40
    30
    20
    10                                                                                                                                     High

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 Source: SEC, LGE. Gartner, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                  18
                                                                                                                                                   18
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                   Handsets




Figure 42 China Mobile’s smartphone sales in 1Q13
                       December                                          January                                    February
   Vendor               Model                (CNY)         Vendor         Model          (CNY)       Vendor           Model       (CNY)
  SEC             B9062                         2,599     SEC        B9062                  2,599   SEC        B9062               2,399
                  I9050                         1,999                I9050                  1,999              I8250               1,599
                  I8250                         1,599                I8250                  1,599              Galaxy Note 9228    3,699
                  Galaxy Ace                    1,499                7568                   1,299              GalaxyS3 i9308      4,199
                  Galaxy S3 i9308               4,199                Galaxy Note 9228       3,499              Galaxy Note2        4,899
                  Galaxy Note2                  5,199                Galaxy S3 i9308        4,199              Galaxy Ace            999
  HTC             S720t                         3,899                Galaxy Note2           5,199              S6108                 899
                  T328t                         1,859     HTC        S720t                  3,899              S6358                 999
  Google          MT680                         1,199                T328t                  1,859   HTC        T327t               1,499
                  MT917                         2,499                T329t                  1,999              T329t               1,899
  Coolpad         8870                          2,299     Motorola   MT680                  1,199              T528t               2,499
                  8150                          1,300                MT788                  1,999              8S                  1,999
                  8810                          1,300                MT917                  2,499              8X                  3,999
                  8180                          1,400     Nokia      Lumia920T              4,599   Motorola   MT887               2,800
  Lenovo          A698T                         1,300     Coolpad    8870                   2,299              MT788               1,999
  ZTE             U885                          1,300                8020                     399   Nokia      Lumia920T           4,599
                  U880S                           800                8190                   1,099   ZTE        I880F1                899
  Huawei          T8828                         1,400     Lenovo     A278T                    399              U930                1,600
  Hisense         T96                           1,300                                                          U960S2                930
                                                                                                    Coolpad    8950                2,199
                                                                                                               8020+                 389
                                                                                                               8190                  999
                                                                                                               8060                  649
                                                                                                               8070                  999
                                                                                                               8050                  519
                                                                                                    Lenovo     A278T                 399
                                                                                                               A798T                 999
                                                                                                    Tianyu     T6                    999
                                                                                                               T621                  399
                                                                                                               T619                  599
                                                                                                    Huawei     T8951                 999
                                                                                                               Y310                  599
                                                                                                               Y220T                 521
                                                                                                    Hisense    T950                  998
                                                                                                    Haier      I710                  799
                                                                                                    Huawei     T8951                 999
Source: China Mobile, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                     19
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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                            Handsets




Figure 43 China Telecom’s smartphone sales in 1Q13
                     December                                  January                                   February
  Vendor                  Model         (CNY)     Vendor          Model          (CNY)      Vendor         Model          (CNY)
  Apple              iPhone 4S 16Gb      4,488    Apple      iPhone 4S 16GB        4,488    Apple     iPhone 4S 16GB        4,488
  SEC                Galaxy S3 i939      4,699               iPhone 5 16GB         5,288              iPhone 5 16GB         5,288
                     SCH-W689            4,980               iPhone 5 32GB         6,088              iPhone 5 32GB         6,088
  HTC                Desire VC T328d     1,690               iPhone 5 64GB         6,888              iPhone 5 64GB         6,888
  Google             XT928               3,980    SEC        Galaxy S3 i939        4,699    SEC       Galaxy S3 i939        4,699
                     XT882               3,599               SCH-W689              4,980              SCH-W689              4,980
  Nokia              Lumia 800C          2,399               Galaxy Note2 N719     5,699              Galaxy Note2 N719     5,699
  Huawei             C8810                 990    HTC        Desire VC T328d       1,690    Nokia     Lumia 800C            2,399
                     C8812                 839    Motorola   XT882                 3,599    ZTE       N881E                   990
                     C8812+                990    Nokia      Lumia 800C            2,399    Huawei    C8812+                  990
                     G300C               1,490    ZTE        N881E                   990              C8812                   990
  Hisense            ET919               1,590    Huawei     C8810                   990    Xiaomi    M2                    2,199
                     EG870                 890               C8812                   839    Hisense   ET919                 1,590
                     E89                   459               C8812+                  990              EG870                   890
  K-touch            E619                  699               G300C                 1,490              E89                     459
  Lamtam             S600D                 650    Hisense    ET919                 1,590    Lamtam    S600D                   650
                     S800                  980               EG870                   890              S800                    980
  Sharp              SH7218T             1,390               E926                    990    Coolpad   5860S                   990
                                                             E89                     459
                                                  Lamtam     S600D                  650
                                                             S800                    980
                                                  Sharp      SH7218T               1,390
                                                  Coolpad    5860S                   990
Source: China Telecom, Mirae Asset Research




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                   Handsets




Figure 44 China Unicom’s smartphone sales in 1Q13
                       December                                       January                                      February
    Vendor                  Model            (CNY)        Vendor           Model        (CNY)        Vendor            Model         (CNY)
  Apple             iPhone 4 8GB               3,088   Apple       iPhone 4 8GB           3,088   Apple       iPhone 4 8GB            3,088
                    iPhone 4S 16GB             4,488               iPhone 4S 16GB         4,899               iPhone 4S 16GB          4,899
                    iPhone 4S 32GB             5,288               iPhone 4S 32GB         6,999               iPhone 4S 32GB          6,999
                    iPhone 4S 64GB             5,988               iPhone 4S 64GB         7,999               iPhone 4S 64GB          7,999
  SEC               Galaxy Ace S5838           2,298               iphone5 16GB           5,899               iphone5 16GB            5,899
                    B9120                      9,999               iphone5 32GB           6,899               iphone5 32GB            6,899
                    I8150                      2,599               iphone5 64GB           7,899               iphone5 64GB            7,899
                    I9103                      3,599   SEC         Galaxy Ace S5838       2,298   SEC         Galaxy Ace S5838        1,398
                    Galaxy S3 i9300            4,699               B9120                  9,999               B9120                   9,999
                    S6102E                       999               I8150                  2,599               I8150                   2,599
                    S5690                      2,098               I9103                  3,599               I9103                   3,599
                    S5830I                     1,398               Galaxy S3 i9300        4,699               Galaxy S3 i9300         3,999
                    S6352                      1,199               Galaxy Note2 N7102     5,799               Galaxy Note2 N7102      5,799
                    S5380D                     1,498               Galaxy Camera          3,999               S6102E                    999
                    S5578                      1,499               S6102E                   999               S5690                   2,098
                    Galaxy S2 i9100G           4,899               S5690                  2,098               S6352                     999
  LGE               Optimus L7                 1,999               S6352                  1,199               S5578                   1,499
                    Optimus 3D P920            5,399               S5578                  1,698               Galaxy S2 S9100G        4,899
  HTC               T328W                      1,539               Galaxy S2 S9100G       4,899               Galaxy Wave Y S5380D    1,498
                    One SU T528W               2,699   LGE         Optimus L7             1,999               Galax Grand             3,199
                    S510d                      1,399               Optimus 3D P920        5,399   LGE         Optimus L7                988
                    Pico A310e                   899   HTC         Desire T328W           1,539               Optimus 3D P920         5,399
                    Z710e                      4,499               One SU T528W           2,699   HTC         Desire T328W            1,299
  RIM               Bold 9900                  5,498               S510d                  2,499               One SU T528W            2,199
                    Torch 9800                 4,663               Pico A310e               899               Z710e                   4,499
                    Curve 9300                 2,537               Z710e                  4,499               8X                      3,999
  Google            XT390                        999   RIM         Bold 9900              5,498               8S                      1,999
                    XT316                      1,499               Torch 9800             4,663   RIM         Bold 9900               5,498
                    XT615                      2,598               Curve 9300             2,537               Torch 9800              4,663
                    ME722                      2,980   Google      XT390                    999               Curve 9300              2,537
                    DEFY XT536                 1,399               XT316                  1,499   Google      XT390                     999
                    RAZR MAXX XT910            4,298               XT615                  2,598               XT316                     399
                    ME860                      4,198               ME722                  2,980               ME722                   2,980
                    XT319                      1,698               DEFY XT536             1,399               Atrix 4G ME860          4,198
                    Atrix2 ME865               4,198               Razr MAXX XT910        4,298               XT319                   1,698
                    XT300                      1,497               Atrix 4G ME860         4,198               XT701                   3,688
                    XT701                      3,688               XT319                  1,698   Nokia       Lumia610                1,599
  Nokia             Lumia610                   1,699               XT300                  1,497               N9                      4,218
                    N9                         4,218               XT701                  3,688               Lumia800                3,799
                    Lumia800                   3,799   Nokia       Lumia610               1,599               Lumia920                4,599
  Sony              LT26i                      4,599               N9                     4,218   ZTE         V788D                     599
                    MK16i                      3,204               Lumia800               3,799               V889D                   1,199
  ZTE               V889D                      1,199   Sony        LT26i                  2,869               V889M                   1,399
                    V889M                      1,399               LT18i                  2,268               V889S                     799
                    V965W                      1,899               MK16i                  3,204               V965W                   1,899
                    V960                       1,598               MT27i                  1,786               V955                    1,199
                    V6500                      1,399   ZTE         V788D                    599               V960                    1,598
  Huawei            Honor                      2,199               V889D                  1,199   Huawei      Honor                   2,199
                    Ascend G600                1,599               V889M                  1,399               Sonic+                    799
                    Ascend P1                  2,799               V889S                  1,199               Ascend G600             1,599
                    Ascend G330D               1,199               V965W                  1,899               Ascend P1               2,099
                    U8500                      1,159               V955                   1,199               U8500                   1,159
                    G300                       1,599               V960                   1,598               G300                    1,599
  Coolpad           7266                         999               V6500                  1,399               G510                      998
                    7500                       1,399   Huawei      Honor                  2,199               Y210                      699
                    7290                       1,199               Sonic+                   799               Y300                      999
                    W770                       4,100               Ascend G600            1,799   Coolpad     7011                      700
  Lenovo            A789                       1,199               Ascend P1              2,799               7019                      799
                    A690                         799               Ascend G330D           1,199               7266                      999
                    A780                         999               U8500                  1,559               7260                      999
                    A750                       1,099               G300                   1,599               7290                    1,199
                    A800                       1,188               G510                   1,166               W770                    4,100
  Hisense           U950                       1,399               Y210                     699   Lenovo      A65                       799
  Haier             W801                       1,199   Lenovo      A65                      799               A789                      819
                    N88W                       1,799               A789                     819               A60+                      599
  Xiaomi            1S                         1,766               A60+                     599               A789                    1,199
  Tianyu            W806                       1,699               A789                   1,199               A690                      639
                    W760                       1,199               A690                     799               A800                      888
                    U6                         1,199               A750                   1,099   Xiaomi      1S                      1,644
                    W700                       2,888               A800                   1,188               M2                      2,399
  Amoi              N89                        1,299   Coolpad     7266                     999   Amoi        N89                     1,599
                    N79                        1,159               7500                   1,399   Meizu       MX2                     2,699
  TCL               W989                       1,199               7290                   1,199   Haier       N88W                    1,799
  Philips           W635                       1,299               W770                   4,100   Hisense     U930                      999
  Malata            i8                         1,399   Xiaomi      M2                     2,499   Tianyu      W700                    2,888
Source: China Unicom, Mirae Asset Research

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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                  Handsets




                                           3. SEC to outshine peers in cost and supply chain competitiveness
 Industry-wide profitability               SEC is set to expand its shipments of the Galaxy S4 from 2Q13, while China’s top-3
 to deteriorate in 3Q13                    smartphone makers should significantly expand their smartphone shipments (within China)
                                           1H13. In addition, Apple plans to launch a successor model to the iPhone in 3Q13, thus
                                           leading to fiercer subsidy competition among handset makers. Apple is highly likely to cut the
                                           ASP for the iPhone in 2013, in order to expand its market share in emerging markets. ASP
                                           declines and subsidy expansion should drive the handset industry’s average margin
                                           downwards by 7.1ppt QoQ in 3Q13.
 Limited demand growth vs.                 While global smartphone demand is forecast to reach 897m units (+32.4% YoY) in 2013, we
 increased supply and new
                                           expect the combined smartphone shipments by SEC/Apple and Chinese players in 2013 to
 smartphone lineup
 expansion                                 reach 453m units (+32% YoY) and 284m units (+56% YoY), respectively. This suggests that
                                           second-tiers (excluding Chinese players) should see a mere 9.5% YoY increase in shipments
                                           (versus the industry average of 32.4% YoY) to 160m units in 2013. Significant shipment
                                           growth by Chinese makers in 2013 is highly likely, given their high shipment portions to
                                           emerging markets. Going forward, emerging markets (e.g. China and India) should drive
                                           global smartphone demand growth, as we forecast smartphone demand in China to climb by
                                           56% YoY (to 270m units) in 2013.

 Figure 45 2013E global smartphone market share


                                                                                 897m units (+32.4% YoY)


                               678m units (+43.3% YoY)
                                                                                       SEC, 32.4%


                 ZTE 4.0%                SEC, 31.9%                                                        ZTE 4.0%
                 Huawei 4.0%                                                          Apple, 18.1%         Huawei 4.2%
                 RIM 5.0%                                                                                  RIM 4.2%
                                         Apple, 19.7%                                   LGE, 5.0%
                 Lenovo 3.2%                                                                               Lenovo 4.0%
                 HTC 4.7%                 LGE, 3.9%                                                        HTC 4.1%
                 Sony 3.6%                                                                                 Sony 3.7%
                 Nokia 5.6%                                                                                Nokia 3.2%
                 Google 2.8%                                                                               Google 2.7%


                                            2012E                                         2013E

 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research



 Industry-wide margin                      The smartphone industry should suffer margin erosion in 2H13, for the following reasons:
 erosion expected in 2H13,
 due to: 1) ASP declines; 2)
 intensifying competition in                   1) The Chinese market should increase its portion of global smartphone demand, while
 North America; and 3)                            Chinese smartphone makers should expand their global market shares. The sharp
 delays in market                                 growth of Chinese players should lower the smartphone industry’s ASP by 13.6%
 restructuring
                                                  YoY in 2013, while first-tier smartphone makers should see an increased portion of
                                                  raw material costs in total costs and a rise in marketing costs.
                                               2) Most second-tier smartphone makers (excluding SEC, Nokia and Chinese companies)
                                                  strategically focus on the North American market, which is close to saturation point,
                                                  with a smartphone penetration rate of 67.7% in 2012.
                                               3) Latecomers (Amazon, Facebook, Google, Chinese players) also aim to enter the
                                                  North American market, while some first-tiers (HTC, Sony and RIM, which has
                                                  recently seen a downtrend in shipments) pursue shipment growth-backed
                                                  turnarounds.
                                               4) Given Apple’s firm resolve to expand its market share in emerging markets in 2013,
                                                  we see a high possibility of the company offering the iPhone to China Mobile at lower
                                                  prices. ASP declines and subsidy expansion should drive down the handset industry’s
                                                  average margin by 7.1ppt QoQ in 3Q13, from its 2Q13 high.

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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                           Handsets




 Figure 46 OPM comparison of handset industry versus SEC’s and LGE’s handset divisions

   (%)
    25
    20
    15
    10
     5
     0
    (5)
   (10)
   (15)
      1Q08          3Q08        1Q09         3Q09         1Q10         3Q10    1Q11        3Q11         1Q12       3Q12     1Q13         3Q13


                                                      Handset industry        SEC's handset        LGE' handset

 Source: SEC, LGE, Gartner, Mirae Asset Research



 SEC has shown: 1) an                    In order to remain competitive in 2013, smartphone vendors should be able to: 1) cut
 increase in the portion of in-          development costs, by having their low-to mid-end models share platforms with flagship
 house production for core
 components; 2) a diversified
                                         models; 2) reduce their bill of materials (BOM) by expanding the portion of in-house
 supply chain; and 3) strong             production of core parts; and 3) promptly respond to constantly changing market needs by
 balance sheet                           shortening their new-model development cycles. Only those with price competitiveness versus
                                         Chinese players will be able to expand their market shares in both emerging and global
                                         markets. They will also be able to preserve operating margins, by maintaining both margins
                                         and shipments for flagship models at relatively high levels.

 SEC’s strong cost and supply            We forecast SEC’s global market share to edge higher, by 0.4ppt to 23.6%, in 2013 and its
 chain competitiveness to be             2013E operating margin to exceed the industry average by 3.8ppt. SEC is positioned to: 1)
 in spotlight
                                         shorten its hardware development cycle, backed by its relatively high portion of in-house
                                         production of core components (e.g. AP, DRAM, NAND, display, batteries, MLCC, HDI and
                                         camera modules); and 2) further cut the portion of raw material costs, backed by strong
                                         financials and strict control of suppliers; and 3) improve its price and hardware
                                         competitiveness and thus increase its share of emerging markets.


 Figure 47 SEC parts’ internalisation portion (63.7%)                            Figure 48 LGE parts’ internalisation portion (46.8%)


                                        AP, 9.0%                                                                                  Display/touch
                                                                                                                                  31.3%
             Others,                                    Memory,
             36.3%                                       13.1%

                                                                                      Others,
                                                                                      53.2%
                                                                                                                                          Battery,
                                                                                                                                           2.1%
      MLCC, 1.0%

                                                       Display/touch                                                                   Substrate,
          Motor, 0.2%                                  26.3%                                                                             3.0%
                   Camera                                                                                                           Camera
                   module,      Substrate,         Battery,                                           FPCB, 1.5%                    module,
                    9.0%          3.0%              2.1%                                                            Motor, 0.2%      9.0%


 Source: Mirae Asset Research                                                    Source: Mirae Asset Research




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com     Handsets




 Figure 49 SEC’s smartphone supply chain




 Source: SEC, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 50 LGE’s smartphone supply chain




 Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 51 Apple’s smartphone supply chain




 Source: Apple, Mirae Asset Research



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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com     Handsets




 Figure 52 HTC’s smartphone supply chain




 Source: HTC, Mirae Asset Research

 Figure 53 RIM’s smartphone supply chain




 Source: RIM, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 54 Sony’s smartphone supply chain




 Source: Sony, Mirae Asset Research



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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                     Handsets




                                          4. Smartphone industry paradigm returning to identity and ecosystem
Smartphone industry                       At this year’s MWC, we noted that handset suppliers are focusing on building the identities of
paradigm returning to                     their new flagship models through UX and killer applications, while seeking to develop an
identity and eco-system
                                          independent ecosystem by diversifying platforms beyond the oligopolistic Android (whose
                                          smartphone OS market share stood at 64% in 2012) in 2013. Between 2011 and 2012,
                                          competition in the handset industry had focused primarily on developing advanced hardware
                                          features for flagship models and upgrading to higher versions of the Android OS. However,
                                          following the rapid improvement in flagship smartphone hardware, competition to find
                                          differentiation points in hardware temporarily ceased in 2013, with latecomers closing the gap
                                          with top tiers, in terms of hardware competitiveness.
 Efforts to develop                       Through efforts to establish solid identities, handset makers are seeking to: 1) protect the
 alternative platforms to                 premium of high-margin flagship smartphones; 2) reinforce customer loyalty and expand
 drive up R&D costs, raising
 the cost burden for second               market share through the development of an independent ecosystem; 3) reduce marketing
 tiers with higher fixed cost             costs for low-to mid-end models; and 4) diversify profit structures to software/contents, after
 portions                                 focusing primarily on hardware sales to date. In sharp contrast to Chinese smartphone
                                          makers, which continued to emphasize the advanced hardware performance of their flagship
                                          models at the 2013 MWC, other smartphone makers (SEC, LG Electronics, Nokia, HTC and
                                          Sony emphasized the identity and differentiated UX of their new smartphone models.

Figure 55 Smartphone line-up at MWC2013
   Vendor                Alcatel                         Sony                Huawei                      HTC                       ZTE
   Picture




   Name             One Touch idol x               Xperia Z                  Ascend P2                     One                 Grand memo
    Core            1.2GHz Quad core          Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz         1.5GHz Quad core        Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz       Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz
     OS                Android 4.1.2              Android 4.1.2             Android 4.1.2              Android 4.1              Android 4.1.2
   Display        5" (1920x1080),441ppi      5" (1920x1080), 441ppi   4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi   4.7" (1920x1080),469ppi   5.7" (1280x720), 288ppi
     Size            140.4x67.5x7mm              139x71x7.9mm                 Unknown              137.4x68.2x9.3mm          159.9x82.6x8.5mm
   Weight                  TBA                        146g                    Unknown                      143g                     TBA
   Memory                2GB RAM                    2GB RAM                   1GB RAM                   2GB RAM                   2GB RAM
   Storage                16GB                       16GB                       16GB                      32GB                     16GB
   Battery              2,000mAh                   2,330mAh                   2.420mAh                  2,300mAh                 3,200mAh
   Release                 TBA                     2013.02.09                  2013.1Q                   2013.03.                 2013.1Q
Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research



Efforts to develop                        With platforms rising as a key element in competition this year, smartphone makers are likely
alternative platforms to                  to expand efforts to diversify smartphone OS. As such, market attention should once again
drive up R&D costs, raising
the cost burden for second                focus on the competitiveness of SEC (relatively less burdened by development costs), Apple
tiers with higher fixed cost              and RIM (companies offering proprietary platforms). For Android smartphones, the process of
portions                                  ‘platform porting/optimization/application of UI/main application installation’ accounts for 50-
                                          55% of the entire development process and uses up more than half of all R&D costs. In the
                                          long term, by adopting an alternative platform, smartphone makers would be able to: 1)
                                          reduce R&D expenses; 2) minimize R&D periods; and 3) increase customer loyalty, while
                                          differentiating flagship models by building an exclusive ecosystem. However, with the market
                                          share of Android OS reaching 66.1% (+19.4% YoY) at end-2012, we expect the platform’s
                                          oligopolistic control over the market (which started in 2011) to continue into 2013. Efforts to
                                          diversify platforms should drive up the R&D cost burden for second tiers, which struggle from
                                          higher fixed cost portions, due to their relatively lower shipment volumes.




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                        Handsets




Figure 56 Upcoming smartphones using new OS
   Vendor                 Samsung                        ZTE                      Sony                    Alcatel                       Ubuntu
   Picture




   Name                  Tizen phone                   Open                     Xperia E               One Touch Fire                     TBA
    Core                      TBA                 Qualcomm S1              Qualcomm S1 1GHz            Qualcomm 1GHz                      TBA
     OS                    Tizen 2.0                Firefox OS                  Firefox OS                Firefox OS                    Ubuntu
   Display                    TBA             3.5" (480x320), 165pi      3.5" (480x320), 165ppi     3.5"(480x320), 165ppi                 TBA
     Size                     TBA                114x62x12.5mm             113.5x61.8x11mm            116x62.3x12.2mm                     TBA
   Weight                     TBA                       TBA                        116g                       TBA                         TBA
   Memory                     TBA                  256MB RAM                   512MB RAM                 256MB RAM                        TBA
   Storage                    TBA                      0.5GB                        4GB                       2GB                         TBA
   Battery                    TBA                   1,200mAh                    1,500mAh                  1,400mAh                        TBA
   Release                 2013.07.                  2013.2Q                      2014E                    2013.06                      2013.2H
Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research


Figure 57 Character comparisons among newest smartphones’ OS
  Apple: iOS6                                      Android: Jelly Bean (4.1/4.2)               RIM: BlackBerry 10            Microsoft: Windows 8
  New map app                                      Improvement of touch screen response        BlackBerry Hub                New bookmark function
  Siri, multiple languages support (Korean)        Expansion of alarm function                 BlackBerry keyboard           Live tile custom option
  Integration of Facebook                                                                      BBM video with screen
                                                   To support multiple languages and keyboards                               Live app
                                                                                               share
  Streaming share photos                                                                       Camera with time shift
                                                   Performance improvements both HTML5 and JSP                               Features for children
                                                                                               mode
  Passbook                                         USB audio output/multi-channel audio        Blackberry Balance            People Hub
  FaceTime, mobile comm. network support           Media function improvement                  BlackBerry Remember           Photo Hub
  New call function (e.g. Interruption-free                                                    Sharing made easy
                                                   Performance improvement of home launcher                                  Office Hub
  mode)                                                                                        with NFC
  Simple mail system                               Adjustment of Project Butter                Voice control                 SkyDrive
  Improvement of Safari searching
                                                   Chrome as a base browser                         Super-fast browsing      Games Hub
  environment
  Guided access for handicapped                    Not supporting Adobe Flash Player                                         Electronic wallet
  Camera panorama function                         SELinux
  Redesigned stores                                "Daydream" screensaver
  Additional function for Chinese users            Power alarm management
                                                   Improvement of locked screen
                                                   To support multiple accounts in tablets
                                                   Gesture typing
                                                   Photosphere (panorama)
                                                   Improvement of Google Now
                                                   Wireless display (Miracast)
Source: Apple, Google, RIM, Microsoft, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 58 Global smartphone OS market share

   (%)
   100
                                                                                                                                           Others
    90
    80                                                                                                                                     Symbian
    70
                                                                                                                                           Microsoft
    60
    50                                                                                                                                     Bada
    40
                                                                                                                                           RIM
    30
    20                                                                                                                                     iOS

    10
                                                                                                                                           Android
     0
               1Q11            2Q11           3Q11             4Q11           1Q12           2Q12          3Q12             4Q12

 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research

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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                         Handsets




SEC’s new tablet PC Galaxy                *Samsung Electronics (005930 KS): We expect SEC’s Galaxy Note 8”, unveiled at MWC 2013,
Note 8”, revealed at MWC                  to eat into the market shares of the iPad mini and tablet PC second tiers (Amazon and Barnes
2013, likely to emerge as
the 8” category killer                    & Noble) within 1H13. We note that the Galaxy Note 8”: 1) placed emphasis on identity,
product and eat into iPad                 leveraging on the design similarities with the Galaxy smartphone series (rather than its
mini’s market share                       predecessor, the Galaxy Note 10.1”), as well as the advanced features of its S-Pen stylus
                                          feature killer app; and 2) stands to secure market share within the 7-8” category in 1H13,
                                          with the new iPad mini model slated for release in end-2Q13. As such, we expect SEC’s tablet
                                          PC shipments to grow by 64.2% YoY to 30m units in FY13, driving up the company’s global
                                          market share to 20.5% (+6.1ppt YoY) as a result.

Figure 59 Galaxy Note 8.0 vs. iPad mini
                         Galaxy Note 8.0                                     Versus                                     iPad mini
                                                1.6Ghz Quad                    AP                      A5 1GHz

                                                  2GB RAM                   Memory                   512MB RAM

                                                       8”                 Display size                    7.9”

                                                Android 4.1.2                  OS                        iOS6

                                                 4600mAh                     Battery                  4400mAh

                                            211x136x7.95mm                 Dimensions              200x134.7x7.2mm

                                                    338g                     Weight                      312g

                                                 1280x800                  Resolution                 1024x768

                                                   189ppi                   Density                      162ppi

                                                 5M (1.3M)             Main camera (front)            5M (1.2M)

Source: PhoneArena, SEC, Apple, Mirae Asset Research



                                          *LGE (066570 KS): At the Mobile World Congress (MWC), LG Electronics (LGE) unveiled the
                                          Optimus F series (entry-level LTE smartphones) and the Optimus L II series (3G smartphone
                                          successors to the Optimus L series). The Optimus F-series shares its platform (design, UI and
                                          UX) with the Optimus G Pro, unveiled last week. We believe LGE’s efforts to vertically
                                          integrate its smartphone lineup will partially reduce marketing and R&D costs and enable the
                                          company to compete with SEC’s three major entry-level smartphones, the Galaxy Ace2 (3.8”,
                                          800x480, 768MB DRAM), Galaxy S3 mini (4.0”, 800x480, 1GB DRAM) and Galaxy Grand (5”,
                                          800x480, 1GB DRAM). On a positive note, cumulative sales of the Optimus G Pro (260k units)
                                          have recently exceeded those of its predecessor, the Optimus G.


Figure 60 LGE’s new smartphone line-up at MWC2013
   Vendor                 LGE                               LGE                     LGE                           LGE                   LGE
   Picture




   Name              Optimus L7 Ⅱ                 Optimus L5 Ⅱ                Optimus L3 Ⅱ                 Optimus F7                Optimus F5
    Core           Qualcomm S4 1GHz                     1GHz                Qualcomm S1 1GHz            1.5GHz Dual core          1.2GHz Dual core
     OS                 Android 4.1                 Android 4.1.2               Android 4.1.2             Android 4.1.2              Android 4.1.2
   Display        4.3" (800x480), 217pp         4" (800x480), 233ppi       3.2" (320x240),125ppi     4.7" (1280x720),312ppi     4.3" (960x540),256ppi
     Size           121.5x66.6x9.7mm             117.5x62.2x9.2mm                 Unknown              131.7x68.2x9.6mm            126x64.5x9.3mm
   Weight                  TBA                          TBA                       Unknown                      TBA                       TBA
    Specs               768MB RAM                    512MB RAM                   512MB RAM                  2GB RAM                    1GB RAM
   Release               2013.1Q                      2013.1Q                     2013.1Q                    2013.1Q                   2013.1Q
Source: LGE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                     Handsets




                                         *HTC (2498 TT): At MWC 2013, HTC revealed its new One flagship smartphone model,
                                         scheduled for release in 80-plus markets around the world from March. The new flagship
                                         model offers: a new UX focusing on visual and auditory senses; advanced video recording and
                                         editing functions; a 4M ultra-pixel camera on the front; and Dolby Surround speakers. HTC’s
                                         global smartphone market share stood at 3.2% (-1.8ppt YoY) in 4Q12. We expect the
                                         company’s operating margin to remain flat QoQ, at 1% in 1Q13, despite a rise in demand for
                                         the One, owing to seasonal weakness and greater spending on R&D and marketing for new
                                         models.

Figure 61 HTC's smartphone lineup in 1H13
   Vendor                 HTC                          HTC                    HTC                      HTC                     HTC
   Picture




   Name                     8S                            8X                J butterfly             Droid DNA                   One
    Core           Qualcomm S4 1.0GHz           Qualcomm S4 1.2GHz     Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz       Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz     Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz
     OS                 Windows 8                     Windows 8             Android 4.1              Android 4.1            Android 4.1
   Display            4" (800x480)                 4.3" (1280x720)       5" (1920x1080)           5" (1920x1080)         4.7" (1920x1080)
     Size           120.5x63x10.3mm             132.35x66.2x10.12mm      143x71x9.1mm             141x71x9.7mm          137.4x68.2x9.3mm
   Weight                  113g                          130g                  140g                     138g                    143g
    Specs          S-LCD / 512MB RAM             S-LCD 2 / 1GB RAM    Super LCD 2 / 2GB RAM      441ppi / 2GB RAM              468ppi
   Release               2012.11.                      2012.11.              2012.12.                 2012.11.               2013.03.
Source: HTC, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research



                                         *Sony (6758 JP): After revealing its new Xperia Z flagship smartphone at the CES in February
                                         2013, Sony announced plans to release the new model in 60-plus markets around the world
                                         within 1Q13, at US$849. The company also plans to release its new tablet PC Xperia Tablet Z
                                         within 1Q13. For the new model, Sony focused on emphasizing exquisite designs typical of
                                         Japanese products for the set and UI, added waterproof capabilities and reinforced marketing
                                         efforts. The company adopted the Bravia Engine for the new model to enhance display
                                         functions, and differentiated hardware features by installing an RGB image sensor. We expect
                                         Sony’s smartphone sales volume to rise by 4.6% QoQ to 9.1m units in 1Q13, backed by
                                         growth in market shares at home and in Europe. The company is likely to meet its targets to
                                         sell 34m (+51% YoY) smartphones in FY2012, considering its local market share of 7.5% (-
                                         0.1ppt QoQ, fourth largest in terms of share of supply) at 4QFY12. We expect Sony’s
                                         shipment growth to have a limited impact on both SEC and LG Electronics, with the two
                                         companies’ Japanese market share standing at 6.5% (sixth largest, in terms of share of
                                         supply) and a mere 2%, respectively, in 2012 and shipments to the Japanese market
                                         accounting for only 1% of SEC’s total smartphone shipments.


Figure 62 Sony's smartphone line-up in 1H13
   Vendor                Sony                          Sony                   Sony                    Sony                    Sony
   Picture




   Name                 Xperia T                     Xperia TL              Xperia E                 Xperia Z               Xperia ZL
    Core           Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz            Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz      Qualcomm S1            Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz      Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz
     OS                Android 4.0                   Android 4.0           Android 4.1              Android 4.1.2           Android 4.1.2
   Display           4.6" (1280x720)              4.6" (1280x720)        3.5" (480x320)        5" (1920x1080),441ppi   5" (1920x1080),441ppi
     Size          129.4x67.3x9.35mm             129.4x67.3x9.4mm        114x62x11mm               139x71x7.9mm            132x69x9.8mm
   Weight                  139g                         148g                  116g                      146g                    151g
    Specs               1GB RAM                       1GB RAM             512MB RAM                   2GB RAM                 2GB RAM
   Release               2012.09                       2012.11              2013.Q1                   2013.01.                2013.01.
Source: Sony, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research


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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                       Handsets




                                           *Nokia (NOK US): Nokia unveiled four new low-end smartphone models (the Lumia720,
                                           Lumia620, Lumia301 and Lumia105) at Mobile World Congress (MWC) 2013. It plans to
                                           launch: 1) the Lumia720 (equipped with 4.3-inch display and 512MB RAM) in China in 1Q13
                                           and then in Europe in 2Q13; 2) the Lumia620 (low-end model embedded with 4-inch display)
                                           in Hong Kong and Vietnam in 1Q13 and then in the US in 2Q13; and 3) the Lumia301 and
                                           Lumia105 at ultra-low prices (EUR65 and EUR15, respectively). Nokia’s continued expansion
                                           of low-end smartphone lineup is attributable to its strategy for increasing its emerging market
                                           share. The company accounted for 5.6% of the global smartphone market in 2012 (-12ppt
                                           YoY). Nokia saw a turnaround in its handset business in 4Q12, thanks to the rise in its
                                           smartphone sales (to 6.6m units, up 5.9ppt QoQ), following the launch of the Lumia920.
                                           However, its handset division should find it difficult to maintain positive earnings in 1Q13,
                                           without strengthening its price competitiveness against Chinese local brands and improving its
                                           currently low compatibility with Android OS (which dominates the mobile OS market).



Figure 63 Nokia's handset line-up in 1H13
   Vendor                   Nokia                       Nokia                 Nokia                         Nokia                Nokia
   Picture




   Name               Lumia 920                      Asha 205                 Asha 206                 Lumia 620                Lumia 720
    Core          Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz                     X                        X               Qualcomm S4 1.0GHz       Qualcomm S4 1.0GHz
     OS                Windows 8                    Series 40 UI             Series 40 UI              Windows 8                Windows 8
   Display          4.5" (1280x768)           2.4" (320x240), 167ppi   2.4" (320x240), 167ppi    3.8" (800x480), 246ppi   4.3" (800x480), 217ppi
     Size         130.3x70.8x10.7mm             112.8x61.1x13mm          116x49.4x12.4mm           115.4x61.1x11mm           127.9x67.5x9mm
   Weight                 185g                          94g                      91g                      127g                     128g
    Specs               1GB RAM                      16MB RAM                 16MB RAM                 512MB RAM                512MB RAM
   Release             2012.11.13                     2012.12.                 2012.12                  2013.01.                 2013.1Q
Source: Nokia, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research



                                           *Lenovo (992 HK): Lenovo posted a turnaround in its handset business in 3Q12. At MWC
                                           2013, it added a new model (the K900, which was first introduced at CES) to its flagship
                                           model lineup. The company has continued to expand its smartphone market share in China
                                           (FY12 market share: 12.2%, up 10.1% YoY). It is focused on expanding its market share in
                                           China in 1H13 and its global market share in 2H13.



Figure 64 Lenovo's smartphone & tablet line-up in 1H13
   Vendor                  Lenovo                      Lenovo                 Lenovo                       Lenovo                Lenovo
   Picture




    Name                   K800                           K900           IdeaTab A1000                 IdeaTab A3000        IdeaTab S6000
     Core           Intel Atom 1.6GHz              Intel Atom 2.0GHz     1.2GHz Dual core              1.2GHz Quad core     1.2GHz Quad core
      OS               Android 2.3                    Android 4.2           Android 4.1                   Android 4.1          Android 4.1
    Display                                        5.5" (1920x1080),                                                        10.2" (1280x800),
                 4.5" (1280x720), 326ppi                               7" (1024x600), 170ppi      7" (1024x600), 170ppi
                                                          400ppi                                                                  149ppi
     Size                131x71x11mm               Thickness: 6.9mm      199x121x107mm                 194x120x11mm          260x180x8.6mm
   Weight                    161g                          162g               340g                          340g                   560g
    Specs                    1GB                           2GB                 1GB                          1GB                    1GB
   Release                 2012.01.                      2013.04             2013.1Q                      2013.1Q                2013.1Q
Source: Lenovo, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                        Handsets




                                           *ZTE (763 HK): ZTE unveiled the 5.7-inch display phablet Grand Memo at MWC 2013, adding
                                           to its high-end smartphone lineup (which includes the Grand S and the Nubia Z5, introduced
                                           at CES 2013 in January). The company’s market share in China’s handset market rose by
                                           1.8ppt YoY to 5.8% in 2012; in particular, its smartphone market share in China continued to
                                           grow to 8.4% in 2012 (+0.6ppt YoY). ZTE plans to launch the three new high-end
                                           smartphone models in China in 1Q13, before going global in 2Q13. Backed by increased
                                           smartphone shipments, we expect ZTE’s handset business to post a turnaround in 2013.



Figure 65 ZTE's smartphone line-up in 1H13
   Vendor                  ZTE                          ZTE                      ZTE                      ZTE                      ZTE
   Picture




   Name                  Grand X                     Grand X In               Nubia Z5                   Grand S               Grand memo
    Core           Nvidia Tegra2 1.2GHz          Intel Z2460 1.6GHz      Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz        Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz      Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz
     OS                 Android 4.0                  Android 4.0              Android 4.1               Android 4.1             Android 4.1.2
   Display        4.3" (960x540), 256ppi           4.3" (960x540)          5" (1920x1080)         5" (1920x1080),441ppi   5.7" (1280x720), 288ppi
     Size            127x64.6x9.9mm                127x65x9.9mm           138x69.2x7.6mm              142x69x6.9mm           159.9x82.6x8.5mm
   Weight                  110g                         140.8g                   126g                      TBA                      TBA
    Specs               512MB RAM                      1GB RAM            2GB RAM / 441ppi               2GB RAM                  2GB RAM
   Release              2012.07.18                     2012.09                 2013.Q1                   2013.1Q                  2013.1Q
Source: ZTE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




                                           *Huawei (002502 CH): Huawei shipped 8.7m smartphone units in 4Q12 (+11% QoQ), the
                                           third largest shipments among smartphone makers. The company has focused on improving
                                           its brand image, with the launch of new flagship smartphones - the Ascend D2 (5’’ full HD),
                                           the Ascend Mate (5.5” full HD) and the Ascend P2 (4.7” 1280x720) - at CES 2013 and MWC
                                           2013. Huawei aims to expand exports of the Ascend P2, following its launch in Europe in
                                           2Q13, while expanding its domestic market share during 1H13. The Ascend P2, which will be
                                           available at an ASP of US$525, should help Huawei’s flagship models expand their combined
                                           market share in 2H13 (when they should see an additional fall in ASP, due to increased
                                           shipments).




Figure 66 Huawei's smartphone line-up in 1H13
   Vendor                Huawei                       Huawei                   Huawei                   Huawei                   Huawei
   Picture




   Name                  4Afrika                       Ascend D2              Ascend Mate                   W1                   Ascend P2
    Core          Qualcomm S4 1.2GHz            Hi-silicon K3V2 1.5GHz   Hi-silicon K3V2 1.5GHz    Qualcomm S4 1.2GHz        1.5GHz Quad core
     OS               Windows 7.8                    Android 4.1.2            Android 4.1.2             Windows 8               Android 4.1.2
   Display        4" (800x480), 233ppi          5" (1920x1080),441ppi       6.1" (1280x720)            4" (800x480)       4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi
     Size                 TBA                       140x71x9.4mm          163.5x865.7x9.9mm        124.5x63.5x10.2mm              Unknown
   Weight                 TBA                             170g                      198g                    130g                  Unknown
    Specs              512MB RAM                           2GB                     241ppi                  220ppi                 1GB RAM
   Release              2013.1H                          2013.01                  2013.02                 2013.01                 2013.2Q
Source: Huawei, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                Handsets




                                         5. SEMCO (009150 KS) remains our top-pick, LGE is our second pick
 We maintain our target                  In light of the likely continued expansion in SEC’s global market share in 2013 (+0.4ppt YoY
 price of KRW12,500 for                  to 23.6%), we reiterate our BUY rating and target price of KRW125,000 for SEMCO. We
 SEMCO, as our sector top-
 pick                                    believe that: 1) the 34.4% YoY growth in SEC’s smartphone shipments (to 290m units)
                                         expected in 2013 should drive up shipments of related components; 2) the expected 89% YoY
                                         growth in SEC’s flagship smartphone shipments (to 146m units) should improve SEMCO’s
                                         product mix, thus lifting its profitability; and 3) component ASPs are unlikely to decline,
                                         despite the recent margin improvement by Japanese component makers. SEMCO shares are
                                         currently trading at a 2013E P/E of 16.6x and P/B of 1.7x (versus ROE of 10.5%).

 Our target price of                     We maintain our BUY rating and target price of KRW88,000 for LGE, as: 1) efforts to vertically
 KRW88,000 maintained for                integrate its smartphone lineup should gradually sharpen competitiveness; 2) the sales
 LGE, as our second pick for             outlook for its new flagship smartphone, the Optimus G Pro, remains bright in 1H13; and 3)
 the sector
                                         profitability should improve in 1H13, driven by shipment growth and higher ASP, following a
                                         rise in smartphone market share. LGE shares currently trade at FY13E P/E of 12.4x and P/B of
                                         1.0x (versus ROE of 7.8%), while competitors (RIM, HTC and ZTE) are trading at FY13E P/E
                                         average of 13.9x and P/B average of 1.6x (versus ROE average of 7.1%).




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                        Handsets




 Ⅲ. Appendix
 1. 1Q13E smartphone peers’ earnings guidance & consensus

Figure 67 1Q13E smartphone peers earnings guidance
  Company                Market cap.              2013E                                             1Q13E guidance
                            (US$ m)
  (code)                                     P/E (x)      P/B (x)
  SEC                          209,777           8.3          1.8   Smartphone and tablet PC demand expected to decrease QoQ, due to weak
  (005930 KS)                                                       seasonality.


  LGE                           11,819          12.5          1.0   Smartphone shipments guidance in 1Q13 is 8.3m units (-3.5% QoQ).
  (066570 KS)

  Apple                        417,477          10.0          2.9   Revenue guidance for 1Q13 is US$41-43bn, GPM 37.5-39.5%.
  (AAPL US)

  HTC                            7,966          17.5          2.6   Revenue guidance for 1Q13 is NT$50-60bn, GPM 21-23%, OPM 0.5-1.0%.
  (2498 TT)

  RIM                            6,945             -          0.8   Continued drag on operating margin from promotional costs for the launch of
  (RIMM US)                                                         Blackberry10 in 1Q13.


  Google                       264,837          17.5          3.1   Reduction in demand, due to weak seasonality.
  (GOOG US)                                                         Pressure from Motorola's operating losses expected to continue.

  ZTE                            5,502          18.0          1.5   Plans to enter Chinese local market with high-end smartphone.
  (763 HK)

  Sony                          14,693          23.5          0.7   Smartphone shipment guidance for CY1Q13 is 9.1m units (+4.6% QoQ).
  (6758 JP)

  Nokia                         14,118          62.5          1.3   OPM of -2% expected for handset business.
  (NOK US)


Source: Company data, Mirae Asset Research
Note: Share price data as of 1 March 2013




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                     Handsets




Figure 68 Smartphone peers’ earnings consensus
  Company (code) / US$ m                      2Q12           3Q12       4Q12       1Q13E         2011     2012E        2013E      2014E
  Apple (AAPL US)
          Total handset shipments                35             37          43           50          91       134         166         207
           Sales                             35,023         35,966     54,878       42,935      65,225    156,212     182,705     206,040
                       YoY (%)                 22.6           27.2        18.4          9.6      (39.7)     139.5        17.0        12.8
           OP                                11,573         10,944     16,976       12,691      18,385     55,252      55,383      63,500
                       YoY (%)                 23.4           25.6       (2.1)       (17.5)      (45.6)     200.5         0.2        14.7
                       OPM (%)                 33.0           30.4        30.9         29.6        28.2      35.4        30.3        30.8
  HTC (2498 TT)
         Total handset shipments                   9              8          8           12         43         32            36        45
          Sales                                3,074          2,352      2,086        1,887      8,858      9,991        9,495     10,100
                      YoY (%)                 (28.7)         (49.5)     (37.7)       (17.4)     (44.1)       12.8         (5.0)       6.4
          OP                                     277            165         38           42      1,402        661          454        591
                      YoY (%)                 (58.5)         (76.2)     (91.0)       (75.7)     (40.1)     (52.9)       (31.3)       30.2
                      OPM (%)                    9.0            7.0        1.8          2.2       15.8        6.6           4.8       5.8
  Nokia (NOK US)
          Total handset shipments                82              88         97         107         414        335         375         401
           Smartphone shipments                   6                7         7            8         86          35          29         35
           Sales                              9,678           9,056    10,581        8,901      56,309     39,628      39,119      40,025
                       YoY (%)               (27.5)          (28.6)     (21.5)        (7.7)        4.6      (29.6)       (1.3)        2.3
           OP                               (1,060)           (721)        762           25      2,746        115       1,311       1,386
                       YoY (%)                 51.2           618.4      315.9     (101.4)    11,501.1      (95.8)    1,043.1         5.7
                       OPM (%)               (11.0)            (8.0)       7.2          0.3        4.9         0.3         3.4        3.5
  RIM (RIMM US)
         Total handset shipments                  9              9          10          10          52         34            38         36
          Sales                               2,814          2,873       2,664       2,835      19,907     11,266      12,920      12,082
                      YoY (%)                (42.7)         (31.1)      (48.4)      (32.3)         8.0      (43.4)         14.7       (6.5)
          OP                                  (308)          (363)       (280)       (246)       4,636    (1,161)        (463)       (369)
                      YoY (%)               (134.3)        (189.2)     (185.3)     (215.3)       151.3    (125.0)       (60.2)      (20.1)
                      OPM (%)                (10.9)         (12.6)      (10.5)        (8.7)       23.3      (10.3)        (3.6)       (3.1)
  ZTE (763 HK)
          Total handset shipments                  25           31         37           41           56         68         133        152
           Smartphone shipments                     8            8          9           10           11         27          36         44
           Sales                               3,728         2,809      4,657        3,203      10,330     14,262      16,677      18,825
                       YoY (%)                   11.6       (12.2)        6.4          9.6       (22.6)       38.1        16.9       12.9
           OP                                    (37)        (460)        233          N/A          616       (34)         579        686
                       YoY (%)                (28.7)       (604.0)       44.2          N/A         44.8   (105.6)    (1,784.5)       18.6
                       OPM (%)                  (1.0)       (16.4)        5.0          N/A          6.0      (0.2)         3.5        3.6
  Sony (6758 JP)
          Total handset shipments                  8              9          10          11         33          31         38          41
           Smartphone shipments                    8              8           9           9         20          24         33          39
           Sales                             18,925         20,407      21,988      17,051      84,029     72,306      74,795      75,374
                       YoY (%)                   3.2            0.6       (6.7)      (15.6)        2.1      (14.0)        3.4         0.8
           OP                                     78           385         877         507       2,338       1,417      2,067       2,447
                       YoY (%)                (76.8)      (1,927.2)    (173.9)    (2,947.3)    (374.2)      (39.4)       45.9        18.4
                       OPM (%)                   0.4            1.9         4.0         3.0        2.8         2.0        2.8         3.2
  Google (GOOG US)
          Total handset shipments                 8               8        11           13           41        34          41          48
           Smartphone shipments                   6               6         6            7           19        19          24          31
           Sales                             12,214         14,101     12,357       11,305      29,321     41,665      49,236      56,510
                       YoY (%)                 35.3            45.1      16.8          6.2       (22.6)      42.1        18.2        14.8
           OP                                 3,203           2,736     3,619        3,789      10,381     13,358      16,046      19,295
                       YoY (%)                 11.2          (10.5)       3.2         11.8       (11.6)      28.7        20.1        20.3
                       OPM (%)                 26.2            19.4      29.3         33.5         35.4      32.1        32.6        34.1
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                         Handsets




 2. Handset peers’ shipment portions by country

 Figure 69 SEC shipment portions by country in 4Q12                             Figure 70 LGE shipment portions by country in 4Q12

                                                                          (%)                                                                    (%)
                                              China, 10.4

                                                                                                                                       US, 30.0
                                                      US, 14.5
                                                                                         Others, 34.8




     Others, 54.7                                                                                                                             Spain, 2.4
                                                          India, 11.2
                                                                                                                                         Korea, 5.4
                                                                                             Mexico, 6.4
                                                     Brazil, 5.1
                                                                                                                     Brazil, 21.1
                                     Russia, 4.1




 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                          Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 71 Nokia shipment portions by country in 4Q12                           Figure 72 HTC shipment portions by country in 4Q12

                                                                          (%)                                                                              (%)
                                 China, 4.3

                                                       India, 16.3
                                                                                                                                        China, 26.9
                                                                                           Others, 28.8

                                                            Brazil, 5.1



                                                          Mexico, 2.5                      UK, 10.0



           Others, 60.1                                                                                                                 US, 22.6
                                                                                               Germany,
                                                    Russia, 3.0                                   8.7
                                                                                                                   Japan, 3.0




 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                          Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 73 RIM shipment portions by country in 4Q12                             Figure 74 Apple shipment portions by country in 4Q12

                                                                          (%)                                                                              (%)
                                US, 8.6             Spain, 4.4                                                                  China, 10.4


                                                            UK, 11.8
                                                                                        Others, 39.2


                                                                                                                                              US, 35.7
          Others, 57.6                                    Mexico, 10.2


                                                                                            UK, 4.6
                                                                                                                                Canada, 3.1
                                              South Africa,                                           Japan, 7.0
                                                  7.4



 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                          Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research




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Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com   Handset
 Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com



3. Handset market share by vendor in 2012

Figure 75 Apple’s handset shipment market share in 4Q12




Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


Mirae Asset Securities                                               36

                                                              36
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com     Handset
 Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com



4. Smartphone market share by vendor in 2012

Figure 76 Apple’s smartphone shipment market share in 4Q12




Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


Mirae Asset Securities                                                 37

                                                                37
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                        Handsets




 5. Tablet PC market share and line-up in 2013

 Figure 77 Tablet PC MS in 2012                                                Figure 78 Tablet PC MS in 2013



                                                                                             Others,
           Others,                                                                           27.8%
           33.3%




                                                             Apple,                                                                     Apple,
                                                             52.4%                                                                      51.7%




                                                                                          SEC, 20.5%
             SEC, 14.4%


 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                         Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research




Figure 79 7-8” tablet PC line-up
   Vendor                  SEC                       Apple                    Amazon                         Google            Barnes & Noble
   Picture




   Name               Galaxy Note 8                iPad mini              Kindle Fire HD                      Nexus 7               NOOK HD
    Core               1.6GHz Quad                     A5                OMAP4460 1.2Ghz               Nvidia Tegra3 1.3Ghz   TI OMAP4470 1.3Ghz
     OS                Android 4.1.2                  iOS6                  Android 4.0                     Android 4.1            Android 4.0
   Display            8" (1280x800)         7.9" (1024x768), 162ppi       7.0" (1280x800)                 7" (1280x600)           7" (1440x900)
     Size            211x136x7.95mm            200x134.7x7.2mm           193x137x10.3mm                 198.5x12x10.45mm         194x127x11mm
   Weight                  338g                       312g                      395g                           340g                    315g
    Specs                2GB RAM                    IPS LCD                   HD LCD                         1GB RAM                 IPS LCD
   Release               2013.2Q                   2012.11.02               2012.09.14                      2012.07.13               2012.10.
Source: PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




Figure 80 Galaxy Note 10.1 (HSPA+, 16G)
  Galaxy Note 10.1 (HSPA+, 16G)
  Components                                          Manufacturer                                                                     Cost (US$)
  BOM + manufacturing                                                                                                                        312.8
      Total BOM cost                                                                                                                         302.8
      Manufacturing cost                                                                                                                      10.0
  Major cost drivers
  NAND Flash                                          Samsung
                                                                                                                                                 45.0
  DRAM                                                Samsung/ Winbond
  Display/touch screen                                Samsung/Atmel                                                                          120.0
  Processor                                           Samsung                                                                                 18.8
  Wireless Section - BB/RF/PA                                                                                                                 15.0
  User Interface & sensors
                                                      Murata / Intel / STMicro / Wacom                                                           18.0
  BT / WLAN / FM / GPS
  Power mgt.                                          Maxim                                                                                      12.0
  Camera                                                                                                                                         15.0
  Battery                                             Samsung                                                                                    18.0
  Mech./ electro-mech.                                DAP                                                                                        35.0
  Box contents                                                                                                                                    6.0




                                                                                                                                                 38
                                                                                                                                                  38
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                 Handsets




 Recommendations
 종목별 투자의견 (12개월 기준)                                                    업종별 투자의견
 Buy : 현주가 대비 목표주가 +10% 초과                                             Overweight : 현 업종지수대비 +10% 초과
 Hold : 현주가 대비 목표주가 ±10%이내                                             Neutral : 현 업종지수대비 ±10% 이내
 Reduce : 현주가 대비 목표주가 –10%초과                                           Underweight : 현 업종지수 대비 –10%초과
 단, 업종 투자의견에 의한 ±10%내의 조정치 감안 가능

 Compliance Notice
 본 자료는 투자자의 증권투자를 돕기 위하여 당사 고객에 한하여 배포되는 자료로서 어떠한 경우에도 복사되거나 대여될 수 없습니다. 본 조사자료에 수록된 내용은 당사 리서치센터가 신뢰할 만한 자료 및 정보로부터 얻어진 것
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 공한 사실이 없습니다. 자료에 게재된 내용들은 본인의 의견을 정확하게 반영하고 있으며, 외부의 부당한 압력이나 간섭 없이 작성되었음을 확인함.


                                           Company Analysis
 작 성 자: 조진호, 정용제
                                                     담당자 보유주식수                           1%이상           유가증권    계열사    자사주
      종목                 담당자         종류             수량        취득가         취득일            보유여부            종목     담당자    종류

                         REMARK: Korean analyst is only responsible for Korean securities and relevant sectors only.


                                          Samsung Electro-Mechanics                 (009150 KS, BUY, TP: KRW125,000)

                                          LG Electronics                            (066570 KS, BUY, TP: KRW88,000)




                                                                                                                             39
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Mirae Asset Securities
Korea Research


Company update                                                              Samsung Electro-Mechanics (009150 KS)
 Korea / Handsets
                                                                            Chinese seeking quality parts
 5 March 2013                                               BUY             We maintain our BUY rating and target price of KRW125,000 for Samsung
                                                                            Electro-Mechanics (SEMCO), as we expect: 1) growth in Samsung Electronics’
 Target price                                 KRW125,000                    (SEC’s) smartphone sales to drive up SEMCO’s earnings in 2013; 2) SEMCO’s
 Last price (1 Mar 13)                         KRW95,500                    improved product mix to lift its profitability; 3) limited capacity expansion by
                                                                            Japanese peers in 2013 to lead to balanced supply/demand in the market; and
 Upside/downside (%)                         30.9                           4) steady profitability of high value-added premium components to drive
 KOSPI                                    2026.49
 Mkt. cap (KRWbn/US$bn)                 7,133/6.6
                                                                            SEMCO’s earnings growth in 2013. SEMCO shares currently trade at 16.6x
 52 week range (KRW)             85,700 - 112,500                           FY13E P/E and 1.7x P/B (versus ROE of 10.5%).
 Avg. trading volume daily (KRWbn)           50.6
 Foreign ownership (%)                      22.09                           Earnings to improve visibly, after bottoming out in 1Q13
                                                                            We now expect SEMCO to post sales of KRW2tn (+13.5% YoY, -4.4% QoQ)
 Forecast earnings & valuation                                              and operating profit of KRW119bn (+11.5% YoY, -18% QoQ) for 1Q13.
 Fiscal year ending              Dec-11    Dec-12       Dec-13     Dec-14   Earnings should improve visibly, after bottoming out in 1Q13. In 2Q13, we
 Revenue (KRWbn)                 6,032      7,913        8,773     9,865    expect: 1) losses from FC-BGA sales to persist, amid sluggish PC demand; 2)
 EBIT (KRWbn)                     320.9       608.3      659.2      739.7
                                                                            the release of TV-related parts to gradually rise, on the release of new TV
 Net profit (KRWbn)              392.4      446.1        443.9     507.1
                                                                            models; 3) Galaxy S4 sales growth to start in earnest, driving up SEC’s
 Net profit(underlying)           349.5       437.8      430.6      491.9
 EPS (KRW)                        4,679       5,862      5,765      6,586   flagship smartphone shipments to 35m units (+25% QoQ); 4) growth in
 EPS growth (%)                   (37.0)       25.3        (1.7)     14.2   demand for FC-CSP to remain steady, at 4.5% QoQ, on the release of new
 P/E (x)                           16.6       16.9         16.6     14.5    smartphone models by non-SEC clients; and 5) the LCR division’s operating
 EV/EBITDA (x)                      6.9          7.0        5.2       4.7   margin to improve by 1.5ppt QoQ to 9.5%, backed by a rise in the MLCC
 Dividend yield (%)                 1.0          0.8        0.8       0.8
                                                                            capacity utilization rate. We thus expect SEMCO to record sales of KRW2.1tn
 P/B (x)                            1.7          2.0        1.7       1.6
                                                                            (+12.3% YoY, +8.1% QoQ) and operating profit of KRW171.6bn (+9.9% YoY,
 ROE (%)                           10.0       11.8         10.5     10.9
 Net debt/equity (%)               26.8        23.7        15.3       5.9
                                                                            +44.2% QoQ) in 2Q13. With 2Q13 earnings momentum remaining intact, we
                                                                            expect SEMCO’s valuation attractiveness to exceed that of peers.
 Performance                                                                SEMCO to benefit, as smartphone parts become increasingly complex
                    Price(LHS)                Rel. to KOSPI(RHS)
                                                                            Smartphone parts are likely to represent 55% of FY13E sales (based on FY12
                                                                            results). SEMCO is set to see its profitability rise, backed by product mix
  KRW

                                                                    122%
   111,700
                                                                    117%
                                                                            improvement, with smartphone parts becoming increasingly complex and high
   106,700
   101,700                                                          112%    value-added components accounting for a larger part of total shipments. We
    96,700                                                          107%    note that Chinese smartphone makers are rapidly advancing, in terms of
    91,700                                                          102%
                                                                            hardware performance, and expect China’s three smartphone makers (ZTE,
    86,700                                                          97%
    81,700                                                          92%     Huawei and Lenovo) to expand their mid- to high-end smartphone shipments
           Mar-12       Jun-12       Sep-12       Dec-12                    visibly in 2H13. With demand for high value-added parts, such as HDI, MLCC
                                                                            and FC-CSP, forecast to rise by more than 32.4% YoY, but the number of
                                                                            suppliers expected to remain limited (MLCC: Murata, Taiyo Yuden, TDK; FC-
                                                                            CSP: Ibiden, Unimicron, Kinsus; HDI: Ibiden, Unimicron), we believe market
 Performance                               1M            3M         12M
 Absolute (%)                              4.5          (9.5)        1.8
                                                                            supply/demand will remain in balance in 2013, driving up SEMCO’s operating
 Absolute (US$, %)                         4.5          (9.7)        4.3    margin by 0.1ppt YoY to 7.5% in FY13 as a result.
 Relative to KOSPI (%)                     1.0         (14.3)        2.0
                                                                            MLCC supply/demand balance to lift profitability
                                                                            We maintain our forecast that the MLCC market will see a balance between
                                                                            supply and demand in 2013, and that the decline in SEMCO’s MLCC ASP will
                                                                            stand at the level of 2012 (around 4.9% YoY). We believe SEMCO’s LCR
                                                                            division will post sales of KRW2tn (+5.5% YoY) and operating profit of
                                                                            KRW181.5bn (+11.8% YoY) for FY13. We expect MLCC shipments to grow by
                                                                            21.7% YoY, as SEC’s and other key clients’ smartphone shipments should
                                                                            increase to 290m units (+34.4% YoY) and 160m units (+21.9% YoY),
                                                                            respectively, in 2013. With the LCR division representing 27.5% of SEMCO’s
 Jinho Cho, Analyst                                                         FY13E earnings, the division’s growth should drive up the entire company’s
 82 2 3774 3831 jcho@miraeasset.com                                         operating profit in FY13. Meanwhile, we expect capacity expansion by Japanese
                                                                            rivals (Murata: +10% YoY; TDK: Partial expansion for 0402 size; Taiyo Yuden:
 Yongjei Jeong
                                                                            +5 % YoY) to fall below the sector average of +15% per annum in 2013.
 82 2 3774 1938 yongjei@miraeasset.com
                                                                            Moreover, rivals are unlikely to pursue market share expansion by lowering ASP
                                                                            in 1H13, with their 4Q12 margins (Murata: high single-digit; TDK: continued
                                                                            losses; Taiyo Yuden: low single-digit) lower than that of SEMCO.

See the last page of this report for important disclosures                                                                                               40
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                          Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                            009150 KS




Figure 1 SEMCO peers’ historical valuations
                                              2006          2007          2008        2009        2010              2011          2012E       2013E    2014E
  SEMCO (009150 KS)
           EPS      KRW                       1,268          1,462          624       3,616       7,171          4,679             5,862       5,765     6.586
           BPS      KRW                      23,869         26,362       26,233      34,371      46,410         45,198            50,542      55,511    61.294
           P/E      (x)                        34.2           33.6         53.4        29.7        17.3           16.6              16.9        16.6      14.5
                    high                       34.2           52.2         53.4       174.7        44.1           20.3              22.9
                    low                        34.2           25.2         20.2        29.7        17.3            8.3              10.1
           P/B      (x)                         1.8            1.9          1.3         3.1         2.7            1.7               2.0         1.7       1.6
                    high                        2.0            2.8          2.1         4.2         4.6            2.9               2.6
                    low                         1.2            1.3          1.1         1.3         2.7            1.3               1.2
           ROE      (%)                         5.7            5.8          2.4        11.9        18.3           10.0              11.8        10.5      10.9
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


Figure 2 SEMCO’s P/B valuation
                                               BPS               Sales               OP                OPM                 Note
                                             (KRW)          (KRW bn)           (KRW bn)                (%)
  1Q13E                                      50,764            1,983.1             119.0                6.0     Seasonal weak demand
  2Q13E                                      52,260            2,143.1             171.6                8.0     SEC to release Galaxy S4
  3Q13E                                      54,075            2,303.1             203.6                8.8
  4Q13E                                      55,511            2,343.5             165.1                7.0
  1Q14E                                      55,952            2,281.9             140.7                6.2

  1Q14E BPS (KRW)                          55,592
  Target P/B (x)                             2.12
  Target price (KRW)                      125,000

  Upside potential                           30.9%
  Current share price (KRW)                  95,500
Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research


Figure 3 SEMCO’s earnings summary
  (KRW bn)                        1Q12           2Q12         3Q12       4Q12E     1Q13E      2Q13E     3Q13E         4Q13E          2011     2012E    2013E

  Sales                           1,748          1,908        2,183       2,074     1,983      2,143      2,303        2,344         6,045     7,886    8,773
             QoQ/YoY (%)            5.1            9.2         14.4        (5.0)     (4.4)       8.1        7.5          1.8           7.0      30.4     11.2

  OP                                  107          145          184        145       119         172        204          165           278       581      659
             QoQ/YoY (%)              7.8         35.7         27.1      (21.2)    (18.0)       44.2       18.6        (18.9)        (64.3)    109.0     13.6
             OPM (%)                  6.1          7.6          8.5         7.0       6.0        8.0        8.8           7.0           4.6      7.4      7.5

  NI                                    70            135       143          97        76       116           141          111         392       446     444
             NPM (%)                   4.0            7.1       6.6         4.7       3.8       5.4           6.1          4.8         6.5       5.7     5.1
  Sales by division
           Total                  1,748          1,908        2,183       2,074     1,983      2,143      2,303        2,344         6,045     7,886    8,773
                    ACI             501            555          530         516       454        496        535          579         1,615     2,102    2,064
                    LCR             441            473          511         472       459        512        551          481         1,689     1,897    2,002
                    OMS             424            486          663         600       624        680        739          793         1,101     2,173    2,836
                    CDS             383            394          478         486       445        456        479          490         1,640     1,713    1,871
  OPM by division (%)
           Total                       6.1         7.6          8.5         7.0       6.0        8.0        8.8             7.0        4.6       7.4      7.5
                    ACI               10.7        13.5         14.0        12.0      10.0       14.0       14.0            12.5        6.4      12.0     12.7
                    LCR                5.9         9.5          9.8         8.8       8.0        9.5        9.8             8.8        9.0       8.6      9.1
                    OMS                3.9         4.9          6.9         4.5       3.9        5.2        6.0             4.5        2.6       5.2      4.9
                    CDS                2.8         3.2          6.4         3.0       2.8        4.0        6.4             3.0        2.4       3.0      4.1
  OP by division
           Total                      107             145       184         145       119       172           204          165         278       581     659
                    ACI                54              64        74          62        45        69            75           72         103       253     262
                    LCR                26              45        50          42        37        49            54           42         152       162     182
                    OMS                17              24        46          27        24        35            44           36          28       113     140
                    CDS                11              13        14          15        12        18            30           15          39        52      76
Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research



                                                                                                                                                          41
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                     41
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                     Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                       009150 KS




 Figure 4 SEMCO’s P/B band

   (KRW '000)                          Increasing demand for    ASPs of LED                 2Q11 earnings below       Release of
                                        MLCC, with SEMCO's      expected to                 consensus due to TV       Galaxy S3
   160                                   market share rising     decrease                       components                     FC-BGA:
   140           Expanded LED                                                                                               Turning negative
                 division & high
   120              earnings              Plans to establish
                  expectations            LED joint venture                                                                               2.1x
   100                                        with SEC
                                             announced                                                                                    1.7x
    80
                                                                                                                                          1.3x
    60

    40                                                                                                                       3Q12 earnings
                                                                            Japan earthquake:                                   surprise
                                                                                                             high earnings
    20                   1Q07 OPM 4.2%                    1Q09 turn into the Under-supply of
                                                                                                  expectations for mobile components
                          (-6.8ppt QoQ)                    red (OPM -1.1%)     components
     0
     2007                     2008               2009               2010               2011                  2012                  2013

 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 5 SEMCO’s OP vs. share price

   (KRW bn)                                                                                                                                   (KRW)
    400                                                                                                                                   180,000
                                                                                                                                          160,000
    300
                                                                                                                                          140,000
    200
                                                                                                                                          120,000
    100                                                                                                                                   100,000

      0                                                                                                                                   80,000
       2007                    2008                2009               2010                 2011                2012                  2013 60,000
   (100)
                                                                                                                                          40,000
   (200)
                                                                                                                                          20,000
   (300)                                                                                                                                  0

                                                                OP(LHS)       Price(RHS)

 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                    42
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                42
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                                 Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                                   009150 KS




 Figure 6 SEMCO’s P/E band                                                               Figure 7 SEMCO’s P/B band

  (KRW '000)                                                                               (KRW '000)
   250
                                                                                           250
   200
                                                                                   28x     200                                                                              4x
   150                                   Share price
                                                                                   21x
   100                                                                                     150                                                                              3x
                                                                                   14x                                        Share price
     50                                                                            7x
                                                                                           100                                                                              2x

      0
                                                                                             50                                                                             1x
    (50)

  (100)                                                                                       0
      2000         2002         2004    2006     2008     2010     2012                       2000       2002        2004     2006      2008      2010     2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                                 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 8 SEMCO peers’ 3M performance                                                    Figure 9 SEMCO peers’ YTD performance

  (%)                                                                                      (%)
   50                                                                                       40
                                                                                            35
   40                                                                                       30
   30                                                                                       25
                                                                                            20
   20                                                                                       15
                                                                                            10
   10
                                                                                             5
     0                                                                                       0
                                                                                            (5)
  (10)
                                                                                           (10)
  (20)                                                                                     (15)
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 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                                 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 10 SEMCO’s share price, relative to peers                                        Figure 11 SEMCO’s share price, relative to peers

   (x)                                                                                     (x)
    1.5                                                                                    1.6

   1.4
                                                                                           1.4
   1.3                                                                     Murata
                                                                                                                                                                     Kyocera
   1.2                                                                     Taiyo           1.2                                                                       Shinko
                                                                           Yuden
   1.1
                                                                                           1.0
   1.0                                                                     SEMCO                                                                                     SEMCO
                                                                                                                                                                     Ibiden
   0.9                                                                     TDK             0.8

   0.8
                                                                                           0.6
   0.7

   0.6                                                                                     0.4
     Mar-12            Jun-12          Sep-12       Dec-12                                   Mar-12          Jun-12          Sep-12      Dec-12

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                                 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research



                                                                                                                                                                                 43
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                                           43
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                      Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                        009150 KS




Figure 12 SEMCO peers’ valuations
                                           SEMCO             Murata                TDK    Taiyo Yuden        Ibiden      Shinko    Kyocera
  Price(KRW,JPY,USD)                         95,500             6,100             3,175         1,011         1,431         743      7,950
  Market Cap. (US$ m)                         6,564           14,683             4,396           1,302        2,307       1,073     16,251
  Sales (US$ m)          2010                  6,030           7,231            10,203           2,462        3,568       1,649     14,825
                         2011                  5,450           7,410            10,323           2,329        3,813       1,595     15,093
                         2012E                 7,194           7,244             9,047           2,098        3,069       1,352     13,836
                         2013E                 7,975           8,123             9,576           2,245        3,268       1,421     14,741
                         2014E                 8,968           8,527             9,932           2,307        3,376       1,467     15,211
  OP (US$ m)             2010                    636             907                753             103         396           54     1,824
                         2011                    251             570                237           -102          197          -47     1,238
                         2012E                   553             600                262              53          69           17       865
                         2013E                   599             969                515             128         202           81     1,443
                         2014E                   673           1,138                602             153         234           88     1,528
  NI (US$ m)             2010                    480             626                530             -64         231           28     1,433
                         2011                    316             390                -31           -274          135          -28     1,006
                         2012E                   405             412                 86              35          26           22       681
                         2013E                   404             677                339              75         132           54     1,034
                         2014E                   461             808                392              89         153           58     1,117
  P/E (x)                2010                   16.7            24.0               13.9               -        19.1         47.9      12.6
                         2011                   16.6            34.0         100,637.3                -        28.5            -      17.5
                         2012E                  16.9            34.1               52.1            36.6        88.3         46.6      23.4
                         2013E                  16.6            20.9               13.1            17.4        16.7         20.8      15.4
                         2014E                  14.5            17.1               11.4            14.7        14.1         19.2      14.3
  P/B (x)                2010                     2.8            1.6                1.2             1.0         1.4          0.9       1.1
                         2011                     1.7            1.3                1.2             1.0         1.1          0.8       0.9
                         2012E                   2.0             1.6                0.8             1.1         0.8          0.8       1.0
                         2013E                   1.7             1.5                0.8             1.1         0.7          0.8       0.9
                         2014E                   1.6             1.4                0.7             1.0         0.7          0.7       0.9
  EV/EBITDA (x)          2010                   10.1             8.2                4.9             4.8         4.2          3.6       5.0
                         2011                     6.9            8.8                7.1            11.3         4.6          5.9       5.9
                         2012E                   7.0            10.1                5.2             6.0         3.8          3.6       7.4
                         2013E                   5.2             7.9                4.2             4.5         3.3          2.6       5.4
                         2014E                   4.7             6.9                3.8             4.2         2.9          2.4       4.6
  ROE (%)                2010                     8.4            6.6                8.4           (4.1)         7.4          1.8       8.9
                         2011                   10.0             3.8              (0.5)         (18.6)          4.0        (1.7)       5.5
                         2012E                  11.8             5.0                2.2             3.6         1.0          2.1       4.2
                         2013E                  10.5             7.4                6.1             6.5         4.6          4.1       6.3
                         2014E                  10.9             8.8                6.9             7.3         5.1          4.4       6.4
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research
Note: SEMCO’s earnings are Mirae Asset Research estimates; share prices as of 1 March




                                                                                                                                        44
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                   44
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                            Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                              009150 KS




Figure 13 SEMCO peers’ historical valuations
                                          2006        2007       2008     2009     2010        2011       2012E       2013E    2014E
  SEMCO (009150 KS)
            EPS       KRW                  1,268      1,462         624    3,616    7,171      4,679       5,862       5,765    6.586
            BPS       KRW                 23,869     26,362      26,233   34,371   46,410     45,198      50,542      55,511   61.294
            P/E       (x)                   34.2       33.6        53.4     29.7     17.3       16.6        16.9        16.6     14.5
                      high                  34.2       52.2        53.4    174.7     44.1       20.3        22.9
                      low                   34.2       25.2        20.2     29.7     17.3        8.3        10.1
            P/B       (x)                    1.8        1.9         1.3      3.1      2.7        1.7         2.0         1.7      1.6
                      high                   2.0        2.8         2.1      4.2      4.6        2.9         2.6
                      low                    1.2        1.3         1.1      1.3      2.7        1.3         1.2
            ROE       (%)                    5.7        5.8         2.4     11.9     18.3       10.0        11.8        10.5     10.9
  Murata (6981 JT)
            EPS       US$                    2.7           3.1      0.2      1.2      2.9        1.8            1.9      3.2      3.9
            BPS       US$                   31.5          38.5     36.8     39.9     46.2       46.4           41.6     43.7     46.3
            P/E       (x)                   26.8          14.2    229.4     46.0     24.0       34.0           34.1     20.9     17.1
                      high                  33.3          28.9    229.4    282.2     49.6       34.0           35.5
                      low                   25.0          18.3      8.1     39.9     22.9       15.7           25.6
            P/B       (x)                    2.3           1.3      1.0      1.4      1.6        1.3            1.6      1.5      1.4
                      high                   2.6           2.5      1.6      1.4      1.6        1.7            1.3
                      low                    2.0           1.6      0.7      0.9      1.1        1.0            1.0
            ROE       (%)                    9.0           9.3      0.4      3.1      6.6        3.8            5.0      7.4      8.8
  TDK (6762 JT)
            EPS       US$                    4.5           4.8    (4.9)      1.1      4.1       (0.2)         0.7        2.6      3.0
            BPS       US$                   49.0          55.6     43.3     45.1     50.0        47.9        42.9       44.7     46.8
            P/E       (x)                   19.3          10.7        -     59.3     13.9           -        52.1       13.1     11.4
                      high                  29.8          22.5     14.7     59.3     62.6   73,171.3    103,105.0
                      low                   17.9          13.9      4.7     53.9     15.9         6.9        52.1
            P/B       (x)                    1.8           1.1      0.8      1.5      1.2         1.2         0.8        0.8      0.7
                      high                   1.9           2.1      1.5      1.5      1.6         1.5         1.2
                      low                    1.5           1.3      0.5      0.7      1.0         0.6         0.7
            ROE       (%)                    9.6           9.7    (9.9)      2.5      8.4       (0.5)         2.2        6.1      6.9
  Taiyo Yuden (6976 JT)
            EPS       US$                    0.9           0.8    (1.2)    (0.1)    (0.5)      (2.3)            0.3      0.6      0.7
            BPS       US$                   12.1          14.1     11.9     12.6     13.1       10.7            9.8     10.3     11.1
            P/E       (x)                   22.6          10.9        -        -        -          -           36.6     17.4     14.7
                      high                  84.8          26.6     19.5        -        -          -              -
                      low                   19.3          15.4      4.5        -        -          -              -
            P/B       (x)                    1.7           0.7      0.6      1.2      1.0        1.0            1.1      1.1      1.0
                      high                   1.7           2.0      1.2      1.1      1.3        1.3            1.0
                      low                    1.0           1.2      0.3      0.4      0.8        0.5            0.7
            ROE       (%)                    8.0           6.3    (9.3)    (0.5)    (4.1)     (18.6)            3.6      6.5      7.3
  Ibiden (4062 JT)
            EPS       US$                    2.8           2.7    (0.6)      0.9      1.6        0.9            0.2      0.9      1.1
            BPS       US$                   15.7          20.1     17.8     19.5     22.6       22.9           20.2     20.9     22.0
            P/E       (x)                   18.6          12.6        -     39.4     19.1       28.5           88.3     16.7     14.1
                      high                  33.9          30.8     23.0     40.3     44.0       21.2           29.0
                      low                   18.3          16.9      4.0     39.4     18.7       10.9           12.3
            P/B       (x)                    3.3           2.0      1.3      1.8      1.4        1.1            0.8      0.7      0.7
                      high                   4.3           5.5      3.6      2.0      2.0        1.6            1.1
                      low                    3.1           3.0      0.6      0.9      1.1        0.8            0.5
            ROE       (%)                   19.3          16.2    (3.2)      4.6      7.4        4.0            1.0      4.6      5.1
  Kyocera (6971 JT)
            EPS       US$                    4.8           5.0      1.6      2.4      7.8        5.5            3.7      5.6      6.0
            BPS       US$                   67.3          76.7     72.6     78.4     93.4       96.9           88.6     92.9     97.4
            P/E       (x)                   20.6          14.8     41.2     41.7     12.6       17.5           23.4     15.4     14.3
                      high                  31.6          24.9     41.2     53.7     44.3       17.5           18.2
                      low                   20.8          17.5      8.0     33.8     12.4        9.2           14.0
            P/B       (x)                    1.4           1.1      0.9      1.2      1.1        0.9            1.0      0.9      0.9
                      high                   1.7           1.7      1.4      1.2      1.3        1.2            1.0
                      low                    1.2           1.2      0.6      0.7      1.0        0.8            0.8
            ROE       (%)                   15.2           8.1    (4.4)      2.4      1.8      (1.7)            4.2      6.3      6.4
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                  45
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                             45
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                           Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                             009150 KS




Figure 14 SEMCO peers’ earning consensus
  Company(code) / US$ m                            2Q12       3Q12     4Q12E         1Q13E          2011      2012E      2013E
   Murata (6981 JP)
                Sales                               1,781     2,189      1,725         1,901         7,410     7,244      8,123
                                 YoY (%)              1.4      11.3     (10.3)           7.5           2.5      (2.2)      12.1
                         OP                            76       232         73           154           570       600        969
                                 YoY (%)           (63.9)      30.6     (49.7)         338.9        (37.1)        5.3      61.4
                                 OPM (%)              4.3      10.6        4.2           8.1           7.7        8.3      11.9
                         NI                            44       147         58            73           390       412        677
                                 NPM (%)              2.5       6.7        3.3           3.8           5.3        5.7       8.3
  TDK (6762 JP)
                         Sales                      2,606     2,632      2,450         2,695       10,323       9,047     9,576
                                 YoY (%)              2.7      (2.8)      (1.2)          3.9           1.2     (12.4)       5.8
                         OP                           115        142       (97)          142           237        262       515
                                 YoY (%)             66.4       35.2   (206.3)       (627.5)        (68.5)       10.8      96.4
                                 OPM (%)              4.4        5.4      (3.9)          5.3           2.3        2.9       5.4
                         NI                            56         67       (37)           84          (31)         86       339
                                 NPM (%)              2.1        2.5      (1.5)          3.1         (0.3)        1.0       3.5
   Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP)
                 Sales                               581        622        540           593         2,329      2,098     2,245
                                 YoY (%)              0.7      (3.6)     (5.7)          11.0          (5.4)      (9.9)      7.0
                         OP                            14          4      (44)              5        (102)          53      128
                                 YoY (%)          (271.5)    (131.3)      37.2       (109.7)       (198.7)    (152.3)     141.3
                                 OPM (%)              2.4        0.7     (8.1)           0.8          (4.4)        2.5      5.7
                         NI                           (8)          0      (98)            (5)        (274)          35       75
                                 NPM (%)            (1.3)        0.0    (18.1)         (0.9)        (11.8)         1.7      3.3
   Ibiden (4062 JP)
                 Sales                                869       908     1,039           918          3,813      3,069     3,268
                                 YoY (%)               3.7     (1.8)      7.6         (15.5)           6.9     (19.5)       6.5
                         OP                             49        28       60             55           197         69       202
                                 YoY (%)             (4.5)     (5.8)     45.9         (24.6)        (50.3)     (65.0)     194.1
                                 OPM (%)               5.6       3.1      5.8            6.0           5.2        2.2       6.2
                         NI                            (1)        10       41             38           135         26       132
                                 NPM (%)             (0.2)       1.1      4.0            4.1           3.5        0.8       4.0
   Shinko (6967 JP)
                 Sales                                422        398      419            456         1,595      1,352     1,421
                                 YoY (%)             12.1       12.8       6.0         (2.8)          (3.3)    (15.2)       5.1
                         OP                            31          3         3            24           (47)        17        81
                                 YoY (%)         (1384.4)    (108.1)   (110.7)          17.4       (185.7)    (135.7)     388.7
                                 OPM (%)              7.3        0.8       0.7           5.3          (2.9)       1.2       5.7
                         NI                            25          4         0            13            -28        22        54
                                 NPM (%)              5.9        1.1       0.1           2.9          (1.8)       1.6       3.8
   Kyocera (6971 JP)
                Sales                               3,719      3,951     3,661         3,929       15,093     13,836     14,741
                                 YoY (%)             (0.7)       2.6       0.7           1.9           1.8      (8.3)       6.5
                         OP                           (25)       355       171           278         1,238       865      1,443
                                 YoY (%)          (106.1)     (20.0)    (35.8)         137.0        (32.2)     (30.1)      66.9
                                 OPM (%)             (0.7)       9.0       4.7           7.1           8.2        6.3       9.8
                         NI                             82       239        89           197         1,006       681      1,034
                                 NPM (%)               2.2       6.1       2.4           5.0           6.7        4.9       7.0
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                            46
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                       46
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                  009150 KS




 Figure 15 Murata (6981 JP) P/E band                                     Figure 16 Murata (6981 JP) P/B band

  (JPY)                                                                     (JPY)

  30,000                                                                   30,000


  25,000                                                                   25,000


  20,000                                                                   20,000
                                   Share price                                                        Share price
                                                                           15,000                                                         4x
  15,000
                                                                                                                                          3x
  10,000                                                                   10,000
                                                                                                                                          2x
                                                                   40x
    5,000                                                          30x       5,000
                                                                   20x                                                                    1x

           0                                                       10x              0
           2000    2002    2004     2006     2008   2010   2012                     2000   2002    2004    2006      2008   2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research



 Figure 17 TDK (6981 JP) P/E band                                        Figure 18 TDK (6981 JP) P/B band

   (JPY)                                                                    (JPY)
   20,000                                                                  18,000
                          Share price
                                                                           16,000
   15,000
                                                                           14,000                      Share price
   10,000
                                                                  25x      12,000
     5,000                                                        20x      10,000
                                                                  15x
            0                                                     10x        8,000                                                        2.0x
                                                                             6,000                                                        1.5x
    -5,000
                                                                             4,000                                                        1.0x
  -10,000                                                                    2,000                                                        0.5x

  -15,000                                                                           0
        2000       2002     2004    2006     2008   2010   2012                     2000   2002    2004    2006      2008   2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research



 Figure 19 Ibiden (4062 JP) P/E band                                     Figure 20 Ibiden (4062 JP) P/B band

    (JPY)                                                                    (JPY)
  15,000                                                                   12,000
                               Share price
  13,000
                                                                           10,000                    Share price
  11,000

    9,000                                                                    8,000

    7,000
                                                                             6,000
    5,000
                                                                  40x
    3,000                                                         30x        4,000                                                        2.0x
                                                                  20x                                                                     1.5x
    1,000
                                                                  10x        2,000                                                        1.0x
   -1,000
                                                                                                                                          0.5x
   -3,000                                                                           0
        2000       2002     2004    2006     2008   2010   2012                     2000   2002    2004    2006      2008   2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research



                                                                                                                                               47
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                           47
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                              Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                009150 KS




 Figure 21 Shinko (6967 JP) P/E band                                   Figure 22 Shinko (6967 JP) P/B band

    (JPY)                                                                  (JPY)
   6,000                                                                 4,000             Share price
                          Share price
   5,000                                                                 3,500

   4,000                                                                 3,000
   3,000
                                                                         2,500
   2,000
                                                                 40x     2,000                                                        2.0x
   1,000                                                         30x
                                                                 20x     1,500                                                        1.5x
         0
                                                                 10x
  -1,000                                                                 1,000                                                        1.0x
  -2,000                                                                    500                                                       0.5x
  -3,000                                                                      0
       2000       2002      2004    2006   2008   2010    2012                2000     2002    2004      2006    2008   2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                               Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research



 Figure 23 Kyocera (6971 JP) P/E band                                  Figure 24 Kyocera (6971 JP) P/B band

    (JPY)                                                                   (JPY)
  30,000                                                                 20,000
                            Share price
                                                                                                   Share price
                                                                         18,000
  25,000                                                                                                                              2.0x
                                                                         16,000

  20,000                                                                 14,000
                                                                                                                                      1.5x
                                                                         12,000
                                                                 40x
  15,000                                                                 10,000
                                                                                                                                      1.0x
                                                                 30x       8,000
  10,000
                                                                 20x       6,000
                                                                           4,000                                                      0.5x
    5,000
                                                                 10x
                                                                           2,000
         0                                                                      0
         2000      2002     2004    2006   2008   2010    2012                  2000    2002     2004    2006    2008   2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                               Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                             48
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                       48
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                  Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                    009150 KS




  Figure 25 SEC’s smartphone market share in 4Q12

                                                                                                                                  (‘000 units)




  Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 26 Major shareholders of SEMCO                                     Figure 27 SEC shipment portions by country in 4Q12
                                                                     (%)                                                                         (%)
                                            SEC, 23.7              (%)                                                     China, 10.4


                                                                                                                                   US, 14.5


                                                            National
                                                            Pension
                                                          service, 6.1     Others, 54.7
                                                                                                                                    India, 11.2
    Others, 64.9

                                                     Korea                                                                        Brazil, 5.1
                                                  Investment
                                                   Trust, 5.3                                                      Russia, 4.1


 Source: SEMCO, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                            Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                 49
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                            49
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                   Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                     009150 KS




 Figure 28 4Q12 global handset MS                                           Figure 29 4Q12 global smartphone MS

                                                                      (%)                                                                         (%)
                                                    Nokia, 18.3
        Others, 21.6                                                                                                                SEC, 30.1
                                                                               Others, 38.0
                                                                                Others, 38.7




      ZTE, 3.4


                                                      SEC, 23.6                    ZTE, 4.2
                                                                                    ZTE, 4.0                                        Nokia, 20.9
                                                                                                                                    Apple, 20.9

               Apple, 10.1
                                                                                                 Google, 2.2
                                                                                                 Google, 3.2         LGE, 4.1
                                                                                                                     LGE, 3.5
                                         LGE, 3.3
 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                      Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 30 4Q12 Korea handset MS                                            Figure 31 4Q12 US handset MS                                           (
                                                                      (%)                                                                         (%)
                    Apple, 8.9       Others, 0.4
                                                                                  Others, 17.0
                                                                                                                                      Apple, 33.6
      Pantech,
                                                                                Google, 4.1
        11.8

                                                                              Huawei, 4.3


                                                                                      LGE, 9.2
      LGE, 14.7

                                                                                                                    SEC, 31.8
                                                    SEC, 64.1
 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                      Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 32 4Q12 Brazil handset MS                                           Figure 33 4Q12 Mexico handset MS                                      (
                                                                      (%)                                                                          (%)
                                                                                                                                SEC, 24.5
               Others, 16.9
                                                                                   Others, 35.3
                                                                                  Others, 30.3
                                                          SEC, 29.2


          ZTE, 5.1

                                                                                                                                     Nokia, 18.2
      Google, 9.3
                                                                                    ZTE, 8.3
                                                                                    ZTE, 4.2

                                                                                                                         LGE, 8.3
                                                                                                                              9.5
                                                    Nokia, 22.7                            Google, 9.5
                                                                                             Google, 9.2
                   LGE, 16.8



 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                      Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                    50
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                 50
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                          Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                            009150 KS




 Figure 34 SEMCO’s sales breakdown                                                  Figure 35 SEMCO’s OP breakdown

   (KRW tn)                                                           (%)                (m)
  2.5                                                                 12
                                                                                       1000

  2.0                                                                 10
                                                                                        800
                                                                      8
  1.5                                                                                   600
                                                                      6
                                                                                        400
  1.0
                                                                      4
                                                                                        200
  0.5
                                                                      2
                                                                                          0
  0.0                                                                 0
          1Q12             3Q12E        1Q13E          3Q13E                           (200)
                                                                                               2003       2005       2007       2009    2011      2013E
               ACI        LCR       OMS         CDS       OPM(RHS)                                        ACI      LCR    OMS    CDS   Samsung LED

 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research                                                Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research



Figure 36 1H13 SEC smartphone lineup
   Vendor                 Samsung                     Samsung                      Samsung                       Samsung                   Samsung
   Picture




   Name                 Galaxy S3 LTE             Galaxy Note 2               Galaxy S3 Mini                     Ativ S                    Galaxy S4
    Core              Exynos 4412 1.4GHz        Exynos 4412 1.6GHz            1Ghz Dual-core              Qualcomm S4 1.5Ghz                  TBA
     OS                   Android 4.0               Android 4.1                 Android 4.1                    Windows 8                      TBA
   Display              4.8" (1280x720)           5.5" (1280x720)              4" (800x480)                 4.8" (1280x720)                   TBA
     Size              136.6x70.6x9.0mm          151.1x80.5x9.4mm            121.55x63x9.9mm               137.2x70.5x8.7mm                   TBA
   Weight                    138.5g                     180g                      111.5g                          135g                        TBA
    Specs             AMOLED / 2GB RAM          AMOLED / 2GB RAM                 AMOLED                   AMOLED / 1GB RAM                    TBA
   Release                2012.05.29                2012.09.26                  2012.11.02                      2012.11.                      TBA
Source: SEC, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 37 SEMCO’s price vs. debit balance vs. foreign ownership

   (KRW)                                                                                                                                       (m share, %)
   180,000                                                                                                                                               40
   160,000                                                                                                                                                35
   140,000                                                                                                                                                30
   120,000
                                                                                                                                                          25
   100,000
                                                                                                                                                          20
    80,000
                                                                                                                                                          15
    60,000
    40,000                                                                                                                                                10

    20,000                                                                                                                                                5
           0                                                                                                                                              0
               2002        2003        2004       2005         2006         2007        2008          2009         2010         2011      2012


                                        Debit balance(RHS)        Foreign ownership(RHS)              Price(LHS)

 Source: Quantiwise, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                              51
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                         51
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                    Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                      009150 KS




Figure 38 State of SEMCO parts production by application
  Smartphone                                              Computer                                    TV
  (incl. feature)                                         (incl. Tablet)                              (incl. LCD, PDP)
  RF components            In mold antenna                Chipset          FC-BGA                     Power           Power driver(LED)
                           MLCC                                            MLCC                                        SMPS
                           Chip inductor                                   UT CSP                                      LED driver IC
                           Chip bead                      Memory           BOC                                         Super OP board
                           Crystal unit                                    MLCC                                        Inverter
  Network                  Wifi+BT Combo module                            Chip resistor              Tuner            Digital tuner
                           NFC module                     HDD              HDD motor                                   Slim tuner
  Power                    Tantalum capacitor             Network          Wifi+BT Combo module       Network          WLAN module for CE device
                           Chip inductor                                   CDMA cellular module                        Wifi module
                           Chip bead                                       NFC module                 Main board       PBGA
                           MLCC                                            WiMAX module                                FC-BGA
                           Chip resistor                  DVD              ODD motor                                   MLCC
                           Wireless power transfer        Power            Adapter                                     Chip inductor
                           Adapter                                         Server power                                Chip bead
  Motor                    Vibration motor                Main board       HDI                                         Chip resistor
  Multimedia               Camera module                                   MLCC                       LCD panel        LED driver IC
                           Optical navigation module                       Tantalum capacitor
  Display                  HDI-flex                                        Chip inductor
  Chipset                  FC-CSP                                          Chip bead
                           RF-SiP                                          Chip resistor
                           UT CSP                                          Crystal unit
                           Crystal unit                   Others           Camera module
  Main board               HDI                                             LED driver IC
                           HDI-flex                                        Vibration motor
                           Chip bead
                           Chip inductor
                           MLCC
                           Chip resistor
                           Crystal unit
Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                             52
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                        52
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                        Samsung Electro-Mechanics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                          009150 KS




Summary financial statements
Profit & loss                                                                 Balance sheet
Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn)                2011A    2012E     2013E     2014E     Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn)               2011A     2012E    2013E    2014E
Revenue                                6,032     7,913     8,773     9,865    Current assets                         3,697     2,805    3,103    3,718
Cost of goods sold                    (5,050)   (6,524)   (7,242)   (8,145)   Cash & equivalents                       526      671      947     1,331
Gross profit                             981     1,389     1,531     1,721    Short-term financial asset                27       25       26       27
SG&A                                    (704)     (809)    (872)     (981)    Accounts receivable                      882     1,200    1,248    1,388
EBIT (Adj.)                              278       580       659       740    Inventory                                760      820      821      913
EBIT                                     321       608       659       740    Other current assets                   1,502       90       61       58
Net interest income (loss)               (35)      (33)      (31)      (29)   Non-current assets                     3,632     4,344    4,372    4,409
Income (loss) from associates               0       (4)        0         0    Net fixed assets                       2,278     2,698    2,728    2,750
Others                                     79       13       (52)      (52)   Investments                            1,242     1,338    1,392    1,449
Recurring profit                         364       584       576       659    Other long-term assets                   112      308      252      210
Income tax                               (56)     (165)    (133)     (151)    Total assets                           7,329     7,150    7,474    8,127
Net profit                               392       446       444       507    Current liabilities                    2,711     2,104    2,028    2,217
Net profit (Controlling Interests)       349       438       431       492    Accounts payable                         605      800      847      942
EPS (Controlling Interests, KRW)       4,679     5,862     5,765     6,586    Short-term debt                        1,096      954      954      954
                                                                              Other current liabilities              1,011      350      228      321
Growth & margins (%)                   2011A    2012E     2013E     2014E     Non-current liabilities                  742     1,056    1,070    1,085
Revenue growth                            6.7     31.2      10.9      12.5    Long-term debt                           495      687      687      687
Gross profit growth                    (16.1)     41.5      10.2      12.4    Other long-term liabilities              247      369      383      398
EBIT growth                            (35.6)     89.6       8.4      12.2    Total liabilities                      3,453     3,159    3,098    3,302
Net profit growth                      (37.0)     25.3      (1.7)     14.2    Controlling Interests                  3,507     3,922    4,308    4,756
EPS growth                             (37.0)     25.3      (1.7)     14.2    Non-Controlling Interests                368       68       68       68
Gross margin                             16.3     17.6      17.4      17.4    Shareholder's equity                   3,876     3,991    4,376    4,825
EBIT margin                               5.3       7.7      7.5       7.5    BVPS(KRW)                             45,198    50,542   55,511   61,294
Net profit margin                         5.8       5.5      4.9       5.0


Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research estimates                                 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research estimates




Cash flow                                                                     Ratio analysis
Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn)               2011A     2012E     2013E     2014E     Year end Dec 31                      2011A      2012E    2013E    2014E
Cash flow from operations                473     1,221     1,196     1,306    ROE (%)                                10.0      11.8     10.5      10.9
Net profit                               392       446       444       507    ROA (%)                                 5.5       6.2      6.1       6.5
Depr. & amortization                     664       592       833       826    Inventory days                         54.7      44.2     41.3      38.9
Others                                   108        88        14        14    Receivables days                       52.1      48.0     50.9      48.8
Change in working capital              (691)        96      (95)       (41)   Payable days                           45.7      39.3     41.5      40.1
Cash flow from investing               (973)     (918)     (861)     (863)    Net debt/equity (%)                    26.8      23.7     15.3       5.9
Capital expenditures                  (1,070)   (1,072)    (800)     (800)    Interest cover (x)                      9.2      18.3     21.3      25.2
Others                                    97       153      (61)       (63)
Cash flow from financing                 315     (200)      (58)       (58)
Dividends                                (88)      (58)     (58)       (58)
Increase in equity
Increase in debt                         471       (96)
Beginning cash                           695       526       671       947
Ending cash                              526       671       947     1,331
Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research estimates                                 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research estimates




                                                                                                                                                  53
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                             53
Korea Research


Industry update

 Korea / Handsets
                                                                           LG Electronics                    (066570 KS)
                                                                           Optimus vertical integration
 5 March 2013                                              BUY
                                                                           We maintain our BUY rating and target price of KRW88,000 for LG Electronics
 Target price                                  KRW88,000                   (LGE), as: 1) efforts to vertically integrate its smartphone lineup should
 Last price (1 Mar 13)                         KRW78,300                   gradually sharpen competitiveness; 2) the sales outlook for its new flagship
                                                                           smartphone, the Optimus G Pro, remains bright in 1H13; and 3) profitability
 Upside/downside (%)                         12.4
 KOSPI                                    2026.49                          should improve in 1H13, driven by shipment growth and higher ASP, following
 Mkt. cap (KRWbn/US$bn)               12,699/11.8                          a rise in smartphone market share. LGE shares currently trade at FY13E P/E of
 52 week range (KRW)              55,800 - 94,300                          12.4x and P/B of 1.0x (versus ROE of 7.8%), while competitors (RIM, HTC and
 Avg. trading volume daily (KRWbn)           79.4
 Foreign ownership (%)                       17.9
                                                                           ZTE) are trading at FY13E P/E average of 13.9x and P/B average of 1.6x
                                                                           (versus ROE average of 7.1%).
 Forecast earnings & valuation
 Fiscal year ending           Dec-11       Dec-12    Dec-13      Dec-14    LGE to unveil mid-end Optimus series
 Revenue (KRWbn)              54,257 50,960 51,125 53,640                  At the Mobile World Congress (MWC), which kicked off on 25 February, LG
 EBIT (KRWbn)                  280.3       1,124.9   1,429.1     1,514.5
                                                                           Electronics (LGE) unveiled the Optimus F series (entry-level LTE smartphones)
 Net profit (KRWbn) (432.8)                  90.8 1,008.1 1,077.4
 Net profit(underlying)       (469.6)        69.1    1,022.6     1,092.9   and the Optimus L II series (3G smartphones, successors to the Optimus L
 EPS (KRW)                    (3,132)         422     6,249       6,678    series). The Optimus F-series shares its platform (design, UI and UX) with the
 EPS growth (%)                   TN           TP    1,379.1         6.9   Optimus G Pro, unveiled last week. We believe LGE’s efforts to vertically
 P/E (x)                            -      174.2          12.5     11.7
                                                                           integrate its smartphone lineup will partially reduce marketing and R&D costs
 EV/EBITDA (x)                  11.5           7.2         6.6       6.3
 Dividend yield (%)              0.3           0.3         0.3       0.3   and enable the company to compete with Samsung Electronics’ (SEC) three
 P/B (x)                          1.0          1.0         1.0       1.0   major entry-level smartphones, the Galaxy Ace2 (3.8”, 800x480, 768MB
 ROE (%)                       (3.7)          0.5          7.8      7.7    DRAM), Galaxy S3 mini (4.0”, 800x480, 1GB DRAM) and Galaxy Grand (5”,
 Net debt/equity (%)            37.5         42.8         40.6     37.8
                                                                           800x480, 1GB DRAM).

 Performance                                                               Success of Optimus G the key to successful vertical integration
  KRW            Price(LHS)                  Rel. to KOSPI(RHS)            As shown in the case of the Optimus F-series, LGE has adopted the strategy of
   93,200                                                                  shared platforms for its smartphones; this is reminiscent of SEC’s strategy
   88,200                                                          105%
   83,200                                                          100%    back in 2011-2012, when that company leveraged the identity of its flagship
   78,200
   73,200
                                                                   95%
                                                                   90%
                                                                           smartphones (the Galaxy S-series) for its entry-level models (the Galaxy Ace2
   68,200                                                          85%     and Galaxy S3 mini). The previous success of its flagship smartphones enabled
   63,200                                                          80%
   58,200                                                          75%     SEC to enjoy brisk entry-level smartphone sales during 2011-2012, backed by
   53,200
        Jan-12      Apr-12        Jul-12         Oct-12
                                                                   70%
                                                                           its platform-sharing strategy. In a similar vein, we believe the success of the
                                                                           Optimus F series will hinge on the success of the Optimus G.

                                                                           MC division to outperform in 1H13
 Performance                            1M            3M           12M     We expect LGE to report 1Q13 sales of KRW11.9tn (-11.7% QoQ) and
 Absolute (%)                           8.8            2.6         (8.3)   operating profit of KRW283.9bn (+164.8% QoQ). We forecast LGE’s
 Absolute (US$, %)                      8.9            2.5         (5.7)
 Relative to KOSPI (%)                  5.2          (2.2)         (8.1)   smartphone shipments to rise by 9.3% QoQ to 9.4m units, in light of limited
                                                                           supply of new smartphone models by rivals in the key markets of North
                                                                           America, Latin America and Korea (1Q13 has seen the release of Blackberry’s
                                                                           Z10, Sony’s Xperia series and HTC’s M7). As such, the MC division’s operating
                                                                           profit should improve by 7.8% QoQ to KRW60.7bn in 1Q13. For the full-year
                                                                           of 2013, we expect the MC division to report sales of KRW13tn (+29.3% YoY)
                                                                           and operating profit of KRW444bn (+657.7% YoY). Moreover, the division
                                                                           should enjoy a 2.8ppt YoY rise in operating margin to 3.4% in 2013, as
                                                                           increased sales should significantly reduce the portion of fixed costs
 Jinho Cho, Analyst                                                        (marketing costs). On a quarterly basis, MC division’s operating margins
 82 2 3774 3831 jcho@miraeasset.com                                        should decrease, after peaking at 4.1% in 3Q13, weighed down by continued
                                                                           rises in raw material and R&D costs resulting from the increased sales
 Yongjei Jeong
                                                                           contribution of flagship smartphones. We also reiterate our previous view that
 82 2 3774 1938 yongjei@miraeasset.com
                                                                           subsidy competition among smartphone makers will further intensify in 3Q13.




See the last page of this report for important disclosures                                                                                             54
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                        LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                          066570 KS




Figure 1 LGE’s new lineup at MWC2013
   Vendor                    LGE                        LGE                         LGE                          LGE                      LGE
   Picture




   Name              Optimus L7 Ⅱ                  Optimus L5 Ⅱ               Optimus L3 Ⅱ                   Optimus F7              Optimus F5
    Core           Qualcomm S4 1GHz                   Unknown                     Unknown                 1.5GHz Dual core        1.2GHz Dual core
     OS                 Android 4.1                  Android 4.1                 Android 4.1                Android 4.1.2            Android 4.1.2
   Display            4.3" (800x480)                4" (800x480)           3.2" (320x240),125ppi       4.7" (1280x720),312ppi   4.3" (960x540),256ppi
    Size                    TBA                          TBA                        TBA                  131.7x68.2x9.6mm          126x64.5x9.3mm
   Weight            121.5x66.6x9.7g                     TBA                        TBA                          TBA                     TBA
    Spec           217ppi / 768MB RAM                    TBA                        TBA                       2GB RAM                  1GB RAM
   Release               2013.1Q                      2013.1Q                     2013.1Q                      2013.1Q                 2013.1Q
Source: LGE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research


Figure 2 Peers’ new smartphone lineups in 1Q13
   Vendor                    RIM                        Sony                      Huawei                         HTC                      ZTE
   Picture




   Name             BlackBerry Z10                     Xperia Z                   Ascend P2                      One                   Grand S
    Core          Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz             Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz           1.5GHz Quad core          Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz      Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz
     OS                BlackBerry 10                 Android 4.1.2               Android 4.1.2               Android 4.1              Android 4.1
   Display       4.2" (1280x768), 355ppi        5" (1920x1080), 441ppi     4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi        4.7" (1920x1080)      5" (1920x1080), 441ppi
    Size                130x65.6x9                    139x71x7.9                   Unknown                 137.4x68.2x9.3             142x69x6.9
   Weight                  138g                          146g                      Unknown                       143g                    TBA
    Spec                 2GB RAM                       2GB RAM                     1GB RAM                    2GB RAM                  2GB RAM
   Release              2013.01.31                    2013.02.09                   2013.1Q                    2013.03.                 2013.Q1
Source: LGE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research


Figure 3 Specifications of new smartphone lineup in 2013
  Company         Product            Display                         CPU                               Memory     Storage       Battery         Launch
                                                                                                                                 (mAh)
  LGE             Optimus G Pro      5.5" (1920x1080), 400ppi        Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz               2GB RAM         32GB       3.140    2013-02-20
  LGE             Optimus F5         4.3" (960x540), 256ppi          1.2GHz Dual core                  1GB RAM         8GB        2.150         2013.1Q
  LGE             Optimus F7         4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi         1.5GHz Dual core                  2GB RAM         8GB        2.540         2013.1Q
  LGE             Optimus L3 Ⅱ       TBA                             TBA                                   TBA         TBA        1.540         2013.1Q
  LGE             Optimus L5 Ⅱ       4.0"                            TBA                                   TBA         TBA        1.700         2013.1Q
  LGE             Optimus L7 Ⅱ       4.4" (800x480), 217ppi          Qualcomm S4 1Ghz                768MB RAM         4GB        2.460         2013.1Q
  RIM             BlackBerry Z10     4.2" (1280x768), 356ppi         Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz                2GB RAM         16GB       1,800     2013.01.31
  Sony            Xperia Z           5" (1920x1080), 441ppi          Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz                2GB RAM         16GB       2,330     2013.02.09
  Huawei          Ascend P2          4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi         1.5GHz Quad core                  1GB RAM         16GB       2.420         2013.1Q
  HTC             One                4.7" (1920x1080)                Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz               2GB RAM         32GB       2,300         2013.1Q
  ZTE             Grand S            5" (1920x1080), 441ppi          Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz                2GB RAM         16GB       1,780         2013.1Q
Source: LGE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                     55
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                55
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                              LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                066570 KS




Figure 4 Optimus G Pro vs. Galaxy Note 2
                         Optimus G Pro                               Versus                                 Galaxy Note2
                                         Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz           AP              Exynos 4412 1.6GHZ

                                                2GB RAM             Memory                   2GB RAM

                                                      5.5"        Display size                 5.5"

                                             Android (4.1.2)           OS                 Android (4.1.2)

                                                3,140mAh             Battery                3,100mAh

                                           150.2x76.1x9.4mm        Dimension             151x80.5x9.4mm

                                                     172g            Weight                    182g

                                               1920x1080           Resolution               1280x720

                                                     400ppi         Density                   265ppi

                                               13M (2.1M)      Main camera (front)          8M (1.9M)

Source: LGE, SEC, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




Figure 5 Optimus F7 vs. Galaxy Grand
                           Optimus F7                                Versus                                 Galaxy Grand
                                            1.5GHz Dual core           AP                1.2GHz Dual core

                                                2GB RAM             Memory                   1GB RAM

                                                      4.7”        Display size                 5.0”

                                             Android (4.1.2)           OS                 Android (4.1.2)

                                                2,540mAh             Battery                2,100mAh

                                           131.7x68.2x9.6mm        Dimension            143.5x76.9x9.6mm

                                                      TBA            Weight                    162g

                                                1280x720           Resolution                800x480

                                                     312ppi         Density                   187ppi

                                                8M (1.3M)      Main camera (front)           8M (2M)

Source: LGE, SEC, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




Figure 6 Optimus L7 Ⅱ vs. Galaxy S3 mini
                         Optimus L7 Ⅱ                                Versus                                 Galaxy S3 mini
                                           Qualcomm S4 1GHz            AP                1GHz Dual core

                                               768MB RAM            Memory                   1GB RAM

                                                      4.3”        Display size                 4.0”

                                              Android (4.1)            OS                 Android (4.1.2)

                                                2,460mAh             Battery                1,500mAh

                                           121.5x66.6x9.7mm        Dimension             121.5x63x9.8mm

                                                      TBA            Weight                    112g

                                                 800x400           Resolution                800x480

                                                     217ppi         Density                   233ppi

                                                8M (0.3M)      Main camera (front)          5M (0.3M)

Source: LGE, SEC, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                             56
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                       56
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                        LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                          066570 KS




Figure 7 LGE earnings forecast summary
 (KRW 100m)        1Q12     2Q12    3Q12                   4Q12      1Q13E      2Q13E      3Q13E      4Q13E       2011       2012     2013E      2014E
  Sales by division
  Total                  122,279    128,590    123,758    134,973    119,155    122,489    128,187    141,420   542,566    509,600    511,252    536,404
       QoQ/YoY (%)         (11.5)       5.2       (3.8)       9.1     (11.7)        2.8        4.7       10.3      (2.7)      (6.1)       0.3        4.9
             HE           53,302     54,784     54,864     64,430     51,169     48,662     53,615     65,370   239,023    227,380    218,815    234,138
             MC           24,972     23,212     24,476     28,116     29,276     30,359     35,053     35,587   116,925    100,776    130,276    137,866
            Handset       24,520     22,862     24,231     27,793     28,957     30,070     34,777     35,297   114,364     99,406    129,102    136,724
             HA           25,357     28,753     28,675     29,423     26,530     29,601     28,929     30,891   110,815    112,208    115,951    129,757
             AC&ES        12,179     14,749      9,743      6,825      7,016      9,008      6,037      5,048    45,849     43,496     27,109     20,258
             others        6,469      7,092      6,000      6,179      5,164      4,859      4,554      4,524    29,954     25,740     19,101     14,385
  OP by division
  Total                    3,753      5,074      1,461      1,072      2,839      4,020      4,266      3,165     3,789     11,360     14,291     15,145
       QoQ/YoY (%)         338.4       35.2     (71.2)     (26.6)      164.8       41.6        6.1     (25.8)     114.8      199.8       25.8        6.0
             HE            1,684      3,103        442       192         601        777      1,824      1,171     4,748      5,421      4,372      5,235
             MC              342      (280)       (39)       563         607      1,204      1,425      1,205   (2,758)        586      4,440      4,225
             HA            1,432      1,834      1,218       799       1,579      1,689      1,101       687      3,194      5,283      5,056      5,425
             AC&ES           713        826        135      (111)        311        433         48        35        754      1,563        826        588
             Others        (418)      (409)      (295)      (371)      (258)       (82)      (131)        68    (2,149)    (1,493)      (403)      (328)
  OPM (%)
  Total                      3.1        3.9        1.2        0.8        2.4        3.3        3.3        2.2       0.7        2.2        2.8        2.8
             HE              3.2        5.7        0.8        0.3        1.2        1.6        3.4        1.8       2.0        2.4        2.0        2.2
             MC              1.4      (1.2)       (0.2)       2.0        2.1        4.0        4.1        3.4      (2.4)       0.6        3.4        3.1
             HA              5.6        6.4        4.2        2.7        6.0        5.7        3.8        2.2       2.9        4.7        4.4        4.2
             AC&ES           5.9        5.6        1.4      (1.6)        4.4        4.8        0.8        0.7       1.6        3.6        3.0        2.9
             Others         (6.5)      (5.8)      (4.9)      (6.0)      (5.0)      (1.7)      (2.9)       1.5      (7.2)      (5.8)      (2.1)      (2.3)
  Pretax income            4,498      2,361      1,787    (3,405)      2,539      3,710      3,964      2,880   (3,993)      5,240     13,093     13,993
                  Tax      2,073        771        216      1,273        584        853        912       662        335      4,332      3,011      3,218
  NI                       2,425      1,590      1,571    (4,678)      1,955      2,856      3,052      2,218   (4,328)        908     10,081     10,774
           NPM (%)           2.0        1.2        1.3      (3.5)        1.7        2.4        2.3        1.5      (0.8)       0.2        2.0        2.0
Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research


Figure 8 Major assumptions
  ('000 units)             1Q12      2Q12        3Q12      4Q12      1Q13E      2Q13E      3Q13E      4Q13E       2011       2012      2013E      2014E
  KRW/US$                  1,131     1,152       1,133     1,090      1,050      1,030      1,010      1,005      1,108      1,127      1,024      1,024

  Handset shipments
            Total 13,722             12,998     14,361     15,420     15,197     15,847     17,640     17,998    88,039     56,501     66,682     67,472
      Smartphone    4,900             5,700      7,000      8,600      9,400     10,340     12,408     13,028    19,107     26,200     45,175     51,799
          Feature   8,822             7,298      7,361      6,820      5,797      5,507      5,232      4,970    68,932     30,301     21,506     15,673
  Handset ASP (US$)
            Total     156               154        148        165        181        184        195       195        117        156        189        202
      Smartphone      300               250        229        252        255        250        252       247        219        255        251        246
          Feature      77                74         70         64         63         61         60        59         89         72         61         56
  TV shipments
            Total   8,375             8,409      8,355     10,542      8,786      8,807      9,981     12,325    36,834     35,681     39,899     47,190
             LCD    5,819             5,990      6,193      8,600      6,880      6,983      8,321     10,709    25,908     26,602     32,893     41,207
  TV ASP (US$)
            Total     557               572        576        561        534        516        514       513        560        544        519        479
             LCD      579               582        588        549        551        528        520       516        529        572        527        484
Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                      57
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                  57
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                     LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                       066570 KS




 Figure 9 4Q12 global handset MS                                              Figure 10 4Q12 global smartphone MS

                                                                        (%)                                                                         (%)
                                                    Nokia, 18.3
        Others, 21.6                                                                                                                  SEC, 30.1
                                                                                 Others, 38.0
                                                                                  Others, 38.7




      ZTE, 3.4


                                                          SEC, 23.6                  ZTE, 4.2
                                                                                      ZTE, 4.0                                        Nokia, 20.9
                                                                                                                                      Apple, 20.9

               Apple, 10.1
                                                                                                   Google, 2.2
                                                                                                   Google, 3.2         LGE, 4.1
                                                                                                                       LGE, 3.5
                                         LGE, 3.3
 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                        Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 11 4Q12 Korea handset MS                                              Figure 12 4Q12 US handset MS                                           (
                                                                        (%)                                                                         (%)
                    Apple, 8.9       Others, 0.4
                                                                                    Others, 17.0
                                                                                                                                        Apple, 33.6
      Pantech,
                                                                                  Google, 4.1
        11.8
                                                                                Huawei, 4.3


                                                                                        LGE, 9.2

      LGE, 14.7

                                                                                                                      SEC, 31.8
                                                    SEC, 64.1
 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                        Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 13 4Q12 Brazil handset MS                                             Figure 14 4Q12 Mexico handset MS                                      (
                                                                        (%)                                                                          (%)
                                                                                                                                  SEC, 24.5
               Others, 16.9
                                                                                     Others, 35.3
                                                                                    Others, 30.3
                                                            SEC, 29.2


          ZTE, 5.1

                                                                                                                                       Nokia, 18.2
      Google, 9.3
                                                                                      ZTE, 4.2
                                                                                      ZTE, 8.3

                                                                                                                           LGE, 8.3
                                                                                                                                9.5
                                                    Nokia, 22.7                              Google, 9.5
                                                                                               Google, 9.2
                   LGE, 16.8



 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research                                        Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                      58
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                   58
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                            LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                              066570 KS




 Figure 15 LGE P/B band

    (KRW '000)
                                                                                                                         Decided to
   180                                                                                                                increase capital
            15m sales of "Chocolate"         Earngnis shock: 4Q08                  3Q10 MC divsion
                                                                                                                       by issuing new
   160              phone                     OPM 0.8%(-3.9ppt)                 OPM -10%, -6.5ppt QoQ)
                                                                                                                           shares
                                                         )
   140
   120
   100
                                                                                                                                                        1.16x
    80
                                                                                                                                                         1.0x
    60
                                                                                                                                                         0.8x
    40

    20                               20m units comulative sales of full-touch phone           Expectations about recovery: Released
                                      2Q09 MC division OPM 10.3%(+4.7ppt QoQ)                1Q12 OPM 3.1%(+2.4ppt QoQ) Opimus G
       0
        2007                2008                   2009                  2010                 2011                     2012                  2013

 Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research




Figure 16 LGE’s sum-of-the-parts valuation
                            Fair value                        Sales                Noplat                   Peers’ mkt.
                                                                                                      relative avg. P/E
  (KRW bn)                                                2012E     2013E     2012E      2013E                   FY13E                                    Peers
  HE                                 3,075                22,738    21,882        407       328                       9.4x                     Panasonic, Sony
  MC                                 3,454                10,078    13,028         44       333                      10.4x                                  HTC
  HA                                 3,655                11,221    11,595         396       379                      9.6x    Electrolux, Philips, GE, Whirlpool
  AC&ES                                510                 4,350     2,711         117        62                      8.2x                        Carrier, Daikin
  Others                                                   2,574      1,910      (112)      (30)                      9.8x
  Other assets                       3,699                                                                           0.75x
  Target Mkt. Cap.              14,393                    50,960    51,125        852     1,072                       7.4x


  Fair value (KRW)              88,000


  Upside (%)                          12.4
  Share price (KRW)             78,300
                                                                                                                                            (KRW, KRW bn, m)
                                                                                                            Share price
  Company (code)                              Shares       (%)                  BVPS         BV                                                     Mkt. value
                                                                                                              (28 Feb.)
  LG Display (034220 KS)                       357.8        37.9      135.6     31,202    4,231                     30,550                                4,143
  LG Innotek (011070 KS)                         20.2       47.9                65,139      629                     75,700                                  731


  Value of listed holdings                                                               4,861                                                           4,874
Source: Bloomberg, LGE, Mirae Asset Research
* FY13E Market P/E: KOSPI of 9.4x, DOW of 12.5x, NIKKEI225 of 21.9x, TWSE of15.0x, HSI of 11.3x




                                                                                                                                                                59
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                          59
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                           LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                             066570 KS




 Figure 17 LGE’s shareholders                                                       Figure 18 4Q12 LGE’s handset sales mix

                                                                              (%)                                                                         (%)
                                                      LG CORP,
                                                        33.7                                                                              US, 31.0
                                                                                                                                              30.0
                                                                                               Others, 34.8




        Others, 53.5
                                                                                                                                             Spain, 2.4
                                                                                                                                             Spain, 2.5

                                                                                                                                           Korea, 5.6
                                                                                                                                           Korea, 5.4
                                                           National                               Mexico, 6.4
                                                                                                          6.6
                                                           Pension
                                                         Serrvice, 9.4                                                  Brazil, 21.1
                                                                                                                       Brazil, 21.1
                                          Vanguard,
                                             3.4

 Source: Bloomberg, LGE, Mirae Asset Research                                       Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 19 32” LCD panel vs. 32” LCD TV set price forecast                          Figure 20 40” LCD panel vs. 40” LCD TV set price forecast

  (US$)                                                                  (%)           (US$)                                                            (%)
  1,600                                                                   50          5,000                                                               45
  1,400                                                                   45          4,500                                                               40
                                                                          40          4,000
  1,200                                                                                                                                                   35
                                                                          35          3,500
                                                                                                                                                          30
  1,000                                                                   30          3,000
                                                                                                                                                          25
     800                                                                  25          2,500
                                                                                                                                                          20
     600                                                                  20          2,000
                                                                                                                                                          15
                                                                          15          1,500
     400                                                                                                                                                  10
                                                                          10          1,000
     200                                                                  5              500                                                              5

        0                                                          0                       0                                                            0
        Jan-06 Mar-07 May-08         Jul-09     Sep-10 Nov-11 Jan-13                       Jan-06 Mar-07 May-08             Jul-09   Sep-10 Nov-11 Jan-13

              TV 32"set(LHS)        TV 32"LCD(LHS)            LCD%(RHS)                          TV 40"set(LHS)         TV 40"LCD(LHS)         LCD%(RHS)

 Source: WitsView, Mirae Asset Research                                             Source: WitsView, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                              60
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                         60
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                  066570 KS




Figure 21 LGE’s smartphone lineup in North America (AT&T, Verizon, Sprint)
                                 Verizon                                     AT&T                                   Sprint
             Model                           2-year contract   Model             2-year contract    Model                    2-year contract
                                                         ($)                                 ($)                                         ($)
  Jun        Lucid                  LTE                79.99   Phoenix      -               Free    Optimus S                          19.99
             Spectrum               LTE                79.99   Nitro HD    LTE             49.99    Optimus Elite                      29.99
             Enlighten                                  Free                                        Viper LTE       LTE                79.99
             Enlighten bundle                          39.99
             Ally                                       Free
             Vortex                                     Free
             Revolution             LTE                69.99
  Jul        Lucid                  LTE                49.99   Phoenix                      Free    Viper           LTE                 Free
             Spectrum               LTE                99.99   Nitro HD    LTE             49.99    Optimus Elite                       Free
             Enlighten                                 29.99                                        Optimus S                           Free
             Enlighten Bundle                          39.99
             Revolution             LTE                69.99
  Aug        Lucid                  LTE                49.99   Nitro HD    LTE             49.99    Viper           LTE                79.99
             Spectrum               LTE                49.99                                        Optimus Elite                       Free
             Enlighten                                  Free                                        Optimus S                           Free
             Enlighten Bundle                          39.99
             Revolution             LTE                69.99
  Sep        Lucid                  LTE                49.99   Nitro HD    LTE             49.99    Viper           LTE                79.99
             Lucid Bundle                              94.99                                        Optimus Elite                       Free
             Spectrum               LTE                99.99                                        Optimus S                          19.99
             Enlighten                                  Free
             Enlighten Bundle                          39.99
             Revolution             LTE                69.99
             Intuition              LTE               199.99
  Oct        Lucid                  LTE                19.99   Nitro HD    LTE             49.99    Viper           LTE                49.99
             Lucid Bundle                              64.99   Escape      LTE             49.99    Optimus Elite                       Free
             Spectrum               LTE                49.99   Optimus G   LTE            199.99    Optimus S                           Free
             Enlighten                                 29.99                                        Marquee                            19.99
             Enlighten Bundle                          69.99
             Intuition              LTE               149.99
  Nov        Lucid                  LTE                19.99   Nitro HD    LTE             49.99    Optimus G       LTE               199.99
             Lucid Bundle                              64.99   Escape      LTE             49.99    Viper           LTE                49.99
             Spectrum2              LTE                99.99   Optimus G   LTE            199.99    Optimus Elite                       Free
             Enlighten                                 29.99                                        Optimus S                           Free
             Enlighten Bundle                          69.99                                        Marquee                            19.99
             Intuition              LTE               149.99
  Dec        Lucid                  LTE                    0   Nitro HD    LTE             49.99    Optimus G       LTE               199.99
             Lucid Bundle           LTE                44.99   Escape      LTE             49.99    Viper           LTE                49.99
             Spectrum2              LTE                99.99   Optimus G   LTE            199.99    Optimus Elite                      29.99
             Enlighten                                 29.99                                        Optimus S                           Free
             Enlighten Bundle                          69.99                                        Marquee                            19.99
             Intuition              LTE               149.99                                        Mach            LTE                99.99
  Jan        Lucid                  LTE                 Free   Nitro HD    LTE              0.01    Optimus G       LTE               199.99
             Lucid Bundle           LTE                44.99   Escape      LTE             49.99    Viper           LTE                49.99
             Spectrum2              LTE                49.99   Optimus G   LTE            199.99    Optimus Elite                       Free
             Intuition              LTE                99.99                                        Optimus S                           Free
                                                                                                    Marquee                            19.99
                                                                                                    Mach            LTE                99.99
  Feb        Lucid                  LTE                    0   Nitro HD    LTE              0.01    Optimus G       LTE                19.99
             Lucid Bundle           LTE                44.99   Escape      LTE             49.99    Viper           LTE                49.99
             Spectrum2              LTE                79.99   Optimus G   LTE             99.99    Optimus Elite                      29.99
             Intuition              LTE               149.99                                        Optimus S                              0
                                                                                                    Mach            LTE                49.99
Source: AT&T, Verizon, Sprint, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                         61
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                    61
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                            LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                              066570 KS




Figure 22 LGE peers (TV set/home appliance) valuation table
                                      LGE     Panasonic      Electrolux               Sony     Philips   Whirlpool        GE      UTX    Daikin
  Price (KRW,JPY,SEK,US$)           78,300             666            166        1,390.0         21.6         114.4      23.2      90     3,520
  Market cap.(US$ m)                11,819         17,457           7,957         15,030       26,878         8,981   241,136   82,617   11,025
  Sales (US$ m)
                         2010       48,239        101,715          14,794         84,029       29,566       18,366    148,442   54,326   13,577
                         2011       49,021         99,441          15,667         82,293       31,439       18,666    142,224   55,754   15,446
                         2012E      46,327         78,669          16,892         71,980       33,337       18,240    146,589   57,988   13,758
                         2013E      46,477         81,117          17,566         74,522       32,760       18,778    149,355   65,072   16,244
                         2014E      48,763         81,585          18,277         75,226       33,937       19,547    155,051   68,884   17,051
  OP (US$ m)
                         2010           76          3,572             905             2,338     2,759         1,082    13,961    7,186      883
                         2011          310            554             462             (853)     (375)           928    15,855    7,846    1,029
                         2012E       1,022          1,582             683             1,507     1,989           928    20,072    7,940      940
                         2013E       1,299          2,675             874             2,087     2,932         1,317    22,201    9,314    1,281
                         2014E       1,377          3,092           1,027             2,458     3,283         1,571    24,148   10,460    1,474
  NI (US$ m)
                         2010        1,062             866            556        (3,037)         1,918         619     11,644    4,373     233
                         2011        (424)         (9,786)            318        (5,788)       (1,803)         390     14,151    4,979     522
                         2012E          83         (8,140)            528            172         1,519         551     15,912    4,787     284
                         2013E         916             953            613            666         1,945         791     17,169    5,556     678
                         2014E         979           1,293            747            729         2,225         953     18,369    6,334     788
  P/E (x)
                         2010         48.3            29.6           13.6                 -      14.6           9.0      16.0     16.1     36.6
                         2011            -               -           15.1                 -         -           6.7      12.9     13.7     15.9
                         2012E       174.2               -           14.1              99.5      18.0          16.4      15.4     16.9     39.1
                         2013E        12.5            16.9           12.4              24.5      12.8          11.8      13.8     14.8     16.3
                         2014E        11.7            12.5           10.2              20.9      11.3          10.0      12.6     12.9     14.1
  P/B (x)
                         2010           1.4            0.9             2.9              1.0        1.4          1.6       1.6      3.4      1.5
                         2011           1.0            0.9             1.7              0.8        1.2          0.9       1.6      3.0      1.3
                         2012E          1.0            1.2             2.4              0.7        1.7          1.9       2.0      3.2      1.9
                         2013E          1.0            1.0             2.4              0.7        1.7          1.6       1.9      2.8      1.8
                         2014E          1.0            0.9             2.1              0.7        1.6          1.1       1.8      2.5      1.6
  EV/EBITDA (x)
                         2010         16.3             4.7             6.0              4.7       6.0           4.9       8.0      9.4      7.4
                         2011         11.5             7.3             6.6              7.1      13.4           3.4       7.8      7.9      7.0
                         2012E         7.2             6.0             7.5              3.5       7.8             -      18.7     11.0     11.8
                         2013E         6.6             5.0             6.4              3.1       6.2             -      17.9      9.1      9.2
                         2014E         6.3             4.6             5.5              2.8       5.4             -      15.8      8.0      8.0
  ROE (%)
                         2010          11.3            2.8           20.3              (9.4)       9.8         15.7       9.6     21.1      4.0
                         2011         (3.7)         (34.4)           10.0             (20.0)     (9.5)          9.3      11.1     23.0      8.3
                         2012E          0.5         (48.7)           14.4                0.8       6.3         10.6      12.4     19.5      5.9
                         2013E          7.8            5.9           17.4                3.4      12.9         14.8      13.8     19.9     10.9
                         2014E          7.7            7.9           19.6                4.5      13.9         13.3      14.8     21.2     11.7
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research
Note: LGE’s earnings are Mirae Asset Research estimates; share prices as of 1 March




                                                                                                                                             62
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                        62
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                     LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                       066570 KS




Figure 23 LGE TV set/home appliance peers’ historical valuations
                            2006      2007         2008         2009     2010         2011      2012E    2013E    2014E
 LG Electronics (066570 KS)
          EPS KRW           1,517     7,625         2,717      14,197     7,612      (3,132)       422    6,249    6,678
          BPS KRW         35,871     43,149       50,011       60,914    76,009       71,303    70,220   75,590   81,343
          P/E   (x)           36.3     13.1           27.5         8.6     48.3             -    174.2     12.5     11.7
                high          36.3     73.2           27.5        54.7     48.3          50.8    174.2
                low           13.6     13.1            9.2         8.6      6.5          22.3     13.5
          P/B   (x)            1.3      2.0            1.3         1.5      1.4           1.0      1.0      1.0      1.0
                high           2.2      2.7            3.3         2.6      1.6           1.4      1.6
                low            1.2      1.3            1.3         1.2      1.1           0.6      0.7
          ROE (%)            (3.5)     31.5           14.7        30.2     11.3         (3.7)      0.5      7.8      7.7
 Panasonic (6752 JT)
          EPS US$              0.9      1.2          (1.8)       (0.5)      0.4        (4.2)     (3.6)      0.4      0.4
          BPS US$             15.5     17.8           13.5        14.4     14.9         10.1       5.9      7.3      7.3
          P/E   (x)           23.9     16.3              -           -     32.3            -         -     16.9     16.9
                high          41.1     25.9           18.8           -     32.3         33.7         -
                low           23.9     17.4            7.6           -     29.6         17.9         -
          P/B   (x)            1.3      1.2            0.8         1.1      0.9          0.9       1.2      1.0      1.0
                high           1.7      1.4            1.4         1.1      1.2          1.0       0.9
                low            1.2      1.1            0.6         0.8      0.8          0.5       0.5
          ROE (%)              5.6      7.4        (11.6)        (3.7)      2.8       (34.4)    (48.7)      5.9      5.9
 Electrolux (ELUXB SS)
          EPS US$              1.8      1.5            0.2         1.2      2.0          1.1       1.8      2.1      2.1
          BPS US$              6.2      8.0            6.8         8.5      9.9          9.7      11.1     11.1     11.1
          P/E   (x)           14.9     10.4           51.6        18.2     13.6         15.1      14.1     12.4     12.4
                high          38.0     20.7           51.6      142.4      21.2         15.1      24.7
                low           14.9     10.4            5.1        18.2     13.6          6.8      15.4
          P/B   (x)            3.2      2.1            1.3         2.7      2.9          1.7       2.4      2.4      2.4
                high           3.2      4.4            2.0         3.5      3.2          2.9       2.7
                low            1.0      2.1            1.0         1.1      2.3          1.4       1.7
          ROE (%)             19.7     20.0            2.3        14.8     20.3         10.0      14.4     17.4     17.4
 Sony (6758 JT)
          EPS US$              1.1      3.2          (1.0)       (0.4)    (3.0)        (5.8)       0.2      0.6      0.6
          BPS US$             28.6     34.6           29.7        31.6     30.7         24.5      21.4     22.2     22.2
          P/E   (x)           47.5     10.8              -           -        -            -      99.5     24.5     24.5
                high          50.2     56.7           16.8           -        -            -      99.5
                low           36.2     16.8            4.7           -        -            -         -
          P/B   (x)            1.8      1.1            0.7         1.2      1.0          0.8       0.7      0.7      0.7
                high           1.9      2.1            1.8         0.9      1.2          1.2       0.9
                low            1.4      1.5            0.5         0.5      0.8          0.5       0.4
          ROE (%)              3.8     10.8          (3.1)       (1.4)    (9.4)       (20.0)       0.8      3.4      3.4
 Philips (PHG US)
          EPS US$              5.8      6.2          (0.1)         0.6      2.0        (1.9)       1.6      2.2      2.2
          BPS US$             27.4     29.8           23.5        22.6     21.3         17.3      16.8     16.6     16.6
          P/E   (x)           37.3      6.4              -        41.4        -            -      18.0     12.8     12.8
                high          36.6     42.3            6.8           -        -         16.5      71.1
                low            7.7      7.0            2.9           -        -          7.9      71.1
          P/B   (x)            1.4      1.4            0.8         1.3      1.4          1.2       1.7      1.7      1.7
                high           2.1      1.6            1.4         1.3      1.7          1.6       1.6
                low            1.4      1.3            0.6         0.6      1.3          0.8       1.0
          ROE (%)             27.1     21.8          (0.5)         2.7      9.8        (9.5)       6.3     12.9     12.9
 Whirlpool (WHR US)
          EPS US$              5.8      8.2            5.6         4.4      8.1          5.1       7.0      9.7      9.7
          BPS US$             42.1     51.5           41.2        48.9     55.6         55.0      59.5     69.5     69.5
          P/E   (x)           12.2      9.3            6.1        13.2      9.0          6.7      16.4     11.8     11.8
                high          14.3     17.1           10.7        13.2     18.5          9.3      14.6
                low           11.1      9.3            3.5         2.9      9.0          4.6       6.9
          P/B   (x)            2.0      1.6            1.0         1.7      1.6          0.9       1.9      1.6      1.6
                high           3.7      2.8            1.8         2.0      2.3          1.6       1.9
                low            2.0      1.6            0.6         0.5      1.5          0.8       0.9
          ROE (%)             17.2     17.8           12.1         9.8     15.7          9.3      10.6     14.8     14.8
 GE (GE US)
          EPS US$              2.0      2.2            1.7         1.0      1.1          1.2       1.5      1.7      1.7
          BPS US$             10.8     11.6            9.9        11.0     11.2         11.0      11.9     12.5     12.5
          P/E   (x)           10.8     11.6            9.9        11.0     11.2         11.0      15.4     13.8     13.8
                high          20.0     16.9            8.4        12.5     16.0         13.1      16.6
                low           21.7     22.6           17.5        12.5     16.1         18.9      13.1
          P/B   (x)           18.2     16.9            5.8         3.5     11.5         12.9       2.0      1.9      1.9
                high           3.4      3.2            1.6         1.4      1.6          1.6       2.1
                low            3.7      3.9            3.3         1.7      1.8          1.9       1.6
          ROE (%)              3.1      3.1            1.1         0.7      1.3          1.3      12.4     13.8     13.8
  Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                     63
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                63
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                    LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                      066570 KS




Figure 24 LGE peers (TV set/home appliance) earnings consensus
  Company (Code) / US$ m                         2Q12         3Q12     4Q12E         1Q13E          2011      2012E      2013E      2014E
  Panasonic (6752 JT)
            Sales                              22,663        23,193     20,587       19,193        99,441     78,669     81,117     81,585
                             YoY (%)             (4.2)        (13.2)     (18.8)       (19.1)         (2.2)     (20.9)       3.1        0.6
               OP                                 482            620        341          329          554       1,582     2,675      3,092
                             YoY (%)            604.9           14.6   (427.1)         522.6        (84.5)      185.4      69.2       15.6
                             OPM (%)               2.1           2.7         1.7          1.7          0.6        2.0       3.3        3.8
               NI                                 160       (8,877)       (192)        (503)      (9,786)    (8,140)        953      1,293
                             NPM (%)               0.7        (38.3)       (0.9)        (2.6)        (9.8)     (10.3)       1.2        1.6
  Electrolux (ELUXB SS)
              Sales                              3,997       4,030       4,400        4,071        15,667     16,892     17,566     18,277
                             YoY (%)               3.6         1.7         4.6          6.2            5.9       7.8        4.0        4.0
               OP                                  166         217          95          143           462        683        874      1,027
                             YoY (%)              39.1        27.8         4.0          2.3         (48.9)      47.9       27.9       17.5
                             OPM (%)               4.1         5.4         2.2          3.5            2.9       4.0        5.0        5.6
               NI                                  110         146         174          104           318        528        613        747
                             NPM (%)               2.7         3.6         4.0          2.6            2.0       3.1        3.5        4.1
  Sony (6758 JT)
            Sales                              18,925       20,407      21,988       17,365        82,293     71,980     74,522     75,226
                             YoY (%)                3.2          0.6      (6.7)       (14.0)         (2.1)     (12.5)       3.5        0.9
               OP                                    78         385        877          734         (853)       1,507     2,087      2,458
                             YoY (%)            (76.8)    (1,927.2)    (173.9)     (4,219.7)      (136.5)    (276.8)       38.5       17.8
                             OPM (%)                0.4          1.9        4.0          4.2         (1.0)        2.1       2.8        3.3
               NI                                (308)        (197)        253          724       (5,788)         172       666        729
                             NPM (%)              (1.6)        (1.0)        1.2          4.2         (7.0)        0.2       0.9        1.0
  Philips (PHG US)
             Sales                               7,561       7,665       9,583         7,355       31,439     33,337     32,760     33,937
                             YoY (%)               0.7         0.6         5.9          (0.0)          6.3       6.0       (1.7)       3.6
               OP                                  434         417         446           429        (375)      1,989      2,932      3,283
                             YoY (%)              29.9         8.0     (130.3)        (25.3)      (113.6)    (631.0)        47.4      12.0
                             OPM (%)               5.7         5.4         4.7            5.8        (1.2)       6.0         9.0       9.7
               NI                                  214         211         413           290      (1,803)      1,519      1,945      2,225
                             NPM (%)               2.8         2.8         4.3            3.9        (5.7)       4.6         5.9       6.6
  Whirlpool (WHR US)
             Sales                               4,511       4,495       4,885        4,370        18,666     18,240     18,778     19,547
                             YoY (%)              (4.6)       (2.8)       (0.5)         0.5            1.6      (2.3)       3.0        4.1
               OP                                   274         276        279          266           928        928      1,317      1,571
                             YoY (%)               15.6        60.5       (1.3)        11.1         (14.2)        0.0      42.0       19.2
                             OPM (%)                6.1         6.1         5.7         6.1            5.0        5.1       7.0        8.0
               NI                                   113          74        176          136           390        551        791        953
                             NPM (%)                2.5         1.6         3.6         3.1            2.1        3.0       4.2        4.9
  GE (GE US)
            Sales                              36,108       35,562     38,439        33,794      142,224     146,589    149,355    155,051
                             YoY (%)               3.2         2.2        1.9          (2.4)        (4.2)        3.1        1.9        3.8
               OP                               4,015        3,413      5,853         5,038       15,855      20,072     22,201     24,148
                             YoY (%)             (1.7)         0.8       34.1           42.7         13.6       26.6       10.6        8.8
                             OPM (%)              11.1         9.6       15.2           14.9         11.1       13.7       14.9       15.6
               NI                               3,105        3,491      4,494         3,704       14,151      15,912     17,169     18,369
                             NPM (%)               8.6         9.8       11.7           11.0          9.9       10.9       11.5       11.8
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                             64
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                       64
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                   LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                     066570 KS




  Figure 25 Panasonic (6752 JP) P/E band                                  Figure 26 Panasonic (6752 JP) P/B band

   (JPY)                                                                    (JPY)
    6,000                    Share price                                    4,000

                                                                            3,500
   4,000                                                                                             Share price
                                                                            3,000
   2,000
                                                                            2,500

         0                                                                  2,000
                                                                    10x
                                                                            1,500
  (2,000)                                                           20x
                                                                                                                                                2.8x
                                                                    30x     1,000
                                                                    40x                                                                         2.1x
  (4,000)
                                                                              500                                                               1.4x

                                                                                   0                                                            0.7x
  (6,000)
        2000       2002    2004     2006       2008   2010   2012                  2000     2002    2004       2006       2008   2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                  Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 27 Electrolux (ELUXB SS) P/E band                                 Figure 28 Electrolux (ELUXB SS) P/B band

  (SEK)                                                                     (SEK)

  400                                                                       300
                                                                                                            Share price
  350                            Share price
                                                                            250
  300                                                                                                                                           2.8x
                                                                            200
  250                                                               24x
                                                                                                                                                2.1x
  200                                                                       150
                                                                    18x
  150                                                                                                                                           1.4x
                                                                    12x     100
  100
                                                                     6x       50                                                                0.7x
    50

     0                                                                         0
     2000       2002      2004     2006        2008   2010   2012              2000        2002     2004      2006        2008   2010    2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                  Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 29 Sony (6758 JP) P/E band                                        Figure 30 Sony (6758 JP) P/B band

      (JPY)                                                                    (JPY)
   20,000                                                                   18,000
                                 Share price                                16,000
   15,000

   10,000                                                                   14,000

                                                                            12,000
     5,000
                                                                            10,000                         Share price
          0
                                                                              8,000
    (5,000)                                                         10x
                                                                              6,000
                                                                    20x                                                                         2.0x
  (10,000)                                                                    4,000
                                                                                                                                                1.5x
                                                                    30x
  (15,000)                                                                    2,000                                                             1.0x
                                                                                                                                                0.5x
                                                                    40x             0
  (20,000)
         2000       2002    2004     2006      2008   2010   2012                   2000     2002    2004      2006       2008   2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                  Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                   65
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                 65
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                            LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                              066570 KS




 Figure 31 Philips (PHG US) P/E band                                                Figure 32 Philips (PHG US) P/B band

   (US$)                                                                              (US$)
   250                                                                                90
                  Share price                                                                        Share price
   200                                                                                80

                                                                                      70
   150
                                                                                      60
   100                                                                    40x
                                                                                      50                                                                        2.8x
       50                                                                 30x
                                                                          20x         40
                                                                                                                                                                2.1x
       0
                                                                          10x         30
    (50)                                                                                                                                                        1.4x
                                                                                      20

  (100)                                                                               10                                                                        0.7x

  (150)                                                                                 0
      2002           2004        2006        2008          2010                         2002       2004    2005     2006        2008     2009     2010   2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                            Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 33 GE (GE US) P/E band                                                      Figure 34 GE (GE US) P/B band
   (US$)                                                                               (US$)
  70                                                                                  70
                                                        Share price                                                                             Share price

  60                                                                                  60


  50                                                                                  50
                                                                                                                                                                     4x

  40                                                                                  40
                                                                                                                                                                     3x
                                                                              20x     30
  30
                                                                          15x                                                                                        2x
  20                                                                                  20
                                                                          10x
  10                                                                                  10                                                                             1x
                                                                               5x

    0                                                                                  0
     2000     2001       2003    2005      2007     2009        2011   2012             2000       2001     2003         2005     2007     2009      2011     2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                            Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 35 Whirlpool (WHR US) P/E band                                              Figure 36 Whirlpool (WHR US) P/B band
   (US$)                                                                               (US$)
   200                                                                                180
                                                                                                                                                                 2.8x
                                                                                      160                  Share price
   150
                                                                              20x
                                                                                      140
   100                                                                        15x                                                                                2.1x
                                                                                      120
                                                                              10x
    50                                                                                100
                                                                               5x
                                                                                                                                                                 1.4x
                                                                                       80
       0
                                                                                       60
    (50)
                                                  Share price                          40                                                                        0.7x

  (100)                                                                                20

  (150)                                                                                    0
      2000      2001      2003    2005     2007     2009        2011   2012                 2000    2001     2003        2005     2007     2009     2011      2012

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                            Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                                      66
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                                    66
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                  066570 KS




 Figure 37 LGE’s share price, relative to handset peers                   Figure 38 LGE’s share price, relative to handset peers

                                                                            1.4
    1.6

                                                                            1.2
    1.4                                                         SEC

    1.2                                                         Google                                                                         RIM
                                                                            1.0
                                                                                                                                               LGE
    1.0                                                         Sony
                                                                            0.8                                                                Nokia
                                                                Apple
    0.8
                                                                LGE                                                                            ZTE
                                                                            0.6
    0.6
                                                                                                                                               HTC
                                                                HTC         0.4
    0.4

    0.2                                                                     0.2
      Feb 12       May 12     Aug 12       Nov 12    Feb 13                   Feb 12      May 12      Aug 12        Nov 12      Feb 13

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                  Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 39 LGE’s share price, relative to TV set/home appliance peers     Figure 40 LGE’s share price, relative to TV set/home appliance peers


    1.8
                                                                            1.6
    1.6
                                                              Whirlpool
                                                              Philips       1.4
    1.4

    1.2                                                       GE            1.2
                                                                                                                                         Electrolux
    1.0                                                                     1.0
                                                                                                                                         Panasonic
    0.8                                                       LGE
                                                                            0.8                                                          Sony
                                                                                                                                          Sony
    0.6
                                                                            0.6
    0.4                                                                                                                                  LGE

    0.2                                                                     0.4
      12-Feb       12-May    12-Aug        12-Nov   13-Feb                    12-Feb     12-May     12-Aug     12-Nov        13-Feb

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                  Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                       67
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                 67
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                                   LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                                     066570 KS




 Figure 41 LGE handset peers’ 3M performance                                               Figure 42 LGE handset peers’ YDT performance

  (%)                                                                                        (%)
   90                                                                                         50

                                                                                              40
   70

                                                                                              30
   50
                                                                                              20
   30
                                                                                              10
   10
                                                                                               0

  (10)                                                                                       (10)

  (30)                                                                                       (20)
           SEC     LG E     A pple     H TC   N okia   RIM       ZTE    S ony    G oogle             SEC      LG E     A pple    H TC   N okia   RIM       ZTE     S ony     G oogle

 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                                   Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research


 Figure 43 LGE TV/home appliance peers’ 3M performance                                     Figure 44 LGE TV/home appliance peers’ YDT performance

   (%)                                                                                        (%)
   80                                                                                         50
   70
                                                                                              40
   60
   50                                                                                         30
   40
   30                                                                                         20
   20
                                                                                              10
   10
     0                                                                                         0
  (10)
  (20)                                                                                       (10)




                                                                                                                                                                       ps
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                                                                                                                         ro
                 on




                                         So




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                                                                rlp
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                                                                                                                                                       W
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                                                             W




                                                                                                                     El
                                                                                                      Pa
                          El
            Pa




 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research                                                   Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research




                                                                                                                                                                                   68
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                                                 68
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                               LG Electronics
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com                                                 066570 KS




Summary financial statements
Profit & loss                                                                        Balance sheet
Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn)                 2011A        2012E      2013E      2014E     Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn)                2011A    2012E    2013E    2014E
Revenue                                54,257        50,960     51,125     53,640    Current assets                         15,783   15,451   15,961   16,630
Cost of goods sold                    (42,058)      (38,653)   (38,517)   (40,400)   Cash & equivalents                      2,345    1,317    1,201    1,188
Gross profit                           12,199        12,307     12,608     13,241    Short-term financial asset                176     152      158      164
SG&A                                  (11,856)      (11,191)   (11,179)   (11,726)   Accounts receivable                     7,065    7,396    7,749    8,133
EBIT (Adj.)                               343         1,116      1,429      1,514    Inventory                               4,947    5,325    5,579    5,856
EBIT                                      280         1,125      1,429      1,514    Other current assets                    1,250    1,262    1,275    1,287
Net interest income (loss)               (228)        (212)      (246)      (241)    Non-current assets                     16,875   16,798   17,697   18,542
Income (loss) from associates            (331)          152        226        226    Net fixed assets                        7,290    7,384    7,944    8,436
Others                                   (121)        (541)      (100)      (100)    Investments                             5,729    5,492    5,715    5,947
Recurring profit                         (399)          524      1,309      1,399    Other long-term assets                  3,855    3,922    4,038    4,160
Income tax                                (33)        (433)      (301)      (322)    Total assets                           32,658   32,249   33,659   35,172
Net profit                               (433)           91      1,008      1,077    Current liabilities                    14,215   13,573   13,963   14,385
Net profit (Controlling Interests)       (470)           69      1,023      1,093    Accounts payable                        7,360    7,396    7,749    8,133
EPS (Controlling Interests, KRW)       (3,132)          422      6,249      6,678    Short-term debt                         3,192    2,478    2,478    2,478
                                                                                     Other current liabilities               3,663    3,699    3,736    3,774
Growth & margins (%)                    2011A        2012E      2013E      2014E     Non-current liabilities                 5,296    5,728    5,777    5,827
Revenue growth                            (2.7)        (6.1)        0.3        4.9   Long-term debt                          4,258    4,531    4,531    4,531
Gross profit growth                       (0.8)          0.9        2.4        5.0   Other long-term liabilities             1,038    1,197    1,246    1,297
EBIT growth                               58.8        301.4       27.0         6.0   Total liabilities                      19,510   19,301   19,740   20,213
Net profit growth                             TN         TP    1,379.1         6.9   Controlling Interests                  12,894   12,698   13,669   14,710
EPS growth                                    TN         TP    1,379.1         6.9   Non-Controlling Interests                 254     250      250      250
Gross margin                              22.5         24.2       24.7       24.7    Shareholder's equity                   13,148   12,948   13,919   14,959
EBIT margin                                   0.5        2.2        2.8        2.8   BVPS(KRW)                              71,303   70,220   75,590   81,343
Net profit margin                         (0.9)          0.1        2.0        2.0


Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research estimates                                          Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research estimates




Cash flow                                                                            Ratio analysis
Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn)                2011A         2012E      2013E      2014E     Year end Dec 31                       2011A     2012E    2013E    2014E
Cash flow from operations               1,730           582      1,962      2,080    ROE (%)                                 (3.7)     0.5      7.8       7.7
Net profit                               (433)           91      1,008      1,077    ROA (%)                                 (1.3)     0.3      3.1       3.1
Depr. & amortization                    1,202         1,306      1,362      1,430    Inventory days                          46.9     48.5     51.7      51.7
Others                                  2,020         1,105      (178)      (176)    Receivables days                        48.5     51.8     54.1      54.0
Change in working capital              (1,060)      (1,920)      (230)      (252)    Payable days                            64.9     69.7     71.8      71.7
Cash flow from investing               (2,452)      (1,159)     (2,041)    (2,055)   Net debt/equity (%)                     37.5     42.8     40.6      37.8
Capital expenditures                   (1,752)      (1,089)     (1,600)    (1,600)   Interest cover (x)                       1.2      5.3      5.8       6.3
Others                                   (700)         (70)      (441)      (455)
Cash flow from financing                1,161         (433)        (37)       (37)
Dividends                                 (43)         (59)        (37)       (37)
Increase in equity                        975             9
Increase in debt                          228         (383)
Beginning cash                          1,944         2,345      1,317      1,201
Ending cash                             2,345         1,317      1,201      1,188
Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research estimates                                          Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research estimates




                                                                                                                                                         69
Mirae Asset Securities                                                                                                                                    69
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                                   Handset
 Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com




 Recommendations
 By stock (12 months)                                                                    By industry
 Buy: A target price + 10% or more above the current price,                              Overweight: over +10% of the current industry index
 Hold: Target price within - 10% to +10% of the current price                            Neutral: -10% to +10% of the current industry index
 Reduce: A target price of –10% or less below the current price                          Underweight: -10% or less than the current industry index

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 This report is distributed to our clients only, and none of the report material may be copied or distributed to any other party. While Mirae Asset Securities have taken all
 reasonable care to ensure its reliability, we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. Therefore, Mirae Asset Securities shall not be liable for any result from the
 use of this report. This report has never been provided to any institutional investor or third party. This report has been prepared without any undue external influence or
 interference, and accurately reflects the personal views of the analyst on the company herein. [Analyst: Jinho Cho, Yongjei Jeong]
                                                      Securities Held by the Analyst                        Holdings of       Participation
                                                                                                                                                  Involvement           Treasury
                                                       Number of          Purchase          Purchase         share of        in Issuance of
     Stock           Analyst            Type                                                                                                      with Affiliates      Stock Held
                                                        Shares              Price             Date           over 1%            Securities
                               REMARK: Korean analyst is responsible for Korean securities and relevant sectors only.

Target Price and Recommendation Chart
 Stock Price & Target Price TrendStock PriceTarget Price                                              Samsung Electro-Mechanics (009150 KS)
 ■ B - Buy■ H - Hold■ R - Reduce
                                                                                                                                                           12M target price
                                                                                                               Date           Recommendation
                                                                                                                                                               (KRW)
                                                                                                           2012-11-28            BUY (Initiate)                     125,000
    140000                                                                 B                               2013-01-03                BUY                            125,000
                                                                                                           2013-02-01                BUY                            125,000
    120000                                                                                                 2013-02-14                BUY                            125,000
                                                                                                           2013-03-05                BUY                            125,000
    100000

     80000

     60000

     40000

     20000

          0
          Feb-12                                Aug-12                                 Feb-13



 Stock Price & Target Price TrendStock PriceTarget Price                                              LG Electronics (066570 KS)
 ■ B - Buy■ H - Hold■ R - Reduce
                                                                                                                                                           12M target price
                                                                                                               Date           Recommendation
                                                                                                                                                               (KRW)
    100000                                                                                 B
                                                                                                           2012-11-28           HOLD (Initiate)                  79,000
     90000                                                                                                 2012-12-07              HOLD                          79,000
                                                                                                           2013-01-03              HOLD                          79,000
     80000
                                                                                                           2013-01-31              HOLD                          79,000
     70000                                                                                                 2013-02-21               BUY                        88,000(Up)
                                                                                                           2013-03-05               BUY                          88,000
     60000
     50000
     40000
     30000                                                                 H
     20000
     10000
          0
         Dec-11                            Jun-12                           Dec-12




                                                                                                                                                                                    2
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                                 Handset
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com




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                                                                                                                                                                        3
Mirae Asset Securities
Jinho Cho, Analyst, 82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com                                              Handset
Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com




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                                                                                                                                                                   4
Mirae Asset Securities

130305 mirae handsets-into the storm

  • 1.
    Industry update Handsets Korea / Handsets Into the storm 5 March 2013 OVERWEIGHT We maintain our OVERWEIGHT weighting for Korean handset makers and recommend Samsung Electro-Mechanics (SEMCO; 009150 KS) as our sector top pick. Smartphone demand growth in 2013 will be driven by emerging markets. The recent rapid market share gains by Chinese smartphone makers will lower industry-wide ASPs and margins, but help enhance the average hardware performance of handsets, thus boosting demand for high-end Stocks under coverage components going forward. In addition, the expected market share expansion Company Rating Price Target price by SEC in 2013 should lead to qualitative and quantitative growth of SEMCO, LG Electronics (066570 KS) BUY 78,300 88,000 the largest parts supplier for SEC. SEMCO (009150 KS) BUY 95,500 125,000 LG Innotek (011070 KS) BUY 75,700 83,000 Melfas (096640 KS) BUY 20,550 35,000 Chinese handset makers to expand local market share Silicon Works (108320 KS) BUY 21,300 38,000 Note: Prices are in KRW; price close as of 1 Mar. 2013 Chinese smartphone makers ZTE, Huawei and Lenovo are aiming to expand local market share in 1H13; we expect their combined market share in China Global handset market share in 4Q12 to rise by 3.9ppt YoY to 22.2% in 2013, as a result. At the Mobile World Congress (MWC), we confirmed that the three Chinese handset makers are: 1) Others, 30.4% SEC, 23.6% rapidly advancing, in terms of smartphone hardware competitiveness; 2) competitive against peers, in terms of production costs; and 3) set to see HTC, 1.4% shipment growth, with new smartphones slated for release in early 2Q12 through local telecom carriers (China Mobile, China Unicom and China RIM, 1.6% Nokia, Telecom). We expect the three Chinese smartphone makers to swiftly expand Google, 1.7% 18.3% their market shares in mid- to low-end smartphones and steadily eat into the Sony, 1.7% white-box smartphone market going forward. Apple, Lenovo, 10.1% Huawei, 1.8% 2.9% LGE, 3.3% ZTE, 3.4% Profitability of mid-to-low-end smartphones to decline in 2H13 We expect market competition among handset makers to stiffen further in 2H13, Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research with the three Chinese companies set to post rapid growth in 1H13 and new flagship models to be released by Samsung Electronics and Apple in 2Q13. Global smartphone market share in 4Q12 Meanwhile, we believe the increasing size of the Chinese market and the rise in Others, 22.0% Chinese handset makers’ global market share will pull down worldwide SEC, 30.1% smartphone ASP by 13.6% YoY in 2013, driving up the cost burden of Google, 2.2% components for handset makers, as a result. Moreover, the aggressive release of Sony, 3.4% new smartphones in 2H13 should spark subsidy competition, driving down the LGE, 4.1% profitability of mid-to-low-end smartphones even further going forward. We thus Nokia, 3.2% expect the operating margin of SEC’s IM division to decrease by 1.9ppt to 16.0% ZTE, 4.0% Apple, in 2013 and the operating margin of LG Electronics’ MC division to increase to a Huawei, 4.2% 20.9% high of 4.1% in 3Q13, before decreasing to 3.4% in 4Q13. HTC, 3.2% RIM, 3.5% Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Return of smartphone paradigm identity and eco-system At this year’s MWC, we noted that handset suppliers are focusing on building the identities of new flagship models through UX and killer applications, while seeking to develop an independent ecosystem by diversifying platforms beyond the oligopolistic Android (whose smartphone OS market share stood at 64% in 2012) in 2013. Through these efforts, handset makers are seeking to protect the premium of high-margin flagship smartphones, reinforce customer loyalty through the emphasis on differentiation and reduce marketing costs for Jinho Cho, Analyst 82 2 3774 3831 jcho@miraeasset.com mid- to low-end models. Between 2011 and 2012, competition in the handset industry had focused primarily on developing advanced hardware features. Yongjei Jeong However, due to the rapid improvement in flagship smartphone hardware, 82 2 3774 1938 yongjei@miraeasset.com competition to find differentiation points in hardware ceased in 2013, with latecomers closing the gap with top-tiers, in terms of hardware competitiveness. See the last page of this report for important disclosures
  • 2.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets SEMCO remains our top pick, LG Electronics our second pick We expect Samsung Electronics’ global market share to continue to grow by 0.4ppt YoY to 23.6% in 2013, benefiting its largest parts supplier, SEMCO (009150 KS). SEMCO remains our top pick, as: 1) parts shipments are set to grow visibly, with Samsung Electronics’ smartphone shipments forecast to rise by 34.4% YoY to 290m units in 2013; 2) backed by 89% YoY growth in Samsung Electronics’ flagship smartphone shipments to 146m units in 2013, product mix improvement should drive up SEMCO’s profitability; and 3) market prices of handsets components are unlikely to decline, despite the recently improved profitability of Japanese parts makers. LG Electronics (066570 KS) is selected as our second top pick, given: 1) the steady improvement in the competitiveness of its flagship smartphones; and 2) forecasts for market share recovery in Korea and Latin America and improvement in profitability in 1H13, backed by a competitive smartphone lineup and its platform-sharing strategy. 22 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 3.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets T a b l e o f c o n t e n t s Ⅰ. Executive Summary 4 1. Summary 4 2. Valuation 6 Ⅱ. Investment Points 13 1. Continued demand growth in emerging markets 13 2. Chinese peers to expand local market share on reinforced competitiveness 15 3. SEC to outshine peers in cost and supply chain competitiveness 22 4. Smartphone industry paradigm returning to identity and ecosystem 26 5. SEMCO (009150 KS) remains our top-pick, LGE is our second pick 32 Ⅲ. Appendix 33 1. 1Q13E smartphone peers’ earnings guidance & consensus 33 2. Handset peers’ shipment portions by country 35 3. Handset market share by vendor in 2012 36 4. Smartphone market share by vendor in 2012 37 5. Tablet PC market share and line-up in 2013 38 Company Analysis 39 Samsung Electro-Mechanics (009150 KS, BUY, TP: KRW125,000) 40 LG Electronics (066570 KS, BUY, TP: KRW88,00) 54 33 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 4.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Ⅰ. Executive summary 1. Summary Demand growth to be driven by emerging markets Demand: Global demand We forecast global demand for handsets and smartphones in 2013 to reach 1.89bn units (+8.7% growth will continue into YoY) and 897m units (+32.4% YoY), respectively. We expect China to drive global demand 2013, driven by China growth in 2013, as demand for handsets and smartphones in China should expand by 21.8% YoY (to 495m units) and 56% YoY (to 270m units), respectively. Notably, China’s contribution to global demand should rise by 4.6ppt YoY to 30.2% in 2013. We see ample upside in demand growth in China, given that: 1) smartphone users’ portion of mobile phone subscribers in China remains relatively low, at 24% (compared with 48% in North America); and 2) the smartphone penetration rate in China is also lower than that of North America (42.6%, versus 65.3%); and 3) the portion of white-box smartphones in China is also high (45.2% in 2012). Top-3 Chinese handset makers to expand local market share Supply: Top-three Chinese The top-three Chinese smartphone makers, ZTE, Huawei and Lenovo, are aiming to expand smartphone makers (ZTE, local market share in 1H13; as a result, we expect their combined market share in China to Huawei and Lenovo) to expand their local market rise by 3.9ppt YoY to 22.2% in 2013. At this year’s Mobile World Congress (MWC), we share confirmed that the three Chinese handset makers are: 1) rapidly advancing, in terms of smartphone hardware competitiveness; 2) competitive against peers, in terms of production costs; and 3) set to see shipment growth, with new smartphones slated for release in early 2Q12 through local telecom carriers (China Mobile, China Unicom and China Telecom). We expect the three Chinese smartphone makers to rapidly expand their market shares in low-to mid-end smartphones and steadily eat into the white-box smartphone market going forward. SEC to outshine peers in cost and supply chain competitiveness Competitive landscape: SEC We expect market competition among handset makers to stiffen further in 2H13, with the top- to outshine peers in cost three Chinese companies set to post rapid growth in 1H13 and new flagship models to be and supply chain competitiveness released by SEC and Apple in 2Q13. Meanwhile, we believe the increasing weight of the Chinese market in global demand and the rise in Chinese handset makers’ global market share will lower worldwide smartphone ASP by 13.6% YoY in 2013, driving up the cost burden of components for handset makers as a result. Moreover, the aggressive release of new smartphones in 2H13 should spark subsidy competition, driving down the industry’s profitability even further going forward. Nevertheless, we expect SEC to continue to expand its Chinese and global market share in 2013, outpacing market growth with limited fluctuations in profitability. With a relatively high portion of in-house produced components and strict control exerted over its (financially sound) supply chain, we believe SEC still has the scope for additional reductions in components’ portion of total costs. Smartphone paradigm returning to identity and eco-system Industry paradigm At this year’s MWC, we noted that handset suppliers are focusing on building the identities of returning to identity and their new flagship models through UX and killer applications, while seeking to develop an eco-system independent ecosystem by diversifying platforms beyond the oligopolistic Android (whose smartphone OS market share stood at 64% in 2012) in 2013. Through these efforts, handset makers are seeking to preserve the premium of high-margin flagship smartphones, reinforce customer loyalty through the emphasis on differentiation and reduce marketing costs for low-to mid-end models. Between 2011 and 2012, competition in the handset industry had focused primarily on developing advanced hardware features. However, due to the rapid improvement in flagship smartphone hardware, competition to find differentiation points in hardware ceased in 2013, with latecomers closing the gap with top-tiers, in terms of hardware competitiveness. Through efforts to establish a solid identity, handset makers are seeking to: 1) preserve margins for high-margin flagship smartphones; 2) increase customer loyalty and expand market share through the development of an independent ecosystem; 3) reduce marketing costs for low-to mid-end models; and 4) diversify profit models to software/content (after focusing primarily on hardware sales to date). In sharp contrast to Chinese smartphone makers, which continued to emphasize the advanced hardware performance of their flagship models at the 2013 MWC, other smartphone makers (SEC, LG Electronics, Nokia, HTC and Sony) focused on the identity and differentiated UX of their new smartphone models. 44 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 5.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets SEMCO (009150 KS) remains our top-pick; LGE is our second pick SEMCO remains our sector- In light of the likely continued expansion in SEC’s global market share in 2013 (+0.4ppt YoY top pick, with an unchanged to 23.6%), we reiterate our BUY rating and target price of KRW125,000 for SEMCO, as a top- target price of KRW125,000 pick for the sector. We believe that: 1) 34.4% YoY growth in SEC’s smartphone shipments (to 290m units) expected in 2013 should drive up shipments of related components; 2) the expected 89% YoY growth in SEC’s flagship smartphone shipments (to 146m units) should improve SEMCO’s product mix, thus lifting its profitability; and 3) component ASPs are unlikely to decline, despite the recent margin improvement by Japanese component makers. Our second-pick for the sector is LGE, due to: 1) the gradual improvement in the competitiveness of its flagship smartphone models; and 2) the likely recovery in its market shares in both Korea and Latin America in 1H13, backed by its competitive new smartphone lineup and platform-sharing strategy. Figure 1 Handset shipment forecasts by supplier 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E Population/m 7,022 7,041 7,060 7,079 7,062 7,135 7,207 7,279 7,425 Subscriber/m 6,192 6,308 6,424 6,540 5,613 6,120 6,559 6,955 7,319 Shipment/m Total 415 445 489 543 1,776 1,741 1,892 2,026 2,106 Smartphone 201 212 233 251 473 678 897 1,108 1,319 QoQ/YoY (%) Total (12.0) 7.0 10.0 11.0 11.2 (2.0) 8.7 7.1 4.0 Smartphone (3.0) 5.0 10.0 8.0 58.2 43.3 32.4 23.5 19.1 Penetration (%) 48.5 47.6 47.6 46.3 26.6 38.9 47.4 54.7 62.6 Net added 584 506 439 396 365 Replacement 1,191 1,234 1,453 1,629 1,741 Replacement/month 51 55 51 48 48 ASP/US$ 130 149 157 142 139 Market sales/US$ bn 231 260 297 287 294 Shipment/m Total 415 445 489 543 1,776 1,741 1,892 2,026 2,106 Nokia 82 88 97 107 414 335 375 401 417 Samsung 100 108 114 123 328 405 446 536 615 LG Electronics 15 16 18 18 87 56 67 67 68 RIM 9 9 10 10 52 34 38 36 38 Sony 8 9 10 11 33 31 38 41 42 Google 8 8 11 13 41 34 41 48 49 Apple 35 37 43 50 91 134 166 207 259 HTC 9 8 8 12 43 32 36 45 46 ZTE 25 31 37 41 56 68 133 152 158 Huawei 17 22 29 38 41 47 106 142 147 Lenovo 12 13 15 16 16 28 57 61 63 MS (%) Nokia 19.8 19.8 19.8 19.8 23.3 19.2 19.8 19.8 19.8 Samsung 24.1 24.3 23.4 22.7 18.5 23.2 23.6 26.5 29.2 LG Electronics 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.3 4.9 3.2 3.5 3.3 3.2 RIM 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.8 2.9 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.8 Sony 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 Google 2.0 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.3 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.3 Apple 8.5 8.4 8.8 9.2 5.1 7.7 8.8 10.2 12.3 HTC 2.2 1.7 1.6 2.2 2.4 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.2 ZTE 6.0 7.0 7.5 7.5 3.1 3.9 7.1 7.5 7.5 Huawei 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 2.3 2.7 5.6 7.0 7.0 Lenovo 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.9 1.6 3.0 3.0 3.0 Smartphone shipments Nokia 6.4 6.7 7.4 8.0 85.9 35.0 28.5 35.2 41.9 Samsung 60.1 69.1 76.0 85.1 97.0 216.0 290.3 393.2 483.3 LG Electronics 9.4 10.3 12.4 13.0 19.0 26.2 45.2 51.8 56.5 RIM 9.1 9.3 9.8 9.8 52.7 35.2 38.0 36.5 37.9 Sony 7.7 8.0 8.6 8.8 19.6 24.5 33.1 38.8 42.2 Google 5.6 5.7 6.3 6.5 18.6 19.5 24.2 31.2 46.2 Apple 35.4 37.5 42.8 49.8 90.6 133.8 165.5 207.4 259.2 HTC 9.1 7.6 7.8 11.9 43.6 32.1 36.5 44.6 46.3 ZTE 8.1 8.5 9.3 10.1 10.5 26.8 35.9 44.3 52.8 Huawei 8.4 8.8 9.7 10.5 15.6 27.2 37.4 46.2 55.0 Lenovo 8.1 8.5 9.3 10.1 1.7 21.7 35.9 44.3 52.8 Source: Gartner, IMF, Mirae Asset Research 55 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 6.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets 2. Valuation Pure smartphone suppliers Pure smartphone suppliers, such as Apple, HTC and RIM, have traded at an average P/B of have traded within P/B 5.2x (3.6x-9.7x) since 2007, when the smartphone market began to expand significantly. band of 3.6-9.7x since 2007 These companies have enjoyed a price premium to feature-phone suppliers, such as LGE and Nokia, whose shares have traded at an average P/B of 2.1x (0.6x-6.3x) during the same period. Compared with feature-phone suppliers, pure smartphone suppliers: 1) have been able to achieve faster market share gains, thanks to steep increases in smartphone penetration rates; 2) have maintained stronger profitability; and 3) have seen higher BPS growth rate from 2007 to 2012 (+30.6%, compared with +28.2% for feature-phone vendors). Valuation premium versus However, smartphone demand growth began to slow from 1Q12 (when the penetration rate second-tiers should narrow of smartphones in North America exceeded 50%), while the rapid growth of Chinese handset going forward suppliers (ZTE, Huawei and Lenovo) intensified competiton over ASP. Moreover, SEC and Apple confirmed their competitiveness in the smartphone market by increasing their market shares. Handset suppliers’ valuation In 2013, handset suppliers valuations should remain almost unchanged (in 2012, smartphone should remain unchanged in suppliers’ average P/B was 2.3x, while that of feature-phone suppliers was 1.2x). Global 2013 demand should remain relatively strong, as handset and smartphone shipments should increase by 8.7% YoY and 32.4% YoY in 2013. However, the profitability improvement of second-tiers should remain limited, as: 1) the penetration rate of smartphones (+8.5ppt YoY to 47.4%) should increase at a slower pace; and 2) top-tiers SEC and Apple, as well as Chinese vendors, should continue to expand their shipments. China’s top-three smartphone makers should With their cost competitiveness, China’s top-three smartphone makers (ZTE, Huawei and achieve market share gains Lenovo) should rapidly expand their presence in China, as well as emerging markets and thus both in China and emerging markets and thus maintain see a continued increase in shipments in 2013. As such, they should enjoy a valuation valuation premium vs. peers premium to peers in 2013. Figure 2 Smartphone vendors’ (Apple, HTC, RIM) P/B band Figure 3 Handset vendors’ (Nokia, LGE) P/B band (x) (x) 16 7 14 6 12 5 10 High 4 8 3 6 Average Average High 2 4 Low Low 1 2 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 66 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 7.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 4 Handset peers’ valuation table LGE Apple SEC HTC Nokia RIM ZTE Lenovo Price (KRW,US$,HK$,NT$) 78,300 434 1,544,000 280.0 3.6 13.7 12.8 9.0 Market cap.(US$ m) 11,819 407,633 208,594 8,047 13,407 7,165 5,510 12,107 Sales (US$ m) 2010 48,239 65,225 133,789 8,858 56,309 19,907 10,330 21,594 2011 49,021 108,249 149,080 15,849 53,829 18,435 13,348 29,574 2012E 46,327 156,212 183,017 9,991 39,628 11,267 14,262 34,311 2013E 46,477 182,497 195,583 9,495 39,119 12,928 16,677 38,669 2014E 48,763 205,625 211,741 10,100 40,025 12,101 18,825 42,594 OP (US$ m) 2010 76 18,385 14,381 1,402 2,746 4,636 616 369 2011 310 33,790 13,964 2,341 24 1,845 426 594 2012E 1,022 55,252 26,413 661 115 (1,160) (34) 778 2013E 1,299 55,296 31,427 454 1,311 (458) 579 975 2014E 1,377 63,371 35,085 591 1,386 (374) 686 1,112 NI (US$ m) 2010 1,062 14,013 13,670 1,256 2,454 3,411 480 273 2011 (424) 25,922 12,070 2,109 (1,621) 1,164 319 473 2012E 83 41,811 21,677 578 (894) (629) (178) 619 2013E 916 42,016 25,818 438 144 (198) 329 764 2014E 979 47,935 28,805 495 545 (234) 432 885 P/E (x) 2010 48.3 19.3 8.8 18.6 15.5 10.4 22.4 20.1 2011 - 14.6 11.7 6.8 - 3.3 32.4 19.3 2012E 174.2 9.8 9.7 14.3 - - - 19.3 2013E 12.5 9.8 8.3 17.7 60.0 - 17.4 15.7 2014E 11.7 8.6 7.3 14.2 21.7 - 13.2 13.5 P/B (x) 2010 1.4 5.6 1.9 9.7 2.0 3.9 3.3 3.1 2011 1.0 4.9 1.8 4.1 1.2 0.7 2.8 3.9 2012E 1.0 3.5 2.2 2.7 1.2 0.8 1.5 4.5 2013E 1.0 2.8 1.8 2.6 1.3 0.8 1.4 3.7 2014E 1.0 2.3 1.5 2.4 1.2 0.8 1.3 3.3 EV/EBITDA (x) 2010 16.3 11.2 5.0 14.4 6.4 5.8 16.4 5.2 2011 11.5 8.3 5.3 4.6 6.9 1.6 17.2 7.0 2012E 7.2 4.8 4.6 7.9 10.7 8.5 195.6 8.5 2013E 6.6 4.6 3.7 10.5 4.4 4.2 10.4 6.4 2014E 6.3 3.9 3.0 9.3 3.3 6.3 8.7 5.2 ROE (%) 2010 11.3 35.3 21.2 56.3 13.5 41.2 16.3 15.9 2011 (3.7) 41.7 15.0 70.4 (8.9) 12.2 8.7 22.5 2012E 0.5 40.5 22.0 17.8 (15.2) (8.1) (4.9) 24.1 2013E 7.8 31.8 21.3 15.2 0.5 (2.3) 8.4 26.0 2014E 7.7 28.2 19.8 16.0 7.0 (2.8) 10.2 25.8 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Note: Mirae Asset estimates for LGE and SEC (share price data as of 1 March 2013) 77 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 8.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 5 Handset peers’ historical valuations 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E LGE (066570 KS) EPS KRW 7,625 2,717 14,197 7,612 (3,132) 422 6,249 6,678 BPS KRW 49,289 57,223 81,014 87,280 71,303 70,220 75,590 81,343 P/E (x) 13.1 27.5 8.6 48.3 - 174.2 12.5 11.7 high 73.2 27.5 54.7 48.3 50.8 174.2 low 13.1 9.2 8.6 6.5 22.3 13.5 P/B (x) 2.0 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 high 2.7 3.3 2.6 1.6 1.4 1.6 low 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.7 ROE (%) 31.5 14.7 30.2 11.3 (3.7) 0.5 7.8 7.7 Apple (AAPL US) EPS US$ 4.0 6.9 9.2 15.4 28.1 44.3 44.5 50.7 BPS US$ 16.7 25.1 35.2 52.2 82.4 124.6 154.2 192.2 P/E (x) 39.1 18.9 20.1 19.3 14.6 10.0 10.0 8.8 high 88.0 49.6 31.2 35.8 27.9 25.4 low 36.7 12.6 11.5 21.2 14.6 12.1 P/B (x) 9.2 5.1 5.2 5.6 4.9 3.6 2.9 2.3 high 17.1 11.7 8.4 9.3 8.1 8.5 low 7.1 3.4 3.1 5.5 4.9 4.2 ROE (%) 28.5 33.2 30.5 35.3 41.7 40.5 31.8 28.2 HTC (2498 TT) EPS US$ 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.5 2.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 BPS US$ 2.0 2.1 2.4 3.0 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.9 P/E (x) 11.9 8.6 12.8 18.6 6.8 14.2 17.5 14.1 high 11.9 17.6 14.1 31.8 26.8 14.9 low 6.9 5.4 8.2 9.7 6.8 2.6 P/B (x) 6.1 4.0 4.4 9.7 4.1 2.7 2.6 2.4 high 7.1 9.1 6.6 11.0 14.1 5.5 low 4.1 2.8 3.8 3.3 4.1 1.6 ROE (%) 58.7 49.1 35.8 56.3 70.4 17.8 15.2 16.0 Nokia (NOK US) EPS US$ 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.7 (0.4) (0.3) 0.1 0.2 BPS US$ 5.4 5.4 5.1 5.2 4.1 2.9 2.5 3.0 P/E (x) 14.3 10.4 37.1 15.5 - - 62.5 22.6 high 27.0 13.9 37.1 48.7 16.8 - low 13.8 5.4 6.5 15.5 6.9 - P/B (x) 7.1 2.9 2.5 2.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 high 9.8 7.0 3.1 3.3 2.2 1.4 low 5.0 2.7 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.4 ROE (%) 53.9 27.5 6.5 13.5 (8.9) (15.2) 0.5 7.0 RIM (BBRY US) EPS US$ 2.3 3.3 4.3 6.4 2.2 (1.2) (0.3) (0.4) BPS US$ 7.0 10.4 13.6 17.1 19.3 17.5 17.2 17.1 P/E (x) 46.3 12.2 16.6 10.4 3.3 - - high 71.3 65.3 26.0 17.8 11.0 4.2 low 23.3 12.3 10.7 9.1 2.0 1.5 P/B (x) 15.0 3.9 5.2 3.9 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 high 17.7 21.1 8.3 5.6 4.1 0.9 low 5.8 3.9 3.4 3.1 0.7 0.3 ROE (%) 40.3 38.6 36.5 41.2 12.2 (8.1) (2.3) (2.8) ZTE (763 HK) EPS US$ 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 (0.1) 0.1 0.1 BPS US$ 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 P/E (x) 30.4 14.4 30.2 22.4 32.4 (0.0) 18.0 13.7 high 57.9 34.8 35.4 33.6 32.4 33.1 low 30.4 7.9 13.5 14.1 12.2 12.4 P/B (x) 3.1 1.7 4.6 3.3 2.8 1.6 1.5 1.3 high 4.1 3.6 4.6 5.1 3.8 2.9 low 2.5 0.8 1.6 2.1 1.8 1.1 ROE (%) 10.9 12.6 15.8 16.3 8.7 (4.9) 8.4 10.2 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 88 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 9.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 6 SEC handset division’s OP vs. stock price Figure 7 LGE MC division’s OP vs. stock price (KRW bn) ('000 KRW) (KRW 100m) (KRW) 6,000 1,800 8,000 180,000 1,600 5,000 160,000 6,000 1,400 140,000 4,000 1,200 4,000 120,000 1,000 100,000 3,000 2,000 800 80,000 0 60,000 2,000 600 40,000 400 (2,000) 1,000 20,000 200 (4,000) 0 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 OP(LHS) KRW(RHS) OP(LHS) Price(RHS) Source: SEC, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: LGE, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 8 Apple ( AAPL US) iPhone OP vs. stock price Figure 9 HTC (2498 TT) OP vs. stock price (US$ bn) (US$) (NT$ bn) (NT$) 14 800 25 1,400 12 700 1,200 20 600 10 1,000 500 15 8 800 400 6 600 300 10 4 400 200 5 2 100 200 0 0 0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 OP(LHS) Pirce(RHS) OP(LHS) Price(RHS) Source: Apple, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: HTC, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 10 Nokia (NOK US) handset division’s OP vs. stock price Figure 11 RIM (RIMM US) OP vs. stock price (US$ bn) (EUR) (US$ m) (US$) 5 30 1,400 160 1,200 140 4 25 1,000 120 3 800 20 600 100 2 15 400 80 1 200 60 10 0 0 40 (200) (1) 5 (400) 20 (2) 0 (600) 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 OP(LHS) Price(RHS) Price(RHS) OP(LHS) Source: Nokia, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: RIM, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 99 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 10.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 12 SEC P/E band Figure 13 SEC P/B band (KRW '000) (KRW '000) 2,000 14x 2,500 1,800 12x 1,600 2,000 2.5x 1,400 10x 1,200 Share price 1,500 8x Share price 2.0x 1,000 1.0x 800 1,000 600 0.5x 400 500 200 0 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 14 LGE P/E band Figure 15 LGE P/B band (KRW '000) (KRW '000) Share price 500 180 400 Share price 160 140 2.0x 300 120 40x 200 100 1.5x 30x 100 20x 80 1.0x 10x 60 0 40 0.5x (100) 20 (200) 0 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 16 Apple (AAPL US) P/E band Figure 17 Apple (AAPL US) P/B band (US$) (US$) 1,200 1,200 9x 25x 1,000 1,000 20x 7x 800 800 15x Share price 600 5x 600 Share price 400 10x 400 3x 200 200 0 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 10 10 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 11.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 18 Nokia (NOK US) P/E band Figure 19 Nokia (NOK US) P/B band (US$) (US$) 120 70 100 Share price 60 Share price 80 50 60 40 40 30 20 10x 20 0 20x 6.0x 30x 4.5x (20) 10 40x 3.0x (40) 0 1.5x 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 20 RIM (RIMM US) P/E band Figure 21 RIM (RIMM US) P/B band (US$) (US$) 160 160 Share price 140 140 Share price 120 120 100 100 80 5.0x 80 60 60 3.5x 40 40 20 2.0x 20 0 5x 0.5x (20) 10x 0 15 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 (40) 20x 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 22 HTC (2498 TT) P/E band Figure 23 HTC (2498 TT) P/B band (NT$) (NT$) 1,600 1,400 1,400 1,200 Share price 1,200 Share price 1,000 1,000 8x 800 800 6x 20x 600 600 15x 4x 400 400 10x 5x 200 2x 200 0 0 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 11 11 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 12.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 24 ZTE (763 HK) P/E band Figure 25 ZTE (763 HK) P/B band Share price (HK$) (HK$) 45 35 Share price 4x 40 30 35 25 3x 30 20 25 40x 2x 20 15 30x 15 10 20x 10 1x 5 5 10x 0 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 26 Sony (6758 JP) P/E band Figure 27 Sony (6758 JP) P/B band (JPY) (JPY) Share price 20 18 15 16 14 10 Share price 12 5 40x 10 0 30x 8 20x 3.5x (5) 10x 6 2.5x (10) 4 1.5x (15) 2 0.5x 0 (20) 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 12 12 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 13.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Ⅱ. Investment points 1. Continued demand growth in emerging markets Global demand growth will We forecast global demand for handsets and smartphones in 2013 to reach 1.89bn units continue to be driven by (+8.7% YoY) and 897m units (+32.4% YoY), respectively. We expect China to drive global China in 2013 demand growth in 2013, as demand for handsets and smartphones in China should expand by 21.8% YoY (to 495m units) and 56% YoY (to 270m units), respectively. Notably, China’s contribution to global demand should rise by 4.6ppt YoY to 30.2% in 2013. We see ample upside in demand growth in China, given that: 1) smartphone users’ portion of mobile phone subscribers in China remains relatively low, at 24% (compared with 48% in North America); and 2) the smartphone penetration rate in China is also lower than that of North America (42.6%, versus 65.3%); and 3) the portion of white-box smartphones is high (45.2% in 2012). Figure 28 Global handset demand (new + replacement) and Figure 29 Smartphone users by country and portion YoY growth (m units) (%) (m people) (%) 2,500 35 300 70 30 250 60 2,000 25 50 200 20 40 1,500 150 15 30 100 1,000 10 20 50 10 5 500 0 0 0 il a y a UK Ge ce a n A ea 0 -5 an az si di in pa US an r ne Ch In Br rm Ko Ja 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20122013E 2014E 2015E Fr do In New(LHS) Replacement(LHS) YoY(RHS) Smartphone Portion Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: KPCB Mary Meeker, Mirae Asset Research Capex by China Mobile to Meanwhile, as of end-2012, 3G’s portion of mobile telecom network in Asia (including China) drive demand growth in stood at 19.9%, far lower than the 89.1% in North America. Given the sharp expansion of China handset demand in North America, buoyed by network upgrades resulting from massive investments in CDMA (2000) and 3G (2007), we believe that China’s smartphone demand growth in 2013 should also be driven by 3G coverage expansion and investments in TD-LTE by China Mobile (66.1% of total mobile subscribers in China, as of end-2012). Figure 30 China handset demand in 2012 Figure 31 China handset supply market share trend Mid-smartphone: (%) Low smartphone, CNY1,000~2,000 100 Others 16.6% 90 Ginoee 80 TCL 70 Yulong Mid 60 Lenovo smartphone, 50 Huawei 15.3% Feature, ZTE 40 57.4% HTC 30 20 Apple High LGE 10 smartphone, SEC 10.7% 0 Nokia 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 Source: Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research 13 13 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 14.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets China’s top-three We expect demand growth in China in 2013 to be led by demand increases for low-to mid-end smartphone suppliers (ZTE, smartphones (mid-end: RMB1,000-2,000, low-end: RMB1,000 or below). We forecast demand Huawei and Lenovo) to eat for mid-end and low-end smartphones in China to jump by 58.5% YoY (to 98.9m units) and rapidly into low-to mid-end market share in 2013 66.8% YoY (112.7m units), respectively. Chinese local smartphone suppliers plan to offer new high-end smartphone models, with specifications comparable to SEC’s Galaxy S series and Apple’s iPhone, for ASPs of RMB2,000 or below, thus stimulating demand for mid-end models. In addition, their aggressive lineup expansion should lower the ASP for low-end smartphones to the levels of feature-phones, thus boosting low-end demand. Figure 32 China-based makers’ shipments by price Figure 33 China-based makers’ shipment portions by price (m units) (%) 600 100 90 500 80 400 70 60 300 50 200 40 30 100 20 0 10 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Less than $50 $51-$100 $101-$150 More than $150 Less than $50 $51-$100 $101-$150 More than $150 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research High-end smartphone Notably, high-end smartphone demand in China should remain solid in 2013, as its high-end demand in China to remain demand growth (YoY) should reach 35.6%, outpacing the global market grwoth (32.4% YoY). solid Likely continued concentration of mobile carriers’ subsidies in high-end smartphone models should keep gross margins for high-end models higher than those of low-to mid-end models. Figure 34 China handset supply market share in 4Q12 Figure 35 China smartphone supply market share in 4Q12 (%) (%) SEC, 10.7 ZTE, 5.0 SEC, 15.9 Huawei, 5.5 Apple, 8.7 Others, 44.1 Lenovo, 7.5 ZTE, 8.2 Others, 66.6 Apple, 4.6 Huawei, 9.4 Lenovo, 13.6 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research 14 14 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 15.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets 2. Chinese peers to expand local market share on reinforced competitiveness Chinese smartphone makers Based on developments witnessed at this year’s MWC, we expect China’s top-three to expand local market smartphone makers, i.e. ZTE, Huawei and Lenovo, to show visible progress in 1H13, as they share in 1H13, backed by: 1) reinforced hardware aim to expand their local market shares. With the three Chinese companies (ZTE, Huawei, and competitiveness; Lenovo) quickly catching up to global peers, in terms of hardware competiveness, existing players are finding it increasingly difficult to differentiate their products through enhancement of hardware features. ZTE’s flagship smartphone, Grand Memo, slated for release in 1Q13, employs Qualcomm Snapdragon 600, the fastest AP on the market, offering a 40% improvement in performance, compared with its predecessor, the Qualcomm S4 Pro. The Grand Memo model also adopts a 5.7”, 1280x720, 288ppi HD display, on par with other display-focused smartphone models, such as LG Electronics’ Optimus G Pro (5.5”, 1920x1080, 400ppi display) and Sony’s Xperia Z (5”, 1920x1080, 441ppi display). Moreover, ZTE’s new model runs on the latest version of the Android platform (4.1.2), demonstrating the company’s advancement, in terms of software competitiveness. …2) cost competitiveness; In addition to reinforcing hardware competitiveness, China’s top-three smartphone makers are seeking to cut ASP to improve price competitiveness, backed by lower production costs. ZTE’s Grand S, scheduled for market release in 1Q13, has an estimated bill of materials (BOM) of US$178, 16.7% lower than Galaxy S3’s BOM of US$213.5. In addition, it is forecast to sell for an ASP of US$499.99, US$100 cheaper than Galaxy S3. We do not expect the Chinese companies to see rapid growth in sell-through of their smartphone models within 1H13, given their absence of competitive brand images or differentiation points (setting their products apart from the flagship models of existing companies). However, due to expanded marketing spending, on the back of steady growth in shipments and reduction of materials costs, we believe Chinese smartphone makers will gradually eat into the high-end market shares of other second-tiers from 2H13. Figure 36 Chinese makers’ flagship smartphone line-up Vendor ZTE Huawei Lenovo Meizu OPPO Picture Name Grand S Ascend D2 K900 Meizu MX2 OPPO Find 5 Core Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz Hi-silicon K3V2 1.5GHz Intel Atom 2.0GHz 1.6GHz Quad core Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz OS Android 4.1 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.2 Android 4.1 Android 4.1.2 Display 5.5" (1920x1080), 5" (1920x1080),441ppi 5" (1920x1080),441ppi 4.4" (1280x800), 343ppi 5" (1920x1080), 441ppi 400ppi Size 142x69x6.9mm 140x71x9.4mm thickness: 6.9mm 124.9x64.9x10.2mm 141.8x68.8x8.9mm Weight TBA 170g 162g 142g 165g Memory 2GB RAM 2GB 2GB 2GB RAM 2GB RAM Storage 16GB 32GB 16GB 64GB 16GB Battery 1780mAh 3000mAh TBA 1800mAh 2500mAh Release 2013.1Q 2013.01 2013.04 2012-11-27 2012-12-12 Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research 15 15 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 16.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 37 Global handset makers’ smartphone line-up in 1Q13 Vendor Samsung LGE Apple RIM Sony Picture Name Galaxy S3 LTE Optimus G Pro iPhone 5 BlackBerry Z10 Xperia Z Core Exynos 4412 1.4GHz Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz A6 Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz OS Android 4.1 Android 4.1 iOS 6 BlackBerry 10 Android 4.1.2 Display 4.8" (1280x720), 306ppi 5.5" (1920x1080) 4" (1136x640), 326ppi 4.2" (1280x768),355ppi 5" (1920x1080), 441ppi Size 136.6x70.6x9.0mm 150.2x76.1x9.4mm 123.8x58.6x7.6mm 130x65.6x9mm 139x71x7.9mm Weight 138.5g 172g 112g 138g 146g Memory 2GB RAM 2GB RAM 1GB RAM 2GB RAM 2GB RAM Storage 32GB 32GB 16GB~ 16GB 16GB Battery 2100mAh 3140mAH 1440mAh 1,800mAh 2330mAh Release 2012.05.29 2013.02.20 2012.09.21 2013.01.31 2013.02.09 Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research 16 16 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 17.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 38 Samsung Galaxy S3 BOM costs Figure 39 ZTE Grand S BOM costs Galaxy Note 2 ZTE Grand S Components Manufacturer Cost (US$) Components Manufacturer Cost (US$) BOM + manufacturing 213.5 BOM + manufacturing 178.0 Total BOM cost 205.5 Total BOM cost 175.0 Manufacturing cost 8.0 Manufacturing cost 3.0 Major cost drivers Major cost drivers Memory Samsung 20.0 Memory 23.0 Display/touchscreen Samsung/Melfas 62.0 Display/touchscreen 45.5 Processor Samsung 15.0 Processor Qualcomm 15.0 Wireless section Intel/Qualcomm 25.0 Wireless section 20.0 User interface User interface SEMCO/Infineon 16.5 13.0 & sensors & WLAN/BT/FM & sensors & WLAN/BT/FM Power management Maxim 11.0 Power management 10.0 Battery Samsung 5.0 Battery 4.5 Mech./electro-mech. SEMCO 30.0 Mech./electro-mech. 23.0 Camera SEMCOP/Patron 15.0 Camera 18.0 Box contents 6.0 Box contents 3.0 Source: Mirae Asset Research Source: Mirae Asset Research …and 3) wider telecom Buoyed by reinforced hardware/software competitiveness and reduced production costs, the carrier lineup top-three smartphone makers in China (ZTE, Huawei, Lenovo) are set to see visible shipment growth, with new smartphones slated for release in early 2Q12 (through local telecom carriers, i.e. China Mobile, China Unicom and China Telecom). In 1H13, we expect the three Chinese smartphone makers to rapidly expand their shares of the low-to mid-end smartphones and steadily eat into the white-box smartphone market, enhancing the brand image of their flagship models as a result. In 2H13, we expect the three companies to expand their footing aggressively in the US, Latin American and Indian handset markets. Overall, we expect the combined market share of the three companies in China to rise by 3.9ppt YoY to 22.2% in 2013. Figure 40 Specifications of smartphone line-ups in 1Q13 Company Product Display CPU Memory Storage Battery Launch (mAh) Global manufacturers SEC Galaxy S3 4.8” (1280x720), 306ppi Exynos 4412 1.4Ghz 1GB RAM 32GM 2,100 2012-05-22 LGE Optimus G Pro 5.5" (1920x1080), 400ppi Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz 2GB RAM 32GB 3.140 2013-02-20 LGE Optimus F7 4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi 1.5GHz Dual core 2GB RAM 8GB 2.540 2013.1Q LGE Optimus L7 Ⅱ 4.4" (800x480), 217ppi Qualcomm S4 1GHz 768MB RAM 4GB 2.460 2013.1Q Apple iPhone 5 4.0” (1136x640), 326ppi Apple A6 1.3GHz 1GB RAM 16GB 1,440 2012-09-21 RIM BlackBerry Z10 4.2" (1280x768), 356ppi Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz 2GB RAM 16GB 1,800 2013-01-31 Sony Xperia Z 5" (1920x1080), 441ppi Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz 2GB RAM 16GB 2,330 2013-02-09 HTC One 4.7" (1920x1080), 469ppi Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz 2GB RAM 32GB 2,300 2013.1Q Chinese manufacturers ZTE Grand S 5" (1920x1080), 441ppi Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz 2GB RAM 16GB 1,780 2013.1Q ZTE Grand Memo 5.7” (1280x720), 258ppi Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz 2GB RAM 16GB 3,200 2013.1Q ZTE Nubia Z5 5.0” (1920x1280), 441ppi Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz 2GB RAM 32GB 2,300 2013.01 Huawei Ascend P2 4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi 1.5GHz Quad core 1GB RAM 16GB 2.420 2013.1Q Huawei Ascend D2 5.0” (1920x1280), 441ppi Hi-Silicon 1.5GHz 2GB RAM 32GB 3,000 2013.1Q Lenovo K900 5.5” (1920x1080), 401ppi Intel Atom 2GHz 2GB RAM 16GB TBA 2013-04 Meizu Meizu MX2 4.4” (1280x800), 343ppi 1.6GHz Quad core 2GB RAM 64GB 1,800 2012-11 OPPO OPPO Find 5 5.0” (1920x1080), 441ppi Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz 2GB RAM 16GB 2,500 2012-12 Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research 17 17 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 18.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Chinese local players’ rapid Meanwhile, we believe that any adverse impact from Chinese local players’ rapid market share market share gains will have gains in China on Korean smartphone makers should remain limited in 1H13, given that: 1) a marginal impact on SEC the portion of low-end models in SEC’s total smartphone shipments to China is low, at mere 5% levels; 2) SEC’s mid-end models should maintain a solid brand premium, despite improved price competitiveness; and 3) Chinese smartphone makers’ new flagship models, which have failed to secure their own identity, are unlikely to eat into the market shares of SEC’s Galaxy series. Chinese players should erode the market shares of peers with relatively low cost competitiveness and brand premiums, while rapidly absorbing demand for white-box smartphones, which represented a hefty 45.2% (-5.2ppt YoY) of global demand, as of end- 2012. Adverse impact on LGE LGE should see marginal impact from Chinese players’ market share gains in China in 1H13, in should also be limited in light of its negligible market share in China (0.2% as of end-2012) and the meager portion of 1H13; from 2H13, margin improvement could slow, China-bound shipments (1.3% in end-2012, down by 4.3ppt YoY). However, LGE could see a due to ASP declines slight fall in its market share in 2H13, due to an increase in COGS/sales ratio resulting from ASP declines and a subsequent slowdown in profitability improvement. Figure 41 Supply portion of China smartphone market by price (%) 100 90 Low 80 70 60 50 Mid 40 30 20 10 High 0 i h ia ee u M d E E C om l a C ei L e vo O ny s ta uc z LG pl pa er TC ol ZT SE HT k RI aw PP ei on To So no No Ap th or a To ol M O Xi Hu Gi Le ot O Co K- M Source: SEC, LGE. Gartner, Mirae Asset Research 18 18 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 19.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 42 China Mobile’s smartphone sales in 1Q13 December January February Vendor Model (CNY) Vendor Model (CNY) Vendor Model (CNY) SEC B9062 2,599 SEC B9062 2,599 SEC B9062 2,399 I9050 1,999 I9050 1,999 I8250 1,599 I8250 1,599 I8250 1,599 Galaxy Note 9228 3,699 Galaxy Ace 1,499 7568 1,299 GalaxyS3 i9308 4,199 Galaxy S3 i9308 4,199 Galaxy Note 9228 3,499 Galaxy Note2 4,899 Galaxy Note2 5,199 Galaxy S3 i9308 4,199 Galaxy Ace 999 HTC S720t 3,899 Galaxy Note2 5,199 S6108 899 T328t 1,859 HTC S720t 3,899 S6358 999 Google MT680 1,199 T328t 1,859 HTC T327t 1,499 MT917 2,499 T329t 1,999 T329t 1,899 Coolpad 8870 2,299 Motorola MT680 1,199 T528t 2,499 8150 1,300 MT788 1,999 8S 1,999 8810 1,300 MT917 2,499 8X 3,999 8180 1,400 Nokia Lumia920T 4,599 Motorola MT887 2,800 Lenovo A698T 1,300 Coolpad 8870 2,299 MT788 1,999 ZTE U885 1,300 8020 399 Nokia Lumia920T 4,599 U880S 800 8190 1,099 ZTE I880F1 899 Huawei T8828 1,400 Lenovo A278T 399 U930 1,600 Hisense T96 1,300 U960S2 930 Coolpad 8950 2,199 8020+ 389 8190 999 8060 649 8070 999 8050 519 Lenovo A278T 399 A798T 999 Tianyu T6 999 T621 399 T619 599 Huawei T8951 999 Y310 599 Y220T 521 Hisense T950 998 Haier I710 799 Huawei T8951 999 Source: China Mobile, Mirae Asset Research 19 19 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 20.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 43 China Telecom’s smartphone sales in 1Q13 December January February Vendor Model (CNY) Vendor Model (CNY) Vendor Model (CNY) Apple iPhone 4S 16Gb 4,488 Apple iPhone 4S 16GB 4,488 Apple iPhone 4S 16GB 4,488 SEC Galaxy S3 i939 4,699 iPhone 5 16GB 5,288 iPhone 5 16GB 5,288 SCH-W689 4,980 iPhone 5 32GB 6,088 iPhone 5 32GB 6,088 HTC Desire VC T328d 1,690 iPhone 5 64GB 6,888 iPhone 5 64GB 6,888 Google XT928 3,980 SEC Galaxy S3 i939 4,699 SEC Galaxy S3 i939 4,699 XT882 3,599 SCH-W689 4,980 SCH-W689 4,980 Nokia Lumia 800C 2,399 Galaxy Note2 N719 5,699 Galaxy Note2 N719 5,699 Huawei C8810 990 HTC Desire VC T328d 1,690 Nokia Lumia 800C 2,399 C8812 839 Motorola XT882 3,599 ZTE N881E 990 C8812+ 990 Nokia Lumia 800C 2,399 Huawei C8812+ 990 G300C 1,490 ZTE N881E 990 C8812 990 Hisense ET919 1,590 Huawei C8810 990 Xiaomi M2 2,199 EG870 890 C8812 839 Hisense ET919 1,590 E89 459 C8812+ 990 EG870 890 K-touch E619 699 G300C 1,490 E89 459 Lamtam S600D 650 Hisense ET919 1,590 Lamtam S600D 650 S800 980 EG870 890 S800 980 Sharp SH7218T 1,390 E926 990 Coolpad 5860S 990 E89 459 Lamtam S600D 650 S800 980 Sharp SH7218T 1,390 Coolpad 5860S 990 Source: China Telecom, Mirae Asset Research 20 20 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 21.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 44 China Unicom’s smartphone sales in 1Q13 December January February Vendor Model (CNY) Vendor Model (CNY) Vendor Model (CNY) Apple iPhone 4 8GB 3,088 Apple iPhone 4 8GB 3,088 Apple iPhone 4 8GB 3,088 iPhone 4S 16GB 4,488 iPhone 4S 16GB 4,899 iPhone 4S 16GB 4,899 iPhone 4S 32GB 5,288 iPhone 4S 32GB 6,999 iPhone 4S 32GB 6,999 iPhone 4S 64GB 5,988 iPhone 4S 64GB 7,999 iPhone 4S 64GB 7,999 SEC Galaxy Ace S5838 2,298 iphone5 16GB 5,899 iphone5 16GB 5,899 B9120 9,999 iphone5 32GB 6,899 iphone5 32GB 6,899 I8150 2,599 iphone5 64GB 7,899 iphone5 64GB 7,899 I9103 3,599 SEC Galaxy Ace S5838 2,298 SEC Galaxy Ace S5838 1,398 Galaxy S3 i9300 4,699 B9120 9,999 B9120 9,999 S6102E 999 I8150 2,599 I8150 2,599 S5690 2,098 I9103 3,599 I9103 3,599 S5830I 1,398 Galaxy S3 i9300 4,699 Galaxy S3 i9300 3,999 S6352 1,199 Galaxy Note2 N7102 5,799 Galaxy Note2 N7102 5,799 S5380D 1,498 Galaxy Camera 3,999 S6102E 999 S5578 1,499 S6102E 999 S5690 2,098 Galaxy S2 i9100G 4,899 S5690 2,098 S6352 999 LGE Optimus L7 1,999 S6352 1,199 S5578 1,499 Optimus 3D P920 5,399 S5578 1,698 Galaxy S2 S9100G 4,899 HTC T328W 1,539 Galaxy S2 S9100G 4,899 Galaxy Wave Y S5380D 1,498 One SU T528W 2,699 LGE Optimus L7 1,999 Galax Grand 3,199 S510d 1,399 Optimus 3D P920 5,399 LGE Optimus L7 988 Pico A310e 899 HTC Desire T328W 1,539 Optimus 3D P920 5,399 Z710e 4,499 One SU T528W 2,699 HTC Desire T328W 1,299 RIM Bold 9900 5,498 S510d 2,499 One SU T528W 2,199 Torch 9800 4,663 Pico A310e 899 Z710e 4,499 Curve 9300 2,537 Z710e 4,499 8X 3,999 Google XT390 999 RIM Bold 9900 5,498 8S 1,999 XT316 1,499 Torch 9800 4,663 RIM Bold 9900 5,498 XT615 2,598 Curve 9300 2,537 Torch 9800 4,663 ME722 2,980 Google XT390 999 Curve 9300 2,537 DEFY XT536 1,399 XT316 1,499 Google XT390 999 RAZR MAXX XT910 4,298 XT615 2,598 XT316 399 ME860 4,198 ME722 2,980 ME722 2,980 XT319 1,698 DEFY XT536 1,399 Atrix 4G ME860 4,198 Atrix2 ME865 4,198 Razr MAXX XT910 4,298 XT319 1,698 XT300 1,497 Atrix 4G ME860 4,198 XT701 3,688 XT701 3,688 XT319 1,698 Nokia Lumia610 1,599 Nokia Lumia610 1,699 XT300 1,497 N9 4,218 N9 4,218 XT701 3,688 Lumia800 3,799 Lumia800 3,799 Nokia Lumia610 1,599 Lumia920 4,599 Sony LT26i 4,599 N9 4,218 ZTE V788D 599 MK16i 3,204 Lumia800 3,799 V889D 1,199 ZTE V889D 1,199 Sony LT26i 2,869 V889M 1,399 V889M 1,399 LT18i 2,268 V889S 799 V965W 1,899 MK16i 3,204 V965W 1,899 V960 1,598 MT27i 1,786 V955 1,199 V6500 1,399 ZTE V788D 599 V960 1,598 Huawei Honor 2,199 V889D 1,199 Huawei Honor 2,199 Ascend G600 1,599 V889M 1,399 Sonic+ 799 Ascend P1 2,799 V889S 1,199 Ascend G600 1,599 Ascend G330D 1,199 V965W 1,899 Ascend P1 2,099 U8500 1,159 V955 1,199 U8500 1,159 G300 1,599 V960 1,598 G300 1,599 Coolpad 7266 999 V6500 1,399 G510 998 7500 1,399 Huawei Honor 2,199 Y210 699 7290 1,199 Sonic+ 799 Y300 999 W770 4,100 Ascend G600 1,799 Coolpad 7011 700 Lenovo A789 1,199 Ascend P1 2,799 7019 799 A690 799 Ascend G330D 1,199 7266 999 A780 999 U8500 1,559 7260 999 A750 1,099 G300 1,599 7290 1,199 A800 1,188 G510 1,166 W770 4,100 Hisense U950 1,399 Y210 699 Lenovo A65 799 Haier W801 1,199 Lenovo A65 799 A789 819 N88W 1,799 A789 819 A60+ 599 Xiaomi 1S 1,766 A60+ 599 A789 1,199 Tianyu W806 1,699 A789 1,199 A690 639 W760 1,199 A690 799 A800 888 U6 1,199 A750 1,099 Xiaomi 1S 1,644 W700 2,888 A800 1,188 M2 2,399 Amoi N89 1,299 Coolpad 7266 999 Amoi N89 1,599 N79 1,159 7500 1,399 Meizu MX2 2,699 TCL W989 1,199 7290 1,199 Haier N88W 1,799 Philips W635 1,299 W770 4,100 Hisense U930 999 Malata i8 1,399 Xiaomi M2 2,499 Tianyu W700 2,888 Source: China Unicom, Mirae Asset Research 21 21 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 22.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets 3. SEC to outshine peers in cost and supply chain competitiveness Industry-wide profitability SEC is set to expand its shipments of the Galaxy S4 from 2Q13, while China’s top-3 to deteriorate in 3Q13 smartphone makers should significantly expand their smartphone shipments (within China) 1H13. In addition, Apple plans to launch a successor model to the iPhone in 3Q13, thus leading to fiercer subsidy competition among handset makers. Apple is highly likely to cut the ASP for the iPhone in 2013, in order to expand its market share in emerging markets. ASP declines and subsidy expansion should drive the handset industry’s average margin downwards by 7.1ppt QoQ in 3Q13. Limited demand growth vs. While global smartphone demand is forecast to reach 897m units (+32.4% YoY) in 2013, we increased supply and new expect the combined smartphone shipments by SEC/Apple and Chinese players in 2013 to smartphone lineup expansion reach 453m units (+32% YoY) and 284m units (+56% YoY), respectively. This suggests that second-tiers (excluding Chinese players) should see a mere 9.5% YoY increase in shipments (versus the industry average of 32.4% YoY) to 160m units in 2013. Significant shipment growth by Chinese makers in 2013 is highly likely, given their high shipment portions to emerging markets. Going forward, emerging markets (e.g. China and India) should drive global smartphone demand growth, as we forecast smartphone demand in China to climb by 56% YoY (to 270m units) in 2013. Figure 45 2013E global smartphone market share 897m units (+32.4% YoY) 678m units (+43.3% YoY) SEC, 32.4% ZTE 4.0% SEC, 31.9% ZTE 4.0% Huawei 4.0% Apple, 18.1% Huawei 4.2% RIM 5.0% RIM 4.2% Apple, 19.7% LGE, 5.0% Lenovo 3.2% Lenovo 4.0% HTC 4.7% LGE, 3.9% HTC 4.1% Sony 3.6% Sony 3.7% Nokia 5.6% Nokia 3.2% Google 2.8% Google 2.7% 2012E 2013E Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Industry-wide margin The smartphone industry should suffer margin erosion in 2H13, for the following reasons: erosion expected in 2H13, due to: 1) ASP declines; 2) intensifying competition in 1) The Chinese market should increase its portion of global smartphone demand, while North America; and 3) Chinese smartphone makers should expand their global market shares. The sharp delays in market growth of Chinese players should lower the smartphone industry’s ASP by 13.6% restructuring YoY in 2013, while first-tier smartphone makers should see an increased portion of raw material costs in total costs and a rise in marketing costs. 2) Most second-tier smartphone makers (excluding SEC, Nokia and Chinese companies) strategically focus on the North American market, which is close to saturation point, with a smartphone penetration rate of 67.7% in 2012. 3) Latecomers (Amazon, Facebook, Google, Chinese players) also aim to enter the North American market, while some first-tiers (HTC, Sony and RIM, which has recently seen a downtrend in shipments) pursue shipment growth-backed turnarounds. 4) Given Apple’s firm resolve to expand its market share in emerging markets in 2013, we see a high possibility of the company offering the iPhone to China Mobile at lower prices. ASP declines and subsidy expansion should drive down the handset industry’s average margin by 7.1ppt QoQ in 3Q13, from its 2Q13 high. 22 22 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 23.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 46 OPM comparison of handset industry versus SEC’s and LGE’s handset divisions (%) 25 20 15 10 5 0 (5) (10) (15) 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 Handset industry SEC's handset LGE' handset Source: SEC, LGE, Gartner, Mirae Asset Research SEC has shown: 1) an In order to remain competitive in 2013, smartphone vendors should be able to: 1) cut increase in the portion of in- development costs, by having their low-to mid-end models share platforms with flagship house production for core components; 2) a diversified models; 2) reduce their bill of materials (BOM) by expanding the portion of in-house supply chain; and 3) strong production of core parts; and 3) promptly respond to constantly changing market needs by balance sheet shortening their new-model development cycles. Only those with price competitiveness versus Chinese players will be able to expand their market shares in both emerging and global markets. They will also be able to preserve operating margins, by maintaining both margins and shipments for flagship models at relatively high levels. SEC’s strong cost and supply We forecast SEC’s global market share to edge higher, by 0.4ppt to 23.6%, in 2013 and its chain competitiveness to be 2013E operating margin to exceed the industry average by 3.8ppt. SEC is positioned to: 1) in spotlight shorten its hardware development cycle, backed by its relatively high portion of in-house production of core components (e.g. AP, DRAM, NAND, display, batteries, MLCC, HDI and camera modules); and 2) further cut the portion of raw material costs, backed by strong financials and strict control of suppliers; and 3) improve its price and hardware competitiveness and thus increase its share of emerging markets. Figure 47 SEC parts’ internalisation portion (63.7%) Figure 48 LGE parts’ internalisation portion (46.8%) AP, 9.0% Display/touch 31.3% Others, Memory, 36.3% 13.1% Others, 53.2% Battery, 2.1% MLCC, 1.0% Display/touch Substrate, Motor, 0.2% 26.3% 3.0% Camera Camera module, Substrate, Battery, FPCB, 1.5% module, 9.0% 3.0% 2.1% Motor, 0.2% 9.0% Source: Mirae Asset Research Source: Mirae Asset Research 23 23 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 24.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 49 SEC’s smartphone supply chain Source: SEC, Mirae Asset Research Figure 50 LGE’s smartphone supply chain Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research Figure 51 Apple’s smartphone supply chain Source: Apple, Mirae Asset Research 24 24 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 25.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 52 HTC’s smartphone supply chain Source: HTC, Mirae Asset Research Figure 53 RIM’s smartphone supply chain Source: RIM, Mirae Asset Research Figure 54 Sony’s smartphone supply chain Source: Sony, Mirae Asset Research 25 25 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 26.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets 4. Smartphone industry paradigm returning to identity and ecosystem Smartphone industry At this year’s MWC, we noted that handset suppliers are focusing on building the identities of paradigm returning to their new flagship models through UX and killer applications, while seeking to develop an identity and eco-system independent ecosystem by diversifying platforms beyond the oligopolistic Android (whose smartphone OS market share stood at 64% in 2012) in 2013. Between 2011 and 2012, competition in the handset industry had focused primarily on developing advanced hardware features for flagship models and upgrading to higher versions of the Android OS. However, following the rapid improvement in flagship smartphone hardware, competition to find differentiation points in hardware temporarily ceased in 2013, with latecomers closing the gap with top tiers, in terms of hardware competitiveness. Efforts to develop Through efforts to establish solid identities, handset makers are seeking to: 1) protect the alternative platforms to premium of high-margin flagship smartphones; 2) reinforce customer loyalty and expand drive up R&D costs, raising the cost burden for second market share through the development of an independent ecosystem; 3) reduce marketing tiers with higher fixed cost costs for low-to mid-end models; and 4) diversify profit structures to software/contents, after portions focusing primarily on hardware sales to date. In sharp contrast to Chinese smartphone makers, which continued to emphasize the advanced hardware performance of their flagship models at the 2013 MWC, other smartphone makers (SEC, LG Electronics, Nokia, HTC and Sony emphasized the identity and differentiated UX of their new smartphone models. Figure 55 Smartphone line-up at MWC2013 Vendor Alcatel Sony Huawei HTC ZTE Picture Name One Touch idol x Xperia Z Ascend P2 One Grand memo Core 1.2GHz Quad core Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz 1.5GHz Quad core Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz OS Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1 Android 4.1.2 Display 5" (1920x1080),441ppi 5" (1920x1080), 441ppi 4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi 4.7" (1920x1080),469ppi 5.7" (1280x720), 288ppi Size 140.4x67.5x7mm 139x71x7.9mm Unknown 137.4x68.2x9.3mm 159.9x82.6x8.5mm Weight TBA 146g Unknown 143g TBA Memory 2GB RAM 2GB RAM 1GB RAM 2GB RAM 2GB RAM Storage 16GB 16GB 16GB 32GB 16GB Battery 2,000mAh 2,330mAh 2.420mAh 2,300mAh 3,200mAh Release TBA 2013.02.09 2013.1Q 2013.03. 2013.1Q Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research Efforts to develop With platforms rising as a key element in competition this year, smartphone makers are likely alternative platforms to to expand efforts to diversify smartphone OS. As such, market attention should once again drive up R&D costs, raising the cost burden for second focus on the competitiveness of SEC (relatively less burdened by development costs), Apple tiers with higher fixed cost and RIM (companies offering proprietary platforms). For Android smartphones, the process of portions ‘platform porting/optimization/application of UI/main application installation’ accounts for 50- 55% of the entire development process and uses up more than half of all R&D costs. In the long term, by adopting an alternative platform, smartphone makers would be able to: 1) reduce R&D expenses; 2) minimize R&D periods; and 3) increase customer loyalty, while differentiating flagship models by building an exclusive ecosystem. However, with the market share of Android OS reaching 66.1% (+19.4% YoY) at end-2012, we expect the platform’s oligopolistic control over the market (which started in 2011) to continue into 2013. Efforts to diversify platforms should drive up the R&D cost burden for second tiers, which struggle from higher fixed cost portions, due to their relatively lower shipment volumes. 26 26 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 27.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 56 Upcoming smartphones using new OS Vendor Samsung ZTE Sony Alcatel Ubuntu Picture Name Tizen phone Open Xperia E One Touch Fire TBA Core TBA Qualcomm S1 Qualcomm S1 1GHz Qualcomm 1GHz TBA OS Tizen 2.0 Firefox OS Firefox OS Firefox OS Ubuntu Display TBA 3.5" (480x320), 165pi 3.5" (480x320), 165ppi 3.5"(480x320), 165ppi TBA Size TBA 114x62x12.5mm 113.5x61.8x11mm 116x62.3x12.2mm TBA Weight TBA TBA 116g TBA TBA Memory TBA 256MB RAM 512MB RAM 256MB RAM TBA Storage TBA 0.5GB 4GB 2GB TBA Battery TBA 1,200mAh 1,500mAh 1,400mAh TBA Release 2013.07. 2013.2Q 2014E 2013.06 2013.2H Source: Company data, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research Figure 57 Character comparisons among newest smartphones’ OS Apple: iOS6 Android: Jelly Bean (4.1/4.2) RIM: BlackBerry 10 Microsoft: Windows 8 New map app Improvement of touch screen response BlackBerry Hub New bookmark function Siri, multiple languages support (Korean) Expansion of alarm function BlackBerry keyboard Live tile custom option Integration of Facebook BBM video with screen To support multiple languages and keyboards Live app share Streaming share photos Camera with time shift Performance improvements both HTML5 and JSP Features for children mode Passbook USB audio output/multi-channel audio Blackberry Balance People Hub FaceTime, mobile comm. network support Media function improvement BlackBerry Remember Photo Hub New call function (e.g. Interruption-free Sharing made easy Performance improvement of home launcher Office Hub mode) with NFC Simple mail system Adjustment of Project Butter Voice control SkyDrive Improvement of Safari searching Chrome as a base browser Super-fast browsing Games Hub environment Guided access for handicapped Not supporting Adobe Flash Player Electronic wallet Camera panorama function SELinux Redesigned stores "Daydream" screensaver Additional function for Chinese users Power alarm management Improvement of locked screen To support multiple accounts in tablets Gesture typing Photosphere (panorama) Improvement of Google Now Wireless display (Miracast) Source: Apple, Google, RIM, Microsoft, Mirae Asset Research Figure 58 Global smartphone OS market share (%) 100 Others 90 80 Symbian 70 Microsoft 60 50 Bada 40 RIM 30 20 iOS 10 Android 0 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research 27 27 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 28.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets SEC’s new tablet PC Galaxy *Samsung Electronics (005930 KS): We expect SEC’s Galaxy Note 8”, unveiled at MWC 2013, Note 8”, revealed at MWC to eat into the market shares of the iPad mini and tablet PC second tiers (Amazon and Barnes 2013, likely to emerge as the 8” category killer & Noble) within 1H13. We note that the Galaxy Note 8”: 1) placed emphasis on identity, product and eat into iPad leveraging on the design similarities with the Galaxy smartphone series (rather than its mini’s market share predecessor, the Galaxy Note 10.1”), as well as the advanced features of its S-Pen stylus feature killer app; and 2) stands to secure market share within the 7-8” category in 1H13, with the new iPad mini model slated for release in end-2Q13. As such, we expect SEC’s tablet PC shipments to grow by 64.2% YoY to 30m units in FY13, driving up the company’s global market share to 20.5% (+6.1ppt YoY) as a result. Figure 59 Galaxy Note 8.0 vs. iPad mini Galaxy Note 8.0 Versus iPad mini 1.6Ghz Quad AP A5 1GHz 2GB RAM Memory 512MB RAM 8” Display size 7.9” Android 4.1.2 OS iOS6 4600mAh Battery 4400mAh 211x136x7.95mm Dimensions 200x134.7x7.2mm 338g Weight 312g 1280x800 Resolution 1024x768 189ppi Density 162ppi 5M (1.3M) Main camera (front) 5M (1.2M) Source: PhoneArena, SEC, Apple, Mirae Asset Research *LGE (066570 KS): At the Mobile World Congress (MWC), LG Electronics (LGE) unveiled the Optimus F series (entry-level LTE smartphones) and the Optimus L II series (3G smartphone successors to the Optimus L series). The Optimus F-series shares its platform (design, UI and UX) with the Optimus G Pro, unveiled last week. We believe LGE’s efforts to vertically integrate its smartphone lineup will partially reduce marketing and R&D costs and enable the company to compete with SEC’s three major entry-level smartphones, the Galaxy Ace2 (3.8”, 800x480, 768MB DRAM), Galaxy S3 mini (4.0”, 800x480, 1GB DRAM) and Galaxy Grand (5”, 800x480, 1GB DRAM). On a positive note, cumulative sales of the Optimus G Pro (260k units) have recently exceeded those of its predecessor, the Optimus G. Figure 60 LGE’s new smartphone line-up at MWC2013 Vendor LGE LGE LGE LGE LGE Picture Name Optimus L7 Ⅱ Optimus L5 Ⅱ Optimus L3 Ⅱ Optimus F7 Optimus F5 Core Qualcomm S4 1GHz 1GHz Qualcomm S1 1GHz 1.5GHz Dual core 1.2GHz Dual core OS Android 4.1 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1.2 Display 4.3" (800x480), 217pp 4" (800x480), 233ppi 3.2" (320x240),125ppi 4.7" (1280x720),312ppi 4.3" (960x540),256ppi Size 121.5x66.6x9.7mm 117.5x62.2x9.2mm Unknown 131.7x68.2x9.6mm 126x64.5x9.3mm Weight TBA TBA Unknown TBA TBA Specs 768MB RAM 512MB RAM 512MB RAM 2GB RAM 1GB RAM Release 2013.1Q 2013.1Q 2013.1Q 2013.1Q 2013.1Q Source: LGE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research 28 28 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 29.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets *HTC (2498 TT): At MWC 2013, HTC revealed its new One flagship smartphone model, scheduled for release in 80-plus markets around the world from March. The new flagship model offers: a new UX focusing on visual and auditory senses; advanced video recording and editing functions; a 4M ultra-pixel camera on the front; and Dolby Surround speakers. HTC’s global smartphone market share stood at 3.2% (-1.8ppt YoY) in 4Q12. We expect the company’s operating margin to remain flat QoQ, at 1% in 1Q13, despite a rise in demand for the One, owing to seasonal weakness and greater spending on R&D and marketing for new models. Figure 61 HTC's smartphone lineup in 1H13 Vendor HTC HTC HTC HTC HTC Picture Name 8S 8X J butterfly Droid DNA One Core Qualcomm S4 1.0GHz Qualcomm S4 1.2GHz Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz OS Windows 8 Windows 8 Android 4.1 Android 4.1 Android 4.1 Display 4" (800x480) 4.3" (1280x720) 5" (1920x1080) 5" (1920x1080) 4.7" (1920x1080) Size 120.5x63x10.3mm 132.35x66.2x10.12mm 143x71x9.1mm 141x71x9.7mm 137.4x68.2x9.3mm Weight 113g 130g 140g 138g 143g Specs S-LCD / 512MB RAM S-LCD 2 / 1GB RAM Super LCD 2 / 2GB RAM 441ppi / 2GB RAM 468ppi Release 2012.11. 2012.11. 2012.12. 2012.11. 2013.03. Source: HTC, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research *Sony (6758 JP): After revealing its new Xperia Z flagship smartphone at the CES in February 2013, Sony announced plans to release the new model in 60-plus markets around the world within 1Q13, at US$849. The company also plans to release its new tablet PC Xperia Tablet Z within 1Q13. For the new model, Sony focused on emphasizing exquisite designs typical of Japanese products for the set and UI, added waterproof capabilities and reinforced marketing efforts. The company adopted the Bravia Engine for the new model to enhance display functions, and differentiated hardware features by installing an RGB image sensor. We expect Sony’s smartphone sales volume to rise by 4.6% QoQ to 9.1m units in 1Q13, backed by growth in market shares at home and in Europe. The company is likely to meet its targets to sell 34m (+51% YoY) smartphones in FY2012, considering its local market share of 7.5% (- 0.1ppt QoQ, fourth largest in terms of share of supply) at 4QFY12. We expect Sony’s shipment growth to have a limited impact on both SEC and LG Electronics, with the two companies’ Japanese market share standing at 6.5% (sixth largest, in terms of share of supply) and a mere 2%, respectively, in 2012 and shipments to the Japanese market accounting for only 1% of SEC’s total smartphone shipments. Figure 62 Sony's smartphone line-up in 1H13 Vendor Sony Sony Sony Sony Sony Picture Name Xperia T Xperia TL Xperia E Xperia Z Xperia ZL Core Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz Qualcomm S1 Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz OS Android 4.0 Android 4.0 Android 4.1 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1.2 Display 4.6" (1280x720) 4.6" (1280x720) 3.5" (480x320) 5" (1920x1080),441ppi 5" (1920x1080),441ppi Size 129.4x67.3x9.35mm 129.4x67.3x9.4mm 114x62x11mm 139x71x7.9mm 132x69x9.8mm Weight 139g 148g 116g 146g 151g Specs 1GB RAM 1GB RAM 512MB RAM 2GB RAM 2GB RAM Release 2012.09 2012.11 2013.Q1 2013.01. 2013.01. Source: Sony, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research 29 29 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 30.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets *Nokia (NOK US): Nokia unveiled four new low-end smartphone models (the Lumia720, Lumia620, Lumia301 and Lumia105) at Mobile World Congress (MWC) 2013. It plans to launch: 1) the Lumia720 (equipped with 4.3-inch display and 512MB RAM) in China in 1Q13 and then in Europe in 2Q13; 2) the Lumia620 (low-end model embedded with 4-inch display) in Hong Kong and Vietnam in 1Q13 and then in the US in 2Q13; and 3) the Lumia301 and Lumia105 at ultra-low prices (EUR65 and EUR15, respectively). Nokia’s continued expansion of low-end smartphone lineup is attributable to its strategy for increasing its emerging market share. The company accounted for 5.6% of the global smartphone market in 2012 (-12ppt YoY). Nokia saw a turnaround in its handset business in 4Q12, thanks to the rise in its smartphone sales (to 6.6m units, up 5.9ppt QoQ), following the launch of the Lumia920. However, its handset division should find it difficult to maintain positive earnings in 1Q13, without strengthening its price competitiveness against Chinese local brands and improving its currently low compatibility with Android OS (which dominates the mobile OS market). Figure 63 Nokia's handset line-up in 1H13 Vendor Nokia Nokia Nokia Nokia Nokia Picture Name Lumia 920 Asha 205 Asha 206 Lumia 620 Lumia 720 Core Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz X X Qualcomm S4 1.0GHz Qualcomm S4 1.0GHz OS Windows 8 Series 40 UI Series 40 UI Windows 8 Windows 8 Display 4.5" (1280x768) 2.4" (320x240), 167ppi 2.4" (320x240), 167ppi 3.8" (800x480), 246ppi 4.3" (800x480), 217ppi Size 130.3x70.8x10.7mm 112.8x61.1x13mm 116x49.4x12.4mm 115.4x61.1x11mm 127.9x67.5x9mm Weight 185g 94g 91g 127g 128g Specs 1GB RAM 16MB RAM 16MB RAM 512MB RAM 512MB RAM Release 2012.11.13 2012.12. 2012.12 2013.01. 2013.1Q Source: Nokia, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research *Lenovo (992 HK): Lenovo posted a turnaround in its handset business in 3Q12. At MWC 2013, it added a new model (the K900, which was first introduced at CES) to its flagship model lineup. The company has continued to expand its smartphone market share in China (FY12 market share: 12.2%, up 10.1% YoY). It is focused on expanding its market share in China in 1H13 and its global market share in 2H13. Figure 64 Lenovo's smartphone & tablet line-up in 1H13 Vendor Lenovo Lenovo Lenovo Lenovo Lenovo Picture Name K800 K900 IdeaTab A1000 IdeaTab A3000 IdeaTab S6000 Core Intel Atom 1.6GHz Intel Atom 2.0GHz 1.2GHz Dual core 1.2GHz Quad core 1.2GHz Quad core OS Android 2.3 Android 4.2 Android 4.1 Android 4.1 Android 4.1 Display 5.5" (1920x1080), 10.2" (1280x800), 4.5" (1280x720), 326ppi 7" (1024x600), 170ppi 7" (1024x600), 170ppi 400ppi 149ppi Size 131x71x11mm Thickness: 6.9mm 199x121x107mm 194x120x11mm 260x180x8.6mm Weight 161g 162g 340g 340g 560g Specs 1GB 2GB 1GB 1GB 1GB Release 2012.01. 2013.04 2013.1Q 2013.1Q 2013.1Q Source: Lenovo, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research 30 30 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 31.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets *ZTE (763 HK): ZTE unveiled the 5.7-inch display phablet Grand Memo at MWC 2013, adding to its high-end smartphone lineup (which includes the Grand S and the Nubia Z5, introduced at CES 2013 in January). The company’s market share in China’s handset market rose by 1.8ppt YoY to 5.8% in 2012; in particular, its smartphone market share in China continued to grow to 8.4% in 2012 (+0.6ppt YoY). ZTE plans to launch the three new high-end smartphone models in China in 1Q13, before going global in 2Q13. Backed by increased smartphone shipments, we expect ZTE’s handset business to post a turnaround in 2013. Figure 65 ZTE's smartphone line-up in 1H13 Vendor ZTE ZTE ZTE ZTE ZTE Picture Name Grand X Grand X In Nubia Z5 Grand S Grand memo Core Nvidia Tegra2 1.2GHz Intel Z2460 1.6GHz Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz OS Android 4.0 Android 4.0 Android 4.1 Android 4.1 Android 4.1.2 Display 4.3" (960x540), 256ppi 4.3" (960x540) 5" (1920x1080) 5" (1920x1080),441ppi 5.7" (1280x720), 288ppi Size 127x64.6x9.9mm 127x65x9.9mm 138x69.2x7.6mm 142x69x6.9mm 159.9x82.6x8.5mm Weight 110g 140.8g 126g TBA TBA Specs 512MB RAM 1GB RAM 2GB RAM / 441ppi 2GB RAM 2GB RAM Release 2012.07.18 2012.09 2013.Q1 2013.1Q 2013.1Q Source: ZTE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research *Huawei (002502 CH): Huawei shipped 8.7m smartphone units in 4Q12 (+11% QoQ), the third largest shipments among smartphone makers. The company has focused on improving its brand image, with the launch of new flagship smartphones - the Ascend D2 (5’’ full HD), the Ascend Mate (5.5” full HD) and the Ascend P2 (4.7” 1280x720) - at CES 2013 and MWC 2013. Huawei aims to expand exports of the Ascend P2, following its launch in Europe in 2Q13, while expanding its domestic market share during 1H13. The Ascend P2, which will be available at an ASP of US$525, should help Huawei’s flagship models expand their combined market share in 2H13 (when they should see an additional fall in ASP, due to increased shipments). Figure 66 Huawei's smartphone line-up in 1H13 Vendor Huawei Huawei Huawei Huawei Huawei Picture Name 4Afrika Ascend D2 Ascend Mate W1 Ascend P2 Core Qualcomm S4 1.2GHz Hi-silicon K3V2 1.5GHz Hi-silicon K3V2 1.5GHz Qualcomm S4 1.2GHz 1.5GHz Quad core OS Windows 7.8 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1.2 Windows 8 Android 4.1.2 Display 4" (800x480), 233ppi 5" (1920x1080),441ppi 6.1" (1280x720) 4" (800x480) 4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi Size TBA 140x71x9.4mm 163.5x865.7x9.9mm 124.5x63.5x10.2mm Unknown Weight TBA 170g 198g 130g Unknown Specs 512MB RAM 2GB 241ppi 220ppi 1GB RAM Release 2013.1H 2013.01 2013.02 2013.01 2013.2Q Source: Huawei, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research 31 31 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 32.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets 5. SEMCO (009150 KS) remains our top-pick, LGE is our second pick We maintain our target In light of the likely continued expansion in SEC’s global market share in 2013 (+0.4ppt YoY price of KRW12,500 for to 23.6%), we reiterate our BUY rating and target price of KRW125,000 for SEMCO. We SEMCO, as our sector top- pick believe that: 1) the 34.4% YoY growth in SEC’s smartphone shipments (to 290m units) expected in 2013 should drive up shipments of related components; 2) the expected 89% YoY growth in SEC’s flagship smartphone shipments (to 146m units) should improve SEMCO’s product mix, thus lifting its profitability; and 3) component ASPs are unlikely to decline, despite the recent margin improvement by Japanese component makers. SEMCO shares are currently trading at a 2013E P/E of 16.6x and P/B of 1.7x (versus ROE of 10.5%). Our target price of We maintain our BUY rating and target price of KRW88,000 for LGE, as: 1) efforts to vertically KRW88,000 maintained for integrate its smartphone lineup should gradually sharpen competitiveness; 2) the sales LGE, as our second pick for outlook for its new flagship smartphone, the Optimus G Pro, remains bright in 1H13; and 3) the sector profitability should improve in 1H13, driven by shipment growth and higher ASP, following a rise in smartphone market share. LGE shares currently trade at FY13E P/E of 12.4x and P/B of 1.0x (versus ROE of 7.8%), while competitors (RIM, HTC and ZTE) are trading at FY13E P/E average of 13.9x and P/B average of 1.6x (versus ROE average of 7.1%). 32 32 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 33.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Ⅲ. Appendix 1. 1Q13E smartphone peers’ earnings guidance & consensus Figure 67 1Q13E smartphone peers earnings guidance Company Market cap. 2013E 1Q13E guidance (US$ m) (code) P/E (x) P/B (x) SEC 209,777 8.3 1.8 Smartphone and tablet PC demand expected to decrease QoQ, due to weak (005930 KS) seasonality. LGE 11,819 12.5 1.0 Smartphone shipments guidance in 1Q13 is 8.3m units (-3.5% QoQ). (066570 KS) Apple 417,477 10.0 2.9 Revenue guidance for 1Q13 is US$41-43bn, GPM 37.5-39.5%. (AAPL US) HTC 7,966 17.5 2.6 Revenue guidance for 1Q13 is NT$50-60bn, GPM 21-23%, OPM 0.5-1.0%. (2498 TT) RIM 6,945 - 0.8 Continued drag on operating margin from promotional costs for the launch of (RIMM US) Blackberry10 in 1Q13. Google 264,837 17.5 3.1 Reduction in demand, due to weak seasonality. (GOOG US) Pressure from Motorola's operating losses expected to continue. ZTE 5,502 18.0 1.5 Plans to enter Chinese local market with high-end smartphone. (763 HK) Sony 14,693 23.5 0.7 Smartphone shipment guidance for CY1Q13 is 9.1m units (+4.6% QoQ). (6758 JP) Nokia 14,118 62.5 1.3 OPM of -2% expected for handset business. (NOK US) Source: Company data, Mirae Asset Research Note: Share price data as of 1 March 2013 33 33 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 34.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Figure 68 Smartphone peers’ earnings consensus Company (code) / US$ m 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13E 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E Apple (AAPL US) Total handset shipments 35 37 43 50 91 134 166 207 Sales 35,023 35,966 54,878 42,935 65,225 156,212 182,705 206,040 YoY (%) 22.6 27.2 18.4 9.6 (39.7) 139.5 17.0 12.8 OP 11,573 10,944 16,976 12,691 18,385 55,252 55,383 63,500 YoY (%) 23.4 25.6 (2.1) (17.5) (45.6) 200.5 0.2 14.7 OPM (%) 33.0 30.4 30.9 29.6 28.2 35.4 30.3 30.8 HTC (2498 TT) Total handset shipments 9 8 8 12 43 32 36 45 Sales 3,074 2,352 2,086 1,887 8,858 9,991 9,495 10,100 YoY (%) (28.7) (49.5) (37.7) (17.4) (44.1) 12.8 (5.0) 6.4 OP 277 165 38 42 1,402 661 454 591 YoY (%) (58.5) (76.2) (91.0) (75.7) (40.1) (52.9) (31.3) 30.2 OPM (%) 9.0 7.0 1.8 2.2 15.8 6.6 4.8 5.8 Nokia (NOK US) Total handset shipments 82 88 97 107 414 335 375 401 Smartphone shipments 6 7 7 8 86 35 29 35 Sales 9,678 9,056 10,581 8,901 56,309 39,628 39,119 40,025 YoY (%) (27.5) (28.6) (21.5) (7.7) 4.6 (29.6) (1.3) 2.3 OP (1,060) (721) 762 25 2,746 115 1,311 1,386 YoY (%) 51.2 618.4 315.9 (101.4) 11,501.1 (95.8) 1,043.1 5.7 OPM (%) (11.0) (8.0) 7.2 0.3 4.9 0.3 3.4 3.5 RIM (RIMM US) Total handset shipments 9 9 10 10 52 34 38 36 Sales 2,814 2,873 2,664 2,835 19,907 11,266 12,920 12,082 YoY (%) (42.7) (31.1) (48.4) (32.3) 8.0 (43.4) 14.7 (6.5) OP (308) (363) (280) (246) 4,636 (1,161) (463) (369) YoY (%) (134.3) (189.2) (185.3) (215.3) 151.3 (125.0) (60.2) (20.1) OPM (%) (10.9) (12.6) (10.5) (8.7) 23.3 (10.3) (3.6) (3.1) ZTE (763 HK) Total handset shipments 25 31 37 41 56 68 133 152 Smartphone shipments 8 8 9 10 11 27 36 44 Sales 3,728 2,809 4,657 3,203 10,330 14,262 16,677 18,825 YoY (%) 11.6 (12.2) 6.4 9.6 (22.6) 38.1 16.9 12.9 OP (37) (460) 233 N/A 616 (34) 579 686 YoY (%) (28.7) (604.0) 44.2 N/A 44.8 (105.6) (1,784.5) 18.6 OPM (%) (1.0) (16.4) 5.0 N/A 6.0 (0.2) 3.5 3.6 Sony (6758 JP) Total handset shipments 8 9 10 11 33 31 38 41 Smartphone shipments 8 8 9 9 20 24 33 39 Sales 18,925 20,407 21,988 17,051 84,029 72,306 74,795 75,374 YoY (%) 3.2 0.6 (6.7) (15.6) 2.1 (14.0) 3.4 0.8 OP 78 385 877 507 2,338 1,417 2,067 2,447 YoY (%) (76.8) (1,927.2) (173.9) (2,947.3) (374.2) (39.4) 45.9 18.4 OPM (%) 0.4 1.9 4.0 3.0 2.8 2.0 2.8 3.2 Google (GOOG US) Total handset shipments 8 8 11 13 41 34 41 48 Smartphone shipments 6 6 6 7 19 19 24 31 Sales 12,214 14,101 12,357 11,305 29,321 41,665 49,236 56,510 YoY (%) 35.3 45.1 16.8 6.2 (22.6) 42.1 18.2 14.8 OP 3,203 2,736 3,619 3,789 10,381 13,358 16,046 19,295 YoY (%) 11.2 (10.5) 3.2 11.8 (11.6) 28.7 20.1 20.3 OPM (%) 26.2 19.4 29.3 33.5 35.4 32.1 32.6 34.1 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 34 34 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 35.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets 2. Handset peers’ shipment portions by country Figure 69 SEC shipment portions by country in 4Q12 Figure 70 LGE shipment portions by country in 4Q12 (%) (%) China, 10.4 US, 30.0 US, 14.5 Others, 34.8 Others, 54.7 Spain, 2.4 India, 11.2 Korea, 5.4 Mexico, 6.4 Brazil, 5.1 Brazil, 21.1 Russia, 4.1 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Figure 71 Nokia shipment portions by country in 4Q12 Figure 72 HTC shipment portions by country in 4Q12 (%) (%) China, 4.3 India, 16.3 China, 26.9 Others, 28.8 Brazil, 5.1 Mexico, 2.5 UK, 10.0 Others, 60.1 US, 22.6 Germany, Russia, 3.0 8.7 Japan, 3.0 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Figure 73 RIM shipment portions by country in 4Q12 Figure 74 Apple shipment portions by country in 4Q12 (%) (%) US, 8.6 Spain, 4.4 China, 10.4 UK, 11.8 Others, 39.2 US, 35.7 Others, 57.6 Mexico, 10.2 UK, 4.6 Canada, 3.1 South Africa, Japan, 7.0 7.4 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research 35 35 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 36.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Handset Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 3. Handset market share by vendor in 2012 Figure 75 Apple’s handset shipment market share in 4Q12 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Mirae Asset Securities 36 36
  • 37.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Handset Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 4. Smartphone market share by vendor in 2012 Figure 76 Apple’s smartphone shipment market share in 4Q12 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Mirae Asset Securities 37 37
  • 38.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets 5. Tablet PC market share and line-up in 2013 Figure 77 Tablet PC MS in 2012 Figure 78 Tablet PC MS in 2013 Others, Others, 27.8% 33.3% Apple, Apple, 52.4% 51.7% SEC, 20.5% SEC, 14.4% Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Figure 79 7-8” tablet PC line-up Vendor SEC Apple Amazon Google Barnes & Noble Picture Name Galaxy Note 8 iPad mini Kindle Fire HD Nexus 7 NOOK HD Core 1.6GHz Quad A5 OMAP4460 1.2Ghz Nvidia Tegra3 1.3Ghz TI OMAP4470 1.3Ghz OS Android 4.1.2 iOS6 Android 4.0 Android 4.1 Android 4.0 Display 8" (1280x800) 7.9" (1024x768), 162ppi 7.0" (1280x800) 7" (1280x600) 7" (1440x900) Size 211x136x7.95mm 200x134.7x7.2mm 193x137x10.3mm 198.5x12x10.45mm 194x127x11mm Weight 338g 312g 395g 340g 315g Specs 2GB RAM IPS LCD HD LCD 1GB RAM IPS LCD Release 2013.2Q 2012.11.02 2012.09.14 2012.07.13 2012.10. Source: PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research Figure 80 Galaxy Note 10.1 (HSPA+, 16G) Galaxy Note 10.1 (HSPA+, 16G) Components Manufacturer Cost (US$) BOM + manufacturing 312.8 Total BOM cost 302.8 Manufacturing cost 10.0 Major cost drivers NAND Flash Samsung 45.0 DRAM Samsung/ Winbond Display/touch screen Samsung/Atmel 120.0 Processor Samsung 18.8 Wireless Section - BB/RF/PA 15.0 User Interface & sensors Murata / Intel / STMicro / Wacom 18.0 BT / WLAN / FM / GPS Power mgt. Maxim 12.0 Camera 15.0 Battery Samsung 18.0 Mech./ electro-mech. DAP 35.0 Box contents 6.0 38 38 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 39.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Handsets Recommendations 종목별 투자의견 (12개월 기준) 업종별 투자의견 Buy : 현주가 대비 목표주가 +10% 초과 Overweight : 현 업종지수대비 +10% 초과 Hold : 현주가 대비 목표주가 ±10%이내 Neutral : 현 업종지수대비 ±10% 이내 Reduce : 현주가 대비 목표주가 –10%초과 Underweight : 현 업종지수 대비 –10%초과 단, 업종 투자의견에 의한 ±10%내의 조정치 감안 가능 Compliance Notice 본 자료는 투자자의 증권투자를 돕기 위하여 당사 고객에 한하여 배포되는 자료로서 어떠한 경우에도 복사되거나 대여될 수 없습니다. 본 조사자료에 수록된 내용은 당사 리서치센터가 신뢰할 만한 자료 및 정보로부터 얻어진 것 이나 당사는 그 정확성이나 완전성을 보장할 수 없습니다. 따라서, 어떠한 경우에도 본 자료는 고객의 증권투자의 결과에 대한 법적 책임소재에 대한 증빙자료로 사용될 수 없습니다. 동 자료는 기관투자가 또는 제3자에게 사전 제 공한 사실이 없습니다. 자료에 게재된 내용들은 본인의 의견을 정확하게 반영하고 있으며, 외부의 부당한 압력이나 간섭 없이 작성되었음을 확인함. Company Analysis 작 성 자: 조진호, 정용제 담당자 보유주식수 1%이상 유가증권 계열사 자사주 종목 담당자 종류 수량 취득가 취득일 보유여부 종목 담당자 종류 REMARK: Korean analyst is only responsible for Korean securities and relevant sectors only.  Samsung Electro-Mechanics (009150 KS, BUY, TP: KRW125,000)  LG Electronics (066570 KS, BUY, TP: KRW88,000) 39 39 Mirae Asset Securities
  • 40.
    Korea Research Company update Samsung Electro-Mechanics (009150 KS) Korea / Handsets Chinese seeking quality parts 5 March 2013 BUY We maintain our BUY rating and target price of KRW125,000 for Samsung Electro-Mechanics (SEMCO), as we expect: 1) growth in Samsung Electronics’ Target price KRW125,000 (SEC’s) smartphone sales to drive up SEMCO’s earnings in 2013; 2) SEMCO’s Last price (1 Mar 13) KRW95,500 improved product mix to lift its profitability; 3) limited capacity expansion by Japanese peers in 2013 to lead to balanced supply/demand in the market; and Upside/downside (%) 30.9 4) steady profitability of high value-added premium components to drive KOSPI 2026.49 Mkt. cap (KRWbn/US$bn) 7,133/6.6 SEMCO’s earnings growth in 2013. SEMCO shares currently trade at 16.6x 52 week range (KRW) 85,700 - 112,500 FY13E P/E and 1.7x P/B (versus ROE of 10.5%). Avg. trading volume daily (KRWbn) 50.6 Foreign ownership (%) 22.09 Earnings to improve visibly, after bottoming out in 1Q13 We now expect SEMCO to post sales of KRW2tn (+13.5% YoY, -4.4% QoQ) Forecast earnings & valuation and operating profit of KRW119bn (+11.5% YoY, -18% QoQ) for 1Q13. Fiscal year ending Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Earnings should improve visibly, after bottoming out in 1Q13. In 2Q13, we Revenue (KRWbn) 6,032 7,913 8,773 9,865 expect: 1) losses from FC-BGA sales to persist, amid sluggish PC demand; 2) EBIT (KRWbn) 320.9 608.3 659.2 739.7 the release of TV-related parts to gradually rise, on the release of new TV Net profit (KRWbn) 392.4 446.1 443.9 507.1 models; 3) Galaxy S4 sales growth to start in earnest, driving up SEC’s Net profit(underlying) 349.5 437.8 430.6 491.9 EPS (KRW) 4,679 5,862 5,765 6,586 flagship smartphone shipments to 35m units (+25% QoQ); 4) growth in EPS growth (%) (37.0) 25.3 (1.7) 14.2 demand for FC-CSP to remain steady, at 4.5% QoQ, on the release of new P/E (x) 16.6 16.9 16.6 14.5 smartphone models by non-SEC clients; and 5) the LCR division’s operating EV/EBITDA (x) 6.9 7.0 5.2 4.7 margin to improve by 1.5ppt QoQ to 9.5%, backed by a rise in the MLCC Dividend yield (%) 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 capacity utilization rate. We thus expect SEMCO to record sales of KRW2.1tn P/B (x) 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.6 (+12.3% YoY, +8.1% QoQ) and operating profit of KRW171.6bn (+9.9% YoY, ROE (%) 10.0 11.8 10.5 10.9 Net debt/equity (%) 26.8 23.7 15.3 5.9 +44.2% QoQ) in 2Q13. With 2Q13 earnings momentum remaining intact, we expect SEMCO’s valuation attractiveness to exceed that of peers. Performance SEMCO to benefit, as smartphone parts become increasingly complex Price(LHS) Rel. to KOSPI(RHS) Smartphone parts are likely to represent 55% of FY13E sales (based on FY12 results). SEMCO is set to see its profitability rise, backed by product mix KRW 122% 111,700 117% improvement, with smartphone parts becoming increasingly complex and high 106,700 101,700 112% value-added components accounting for a larger part of total shipments. We 96,700 107% note that Chinese smartphone makers are rapidly advancing, in terms of 91,700 102% hardware performance, and expect China’s three smartphone makers (ZTE, 86,700 97% 81,700 92% Huawei and Lenovo) to expand their mid- to high-end smartphone shipments Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 visibly in 2H13. With demand for high value-added parts, such as HDI, MLCC and FC-CSP, forecast to rise by more than 32.4% YoY, but the number of suppliers expected to remain limited (MLCC: Murata, Taiyo Yuden, TDK; FC- CSP: Ibiden, Unimicron, Kinsus; HDI: Ibiden, Unimicron), we believe market Performance 1M 3M 12M Absolute (%) 4.5 (9.5) 1.8 supply/demand will remain in balance in 2013, driving up SEMCO’s operating Absolute (US$, %) 4.5 (9.7) 4.3 margin by 0.1ppt YoY to 7.5% in FY13 as a result. Relative to KOSPI (%) 1.0 (14.3) 2.0 MLCC supply/demand balance to lift profitability We maintain our forecast that the MLCC market will see a balance between supply and demand in 2013, and that the decline in SEMCO’s MLCC ASP will stand at the level of 2012 (around 4.9% YoY). We believe SEMCO’s LCR division will post sales of KRW2tn (+5.5% YoY) and operating profit of KRW181.5bn (+11.8% YoY) for FY13. We expect MLCC shipments to grow by 21.7% YoY, as SEC’s and other key clients’ smartphone shipments should increase to 290m units (+34.4% YoY) and 160m units (+21.9% YoY), respectively, in 2013. With the LCR division representing 27.5% of SEMCO’s Jinho Cho, Analyst FY13E earnings, the division’s growth should drive up the entire company’s 82 2 3774 3831 jcho@miraeasset.com operating profit in FY13. Meanwhile, we expect capacity expansion by Japanese rivals (Murata: +10% YoY; TDK: Partial expansion for 0402 size; Taiyo Yuden: Yongjei Jeong +5 % YoY) to fall below the sector average of +15% per annum in 2013. 82 2 3774 1938 yongjei@miraeasset.com Moreover, rivals are unlikely to pursue market share expansion by lowering ASP in 1H13, with their 4Q12 margins (Murata: high single-digit; TDK: continued losses; Taiyo Yuden: low single-digit) lower than that of SEMCO. See the last page of this report for important disclosures 40
  • 41.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 1 SEMCO peers’ historical valuations 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E SEMCO (009150 KS) EPS KRW 1,268 1,462 624 3,616 7,171 4,679 5,862 5,765 6.586 BPS KRW 23,869 26,362 26,233 34,371 46,410 45,198 50,542 55,511 61.294 P/E (x) 34.2 33.6 53.4 29.7 17.3 16.6 16.9 16.6 14.5 high 34.2 52.2 53.4 174.7 44.1 20.3 22.9 low 34.2 25.2 20.2 29.7 17.3 8.3 10.1 P/B (x) 1.8 1.9 1.3 3.1 2.7 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.6 high 2.0 2.8 2.1 4.2 4.6 2.9 2.6 low 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.3 2.7 1.3 1.2 ROE (%) 5.7 5.8 2.4 11.9 18.3 10.0 11.8 10.5 10.9 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 2 SEMCO’s P/B valuation BPS Sales OP OPM Note (KRW) (KRW bn) (KRW bn) (%) 1Q13E 50,764 1,983.1 119.0 6.0 Seasonal weak demand 2Q13E 52,260 2,143.1 171.6 8.0 SEC to release Galaxy S4 3Q13E 54,075 2,303.1 203.6 8.8 4Q13E 55,511 2,343.5 165.1 7.0 1Q14E 55,952 2,281.9 140.7 6.2 1Q14E BPS (KRW) 55,592 Target P/B (x) 2.12 Target price (KRW) 125,000 Upside potential 30.9% Current share price (KRW) 95,500 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research Figure 3 SEMCO’s earnings summary (KRW bn) 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12E 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 2011 2012E 2013E Sales 1,748 1,908 2,183 2,074 1,983 2,143 2,303 2,344 6,045 7,886 8,773 QoQ/YoY (%) 5.1 9.2 14.4 (5.0) (4.4) 8.1 7.5 1.8 7.0 30.4 11.2 OP 107 145 184 145 119 172 204 165 278 581 659 QoQ/YoY (%) 7.8 35.7 27.1 (21.2) (18.0) 44.2 18.6 (18.9) (64.3) 109.0 13.6 OPM (%) 6.1 7.6 8.5 7.0 6.0 8.0 8.8 7.0 4.6 7.4 7.5 NI 70 135 143 97 76 116 141 111 392 446 444 NPM (%) 4.0 7.1 6.6 4.7 3.8 5.4 6.1 4.8 6.5 5.7 5.1 Sales by division Total 1,748 1,908 2,183 2,074 1,983 2,143 2,303 2,344 6,045 7,886 8,773 ACI 501 555 530 516 454 496 535 579 1,615 2,102 2,064 LCR 441 473 511 472 459 512 551 481 1,689 1,897 2,002 OMS 424 486 663 600 624 680 739 793 1,101 2,173 2,836 CDS 383 394 478 486 445 456 479 490 1,640 1,713 1,871 OPM by division (%) Total 6.1 7.6 8.5 7.0 6.0 8.0 8.8 7.0 4.6 7.4 7.5 ACI 10.7 13.5 14.0 12.0 10.0 14.0 14.0 12.5 6.4 12.0 12.7 LCR 5.9 9.5 9.8 8.8 8.0 9.5 9.8 8.8 9.0 8.6 9.1 OMS 3.9 4.9 6.9 4.5 3.9 5.2 6.0 4.5 2.6 5.2 4.9 CDS 2.8 3.2 6.4 3.0 2.8 4.0 6.4 3.0 2.4 3.0 4.1 OP by division Total 107 145 184 145 119 172 204 165 278 581 659 ACI 54 64 74 62 45 69 75 72 103 253 262 LCR 26 45 50 42 37 49 54 42 152 162 182 OMS 17 24 46 27 24 35 44 36 28 113 140 CDS 11 13 14 15 12 18 30 15 39 52 76 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research 41 Mirae Asset Securities 41
  • 42.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 4 SEMCO’s P/B band (KRW '000) Increasing demand for ASPs of LED 2Q11 earnings below Release of MLCC, with SEMCO's expected to consensus due to TV Galaxy S3 160 market share rising decrease components FC-BGA: 140 Expanded LED Turning negative division & high 120 earnings Plans to establish expectations LED joint venture 2.1x 100 with SEC announced 1.7x 80 1.3x 60 40 3Q12 earnings Japan earthquake: surprise high earnings 20 1Q07 OPM 4.2% 1Q09 turn into the Under-supply of expectations for mobile components (-6.8ppt QoQ) red (OPM -1.1%) components 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research Figure 5 SEMCO’s OP vs. share price (KRW bn) (KRW) 400 180,000 160,000 300 140,000 200 120,000 100 100,000 0 80,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 60,000 (100) 40,000 (200) 20,000 (300) 0 OP(LHS) Price(RHS) Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research 42 Mirae Asset Securities 42
  • 43.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 6 SEMCO’s P/E band Figure 7 SEMCO’s P/B band (KRW '000) (KRW '000) 250 250 200 28x 200 4x 150 Share price 21x 100 150 3x 14x Share price 50 7x 100 2x 0 50 1x (50) (100) 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 8 SEMCO peers’ 3M performance Figure 9 SEMCO peers’ YTD performance (%) (%) 50 40 35 40 30 30 25 20 20 15 10 10 5 0 0 (5) (10) (10) (20) (15) K en k ko n a a CO K en k ko n a a CO te TD er de at te TD r de at in id ce in no id M ur oc no Yu M ur Sh Ib Yu Sh Ib SE o M In SE Ky M In Ky yo yo LG LG i Ta i Ta Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 10 SEMCO’s share price, relative to peers Figure 11 SEMCO’s share price, relative to peers (x) (x) 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 Murata Kyocera 1.2 Taiyo 1.2 Shinko Yuden 1.1 1.0 1.0 SEMCO SEMCO Ibiden 0.9 TDK 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 43 Mirae Asset Securities 43
  • 44.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 12 SEMCO peers’ valuations SEMCO Murata TDK Taiyo Yuden Ibiden Shinko Kyocera Price(KRW,JPY,USD) 95,500 6,100 3,175 1,011 1,431 743 7,950 Market Cap. (US$ m) 6,564 14,683 4,396 1,302 2,307 1,073 16,251 Sales (US$ m) 2010 6,030 7,231 10,203 2,462 3,568 1,649 14,825 2011 5,450 7,410 10,323 2,329 3,813 1,595 15,093 2012E 7,194 7,244 9,047 2,098 3,069 1,352 13,836 2013E 7,975 8,123 9,576 2,245 3,268 1,421 14,741 2014E 8,968 8,527 9,932 2,307 3,376 1,467 15,211 OP (US$ m) 2010 636 907 753 103 396 54 1,824 2011 251 570 237 -102 197 -47 1,238 2012E 553 600 262 53 69 17 865 2013E 599 969 515 128 202 81 1,443 2014E 673 1,138 602 153 234 88 1,528 NI (US$ m) 2010 480 626 530 -64 231 28 1,433 2011 316 390 -31 -274 135 -28 1,006 2012E 405 412 86 35 26 22 681 2013E 404 677 339 75 132 54 1,034 2014E 461 808 392 89 153 58 1,117 P/E (x) 2010 16.7 24.0 13.9 - 19.1 47.9 12.6 2011 16.6 34.0 100,637.3 - 28.5 - 17.5 2012E 16.9 34.1 52.1 36.6 88.3 46.6 23.4 2013E 16.6 20.9 13.1 17.4 16.7 20.8 15.4 2014E 14.5 17.1 11.4 14.7 14.1 19.2 14.3 P/B (x) 2010 2.8 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.4 0.9 1.1 2011 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.9 2012E 2.0 1.6 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.0 2013E 1.7 1.5 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.9 2014E 1.6 1.4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.9 EV/EBITDA (x) 2010 10.1 8.2 4.9 4.8 4.2 3.6 5.0 2011 6.9 8.8 7.1 11.3 4.6 5.9 5.9 2012E 7.0 10.1 5.2 6.0 3.8 3.6 7.4 2013E 5.2 7.9 4.2 4.5 3.3 2.6 5.4 2014E 4.7 6.9 3.8 4.2 2.9 2.4 4.6 ROE (%) 2010 8.4 6.6 8.4 (4.1) 7.4 1.8 8.9 2011 10.0 3.8 (0.5) (18.6) 4.0 (1.7) 5.5 2012E 11.8 5.0 2.2 3.6 1.0 2.1 4.2 2013E 10.5 7.4 6.1 6.5 4.6 4.1 6.3 2014E 10.9 8.8 6.9 7.3 5.1 4.4 6.4 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Note: SEMCO’s earnings are Mirae Asset Research estimates; share prices as of 1 March 44 Mirae Asset Securities 44
  • 45.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 13 SEMCO peers’ historical valuations 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E SEMCO (009150 KS) EPS KRW 1,268 1,462 624 3,616 7,171 4,679 5,862 5,765 6.586 BPS KRW 23,869 26,362 26,233 34,371 46,410 45,198 50,542 55,511 61.294 P/E (x) 34.2 33.6 53.4 29.7 17.3 16.6 16.9 16.6 14.5 high 34.2 52.2 53.4 174.7 44.1 20.3 22.9 low 34.2 25.2 20.2 29.7 17.3 8.3 10.1 P/B (x) 1.8 1.9 1.3 3.1 2.7 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.6 high 2.0 2.8 2.1 4.2 4.6 2.9 2.6 low 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.3 2.7 1.3 1.2 ROE (%) 5.7 5.8 2.4 11.9 18.3 10.0 11.8 10.5 10.9 Murata (6981 JT) EPS US$ 2.7 3.1 0.2 1.2 2.9 1.8 1.9 3.2 3.9 BPS US$ 31.5 38.5 36.8 39.9 46.2 46.4 41.6 43.7 46.3 P/E (x) 26.8 14.2 229.4 46.0 24.0 34.0 34.1 20.9 17.1 high 33.3 28.9 229.4 282.2 49.6 34.0 35.5 low 25.0 18.3 8.1 39.9 22.9 15.7 25.6 P/B (x) 2.3 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.4 high 2.6 2.5 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.3 low 2.0 1.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.0 ROE (%) 9.0 9.3 0.4 3.1 6.6 3.8 5.0 7.4 8.8 TDK (6762 JT) EPS US$ 4.5 4.8 (4.9) 1.1 4.1 (0.2) 0.7 2.6 3.0 BPS US$ 49.0 55.6 43.3 45.1 50.0 47.9 42.9 44.7 46.8 P/E (x) 19.3 10.7 - 59.3 13.9 - 52.1 13.1 11.4 high 29.8 22.5 14.7 59.3 62.6 73,171.3 103,105.0 low 17.9 13.9 4.7 53.9 15.9 6.9 52.1 P/B (x) 1.8 1.1 0.8 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.7 high 1.9 2.1 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.2 low 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.7 ROE (%) 9.6 9.7 (9.9) 2.5 8.4 (0.5) 2.2 6.1 6.9 Taiyo Yuden (6976 JT) EPS US$ 0.9 0.8 (1.2) (0.1) (0.5) (2.3) 0.3 0.6 0.7 BPS US$ 12.1 14.1 11.9 12.6 13.1 10.7 9.8 10.3 11.1 P/E (x) 22.6 10.9 - - - - 36.6 17.4 14.7 high 84.8 26.6 19.5 - - - - low 19.3 15.4 4.5 - - - - P/B (x) 1.7 0.7 0.6 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 high 1.7 2.0 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.0 low 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.7 ROE (%) 8.0 6.3 (9.3) (0.5) (4.1) (18.6) 3.6 6.5 7.3 Ibiden (4062 JT) EPS US$ 2.8 2.7 (0.6) 0.9 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.9 1.1 BPS US$ 15.7 20.1 17.8 19.5 22.6 22.9 20.2 20.9 22.0 P/E (x) 18.6 12.6 - 39.4 19.1 28.5 88.3 16.7 14.1 high 33.9 30.8 23.0 40.3 44.0 21.2 29.0 low 18.3 16.9 4.0 39.4 18.7 10.9 12.3 P/B (x) 3.3 2.0 1.3 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.7 high 4.3 5.5 3.6 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.1 low 3.1 3.0 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.5 ROE (%) 19.3 16.2 (3.2) 4.6 7.4 4.0 1.0 4.6 5.1 Kyocera (6971 JT) EPS US$ 4.8 5.0 1.6 2.4 7.8 5.5 3.7 5.6 6.0 BPS US$ 67.3 76.7 72.6 78.4 93.4 96.9 88.6 92.9 97.4 P/E (x) 20.6 14.8 41.2 41.7 12.6 17.5 23.4 15.4 14.3 high 31.6 24.9 41.2 53.7 44.3 17.5 18.2 low 20.8 17.5 8.0 33.8 12.4 9.2 14.0 P/B (x) 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 high 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 low 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.8 ROE (%) 15.2 8.1 (4.4) 2.4 1.8 (1.7) 4.2 6.3 6.4 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 45 Mirae Asset Securities 45
  • 46.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 14 SEMCO peers’ earning consensus Company(code) / US$ m 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12E 1Q13E 2011 2012E 2013E Murata (6981 JP) Sales 1,781 2,189 1,725 1,901 7,410 7,244 8,123 YoY (%) 1.4 11.3 (10.3) 7.5 2.5 (2.2) 12.1 OP 76 232 73 154 570 600 969 YoY (%) (63.9) 30.6 (49.7) 338.9 (37.1) 5.3 61.4 OPM (%) 4.3 10.6 4.2 8.1 7.7 8.3 11.9 NI 44 147 58 73 390 412 677 NPM (%) 2.5 6.7 3.3 3.8 5.3 5.7 8.3 TDK (6762 JP) Sales 2,606 2,632 2,450 2,695 10,323 9,047 9,576 YoY (%) 2.7 (2.8) (1.2) 3.9 1.2 (12.4) 5.8 OP 115 142 (97) 142 237 262 515 YoY (%) 66.4 35.2 (206.3) (627.5) (68.5) 10.8 96.4 OPM (%) 4.4 5.4 (3.9) 5.3 2.3 2.9 5.4 NI 56 67 (37) 84 (31) 86 339 NPM (%) 2.1 2.5 (1.5) 3.1 (0.3) 1.0 3.5 Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP) Sales 581 622 540 593 2,329 2,098 2,245 YoY (%) 0.7 (3.6) (5.7) 11.0 (5.4) (9.9) 7.0 OP 14 4 (44) 5 (102) 53 128 YoY (%) (271.5) (131.3) 37.2 (109.7) (198.7) (152.3) 141.3 OPM (%) 2.4 0.7 (8.1) 0.8 (4.4) 2.5 5.7 NI (8) 0 (98) (5) (274) 35 75 NPM (%) (1.3) 0.0 (18.1) (0.9) (11.8) 1.7 3.3 Ibiden (4062 JP) Sales 869 908 1,039 918 3,813 3,069 3,268 YoY (%) 3.7 (1.8) 7.6 (15.5) 6.9 (19.5) 6.5 OP 49 28 60 55 197 69 202 YoY (%) (4.5) (5.8) 45.9 (24.6) (50.3) (65.0) 194.1 OPM (%) 5.6 3.1 5.8 6.0 5.2 2.2 6.2 NI (1) 10 41 38 135 26 132 NPM (%) (0.2) 1.1 4.0 4.1 3.5 0.8 4.0 Shinko (6967 JP) Sales 422 398 419 456 1,595 1,352 1,421 YoY (%) 12.1 12.8 6.0 (2.8) (3.3) (15.2) 5.1 OP 31 3 3 24 (47) 17 81 YoY (%) (1384.4) (108.1) (110.7) 17.4 (185.7) (135.7) 388.7 OPM (%) 7.3 0.8 0.7 5.3 (2.9) 1.2 5.7 NI 25 4 0 13 -28 22 54 NPM (%) 5.9 1.1 0.1 2.9 (1.8) 1.6 3.8 Kyocera (6971 JP) Sales 3,719 3,951 3,661 3,929 15,093 13,836 14,741 YoY (%) (0.7) 2.6 0.7 1.9 1.8 (8.3) 6.5 OP (25) 355 171 278 1,238 865 1,443 YoY (%) (106.1) (20.0) (35.8) 137.0 (32.2) (30.1) 66.9 OPM (%) (0.7) 9.0 4.7 7.1 8.2 6.3 9.8 NI 82 239 89 197 1,006 681 1,034 NPM (%) 2.2 6.1 2.4 5.0 6.7 4.9 7.0 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 46 Mirae Asset Securities 46
  • 47.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 15 Murata (6981 JP) P/E band Figure 16 Murata (6981 JP) P/B band (JPY) (JPY) 30,000 30,000 25,000 25,000 20,000 20,000 Share price Share price 15,000 4x 15,000 3x 10,000 10,000 2x 40x 5,000 30x 5,000 20x 1x 0 10x 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 17 TDK (6981 JP) P/E band Figure 18 TDK (6981 JP) P/B band (JPY) (JPY) 20,000 18,000 Share price 16,000 15,000 14,000 Share price 10,000 25x 12,000 5,000 20x 10,000 15x 0 10x 8,000 2.0x 6,000 1.5x -5,000 4,000 1.0x -10,000 2,000 0.5x -15,000 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 19 Ibiden (4062 JP) P/E band Figure 20 Ibiden (4062 JP) P/B band (JPY) (JPY) 15,000 12,000 Share price 13,000 10,000 Share price 11,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 40x 3,000 30x 4,000 2.0x 20x 1.5x 1,000 10x 2,000 1.0x -1,000 0.5x -3,000 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 47 Mirae Asset Securities 47
  • 48.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 21 Shinko (6967 JP) P/E band Figure 22 Shinko (6967 JP) P/B band (JPY) (JPY) 6,000 4,000 Share price Share price 5,000 3,500 4,000 3,000 3,000 2,500 2,000 40x 2,000 2.0x 1,000 30x 20x 1,500 1.5x 0 10x -1,000 1,000 1.0x -2,000 500 0.5x -3,000 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 23 Kyocera (6971 JP) P/E band Figure 24 Kyocera (6971 JP) P/B band (JPY) (JPY) 30,000 20,000 Share price Share price 18,000 25,000 2.0x 16,000 20,000 14,000 1.5x 12,000 40x 15,000 10,000 1.0x 30x 8,000 10,000 20x 6,000 4,000 0.5x 5,000 10x 2,000 0 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 48 Mirae Asset Securities 48
  • 49.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 25 SEC’s smartphone market share in 4Q12 (‘000 units) Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Figure 26 Major shareholders of SEMCO Figure 27 SEC shipment portions by country in 4Q12 (%) (%) SEC, 23.7 (%) China, 10.4 US, 14.5 National Pension service, 6.1 Others, 54.7 India, 11.2 Others, 64.9 Korea Brazil, 5.1 Investment Trust, 5.3 Russia, 4.1 Source: SEMCO, Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research 49 Mirae Asset Securities 49
  • 50.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 28 4Q12 global handset MS Figure 29 4Q12 global smartphone MS (%) (%) Nokia, 18.3 Others, 21.6 SEC, 30.1 Others, 38.0 Others, 38.7 ZTE, 3.4 SEC, 23.6 ZTE, 4.2 ZTE, 4.0 Nokia, 20.9 Apple, 20.9 Apple, 10.1 Google, 2.2 Google, 3.2 LGE, 4.1 LGE, 3.5 LGE, 3.3 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Figure 30 4Q12 Korea handset MS Figure 31 4Q12 US handset MS ( (%) (%) Apple, 8.9 Others, 0.4 Others, 17.0 Apple, 33.6 Pantech, Google, 4.1 11.8 Huawei, 4.3 LGE, 9.2 LGE, 14.7 SEC, 31.8 SEC, 64.1 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Figure 32 4Q12 Brazil handset MS Figure 33 4Q12 Mexico handset MS ( (%) (%) SEC, 24.5 Others, 16.9 Others, 35.3 Others, 30.3 SEC, 29.2 ZTE, 5.1 Nokia, 18.2 Google, 9.3 ZTE, 8.3 ZTE, 4.2 LGE, 8.3 9.5 Nokia, 22.7 Google, 9.5 Google, 9.2 LGE, 16.8 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research 50 Mirae Asset Securities 50
  • 51.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 34 SEMCO’s sales breakdown Figure 35 SEMCO’s OP breakdown (KRW tn) (%) (m) 2.5 12 1000 2.0 10 800 8 1.5 600 6 400 1.0 4 200 0.5 2 0 0.0 0 1Q12 3Q12E 1Q13E 3Q13E (200) 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013E ACI LCR OMS CDS OPM(RHS) ACI LCR OMS CDS Samsung LED Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research Figure 36 1H13 SEC smartphone lineup Vendor Samsung Samsung Samsung Samsung Samsung Picture Name Galaxy S3 LTE Galaxy Note 2 Galaxy S3 Mini Ativ S Galaxy S4 Core Exynos 4412 1.4GHz Exynos 4412 1.6GHz 1Ghz Dual-core Qualcomm S4 1.5Ghz TBA OS Android 4.0 Android 4.1 Android 4.1 Windows 8 TBA Display 4.8" (1280x720) 5.5" (1280x720) 4" (800x480) 4.8" (1280x720) TBA Size 136.6x70.6x9.0mm 151.1x80.5x9.4mm 121.55x63x9.9mm 137.2x70.5x8.7mm TBA Weight 138.5g 180g 111.5g 135g TBA Specs AMOLED / 2GB RAM AMOLED / 2GB RAM AMOLED AMOLED / 1GB RAM TBA Release 2012.05.29 2012.09.26 2012.11.02 2012.11. TBA Source: SEC, Mirae Asset Research Figure 37 SEMCO’s price vs. debit balance vs. foreign ownership (KRW) (m share, %) 180,000 40 160,000 35 140,000 30 120,000 25 100,000 20 80,000 15 60,000 40,000 10 20,000 5 0 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Debit balance(RHS) Foreign ownership(RHS) Price(LHS) Source: Quantiwise, Mirae Asset Research 51 Mirae Asset Securities 51
  • 52.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Figure 38 State of SEMCO parts production by application Smartphone Computer TV (incl. feature) (incl. Tablet) (incl. LCD, PDP) RF components In mold antenna Chipset FC-BGA Power Power driver(LED) MLCC MLCC SMPS Chip inductor UT CSP LED driver IC Chip bead Memory BOC Super OP board Crystal unit MLCC Inverter Network Wifi+BT Combo module Chip resistor Tuner Digital tuner NFC module HDD HDD motor Slim tuner Power Tantalum capacitor Network Wifi+BT Combo module Network WLAN module for CE device Chip inductor CDMA cellular module Wifi module Chip bead NFC module Main board PBGA MLCC WiMAX module FC-BGA Chip resistor DVD ODD motor MLCC Wireless power transfer Power Adapter Chip inductor Adapter Server power Chip bead Motor Vibration motor Main board HDI Chip resistor Multimedia Camera module MLCC LCD panel LED driver IC Optical navigation module Tantalum capacitor Display HDI-flex Chip inductor Chipset FC-CSP Chip bead RF-SiP Chip resistor UT CSP Crystal unit Crystal unit Others Camera module Main board HDI LED driver IC HDI-flex Vibration motor Chip bead Chip inductor MLCC Chip resistor Crystal unit Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research 52 Mirae Asset Securities 52
  • 53.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Samsung Electro-Mechanics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 009150 KS Summary financial statements Profit & loss Balance sheet Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn) 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn) 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Revenue 6,032 7,913 8,773 9,865 Current assets 3,697 2,805 3,103 3,718 Cost of goods sold (5,050) (6,524) (7,242) (8,145) Cash & equivalents 526 671 947 1,331 Gross profit 981 1,389 1,531 1,721 Short-term financial asset 27 25 26 27 SG&A (704) (809) (872) (981) Accounts receivable 882 1,200 1,248 1,388 EBIT (Adj.) 278 580 659 740 Inventory 760 820 821 913 EBIT 321 608 659 740 Other current assets 1,502 90 61 58 Net interest income (loss) (35) (33) (31) (29) Non-current assets 3,632 4,344 4,372 4,409 Income (loss) from associates 0 (4) 0 0 Net fixed assets 2,278 2,698 2,728 2,750 Others 79 13 (52) (52) Investments 1,242 1,338 1,392 1,449 Recurring profit 364 584 576 659 Other long-term assets 112 308 252 210 Income tax (56) (165) (133) (151) Total assets 7,329 7,150 7,474 8,127 Net profit 392 446 444 507 Current liabilities 2,711 2,104 2,028 2,217 Net profit (Controlling Interests) 349 438 431 492 Accounts payable 605 800 847 942 EPS (Controlling Interests, KRW) 4,679 5,862 5,765 6,586 Short-term debt 1,096 954 954 954 Other current liabilities 1,011 350 228 321 Growth & margins (%) 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Non-current liabilities 742 1,056 1,070 1,085 Revenue growth 6.7 31.2 10.9 12.5 Long-term debt 495 687 687 687 Gross profit growth (16.1) 41.5 10.2 12.4 Other long-term liabilities 247 369 383 398 EBIT growth (35.6) 89.6 8.4 12.2 Total liabilities 3,453 3,159 3,098 3,302 Net profit growth (37.0) 25.3 (1.7) 14.2 Controlling Interests 3,507 3,922 4,308 4,756 EPS growth (37.0) 25.3 (1.7) 14.2 Non-Controlling Interests 368 68 68 68 Gross margin 16.3 17.6 17.4 17.4 Shareholder's equity 3,876 3,991 4,376 4,825 EBIT margin 5.3 7.7 7.5 7.5 BVPS(KRW) 45,198 50,542 55,511 61,294 Net profit margin 5.8 5.5 4.9 5.0 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research estimates Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research estimates Cash flow Ratio analysis Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn) 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Year end Dec 31 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Cash flow from operations 473 1,221 1,196 1,306 ROE (%) 10.0 11.8 10.5 10.9 Net profit 392 446 444 507 ROA (%) 5.5 6.2 6.1 6.5 Depr. & amortization 664 592 833 826 Inventory days 54.7 44.2 41.3 38.9 Others 108 88 14 14 Receivables days 52.1 48.0 50.9 48.8 Change in working capital (691) 96 (95) (41) Payable days 45.7 39.3 41.5 40.1 Cash flow from investing (973) (918) (861) (863) Net debt/equity (%) 26.8 23.7 15.3 5.9 Capital expenditures (1,070) (1,072) (800) (800) Interest cover (x) 9.2 18.3 21.3 25.2 Others 97 153 (61) (63) Cash flow from financing 315 (200) (58) (58) Dividends (88) (58) (58) (58) Increase in equity Increase in debt 471 (96) Beginning cash 695 526 671 947 Ending cash 526 671 947 1,331 Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research estimates Source: SEMCO, Mirae Asset Research estimates 53 Mirae Asset Securities 53
  • 54.
    Korea Research Industry update Korea / Handsets LG Electronics (066570 KS) Optimus vertical integration 5 March 2013 BUY We maintain our BUY rating and target price of KRW88,000 for LG Electronics Target price KRW88,000 (LGE), as: 1) efforts to vertically integrate its smartphone lineup should Last price (1 Mar 13) KRW78,300 gradually sharpen competitiveness; 2) the sales outlook for its new flagship smartphone, the Optimus G Pro, remains bright in 1H13; and 3) profitability Upside/downside (%) 12.4 KOSPI 2026.49 should improve in 1H13, driven by shipment growth and higher ASP, following Mkt. cap (KRWbn/US$bn) 12,699/11.8 a rise in smartphone market share. LGE shares currently trade at FY13E P/E of 52 week range (KRW) 55,800 - 94,300 12.4x and P/B of 1.0x (versus ROE of 7.8%), while competitors (RIM, HTC and Avg. trading volume daily (KRWbn) 79.4 Foreign ownership (%) 17.9 ZTE) are trading at FY13E P/E average of 13.9x and P/B average of 1.6x (versus ROE average of 7.1%). Forecast earnings & valuation Fiscal year ending Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 LGE to unveil mid-end Optimus series Revenue (KRWbn) 54,257 50,960 51,125 53,640 At the Mobile World Congress (MWC), which kicked off on 25 February, LG EBIT (KRWbn) 280.3 1,124.9 1,429.1 1,514.5 Electronics (LGE) unveiled the Optimus F series (entry-level LTE smartphones) Net profit (KRWbn) (432.8) 90.8 1,008.1 1,077.4 Net profit(underlying) (469.6) 69.1 1,022.6 1,092.9 and the Optimus L II series (3G smartphones, successors to the Optimus L EPS (KRW) (3,132) 422 6,249 6,678 series). The Optimus F-series shares its platform (design, UI and UX) with the EPS growth (%) TN TP 1,379.1 6.9 Optimus G Pro, unveiled last week. We believe LGE’s efforts to vertically P/E (x) - 174.2 12.5 11.7 integrate its smartphone lineup will partially reduce marketing and R&D costs EV/EBITDA (x) 11.5 7.2 6.6 6.3 Dividend yield (%) 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 and enable the company to compete with Samsung Electronics’ (SEC) three P/B (x) 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 major entry-level smartphones, the Galaxy Ace2 (3.8”, 800x480, 768MB ROE (%) (3.7) 0.5 7.8 7.7 DRAM), Galaxy S3 mini (4.0”, 800x480, 1GB DRAM) and Galaxy Grand (5”, Net debt/equity (%) 37.5 42.8 40.6 37.8 800x480, 1GB DRAM). Performance Success of Optimus G the key to successful vertical integration KRW Price(LHS) Rel. to KOSPI(RHS) As shown in the case of the Optimus F-series, LGE has adopted the strategy of 93,200 shared platforms for its smartphones; this is reminiscent of SEC’s strategy 88,200 105% 83,200 100% back in 2011-2012, when that company leveraged the identity of its flagship 78,200 73,200 95% 90% smartphones (the Galaxy S-series) for its entry-level models (the Galaxy Ace2 68,200 85% and Galaxy S3 mini). The previous success of its flagship smartphones enabled 63,200 80% 58,200 75% SEC to enjoy brisk entry-level smartphone sales during 2011-2012, backed by 53,200 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 70% its platform-sharing strategy. In a similar vein, we believe the success of the Optimus F series will hinge on the success of the Optimus G. MC division to outperform in 1H13 Performance 1M 3M 12M We expect LGE to report 1Q13 sales of KRW11.9tn (-11.7% QoQ) and Absolute (%) 8.8 2.6 (8.3) operating profit of KRW283.9bn (+164.8% QoQ). We forecast LGE’s Absolute (US$, %) 8.9 2.5 (5.7) Relative to KOSPI (%) 5.2 (2.2) (8.1) smartphone shipments to rise by 9.3% QoQ to 9.4m units, in light of limited supply of new smartphone models by rivals in the key markets of North America, Latin America and Korea (1Q13 has seen the release of Blackberry’s Z10, Sony’s Xperia series and HTC’s M7). As such, the MC division’s operating profit should improve by 7.8% QoQ to KRW60.7bn in 1Q13. For the full-year of 2013, we expect the MC division to report sales of KRW13tn (+29.3% YoY) and operating profit of KRW444bn (+657.7% YoY). Moreover, the division should enjoy a 2.8ppt YoY rise in operating margin to 3.4% in 2013, as increased sales should significantly reduce the portion of fixed costs Jinho Cho, Analyst (marketing costs). On a quarterly basis, MC division’s operating margins 82 2 3774 3831 jcho@miraeasset.com should decrease, after peaking at 4.1% in 3Q13, weighed down by continued rises in raw material and R&D costs resulting from the increased sales Yongjei Jeong contribution of flagship smartphones. We also reiterate our previous view that 82 2 3774 1938 yongjei@miraeasset.com subsidy competition among smartphone makers will further intensify in 3Q13. See the last page of this report for important disclosures 54
  • 55.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 1 LGE’s new lineup at MWC2013 Vendor LGE LGE LGE LGE LGE Picture Name Optimus L7 Ⅱ Optimus L5 Ⅱ Optimus L3 Ⅱ Optimus F7 Optimus F5 Core Qualcomm S4 1GHz Unknown Unknown 1.5GHz Dual core 1.2GHz Dual core OS Android 4.1 Android 4.1 Android 4.1 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1.2 Display 4.3" (800x480) 4" (800x480) 3.2" (320x240),125ppi 4.7" (1280x720),312ppi 4.3" (960x540),256ppi Size TBA TBA TBA 131.7x68.2x9.6mm 126x64.5x9.3mm Weight 121.5x66.6x9.7g TBA TBA TBA TBA Spec 217ppi / 768MB RAM TBA TBA 2GB RAM 1GB RAM Release 2013.1Q 2013.1Q 2013.1Q 2013.1Q 2013.1Q Source: LGE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research Figure 2 Peers’ new smartphone lineups in 1Q13 Vendor RIM Sony Huawei HTC ZTE Picture Name BlackBerry Z10 Xperia Z Ascend P2 One Grand S Core Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz 1.5GHz Quad core Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz OS BlackBerry 10 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1.2 Android 4.1 Android 4.1 Display 4.2" (1280x768), 355ppi 5" (1920x1080), 441ppi 4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi 4.7" (1920x1080) 5" (1920x1080), 441ppi Size 130x65.6x9 139x71x7.9 Unknown 137.4x68.2x9.3 142x69x6.9 Weight 138g 146g Unknown 143g TBA Spec 2GB RAM 2GB RAM 1GB RAM 2GB RAM 2GB RAM Release 2013.01.31 2013.02.09 2013.1Q 2013.03. 2013.Q1 Source: LGE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research Figure 3 Specifications of new smartphone lineup in 2013 Company Product Display CPU Memory Storage Battery Launch (mAh) LGE Optimus G Pro 5.5" (1920x1080), 400ppi Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz 2GB RAM 32GB 3.140 2013-02-20 LGE Optimus F5 4.3" (960x540), 256ppi 1.2GHz Dual core 1GB RAM 8GB 2.150 2013.1Q LGE Optimus F7 4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi 1.5GHz Dual core 2GB RAM 8GB 2.540 2013.1Q LGE Optimus L3 Ⅱ TBA TBA TBA TBA 1.540 2013.1Q LGE Optimus L5 Ⅱ 4.0" TBA TBA TBA 1.700 2013.1Q LGE Optimus L7 Ⅱ 4.4" (800x480), 217ppi Qualcomm S4 1Ghz 768MB RAM 4GB 2.460 2013.1Q RIM BlackBerry Z10 4.2" (1280x768), 356ppi Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz 2GB RAM 16GB 1,800 2013.01.31 Sony Xperia Z 5" (1920x1080), 441ppi Qualcomm S4 1.5GHz 2GB RAM 16GB 2,330 2013.02.09 Huawei Ascend P2 4.7" (1280x720), 312ppi 1.5GHz Quad core 1GB RAM 16GB 2.420 2013.1Q HTC One 4.7" (1920x1080) Qualcomm 600 1.7Ghz 2GB RAM 32GB 2,300 2013.1Q ZTE Grand S 5" (1920x1080), 441ppi Qualcomm S4 1.7GHz 2GB RAM 16GB 1,780 2013.1Q Source: LGE, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research 55 Mirae Asset Securities 55
  • 56.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 4 Optimus G Pro vs. Galaxy Note 2 Optimus G Pro Versus Galaxy Note2 Qualcomm 600 1.7GHz AP Exynos 4412 1.6GHZ 2GB RAM Memory 2GB RAM 5.5" Display size 5.5" Android (4.1.2) OS Android (4.1.2) 3,140mAh Battery 3,100mAh 150.2x76.1x9.4mm Dimension 151x80.5x9.4mm 172g Weight 182g 1920x1080 Resolution 1280x720 400ppi Density 265ppi 13M (2.1M) Main camera (front) 8M (1.9M) Source: LGE, SEC, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research Figure 5 Optimus F7 vs. Galaxy Grand Optimus F7 Versus Galaxy Grand 1.5GHz Dual core AP 1.2GHz Dual core 2GB RAM Memory 1GB RAM 4.7” Display size 5.0” Android (4.1.2) OS Android (4.1.2) 2,540mAh Battery 2,100mAh 131.7x68.2x9.6mm Dimension 143.5x76.9x9.6mm TBA Weight 162g 1280x720 Resolution 800x480 312ppi Density 187ppi 8M (1.3M) Main camera (front) 8M (2M) Source: LGE, SEC, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research Figure 6 Optimus L7 Ⅱ vs. Galaxy S3 mini Optimus L7 Ⅱ Versus Galaxy S3 mini Qualcomm S4 1GHz AP 1GHz Dual core 768MB RAM Memory 1GB RAM 4.3” Display size 4.0” Android (4.1) OS Android (4.1.2) 2,460mAh Battery 1,500mAh 121.5x66.6x9.7mm Dimension 121.5x63x9.8mm TBA Weight 112g 800x400 Resolution 800x480 217ppi Density 233ppi 8M (0.3M) Main camera (front) 5M (0.3M) Source: LGE, SEC, PhoneArena, Mirae Asset Research 56 Mirae Asset Securities 56
  • 57.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 7 LGE earnings forecast summary (KRW 100m) 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 2011 2012 2013E 2014E Sales by division Total 122,279 128,590 123,758 134,973 119,155 122,489 128,187 141,420 542,566 509,600 511,252 536,404 QoQ/YoY (%) (11.5) 5.2 (3.8) 9.1 (11.7) 2.8 4.7 10.3 (2.7) (6.1) 0.3 4.9 HE 53,302 54,784 54,864 64,430 51,169 48,662 53,615 65,370 239,023 227,380 218,815 234,138 MC 24,972 23,212 24,476 28,116 29,276 30,359 35,053 35,587 116,925 100,776 130,276 137,866 Handset 24,520 22,862 24,231 27,793 28,957 30,070 34,777 35,297 114,364 99,406 129,102 136,724 HA 25,357 28,753 28,675 29,423 26,530 29,601 28,929 30,891 110,815 112,208 115,951 129,757 AC&ES 12,179 14,749 9,743 6,825 7,016 9,008 6,037 5,048 45,849 43,496 27,109 20,258 others 6,469 7,092 6,000 6,179 5,164 4,859 4,554 4,524 29,954 25,740 19,101 14,385 OP by division Total 3,753 5,074 1,461 1,072 2,839 4,020 4,266 3,165 3,789 11,360 14,291 15,145 QoQ/YoY (%) 338.4 35.2 (71.2) (26.6) 164.8 41.6 6.1 (25.8) 114.8 199.8 25.8 6.0 HE 1,684 3,103 442 192 601 777 1,824 1,171 4,748 5,421 4,372 5,235 MC 342 (280) (39) 563 607 1,204 1,425 1,205 (2,758) 586 4,440 4,225 HA 1,432 1,834 1,218 799 1,579 1,689 1,101 687 3,194 5,283 5,056 5,425 AC&ES 713 826 135 (111) 311 433 48 35 754 1,563 826 588 Others (418) (409) (295) (371) (258) (82) (131) 68 (2,149) (1,493) (403) (328) OPM (%) Total 3.1 3.9 1.2 0.8 2.4 3.3 3.3 2.2 0.7 2.2 2.8 2.8 HE 3.2 5.7 0.8 0.3 1.2 1.6 3.4 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.0 2.2 MC 1.4 (1.2) (0.2) 2.0 2.1 4.0 4.1 3.4 (2.4) 0.6 3.4 3.1 HA 5.6 6.4 4.2 2.7 6.0 5.7 3.8 2.2 2.9 4.7 4.4 4.2 AC&ES 5.9 5.6 1.4 (1.6) 4.4 4.8 0.8 0.7 1.6 3.6 3.0 2.9 Others (6.5) (5.8) (4.9) (6.0) (5.0) (1.7) (2.9) 1.5 (7.2) (5.8) (2.1) (2.3) Pretax income 4,498 2,361 1,787 (3,405) 2,539 3,710 3,964 2,880 (3,993) 5,240 13,093 13,993 Tax 2,073 771 216 1,273 584 853 912 662 335 4,332 3,011 3,218 NI 2,425 1,590 1,571 (4,678) 1,955 2,856 3,052 2,218 (4,328) 908 10,081 10,774 NPM (%) 2.0 1.2 1.3 (3.5) 1.7 2.4 2.3 1.5 (0.8) 0.2 2.0 2.0 Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research Figure 8 Major assumptions ('000 units) 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 2011 2012 2013E 2014E KRW/US$ 1,131 1,152 1,133 1,090 1,050 1,030 1,010 1,005 1,108 1,127 1,024 1,024 Handset shipments Total 13,722 12,998 14,361 15,420 15,197 15,847 17,640 17,998 88,039 56,501 66,682 67,472 Smartphone 4,900 5,700 7,000 8,600 9,400 10,340 12,408 13,028 19,107 26,200 45,175 51,799 Feature 8,822 7,298 7,361 6,820 5,797 5,507 5,232 4,970 68,932 30,301 21,506 15,673 Handset ASP (US$) Total 156 154 148 165 181 184 195 195 117 156 189 202 Smartphone 300 250 229 252 255 250 252 247 219 255 251 246 Feature 77 74 70 64 63 61 60 59 89 72 61 56 TV shipments Total 8,375 8,409 8,355 10,542 8,786 8,807 9,981 12,325 36,834 35,681 39,899 47,190 LCD 5,819 5,990 6,193 8,600 6,880 6,983 8,321 10,709 25,908 26,602 32,893 41,207 TV ASP (US$) Total 557 572 576 561 534 516 514 513 560 544 519 479 LCD 579 582 588 549 551 528 520 516 529 572 527 484 Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research 57 Mirae Asset Securities 57
  • 58.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 9 4Q12 global handset MS Figure 10 4Q12 global smartphone MS (%) (%) Nokia, 18.3 Others, 21.6 SEC, 30.1 Others, 38.0 Others, 38.7 ZTE, 3.4 SEC, 23.6 ZTE, 4.2 ZTE, 4.0 Nokia, 20.9 Apple, 20.9 Apple, 10.1 Google, 2.2 Google, 3.2 LGE, 4.1 LGE, 3.5 LGE, 3.3 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Figure 11 4Q12 Korea handset MS Figure 12 4Q12 US handset MS ( (%) (%) Apple, 8.9 Others, 0.4 Others, 17.0 Apple, 33.6 Pantech, Google, 4.1 11.8 Huawei, 4.3 LGE, 9.2 LGE, 14.7 SEC, 31.8 SEC, 64.1 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Figure 13 4Q12 Brazil handset MS Figure 14 4Q12 Mexico handset MS ( (%) (%) SEC, 24.5 Others, 16.9 Others, 35.3 Others, 30.3 SEC, 29.2 ZTE, 5.1 Nokia, 18.2 Google, 9.3 ZTE, 4.2 ZTE, 8.3 LGE, 8.3 9.5 Nokia, 22.7 Google, 9.5 Google, 9.2 LGE, 16.8 Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research 58 Mirae Asset Securities 58
  • 59.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 15 LGE P/B band (KRW '000) Decided to 180 increase capital 15m sales of "Chocolate" Earngnis shock: 4Q08 3Q10 MC divsion by issuing new 160 phone OPM 0.8%(-3.9ppt) OPM -10%, -6.5ppt QoQ) shares ) 140 120 100 1.16x 80 1.0x 60 0.8x 40 20 20m units comulative sales of full-touch phone Expectations about recovery: Released 2Q09 MC division OPM 10.3%(+4.7ppt QoQ) 1Q12 OPM 3.1%(+2.4ppt QoQ) Opimus G 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research Figure 16 LGE’s sum-of-the-parts valuation Fair value Sales Noplat Peers’ mkt. relative avg. P/E (KRW bn) 2012E 2013E 2012E 2013E FY13E Peers HE 3,075 22,738 21,882 407 328 9.4x Panasonic, Sony MC 3,454 10,078 13,028 44 333 10.4x HTC HA 3,655 11,221 11,595 396 379 9.6x Electrolux, Philips, GE, Whirlpool AC&ES 510 4,350 2,711 117 62 8.2x Carrier, Daikin Others 2,574 1,910 (112) (30) 9.8x Other assets 3,699 0.75x Target Mkt. Cap. 14,393 50,960 51,125 852 1,072 7.4x Fair value (KRW) 88,000 Upside (%) 12.4 Share price (KRW) 78,300 (KRW, KRW bn, m) Share price Company (code) Shares (%) BVPS BV Mkt. value (28 Feb.) LG Display (034220 KS) 357.8 37.9 135.6 31,202 4,231 30,550 4,143 LG Innotek (011070 KS) 20.2 47.9 65,139 629 75,700 731 Value of listed holdings 4,861 4,874 Source: Bloomberg, LGE, Mirae Asset Research * FY13E Market P/E: KOSPI of 9.4x, DOW of 12.5x, NIKKEI225 of 21.9x, TWSE of15.0x, HSI of 11.3x 59 Mirae Asset Securities 59
  • 60.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 17 LGE’s shareholders Figure 18 4Q12 LGE’s handset sales mix (%) (%) LG CORP, 33.7 US, 31.0 30.0 Others, 34.8 Others, 53.5 Spain, 2.4 Spain, 2.5 Korea, 5.6 Korea, 5.4 National Mexico, 6.4 6.6 Pension Serrvice, 9.4 Brazil, 21.1 Brazil, 21.1 Vanguard, 3.4 Source: Bloomberg, LGE, Mirae Asset Research Source: Gartner, Mirae Asset Research Figure 19 32” LCD panel vs. 32” LCD TV set price forecast Figure 20 40” LCD panel vs. 40” LCD TV set price forecast (US$) (%) (US$) (%) 1,600 50 5,000 45 1,400 45 4,500 40 40 4,000 1,200 35 35 3,500 30 1,000 30 3,000 25 800 25 2,500 20 600 20 2,000 15 15 1,500 400 10 10 1,000 200 5 500 5 0 0 0 0 Jan-06 Mar-07 May-08 Jul-09 Sep-10 Nov-11 Jan-13 Jan-06 Mar-07 May-08 Jul-09 Sep-10 Nov-11 Jan-13 TV 32"set(LHS) TV 32"LCD(LHS) LCD%(RHS) TV 40"set(LHS) TV 40"LCD(LHS) LCD%(RHS) Source: WitsView, Mirae Asset Research Source: WitsView, Mirae Asset Research 60 Mirae Asset Securities 60
  • 61.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 21 LGE’s smartphone lineup in North America (AT&T, Verizon, Sprint) Verizon AT&T Sprint Model 2-year contract Model 2-year contract Model 2-year contract ($) ($) ($) Jun Lucid LTE 79.99 Phoenix - Free Optimus S 19.99 Spectrum LTE 79.99 Nitro HD LTE 49.99 Optimus Elite 29.99 Enlighten Free Viper LTE LTE 79.99 Enlighten bundle 39.99 Ally Free Vortex Free Revolution LTE 69.99 Jul Lucid LTE 49.99 Phoenix Free Viper LTE Free Spectrum LTE 99.99 Nitro HD LTE 49.99 Optimus Elite Free Enlighten 29.99 Optimus S Free Enlighten Bundle 39.99 Revolution LTE 69.99 Aug Lucid LTE 49.99 Nitro HD LTE 49.99 Viper LTE 79.99 Spectrum LTE 49.99 Optimus Elite Free Enlighten Free Optimus S Free Enlighten Bundle 39.99 Revolution LTE 69.99 Sep Lucid LTE 49.99 Nitro HD LTE 49.99 Viper LTE 79.99 Lucid Bundle 94.99 Optimus Elite Free Spectrum LTE 99.99 Optimus S 19.99 Enlighten Free Enlighten Bundle 39.99 Revolution LTE 69.99 Intuition LTE 199.99 Oct Lucid LTE 19.99 Nitro HD LTE 49.99 Viper LTE 49.99 Lucid Bundle 64.99 Escape LTE 49.99 Optimus Elite Free Spectrum LTE 49.99 Optimus G LTE 199.99 Optimus S Free Enlighten 29.99 Marquee 19.99 Enlighten Bundle 69.99 Intuition LTE 149.99 Nov Lucid LTE 19.99 Nitro HD LTE 49.99 Optimus G LTE 199.99 Lucid Bundle 64.99 Escape LTE 49.99 Viper LTE 49.99 Spectrum2 LTE 99.99 Optimus G LTE 199.99 Optimus Elite Free Enlighten 29.99 Optimus S Free Enlighten Bundle 69.99 Marquee 19.99 Intuition LTE 149.99 Dec Lucid LTE 0 Nitro HD LTE 49.99 Optimus G LTE 199.99 Lucid Bundle LTE 44.99 Escape LTE 49.99 Viper LTE 49.99 Spectrum2 LTE 99.99 Optimus G LTE 199.99 Optimus Elite 29.99 Enlighten 29.99 Optimus S Free Enlighten Bundle 69.99 Marquee 19.99 Intuition LTE 149.99 Mach LTE 99.99 Jan Lucid LTE Free Nitro HD LTE 0.01 Optimus G LTE 199.99 Lucid Bundle LTE 44.99 Escape LTE 49.99 Viper LTE 49.99 Spectrum2 LTE 49.99 Optimus G LTE 199.99 Optimus Elite Free Intuition LTE 99.99 Optimus S Free Marquee 19.99 Mach LTE 99.99 Feb Lucid LTE 0 Nitro HD LTE 0.01 Optimus G LTE 19.99 Lucid Bundle LTE 44.99 Escape LTE 49.99 Viper LTE 49.99 Spectrum2 LTE 79.99 Optimus G LTE 99.99 Optimus Elite 29.99 Intuition LTE 149.99 Optimus S 0 Mach LTE 49.99 Source: AT&T, Verizon, Sprint, Mirae Asset Research 61 Mirae Asset Securities 61
  • 62.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 22 LGE peers (TV set/home appliance) valuation table LGE Panasonic Electrolux Sony Philips Whirlpool GE UTX Daikin Price (KRW,JPY,SEK,US$) 78,300 666 166 1,390.0 21.6 114.4 23.2 90 3,520 Market cap.(US$ m) 11,819 17,457 7,957 15,030 26,878 8,981 241,136 82,617 11,025 Sales (US$ m) 2010 48,239 101,715 14,794 84,029 29,566 18,366 148,442 54,326 13,577 2011 49,021 99,441 15,667 82,293 31,439 18,666 142,224 55,754 15,446 2012E 46,327 78,669 16,892 71,980 33,337 18,240 146,589 57,988 13,758 2013E 46,477 81,117 17,566 74,522 32,760 18,778 149,355 65,072 16,244 2014E 48,763 81,585 18,277 75,226 33,937 19,547 155,051 68,884 17,051 OP (US$ m) 2010 76 3,572 905 2,338 2,759 1,082 13,961 7,186 883 2011 310 554 462 (853) (375) 928 15,855 7,846 1,029 2012E 1,022 1,582 683 1,507 1,989 928 20,072 7,940 940 2013E 1,299 2,675 874 2,087 2,932 1,317 22,201 9,314 1,281 2014E 1,377 3,092 1,027 2,458 3,283 1,571 24,148 10,460 1,474 NI (US$ m) 2010 1,062 866 556 (3,037) 1,918 619 11,644 4,373 233 2011 (424) (9,786) 318 (5,788) (1,803) 390 14,151 4,979 522 2012E 83 (8,140) 528 172 1,519 551 15,912 4,787 284 2013E 916 953 613 666 1,945 791 17,169 5,556 678 2014E 979 1,293 747 729 2,225 953 18,369 6,334 788 P/E (x) 2010 48.3 29.6 13.6 - 14.6 9.0 16.0 16.1 36.6 2011 - - 15.1 - - 6.7 12.9 13.7 15.9 2012E 174.2 - 14.1 99.5 18.0 16.4 15.4 16.9 39.1 2013E 12.5 16.9 12.4 24.5 12.8 11.8 13.8 14.8 16.3 2014E 11.7 12.5 10.2 20.9 11.3 10.0 12.6 12.9 14.1 P/B (x) 2010 1.4 0.9 2.9 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.6 3.4 1.5 2011 1.0 0.9 1.7 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.6 3.0 1.3 2012E 1.0 1.2 2.4 0.7 1.7 1.9 2.0 3.2 1.9 2013E 1.0 1.0 2.4 0.7 1.7 1.6 1.9 2.8 1.8 2014E 1.0 0.9 2.1 0.7 1.6 1.1 1.8 2.5 1.6 EV/EBITDA (x) 2010 16.3 4.7 6.0 4.7 6.0 4.9 8.0 9.4 7.4 2011 11.5 7.3 6.6 7.1 13.4 3.4 7.8 7.9 7.0 2012E 7.2 6.0 7.5 3.5 7.8 - 18.7 11.0 11.8 2013E 6.6 5.0 6.4 3.1 6.2 - 17.9 9.1 9.2 2014E 6.3 4.6 5.5 2.8 5.4 - 15.8 8.0 8.0 ROE (%) 2010 11.3 2.8 20.3 (9.4) 9.8 15.7 9.6 21.1 4.0 2011 (3.7) (34.4) 10.0 (20.0) (9.5) 9.3 11.1 23.0 8.3 2012E 0.5 (48.7) 14.4 0.8 6.3 10.6 12.4 19.5 5.9 2013E 7.8 5.9 17.4 3.4 12.9 14.8 13.8 19.9 10.9 2014E 7.7 7.9 19.6 4.5 13.9 13.3 14.8 21.2 11.7 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Note: LGE’s earnings are Mirae Asset Research estimates; share prices as of 1 March 62 Mirae Asset Securities 62
  • 63.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 23 LGE TV set/home appliance peers’ historical valuations 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E LG Electronics (066570 KS) EPS KRW 1,517 7,625 2,717 14,197 7,612 (3,132) 422 6,249 6,678 BPS KRW 35,871 43,149 50,011 60,914 76,009 71,303 70,220 75,590 81,343 P/E (x) 36.3 13.1 27.5 8.6 48.3 - 174.2 12.5 11.7 high 36.3 73.2 27.5 54.7 48.3 50.8 174.2 low 13.6 13.1 9.2 8.6 6.5 22.3 13.5 P/B (x) 1.3 2.0 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 high 2.2 2.7 3.3 2.6 1.6 1.4 1.6 low 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.7 ROE (%) (3.5) 31.5 14.7 30.2 11.3 (3.7) 0.5 7.8 7.7 Panasonic (6752 JT) EPS US$ 0.9 1.2 (1.8) (0.5) 0.4 (4.2) (3.6) 0.4 0.4 BPS US$ 15.5 17.8 13.5 14.4 14.9 10.1 5.9 7.3 7.3 P/E (x) 23.9 16.3 - - 32.3 - - 16.9 16.9 high 41.1 25.9 18.8 - 32.3 33.7 - low 23.9 17.4 7.6 - 29.6 17.9 - P/B (x) 1.3 1.2 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.0 high 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9 low 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 ROE (%) 5.6 7.4 (11.6) (3.7) 2.8 (34.4) (48.7) 5.9 5.9 Electrolux (ELUXB SS) EPS US$ 1.8 1.5 0.2 1.2 2.0 1.1 1.8 2.1 2.1 BPS US$ 6.2 8.0 6.8 8.5 9.9 9.7 11.1 11.1 11.1 P/E (x) 14.9 10.4 51.6 18.2 13.6 15.1 14.1 12.4 12.4 high 38.0 20.7 51.6 142.4 21.2 15.1 24.7 low 14.9 10.4 5.1 18.2 13.6 6.8 15.4 P/B (x) 3.2 2.1 1.3 2.7 2.9 1.7 2.4 2.4 2.4 high 3.2 4.4 2.0 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.7 low 1.0 2.1 1.0 1.1 2.3 1.4 1.7 ROE (%) 19.7 20.0 2.3 14.8 20.3 10.0 14.4 17.4 17.4 Sony (6758 JT) EPS US$ 1.1 3.2 (1.0) (0.4) (3.0) (5.8) 0.2 0.6 0.6 BPS US$ 28.6 34.6 29.7 31.6 30.7 24.5 21.4 22.2 22.2 P/E (x) 47.5 10.8 - - - - 99.5 24.5 24.5 high 50.2 56.7 16.8 - - - 99.5 low 36.2 16.8 4.7 - - - - P/B (x) 1.8 1.1 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 high 1.9 2.1 1.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.9 low 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.4 ROE (%) 3.8 10.8 (3.1) (1.4) (9.4) (20.0) 0.8 3.4 3.4 Philips (PHG US) EPS US$ 5.8 6.2 (0.1) 0.6 2.0 (1.9) 1.6 2.2 2.2 BPS US$ 27.4 29.8 23.5 22.6 21.3 17.3 16.8 16.6 16.6 P/E (x) 37.3 6.4 - 41.4 - - 18.0 12.8 12.8 high 36.6 42.3 6.8 - - 16.5 71.1 low 7.7 7.0 2.9 - - 7.9 71.1 P/B (x) 1.4 1.4 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.7 high 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.6 low 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.6 1.3 0.8 1.0 ROE (%) 27.1 21.8 (0.5) 2.7 9.8 (9.5) 6.3 12.9 12.9 Whirlpool (WHR US) EPS US$ 5.8 8.2 5.6 4.4 8.1 5.1 7.0 9.7 9.7 BPS US$ 42.1 51.5 41.2 48.9 55.6 55.0 59.5 69.5 69.5 P/E (x) 12.2 9.3 6.1 13.2 9.0 6.7 16.4 11.8 11.8 high 14.3 17.1 10.7 13.2 18.5 9.3 14.6 low 11.1 9.3 3.5 2.9 9.0 4.6 6.9 P/B (x) 2.0 1.6 1.0 1.7 1.6 0.9 1.9 1.6 1.6 high 3.7 2.8 1.8 2.0 2.3 1.6 1.9 low 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.5 1.5 0.8 0.9 ROE (%) 17.2 17.8 12.1 9.8 15.7 9.3 10.6 14.8 14.8 GE (GE US) EPS US$ 2.0 2.2 1.7 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 BPS US$ 10.8 11.6 9.9 11.0 11.2 11.0 11.9 12.5 12.5 P/E (x) 10.8 11.6 9.9 11.0 11.2 11.0 15.4 13.8 13.8 high 20.0 16.9 8.4 12.5 16.0 13.1 16.6 low 21.7 22.6 17.5 12.5 16.1 18.9 13.1 P/B (x) 18.2 16.9 5.8 3.5 11.5 12.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 high 3.4 3.2 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.6 2.1 low 3.7 3.9 3.3 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.6 ROE (%) 3.1 3.1 1.1 0.7 1.3 1.3 12.4 13.8 13.8 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 63 Mirae Asset Securities 63
  • 64.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 24 LGE peers (TV set/home appliance) earnings consensus Company (Code) / US$ m 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12E 1Q13E 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E Panasonic (6752 JT) Sales 22,663 23,193 20,587 19,193 99,441 78,669 81,117 81,585 YoY (%) (4.2) (13.2) (18.8) (19.1) (2.2) (20.9) 3.1 0.6 OP 482 620 341 329 554 1,582 2,675 3,092 YoY (%) 604.9 14.6 (427.1) 522.6 (84.5) 185.4 69.2 15.6 OPM (%) 2.1 2.7 1.7 1.7 0.6 2.0 3.3 3.8 NI 160 (8,877) (192) (503) (9,786) (8,140) 953 1,293 NPM (%) 0.7 (38.3) (0.9) (2.6) (9.8) (10.3) 1.2 1.6 Electrolux (ELUXB SS) Sales 3,997 4,030 4,400 4,071 15,667 16,892 17,566 18,277 YoY (%) 3.6 1.7 4.6 6.2 5.9 7.8 4.0 4.0 OP 166 217 95 143 462 683 874 1,027 YoY (%) 39.1 27.8 4.0 2.3 (48.9) 47.9 27.9 17.5 OPM (%) 4.1 5.4 2.2 3.5 2.9 4.0 5.0 5.6 NI 110 146 174 104 318 528 613 747 NPM (%) 2.7 3.6 4.0 2.6 2.0 3.1 3.5 4.1 Sony (6758 JT) Sales 18,925 20,407 21,988 17,365 82,293 71,980 74,522 75,226 YoY (%) 3.2 0.6 (6.7) (14.0) (2.1) (12.5) 3.5 0.9 OP 78 385 877 734 (853) 1,507 2,087 2,458 YoY (%) (76.8) (1,927.2) (173.9) (4,219.7) (136.5) (276.8) 38.5 17.8 OPM (%) 0.4 1.9 4.0 4.2 (1.0) 2.1 2.8 3.3 NI (308) (197) 253 724 (5,788) 172 666 729 NPM (%) (1.6) (1.0) 1.2 4.2 (7.0) 0.2 0.9 1.0 Philips (PHG US) Sales 7,561 7,665 9,583 7,355 31,439 33,337 32,760 33,937 YoY (%) 0.7 0.6 5.9 (0.0) 6.3 6.0 (1.7) 3.6 OP 434 417 446 429 (375) 1,989 2,932 3,283 YoY (%) 29.9 8.0 (130.3) (25.3) (113.6) (631.0) 47.4 12.0 OPM (%) 5.7 5.4 4.7 5.8 (1.2) 6.0 9.0 9.7 NI 214 211 413 290 (1,803) 1,519 1,945 2,225 NPM (%) 2.8 2.8 4.3 3.9 (5.7) 4.6 5.9 6.6 Whirlpool (WHR US) Sales 4,511 4,495 4,885 4,370 18,666 18,240 18,778 19,547 YoY (%) (4.6) (2.8) (0.5) 0.5 1.6 (2.3) 3.0 4.1 OP 274 276 279 266 928 928 1,317 1,571 YoY (%) 15.6 60.5 (1.3) 11.1 (14.2) 0.0 42.0 19.2 OPM (%) 6.1 6.1 5.7 6.1 5.0 5.1 7.0 8.0 NI 113 74 176 136 390 551 791 953 NPM (%) 2.5 1.6 3.6 3.1 2.1 3.0 4.2 4.9 GE (GE US) Sales 36,108 35,562 38,439 33,794 142,224 146,589 149,355 155,051 YoY (%) 3.2 2.2 1.9 (2.4) (4.2) 3.1 1.9 3.8 OP 4,015 3,413 5,853 5,038 15,855 20,072 22,201 24,148 YoY (%) (1.7) 0.8 34.1 42.7 13.6 26.6 10.6 8.8 OPM (%) 11.1 9.6 15.2 14.9 11.1 13.7 14.9 15.6 NI 3,105 3,491 4,494 3,704 14,151 15,912 17,169 18,369 NPM (%) 8.6 9.8 11.7 11.0 9.9 10.9 11.5 11.8 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 64 Mirae Asset Securities 64
  • 65.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 25 Panasonic (6752 JP) P/E band Figure 26 Panasonic (6752 JP) P/B band (JPY) (JPY) 6,000 Share price 4,000 3,500 4,000 Share price 3,000 2,000 2,500 0 2,000 10x 1,500 (2,000) 20x 2.8x 30x 1,000 40x 2.1x (4,000) 500 1.4x 0 0.7x (6,000) 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 27 Electrolux (ELUXB SS) P/E band Figure 28 Electrolux (ELUXB SS) P/B band (SEK) (SEK) 400 300 Share price 350 Share price 250 300 2.8x 200 250 24x 2.1x 200 150 18x 150 1.4x 12x 100 100 6x 50 0.7x 50 0 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 29 Sony (6758 JP) P/E band Figure 30 Sony (6758 JP) P/B band (JPY) (JPY) 20,000 18,000 Share price 16,000 15,000 10,000 14,000 12,000 5,000 10,000 Share price 0 8,000 (5,000) 10x 6,000 20x 2.0x (10,000) 4,000 1.5x 30x (15,000) 2,000 1.0x 0.5x 40x 0 (20,000) 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 65 Mirae Asset Securities 65
  • 66.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 31 Philips (PHG US) P/E band Figure 32 Philips (PHG US) P/B band (US$) (US$) 250 90 Share price Share price 200 80 70 150 60 100 40x 50 2.8x 50 30x 20x 40 2.1x 0 10x 30 (50) 1.4x 20 (100) 10 0.7x (150) 0 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2002 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 33 GE (GE US) P/E band Figure 34 GE (GE US) P/B band (US$) (US$) 70 70 Share price Share price 60 60 50 50 4x 40 40 3x 20x 30 30 15x 2x 20 20 10x 10 10 1x 5x 0 0 2000 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2012 2000 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 35 Whirlpool (WHR US) P/E band Figure 36 Whirlpool (WHR US) P/B band (US$) (US$) 200 180 2.8x 160 Share price 150 20x 140 100 15x 2.1x 120 10x 50 100 5x 1.4x 80 0 60 (50) Share price 40 0.7x (100) 20 (150) 0 2000 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2012 2000 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 66 Mirae Asset Securities 66
  • 67.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 37 LGE’s share price, relative to handset peers Figure 38 LGE’s share price, relative to handset peers 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.4 SEC 1.2 Google RIM 1.0 LGE 1.0 Sony 0.8 Nokia Apple 0.8 LGE ZTE 0.6 0.6 HTC HTC 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 Feb 12 May 12 Aug 12 Nov 12 Feb 13 Feb 12 May 12 Aug 12 Nov 12 Feb 13 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 39 LGE’s share price, relative to TV set/home appliance peers Figure 40 LGE’s share price, relative to TV set/home appliance peers 1.8 1.6 1.6 Whirlpool Philips 1.4 1.4 1.2 GE 1.2 Electrolux 1.0 1.0 Panasonic 0.8 LGE 0.8 Sony Sony 0.6 0.6 0.4 LGE 0.2 0.4 12-Feb 12-May 12-Aug 12-Nov 13-Feb 12-Feb 12-May 12-Aug 12-Nov 13-Feb Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 67 Mirae Asset Securities 67
  • 68.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Figure 41 LGE handset peers’ 3M performance Figure 42 LGE handset peers’ YDT performance (%) (%) 90 50 40 70 30 50 20 30 10 10 0 (10) (10) (30) (20) SEC LG E A pple H TC N okia RIM ZTE S ony G oogle SEC LG E A pple H TC N okia RIM ZTE S ony G oogle Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Figure 43 LGE TV/home appliance peers’ 3M performance Figure 44 LGE TV/home appliance peers’ YDT performance (%) (%) 80 50 70 40 60 50 30 40 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 (10) (20) (10) ps l E x GE oc ny ps oo l E x GE oc ny oo lu LG lu LG i li on So ili rlp ro on So Ph rlp ro Ph ct s hi ct s na hi e na W e W El Pa El Pa Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Research 68 Mirae Asset Securities 68
  • 69.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com LG Electronics Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com 066570 KS Summary financial statements Profit & loss Balance sheet Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn) 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn) 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Revenue 54,257 50,960 51,125 53,640 Current assets 15,783 15,451 15,961 16,630 Cost of goods sold (42,058) (38,653) (38,517) (40,400) Cash & equivalents 2,345 1,317 1,201 1,188 Gross profit 12,199 12,307 12,608 13,241 Short-term financial asset 176 152 158 164 SG&A (11,856) (11,191) (11,179) (11,726) Accounts receivable 7,065 7,396 7,749 8,133 EBIT (Adj.) 343 1,116 1,429 1,514 Inventory 4,947 5,325 5,579 5,856 EBIT 280 1,125 1,429 1,514 Other current assets 1,250 1,262 1,275 1,287 Net interest income (loss) (228) (212) (246) (241) Non-current assets 16,875 16,798 17,697 18,542 Income (loss) from associates (331) 152 226 226 Net fixed assets 7,290 7,384 7,944 8,436 Others (121) (541) (100) (100) Investments 5,729 5,492 5,715 5,947 Recurring profit (399) 524 1,309 1,399 Other long-term assets 3,855 3,922 4,038 4,160 Income tax (33) (433) (301) (322) Total assets 32,658 32,249 33,659 35,172 Net profit (433) 91 1,008 1,077 Current liabilities 14,215 13,573 13,963 14,385 Net profit (Controlling Interests) (470) 69 1,023 1,093 Accounts payable 7,360 7,396 7,749 8,133 EPS (Controlling Interests, KRW) (3,132) 422 6,249 6,678 Short-term debt 3,192 2,478 2,478 2,478 Other current liabilities 3,663 3,699 3,736 3,774 Growth & margins (%) 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Non-current liabilities 5,296 5,728 5,777 5,827 Revenue growth (2.7) (6.1) 0.3 4.9 Long-term debt 4,258 4,531 4,531 4,531 Gross profit growth (0.8) 0.9 2.4 5.0 Other long-term liabilities 1,038 1,197 1,246 1,297 EBIT growth 58.8 301.4 27.0 6.0 Total liabilities 19,510 19,301 19,740 20,213 Net profit growth TN TP 1,379.1 6.9 Controlling Interests 12,894 12,698 13,669 14,710 EPS growth TN TP 1,379.1 6.9 Non-Controlling Interests 254 250 250 250 Gross margin 22.5 24.2 24.7 24.7 Shareholder's equity 13,148 12,948 13,919 14,959 EBIT margin 0.5 2.2 2.8 2.8 BVPS(KRW) 71,303 70,220 75,590 81,343 Net profit margin (0.9) 0.1 2.0 2.0 Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research estimates Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research estimates Cash flow Ratio analysis Year end Dec 31 (KRWbn) 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Year end Dec 31 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Cash flow from operations 1,730 582 1,962 2,080 ROE (%) (3.7) 0.5 7.8 7.7 Net profit (433) 91 1,008 1,077 ROA (%) (1.3) 0.3 3.1 3.1 Depr. & amortization 1,202 1,306 1,362 1,430 Inventory days 46.9 48.5 51.7 51.7 Others 2,020 1,105 (178) (176) Receivables days 48.5 51.8 54.1 54.0 Change in working capital (1,060) (1,920) (230) (252) Payable days 64.9 69.7 71.8 71.7 Cash flow from investing (2,452) (1,159) (2,041) (2,055) Net debt/equity (%) 37.5 42.8 40.6 37.8 Capital expenditures (1,752) (1,089) (1,600) (1,600) Interest cover (x) 1.2 5.3 5.8 6.3 Others (700) (70) (441) (455) Cash flow from financing 1,161 (433) (37) (37) Dividends (43) (59) (37) (37) Increase in equity 975 9 Increase in debt 228 (383) Beginning cash 1,944 2,345 1,317 1,201 Ending cash 2,345 1,317 1,201 1,188 Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research estimates Source: LGE, Mirae Asset Research estimates 69 Mirae Asset Securities 69
  • 70.
    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Handset Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Recommendations By stock (12 months) By industry Buy: A target price + 10% or more above the current price, Overweight: over +10% of the current industry index Hold: Target price within - 10% to +10% of the current price Neutral: -10% to +10% of the current industry index Reduce: A target price of –10% or less below the current price Underweight: -10% or less than the current industry index Compliance Notice This report is distributed to our clients only, and none of the report material may be copied or distributed to any other party. While Mirae Asset Securities have taken all reasonable care to ensure its reliability, we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. Therefore, Mirae Asset Securities shall not be liable for any result from the use of this report. This report has never been provided to any institutional investor or third party. This report has been prepared without any undue external influence or interference, and accurately reflects the personal views of the analyst on the company herein. [Analyst: Jinho Cho, Yongjei Jeong] Securities Held by the Analyst Holdings of Participation Involvement Treasury Number of Purchase Purchase share of in Issuance of Stock Analyst Type with Affiliates Stock Held Shares Price Date over 1% Securities REMARK: Korean analyst is responsible for Korean securities and relevant sectors only. Target Price and Recommendation Chart Stock Price & Target Price TrendStock PriceTarget Price Samsung Electro-Mechanics (009150 KS) ■ B - Buy■ H - Hold■ R - Reduce 12M target price Date Recommendation (KRW) 2012-11-28 BUY (Initiate) 125,000 140000 B 2013-01-03 BUY 125,000 2013-02-01 BUY 125,000 120000 2013-02-14 BUY 125,000 2013-03-05 BUY 125,000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Stock Price & Target Price TrendStock PriceTarget Price LG Electronics (066570 KS) ■ B - Buy■ H - Hold■ R - Reduce 12M target price Date Recommendation (KRW) 100000 B 2012-11-28 HOLD (Initiate) 79,000 90000 2012-12-07 HOLD 79,000 2013-01-03 HOLD 79,000 80000 2013-01-31 HOLD 79,000 70000 2013-02-21 BUY 88,000(Up) 2013-03-05 BUY 88,000 60000 50000 40000 30000 H 20000 10000 0 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 2 Mirae Asset Securities
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    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Handset Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com Hong Kong Compliance Disclosures The views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the analysts about the subject securities, issuer(s) or new listing applicant(s). Each Hong Kong analyst declares that neither he/she nor his/her associate serves as an officer or has any financial interests in relation to the issuer(s) or new listing applicant(s) reviewed by the analyst. None of the issuer(s) or the new listing applicant(s) reviewed or any third party has provided or agreed to provide any compensation or other benefits in connection with this report to any of the analysts of Mirae Asset Securities (HK) Limited (“MASHK”). 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    Jinho Cho, Analyst,82 2 3774 3831, jcho@miraeasset.com Handset Yongjei Jeong, 82 2 3774 1938, yongjei@miraeasset.com officers, directors and employees do not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of the contents of this report. Investments in general and, derivatives, in particular, involve numerous risks, including, inter alia, market risk, counterparty default risk and liquidity risk. The price of securities may go up as well as down. It may include the possibility of the invested capital loss. The past performance presented is not indicative of future performance. In some cases, securities and other financial instruments may be difficult to value or sell and reliable information about the value or risks related to the security or financial instrument may be absent. The investment(s) mentioned in this report may not be suitable for all investors and a person receiving or reading this report should seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of such investment(s), taking into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of that person, before making a commitment to purchase any of such investment(s). The suitability of any particular investment or strategy whether opined on, or referred to in this report or otherwise will depend on a person’s individual circumstances and objectives and should be confirmed by such person with his advisers independently before adoption or implementation thereof. Copyright January 2012 MAS Group. All rights reserved. 4 Mirae Asset Securities