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RUSSIA
FEBRUARY 2 3, 2012
Russia Forum Buzz
Risk Management: Myth or
Reality?
█ The panel consisted of senior financial officers of large Russian
commodity exporting companies, financial consultants and representatives of
commercial banks.
█ Panelists representing the “real economy” described their companies’ approach
toward managing various types of risk. Most speakers conceded that they
employ a selective range of rather simple derivative instruments (such as plain
vanilla currency swaps), mainly in order to synthetically adjust standalone large
ticket deals on the liability side. Examples mentioned included such deals as
Gazprom’s 2008 placement of a Eurobond with a coupon linked to the oil price
(the company believes that it has saved circa 70 bps per annum in interest costs
over the four years since the issue versus a straight issue) and the synthetic
conversion of local ruble bonds into foreign currency liability (a practice widely
employed by many Russian local bond issuers in 2009 11).
█ On the revenue side, most companies rely on “natural hedges” and commercial
methods to reduce cash flow volatility, such as long term contracting. An
exception, noted by UC RUSAL, was that being one of the world’s largest
exporters of aluminum, it very actively employs exchange traded commodity
derivatives to manage its sales mix.
█ The major reasons for the rather selective and cautious use of derivative
financial instruments by Russian industrials seem to be their complexity (all
panelists were strongly in favor of simple structured products), very strong
loss aversion of the companies’ risk officers and treasurers (“you are not
rewarded if your hedge works, but if it loses, it is your fault”), belief that
Russian commodity producers have certain natural hedges (weaker oil means
a weaker ruble and lower cost base) and the simple absence of tradable
derivative contracts for many commodities (e.g. for uranium).
█ Most panelists from the industrial side mentioned that they mainly use foreign
banks as counterparties for structured transactions, as large Russian
institutions entered the field only recently. Interestingly, none of the industrial
panelists mentioned counterparty risk as a component they pay attention to in
a structured deal.
█ All panelists concluded that Russian commodity exporting companies’ use of
structured financial instruments for risk management represents a very
interesting market for large banks, and thus the market is likely to grow
materially in the coming years.
FEBRUARY 2 3, 2012 RUSSIA FORUM BUZZ – RISK MANAGEMENT: MYTH OR REALITY?
2 TROIKA DIALOG
Panel
Alexander Bazarov Vice President — Director of the Corporate Clients Department, Sberbank
Tigran Khachaturov Acting Director General, JSC Atomredmetzoloto
Peter Bakaev Head of the Capital Markets Division, Gazprom
Satyajit Das Risk Consultant, Author of “Extreme Money”
Evgeniy Kornilov CFO, RUSAL
Igor Lojevsky Chief Country Officer, Russia and CIS, Deutsche Bank
Axel Van Nederveen Treasurer, European Bank of Reconstruction and Development
Olga Zinovieva Appointed First Deputy CEO, Interros
This research report is prepared by TROIKA DIALOG or its affiliate named herein and provides general information only. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a
recommendation, an offer or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other investment or any options, futures or derivatives related to such securities or investments. It is not
intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive
this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities, other investment or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and
should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.
Investors should note that income from such securities or other investments, if any, may fluctuate and that price or value of such securities and investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may
receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Any information relating to the tax status of financial instruments discussed herein is not intended to provide tax advice or to be used by anyone to provide tax advice. Investors are urged to seek tax
advice based on their particular circumstances from an independent tax professional.
Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investment mentioned in this report. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs or
GDRs, whose values are influenced by the currency of the underlying security, effectively assume currency risk.
The information contained herein has been obtained from, and any opinions herein are based upon, sources believed to be reliable, but no representation is made that it is accurate or complete and it
should not be relied upon as such. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice.
From time to time, TROIKA DIALOG or its affiliates or the principals or employees of its affiliates may have or have had positions or derivative positions in the securities or other instruments referred to
herein or make or have made a market or otherwise act or have acted as principal in transactions in any of these securities or instruments or may provide or have provided investment banking or
consulting services to or serve or have served as a director or a supervisory board member of a company being reported on herein.
TROIKA DIALOG maintains strict internal policies, which are designed to manage any actual or potential conflicts of interest from harming the interests of investors.
Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained from TROIKA DIALOG upon request.
This report may not be reproduced, copied nor extracts taken from it, without the express written consent of TROIKA DIALOG.
For residents of the United States: This research report is being distributed in the United States by TROIKA DIALOG USA, INC., which accepts responsibility for the contents hereof. Any U.S. person
receiving this report who wishes to effect transactions in any securities referred to herein should contact TROIKA DIALOG USA, INC., not its affiliate. Further information on the securities referred to
herein may be obtained from TROIKA DIALOG USA, INC. upon request.
For residents of the United Kingdom and rest of Europe: Except as may be otherwise specified herein, this research report is communicated to persons who are qualified as eligible counterparties or
professional clients (as defined in the FSA Rules) and is made available to such persons only. The information contained herein is not intended for, and should not be relied upon by, retail clients (as
defined in the FSA Rules).
© TROIKA DIALOG 2012

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Russia Forum Buzz - Risk Management: Myth or Reality?

  • 1. www.TheRussiaForum.com RUSSIA FEBRUARY 2 3, 2012 Russia Forum Buzz Risk Management: Myth or Reality? █ The panel consisted of senior financial officers of large Russian commodity exporting companies, financial consultants and representatives of commercial banks. █ Panelists representing the “real economy” described their companies’ approach toward managing various types of risk. Most speakers conceded that they employ a selective range of rather simple derivative instruments (such as plain vanilla currency swaps), mainly in order to synthetically adjust standalone large ticket deals on the liability side. Examples mentioned included such deals as Gazprom’s 2008 placement of a Eurobond with a coupon linked to the oil price (the company believes that it has saved circa 70 bps per annum in interest costs over the four years since the issue versus a straight issue) and the synthetic conversion of local ruble bonds into foreign currency liability (a practice widely employed by many Russian local bond issuers in 2009 11). █ On the revenue side, most companies rely on “natural hedges” and commercial methods to reduce cash flow volatility, such as long term contracting. An exception, noted by UC RUSAL, was that being one of the world’s largest exporters of aluminum, it very actively employs exchange traded commodity derivatives to manage its sales mix. █ The major reasons for the rather selective and cautious use of derivative financial instruments by Russian industrials seem to be their complexity (all panelists were strongly in favor of simple structured products), very strong loss aversion of the companies’ risk officers and treasurers (“you are not rewarded if your hedge works, but if it loses, it is your fault”), belief that Russian commodity producers have certain natural hedges (weaker oil means a weaker ruble and lower cost base) and the simple absence of tradable derivative contracts for many commodities (e.g. for uranium). █ Most panelists from the industrial side mentioned that they mainly use foreign banks as counterparties for structured transactions, as large Russian institutions entered the field only recently. Interestingly, none of the industrial panelists mentioned counterparty risk as a component they pay attention to in a structured deal. █ All panelists concluded that Russian commodity exporting companies’ use of structured financial instruments for risk management represents a very interesting market for large banks, and thus the market is likely to grow materially in the coming years.
  • 2. FEBRUARY 2 3, 2012 RUSSIA FORUM BUZZ – RISK MANAGEMENT: MYTH OR REALITY? 2 TROIKA DIALOG Panel Alexander Bazarov Vice President — Director of the Corporate Clients Department, Sberbank Tigran Khachaturov Acting Director General, JSC Atomredmetzoloto Peter Bakaev Head of the Capital Markets Division, Gazprom Satyajit Das Risk Consultant, Author of “Extreme Money” Evgeniy Kornilov CFO, RUSAL Igor Lojevsky Chief Country Officer, Russia and CIS, Deutsche Bank Axel Van Nederveen Treasurer, European Bank of Reconstruction and Development Olga Zinovieva Appointed First Deputy CEO, Interros
  • 3. This research report is prepared by TROIKA DIALOG or its affiliate named herein and provides general information only. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a recommendation, an offer or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other investment or any options, futures or derivatives related to such securities or investments. It is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities, other investment or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that income from such securities or other investments, if any, may fluctuate and that price or value of such securities and investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Any information relating to the tax status of financial instruments discussed herein is not intended to provide tax advice or to be used by anyone to provide tax advice. Investors are urged to seek tax advice based on their particular circumstances from an independent tax professional. Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investment mentioned in this report. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs or GDRs, whose values are influenced by the currency of the underlying security, effectively assume currency risk. The information contained herein has been obtained from, and any opinions herein are based upon, sources believed to be reliable, but no representation is made that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. From time to time, TROIKA DIALOG or its affiliates or the principals or employees of its affiliates may have or have had positions or derivative positions in the securities or other instruments referred to herein or make or have made a market or otherwise act or have acted as principal in transactions in any of these securities or instruments or may provide or have provided investment banking or consulting services to or serve or have served as a director or a supervisory board member of a company being reported on herein. TROIKA DIALOG maintains strict internal policies, which are designed to manage any actual or potential conflicts of interest from harming the interests of investors. Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained from TROIKA DIALOG upon request. This report may not be reproduced, copied nor extracts taken from it, without the express written consent of TROIKA DIALOG. For residents of the United States: This research report is being distributed in the United States by TROIKA DIALOG USA, INC., which accepts responsibility for the contents hereof. Any U.S. person receiving this report who wishes to effect transactions in any securities referred to herein should contact TROIKA DIALOG USA, INC., not its affiliate. Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained from TROIKA DIALOG USA, INC. upon request. For residents of the United Kingdom and rest of Europe: Except as may be otherwise specified herein, this research report is communicated to persons who are qualified as eligible counterparties or professional clients (as defined in the FSA Rules) and is made available to such persons only. The information contained herein is not intended for, and should not be relied upon by, retail clients (as defined in the FSA Rules). © TROIKA DIALOG 2012