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Significant Improvement in Module
Performance Prediction Accuracy
Based on IEC-61853 Data
Janine Freeman
8th PV Performance Modeling Workshop
Santa Ana Pueblo, New Mexico
May 9, 2017
2
Irradiance
Transposition using Isotropic, HDKR, or Perez
Measured plane of array (POA) input
Shading
Irregular obstruction shading from 3D scene
Self-shading for regularly spaced rows
External input from SunEye, Solar Pathfinder
Snow cover loss model
Module
Simple efficiency model
Single diode model (CEC database or datasheet)
Extended single diode model (for IEC-61853 tests)
Sandia PV Array Performance Model
Inverter
Sandia/CEC grid-tied inverter model
Datasheet part-load efficiency curve
System
Sizing wizard or electrical layout
Multiple subarrays
Fixed, 1 axis, backtracking, azimuth axis, 2 axis
Battery storage
Degradation
Extrapolated single year
Lifetime simulation of all years
Simulation
1 minute to 1 hour time steps
Detailed photovoltaic model
֍
System Advisor Model
3
Background System Advisor Model
1. Equivalent circuit models
2. Point models
3. “Data” models
4
Background System Advisor Model
Single diode model
Great at STC, but what about all these conditions?
5
Background System Advisor Model
Original model
implementation in SAM:
“Procedure for applying
IEC-61853 test data to a
single diode model”,
Dobos, PVSC 2014
Based only on thin film data!
Curve fitting errors sometimes
reduced ability of the model
to accurately reproduce test
data
6
Estimating Parameters at Test Conditions System Advisor Model
7
Estimating Parameters at Any Condition System Advisor Model
8
Estimating Parameters at Any Condition System Advisor Model
9
Map Boundaries System Advisor Model
If desired operating
condition is…
• sufficiently near edge of
convex hull defined by
test points, nearest
known point used
• Too far away, model
reverts to standard
single diode model
equations
֍
10
Comparison with 6 Parameter Model System Advisor Model
11
Comparison with 6 Parameter Model System Advisor Model
88% reduction in error on average across 20 modules
12
Upcoming Work System Advisor Model
Further validation compared to measured data using MPERT data
13
• Desktop Application
• Built-in Scripting Language
• Software Development Kit (SDK)
o C/C++
o Matlab
o Python
o C#
o Java
• Upcoming: SAM open-sourcing
(more on that later!)
Where can I get the new model? System Advisor Model
Dobos, A.; Freeman, J.: Significant Improvement in PV
Module Performance Prediction Accuracy Using a New
Model Based on IEC-61853 Data, forthcoming
New Model Implementation Release Expected ~July
Our team
Janine Freeman Project lead, PV and wind models
Nick DiOrio Software architecture, Battery storage models
Steve Janzou Programming, financial structures (subcontractor)
Paul Gilman User support and documentation (subcontractor)
Ty Neises Concentrating solar power models
Mike Wagner Concentrating solar power models
Nate Blair Emeritus lead, financials, costs, systems
http://sam.nrel.gov
System Advisor Model

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18 Interaction between Operational Safety and Long-Term Safety (Project BASEL)
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17 Salt Reconsolidation
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16 Reconsolidation of granular salt (DAEF report)
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15 Outcome of the Repoperm Project
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14 Radiological Consequences Analysis for a HLW Repository in Bedded Salt in ...
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13 "New results of the KOSINA project - Generic geological models / Integrity...
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12 Salt testing: Low deviatoric stress data
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09 Invited Lecture: Salt Creep at Low Deviatoric Stress
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06 2017.05.09 freeman 8th pvpmc iec 61853 presentation

  • 1. Significant Improvement in Module Performance Prediction Accuracy Based on IEC-61853 Data Janine Freeman 8th PV Performance Modeling Workshop Santa Ana Pueblo, New Mexico May 9, 2017
  • 2. 2 Irradiance Transposition using Isotropic, HDKR, or Perez Measured plane of array (POA) input Shading Irregular obstruction shading from 3D scene Self-shading for regularly spaced rows External input from SunEye, Solar Pathfinder Snow cover loss model Module Simple efficiency model Single diode model (CEC database or datasheet) Extended single diode model (for IEC-61853 tests) Sandia PV Array Performance Model Inverter Sandia/CEC grid-tied inverter model Datasheet part-load efficiency curve System Sizing wizard or electrical layout Multiple subarrays Fixed, 1 axis, backtracking, azimuth axis, 2 axis Battery storage Degradation Extrapolated single year Lifetime simulation of all years Simulation 1 minute to 1 hour time steps Detailed photovoltaic model ֍ System Advisor Model
  • 3. 3 Background System Advisor Model 1. Equivalent circuit models 2. Point models 3. “Data” models
  • 4. 4 Background System Advisor Model Single diode model Great at STC, but what about all these conditions?
  • 5. 5 Background System Advisor Model Original model implementation in SAM: “Procedure for applying IEC-61853 test data to a single diode model”, Dobos, PVSC 2014 Based only on thin film data! Curve fitting errors sometimes reduced ability of the model to accurately reproduce test data
  • 6. 6 Estimating Parameters at Test Conditions System Advisor Model
  • 7. 7 Estimating Parameters at Any Condition System Advisor Model
  • 8. 8 Estimating Parameters at Any Condition System Advisor Model
  • 9. 9 Map Boundaries System Advisor Model If desired operating condition is… • sufficiently near edge of convex hull defined by test points, nearest known point used • Too far away, model reverts to standard single diode model equations ֍
  • 10. 10 Comparison with 6 Parameter Model System Advisor Model
  • 11. 11 Comparison with 6 Parameter Model System Advisor Model 88% reduction in error on average across 20 modules
  • 12. 12 Upcoming Work System Advisor Model Further validation compared to measured data using MPERT data
  • 13. 13 • Desktop Application • Built-in Scripting Language • Software Development Kit (SDK) o C/C++ o Matlab o Python o C# o Java • Upcoming: SAM open-sourcing (more on that later!) Where can I get the new model? System Advisor Model Dobos, A.; Freeman, J.: Significant Improvement in PV Module Performance Prediction Accuracy Using a New Model Based on IEC-61853 Data, forthcoming New Model Implementation Release Expected ~July
  • 14. Our team Janine Freeman Project lead, PV and wind models Nick DiOrio Software architecture, Battery storage models Steve Janzou Programming, financial structures (subcontractor) Paul Gilman User support and documentation (subcontractor) Ty Neises Concentrating solar power models Mike Wagner Concentrating solar power models Nate Blair Emeritus lead, financials, costs, systems http://sam.nrel.gov System Advisor Model