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Low cvp+infrastructure+roadmap main+report
- 4. 4
Background-a‘TransportInfrastructureroadmap’isneededto
complementexistingvehicleandfuelroadmaps
Source:AutoCouncilandLowCVP
Vehicleroadmaps
Transportfuelroadmaps
Source:AutoCouncilandElementEnergyfortheLowCVP
Inthecontextoftheexpectedtransitiontolowercarbonpowertrains
andfuels,theAutoCouncilvehicleroadmapshaveproventobea
usefultooltofocusresearch,fundingandpolicy,bringingintoone
placetheindustry’sviewsonfuturetechnologyoptions,deployment
stepsandcorrespondingpolicydrivers.
Tocomplementthesepowertraintechnologiesroadmaps,the
LowCVPcommissionedaRoadTransportFuelsRoadmapin2013-14,
whichalsoprovedsuccessfulinbringingclaritytothefueloptions
availableandmappingtheenablingmilestones.
ThisInfrastructureroadmapisthe‘missingpiece’thatwillsupport
newpowertrainsandnewfuels.Thisroadmapisallthemore
necessaryastheneedsandbarriersfordeploymentofelectric,
hydrogenandgasrefuellingstationsdiffersignificantlyand
refuelling/recharginginfrastructureisakeyenablerforlowemission
vehicles.
TheobjectivesoftheInfrastructureRoadmapareto:
−Assesstheinfrastructureneedsandbarriersfordeploymentof
electric,hydrogenandgasrefuellingstationsto2050,including
impactonupstreamdistribution,aswellastoconsider
‘conventional’liquidfuels
−Makerecommendationsfordeliveryofinfrastructure
deployment,bothatnationalandlocalgovernmentlevel.
Source:ElementEnergy
- 5. 5
TheInfrastructureRoadmapcoversprivateandpublicinfrastructure,
forallmainroadvehiclesandbothcurrentandfuturefuels
Depotbasedrefuellingforfleetoperatorsandreturntobase
operators
Homerechargingforprivateand(some)commercialvehicles
Publicforecourtrefuelling/recharging
Refuellinginfrastructuretypes
Fuels/energyvectorsconsidered
Zerotailpipeemissionfuels:electricityandhydrogen
‘Conventional’liquidfuels:gasoline(E5toE20,inlinewith
theTransportFuelsRoadmap),diesel,LPG/bio-propane
Methane:CompressedNaturalGas(CNG),LiquefiedNG(LNG)
andbiomethane
Niche/futurefuels:methanol,liquidairandahighbioethanol
blend(E85)
TheUK’slegallybindingtargettoreducetotalGHGemissionsbyatleast80%(relativeto1990levels)by2050,
andtransportcontributestoc.25%ofUKtotalGHGemissions;
EUlevelregulations(gCO2/km,AirQualitytargetsandEUROspec),Directives(RenewableEnergy,FuelQuality,
CleanPowerforTransport)andTransportWhitePaper
Driversforchangeinthetransportenergysystem
Vehicletypes
Source:ElementEnergy
- 7. 7
ThedevelopmentoftheInfrastructureRoadmapbenefittedfrominput
fromawiderangeofstakeholders,manyconsultedthroughworkshops
Developuptakescenarios
for%salesofelectricand
ICEvehicles
InputintoElementEnergy
fleetmodel
Outputnumbersof
vehiclesinthefleetand
MJusedperenergyvector
ICEvehicles:diesel,petrol,LPG,gasvehicles
Electricvehicles:Battery(BEV),Plug-inHybrid(PHEV),
Range-Extended(RE-EV)andhydrogenfuelcell(FCEV)
Niche/futurefuelsconsidered:E85,methanol,liquidair
PrepareInfrastructure
Roadmap
Reviewexistingliterature
onrefuellingand
upstreaminfrastructure
Industryconsultation
withLowCVPFuels
workinggroup
ReviewbySteering
Committee
Preparedraftreport
Completefinalreport
Hoststakeholder
workshops
Fourdedicatedfuelworkshopswereconducted
Workshopthemes:electricity,liquidfuels,methane,hydrogen
38attendeesincluded:Infrastructuremanufacturers,installers,
operators,DNOs,energycompanies,fuelsuppliers,OEM/vehicle
suppliers,endusers,localgovernment/regulator
Reportpreparation
Externalinput
Source:ElementEnergy
vkt:vehiclekmtravelled
Seefullreportsfor
furtherdetailsoffuel
uptakescenarios
Scrappagerate,stockandmileageinputsbasedonDfTdata/projections:c.40%increaseinstockand
vktby2050(39millionvehicles,740billionvkt);VehicleefficiencybasedonCommitteeonClimate
Changemodelling
- 12. 12
20152050202020302025
2050202020302025
Solutionstoprovidecertaintyof
accesstohomesw/ooff-streetparking
Charging
infra-
structure
network
3-7kWoff-street
orsharedon-street
Millionsofchargepoints(mostlyresidential)willbeneededtosupport
widespreadEVdeployment,withuncertaintyoverchargingtechnologies
Rolloutofprimarilyconductiverapid(40+kW)chargingpointsinshortterm
Futuretypeandrateswilldependontechnologydevelopments
c.500
Residential
3/7/22kW
Cars/vans
>40kWCP(plugandwireless)
installedwithconcurrenttrialsof
alternativepowerdeliverysystems
Potentialrolloutofalternativepowerdeliverysystemse.g.
dynamicchargingonhighways,batteryswaporoverheadcables
Public
network
Technology
Depot/
workplaces
Cars/vans
Busesand
HGVs
EVrelatedDSR
commercial
arrangements
formalised
300-370k
4-7
million
10-15
million
8-10k
100-
200k
400-550k
4-5k20-25k
Uptoc.£20bnfortransmission
and£30-45bnfordistribution*
*TohandledecarbonisationofthegridanduptakeofEVs,heat
pumpsanddistributedgenerationsuchasPVpanels
c.2,200
Dependanton
BEV/PHEVsplit
andchargingrates
Fullnational
coverage
Cost£20-40m
c.1,100
£130-
230m
Costestimatesarecumulativecostsfrom2015
CP=Chargepoint
£300-
530m
c.10charge
pointspersite
Introducesmartsystemsalongside
conventionalnetworkupgrades
Dashedlinesrepresent
highuncertainty
Majormilestone
/enabler
Investmentinelectricity
networks
(transmission&distribution)
–cumulativefrom2015
Legend
Totalsites
Cars
Vans
HDVs
Thousandvehicles
Projectionsarebasedonpolicy-
leduptakescenariospresented
onpage9
Datasupportedquantificationof
infrastructurerequirements
Infrastructureroadmap
Plug-inelectricvehiclesstock
20,000-
25,000
3,400-
4,000
130
4,000-
8,000
700-
1,300
20
1,500-
2,500
250-
400
10
300
60
<5
Many
sitesbut
variable
offer
Visibleand
accessible
networktoall
drivers
- 13. 13
Avisible,accessibleandreliablepublicchargingnetworkshouldbe
rolledoutforlightvehicles
EnduserexperienceofpublicchargepointsEconomicsofpublicchargepoints
12
Thebusinesscaseforpublicchargepoints
remainschallenging
Recommendations
Centralgov.:Continuefundingprogramandmonitor
progress,embedenduserexperiencecriteriain
supportprograms
LocalAuthorities:supportprogramswherelocal
fleetscanprovideabaseloadtochargepointsthat
canalsobeaccessibletothegeneralpublic;facilitate
exchangebetweenrelevantstakeholders(DNOs,end
user,chargepointoperators)tohelpoptimumsiting;
sharebestpractisefindingswithotherLAs
On-goingtrialprograms:Sharekeylearnings
relevanttobusinesscaseandenduserexperience
(e.g.currentRapidChargingNetworkproject)
Industry:DNOscouldcommunicateareasof
adequatenetworkcapacitytoinfrastructure
developerstoavoidhighconnectioncosts
Currentpublicinfrastructureisfragmentedwithseveral
operatorsofferingvariousaccessconditionsand
variablereportedreliability
Beyondthenumberofchargepoints,anetworkshould
meetsomecriteriatobeusefultoEVdrivers:
−Wellmarketedtodrivers(e.g.clearsigns,uniform
signageacrossthecountry)
−Easytooperate(e.g.multisocketconnections,simple
paymentsystem,etc.)
−Immediatelyaccessible(e.g.PAYG,dynamicbooking
systems,livestatusinformation)
Recommendations
R&D/industry/LAs:Improveandbuildonexisting
networkanddevelopanationalplatformcompatiblewith
multiplevehicletypestoremotelycommunicatewith
publicinfrastructure(e.g.dynamicbooking,simple
paymentsystems,availabilitynotification)andconsider
joiningcrossplatformprojects(e.g.EMi3);embedcriteriain
relevantfundingprograms
Source:ElementEnergy
- 15. 15
Mitigatingtheimpactofelectricvehiclesonthenetworkwillrequire
newtechnologiesandnewcommercialarrangements
Withoutmanagementofthechargingtime,EVscould(whenaddedtoothertechnologiessuchasheatpumps)
requirelargeinvestmentinnewdistributioninfrastructure(substations,cables)andpossiblynewgeneration/
interconnectioncapacity.TheSmartGridForumidentifiedthat‘smart’technicalandcommercialsolutionscould
saveintheorderof£15bnondistributionnetworkreinforcementcostsby2050
DNOswillneedinformationonEVlocationanduptaketoplaninvestmentandsmartsolutionsrolloutaccurately
Researchisneededtounderstandrelativeimpactof3kWvs7kWchargepointdeployments
Althoughlessstudiedbenefitstothegridcouldalsobeavailable:asflexibleloads,rechargingEVscouldprovide
importantgridbalancingservicestomaintaingridfrequency,tomanagesupplyandreducerenewablecurtailment
Recommendations
CentralGov.®ulators:supportDNOstoaccessgeographicallydisaggregatedEVuptakedata;
InstallersandDNOs:improveplatformforcompilingchargepointinstallationnotifications(asstipulatedbyIEC)
Regulators,electricitysuppliersandDNOs:developnewcommercialarrangementsandtariffsrequiredfortheuptake
ofsmartchargingsolutionsandforcustomerengagement[Ofgem’sLowCarbonFundalreadysupportstheseactivities]
On-goingtrialprograms:disseminatefindingsonlocalnetworkmanagementsolutionstoDNOsandrelated
stakeholders
R&Dbodies&DNOs:Investigatenetworkrelatedtopics:charging/demandmanagementtechnologies,Vehicle-2-Grid,
impactonbatterylife,co-locatingenergystoragedeviceswithrapidchargepointstoalleviatestrainonweakgrid
Impactonelectricitynetwork5
Refertothefullreportformoredetailonsmartsolutions
Sourceforquotedcosts:SmartGridForum,AssessingtheImpactofLowCarbonTechnologiesonUKpowerdistribution,2012
- 17. 17
Financialsupportmainly
towardsfleetoperators
Communicatereal-timestationavailabilityandfuelpricedatatoendusers
20152050202020302025
CommercialdeploymentalongkeytruckingroutesWidernationalnetworkexpansionexpectedtobe
fullycommercial
Regulatorybarrierswillbetheprimaryfocusforenablingnaturalgas
infrastructure,whilstanumberoftechnicalissuesmustalsoberesolved
Prioritisehigherpressuregridconnection(2-70bar,LocalTransmissionSystemandIntermediatePressure)
wherepossible.L-CNGstationdeploymentwhereLNGlogisticsaremoreaccessiblethangridconnection
c.370
Network
characteristics
(relevantto
bothpublic
andprivate
infrastructure)
Location
OptimiselogisticsfordeliveryofLNGto
stations,improvingoverallWTWemissions
StrategicdeploymentofnewLNGimportterminalstominimise
deliverydistancetoLNGrefuellingstations
Totalstations
CNG
LNG
c.£340mTotalcost
Access
Continueddevelopmentofcooperativesemi-public
infrastructuresharedbetweenfleets
Greaterfleetuptakeprovidessufficientinvestment
confidenceforlargepublicstationsdeployment
<50800-1,000
c.£1bn
c.130
c.£68m
Dashedlinesrepresent
highuncertainty
Majormilestone
/enabler
EUDirectiveguidancemet:CNGandLNGstationsonTEN-TCore
Network,<150kmand<400kminter-stationdistancerespectively
Multiplesafety
standardsmay
limitLNGstorage
to15-20t
LNGsafetyregulationsmodified
MulticompressorsstationsforCNG
LargerLNGand
CNGstations
Station
capacity
Targetedsupportforlowerthroughputregions
HGVs
<18t
HGVs
>18t
Buses
Thousandvehicles
Projectionsarebasedonpolicy-
leduptakescenariospresented
onpage9
Datasupportedquantificationof
infrastructurerequirements
Naturalgasvehiclestock
105
85
17
26
24
9.7
13
12
5.1
4.0
4.0
2.0
Infrastructureroadmap
2050202020302025
Stationsize
range:2,5,10,
15tonnes/day
Indicativefueleconomy:dualfuelHGV=60kg/day,dedicatedHGV=75kg/day
Costsbasedindustryinput,futurecostreductionsnotincluded
- 18. 18
PlanningguidanceforLocalAuthoritieswillhelpspeedupstation
deploymentswithkeyoutstandingsafetyissuesaddressed
ConsultwithexperiencedLocalAuthorities,
regulators,industryandutilities
PlanningguidanceSafetyissues
12
IssueaCallforEvidencetounderstand
mostcommonlyadoptedstandards
Collate
existing
relevant
standards
Healthandsafetyregulationsand
codesofpracticeonlypartially
addressinfrastructure
requirements
Forexample,naturalgas
infrastructureoperatorshave
identifiedon-sitestorage
allowancesandsafetydistancesto
beincompatiblewithrefuelling
stationdeploymentdueto
regulatorunfamiliaritywiththe
useofnaturalgasasaroadfuel
Recommendations
Regulators:Re-evaluateandconsider
amendmentofexistingstandardsfor
on-sitenaturalgasstorageallowances
andsafetydistances
Anumberofwellinformed,robuststandardshavebeendevelopedto
addresstechnicalissuesassociatedtheinstallationofnaturalgas
refuellingstations
Infrastructureoperatorshaveidentifiedinconsistentinterpretationof
thesestandardsbyLocalAuthoritiestosignificantlydelaystation
installation
Recommendations
CentralGovernment:developplanningguidancedocumenttofacilitate
theuniformimplementationofinfrastructureequipmentstandards
Developguidancedocument
NGVNetwork=NaturalGasVehicleNetwork,aplatformofgasgridoperators,gasandLNGsuppliers,
CNG/LNGstationproviders,gasvehicleOEMsandotherrelatedstakeholders
Crosscuttingrecommendation:CentralGov.,LAsandregulators:EstablishregulardialoguewiththeNGVNetwork,to
addressplanning,safetyandothertechnicalissuesaswellasgetindustryinputonfunding/infrastructurestrategies
- 29. 29
Infrastructuregrowth
entirelymarketdriven
Operatorstrialnichefuelwith
smallnumbersoffleetvehicles
Keyfindingsfromtrialsinform
futureoperatorinvestment
Withapredicteddemanddecreaseforliquidfuels,forecourtsmay
havetointegratenewfuelsand/orreceivesupportincertainlocations
Continuedslowrateofclosuresfromc.8,600stations
Increasedcoexistenceofmulti-fuel
infrastructuretomaximiseutilisation
Public
forecourts
Growingproportionofbunkereddemand
willshifttoutiliseforecourtswithfuelcards
Private
depots
20152050202020302025
Supportmeasuresforsomeareasmightbeneededtomaintainnetwork
c.£250m-£600minvestmentrequiredfor
upgradesandcapacityinstallations
Trialintegrationofmultiple
fuelinfrastructures
Dashedlinesrepresent
highuncertainty
Majormilestone
/enabler
c.2,000c.1,400c.3,000
Nichefuels
Diesel
Integration
E20forecourt
investment
Coverage
PotentialtransitiontoE20would
requireupgradestoexistingforecourts
Dependentonfeasibilityof
multi-fuelintegration
and/orspecificsupport
mechanisms
Publicselling
points
LPG
Depotinfrastructurefullycommercial–growthtofollowdemand
Cars
Vans
HDVs
ThousandvehiclesLiquidfuelvehiclestock
6,000-
31,000
1,000-
5,000
360
32,000
4,300
700
32,000
4,300
700
30,000
4,000
700
By2050carsaremostlyRE-EVs/PHEVs
50-80%
decreasein
fuel
demandon
2015levels
Infrastructureroadmap
2050202020302025
c.2,000
Projectionsarebasedonpolicy-
leduptakescenariospresented
onpage9
Datasupportedquantificationof
infrastructurerequirements
- 41. 41
Mainreferences
RefertotheTechnicalAppendix(issuedseparately)forafulllistofreferences
−Aportfolioofpower-trainsforEurope:afact-basedanalysis,2011
−AEAforDfT,Modes3study,2011
−DECC,EnergyconsumptionintheUK,2014
−DfTpresentationatNGVday,LowCarbonTruckandRefuellingInfrastructureDemonstrationTrialEvaluation,June2014
−DFT,RTFOBiofuelStatistics,2014
−DUKESChapter3,4,5,2015
−ECF,FuellingEurope’sFuture:HowautoinnovationleadstoEUjobs,2013
−Ecofys,UKBiofuelIndustryoverview,2013
−ElementEnergyandE4TechfortheFCHJU,DevelopmentofWaterElectrolysisintheEuropeanUnion,2014
−ElementEnergyforBirminghamCityCouncil,ACityBluePrintforLowCarbonFuelRefuellingInfrastructure,2015
−ElementEnergyforCLNR,Reviewofexistingcommercialarrangementsandemergingbestpractice,2013
−ElementEnergyfortheCommitteeonClimateChange,Infrastructureinalow-carbonenergysystemto2030:Transmissionand
distribution,2013
−ElementEnergy,Ecolaneandal.fortheCommitteeonClimateChange,PathwaystohighpenetrationofEVs,2013
−ERTRAC,EnergyCarriersforPowertrains,2014
−ETI,AnaffordabletransitiontosustainableandsecureenergyforlightvehiclesintheUK,2013
−EuropeanParliamentandCouncil,Directive2009/30/EC,2009
−JRC,WTTanalysisoffutureautomotivefuelsandpowertrainsintheEuropeancontext,2014
−LiquidAirEnergyNetwork,LiquidAirontheHighway,2014
−NationalGrid,FutureEnergyScenarios,2014
−RicardoAEA,AssessmentoftheexistingUKinfrastructurecapacityandvehiclefleetcapabilityfortheuseofbiofuels,2011
−Roads2HycomDeliverable2.1and2.1a,2007
−SmartGridForum,AssessingtheImpactofLowCarbonTechnologiesonUKpowerdistribution,2012
−UKH2MobilityPhase1,publicreport,2013
−UKPIA,StatisticalReview,2014
−UKPNforLowCarbonLondon,Impactandopportunitiesforwide-scaleElectricVehicledeployment,2014