the mobilemarketShane Williamsonshane@mobilemondaysydney.com0414 987 393Twitter: @shanewilliamsonBlog: shanewilliamson.spaces.live.com
mobile worldwide
global telecom services marketiDate “Mobile 2010 - Mobile Markets & Trends, Facts & Figures” http://www.idate.fr
over 4.6 billion active mobile subscriptionsJan 2010
825 million registered automobiles
1.2 billion PCs in use* Includes laptops, netbooks etc.
1.6 billion TV sets in use
1.7 billion internet users
1.8 billion unique holders of credit cards
1.5 Billion1.7 Billion825 Million1.4 Billion1.1 Billion
over a billion new mobiles are sold annually
“We expect to see up to 50 billion connected devices over the next 15 years……”Alex Sinclair, Chief Technology & Strategy Officer GSMA15th February 2010
mobile customers by regioniDate “Mobile 2009 - Mobile Markets & Trends, Facts & Figures” http://www.idate.fr
In 59 countries mobile penetration has exceeded 100%
12 monthsreplacementcycle3.5 years
mobiles vs. fixed lineVs
Vs
top 10 upload devices to flickr2008
top upload devices to flickr2009
mobileaustralia
in australia….13.6 million 3G mobiles17.8 million mobile users24.5 million mobilesubscriptions2.5 millionmobile broadband5.6 million smartphones
in Australia one in five mobile phone users are business users
Mobile email remains the most popular business application mobilised by 53% of  corporate AustraliaSOURCE: TELSYTE Australian Business Mobile Usage & Directions2009 End-User Survey
the smartphone revolution
smartphonevsfeaturephone
Gartner Worldwide Mobile Phone sales 2009global mobile sales 2009
nokiarimappleleading smartphone manufacturersin 2009?
nokiarimapple80M34M24M
leading smartphone operating system in 2009?
80M34M24M15M2009 smartphone operating system market share6M
windows phone 7 series
meet the mid
microsoft“courier”
the mobile ecosystem
PORTALSDEVICE MANUFACTURERSSOFTWARE DEVELOPERSCONTENT AGGRAGATORSCONTENT LICENCEESCONTENT CREATORS
CARRIERSON DECKOFF DECKPORTALSDEVICE MANUFACTURERSSOFTWARE DEVELOPERSCONTENT AGGRAGATORSCONTENT LICENCEESCONTENT CREATORS
mobile phone companies
Average Revenue Per User (ARPU)subscriberschurn
australian mobile customers
australian mobile customers
IMAGEAUDIOTEXTCARRIERSON DECKOFF DECKPORTALSDEVICE MANUFACTURERSSOFTWARE DEVELOPERSCONTENT AGGRAGATORSCONTENT LICENCEESCONTENT CREATORS
DEVICEAGPSCAMERACOMPASSACCELEROMETERSMSMMSVIDEO CALLDATAVOICE CALLHSDPA+3GLTEWIMAXIMAGEBLUETOOTHWiFiAUDIOTEXTCARRIERSON DECKOFF DECKPORTALSDEVICE MANUFACTURERSSOFTWARE DEVELOPERSCONTENT AGGRAGATORSCONTENT LICENCEESCONTENT CREATORS
DEVICE OPERATING SYSTEMDEVICEAGPSCAMERACOMPASSACCELEROMETERSMSMMSVIDEO CALLDATAVOICE CALLHSDPA+3GLTEWIMAXIMAGEBLUETOOTHWiFiAUDIOTEXTCARRIERSON DECKOFF DECKPORTALSDEVICE MANUFACTURERSSOFTWARE DEVELOPERSCONTENT AGGRAGATORSCONTENT LICENCEESCONTENT CREATORS
USER INTERFACEAPPLICATIONSDEVICE OPERATING SYSTEMDEVICEAGPSCAMERACOMPASSACCELEROMETERSMSMMSVIDEO CALLDATAVOICE CALLHSDPA+3GLTEWIMAXIMAGEBLUETOOTHWiFiAUDIOTEXTCARRIERSON DECKOFF DECKPORTALSDEVICE MANUFACTURERSSOFTWARE DEVELOPERSCONTENT AGGRAGATORSCONTENT LICENCEESCONTENT CREATORS
USER INTERFACEAPPLICATIONSDEVICE OPERATING SYSTEMDEVICEAGPSCAMERACOMPASSACCELEROMETERSMSMMSVIDEO CALLDATAVOICE CALLHSDPA+3GLTEWIMAXIMAGEBLUETOOTHWiFiAUDIOTEXTCARRIERSON DECKOFF DECKPORTALSDEVICE MANUFACTURERSSOFTWARE DEVELOPERSCONTENT AGGRAGATORSCONTENT LICENCEESCONTENT CREATORS
device ecosystems
CONVERGENCE
satelliteGPS
Assisted GPS (AGPS)2m to 10m
device based – 2D codes
google goggles?
google goggles(android)
SAMSUNG BEAM(Android)
device based – networkse.g.: bluetooth / wifi
bluepulsewww.bluepulse.com/
“osaifu-keitai”nearfield communications(nfc)
biometrics
digital deposit of cheques with mobile camera
scanning credit cards via mobile  (Squareup)
http://www.tonchidot.com/
Displaying real time digital information on top of reality though the camera of the mobile phone.http://layar.eu/
arhrrrrr
“sixth sense”
“sixth sense”
85% of users find mobiles too difficult
Thank youShane Williamsonshane@mobilemondaysydney.com0414 987 393Twitter: @shanewilliamsonBlog: shanewilliamson.spaces.live.com

The Mobile Industry & Ecosystem (March 2010)

Editor's Notes

  • #3 I’m always fascinatedat how people view mobile… Some with fear and trepidation ,others excitement. others that are mystified
  • #4 Remember that the mobile is a personal experience, not a mass crowd one.
  • #6 IDATE 2010: The world telecom services market is estimated at 1,440 billion USD in 2009 – a 1.7% increase over the year before - and is expected to be worth over 1,481 billion USD in 2010. Telecommunications is a complex suite of communication technologies For decades fixed line telephony has dominated the revenue mix, but since the early 2000s this is being replaced by mobile services In terms of value, fixed telephony’s contribution to the global telecommunications services market has gone from 48% in 2001 to 27% in 2008.Internet -> IP -> 3G
  • #8 2009 Registered Automobiles = 825M
  • #10 2009:1.6B TV Sets in use
  • #13 1.7 people with Credit Cards1.5 Billion TV sets1.4 Internet Users1 Billion PCs in usehttp://www.reuters.com/article/technologyNews/idUSL2324525420080623?feedType=RSS&feedName=technologyNews
  • #14 1.2 Billion mobiles sold in 2009
  • #15 http://www.gsmworld.com/newsroom/press-releases/2010/4635.htm
  • #16 The larger regions of mobile customers greatly influence mobile manufacturersChina & India are the fastest growing mobile markets (#1 & #2)China 747M - http://tmt.interfaxchina.com/news/2579India 350M - http://www.trai.gov.in/WriteReadData/trai/upload/PressReleases/723/pr23feb10no10.pdfCompare to “Did You Know?” 2006 US college graduates 1.3M – India 3.1M – China 3.3M
  • #17 In 59 countries the human subscription penetration for mobile has exceeded 100% per capitaIt’s about critical mass that drives adoption of higher end mobile services.Australia is @ 103%
  • #18 The Seminconductor Industry Association reports that for PCs worldwide the replacement cycle held steady at 42 months (3.5 years) but mobile phone replacement cycle has kept shrinking, reaching thelevel of 18 months in 2006 (SIA 2007).
  • #19 The world has more than three times more mobile cellular subscriptions than fixed telephone lines, and in some countries in Asia and Europe people have more than one contract each, pushing the mobile access rate above 100 percent.
  • #20 In 2004 there was four times as many cameraphones sold than all stand-alone digital cameras combined.Konica Minolta have pulled out of the camera business.Nokia is today the world's most common digital camera brand.
  • #25 SOURCE: TELSYTE Australian Business Mobile Usage & Directions - 2009 End-User Survey
  • #26 Mobile email remains the most popular business application mobilised by corporate Australia. Its penetration has now gone past the half-way mark to reach 53% of companies, a healthy growth of almost 10% points from last year.
  • #29 Smartphones will start outselling Featurephones by 2011.
  • #30 Total of 1.2 Billion mobiles sold in 2009172 Million were Smartphones
  • #35 Apple iPhone has a strong developer followingThis graph shows developers traditional background before they developed for the iPhonehttp://blog.flurry.com/bid/31376/Flurry-Smartphone-Industry-Pulse-February-2010
  • #38 Global smartphone sales to end users in 2009 (Gartner) Feb 20102009 shipmentsTotal of 172M shipments worldwideTop 3 NokiaBlackberryApple
  • #39 Global Market share by mobile operating systemQ2 2009 shipments
  • #40 Gartner Feb 2010 Total of 172 Million
  • #42 http://gigaom.com/2010/03/18/the-mobile-os-market/
  • #43 3G enabled devices - It’s not just about a mobile phone.Kindle 2 HTC Mobile is becoming ubiquitous and converging
  • #44 Mobile Internet DevicesNot smartphone replacements
  • #47 http://blog.flurry.com/bid/31376/Flurry-Smartphone-Industry-Pulse-February-2010Games command 44% of apps tested by apple for use on iPad3% ARE http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/10/03/22/games_command_44_of_apps_tested_by_apple_for_use_with_ipad.html
  • #48 http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/10/03/22/games_command_44_of_apps_tested_by_apple_for_use_with_ipad.html
  • #49 If we see mobile as being part of an ecosystem then we must understand the interdependants
  • #50 Unfortunately some see the mobile ecosystem as something else....
  • #51 Content changes depending on the types of device and their capabilities. Location based services are different depending on the devices and their capabilities.
  • #52 Content changes depending on the types of device and their capabilities. Location based services are different depending on the devices and their capabilities.
  • #53 Mobile carriers are focused on ARPU & subscriber numbersThese to numbers are what drive the monster and everything else is secondaryIf you are looking to interact directly with carriers you must understand what they are focused on to get their attention
  • #55 21M mobile subscribers8.5M 3G customers
  • #56 There will be a negative effect of the merger between 3 & vodafone3 was the innovator and challenger in our market driving down mobile broadband data rates3 introduced 3G to Australia
  • #57 Content changes depending on the types of device and their capabilities. Location based services are different depending on the devices and their capabilities.
  • #58 Content changes depending on the types of device and their capabilities. Location based services are different depending on the devices and their capabilities.
  • #59 Content changes depending on the types of device and their capabilities. Location based services are different depending on the devices and their capabilities.
  • #60 Content changes depending on the types of device and their capabilities. Location based services are different depending on the devices and their capabilities.
  • #61 Content changes depending on the types of device and their capabilities. Location based services are different depending on the devices and their capabilities.
  • #62 Approx 400K devices in AustraliaA fantastic user interfaceBut it is only one of many devices.
  • #64 Things have come along way since the days of the quadrant for locating your position.
  • #65 GPS stands for Global Positioning System Developed by the US military. Each satellite has an atomic clock for accurate time Each GPS satellite transmits data that indicates its location and the current time. All GPS satellites synchronize operations so that these repeating signals are transmitted at the same instant. The signals, moving at the speed of light, arrive at a GPS receiver at slightly different times because some satellites are farther away than others. The distance to the GPS satellites can be determined by estimating the amount of time it takes for their signals to reach the receiver. When the receiver estimates the distance to at least four GPS satellites, it can calculate its position in three dimensions. There are at least 24 operational GPS satellites at all times. The satellites, operated by the U.S. Air Force, orbit with a period of 12 hours. Ground stations are used to precisely track each satellite's orbit.
  • #70 “The battery is drained in about three hours with the projector on“
  • #72 The Bluepulse system enabled people within the Broadway shopping center in Sydney to use their mobile phones to get useful information they want about their surroundings.
  • #73 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FeliCa
  • #74 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jl9uTsjRF6c
  • #75 US Bank USAA was the first to deploy this technology.
  • #77 Microsoft Surface
  • #80 NVIDIA TegraThe Augmented Environments Lab (AEL) is a research group in the GVU Center at the Georgia Institute of Technology.http://www.augmentedenvironments.org/lab/research/handheld-ar/arhrrrr/
  • #81 http://www.ted.com/talks/pattie_maes_demos_the_sixth_sense.htmlPattie Maes' lab at MIT, spearheaded by PranavMistry -- was the buzz of TED. It's a wearable device with a projector that paves the way for profound interaction with our environment. Imagine "Minority Report" and then some.Video2:28 – Begin demo4:04 – dial number demo5:10 – supermarket
  • #83 A 2009 surveyfound that 85% of users reporting they were frustrated by the difficulty of getting a new phone up and working. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/7833944.stm