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Industry Update from D.C.
Dave Osiecki
ATA Executive Vice President &
Chief on National Advocacy
Outline
–Trucking Economic Overview
–Advocacy Overview
• What we’ve done
• What we’re planning to do
–Summary
–Q&A
Trucking Economic Update
Source: U.S. Freight Transportation Forecast to 2025, Eno Foundation, ATA
Trucking’s Importance to the
Economy Has Surged Over the
Decades
Truck
Billions of Tons
Rail
Distribution of Tonnage by Mode: 2013 vs 2025
Source: U.S. Freight Transportation Forecast to 2025
2013 2025
Total Trucking: 69.1%
Total Trucking: 71.4%
Source: ATA
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
For-Hire Truck Tonnage
Index: 2000=100; Seasonally Adjusted
Through December 2014
2012 2013 2014 2015
2.3% 6.3% 3.5% 3.8%
2014 For-Hire Loads/Shipments
Year-Over-Year Percent Change
2.4%
-3.7%
3.5%
1.8%
6.8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Dry Van Flatbed Temp Tank Truck LTL
Source: ATA’s Trucking Activity Report
General Trucking Themes
1. Truck freight volumes were solid in the last three quarters
of 2014.
2. Truckload & LTL industries are adding a little capacity in
recent months, but remain well below all-time highs.
Fleets will continue replacing tractors in 2015 – this year
should be the peak in truck sales with a slight decline in
2016.
3. Revenue per mile is picking up due to improved demand
and limited capacity.
4. Driver shortage is as bad as ever.
5. Fleets continue to see rising costs x fuel, but the decrease
in diesel prices is helping the bottom line near term.
6. Many small fleets were thrown 2 life lines in 2014: Drop in
fuel and surge in spot market rates.
Advocacy Update
Legislative Affairs – 6 Lobbyists, 6
Others = 12 Total; plus 2 firms
Policy & Regulatory Affairs – 9 Policy
Experts, 6 Others = 15 Total
Legal Affairs – 4 Lawyers, 1 Other = 5
Total
Conferences & Councils = 15 Total
Total Advocacy = 47
ATA’s Advocacy Division
ATA’s Capitol Hill Offices
Washington, D.C.
Before
American Trucking Associations
ATA’s Capitol Hill Offices
Washington, D.C.
After
American Trucking Associations
ATA’s View of The Capitol
American Trucking Associations
ATA Advocacy – What Have
We Done
Wins
 Congressional Suspension of HOS Restart Rule
 Tax Credits Extended (bonus depreciation, propane)
 Heavy Vehicle Use Tax
• Removed 10 year $1.3B tax Senate HTF bill
 CSA Fix on Adjudicated Citations
ATA Advocacy – Anatomy of
HOS Victory
 Authorization or Appropriations Strategy? Late 2013 –
Approps strategy selected
 House THUD Strategy; Quickly Pivoted to Senate
THUD – Spring 2014 – Sen. Collins selected as
champion; House Leadership commitment made to
ATA
 Senate Committee THUD Markup – June 2014 – ATA &
Federation worked Committee Rs & Ds; DOT lobbying;
21- 9 Committee Vote in ATA’s Favor!!
ATA Advocacy – Anatomy of
HOS Victory
 NJ Turnpike Crash Involving Tracy Morgan June 2014
– Sen. Collins & ATA under fire in media
 Senate Commerce Committee Hearing July 2014 –
ATA held firm in testimony
 StopGap Federal Funding Bill Oct 1 – Dec 11 Sept
2014
 November Elections – Rs Win Control of Senate
 Omnibus Appropriations Bill in Lame Duck Session
ATA Advocacy – What We’re
Planning To Do
Legislative Affairs
 Stabilize Highway Trust Fund – funding mechanism is
critical
 Pursue Policy Needs in Long Term Highway Bill
• Permanent Fix to HOS Restart
• CSA Fixes
• New Freight Program
• Anti-Tolling Language
• Driver Shortage Help
• Others
ATA Advocacy – What We’re
Planning To Do
Legislative Affairs
 Support Tax Reform
 Simplify
 Balance lower rates and accelerated capital
recovery
 Annual tax extenders/credits permanent
 Support Energy Bill
• Keystone XL
• Rectify LNG/Diesel tax inequity
ATA Advocacy – What We’re
Planning To Do
Regulatory Affairs
 Shape EPA & NHTSA’s Phase II GHG/Fuel Economy
Rule
 Keep ELD Rule on Track
 Favorably Shape CSA Safety Fitness Rule
 One Stop Shop D&A Test Results Clearinghouse
 Others (Driver Training, Insurance Limits, etc)
ATA Advocacy – What I
Haven’t Covered
Legal Affairs
 NY Thruway litigation
 CA Meal Breaks case
 OR IC “leasing” case
Summary
• Supply-Demand balance in trucking’s favor
• HOS and tax extenders wins give ATA advocacy
momentum into 2015
• Legislative priorities are clear…and challenging
• Regulatory pipeline is full (but will slow in 2016)
• Stay Involved; Industry & ATA needs your
involvement
Q & A
dosiecki@trucking.org

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DC Industry Update: Trucking Economic Outlook and Advocacy Priorities

  • 1. Industry Update from D.C. Dave Osiecki ATA Executive Vice President & Chief on National Advocacy
  • 2. Outline –Trucking Economic Overview –Advocacy Overview • What we’ve done • What we’re planning to do –Summary –Q&A
  • 4. Source: U.S. Freight Transportation Forecast to 2025, Eno Foundation, ATA Trucking’s Importance to the Economy Has Surged Over the Decades Truck Billions of Tons Rail
  • 5. Distribution of Tonnage by Mode: 2013 vs 2025 Source: U.S. Freight Transportation Forecast to 2025 2013 2025 Total Trucking: 69.1% Total Trucking: 71.4%
  • 6. Source: ATA 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index: 2000=100; Seasonally Adjusted Through December 2014 2012 2013 2014 2015 2.3% 6.3% 3.5% 3.8%
  • 7. 2014 For-Hire Loads/Shipments Year-Over-Year Percent Change 2.4% -3.7% 3.5% 1.8% 6.8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% Dry Van Flatbed Temp Tank Truck LTL Source: ATA’s Trucking Activity Report
  • 8. General Trucking Themes 1. Truck freight volumes were solid in the last three quarters of 2014. 2. Truckload & LTL industries are adding a little capacity in recent months, but remain well below all-time highs. Fleets will continue replacing tractors in 2015 – this year should be the peak in truck sales with a slight decline in 2016. 3. Revenue per mile is picking up due to improved demand and limited capacity. 4. Driver shortage is as bad as ever. 5. Fleets continue to see rising costs x fuel, but the decrease in diesel prices is helping the bottom line near term. 6. Many small fleets were thrown 2 life lines in 2014: Drop in fuel and surge in spot market rates.
  • 10. Legislative Affairs – 6 Lobbyists, 6 Others = 12 Total; plus 2 firms Policy & Regulatory Affairs – 9 Policy Experts, 6 Others = 15 Total Legal Affairs – 4 Lawyers, 1 Other = 5 Total Conferences & Councils = 15 Total Total Advocacy = 47 ATA’s Advocacy Division
  • 11. ATA’s Capitol Hill Offices Washington, D.C. Before American Trucking Associations
  • 12. ATA’s Capitol Hill Offices Washington, D.C. After American Trucking Associations
  • 13. ATA’s View of The Capitol American Trucking Associations
  • 14. ATA Advocacy – What Have We Done Wins  Congressional Suspension of HOS Restart Rule  Tax Credits Extended (bonus depreciation, propane)  Heavy Vehicle Use Tax • Removed 10 year $1.3B tax Senate HTF bill  CSA Fix on Adjudicated Citations
  • 15. ATA Advocacy – Anatomy of HOS Victory  Authorization or Appropriations Strategy? Late 2013 – Approps strategy selected  House THUD Strategy; Quickly Pivoted to Senate THUD – Spring 2014 – Sen. Collins selected as champion; House Leadership commitment made to ATA  Senate Committee THUD Markup – June 2014 – ATA & Federation worked Committee Rs & Ds; DOT lobbying; 21- 9 Committee Vote in ATA’s Favor!!
  • 16. ATA Advocacy – Anatomy of HOS Victory  NJ Turnpike Crash Involving Tracy Morgan June 2014 – Sen. Collins & ATA under fire in media  Senate Commerce Committee Hearing July 2014 – ATA held firm in testimony  StopGap Federal Funding Bill Oct 1 – Dec 11 Sept 2014  November Elections – Rs Win Control of Senate  Omnibus Appropriations Bill in Lame Duck Session
  • 17. ATA Advocacy – What We’re Planning To Do Legislative Affairs  Stabilize Highway Trust Fund – funding mechanism is critical  Pursue Policy Needs in Long Term Highway Bill • Permanent Fix to HOS Restart • CSA Fixes • New Freight Program • Anti-Tolling Language • Driver Shortage Help • Others
  • 18. ATA Advocacy – What We’re Planning To Do Legislative Affairs  Support Tax Reform  Simplify  Balance lower rates and accelerated capital recovery  Annual tax extenders/credits permanent  Support Energy Bill • Keystone XL • Rectify LNG/Diesel tax inequity
  • 19. ATA Advocacy – What We’re Planning To Do Regulatory Affairs  Shape EPA & NHTSA’s Phase II GHG/Fuel Economy Rule  Keep ELD Rule on Track  Favorably Shape CSA Safety Fitness Rule  One Stop Shop D&A Test Results Clearinghouse  Others (Driver Training, Insurance Limits, etc)
  • 20. ATA Advocacy – What I Haven’t Covered Legal Affairs  NY Thruway litigation  CA Meal Breaks case  OR IC “leasing” case
  • 21. Summary • Supply-Demand balance in trucking’s favor • HOS and tax extenders wins give ATA advocacy momentum into 2015 • Legislative priorities are clear…and challenging • Regulatory pipeline is full (but will slow in 2016) • Stay Involved; Industry & ATA needs your involvement