SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 16
Download to read offline
PERSONAL	FINANCE:	
PORTFOLIO	OPTIMIZATION	
USING	JENSEN’S	
PERFORMANCE	MEASURE	
(That	uses	Least	Squares	Regression)	
Sarang	Ananda	Rao	
anandasg@mail.uc.edu	
NOTE	
The	following	project	uses	confidential	data	and	plenty	of	independent	research.	
Please	seek	permission	of	author	before	sharing/reuse
PERSONAL	FINANCE:	PORTFOLIO	OPTIMIZATION	USING	JENSEN’s	
PERFORMANCE	MEASURE	(that	uses	Least	Squares	Regression)	
NOTE:	The	following	project	uses	confidential	data	and	plenty	of	independent	research.	The	
data	has	been	sanitized	and	therefore	dummy	variable	names	and	data	are	used.	
	
INTRODUCTION:	
The	project	uses	Linear	Optimization	and	Jensen’s	Performance	Measure	(Alpha)	to	evaluate	the	
performance	of	equities	(and	risk	computation)	compared	to	benchmarks	(such	as	S&P	500	and	
Treasury	Bills)	over	time.	
	
LITERATURE:	
JENSEN’s	PERFORMANCE	MEASURE	(ALPHA)	[1]
	
Jensen	measure	(alpha)	uses	least	squares	regression	to	calculate	risk-premium	for	an	asset’s	
return	and	market	return.	A	positive	alpha	means	that	the	asset	performed	better	than	the	
benchmark	(example:	S&P	500,	Treasury	Bills)	in	risk-adjusted	terms.	If	alpha	is	zero,	the	returns	
between	asset	and	benchmark.	
Jensen’s	formula:	(ri	–	rf)	=	a	+	b	(rm	–	rf)	
Where	
(ri	–	rf)	is	risk	premium	for	asset	i	
rf	is	the	risk	free	rate	(For	example	treasury	bills,	in	this	project	the	average	annual	return	of	a	
fixed	deposit	from	a	trustworthy	bank	is	taken	as	risk	free	rate)	
rm	is	the	market	return	(in	this	project	an	index	such	as	S&P	500	or	SENSEX	is	taken	as	market	
return)	
rf	is	return	on	asset	i	
b	is	beta	co-efficient	
a	is	Jensen’s	Performance	Measure	(alpha)
By	adjustment,	i.e.	dividing	each	asset’s	alpha	by	beta	co-efficient	(a/b),	Jensen’s	Alpha	can	be	
used	to	rank	the	performance	of	an	asset	relative	to	other	assets.	
For	the	linear	regression	analysis,		
Y	variable	is	(ri	–	rf)	
X	variable	is	(rm	–	rf)	
	
	
DEFINITIONS:	
Table	1:	Market	Capitalization	Definitions	
Market	Cap:	 	
Lower	Limit	 Upper	Limit	 Market	Cap	
(in	crores)	 (in	crores)	 		
$0.00	 $4,999.00	 Small	Cap	
$5,000.00	 $20,000.00	 Mid	Cap	
$20,001.00	 $350,000.00	 Large	Cap	
	
Grades:	
Through	 independent	 research,	 equities	 are	 graded	 into	 A,	 B	 &	 C,	 which	 represent	 likelihood	 of	
purchase.	For	example,	Grade	A	equities	are	equities	that	the	investor	is	more	likely	to	purchase	than	
Grade	B	(and	finally	Grade	C)	Equities.	
	
Average	3	Year	Return:	
The	average	return	(mean	of	annual	returns)	of	an	equity	in	the	last	3	years	2012-15	(Year	on	Year)	
	
Expected	Returns:	
Total	One	Year	expected	returns	for	a	particular	equity
Data	Preparation:	
A	sample	of	34	equities	from	18	industries	were	shortlisted	through	independent	research	for	
the	project.	The	18	industries	used	in	the	project	are:	
Table	2:	Industries	considered	
1	 Appliances	
2	 Automotive	
3	 Banking	
4	 Batteries	
5	 Conglomerate	
6	 Cookery	
7	 Courier	
8	 Energy	
9	 Fertilizers	
10	 FMCG	
11	 Food	Processing	
12	 IT	
13	 Media	
14	 Metals	
15	 Personal	Care	
16	 Pharmaceuticals	
17	 Textiles	
18	 Theatres	
	
Data	 for	 the	 equities	 such	 as	 Grades	 (calculated	 through	 independent	 research),	 Market	
Capitalization	 (Market	 Cap)	 and	 5	 year	 stock	 price	 data	 (first	 2	 weeks	 of	 November)	 were	
collected	from	reliable	financial	sources	(such	as	Google	Finance).		
	ASSUMPTION:	
Since	we	are	interested	in	long	term	risk	measure	for	the	equities,	it	is	assumed	that	stock	price	
does	not	fluctuate	much	in	the	first	2	weeks	of	November	and	therefore	stock	price	during	any	
day	in	first	2	weeks	of	November	is	considered	for	ease	of	data	collection	(since	over	a	long	term	
such	as	5	years,	fluctuation	in	stock	price	over	2	weeks	is	insignificant).		
In	this	project,	the	value	of	SENSEX	(over	a	5	year	time	period)	is	considered	the	market	return	
(Rm)	and	the	value	of	interest	rate	from	fixed	deposits	through	a	national	bank	is	considered	as	
a	risk	free	return	(Rf).
Table	3:	Sample	of	stock	price	over	5	year	period	(Refer	worksheet	“5	Year	Data_Calculations”	for	
complete	data	
Equities	-	Stock	Price	during	2011-15	
	(Values	adjusted	to	splits)	
1st	Week	November	 2015	 2014	 2013	 2012	 2011	
SENSEX	 $26,265.24	 $27,868.63	 $21,196.81	 $18,683.68	 $17,562.61	
Equity	21	 $284.25	 $298.50	 $113.85	 $83.95	 $102.40	
Equity	4	 $87.80	 $47.50	 $16.75	 $24.25	 $27.90	
Equity	12	 $7,470.00	 $6,521.70	 $2,800.00	 $1,709.60	 $1,575.00	
Equity	23	 $170.00	 $220.25	 $148.50	 $233.00	 $226.50	
Equity	3	 $16,582.00	 $12,671.00	 $3,999.00	 $2,390.00	 $1,732.00	
	
For	computing	the	return	of	assets	(Ri),	a	four	year	YoY	(Year	on	Year)	growth	is	calculated.	The	
Y	&	X	variables	for	linear	regression	are	calculated	using	the	above	metrics	(Ri,	Rm,	Rf).	An	
average	3-year	return	is	computed	from	the	four	year	YoYs.	
Linear	Regression	Analysis:	
To	calculate	the	Jensen’s	Performance	co-efficient	for	an	equity,	a	linear	regression	is	run	with		
Y	variable	(ri	–	rf)	
X	variable	(rm	–	rf)	
Table	4:	Regression	Output	for	Equity	21	
Regression	Using	Data	Analysis	Toolpak	 	
Equity	 	
Equity	21	 	
X	 Y	 	
-14.0%	 -13.0%	 	
23.3%	 154.0%	 	
5.3%	 27.4%	 	
-1.8%	 -26.2%	 	
SUMMARY	
OUTPUT	 	
Regression	Statistics	 	
Multiple	R	 0.912964	 	
R	Square	 0.833504
Adjusted	R	
Square	 0.750256	 	
Standard	Error	 0.410716	 	
Observations	 4	 	
ANOVA	 	
		 df	 SS	 MS	 F	
Significance	
F	 	
Regression	 1	 1.688954	 1.688954	 10.0123	 0.087036	 	
Residual	 2	 0.337376	 0.168688	 	
Total	 3	 2.02633	 		 		 		 	
		 Coefficients	
Standard	
Error	 t	Stat	 P-value	 Lower	95%	
Upper	
95%	
Lower	
95.0%	
Uppe
95.0%
Intercept	 0.201779	 0.211028	 0.956171	 0.439893	 -0.7062	 1.109761	 -0.7062	 1.1097
X	 4.821131	 1.523639	 3.164222	 0.087036	 -1.73456	 11.37682	 -1.73456	 11.376
	
R2
	is	a	measure	of	fit	of	the	line	and	has	values	between	0	and	1.	Higher	R2
	means	better	fit	of	the	line.	
Here,	the	value	of	R2
	is	0.83,	which	is	quite	high,	which	means	the	curve	has	a	better	fit.	
For	this	analysis,	we	are	only	interested	in	the	values	of	slopes	and	intercept	(and	not	checking	p-value	
for	statistical	significance	or	value	of	R2
).		
The	regression	equation	is	(ri	–	rf)	=	a	+	b	(rm	–	rf)	
In	our	case,	(ri	–	rf)	=	0.2018	+	4.8211	(rm	–	rf)	
The	process	is	repeated	for	all	the	34	equities	and	the	values	of	Jensen’s	Performance	Measure	
as	well	as	the	Performance	Ratio	is	calculated	as	shown	below:	
Table	5:	Jensen’s	Performance	Measure	Calculation.	Refer	Excel	worksheet	“Regression”	for	complete	
analysis	
		 Y	 	 Performance	Measure	
		 Ri	-	Rf	 	
Jensen's	
alpha	
Jensen's	
beta	
Jensen's	
Ratio	
Equities	 2015	 2014	 2013	 2012	 	 Slope	 Y-Intercept	 alpha/beta	
Equity	21	 -13.0%	 154.0%	 27.4%	 -26.2%	 	 4.8211	 0.2018	 23.89308089	
Equity	4	 76.6%	 175.4%	 -39.1%	 -21.3%	 	 3.0756	 0.3810	 8.07337654	
Equity	12	 6.3%	 124.7%	 55.6%	 0.3%	 	 3.4533	 0.3573	 9.664072978	
Equity	23	 -31.0%	 40.1%	 -44.5%	 -5.3%	 	 1.7512	 -0.1576	
-
11.11264576	
Equity	3	 22.7%	 208.7%	 59.1%	 29.8%	 	 5.1956	 0.6349	 8.183522593
Using	Jensen’s	Performance	Ratio,	the	equities	are	ranked	from	1-34	(higher	the	ratio,	lesser	rank).	A	
lesser	rank	equity	has	performed	better	than	a	higher	ranked	equity	because	it	has	yielded	better	
returns	compared	to	market	(Rm)	as	well	as	risk-free	returns	(Rf).		
FINAL	DATA:	
Table	6:	Final	Data	(Refer	“Equities”	for	complete	dataset)	
	
	
OPTIMIZATION:	
We	have	a	limited	investment	fund	for	investing	in	equities	and	we	want	to	maximize	returns	from	our	
investment.	The	equities	are	diverse	(18	industries)	and	our	best	bet	would	be	to	diversify	our	investments	
into	different	sectors	and	not	allocate	all	our	funds	into	a	single	equity.	This	leads	us	to	several	constraints.	
In	our	portfolio	optimization	model,	
Objective	Function:	Maximize	returns	(over	a	one	year	time	period)	by	investing	in	equities	
Decision	Variables:		Amount	(Investment)	to	be	allocated	in	each	asset/equity	
Constraints:	
1. Non-negativity	constraint:	All	investments	made	in	equities	need	to	be	non-negative	
2. Equity	constraint:	No	asset	should	be	more	than	30%	of	the	portfolio	
3. Total	investment	constraint:	Total	investment(sum	of	investments	made	in	all	equities)	should	
be	less	than	or	equal	to	the	funds	available	
4. Industry	constraint:	For	diversifying	the	portfolio,	investments	in	each	industry	have	an	upper	
and	lower	limit	
Table	7:	Industry	constraint	
Industry	
Lower	
Limit	
Upper	
Limit	
Appliances	 1%	 20%	
Automotive	 1%	 40%	
Banking	 0%	 30%	
Batteries	 1%	 40%	
Conglomerate	 5%	 30%	
Cookery	 0%	 20%	
Courier	 0%	 10%
Energy	 5%	 40%	
FMCG	 5%	 30%	
Food	Processing	 0%	 20%	
IT	 0%	 40%	
Personal	Care	 0%	 20%	
Pharmaceuticals	 5%	 30%	
Textiles	 1%	 25%	
Theatres	 0%	 10%	
	
5. Market	Cap	Constraint:	In	order	to	diversify,	equities	should	be	allocated	by	all	the	3	types	of	
market	cap	subject	to	constraints:	
	
Table	8:	Market	Cap	constraint	
		 Lower	Limit	 Upper	Limit	
Large	Cap	 10%	 100%	
Medium	Cap	 0%	 50%	
Small	Cap	 0%	 40%	
	
6. Jensen’s	Alpha	Constraint:	Applies	to	only	B	&	C	Grade	Equities:	Choose	Equities	with	positive	
Jensen's	Alpha	
7. Jensen’s	Ratio	Constraint:	Applies	to	only	B	&	C	Grade	Equities:	Choose	Equities	with	Jensen's	
Performance	Rank<=25	
	
Constraints	6	&	7	are	computed	by	filtering	data	instead	of	using	constraints	in	model	because	of	limitation	
in	number	of	constraints	in	Solver	(limit	of	200	variables)	and	scaling	issues	in	Premium	Solver(in	spite	of	
Automatic	scaling).	
	
The	objective	function,	decision	variables	and	constraints	are	entered	in	the	Solver	parameters	dialog	box	
(as	shown	below).	The	solving	method	used	is	“Simplex	LP”	since	the	problem	is	a	linear	optimization	
problem.	We	need	to	check	the	box	“Make	unconstrained	variables	Non-Negative”	to	include	the	non-
negativity	constraint.
Once	we	click	the	“Solve”	button,	we	get	the	Optimal	solution	for	this	problem.
Understanding	Sensitivity	Report:	
Table	9:	Decision	Variable	Cells	
		 		 Final	 Reduced	 Objective	 Allowable	 Allowable	
Cell	 Name	 Value	 Cost	 Coefficient	 Increase	 Decrease	
$F$10	 Equity	1	Investment	 1000	 0	 1.341654303	 0.362477516	 1E+30	
$F$11	 Equity	2	Investment	 0	
-
0.364171905	 1.427482628	 0.364171905	 1E+30	
$F$12	 Equity	3	Investment	 30000	 0	 2.050140486	 1E+30	 0.258485953	
$F$13	 Equity	4	Investment	 10000	 0	 1.791654533	 0.258485953	 0.087522713	
$F$14	 Equity	5	Investment	 0	 -0.66387386	 1.127780672	 0.66387386	 1E+30	
$F$15	 Equity	6	Investment	 0	
-
0.608528372	 1.18312616	 0.608528372	 1E+30	
$F$16	 Equity	7	Investment	 0	 0	 1.200120467	 0.504011352	 1E+30	
$F$17	 Equity	8	Investment	 30000	 0	 2.995218483	 1E+30	 1.291086664	
$F$18	 Equity	9	Investment	 5000	 0	 1.253801048	 0.450330772	 1E+30	
$F$19	 Equity	10	Investment	 0	 0	 1.143638805	 0.560493014	 0.078954092	
$F$20	 Equity	11	Investment	 0	
-
0.078954092	 1.064684713	 0.078954092	 1E+30	
$F$21	 Equity	12	Investment	 8000	 0	 1.704131819	 0.087522713	 0.060699628	
$F$22	 Equity	13	Investment	 5000	 0	 1.201004732	 0.503127087	 1E+30	
$F$23	 Equity	14	Investment	 0	
-
0.081486472	 1.067733049	 0.081486472	 1E+30	
$F$24	 Equity	15	Investment	 5000	 0	 1.149219521	 0.554912299	 0.081486472	
$F$25	 Equity	16	Investment	 0	 0	 1.372798676	 0.331333144	 1E+30	
$F$26	 Equity	17	Investment	 0	
-
0.125296976	 1.246783057	 0.125296976	 1E+30	
$F$27	 Equity	18	Investment	 0	 0	 1.372080033	 0.332051787	 0.125296976	
$F$28	 Equity	19	Investment	 0	 0	 1.328606867	 0.375524952	 1E+30	
$F$29	 Equity	20	Investment	 5000	 0	 1.368759266	 0.335372553	 1E+30	
$F$30	 Equity	21	Investment	 1000	 0	 1.643432191	 0.060699628	 1E+30	
$F$31	 Equity	22	Investment	 0	 0	 1.638216929	 0.065914891	 1E+30	
	
The	reduced	cost	tells	us	how	much	the	objective	co-efficient	needs	to	be	reduced	in	order	for	a	non-
negative	variable	that	is	zero	in	the	optimal	solution	to	become	positive.	Since	Equity	1	is	already	present	
in	the	model,	the	reduced	cost	is	zero.	However,	the	reduced	cost	for	Equity	2	is	0.3642	i.e.	the	objective	
function	of	Equity	2	has	to	increase	from	1.42	to	1.78	if	investment	is	to	be	made	in	Equity	2	(i.e	final	value	
to	be	positive).
Table	10:	Constraints	
		 		 Final	 Shadow	 Constraint	 Allowable	 Allowable	
Cell	 Name	 Value	 Price	 R.H.	Side	 Increase	 Decrease	
$F$34	 Total	Investment	Investment	 $100,000.00		 1.704131819	 100000	 2000	 8000	
$U$10	 Appliances	%	of	Portfolio	 0.01	 0	 0.2	 1E+30	 0.19	
$U$11	 Automotive	%	of	Portfolio	 0.4	 8752.271324	 0.4	 0.08	 0.02	
$U$12	 Banking	%	of	Portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$U$13	 Batteries	%	of	Portfolio	 0.3	 0	 0.4	 1E+30	 0.1	
$U$14	 Conglomerate	%	of	Portfolio	 0.05	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.25	
$U$15	 Cookery	%	of	Portfolio	 0	 0	 0.2	 1E+30	 0.2	
$U$16	 Courier	%	of	Portfolio	 0.08	 0	 0.1	 1E+30	 0.02	
$U$17	 Energy	%	of	Portfolio	 0.05	 0	 0.4	 1E+30	 0.35	
$U$18	 FMCG	%	of	Portfolio	 0.05	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.25	
$U$19	 Food	Processing	%	of	Portfolio	 0	 0	 0.2	 1E+30	 0.2	
$U$20	 IT	%	of	Portfolio	 0	 0	 0.4	 1E+30	 0.4	
$U$21	 Personal	Care	%	of	Portfolio	 0	 0	 0.2	 1E+30	 0.2	
$U$22	 Pharmaceuticals	%	of	Portfolio	 0.05	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.25	
$U$23	 Textiles	%	of	Portfolio	 0.01	 0	 0.25	 1E+30	 0.24	
$U$24	 Theatres	%	of	Portfolio	 0	 0	 0.1	 1E+30	 0.1	
$U$10	 Appliances	%	of	Portfolio	 0.01	
-
36247.75165	 0.01	 0.08	 0.01	
$U$11	 Automotive	%	of	Portfolio	 0.4	 0	 0.01	 0.39	 1E+30	
$U$12	 Banking	%	of	Portfolio	 0	 -50401.1352	 0	 0.08	 0	
$U$13	 Batteries	%	of	Portfolio	 0.3	 0	 0.01	 0.29	 1E+30	
$U$14	 Conglomerate	%	of	Portfolio	 0.05	
-
45033.07718	 0.05	 0.08	 0.02	
$U$15	 Cookery	%	of	Portfolio	 0	
-
56049.30143	 0	 0.08	 0	
$U$16	 Courier	%	of	Portfolio	 0.08	 0	 0	 0.08	 1E+30	
$U$17	 Energy	%	of	Portfolio	 0.05	
-
50312.70873	 0.05	 0.08	 0.02	
$U$18	 FMCG	%	of	Portfolio	 0.05	
-
55491.22986	 0.05	 0.08	 0.02	
$U$19	 Food	Processing	%	of	Portfolio	 0	
-
33133.31438	 0	 0.08	 0	
$U$20	 IT	%	of	Portfolio	 0	
-
33205.17865	 0	 0.08	 0	
$U$21	 Personal	Care	%	of	Portfolio	 0	
-
37552.49519	 0	 0.08	 0	
$U$22	 Pharmaceuticals	%	of	Portfolio	 0.05	 -33537.2553	 0.05	 0.08	 0.02	
$U$23	 Textiles	%	of	Portfolio	 0.01	
-
6069.962836	 0.01	 0.08	 0.01
$U$24	 Theatres	%	of	Portfolio	 0	
-
6591.489051	 0	 0.08	 0	
$I$10	 Equity	1	%	of	portfolio	 0.01	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.29	
$I$11	 Equity	2	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$12	 Equity	3	%	of	portfolio	 0.3	 25848.59532	 0.3	 0.1	 0.2	
$I$13	 Equity	4	%	of	portfolio	 0.1	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.2	
$I$14	 Equity	5	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$15	 Equity	6	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$16	 Equity	7	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$17	 Equity	8	%	of	portfolio	 0.3	 129108.6664	 0.3	 0.08	 0.02	
$I$18	 Equity	9	%	of	portfolio	 0.05	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.25	
$I$19	 Equity	10	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$20	 Equity	11	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$21	 Equity	12	%	of	portfolio	 0.08	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.22	
$I$22	 Equity	13	%	of	portfolio	 0.05	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.25	
$I$23	 Equity	14	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$24	 Equity	15	%	of	portfolio	 0.05	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.25	
$I$25	 Equity	16	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$26	 Equity	17	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$27	 Equity	18	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$28	 Equity	19	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$I$29	 Equity	20	%	of	portfolio	 0.05	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.25	
$I$30	 Equity	21	%	of	portfolio	 0.01	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.29	
$I$31	 Equity	22	%	of	portfolio	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	 0.3	
$U$32	 Large	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 0.55	 0	 1	 1E+30	 0.45	
$U$33	 Mid	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 0.15	 0	 0.5	 1E+30	 0.35	
$U$34	 Small	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 0.3	 0	 0.4	 1E+30	 0.1	
$U$32	 Large	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 0.55	 0	 0.1	 0.45	 1E+30	
$U$33	 Mid	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 0.15	 0	 0	 0.15	 1E+30	
$U$34	 Small	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 0.3	 0	 0	 0.3	 1E+30	
	
The	shadow	price	tells	how	much	the	value	of	the	objective	function	will	change	as	the	right	hand	side	of	
the	constraint	is	increased	by	1.	For	example,	if	we	consider	the	total	investment	constraint,	the	RHS	of	
constraint	is	$100,000.	If	we	increase	the	total	funds	by	$1,	our	objective	function	will	increase	by	1.704	
i.e.	our	returns	will	increase	by	$1.704.	However,	the	allowable	increase	for	the	RHS	is	$2000	for	our	
optimal	solution	to	be	the	same.	If	we	increase	the	total	funds	by	$2001,	then	we	need	to	resolve	the	
model	to	get	the	optimal	solution.
Table	11:	Binding	Constraints	
	
Cell	 Name	 Cell	Value	 Formula	 Status	
$F$34	 Total	Investment	Investment	 $100,000.00	 $F$34<=$F$36	 Binding	
$U$10	 Appliances	%	of	Portfolio	 1.0%	 $U$10<=$W$10	
Not	
Binding	
$U$11	 Automotive	%	of	Portfolio	 40.0%	 $U$11<=$W$11	 Binding	
$U$12	 Banking	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$12<=$W$12	
Not	
Binding	
$U$13	 Batteries	%	of	Portfolio	 30.0%	 $U$13<=$W$13	
Not	
Binding	
$U$14	 Conglomerate	%	of	Portfolio	 5.0%	 $U$14<=$W$14	
Not	
Binding	
$U$15	 Cookery	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$15<=$W$15	
Not	
Binding	
$U$16	 Courier	%	of	Portfolio	 8.0%	 $U$16<=$W$16	
Not	
Binding	
$U$17	 Energy	%	of	Portfolio	 5.0%	 $U$17<=$W$17	
Not	
Binding	
$U$18	 FMCG	%	of	Portfolio	 5.0%	 $U$18<=$W$18	
Not	
Binding	
$U$19	 Food	Processing	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$19<=$W$19	
Not	
Binding	
$U$20	 IT	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$20<=$W$20	
Not	
Binding	
$U$21	 Personal	Care	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$21<=$W$21	
Not	
Binding	
$U$22	 Pharmaceuticals	%	of	Portfolio	 5.0%	 $U$22<=$W$22	
Not	
Binding	
$U$23	 Textiles	%	of	Portfolio	 1.0%	 $U$23<=$W$23	
Not	
Binding	
$U$24	 Theatres	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$24<=$W$24	
Not	
Binding	
$U$10	 Appliances	%	of	Portfolio	 1.0%	 $U$10>=$V$10	 Binding	
$U$11	 Automotive	%	of	Portfolio	 40.0%	 $U$11>=$V$11	
Not	
Binding	
$U$12	 Banking	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$12>=$V$12	 Binding	
$U$13	 Batteries	%	of	Portfolio	 30.0%	 $U$13>=$V$13	
Not	
Binding	
$U$14	 Conglomerate	%	of	Portfolio	 5.0%	 $U$14>=$V$14	 Binding	
$U$15	 Cookery	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$15>=$V$15	 Binding	
$U$16	 Courier	%	of	Portfolio	 8.0%	 $U$16>=$V$16	
Not	
Binding	
$U$17	 Energy	%	of	Portfolio	 5.0%	 $U$17>=$V$17	 Binding
$U$18	 FMCG	%	of	Portfolio	 5.0%	 $U$18>=$V$18	 Binding	
$U$19	 Food	Processing	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$19>=$V$19	 Binding	
$U$20	 IT	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$20>=$V$20	 Binding	
$U$21	 Personal	Care	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$21>=$V$21	 Binding	
$U$22	 Pharmaceuticals	%	of	Portfolio	 5.0%	 $U$22>=$V$22	 Binding	
$U$23	 Textiles	%	of	Portfolio	 1.0%	 $U$23>=$V$23	 Binding	
$U$24	 Theatres	%	of	Portfolio	 0.0%	 $U$24>=$V$24	 Binding	
$I$10	 Equity	1	%	of	portfolio	 1.00%	 $I$10<=$K$10	
Not	
Binding	
$I$11	 Equity	2	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$11<=$K$11	
Not	
Binding	
$I$12	 Equity	3	%	of	portfolio	 30.00%	 $I$12<=$K$12	 Binding	
$I$13	 Equity	4	%	of	portfolio	 10.00%	 $I$13<=$K$13	
Not	
Binding	
$I$14	 Equity	5	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$14<=$K$14	
Not	
Binding	
$I$15	 Equity	6	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$15<=$K$15	
Not	
Binding	
$I$16	 Equity	7	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$16<=$K$16	
Not	
Binding	
$I$17	 Equity	8	%	of	portfolio	 30.00%	 $I$17<=$K$17	 Binding	
$I$18	 Equity	9	%	of	portfolio	 5.00%	 $I$18<=$K$18	
Not	
Binding	
$I$19	 Equity	10	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$19<=$K$19	
Not	
Binding	
$I$20	 Equity	11	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$20<=$K$20	
Not	
Binding	
$I$21	 Equity	12	%	of	portfolio	 8.00%	 $I$21<=$K$21	
Not	
Binding	
$I$22	 Equity	13	%	of	portfolio	 5.00%	 $I$22<=$K$22	
Not	
Binding	
$I$23	 Equity	14	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$23<=$K$23	
Not	
Binding	
$I$24	 Equity	15	%	of	portfolio	 5.00%	 $I$24<=$K$24	
Not	
Binding	
$I$25	 Equity	16	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$25<=$K$25	
Not	
Binding	
$I$26	 Equity	17	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$26<=$K$26	
Not	
Binding	
$I$27	 Equity	18	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$27<=$K$27	
Not	
Binding	
$I$28	 Equity	19	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$28<=$K$28	
Not	
Binding	
$I$29	 Equity	20	%	of	portfolio	 5.00%	 $I$29<=$K$29	
Not	
Binding
$I$30	 Equity	21	%	of	portfolio	 1.00%	 $I$30<=$K$30	
Not	
Binding	
$I$31	 Equity	22	%	of	portfolio	 0.00%	 $I$31<=$K$31	
Not	
Binding	
$U$32	 Large	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 55.0%	 $U$32<=$W$32	
Not	
Binding	
$U$33	 Mid	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 15.0%	 $U$33<=$W$33	
Not	
Binding	
$U$34	 Small	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 30.0%	 $U$34<=$W$34	
Not	
Binding	
$U$32	 Large	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 55.0%	 $U$32>=$V$32	
Not	
Binding	
$U$33	 Mid	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 15.0%	 $U$33>=$V$33	
Not	
Binding	
$U$34	 Small	Cap	%	of	portfolio	 30.0%	 $U$34>=$V$34	
Not	
Binding	
	
When	 the	 LHS	 of	 constraint	 is	 equal	 to	 RHS,	 the	 constraint	 in	 binding.	 In	 our	 example	 in	 the	 total	
investment	constraint,	we	utilize	all	the	allocated	funds.	Therefore,	the	LHS	of	the	constraint	is	equal	to	
the	RHS	of	the	constraint	and	the	constraint	is	binding.	In	the	Small	Cap	%	of	portfolio	constraint,	we	
require	at	max	40%	of	our	portfolio	to	be	small	cap.	However,	our	allocation	is	only	30%	which	means	LHS	
is	not	equal	to	RHS	and	therefore	the	constraint	is	not	binding.	
	
Table	12:	Slack	for	constraints	
	
	
	
	
Slack	is	the	difference	between	the	LHS	and	RHS	of	constraint.	For	example,	in	Appliances	%	of	portfolio	
constraint,	we	have	at	max	20%	as	the	RHS	of	the	constraint.	However,	our	allocation	in	Appliances	in	only	
1%,	which	means	that	there	is	a	slack	of	19%.
CONCLUSION:		
Our	optimal	solution	from	the	model	after	applying	Linear	Optimization	is:	
Equity	 	Investment		 Average	3	Year	Return	
Expected	Returns	
(After	one	year)	
%	of	
portfolio	
Equity	1	 $1,000.00	 34.17%	 $1,341.65	 1.00%	
Equity	2	 $0.00	 42.75%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	3	 $30,000.00	 105.01%	 $61,504.21	 30.00%	
Equity	4	 $10,000.00	 79.17%	 $17,916.55	 10.00%	
Equity	5	 $0.00	 12.78%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	6	 $0.00	 18.31%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	7	 $0.00	 20.01%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	8	 $30,000.00	 199.52%	 $89,856.55	 30.00%	
Equity	9	 $5,000.00	 25.38%	 $6,269.01	 5.00%	
Equity	10	 $0.00	 14.36%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	11	 $0.00	 6.47%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	12	 $8,000.00	 70.41%	 $13,633.05	 8.00%	
Equity	13	 $5,000.00	 20.10%	 $6,005.02	 5.00%	
Equity	14	 $0.00	 6.77%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	15	 $5,000.00	 14.92%	 $5,746.10	 5.00%	
Equity	16	 $0.00	 37.28%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	17	 $0.00	 24.68%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	18	 $0.00	 37.21%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	19	 $0.00	 32.86%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
Equity	20	 $5,000.00	 36.88%	 $6,843.80	 5.00%	
Equity	21	 $1,000.00	 64.34%	 $1,643.43	 1.00%	
Equity	22	 $0.00	 63.82%	 $0.00	 0.00%	
	
Total	Investment	 $100,000.00	 Total	Expected	Returns	 $210,759.38	 	
	<=		 	
$100,000.00	 	
	(Max.	Investment)		 	
	
As	we	can	observe,	we	allocated	funds	worth	$100,000	and	after	adopting	Linear	Optimization	and	using	
Jensen’s	Performance	Measure,	our	Expected	returns	in	one	year	is	$210,759.38	which	is	a	111%	increase.	
Reference:	
[1]	Jenson’s	Performance	Measure	p148-150,	“101	Investment	Tools	for	Buying	Low	and	Selling	High”,	Jae	
K.	Shim	and	Jonathan	Lansner,	2001

More Related Content

What's hot

Time Series Analysis - 2 | Time Series in R | ARIMA Model Forecasting | Data ...
Time Series Analysis - 2 | Time Series in R | ARIMA Model Forecasting | Data ...Time Series Analysis - 2 | Time Series in R | ARIMA Model Forecasting | Data ...
Time Series Analysis - 2 | Time Series in R | ARIMA Model Forecasting | Data ...Simplilearn
 
Time series modelling arima-arch
Time series modelling  arima-archTime series modelling  arima-arch
Time series modelling arima-archjeevan solaskar
 

What's hot (7)

Logistic regression
Logistic regressionLogistic regression
Logistic regression
 
Time Series Analysis - 2 | Time Series in R | ARIMA Model Forecasting | Data ...
Time Series Analysis - 2 | Time Series in R | ARIMA Model Forecasting | Data ...Time Series Analysis - 2 | Time Series in R | ARIMA Model Forecasting | Data ...
Time Series Analysis - 2 | Time Series in R | ARIMA Model Forecasting | Data ...
 
Building the Professional of 2020: An Approach to Business Change Process Int...
Building the Professional of 2020: An Approach to Business Change Process Int...Building the Professional of 2020: An Approach to Business Change Process Int...
Building the Professional of 2020: An Approach to Business Change Process Int...
 
Indexnumbers
IndexnumbersIndexnumbers
Indexnumbers
 
Time series modelling arima-arch
Time series modelling  arima-archTime series modelling  arima-arch
Time series modelling arima-arch
 
Presentation
PresentationPresentation
Presentation
 
Time series
Time seriesTime series
Time series
 

Viewers also liked

Reflection on my progress in a2 media
Reflection on my progress in a2 mediaReflection on my progress in a2 media
Reflection on my progress in a2 mediamediaworkkk
 
الأسلحة النووية
الأسلحة النوويةالأسلحة النووية
الأسلحة النوويةBassem Matta
 
mckalipt expanded resume
mckalipt expanded  resumemckalipt expanded  resume
mckalipt expanded resumeTed McKalip
 
Behnaz Bazmi_ international oil and gas arbitration
Behnaz Bazmi_ international oil and gas arbitrationBehnaz Bazmi_ international oil and gas arbitration
Behnaz Bazmi_ international oil and gas arbitrationBehnaz Bazmi
 
A.MARWA QNET: Biodisc Explication
A.MARWA QNET: Biodisc ExplicationA.MARWA QNET: Biodisc Explication
A.MARWA QNET: Biodisc ExplicationABIDI MARWA
 
Sample trial brief for california divorce
Sample trial brief for california divorceSample trial brief for california divorce
Sample trial brief for california divorceLegalDocsPro
 
Report solar mainbody final
Report solar mainbody finalReport solar mainbody final
Report solar mainbody finalPalash Awasthi
 
Curriculum d'informatique au collège, fondement et choix.
Curriculum d'informatique au collège, fondement et choix.Curriculum d'informatique au collège, fondement et choix.
Curriculum d'informatique au collège, fondement et choix.Haddi Abderrahim
 
Anuari dels Valors 2015: Els límits de les aspiracions
Anuari dels Valors 2015: Els límits de les aspiracionsAnuari dels Valors 2015: Els límits de les aspiracions
Anuari dels Valors 2015: Els límits de les aspiracionsESADE
 
Ozel pazar sunumu_yazılımşirketleri.pdfx
Ozel pazar sunumu_yazılımşirketleri.pdfxOzel pazar sunumu_yazılımşirketleri.pdfx
Ozel pazar sunumu_yazılımşirketleri.pdfxMustafa Kuğu
 

Viewers also liked (15)

Reflection on my progress in a2 media
Reflection on my progress in a2 mediaReflection on my progress in a2 media
Reflection on my progress in a2 media
 
الأسلحة النووية
الأسلحة النوويةالأسلحة النووية
الأسلحة النووية
 
Social Media 2
Social Media 2Social Media 2
Social Media 2
 
Game
GameGame
Game
 
mckalipt expanded resume
mckalipt expanded  resumemckalipt expanded  resume
mckalipt expanded resume
 
Behnaz Bazmi_ international oil and gas arbitration
Behnaz Bazmi_ international oil and gas arbitrationBehnaz Bazmi_ international oil and gas arbitration
Behnaz Bazmi_ international oil and gas arbitration
 
1 March 2016 - Seminar Slides (FINAL)
1 March 2016 - Seminar Slides (FINAL)1 March 2016 - Seminar Slides (FINAL)
1 March 2016 - Seminar Slides (FINAL)
 
Media didgipaks
Media didgipaks Media didgipaks
Media didgipaks
 
EB_Letter._Leah
EB_Letter._LeahEB_Letter._Leah
EB_Letter._Leah
 
A.MARWA QNET: Biodisc Explication
A.MARWA QNET: Biodisc ExplicationA.MARWA QNET: Biodisc Explication
A.MARWA QNET: Biodisc Explication
 
Sample trial brief for california divorce
Sample trial brief for california divorceSample trial brief for california divorce
Sample trial brief for california divorce
 
Report solar mainbody final
Report solar mainbody finalReport solar mainbody final
Report solar mainbody final
 
Curriculum d'informatique au collège, fondement et choix.
Curriculum d'informatique au collège, fondement et choix.Curriculum d'informatique au collège, fondement et choix.
Curriculum d'informatique au collège, fondement et choix.
 
Anuari dels Valors 2015: Els límits de les aspiracions
Anuari dels Valors 2015: Els límits de les aspiracionsAnuari dels Valors 2015: Els límits de les aspiracions
Anuari dels Valors 2015: Els límits de les aspiracions
 
Ozel pazar sunumu_yazılımşirketleri.pdfx
Ozel pazar sunumu_yazılımşirketleri.pdfxOzel pazar sunumu_yazılımşirketleri.pdfx
Ozel pazar sunumu_yazılımşirketleri.pdfx
 

Similar to Personal Finance: Portfolio Optimization using Jensen's Performance Measure

Statistical Process Control - SPC
Statistical Process Control - SPCStatistical Process Control - SPC
Statistical Process Control - SPCPrasenjit Puri
 
NPTL Machine Learning Week 2.docx
NPTL Machine Learning Week 2.docxNPTL Machine Learning Week 2.docx
NPTL Machine Learning Week 2.docxMr. Moms
 
Query processing and Query Optimization
Query processing and Query OptimizationQuery processing and Query Optimization
Query processing and Query OptimizationNiraj Gandha
 
Query processing and Query Optimization
Query processing and Query OptimizationQuery processing and Query Optimization
Query processing and Query OptimizationNiraj Gandha
 
What Is Generalized Linear Regression with Gaussian Distribution And How Can ...
What Is Generalized Linear Regression with Gaussian Distribution And How Can ...What Is Generalized Linear Regression with Gaussian Distribution And How Can ...
What Is Generalized Linear Regression with Gaussian Distribution And How Can ...Smarten Augmented Analytics
 
Energy efficiency dataset
Energy efficiency datasetEnergy efficiency dataset
Energy efficiency datasetAnkit Ghosalkar
 
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...Smarten Augmented Analytics
 
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...Smarten Augmented Analytics
 
Use of Linear Regression in Machine Learning for Ranking
Use of Linear Regression in Machine Learning for RankingUse of Linear Regression in Machine Learning for Ranking
Use of Linear Regression in Machine Learning for Rankingijsrd.com
 
InstructionsView CAAE Stormwater video Too Big for Our Ditches.docx
InstructionsView CAAE Stormwater video Too Big for Our Ditches.docxInstructionsView CAAE Stormwater video Too Big for Our Ditches.docx
InstructionsView CAAE Stormwater video Too Big for Our Ditches.docxdirkrplav
 
Linear regression by Kodebay
Linear regression by KodebayLinear regression by Kodebay
Linear regression by KodebayKodebay
 
Atlason et al, 2003 WSC_Subgradient Approximation
Atlason et al, 2003 WSC_Subgradient ApproximationAtlason et al, 2003 WSC_Subgradient Approximation
Atlason et al, 2003 WSC_Subgradient ApproximationMichael Beyer
 
What is Isotonic Regression and How Can a Business Utilize it to Analyze Data?
What is Isotonic Regression and How Can a Business Utilize it to Analyze Data?What is Isotonic Regression and How Can a Business Utilize it to Analyze Data?
What is Isotonic Regression and How Can a Business Utilize it to Analyze Data?Smarten Augmented Analytics
 

Similar to Personal Finance: Portfolio Optimization using Jensen's Performance Measure (20)

Statistical Process Control - SPC
Statistical Process Control - SPCStatistical Process Control - SPC
Statistical Process Control - SPC
 
Correlation and regression in r
Correlation and regression in rCorrelation and regression in r
Correlation and regression in r
 
working with python
working with pythonworking with python
working with python
 
Six sigma
Six sigma Six sigma
Six sigma
 
Six sigma pedagogy
Six sigma pedagogySix sigma pedagogy
Six sigma pedagogy
 
NPTL Machine Learning Week 2.docx
NPTL Machine Learning Week 2.docxNPTL Machine Learning Week 2.docx
NPTL Machine Learning Week 2.docx
 
R nonlinear least square
R   nonlinear least squareR   nonlinear least square
R nonlinear least square
 
Query processing and Query Optimization
Query processing and Query OptimizationQuery processing and Query Optimization
Query processing and Query Optimization
 
Query processing and Query Optimization
Query processing and Query OptimizationQuery processing and Query Optimization
Query processing and Query Optimization
 
What Is Generalized Linear Regression with Gaussian Distribution And How Can ...
What Is Generalized Linear Regression with Gaussian Distribution And How Can ...What Is Generalized Linear Regression with Gaussian Distribution And How Can ...
What Is Generalized Linear Regression with Gaussian Distribution And How Can ...
 
Energy efficiency dataset
Energy efficiency datasetEnergy efficiency dataset
Energy efficiency dataset
 
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
 
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
What is Simple Linear Regression and How Can an Enterprise Use this Technique...
 
Use of Linear Regression in Machine Learning for Ranking
Use of Linear Regression in Machine Learning for RankingUse of Linear Regression in Machine Learning for Ranking
Use of Linear Regression in Machine Learning for Ranking
 
InstructionsView CAAE Stormwater video Too Big for Our Ditches.docx
InstructionsView CAAE Stormwater video Too Big for Our Ditches.docxInstructionsView CAAE Stormwater video Too Big for Our Ditches.docx
InstructionsView CAAE Stormwater video Too Big for Our Ditches.docx
 
Linear regression by Kodebay
Linear regression by KodebayLinear regression by Kodebay
Linear regression by Kodebay
 
Atlason et al, 2003 WSC_Subgradient Approximation
Atlason et al, 2003 WSC_Subgradient ApproximationAtlason et al, 2003 WSC_Subgradient Approximation
Atlason et al, 2003 WSC_Subgradient Approximation
 
What is Isotonic Regression and How Can a Business Utilize it to Analyze Data?
What is Isotonic Regression and How Can a Business Utilize it to Analyze Data?What is Isotonic Regression and How Can a Business Utilize it to Analyze Data?
What is Isotonic Regression and How Can a Business Utilize it to Analyze Data?
 
Factors affecting customer satisfaction
Factors affecting customer satisfactionFactors affecting customer satisfaction
Factors affecting customer satisfaction
 
Regression.pptx
Regression.pptxRegression.pptx
Regression.pptx
 

More from Sarang Ananda Rao

Reducing Inefficiencies in Financial Markets
Reducing Inefficiencies in Financial MarketsReducing Inefficiencies in Financial Markets
Reducing Inefficiencies in Financial MarketsSarang Ananda Rao
 
Partners Healthcare Case Analysis
Partners Healthcare Case AnalysisPartners Healthcare Case Analysis
Partners Healthcare Case AnalysisSarang Ananda Rao
 
Auction analysis from Kaggle
Auction analysis from KaggleAuction analysis from Kaggle
Auction analysis from KaggleSarang Ananda Rao
 
ACG Case Competition 2016 - Sierra Securities
ACG Case Competition 2016 - Sierra SecuritiesACG Case Competition 2016 - Sierra Securities
ACG Case Competition 2016 - Sierra SecuritiesSarang Ananda Rao
 
Ticketing platform for cinemalls
Ticketing platform for cinemallsTicketing platform for cinemalls
Ticketing platform for cinemallsSarang Ananda Rao
 
Redundancy schemes for deduplicated cloud storage systems
Redundancy schemes for deduplicated cloud storage systemsRedundancy schemes for deduplicated cloud storage systems
Redundancy schemes for deduplicated cloud storage systemsSarang Ananda Rao
 
CMS & Chrome Extension Development
CMS & Chrome Extension DevelopmentCMS & Chrome Extension Development
CMS & Chrome Extension DevelopmentSarang Ananda Rao
 

More from Sarang Ananda Rao (10)

Reducing Inefficiencies in Financial Markets
Reducing Inefficiencies in Financial MarketsReducing Inefficiencies in Financial Markets
Reducing Inefficiencies in Financial Markets
 
Partners Healthcare Case Analysis
Partners Healthcare Case AnalysisPartners Healthcare Case Analysis
Partners Healthcare Case Analysis
 
Auction analysis from Kaggle
Auction analysis from KaggleAuction analysis from Kaggle
Auction analysis from Kaggle
 
ACG Case Competition 2016 - Sierra Securities
ACG Case Competition 2016 - Sierra SecuritiesACG Case Competition 2016 - Sierra Securities
ACG Case Competition 2016 - Sierra Securities
 
Ticketing platform for cinemalls
Ticketing platform for cinemallsTicketing platform for cinemalls
Ticketing platform for cinemalls
 
Redundancy schemes for deduplicated cloud storage systems
Redundancy schemes for deduplicated cloud storage systemsRedundancy schemes for deduplicated cloud storage systems
Redundancy schemes for deduplicated cloud storage systems
 
Musicperk - Developro 2012
Musicperk - Developro 2012Musicperk - Developro 2012
Musicperk - Developro 2012
 
CMS & Chrome Extension Development
CMS & Chrome Extension DevelopmentCMS & Chrome Extension Development
CMS & Chrome Extension Development
 
Ui disk & terminal drivers
Ui disk & terminal driversUi disk & terminal drivers
Ui disk & terminal drivers
 
Introduction to SSH & PGP
Introduction to SSH & PGPIntroduction to SSH & PGP
Introduction to SSH & PGP
 

Recently uploaded

BPAC WITH UFSBI GENERAL PRESENTATION 18_05_2017-1.pptx
BPAC WITH UFSBI GENERAL PRESENTATION 18_05_2017-1.pptxBPAC WITH UFSBI GENERAL PRESENTATION 18_05_2017-1.pptx
BPAC WITH UFSBI GENERAL PRESENTATION 18_05_2017-1.pptxMohammedJunaid861692
 
Smarteg dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Smarteg dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptxSmarteg dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Smarteg dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptxolyaivanovalion
 
Ravak dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Ravak dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptxRavak dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Ravak dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptxolyaivanovalion
 
Delhi Call Girls CP 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls CP 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip CallDelhi Call Girls CP 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls CP 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Callshivangimorya083
 
Log Analysis using OSSEC sasoasasasas.pptx
Log Analysis using OSSEC sasoasasasas.pptxLog Analysis using OSSEC sasoasasasas.pptx
Log Analysis using OSSEC sasoasasasas.pptxJohnnyPlasten
 
Week-01-2.ppt BBB human Computer interaction
Week-01-2.ppt BBB human Computer interactionWeek-01-2.ppt BBB human Computer interaction
Week-01-2.ppt BBB human Computer interactionfulawalesam
 
Invezz.com - Grow your wealth with trading signals
Invezz.com - Grow your wealth with trading signalsInvezz.com - Grow your wealth with trading signals
Invezz.com - Grow your wealth with trading signalsInvezz1
 
Industrialised data - the key to AI success.pdf
Industrialised data - the key to AI success.pdfIndustrialised data - the key to AI success.pdf
Industrialised data - the key to AI success.pdfLars Albertsson
 
Introduction-to-Machine-Learning (1).pptx
Introduction-to-Machine-Learning (1).pptxIntroduction-to-Machine-Learning (1).pptx
Introduction-to-Machine-Learning (1).pptxfirstjob4
 
VIP High Class Call Girls Jamshedpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Jamshedpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...VIP High Class Call Girls Jamshedpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Jamshedpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...Suhani Kapoor
 
Mature dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Mature dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptxMature dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Mature dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptxolyaivanovalion
 
定制英国白金汉大学毕业证(UCB毕业证书) 成绩单原版一比一
定制英国白金汉大学毕业证(UCB毕业证书)																			成绩单原版一比一定制英国白金汉大学毕业证(UCB毕业证书)																			成绩单原版一比一
定制英国白金汉大学毕业证(UCB毕业证书) 成绩单原版一比一ffjhghh
 
Unveiling Insights: The Role of a Data Analyst
Unveiling Insights: The Role of a Data AnalystUnveiling Insights: The Role of a Data Analyst
Unveiling Insights: The Role of a Data AnalystSamantha Rae Coolbeth
 
CebaBaby dropshipping via API with DroFX.pptx
CebaBaby dropshipping via API with DroFX.pptxCebaBaby dropshipping via API with DroFX.pptx
CebaBaby dropshipping via API with DroFX.pptxolyaivanovalion
 
Halmar dropshipping via API with DroFx
Halmar  dropshipping  via API with DroFxHalmar  dropshipping  via API with DroFx
Halmar dropshipping via API with DroFxolyaivanovalion
 
Delhi Call Girls Punjabi Bagh 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls Punjabi Bagh 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip CallDelhi Call Girls Punjabi Bagh 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls Punjabi Bagh 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Callshivangimorya083
 
April 2024 - Crypto Market Report's Analysis
April 2024 - Crypto Market Report's AnalysisApril 2024 - Crypto Market Report's Analysis
April 2024 - Crypto Market Report's Analysismanisha194592
 
Edukaciniai dropshipping via API with DroFx
Edukaciniai dropshipping via API with DroFxEdukaciniai dropshipping via API with DroFx
Edukaciniai dropshipping via API with DroFxolyaivanovalion
 
Call me @ 9892124323 Cheap Rate Call Girls in Vashi with Real Photo 100% Secure
Call me @ 9892124323  Cheap Rate Call Girls in Vashi with Real Photo 100% SecureCall me @ 9892124323  Cheap Rate Call Girls in Vashi with Real Photo 100% Secure
Call me @ 9892124323 Cheap Rate Call Girls in Vashi with Real Photo 100% SecurePooja Nehwal
 

Recently uploaded (20)

BPAC WITH UFSBI GENERAL PRESENTATION 18_05_2017-1.pptx
BPAC WITH UFSBI GENERAL PRESENTATION 18_05_2017-1.pptxBPAC WITH UFSBI GENERAL PRESENTATION 18_05_2017-1.pptx
BPAC WITH UFSBI GENERAL PRESENTATION 18_05_2017-1.pptx
 
VIP Call Girls Service Charbagh { Lucknow Call Girls Service 9548273370 } Boo...
VIP Call Girls Service Charbagh { Lucknow Call Girls Service 9548273370 } Boo...VIP Call Girls Service Charbagh { Lucknow Call Girls Service 9548273370 } Boo...
VIP Call Girls Service Charbagh { Lucknow Call Girls Service 9548273370 } Boo...
 
Smarteg dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Smarteg dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptxSmarteg dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Smarteg dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
 
Ravak dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Ravak dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptxRavak dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Ravak dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
 
Delhi Call Girls CP 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls CP 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip CallDelhi Call Girls CP 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls CP 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
 
Log Analysis using OSSEC sasoasasasas.pptx
Log Analysis using OSSEC sasoasasasas.pptxLog Analysis using OSSEC sasoasasasas.pptx
Log Analysis using OSSEC sasoasasasas.pptx
 
Week-01-2.ppt BBB human Computer interaction
Week-01-2.ppt BBB human Computer interactionWeek-01-2.ppt BBB human Computer interaction
Week-01-2.ppt BBB human Computer interaction
 
Invezz.com - Grow your wealth with trading signals
Invezz.com - Grow your wealth with trading signalsInvezz.com - Grow your wealth with trading signals
Invezz.com - Grow your wealth with trading signals
 
Industrialised data - the key to AI success.pdf
Industrialised data - the key to AI success.pdfIndustrialised data - the key to AI success.pdf
Industrialised data - the key to AI success.pdf
 
Introduction-to-Machine-Learning (1).pptx
Introduction-to-Machine-Learning (1).pptxIntroduction-to-Machine-Learning (1).pptx
Introduction-to-Machine-Learning (1).pptx
 
VIP High Class Call Girls Jamshedpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Jamshedpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...VIP High Class Call Girls Jamshedpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Jamshedpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
 
Mature dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Mature dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptxMature dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
Mature dropshipping via API with DroFx.pptx
 
定制英国白金汉大学毕业证(UCB毕业证书) 成绩单原版一比一
定制英国白金汉大学毕业证(UCB毕业证书)																			成绩单原版一比一定制英国白金汉大学毕业证(UCB毕业证书)																			成绩单原版一比一
定制英国白金汉大学毕业证(UCB毕业证书) 成绩单原版一比一
 
Unveiling Insights: The Role of a Data Analyst
Unveiling Insights: The Role of a Data AnalystUnveiling Insights: The Role of a Data Analyst
Unveiling Insights: The Role of a Data Analyst
 
CebaBaby dropshipping via API with DroFX.pptx
CebaBaby dropshipping via API with DroFX.pptxCebaBaby dropshipping via API with DroFX.pptx
CebaBaby dropshipping via API with DroFX.pptx
 
Halmar dropshipping via API with DroFx
Halmar  dropshipping  via API with DroFxHalmar  dropshipping  via API with DroFx
Halmar dropshipping via API with DroFx
 
Delhi Call Girls Punjabi Bagh 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls Punjabi Bagh 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip CallDelhi Call Girls Punjabi Bagh 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls Punjabi Bagh 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
 
April 2024 - Crypto Market Report's Analysis
April 2024 - Crypto Market Report's AnalysisApril 2024 - Crypto Market Report's Analysis
April 2024 - Crypto Market Report's Analysis
 
Edukaciniai dropshipping via API with DroFx
Edukaciniai dropshipping via API with DroFxEdukaciniai dropshipping via API with DroFx
Edukaciniai dropshipping via API with DroFx
 
Call me @ 9892124323 Cheap Rate Call Girls in Vashi with Real Photo 100% Secure
Call me @ 9892124323  Cheap Rate Call Girls in Vashi with Real Photo 100% SecureCall me @ 9892124323  Cheap Rate Call Girls in Vashi with Real Photo 100% Secure
Call me @ 9892124323 Cheap Rate Call Girls in Vashi with Real Photo 100% Secure
 

Personal Finance: Portfolio Optimization using Jensen's Performance Measure

  • 2. PERSONAL FINANCE: PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION USING JENSEN’s PERFORMANCE MEASURE (that uses Least Squares Regression) NOTE: The following project uses confidential data and plenty of independent research. The data has been sanitized and therefore dummy variable names and data are used. INTRODUCTION: The project uses Linear Optimization and Jensen’s Performance Measure (Alpha) to evaluate the performance of equities (and risk computation) compared to benchmarks (such as S&P 500 and Treasury Bills) over time. LITERATURE: JENSEN’s PERFORMANCE MEASURE (ALPHA) [1] Jensen measure (alpha) uses least squares regression to calculate risk-premium for an asset’s return and market return. A positive alpha means that the asset performed better than the benchmark (example: S&P 500, Treasury Bills) in risk-adjusted terms. If alpha is zero, the returns between asset and benchmark. Jensen’s formula: (ri – rf) = a + b (rm – rf) Where (ri – rf) is risk premium for asset i rf is the risk free rate (For example treasury bills, in this project the average annual return of a fixed deposit from a trustworthy bank is taken as risk free rate) rm is the market return (in this project an index such as S&P 500 or SENSEX is taken as market return) rf is return on asset i b is beta co-efficient a is Jensen’s Performance Measure (alpha)
  • 3. By adjustment, i.e. dividing each asset’s alpha by beta co-efficient (a/b), Jensen’s Alpha can be used to rank the performance of an asset relative to other assets. For the linear regression analysis, Y variable is (ri – rf) X variable is (rm – rf) DEFINITIONS: Table 1: Market Capitalization Definitions Market Cap: Lower Limit Upper Limit Market Cap (in crores) (in crores) $0.00 $4,999.00 Small Cap $5,000.00 $20,000.00 Mid Cap $20,001.00 $350,000.00 Large Cap Grades: Through independent research, equities are graded into A, B & C, which represent likelihood of purchase. For example, Grade A equities are equities that the investor is more likely to purchase than Grade B (and finally Grade C) Equities. Average 3 Year Return: The average return (mean of annual returns) of an equity in the last 3 years 2012-15 (Year on Year) Expected Returns: Total One Year expected returns for a particular equity
  • 4. Data Preparation: A sample of 34 equities from 18 industries were shortlisted through independent research for the project. The 18 industries used in the project are: Table 2: Industries considered 1 Appliances 2 Automotive 3 Banking 4 Batteries 5 Conglomerate 6 Cookery 7 Courier 8 Energy 9 Fertilizers 10 FMCG 11 Food Processing 12 IT 13 Media 14 Metals 15 Personal Care 16 Pharmaceuticals 17 Textiles 18 Theatres Data for the equities such as Grades (calculated through independent research), Market Capitalization (Market Cap) and 5 year stock price data (first 2 weeks of November) were collected from reliable financial sources (such as Google Finance). ASSUMPTION: Since we are interested in long term risk measure for the equities, it is assumed that stock price does not fluctuate much in the first 2 weeks of November and therefore stock price during any day in first 2 weeks of November is considered for ease of data collection (since over a long term such as 5 years, fluctuation in stock price over 2 weeks is insignificant). In this project, the value of SENSEX (over a 5 year time period) is considered the market return (Rm) and the value of interest rate from fixed deposits through a national bank is considered as a risk free return (Rf).
  • 5. Table 3: Sample of stock price over 5 year period (Refer worksheet “5 Year Data_Calculations” for complete data Equities - Stock Price during 2011-15 (Values adjusted to splits) 1st Week November 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 SENSEX $26,265.24 $27,868.63 $21,196.81 $18,683.68 $17,562.61 Equity 21 $284.25 $298.50 $113.85 $83.95 $102.40 Equity 4 $87.80 $47.50 $16.75 $24.25 $27.90 Equity 12 $7,470.00 $6,521.70 $2,800.00 $1,709.60 $1,575.00 Equity 23 $170.00 $220.25 $148.50 $233.00 $226.50 Equity 3 $16,582.00 $12,671.00 $3,999.00 $2,390.00 $1,732.00 For computing the return of assets (Ri), a four year YoY (Year on Year) growth is calculated. The Y & X variables for linear regression are calculated using the above metrics (Ri, Rm, Rf). An average 3-year return is computed from the four year YoYs. Linear Regression Analysis: To calculate the Jensen’s Performance co-efficient for an equity, a linear regression is run with Y variable (ri – rf) X variable (rm – rf) Table 4: Regression Output for Equity 21 Regression Using Data Analysis Toolpak Equity Equity 21 X Y -14.0% -13.0% 23.3% 154.0% 5.3% 27.4% -1.8% -26.2% SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.912964 R Square 0.833504
  • 6. Adjusted R Square 0.750256 Standard Error 0.410716 Observations 4 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 1 1.688954 1.688954 10.0123 0.087036 Residual 2 0.337376 0.168688 Total 3 2.02633 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Uppe 95.0% Intercept 0.201779 0.211028 0.956171 0.439893 -0.7062 1.109761 -0.7062 1.1097 X 4.821131 1.523639 3.164222 0.087036 -1.73456 11.37682 -1.73456 11.376 R2 is a measure of fit of the line and has values between 0 and 1. Higher R2 means better fit of the line. Here, the value of R2 is 0.83, which is quite high, which means the curve has a better fit. For this analysis, we are only interested in the values of slopes and intercept (and not checking p-value for statistical significance or value of R2 ). The regression equation is (ri – rf) = a + b (rm – rf) In our case, (ri – rf) = 0.2018 + 4.8211 (rm – rf) The process is repeated for all the 34 equities and the values of Jensen’s Performance Measure as well as the Performance Ratio is calculated as shown below: Table 5: Jensen’s Performance Measure Calculation. Refer Excel worksheet “Regression” for complete analysis Y Performance Measure Ri - Rf Jensen's alpha Jensen's beta Jensen's Ratio Equities 2015 2014 2013 2012 Slope Y-Intercept alpha/beta Equity 21 -13.0% 154.0% 27.4% -26.2% 4.8211 0.2018 23.89308089 Equity 4 76.6% 175.4% -39.1% -21.3% 3.0756 0.3810 8.07337654 Equity 12 6.3% 124.7% 55.6% 0.3% 3.4533 0.3573 9.664072978 Equity 23 -31.0% 40.1% -44.5% -5.3% 1.7512 -0.1576 - 11.11264576 Equity 3 22.7% 208.7% 59.1% 29.8% 5.1956 0.6349 8.183522593
  • 7. Using Jensen’s Performance Ratio, the equities are ranked from 1-34 (higher the ratio, lesser rank). A lesser rank equity has performed better than a higher ranked equity because it has yielded better returns compared to market (Rm) as well as risk-free returns (Rf). FINAL DATA: Table 6: Final Data (Refer “Equities” for complete dataset) OPTIMIZATION: We have a limited investment fund for investing in equities and we want to maximize returns from our investment. The equities are diverse (18 industries) and our best bet would be to diversify our investments into different sectors and not allocate all our funds into a single equity. This leads us to several constraints. In our portfolio optimization model, Objective Function: Maximize returns (over a one year time period) by investing in equities Decision Variables: Amount (Investment) to be allocated in each asset/equity Constraints: 1. Non-negativity constraint: All investments made in equities need to be non-negative 2. Equity constraint: No asset should be more than 30% of the portfolio 3. Total investment constraint: Total investment(sum of investments made in all equities) should be less than or equal to the funds available 4. Industry constraint: For diversifying the portfolio, investments in each industry have an upper and lower limit Table 7: Industry constraint Industry Lower Limit Upper Limit Appliances 1% 20% Automotive 1% 40% Banking 0% 30% Batteries 1% 40% Conglomerate 5% 30% Cookery 0% 20% Courier 0% 10%
  • 8. Energy 5% 40% FMCG 5% 30% Food Processing 0% 20% IT 0% 40% Personal Care 0% 20% Pharmaceuticals 5% 30% Textiles 1% 25% Theatres 0% 10% 5. Market Cap Constraint: In order to diversify, equities should be allocated by all the 3 types of market cap subject to constraints: Table 8: Market Cap constraint Lower Limit Upper Limit Large Cap 10% 100% Medium Cap 0% 50% Small Cap 0% 40% 6. Jensen’s Alpha Constraint: Applies to only B & C Grade Equities: Choose Equities with positive Jensen's Alpha 7. Jensen’s Ratio Constraint: Applies to only B & C Grade Equities: Choose Equities with Jensen's Performance Rank<=25 Constraints 6 & 7 are computed by filtering data instead of using constraints in model because of limitation in number of constraints in Solver (limit of 200 variables) and scaling issues in Premium Solver(in spite of Automatic scaling). The objective function, decision variables and constraints are entered in the Solver parameters dialog box (as shown below). The solving method used is “Simplex LP” since the problem is a linear optimization problem. We need to check the box “Make unconstrained variables Non-Negative” to include the non- negativity constraint.
  • 10. Understanding Sensitivity Report: Table 9: Decision Variable Cells Final Reduced Objective Allowable Allowable Cell Name Value Cost Coefficient Increase Decrease $F$10 Equity 1 Investment 1000 0 1.341654303 0.362477516 1E+30 $F$11 Equity 2 Investment 0 - 0.364171905 1.427482628 0.364171905 1E+30 $F$12 Equity 3 Investment 30000 0 2.050140486 1E+30 0.258485953 $F$13 Equity 4 Investment 10000 0 1.791654533 0.258485953 0.087522713 $F$14 Equity 5 Investment 0 -0.66387386 1.127780672 0.66387386 1E+30 $F$15 Equity 6 Investment 0 - 0.608528372 1.18312616 0.608528372 1E+30 $F$16 Equity 7 Investment 0 0 1.200120467 0.504011352 1E+30 $F$17 Equity 8 Investment 30000 0 2.995218483 1E+30 1.291086664 $F$18 Equity 9 Investment 5000 0 1.253801048 0.450330772 1E+30 $F$19 Equity 10 Investment 0 0 1.143638805 0.560493014 0.078954092 $F$20 Equity 11 Investment 0 - 0.078954092 1.064684713 0.078954092 1E+30 $F$21 Equity 12 Investment 8000 0 1.704131819 0.087522713 0.060699628 $F$22 Equity 13 Investment 5000 0 1.201004732 0.503127087 1E+30 $F$23 Equity 14 Investment 0 - 0.081486472 1.067733049 0.081486472 1E+30 $F$24 Equity 15 Investment 5000 0 1.149219521 0.554912299 0.081486472 $F$25 Equity 16 Investment 0 0 1.372798676 0.331333144 1E+30 $F$26 Equity 17 Investment 0 - 0.125296976 1.246783057 0.125296976 1E+30 $F$27 Equity 18 Investment 0 0 1.372080033 0.332051787 0.125296976 $F$28 Equity 19 Investment 0 0 1.328606867 0.375524952 1E+30 $F$29 Equity 20 Investment 5000 0 1.368759266 0.335372553 1E+30 $F$30 Equity 21 Investment 1000 0 1.643432191 0.060699628 1E+30 $F$31 Equity 22 Investment 0 0 1.638216929 0.065914891 1E+30 The reduced cost tells us how much the objective co-efficient needs to be reduced in order for a non- negative variable that is zero in the optimal solution to become positive. Since Equity 1 is already present in the model, the reduced cost is zero. However, the reduced cost for Equity 2 is 0.3642 i.e. the objective function of Equity 2 has to increase from 1.42 to 1.78 if investment is to be made in Equity 2 (i.e final value to be positive).
  • 11. Table 10: Constraints Final Shadow Constraint Allowable Allowable Cell Name Value Price R.H. Side Increase Decrease $F$34 Total Investment Investment $100,000.00 1.704131819 100000 2000 8000 $U$10 Appliances % of Portfolio 0.01 0 0.2 1E+30 0.19 $U$11 Automotive % of Portfolio 0.4 8752.271324 0.4 0.08 0.02 $U$12 Banking % of Portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $U$13 Batteries % of Portfolio 0.3 0 0.4 1E+30 0.1 $U$14 Conglomerate % of Portfolio 0.05 0 0.3 1E+30 0.25 $U$15 Cookery % of Portfolio 0 0 0.2 1E+30 0.2 $U$16 Courier % of Portfolio 0.08 0 0.1 1E+30 0.02 $U$17 Energy % of Portfolio 0.05 0 0.4 1E+30 0.35 $U$18 FMCG % of Portfolio 0.05 0 0.3 1E+30 0.25 $U$19 Food Processing % of Portfolio 0 0 0.2 1E+30 0.2 $U$20 IT % of Portfolio 0 0 0.4 1E+30 0.4 $U$21 Personal Care % of Portfolio 0 0 0.2 1E+30 0.2 $U$22 Pharmaceuticals % of Portfolio 0.05 0 0.3 1E+30 0.25 $U$23 Textiles % of Portfolio 0.01 0 0.25 1E+30 0.24 $U$24 Theatres % of Portfolio 0 0 0.1 1E+30 0.1 $U$10 Appliances % of Portfolio 0.01 - 36247.75165 0.01 0.08 0.01 $U$11 Automotive % of Portfolio 0.4 0 0.01 0.39 1E+30 $U$12 Banking % of Portfolio 0 -50401.1352 0 0.08 0 $U$13 Batteries % of Portfolio 0.3 0 0.01 0.29 1E+30 $U$14 Conglomerate % of Portfolio 0.05 - 45033.07718 0.05 0.08 0.02 $U$15 Cookery % of Portfolio 0 - 56049.30143 0 0.08 0 $U$16 Courier % of Portfolio 0.08 0 0 0.08 1E+30 $U$17 Energy % of Portfolio 0.05 - 50312.70873 0.05 0.08 0.02 $U$18 FMCG % of Portfolio 0.05 - 55491.22986 0.05 0.08 0.02 $U$19 Food Processing % of Portfolio 0 - 33133.31438 0 0.08 0 $U$20 IT % of Portfolio 0 - 33205.17865 0 0.08 0 $U$21 Personal Care % of Portfolio 0 - 37552.49519 0 0.08 0 $U$22 Pharmaceuticals % of Portfolio 0.05 -33537.2553 0.05 0.08 0.02 $U$23 Textiles % of Portfolio 0.01 - 6069.962836 0.01 0.08 0.01
  • 12. $U$24 Theatres % of Portfolio 0 - 6591.489051 0 0.08 0 $I$10 Equity 1 % of portfolio 0.01 0 0.3 1E+30 0.29 $I$11 Equity 2 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$12 Equity 3 % of portfolio 0.3 25848.59532 0.3 0.1 0.2 $I$13 Equity 4 % of portfolio 0.1 0 0.3 1E+30 0.2 $I$14 Equity 5 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$15 Equity 6 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$16 Equity 7 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$17 Equity 8 % of portfolio 0.3 129108.6664 0.3 0.08 0.02 $I$18 Equity 9 % of portfolio 0.05 0 0.3 1E+30 0.25 $I$19 Equity 10 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$20 Equity 11 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$21 Equity 12 % of portfolio 0.08 0 0.3 1E+30 0.22 $I$22 Equity 13 % of portfolio 0.05 0 0.3 1E+30 0.25 $I$23 Equity 14 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$24 Equity 15 % of portfolio 0.05 0 0.3 1E+30 0.25 $I$25 Equity 16 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$26 Equity 17 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$27 Equity 18 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$28 Equity 19 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $I$29 Equity 20 % of portfolio 0.05 0 0.3 1E+30 0.25 $I$30 Equity 21 % of portfolio 0.01 0 0.3 1E+30 0.29 $I$31 Equity 22 % of portfolio 0 0 0.3 1E+30 0.3 $U$32 Large Cap % of portfolio 0.55 0 1 1E+30 0.45 $U$33 Mid Cap % of portfolio 0.15 0 0.5 1E+30 0.35 $U$34 Small Cap % of portfolio 0.3 0 0.4 1E+30 0.1 $U$32 Large Cap % of portfolio 0.55 0 0.1 0.45 1E+30 $U$33 Mid Cap % of portfolio 0.15 0 0 0.15 1E+30 $U$34 Small Cap % of portfolio 0.3 0 0 0.3 1E+30 The shadow price tells how much the value of the objective function will change as the right hand side of the constraint is increased by 1. For example, if we consider the total investment constraint, the RHS of constraint is $100,000. If we increase the total funds by $1, our objective function will increase by 1.704 i.e. our returns will increase by $1.704. However, the allowable increase for the RHS is $2000 for our optimal solution to be the same. If we increase the total funds by $2001, then we need to resolve the model to get the optimal solution.
  • 13. Table 11: Binding Constraints Cell Name Cell Value Formula Status $F$34 Total Investment Investment $100,000.00 $F$34<=$F$36 Binding $U$10 Appliances % of Portfolio 1.0% $U$10<=$W$10 Not Binding $U$11 Automotive % of Portfolio 40.0% $U$11<=$W$11 Binding $U$12 Banking % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$12<=$W$12 Not Binding $U$13 Batteries % of Portfolio 30.0% $U$13<=$W$13 Not Binding $U$14 Conglomerate % of Portfolio 5.0% $U$14<=$W$14 Not Binding $U$15 Cookery % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$15<=$W$15 Not Binding $U$16 Courier % of Portfolio 8.0% $U$16<=$W$16 Not Binding $U$17 Energy % of Portfolio 5.0% $U$17<=$W$17 Not Binding $U$18 FMCG % of Portfolio 5.0% $U$18<=$W$18 Not Binding $U$19 Food Processing % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$19<=$W$19 Not Binding $U$20 IT % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$20<=$W$20 Not Binding $U$21 Personal Care % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$21<=$W$21 Not Binding $U$22 Pharmaceuticals % of Portfolio 5.0% $U$22<=$W$22 Not Binding $U$23 Textiles % of Portfolio 1.0% $U$23<=$W$23 Not Binding $U$24 Theatres % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$24<=$W$24 Not Binding $U$10 Appliances % of Portfolio 1.0% $U$10>=$V$10 Binding $U$11 Automotive % of Portfolio 40.0% $U$11>=$V$11 Not Binding $U$12 Banking % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$12>=$V$12 Binding $U$13 Batteries % of Portfolio 30.0% $U$13>=$V$13 Not Binding $U$14 Conglomerate % of Portfolio 5.0% $U$14>=$V$14 Binding $U$15 Cookery % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$15>=$V$15 Binding $U$16 Courier % of Portfolio 8.0% $U$16>=$V$16 Not Binding $U$17 Energy % of Portfolio 5.0% $U$17>=$V$17 Binding
  • 14. $U$18 FMCG % of Portfolio 5.0% $U$18>=$V$18 Binding $U$19 Food Processing % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$19>=$V$19 Binding $U$20 IT % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$20>=$V$20 Binding $U$21 Personal Care % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$21>=$V$21 Binding $U$22 Pharmaceuticals % of Portfolio 5.0% $U$22>=$V$22 Binding $U$23 Textiles % of Portfolio 1.0% $U$23>=$V$23 Binding $U$24 Theatres % of Portfolio 0.0% $U$24>=$V$24 Binding $I$10 Equity 1 % of portfolio 1.00% $I$10<=$K$10 Not Binding $I$11 Equity 2 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$11<=$K$11 Not Binding $I$12 Equity 3 % of portfolio 30.00% $I$12<=$K$12 Binding $I$13 Equity 4 % of portfolio 10.00% $I$13<=$K$13 Not Binding $I$14 Equity 5 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$14<=$K$14 Not Binding $I$15 Equity 6 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$15<=$K$15 Not Binding $I$16 Equity 7 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$16<=$K$16 Not Binding $I$17 Equity 8 % of portfolio 30.00% $I$17<=$K$17 Binding $I$18 Equity 9 % of portfolio 5.00% $I$18<=$K$18 Not Binding $I$19 Equity 10 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$19<=$K$19 Not Binding $I$20 Equity 11 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$20<=$K$20 Not Binding $I$21 Equity 12 % of portfolio 8.00% $I$21<=$K$21 Not Binding $I$22 Equity 13 % of portfolio 5.00% $I$22<=$K$22 Not Binding $I$23 Equity 14 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$23<=$K$23 Not Binding $I$24 Equity 15 % of portfolio 5.00% $I$24<=$K$24 Not Binding $I$25 Equity 16 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$25<=$K$25 Not Binding $I$26 Equity 17 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$26<=$K$26 Not Binding $I$27 Equity 18 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$27<=$K$27 Not Binding $I$28 Equity 19 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$28<=$K$28 Not Binding $I$29 Equity 20 % of portfolio 5.00% $I$29<=$K$29 Not Binding
  • 15. $I$30 Equity 21 % of portfolio 1.00% $I$30<=$K$30 Not Binding $I$31 Equity 22 % of portfolio 0.00% $I$31<=$K$31 Not Binding $U$32 Large Cap % of portfolio 55.0% $U$32<=$W$32 Not Binding $U$33 Mid Cap % of portfolio 15.0% $U$33<=$W$33 Not Binding $U$34 Small Cap % of portfolio 30.0% $U$34<=$W$34 Not Binding $U$32 Large Cap % of portfolio 55.0% $U$32>=$V$32 Not Binding $U$33 Mid Cap % of portfolio 15.0% $U$33>=$V$33 Not Binding $U$34 Small Cap % of portfolio 30.0% $U$34>=$V$34 Not Binding When the LHS of constraint is equal to RHS, the constraint in binding. In our example in the total investment constraint, we utilize all the allocated funds. Therefore, the LHS of the constraint is equal to the RHS of the constraint and the constraint is binding. In the Small Cap % of portfolio constraint, we require at max 40% of our portfolio to be small cap. However, our allocation is only 30% which means LHS is not equal to RHS and therefore the constraint is not binding. Table 12: Slack for constraints Slack is the difference between the LHS and RHS of constraint. For example, in Appliances % of portfolio constraint, we have at max 20% as the RHS of the constraint. However, our allocation in Appliances in only 1%, which means that there is a slack of 19%.
  • 16. CONCLUSION: Our optimal solution from the model after applying Linear Optimization is: Equity Investment Average 3 Year Return Expected Returns (After one year) % of portfolio Equity 1 $1,000.00 34.17% $1,341.65 1.00% Equity 2 $0.00 42.75% $0.00 0.00% Equity 3 $30,000.00 105.01% $61,504.21 30.00% Equity 4 $10,000.00 79.17% $17,916.55 10.00% Equity 5 $0.00 12.78% $0.00 0.00% Equity 6 $0.00 18.31% $0.00 0.00% Equity 7 $0.00 20.01% $0.00 0.00% Equity 8 $30,000.00 199.52% $89,856.55 30.00% Equity 9 $5,000.00 25.38% $6,269.01 5.00% Equity 10 $0.00 14.36% $0.00 0.00% Equity 11 $0.00 6.47% $0.00 0.00% Equity 12 $8,000.00 70.41% $13,633.05 8.00% Equity 13 $5,000.00 20.10% $6,005.02 5.00% Equity 14 $0.00 6.77% $0.00 0.00% Equity 15 $5,000.00 14.92% $5,746.10 5.00% Equity 16 $0.00 37.28% $0.00 0.00% Equity 17 $0.00 24.68% $0.00 0.00% Equity 18 $0.00 37.21% $0.00 0.00% Equity 19 $0.00 32.86% $0.00 0.00% Equity 20 $5,000.00 36.88% $6,843.80 5.00% Equity 21 $1,000.00 64.34% $1,643.43 1.00% Equity 22 $0.00 63.82% $0.00 0.00% Total Investment $100,000.00 Total Expected Returns $210,759.38 <= $100,000.00 (Max. Investment) As we can observe, we allocated funds worth $100,000 and after adopting Linear Optimization and using Jensen’s Performance Measure, our Expected returns in one year is $210,759.38 which is a 111% increase. Reference: [1] Jenson’s Performance Measure p148-150, “101 Investment Tools for Buying Low and Selling High”, Jae K. Shim and Jonathan Lansner, 2001