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APPLE
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Apple is sitting on the largest cash hoard of any publicly-traded
company, or any company for that matter. It has $137B in its
coffers and, based upon its current trajectory, Apple could have
over $170B in cash, short-term and long-term investments by
then end of the year. Analysts, investors and reporters were in
‘awe’ of the cash flow as the company’s stock appreciated from
$7 to $700. Now, with Apple trading in the mid-$400s, the
‘awe’ has turned into ‘ire’ and for good reason.
(When “cash balance” is referred to in this article, it means
cash, short-term and long-term investments.)
David Einhorn pushed the large cash issue as far as he could.
David is a successful investor, with a strong track record. He
is renown for his thoroughness. From David’s point of view
and as representative of shareholders generally, he could put the
cash balance to better use (read: better return) if he invested it
rather than Apple just sitting on it. If the cash were returned to
investors, they could decided how they wanted to invest that
cash, ie conservatively or aggressively, as they wish rather than
putting their faith into Apple to run this very large portfolio.
The overall size of the portfolio is enormous. To put Apple’s
investment portfolio in perspective, consider this. Bridgewater
Associates is the largest hedge fund in the world and is
estimated to manage between $120 and $145 Billion in assets.
This suggests that Apple is either the largest or second largest
hedge fund in the world, with tremendous investment return
potential. Yet, approximately $40B of the $137B is in ‘Cash
and Short-Term investments’ which investors know painfully
well yields barely any return at all. And shareholders are not
even privy to the investment strategy of the remaining almost
$100B. Shareholders of Apple are, in effect, investors in the
largest hedge fund in the world with absolutely no idea what
they are invested in.
The real question is how to make money from that cash
balance. In theory, investors want companies to invest their
cash back into building their businesses. Hence, no one cared
about the cash in the stock-price march from $7 to $700 because
Apple was apparently making it “work” for shareholders. As
Apple’s stock faltered (or, more appropriately put, took a
skydive), shareholders began to want to put the cash to work
themselves, because investors could certainly return better than
-35%, if they invested it themselves, or so the theory goes.
There’s another answer, however.
Innovate. Keep the cash and use the cash and innovate. And
innovate now.
Apple is the innovator for consumer technology. Apple is the
company that made consumers have to have iPods, iPhones, and
iPads. Apple was not the very first to introduce a music player,
smartphone or tablet, but it has been the first to mass-
popularize each. Apple wasn’t first because it didn’t introduce
products until the technology could realize Apple’s vision of
how the product should work and what the consumer experience
should be. And in doing so, Apple paved the way for
competitors to have success in Apple’s wake. Disruptive
innovation is Apple’s hallmark. It is time for another disruptive
product and it is certain that Steve Jobs left that playbook for
Apple.
Apple has a large talent pool from which to drive innovation
and a roadmap or culture on how to bring innovation to market.
And Apple has this enormous cash balance to fund this talented
pool of designers, engineers and marketers to introduce new
products to market. So, in a way, owning Apple could be like
owning part of an incubator, if it innovates, and that could be
very exciting for shareholders. Then Apple can leverage its
brand promise to create shine on any new product. Apple’s
brand promise to consumers is a delightful user experience, and
nothing during the period of the stock demise has changed the
brand promise

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APPLE .docx

  • 1. APPLE 2 Apple is sitting on the largest cash hoard of any publicly-traded company, or any company for that matter. It has $137B in its coffers and, based upon its current trajectory, Apple could have over $170B in cash, short-term and long-term investments by then end of the year. Analysts, investors and reporters were in ‘awe’ of the cash flow as the company’s stock appreciated from $7 to $700. Now, with Apple trading in the mid-$400s, the ‘awe’ has turned into ‘ire’ and for good reason. (When “cash balance” is referred to in this article, it means cash, short-term and long-term investments.) David Einhorn pushed the large cash issue as far as he could. David is a successful investor, with a strong track record. He is renown for his thoroughness. From David’s point of view and as representative of shareholders generally, he could put the cash balance to better use (read: better return) if he invested it rather than Apple just sitting on it. If the cash were returned to investors, they could decided how they wanted to invest that cash, ie conservatively or aggressively, as they wish rather than putting their faith into Apple to run this very large portfolio. The overall size of the portfolio is enormous. To put Apple’s investment portfolio in perspective, consider this. Bridgewater Associates is the largest hedge fund in the world and is estimated to manage between $120 and $145 Billion in assets. This suggests that Apple is either the largest or second largest hedge fund in the world, with tremendous investment return potential. Yet, approximately $40B of the $137B is in ‘Cash and Short-Term investments’ which investors know painfully well yields barely any return at all. And shareholders are not
  • 2. even privy to the investment strategy of the remaining almost $100B. Shareholders of Apple are, in effect, investors in the largest hedge fund in the world with absolutely no idea what they are invested in. The real question is how to make money from that cash balance. In theory, investors want companies to invest their cash back into building their businesses. Hence, no one cared about the cash in the stock-price march from $7 to $700 because Apple was apparently making it “work” for shareholders. As Apple’s stock faltered (or, more appropriately put, took a skydive), shareholders began to want to put the cash to work themselves, because investors could certainly return better than -35%, if they invested it themselves, or so the theory goes. There’s another answer, however. Innovate. Keep the cash and use the cash and innovate. And innovate now. Apple is the innovator for consumer technology. Apple is the company that made consumers have to have iPods, iPhones, and iPads. Apple was not the very first to introduce a music player, smartphone or tablet, but it has been the first to mass- popularize each. Apple wasn’t first because it didn’t introduce products until the technology could realize Apple’s vision of how the product should work and what the consumer experience should be. And in doing so, Apple paved the way for competitors to have success in Apple’s wake. Disruptive innovation is Apple’s hallmark. It is time for another disruptive product and it is certain that Steve Jobs left that playbook for Apple. Apple has a large talent pool from which to drive innovation and a roadmap or culture on how to bring innovation to market. And Apple has this enormous cash balance to fund this talented pool of designers, engineers and marketers to introduce new products to market. So, in a way, owning Apple could be like owning part of an incubator, if it innovates, and that could be very exciting for shareholders. Then Apple can leverage its brand promise to create shine on any new product. Apple’s
  • 3. brand promise to consumers is a delightful user experience, and nothing during the period of the stock demise has changed the brand promise