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If u is strictly concave and 0 < p <
      1, then u(E(x)) > E(u(x)).
             Jensen’s Inequality
 Derivation for the two-point support case
x is a random variable with realizations
x1 and x2, x1 < x2.
u is the utility function. u is increasing
and strictly concave.
p = prob{x = x1}, 1 – p = prob{x = x2}

              Model Setup
E(x) = px1 + (1-p)x2
E(u(x)) = pu(x1) + (1-p)u(x2)

   Expectation of x and
    Expectation of u(x)
Graph of Model Setup
Similar Triangles
Larger : Base = x2 - x1 Height = u(x2) – u(x1).

Smaller : Base = E(x) - x1 Height = ?

              Base and Height
Larger : Base = x2 - x1 Height = u(x2) – u(x1).

Smaller : Base = E(x) - x1 Height = ?

E(x) - x1 = px1 + (1 – p)x2 – x1 = (1 – p)(x2 –x1).

            A little bit of algebra
Larger : Base = x2 - x1 Height = u(x2) – u(x1).

Smaller : Base = (1 – p)(x2 –x1).

           Height = (1 – p)[u(x2) – u(x1)].

                 Conclusion
u(x1) + (1 – p)[u(x2) – u(x1)] =

u(x1) - (1 – p)u(x1) + (1 – p)u(x2) =

pu(x1) + (1 – p)u(x2) = E(u(x))

             More Algebra
Justification of Labeling

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Jensen's inequality

  • 1. If u is strictly concave and 0 < p < 1, then u(E(x)) > E(u(x)). Jensen’s Inequality Derivation for the two-point support case
  • 2. x is a random variable with realizations x1 and x2, x1 < x2. u is the utility function. u is increasing and strictly concave. p = prob{x = x1}, 1 – p = prob{x = x2} Model Setup
  • 3. E(x) = px1 + (1-p)x2 E(u(x)) = pu(x1) + (1-p)u(x2) Expectation of x and Expectation of u(x)
  • 6. Larger : Base = x2 - x1 Height = u(x2) – u(x1). Smaller : Base = E(x) - x1 Height = ? Base and Height
  • 7. Larger : Base = x2 - x1 Height = u(x2) – u(x1). Smaller : Base = E(x) - x1 Height = ? E(x) - x1 = px1 + (1 – p)x2 – x1 = (1 – p)(x2 –x1). A little bit of algebra
  • 8. Larger : Base = x2 - x1 Height = u(x2) – u(x1). Smaller : Base = (1 – p)(x2 –x1). Height = (1 – p)[u(x2) – u(x1)]. Conclusion
  • 9. u(x1) + (1 – p)[u(x2) – u(x1)] = u(x1) - (1 – p)u(x1) + (1 – p)u(x2) = pu(x1) + (1 – p)u(x2) = E(u(x)) More Algebra