Analysis of Agriculture Sector

Marcia Sofia Bayona Montalvo

Here a brief look at the AG Sector

Economy & Finance

Agriculture Equipment
Sector – Analysis and
Commentary
PAUL YOUNG CPA CGA
SEPTEMBER 9, 2020

Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Supply Chain Management
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com

Agenda
 North American AG Equipment Sales / July 2020
 Commodity Prices
 Food Prices
 Farming Income
 Top Farming States
 Food Processors
 Technology and Farming
 Government and Farming
 Summary

North American Equipment Sales
Source - https://www.aem.org/Market-Data/

Food Prices
 Canada Food Prices - https://cfjctoday.com/2020/07/30/food-prices-on-the-rise-amid-covid-19-
pandemic/
 USA Food Prices - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy/us-consumer-prices-push-higher-
high-unemployment-likely-to-keep-lid-on-inflation-idUSKCN2581SA
 World Food Prices - https://www.ontariofarmer.com/business/farm-business/world-food-prices-rising

Farm Income
 Farming Income in Canada has been struggling for the past few years -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/191126/dq191126b-eng.htm
 USA farm income and aid - https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/us-farm-income-expected-to-
rise-in-2019-but-only-because-of-government-aid
 AG subsidies - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/world-farm-subsidies-hit-2-billion-a-day

Top Farming States
Source - https://www.statista.com/statistics/196114/top-10-us-states-by-number-of-farms/

Food Processors
 Source - www.fao.org or https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2019/09/04/1910664/0/en/Food-Processing-Market-to-Exceed-4-Trillion-
by-2024-Key-Trends-Analysis-Opportunities-to-Succeed.html

Technology and Farming
 AI is transforming farming - https://www.forbes.com/sites/cognitiveworld/2019/07/05/how-ai-is-
transforming-agriculture/#1fa34bec4ad1
 AI and farming - https://customerthink.com/the-role-of-artificial-intelligence-in-agriculture-sector/
 IBM and farming - https://farmtario.com/news/ibm-expands-artificial-intelligence-platform-into-
agriculture/
 RPA and Farming - https://blog.accubits.com/robotic-process-automation-in-agribusiness/

Government / Farming
 Elimination of trade barriers - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-for-global-
trade-protectionism
 More emphasis on local supply chain management solutions -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/tranformation-of-supply-chains
 Tax fairness and regulatory reforms - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/does-the-world-need-
a-wealth-tax
 Government provides direct subsidies and/or loans to farmers
 Government needs to revisit all their programs to ensure various programs are efficient and effective -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/market-food-protein-market-analysis-and-commentary or
https://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/internet/English/parl_lpt_e_934.html or https://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2016/03/08/BC-
Carbon-Tax-Failure/
 Automation can help with automation of audits - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/internal-audit-and-
performance-base-auditing

Summary
 All levels of government need to work together to better support the agriculture
and food processing sector
 The world needs to unite to fixed issues with WTO
 More balanced between environmental and economic policies.

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Many countries around the world provide support to agriculture sector Agenda 2030 is pushing for more corporate farms There are improvements in farming over the year like vertical farming, water and land management and crop resistance to drought Canada Food/AG sectors have loss jobs since the Liberal took power in 2015 Liberals cannot get goods to market, i.e. grain not getting to export markets

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This PowerPoint presentation covers the Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies in the Agriculture industry. This ppt presentation includes the impact of COVID 19 pandemic on the agriculture sector all over the world causing global trade disturbance. It also covers measures to control outbreaks and Impact on Food Demand and Food Security such as the demand for food has affected due to a reduction in income and purchasing capacity. This PowerPoint presentation has covered agriculture sector overview including Major Impact on Food Transport and Distribution, Impact on Food Demand and Food Security, Projected agriculture sector growth after the COVID 19 outbreak. It also includes COVID 19 Agricultures Income Impacts, how lockdown affected the farmers in INDIA, and IMPACTS OF COVID 19 ON FARMING. This presentation focuses on certain risks in the agricultural sector or industry such as Disruption Due to Social Distancing including Safety Measures in Harvesting, Post harvest Operations, Storage and Marketing of Produce, Social distancing- Worker safety and Personal Protective Equipment PPE and Workers Safety Guidelines. Another risk that we have captured is Plummeting Employee Productivity which includes the Impact Of COVID 19 On Agricultural Field Workers, Loss workers Productivity During COVID 19, and Risks on Productivity of Workers During The COVID 19 Pandemic. It also covers the risk of Stressed Supply Chains including Food Supply Chain Under Strain, Impact of Corona on Supply and demand Side, Exchange Rates- Impact on Exporters, and Urgent increases in food availability from smallholder farmer food production. Another risk that is captured in this PowerPoint presentation is Recession, Unemployment, and Investment Pull-back including Recession Economic Impact on Agriculture World, Change in Rice and Wheat Export Prices, laying off some workers, Impact on Seasonal Workers and Foreign Investors Pull Out Investment. This presentation has also covered Economic Instability and Civil Unrest including Causes on Global Economy Instability, Agriculture Industry Feeling the Economic Instability, and Civil Unrest Due To COVID 19. This PowerPoint presentation also covers the Impact on Agricultural Businesses- Ability to Repay Outstanding Loan Balance, Business Impact Analysis, including Agricultural Risk Assessment Matrix, Risk Priority Worksheet, and Implications on Business due to COVID 19. It also covers Readiness Assessments plan such as Agricultural and Allied Activities Exempted from Lockdown and Agricultural Industry Readiness Assessment checklist. This PowerPoint presentation also includes risk management plans such as Covid 19 Farm Contingency Plan and Post harvest, storage and Marketing of farm produce, policy management, Business continuity strategy, and Rural Workers Lost Jobs During Coronavirus Lockdown Survey Results. https://bit.ly/3ag30Dz

Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Agriculture Sector...

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This PowerPoint presentation covers the Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies in the Transportation Industry. This PPT presentation includes Governments, companies, and communities response to the COVID 19 pandemic and how does it affect our way of life and that of our local, regional, and global transport systems. This presentation we have focused on the impact of coronavirus pandemic on the United States transportation sector such as air transportation, retail and food services transportation, and how Travel Restrictions Affecting Flights. This presentation also covers Impact on Air Travel, Impact on trucking transportation and, Worldwide Transportation Sector Situation. Here we have depicted Disruption Due to Social Distancing such as the impact of COVID 19 outbreak such as how one infected person can spread coronavirus to nine others in public transport due to which concept of social destining is implemented and Public Transport Social Distancing Guidelines. This PowerPoint presentation also focuses on the description in Employee Productivity such as the Impact of COVID 19 on Businesses and The Workforce, how Workforce is Losing Productivity, and Risk of losing work Effectiveness. This PPT presentation is focusing on risks such as Stressed Supply Chains causing COVID 19 Global Supply Chain Disruptions, Effects of COVID 19 on Transportation Demand. It also covers Disruption in Global Logistics Industry Mobility Automotive and Transportation also the Effect of COVID 19 on the supply chain of the transportation market. This presentation also covers the risk of Recession, Unemployment, and Investment Pull-back in the transportation sector such as the downfall in the GDP of goods and transport market and shutting off large parts of the US economy, Logistics Industry Vulnerable To COVID 19 Trade Flows at Risk. It also covers US Trucking Employment Index Plummeting Below Base in Pandemic, Jobs Risk due to COVID 19 Outbreak, how Industries are Suffering the Biggest Job Losses, and Investment Pull Back Status in Transportation Sector. Here we also cover Economic Instability such as Automotive and Transportation Market Outlook, GDP Goods Transportation Sector, and Civil Unrest Due To COVID 19. https://bit.ly/2SD4l18

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A presentation based on our research paper " Emerging Paradigm for India's Manufacturing Sector". It assesses the general potential impact of the shock on various segments of the economy with specific details of impact on the manufacturing sector, the factors stimulating it and analyse the policies that have been announced so far by the central government to ameliorate the economic shock and put forward a set of key recommendations for businesses and Indian economy.

Emerging Paradigm for India's Manufacturing Sector

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Farmers have to deal with rain, bugs, sun, etc Commodity prices impact a farmer ability to sell his product The liberals have come to office as such have imposed more tax and regulations on the family farm Canada has a supply management system that manages quota. Canada has open up dairy, poultry, etc to foreign imports via TPP, CETA and USMCA agreements. Farmers are looking for price support as part of the expansion of imports into Canada

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IndexBox Marketing has just published its report: “U.S. Metal Kitchen Cookware, Utensil, Cutlery, And Flatware (Except Precious) Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020”. The report provides an in-depth analysis of the U.S. metal kitchen cookware, utensil, cutlery, and flatware (except precious) market. It presents the latest data of the market size and volume, domestic production, exports and imports, price dynamics and turnover in the industry. In addition, the report contains insightful information about the industry, including industry life cycle, business locations, productivity, employment and many other crucial aspects. The Company Profiles section contains relevant data on the major players in the industry.

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The COVID-19 pandemic is a global health crisis that is already having devastating impacts on the world economy – both directly and through necessary measures to contain the spread of the disease. These impacts are also being felt by the food and agriculture sector. While the supply of food has held up well to date, in many countries, the measures put in place to contain the spread of the virus are starting to disrupt the supply of agrofood products to markets and consumers, both within and across borders. The sector is also experiencing a substantial shift in the composition and – for some commodities – the level of demand. How damaging these impacts turn out to be for food security, nutrition and the livelihoods of farmers, fishers and others working along the food supply chain will depend in large part on policy responses over the short, medium and long term. In the short term, governments must manage multiple demands – responding to the health crisis, managing the consequences of the shock to the economy, and ensuring the smooth functioning of the food system. While the pandemic poses some serious challenges for the food system in the short term, it is also an opportunity to accelerate transformations in the food and agriculture sector to build its resilience in the face of a range of challenges, including climate change

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An outline of the Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the U.S., 4th Edition report which examines sales and growth potential, identifying key issues and trends that will affect the marketplace through 2019. The report also analyzes and profiles major marketers and retailers, examines marketing and new product trends, and tabulates consumer attitudes and behaviors toward natural/organic foods and beverages and the corresponding retail shopping patterns. Numerous tables, charts, graphs, and illustrations highlight and reinforce key points.

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Increasing income levels resulting in increasing expenditure on food products, changing food habits of Asian consumers and changing demographics are the major growth drivers for the global seasonings and spices market. Asian countries such as India are the major producers of seasonings and spices. Uncertain economic conditions coupled with inefficient logistics act as major growth restraints for seasoning and spice producing countries, such as India. Government policies resulting in rejection of imported spices also hampers the growth in international markets. Increasing demand from the organic segment offers great opportunity for the market.

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1. Farm Credit - https://www.usda.gov/media/blog/2020/09/24/americas-farmers-resilient-throughout-covid-pandemic 2. Food Prices - https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/money/2021/08/food-price-surge-fruit-and-vegetables-most-expensive-they-ve-been-in-10-years-milk-reaches-all-time-high.html 3. Food Prices - https://www.agweek.com/opinion/columns/7131053-Food-price-hikes-expected-to-continue-this-year-slow-in-2022 4. High profitable food products - https://farmgrants.ca/3-profitable-specialty-crops-canadian-farmers/ 5. Farm incomes - https://www.deccanherald.com/opinion/panorama/as-2022-approaches-goal-of-doubling-farm-incomes-remains-elusive-1018426.html 6. Rising costs - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/euphoria-fades-as-farmers-fret-over-inflation-rising-costs 7. Subsidies - https://bbj.hu/politics/foreign-affairs/eu/poland-wants-eu-to-simplify-farm-subsidies-minister12188 8. Subsidies - https://www.weau.com/2021/08/03/wisconsin-ranks-16th-nation-dollars-received-usda-subsidies/ 9. Urban farming - https://techcrunch.com/2021/08/05/hydroponic-farming-startup-just-vertical-cultivates-growth-at-home/ 10. Vertical Farming - https://www.greenbiz.com/article/aerofarms-trying-cultivate-future-vertical-farming 11. Land - https://beef2live.com/story-ranking-countries-area-sq-miles-acres-0-211002 12. Food security - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/food-insecurity-grows-by-a-third-due-to-pandemic

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Blog – Farm Receipts and Income – Agricultural Sector – Canada – August 2022 All levels of government need to work together to ensure food security as part of managing the cost of food around the globe. Advancement in areas like expert and vertical farming are very critical when it comes to addressing food security. Farmers in Canada seen a rise in their farm receipts from January 2022 to July 2022. More needs to be done to address crop yields, input costs, and getting goods to market. More needs to be done to protect scarce resources like water and arable land.

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1. Farm Incomes – https://ec.europa.eu/info/news/farm-income-increased-over-last-decade-important-differences-between-eu-countries-2021-jul-09_en 2. Farm - https://www.farminguk.com/news/only-half-of-farmers-plan-to-use-farm-income-in-later-life_58566.html 3. Sustainable Farming Practices - https://sentientmedia.org/sustainable-farming/ 4. AG Tech - https://www.fooddive.com/spons/fueling-the-future-of-food-and-sustainable-farming-through-agtech-innovatio/602306/ 5. Expert farming has been around for nearly 10 years. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-expert-and-vertical-farming 6. Farm Debt - https://farmpolicynews.illinois.edu/2021/06/farm-debt-declines-loan-performance-improves-kansas-city-fed/ 7. Climate change - https://theconversation.com/to-make-agriculture-more-climate-friendly-carbon-farming-needs-clear-rules-160243 8. Climate change - https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/eu-farming-policy-failing-fight-climate-change-auditors-say-2021-06-21/ 9. Food security - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/itk-food-security-strategy-released-1.6099119 10. Food Security - https://reliefweb.int/report/world/state-food-security-and-nutrition-world-2021-transforming-food-systems-food-security 11. Food Prices - https://blogs.imf.org/2021/06/24/four-facts-about-soaring-consumer-food-prices/ 12. Food Prices - https://www.businessinsider.com/why-are-food-prices-rising-grocery-restaurants-inflation-more-expensive-2021-6 13. Rising fuel costs - https://www.deccanherald.com/state/top-karnataka-stories/rise-in-fuel-prices-proves-costly-for-farmers-1007524.html

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Summary: The largest year-over-year increase in farm cash receipts in 40 years helped to offset a similarly historic rise in operating expenses as Canadian realized net farm income jumped more than 40% in 2021. A Statistics Canada farm income report on Wednesday pegged national realized net farm income at $13.5 billion, up 46.4% from a year earlier. (Realized net income is the difference between a farmer's cash receipts and operating expenses, minus depreciation, plus income in kind). The increase for 2021 follows on the heels of a nearly 80% rise in realized net farm income in 2020 and a much more modest 5.1% hike in 2019. On the other side of the ledger, fertilizer expenses for Canadian farmers increased by 31.8% to $7.5 billion in 2021. Commercial feed expenses for livestock producers were up by 23% to $9.6 billion as the drought in Western Canada caused pastures to suffer and limited the amount of hay and grain feed that could be stored on farms or purchased from others. Machinery fuel expenses increased by 29.1% to $2.9 billion in 2021, as governments around the world reopened their economies after taking measures to curb the spread of COVID-19 in 2020, StatsCan said. Source - https://www.syngenta.ca/market-news/realized-net-farm-income-up-sharply-in-2021

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Blog – Farming and AG Equipment – May 2021 1. Diesel fuel - https://www.dieselforum.org/about-clean-diesel/agriculture 2. Food Prices - https://www.reuters.com/world/china/world-food-price-index-climbs-april-highest-since-mid-2014-fao-2021-05-06/ 3. Food supply - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-06/one-grain-is-keeping-the-world-s-food-crisis-from-getting-worse 4. Food Price Index - http://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/ 5. https://troymedia.com/business/canadas-food-security-depends-on-significant-policy-shifts/#.YJz5waEpBPY - Food manufacturing lacks investment, suffers from thin margins, faces additional grocers’ fees and must deal with aging facilities 6. Carbon tax and farmers - https://westernstandardonline.com/2021/05/https-westernstandardonline-com-2021-05-farmers-may-catch-a-break-with-proposed-carbon-tax-exemptions/ 7. Vertical farming - https://thebrockvilleobserver.ca/news/77133/global-vertical-farming-market-demand-and-future-trends-2021-to-2026-aerofarms-mirai-lufa-farms-gotham-greens-garden-fresh-farms-plenty-bright-farms/ 8. Income/Canada - https://www.ft.com/content/e9eef237-eb5f-4f64-ac60-12df66320358 9. Land Values - https://www.harvestpublicmedia.org/post/high-farm-incomes-lead-rising-land-values 10. Food chain - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/food-tech-innovator-notch-launches-as-first-all-in-one-solution-to-bring-the-entire-restaurant-supply-chain-online-with-the-tap-of-an-app-809210643.html

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The world continues to face challenges due to supply chain disruption. More needs to be done by all levels of government to support food security. 1. Food Prices - https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/food-prices-may-sow-seeds-of-next-inflation-crisis-nomura-says 2. Food prices - https://geneticliteracyproject.org/2021/11/12/food-prices-have-increased-by-33-worldwide-and-costs-are-continuing-to-rise-how-can-we-boost-productivity-to-feed-a-growing-population/ 3. Integration - https://india.mongabay.com/2021/11/integrated-farming-systems-emerge-as-possible-climate-adaptation-solution/ 4. Taxes and Cash Flow - https://www.producer.com/opinion/excess-cash-can-be-tax-problem-for-farming-corporations/ 5. Climate change - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-11-10/farmers-battle-climate-change-food-crisis 6. Vertical farming - https://www.itv.com/news/wales/2021-11-11/what-is-vertical-farming-and-could-it-be-a-solution-to-tackling-climate-change 7. Farming - http://thegrower.org/node/3580 8. Innovation - https://www.macleans.ca/economy/how-blockchain-could-revolutionize-food-supply-chains-and-lower-your-grocery-bill/ 9. Food production - https://ipolitics.ca/2021/11/03/canadas-food-production-limited-by-lack-of-labour-and-tech-report/ 10. Innovation - https://foodsafedrains.com/blog/8-innovative-food-technology-trends-for-2021

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Summary: Farmers continue to struggle with input costs The government is undertaking a food costs study. Supply chains are extremely complicated. Nowhere has the to government mentioned that their study will also look at input costs driven by their policies like fuel standard or carbon pricing. Federal, state, provincial, local government, and private sector continue to face hurdles in terms of developing a housing strategy. All levels of government need to look at the best way to protect viable fertile land while providing affordable housing solutions to their residents. UK is taking brave steps to prevent wind and solar farms being built on arable farmland Little has been said about the government of Canada and their stance on fertilizer. Crop yields are critical when it comes to both food costs and security. Expert/Vertical/smart practices continue to develop in a way to better support expanding crop yields. More needs to be done via tax policies including capital costs allowance as part of supporting farmers adopting smart/vertical/expert farming practices. Farm debt continues to rise. Higher interest rates may start impacting farmers when it comes to financing capital purchases. Circular economy needs to be push through capital costs and R&D policy changes and not through carbon tax/pricing. The most efficient way to address climate change is to look environmental practices that are sustainable. Vertical farming for remote communities needs to be push as part of reducing food costs. This can also be accomplished through development of natural resources in Canada. The additional tax revenue could then be used to better support infrastructure in remote and rural communities.

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Summary: Farm incomes continue to be strong. AG equipment sales had a banner year in 2021. More and more farmers will continue to adopt expert farming and sustainable practices when it comes to managing their crop yields. Agriculture subsidies continue to be a focus area as countries look to expand their AG exports. 1. Crop yields – http://geographical.co.uk/people/development/item/4253-adapt-to-survive 2. Crop insurance and Expert farming - https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/16975-direct-checks-expected-to-ignite-cover-crop-surge-crop-insurance-may-play-role-too 3. Vertical farming - https://www.hortweek.com/pioneers-shaping-future-vertical-farming/fresh-produce/article/1737366 4. Ag subsidies - https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/blog/meat-and-dairy-gobble-up-farming-subsidies/ 5. Trade - https://www.wattagnet.com/articles/44271-now-is-the-time-to-pursue-us-africa-agriculture-trade?v=preview 6. Trade - https://www.livemint.com/news/world/india-to-remove-longstanding-barrier-to-agricultural-trade-say-us-officials-11641858901225.html 7. Food costs - https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/local/2022/01/13/rising-food-costs-2022-groceries-restaurants-farmers-department-agriculture/9184619002/ 8. Inflation - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/december-inflation-sees-fastest-price-152424665.html 9. Farm income - https://katv.com/news/local/farm-incomes-on-the-rise-fryar-center-predicts-trend-to-continue-in-20 10. Outlook - https://upstreamaginsights.substack.com/p/2022-upstream-ag-insights-outlook or https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/2021-was-a-year-unlike-any-other-for-farm-machinery 11. Automation - https://www.gmpresswire.com/agricultural-robots-market-outlook-by-opportunity-and-demand-analysis-forecast-2026/ 12. Fertilizer - https://www.realagriculture.com/2017/12/vervaets-slurry-spreader-features-nir-for-precise-nitrogen-application/

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Rising food costs continue to hammer household budgets More and more farmers are adopting technology as part of improving their crop yields Governments around the world need to address issues with food supply and costs 1. Crop production - https://www.farmprogress.com/morning-market-review/morning-market-review-october-12-2021 2. AG Equipment - https://www.farmprogress.com/equipment/agriculture-equipment-economic-outlook 3. AG Subsidies - https://insidetrade.com/daily-news/us-ag-subsidies-hit-all-time-high-2019-just-shy-wto-limit 4. Vertical farming - https://techcrunch.com/2021/10/10/on-ten-years-of-the-vertical-farm/ 5. AG futures - https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/markets/futures 6. Food prices - https://news.yahoo.com/food-prices-rise-highest-level-183100670.html 7. Food - https://www.bbc.com/news/business-58847275 8. Supply chain woes - https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/16619-supply-chain-woes-hit-us-ag-sector-hard 9. Water - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/10/ancient-water-management-techniques-prairie-farmers-drought-climate-change-solution 10. Innovation - http://www.fruitnet.com/fpj/article/186534/gs-takes-lead-in-3-6m-science-programme 11. AI and farming - https://www.ai-startups.org/top/agriculture/ 12. Technology - https://www.businessinsider.com/15-agriculture-tech-startups-vcs-take-off-2021-9

What is next for Agriculture Equipment and Food/Farming Sector?

Summary: Last week, farmers, ranchers, and federal agency officials offered up their advice on how to do that to Congressmembers in two separate hearings. The first hearing was dedicated to the conservation programs through which the USDA pays farmers to adopt sustainable practices and take land out of production. These programs—especially the Environmental Quality Incentives Program (EQIP) and the Conservation Stewardship Program (CSP)—are uniquely popular among farmers and most farm and environmental advocacy groups. But the programs don’t always deliver on their promises around improving soil health or maximizing carbon sequestration. Source - https://civileats.com/2022/02/09/field-report-farm-bill-climate-action-vegan-fridays-meatpackers-usda-csp-eqip/ 1. Farmers - https://www.realagriculture.com/2022/02/nearly-two-thirds-of-farm-family-income-in-canada-from-off-farm-statscan-report/ 2. Farming income - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/farm-income-is-forecast-far-above-average-for-second-year 3. Equipment - https://www.wholefarmcoop.com/agriculture-and-farm-equipment-market-to-witness-huge-growth-by-2027/ 4. Vertical farming - https://www.hortibiz.com/newsitem/news/vertical-farming-has-a-big-role-in-sustainable-agri/ 5. Farming productivity - https://germination.ca/farmers-innovation-experts-say-canada-needs-a-better-system-to-compete-on-the-world-stage/ 6. Food costs - https://www.mirror.co.uk/money/food-could-end-up-30-26214677 7. Farming - https://www.arabnews.pk/node/1465881/saudi-arabia 8. Top Beef producers - https://beef2live.com/story-world-beef-production-ranking-countries-0-106885 9. Food innovation - https://www.foodnavigator-usa.com/Article/2022/02/11/Dietitians-forecast-a-future-of-food-innovations-warn-against-Tik-Tok-pseudoscience 10. Food Waste - https://www.winnipegfreepress.com/opinion/editorials/food-waste-is-largely-a-solvable-problem-576195892.html

Agriculture and Farm Equipment Sector| January 2022

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Summary All levels of government need to work together to ease fear around food security Liberals continue to push their climate change policies at all costs. Farmers are seeing higher input costs that are impacting their margins More needs to be done to address the rural housing crisis. More needs to be done to protect vital farmland Vertical farming solutions need to be push as part of food security

Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - AG Prices.pptx

US inflation accelerated to a fresh 40-year high in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming entrenched in the economy. That will likely push the Federal Reserve to extend an aggressive series of interest-rate hikes and adds to political problems for the White House and Democrats. The consumer price index increased 8.6 per cent from a year earlier in a broad-based advance, Labor Department data showed Friday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1 per cent from a month earlier, topping all estimates. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors. The so-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.6 per cent from the prior month and 6 per cent from a year ago, also above forecasts. Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-unexpectedly-accelerates-to-40-year-high-1.1777105

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Summary: Homebuilders are walking a fine line when it comes to new projects as high mortgage rates curb demand. New residential construction, including single-family homes and multifamily, dropped 11.3% month over month in August to 1.283 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Census Bureau data released Tuesday. That's down 14.8% compared with a year ago and well below the 1.44 million units economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected. But authorized residential permits — an indicator of potential future activity — rose 6.9% to 1.543 million permits in August from July. That was still down 2.7% from last August. Single-family permits, though, were up 2% from July to 949,000. Multifamily permits came in at 535,000. The data reflects two opposing forces builders are trying to balance: the ongoing need for new construction to fill in limited inventory and elevated mortgage rates that are hurting their biggest customer right now, the first-time homebuyer. "High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower," Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, said Monday in a press release after builder confidence dropped for the second straight month. Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilders-face-a-tough-balancing-act-on-new-construction-amid-high-mortgage-rates-130744368.html

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Blog – What is next for the Mining Sector – September 2023 The mining sector provides critical material that support solar, wind, and lithium-ion batteries as part of the green transition. https://www.iea.org/news/critical-minerals-market-sees-unprecedented-growth-as-clean-energy-demand-drives-strong-increase-in-investment The mining sector products play a key role with the global GDP - https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/global-mining-industry-value-was-69-of-world-gdp-last-year-china-says Mining practices need to be sustainable including following all ESG policies - https://www.linkedin.com/advice/1/how-can-you-monitor-sustainable-mining-practices Other links and sources – Lithium Supply and Price - https://zbr.com.mx/en/sin-categoria-es/lithium-prices-fall-44-in-china-due-to-lack-of-demand/138168/ Cobalt - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/mahmut-karada%C5%9F-a2b7a5151_china-exportrestrictions-gallium-activity-7082603182589157376-Zrty/?trk=public_profile_like_view Nickel https://www.eureporter.co/business/2023/09/15/stanislav-kondrashov-from-telf-ag-nickel-prices-outlook-remains-positive/ Iron-ore - https://www.brecorder.com/news/40263584/sgx-iron-ore-set-for-best-week-in-3-months TD Bank / Metals - https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/setting-the-stage-for-gold-outlook Biodiversity / Mining - https://worldcrunch.com/green/lithium-green-energy-argentina-indigenous ESG - https://iriscarbon.com/the-added-value-of-integrated-esg-reporting-a-threefold-framework/

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Blog – Manufacturing Shipments and Orders – The United States – August 2023 Summary: New orders for manufacturing technology in the United States totaled $353.9 million in July 2023, as per the latest report by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology. This figure marked a 12.4% decline from June 2023 but remained only 10.5% lower than July 2022. Year-to-date orders amounted to $2.83 billion, reflecting a 12.7% decrease compared to the same period the previous year. Douglas K. Woods, President of AMT, noted that July is typically a slower month for manufacturing technology orders, so a slight drop was expected. However, he pointed out a notable trend: over the last two months, the year-to-date order gap has narrowed during historically slow periods. While job shops have seen decreased orders, other industries that benefited from reshoring or government investments have helped fill the gap. Among specific sectors, job shops, the largest customer segment, placed their lowest total monthly orders since August 2020. In contrast, metal valve manufacturers recorded their third-highest monthly order value on record, last seen in September 2018, making up nearly 5% of the total manufacturing technology order value for July 2023. Manufacturers of motor vehicle transmissions continued to order machinery at an elevated pace. However, the aerospace industry continued to order below its early 2022 peaks, with hopes that recent projects like the federal government's $1.5 billion investment in communications satellites might reverse this trend. Source: https://www.sme.org/technologies/articles/2023/september/u.s.-manufacturing-technology-orders-dip-in-july-but-show-resilience-amid-economic-uncertainty

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Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023 Summary: Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally. The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32. The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33. The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses. Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut. Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night. Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines. On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.

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Summary: Over three-quarters of the world’s total coal-generated electricity is consumed in just three countries. China is the top user of coal, making up 53.3% of global coal demand, followed by India at 13.6%, and the U.S. at 8.9%. Burning coal—for electricity, as well as metallurgy and cement production—is the world’s single largest source of CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, its use in electricity generation has actually grown 91.2% since 1997, the year when the first global climate agreement was signed in Kyoto, Japan. However, even as non-renewables enjoy their time in the sun, their days could be numbered. In 2022, renewables, such as wind, solar, and geothermal, represented 14.4% of total electricity generation with an extraordinary annual growth rate of 14.7%, driven by big gains in solar and wind. Non-renewables, by contrast, only managed an anemic 0.4%. The authors of the Statistical Review do not include hydroelectric in their renewable calculations, even though many others, including the International Energy Agency, consider it a “well-established renewable power technology.” With hydroelectric moved into the renewable column, together they accounted for over 29.3% of all electricity generated in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 7.4%. Source - https://energynow.ca/2023/09/infographic-what-electricity-sources-power-the-world-see-them-here-visual-capitalist/

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What did the markets tell us this week? 1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world. 2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets. 3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies. 4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns. 5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia. 6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc 7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues. 8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing 9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain. 10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector. 11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.

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Summary: The global economy faces what at least one forecaster is calling a mild trade recession as shipments from China slump and German factories downshift. China’s export declines extended into August, though there were signs that the worst of a world trade slowdown may be over for the leading exporter. Overseas shipments from China fell 8.8% in dollar terms from a year earlier while imports contracted 7.3%, both better than economists’ estimates and significantly less severe than July’s downturn. Other data have suggested trade may be stabilizing after weakening for most of this year. Exports from South Korea also declined at a more moderate pace in August than the previous month. Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-09-07/supply-chain-latest-world-trade-faces-a-shallow-recession?srnd=economics-v2 Additional sources and links: Lithium - https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/falling-lithium-prices-challenge-potential-cost-advantages-of-sodium-batteries Oil Production - https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/business/oil-price-goldman-sachs/index.html Natural gas - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/natural-gas-holds-up-as-markets-in-limbo-over-strikes-202309070956 Lumber - https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/sawmill-capacity-closures-reshape-us-lumber-supply Critical metals - https://www.wasterecyclingmag.ca/feature/how-recycling-could-solve-the-shortage-of-minerals-essential-to-clean-energy/ Agriculture - https://www.morningagclips.com/economists-forecast-positive-end-of-year-crop-outlook-despite-warmer-midwestern-climate/ ESG - https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2023/09/the-informed-board/the-eus-new-esg-disclosure-rules Ports - https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/HAPAG-LLOYD-AG-24857717/news/Hapag-Lloyd-chief-warns-of-rougher-seas-ahead-for-container-shipping-44789017/ Top destination for reshoring - https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2023/08/29/uae-in-top-10-most-powerful-passports-for-investment-opportunity/ Global Trade - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-opinion-broke-global-climate-finish.html

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Lumber production in Canada continues to face many hurdles Canada forest management practices are some of the bests in the world Canada planted over 440M in seedlings back in 2018. It is now 2022 which means close 2M seedlings have been planted. All levels need to put more focus on urban and rural planning solutions More work including spending on wildfire and forest fire mitigation Canada and USA need to find a path forward to resolve the softwood lumber dispute There needs to a better balanced between climate change policies and growing the economy in a sustainable way 3D printing for housing needs to become mainstream More protection needs to happen with key ecosystems like wetlands, forest, and peatlands. There is a risk of debt default if interest rates are hike over the next few months

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