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Agriculture
Equipment Sector –
Analysis and
Commentary
PAUL YOUNG CPA CGA
SEPTEMBER 16, 2022
Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
Agenda
 North American AG Equipment Sales
 Commodity Prices
 AG Prices – Canada
 Preliminary Crop Estimates – Canada
 Oilseeds
 Energy Prices
 Carbon Tax
 Food Prices
 Hospitality Sector
 Farming Income
 Top Farming States
 Food Processors
 Technology and Farming
 Government and Farming
 Debt
 Summary
North American Equipment Sales
Source - https://www.aem.org/Market-Data/
US-Month-Ag-Report
-8-2022.pdf
CAN-Month-Ag-Rep
ort-8-2022.pdf
Key Commodity Prices (BMO)
Source – BMO Economics
PRESENTATION TITLE
2/11/20XX 5
Food Prices
Source -
http://www.fao.org/worldfoodsi
tuation/foodpricesindex/en/
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 6
Carbon Tax – Canada
 Carbon Tax / Farmers – Wheat Farmers - https://wheatgrowers.ca/
 Greenhouse growers / Carbon Tax Exemptions - https://www.greenhousecanada.com/bc-greenhouse-
growers-get-permanent-carbon-tax-relief-20363/
 Grain Dryer - https://www.world-grain.com/articles/13262-canadas-grain-dryer-program-tackles-
efficiency
 Carbon Tax hike? - https://www.sherwoodparknews.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-liberals-mum-on-
hiking-carbon-taxes/wcm/a55ed40c-d289-4023-802b-4d2a1335cdc5
Hospitality Sector
Blog – Food Services and Hospitality Sector – Canada and the World – August 2021
The food and beverage sector continue to face many challenges.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/hospitality-and-food-service-sector-canada-august-2021
Blog – Food Prices
Blog - With Demand Soaring, Booming Food Sector Turns to Food Contract Manufacturing
As demand for food products increases nationwide, businesses are frequently turning to food contract
manufacturing companies to meet that increased need rather than adding additional capacity internally.
Anticipating that demand will eventually return to normal levels, food producers can work with an experienced
co-packer to enhance their operational efficiency without needing to make substantial asset or equipment
investments in-house that may sit unused later on.
Sourcing for food contract manufacturing on the Thomasnet.com platform is up 133% year over year and up
277% over last quarter averages.
Source - https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/with-demand-soaring-booming-food-sector-turns-to-food-contract-
manufacturing/?ecms_id=03a9e6f7-1a59-4bb8-88af-
2bd41a26780d&ecms_short=ART5898&doc_type=ted_video_article&parent_id=8250e2ab-aea8-49ec-ad90-
fe73f30b2122&utm_content=featuredvideo&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_industry_update&ca
mpaign_name=tiu211004&utm_campaign=tiu211004&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_industry_update&tinid
=221763045
My work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/food-and-beverage-analysis-and-commentary
Farm Income
 Farming Income in Canada has been struggling for the past few years -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/191126/dq191126b-eng.htm
 USA farm income and aid - https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/us-farm-income-expected-to-
rise-in-2019-but-only-because-of-government-aid
 AG subsidies - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/world-farm-subsidies-hit-2-billion-a-day
 Net farm income, a broad measure of profits, is forecast to decrease $9.8 billion (8.1 percent) to $111.4
billion in 2021. In inflation-adjusted 2021 dollars, net farm income is forecast to decrease $12 billion (9.7
percent) in 2021 after increasing $37.8 billion (44.2 percent) in 2020 to its highest level since 2013. Despite
this decline, 2021 net farm income would be 21 percent above its 2000-19 average of $92.1 billion.
https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/farm-sector-income-finances/highlights-from-the-farm-
income-forecast/
Farm Income – 2021 Farm Income
2021.pdf
Farm Income – 2021 Farm Income
2021.pdf
Canada
and Farm
Receipts
SOURCE – STATS CANADA
Farm Income -
202109.pdf
Farm Receipts – January 2022 to June
2022
Farm Receipts – January 2022 to June
2022
Farm Receipts – January 2022 to June
2022
Farm Receipts
Source – Stats Canada
Farm Receipts.pdf
Farm Receipts
Source – Stats Canada
Farm Receipts.pdf
2020 Farm Income Analysis
Blog - Farm Income
and Expenses - Canada.pdf
2020 Farm Income Analysis
Blog - Farm Income
and Expenses - Canada.pdf
Top Farming States
Source - https://www.statista.com/statistics/196114/top-10-us-states-by-number-of-farms/
Food Processors
 Source - www.fao.org or https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2019/09/04/1910664/0/en/Food-Processing-Market-to-Exceed-4-Trillion-
by-2024-Key-Trends-Analysis-Opportunities-to-Succeed.html
Plastic Greenhouses / CO2
 35% of China’s vegetables come from plastic green houses -
https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2021/03/plastic-greenhouses-provide-35-of-chinas-vegetables.html
 Greenhouse farming - https://gulfnews.com/uae/environment/popularity-of-greenhouse-farming-
options-on-the-rise-1.842642
 South Korea - https://www.hortidaily.com/article/9306173/overview-vegetable-horticulture-in-south-
korea/
 Global Market - https://www.databridgemarketresearch.com/reports/global-plastic-greenhouse-
market
 Ontario/Greenhouses - https://windsor.ctvnews.ca/ontario-government-investing-3-6-million-toward-
innovation-projects-in-the-greenhouse-sector-1.5285128
 NZ and the Middle East - https://www.freshplaza.com/article/9307955/new-zealand-has-a-huge-tech-
opportunity-in-the-middle-east-s-growing-horticulture-industry/
Technology and Farming
 AI is transforming farming - https://www.forbes.com/sites/cognitiveworld/2019/07/05/how-ai-is-transforming-
agriculture/#1fa34bec4ad1
 AI and farming - https://customerthink.com/the-role-of-artificial-intelligence-in-agriculture-sector/
 IBM and farming - https://farmtario.com/news/ibm-expands-artificial-intelligence-platform-into-agriculture/
 RPA and Farming - https://blog.accubits.com/robotic-process-automation-in-agribusiness/
 IBM and Expert Farming - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/farmplan-using-ibm-pairs-to-predict-blackgrass-
weed-before-it-damages-crops-301151067.html
 AG App - https://www.techrepublic.com/article/farming-assistant-app-agrolly-wins-ibms-call-for-code-contest/
 Smart farming - https://farmingfirst.org/2020/10/transforming-agriculture-through-smart-farming-from-data-ownership-
to-open-data/
 Telecom/Farming - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/agriculture-analytics-market-reach-2-133100885.html
 Blockchain and Food Protection - https://blog.trustbix.com/how-blockchain-can-support-food-supply-chain-management
Government / Farming
 Elimination of trade barriers - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-for-global-
trade-protectionism
 More emphasis on local supply chain management solutions -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/tranformation-of-supply-chains
 Tax fairness and regulatory reforms - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/does-the-world-need-
a-wealth-tax
 Government provides direct subsidies and/or loans to farmers
 Government needs to revisit all their programs to ensure various programs are efficient and effective -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/market-food-protein-market-analysis-and-commentary or
https://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/internet/English/parl_lpt_e_934.html or https://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2016/03/08/BC-
Carbon-Tax-Failure/
 Automation can help with automation of audits - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/internal-audit-and-
performance-base-auditing
Farm Debt
Source -
https://www.portageonline.c
om/ag/agriculture-news-
mb/fcc-economist-says-
farm-debt-under-control-
watch-for-higher-interest-
rates
USA Farm Debt
Source -
https://farmpolicynews.illinoi
s.edu/2021/06/farm-lending-
remains-strong-in-2020-
american-bankers-
association-report/
Summary
 All levels of government need to work together to better support the agriculture and food processing
sector
 The world needs to unite to fixed issues with WTO
 Farm input costs continue to plague farmers around the world
 Water, forest, and land management continue to face world’s population growth
 More balanced between environmental and economic policies.
 Better land use policies
Blog – Agriculture Output and Farm Equipment Sales – Canada and the World – August 2022
RUSSIA-July-2022-A
g-Tractor-Combine.pdf
US-Month-Ag-Report
-8-2022.pdf
CAN-Month-Ag-Rep
ort-8-2022.pdf
Summary
Food costs will continue to be high
Food insecurity will continue to plague governments around the world
Farm equipment sales are expected to be 4.6% through 2027
More and more governments are looking at vertical farming as a possible solution for food supply and
security issues
Expert farming through data and AI practices are helping to improve crop yields and food production
How precision
technologies can help farmers increase crop yields.pdf
Food Crisis Europe
Farmers Slow Production Due to the Energy Crunch.pdf
Rabobank sees costs
worrying farmers and eroding spending plans Farm Online ACT.pdf
Mounting input costs
and FMD fears put pressure on Australian farm sector confidence Mirage News.pdf
Deere (NYSE DE) –
Deere Invests Billions In Self-Driving Tractors, Smart Crop Sprayers Report - Benzinga.pdf
Farm Equipment
Market worth $141.6 billion by 2027 – Exclusive Report by MarketsandMarkets™.pdf
Fuel is set to jump 25
cents this month and the European energy crisis could push diesel prices even higher, economist says - ABC News.pdf
Food insecurity
during COVID-19 2SLGBTQ+ people talk about challenges and support.pdf
Get ready for a food
fight High grocery costs are here to stay - POLITICO.pdf
What Decreasing Gas
Prices Could Mean For The Food Industry.pdf
Vertical farming key
part to Brussels' Capital region strategy economic transition.pdf
Indoor Farming
Startup Gotham Greens Raises $310M.pdf
Survey Farmers’
outlook improves, but higher input costs loom as major concern Successful Farming.pdf
Artificial Intelligence
in agriculture eases risk of changing weather patterns - Agriculture Post.pdf
Crop Yields.pdf Agrimart Initial crop
yields better than last year across the province - MooseJawToday.com.pdf
1. Farm Equipment sales outlook – https://finance.yahoo.com/news/farm-equipment-market-
worth-141-114000547.html
2. Diesel - https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-09-13/diesel-could-get-more-expensive-even-after-
excise-cut-ends/101389754 or https://www.tastingtable.com/1004191/what-decreasing-gas-
prices-could-mean-for-the-food-industry/
3. Food security - https://theconversation.com/food-insecurity-during-covid-19-2slgbtq-people-
talk-about-challenges-and-support-189219
4. Costs - https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/7900849/farm-cost-rises-and-fmd-anxiety-gnaw-
at-ags-buoyant-outlook/ or https://www.miragenews.com/mounting-input-costs-and-fmd-
fears-put-pressure-853507/ or https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/survey-farmers-
outlook-improves-but-higher-input-costs-loom-as-major-concern
5. John Deere - https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/09/28827046/deere-invests-billions-in-self-
driving-tractors-smart-crop-sprayers-to-tap-the-agriculture-productiv

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Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - Farming.pptx

  • 1. Agriculture Equipment Sector – Analysis and Commentary PAUL YOUNG CPA CGA SEPTEMBER 16, 2022
  • 2. Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2) • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Emerging Technology • SME – Business Process Change • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Macro/Micro Indicators • SME – Supply Chain Management • SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform • SME – Internal Controls and Auditing Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/ SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
  • 3. Agenda  North American AG Equipment Sales  Commodity Prices  AG Prices – Canada  Preliminary Crop Estimates – Canada  Oilseeds  Energy Prices  Carbon Tax  Food Prices  Hospitality Sector  Farming Income  Top Farming States  Food Processors  Technology and Farming  Government and Farming  Debt  Summary
  • 4. North American Equipment Sales Source - https://www.aem.org/Market-Data/ US-Month-Ag-Report -8-2022.pdf CAN-Month-Ag-Rep ort-8-2022.pdf
  • 5. Key Commodity Prices (BMO) Source – BMO Economics PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 5
  • 7. Carbon Tax – Canada  Carbon Tax / Farmers – Wheat Farmers - https://wheatgrowers.ca/  Greenhouse growers / Carbon Tax Exemptions - https://www.greenhousecanada.com/bc-greenhouse- growers-get-permanent-carbon-tax-relief-20363/  Grain Dryer - https://www.world-grain.com/articles/13262-canadas-grain-dryer-program-tackles- efficiency  Carbon Tax hike? - https://www.sherwoodparknews.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-liberals-mum-on- hiking-carbon-taxes/wcm/a55ed40c-d289-4023-802b-4d2a1335cdc5
  • 8. Hospitality Sector Blog – Food Services and Hospitality Sector – Canada and the World – August 2021 The food and beverage sector continue to face many challenges. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/hospitality-and-food-service-sector-canada-august-2021
  • 9. Blog – Food Prices Blog - With Demand Soaring, Booming Food Sector Turns to Food Contract Manufacturing As demand for food products increases nationwide, businesses are frequently turning to food contract manufacturing companies to meet that increased need rather than adding additional capacity internally. Anticipating that demand will eventually return to normal levels, food producers can work with an experienced co-packer to enhance their operational efficiency without needing to make substantial asset or equipment investments in-house that may sit unused later on. Sourcing for food contract manufacturing on the Thomasnet.com platform is up 133% year over year and up 277% over last quarter averages. Source - https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/with-demand-soaring-booming-food-sector-turns-to-food-contract- manufacturing/?ecms_id=03a9e6f7-1a59-4bb8-88af- 2bd41a26780d&ecms_short=ART5898&doc_type=ted_video_article&parent_id=8250e2ab-aea8-49ec-ad90- fe73f30b2122&utm_content=featuredvideo&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_industry_update&ca mpaign_name=tiu211004&utm_campaign=tiu211004&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_industry_update&tinid =221763045 My work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/food-and-beverage-analysis-and-commentary
  • 10. Farm Income  Farming Income in Canada has been struggling for the past few years - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/191126/dq191126b-eng.htm  USA farm income and aid - https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/us-farm-income-expected-to- rise-in-2019-but-only-because-of-government-aid  AG subsidies - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/world-farm-subsidies-hit-2-billion-a-day  Net farm income, a broad measure of profits, is forecast to decrease $9.8 billion (8.1 percent) to $111.4 billion in 2021. In inflation-adjusted 2021 dollars, net farm income is forecast to decrease $12 billion (9.7 percent) in 2021 after increasing $37.8 billion (44.2 percent) in 2020 to its highest level since 2013. Despite this decline, 2021 net farm income would be 21 percent above its 2000-19 average of $92.1 billion. https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/farm-sector-income-finances/highlights-from-the-farm- income-forecast/
  • 11. Farm Income – 2021 Farm Income 2021.pdf
  • 12. Farm Income – 2021 Farm Income 2021.pdf
  • 13. Canada and Farm Receipts SOURCE – STATS CANADA Farm Income - 202109.pdf
  • 14. Farm Receipts – January 2022 to June 2022
  • 15. Farm Receipts – January 2022 to June 2022
  • 16. Farm Receipts – January 2022 to June 2022
  • 17. Farm Receipts Source – Stats Canada Farm Receipts.pdf
  • 18. Farm Receipts Source – Stats Canada Farm Receipts.pdf
  • 19. 2020 Farm Income Analysis Blog - Farm Income and Expenses - Canada.pdf
  • 20. 2020 Farm Income Analysis Blog - Farm Income and Expenses - Canada.pdf
  • 21. Top Farming States Source - https://www.statista.com/statistics/196114/top-10-us-states-by-number-of-farms/
  • 22. Food Processors  Source - www.fao.org or https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2019/09/04/1910664/0/en/Food-Processing-Market-to-Exceed-4-Trillion- by-2024-Key-Trends-Analysis-Opportunities-to-Succeed.html
  • 23. Plastic Greenhouses / CO2  35% of China’s vegetables come from plastic green houses - https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2021/03/plastic-greenhouses-provide-35-of-chinas-vegetables.html  Greenhouse farming - https://gulfnews.com/uae/environment/popularity-of-greenhouse-farming- options-on-the-rise-1.842642  South Korea - https://www.hortidaily.com/article/9306173/overview-vegetable-horticulture-in-south- korea/  Global Market - https://www.databridgemarketresearch.com/reports/global-plastic-greenhouse- market  Ontario/Greenhouses - https://windsor.ctvnews.ca/ontario-government-investing-3-6-million-toward- innovation-projects-in-the-greenhouse-sector-1.5285128  NZ and the Middle East - https://www.freshplaza.com/article/9307955/new-zealand-has-a-huge-tech- opportunity-in-the-middle-east-s-growing-horticulture-industry/
  • 24. Technology and Farming  AI is transforming farming - https://www.forbes.com/sites/cognitiveworld/2019/07/05/how-ai-is-transforming- agriculture/#1fa34bec4ad1  AI and farming - https://customerthink.com/the-role-of-artificial-intelligence-in-agriculture-sector/  IBM and farming - https://farmtario.com/news/ibm-expands-artificial-intelligence-platform-into-agriculture/  RPA and Farming - https://blog.accubits.com/robotic-process-automation-in-agribusiness/  IBM and Expert Farming - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/farmplan-using-ibm-pairs-to-predict-blackgrass- weed-before-it-damages-crops-301151067.html  AG App - https://www.techrepublic.com/article/farming-assistant-app-agrolly-wins-ibms-call-for-code-contest/  Smart farming - https://farmingfirst.org/2020/10/transforming-agriculture-through-smart-farming-from-data-ownership- to-open-data/  Telecom/Farming - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/agriculture-analytics-market-reach-2-133100885.html  Blockchain and Food Protection - https://blog.trustbix.com/how-blockchain-can-support-food-supply-chain-management
  • 25. Government / Farming  Elimination of trade barriers - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-for-global- trade-protectionism  More emphasis on local supply chain management solutions - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/tranformation-of-supply-chains  Tax fairness and regulatory reforms - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/does-the-world-need- a-wealth-tax  Government provides direct subsidies and/or loans to farmers  Government needs to revisit all their programs to ensure various programs are efficient and effective - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/market-food-protein-market-analysis-and-commentary or https://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/internet/English/parl_lpt_e_934.html or https://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2016/03/08/BC- Carbon-Tax-Failure/  Automation can help with automation of audits - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/internal-audit-and- performance-base-auditing
  • 27. USA Farm Debt Source - https://farmpolicynews.illinoi s.edu/2021/06/farm-lending- remains-strong-in-2020- american-bankers- association-report/
  • 28. Summary  All levels of government need to work together to better support the agriculture and food processing sector  The world needs to unite to fixed issues with WTO  Farm input costs continue to plague farmers around the world  Water, forest, and land management continue to face world’s population growth  More balanced between environmental and economic policies.  Better land use policies Blog – Agriculture Output and Farm Equipment Sales – Canada and the World – August 2022 RUSSIA-July-2022-A g-Tractor-Combine.pdf US-Month-Ag-Report -8-2022.pdf CAN-Month-Ag-Rep ort-8-2022.pdf Summary Food costs will continue to be high Food insecurity will continue to plague governments around the world Farm equipment sales are expected to be 4.6% through 2027 More and more governments are looking at vertical farming as a possible solution for food supply and security issues Expert farming through data and AI practices are helping to improve crop yields and food production How precision technologies can help farmers increase crop yields.pdf Food Crisis Europe Farmers Slow Production Due to the Energy Crunch.pdf Rabobank sees costs worrying farmers and eroding spending plans Farm Online ACT.pdf Mounting input costs and FMD fears put pressure on Australian farm sector confidence Mirage News.pdf Deere (NYSE DE) – Deere Invests Billions In Self-Driving Tractors, Smart Crop Sprayers Report - Benzinga.pdf Farm Equipment Market worth $141.6 billion by 2027 – Exclusive Report by MarketsandMarkets™.pdf Fuel is set to jump 25 cents this month and the European energy crisis could push diesel prices even higher, economist says - ABC News.pdf Food insecurity during COVID-19 2SLGBTQ+ people talk about challenges and support.pdf Get ready for a food fight High grocery costs are here to stay - POLITICO.pdf What Decreasing Gas Prices Could Mean For The Food Industry.pdf Vertical farming key part to Brussels' Capital region strategy economic transition.pdf Indoor Farming Startup Gotham Greens Raises $310M.pdf Survey Farmers’ outlook improves, but higher input costs loom as major concern Successful Farming.pdf Artificial Intelligence in agriculture eases risk of changing weather patterns - Agriculture Post.pdf Crop Yields.pdf Agrimart Initial crop yields better than last year across the province - MooseJawToday.com.pdf 1. Farm Equipment sales outlook – https://finance.yahoo.com/news/farm-equipment-market- worth-141-114000547.html 2. Diesel - https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-09-13/diesel-could-get-more-expensive-even-after- excise-cut-ends/101389754 or https://www.tastingtable.com/1004191/what-decreasing-gas- prices-could-mean-for-the-food-industry/ 3. Food security - https://theconversation.com/food-insecurity-during-covid-19-2slgbtq-people- talk-about-challenges-and-support-189219 4. Costs - https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/7900849/farm-cost-rises-and-fmd-anxiety-gnaw- at-ags-buoyant-outlook/ or https://www.miragenews.com/mounting-input-costs-and-fmd- fears-put-pressure-853507/ or https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/survey-farmers- outlook-improves-but-higher-input-costs-loom-as-major-concern 5. John Deere - https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/09/28827046/deere-invests-billions-in-self- driving-tractors-smart-crop-sprayers-to-tap-the-agriculture-productiv