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AGING-FRIENDLY IS
EVERYONE-FRIENDLY
Tim Evans
New Jersey Future
2018 Redevelopment Forum
March 9, 2018
Founded in 1987, New Jersey Future is a
nonprofit, nonpartisan organization that promotes
sensible growth, redevelopment and infrastructure
investments to foster vibrant cities and towns,
protect natural lands and waterways, enhance
transportation choices, provide access to safe,
affordable and aging-friendly neighborhoods and
fuel a strong economy. The organization does this
through original research, innovative policy
development, coalition-building, advocacy, and
hands-on technical assistance.
Change in Population by Age Group,
2000 vs 2013
Bulk of the
Baby Boomers
hitting middle
age, older
Boomers now
retiring – will
they be able
to “age in
place”?
Aging and Land Use
From a land-use perspective, has New
Jersey built the kinds of places – and
built enough of them – that provide
what older adults are likely to be
seeking as they age?*
* and, specifically, as they no longer have the desire or
ability to drive everywhere, or on certain types of roads, or
at certain times of day
Aging-Friendliness and Land Use
1. Density – are destinations close together?
2. “Downtown” (mix of uses) – are different kinds of
destinations close together?
3. Walkability – is the street network well-connected?
4. Access to public transportation – particularly local buses
The land-use characteristics that make a place good for
older people are the same “smart-growth” features
that make it easier for everybody to get around.
What makes a place easy to get around in?
Aging-Friendliness
and Land Use
Good news: 31.3 percent of all New
Jersey residents aged 55 or older live in
one of the 107 municipalities that
score well on all four aging-friendliness
development metrics.
Bad news: 13.1 percent – almost
300,000 people – live in one of the 109
municipalities that score poorly on all
four.
Aging-friendly, but…aging-ready?
It’s more than just development patterns:
• Housing types
• Housing unit size
• Housing affordability
• Pedestrian safety (sidewalks, crosswalks,
traffic light timing, vehicle speeds….)
More bad news:
Not Affordable for Older Residents –
NJ vs. US
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
US Total
New Hampshire
Massachusetts
California
Connecticut
New York
New Jersey
Percent of 65+ households that are cost-burdened
Lack of
Housing
Choice
Expensive single-family
detached homes on
large lots are not what
most older households
are looking for – or can
easily afford
From AARP report What Is Livable? Community
Preferences of Older Adults
Aging-ready?
Time to start thinking about it
From AARP report What Is Livable? Community
Preferences of Older Adults:
Aging-Friendliness and Land Use
The land-use characteristics that make
a place good for older people are the
same “smart-growth” features that
make it easier for everybody to get
around.
No matter how you slice it, Millennials
love compact, walkable urbanism
# of smart growth metrics
on which muni scores well
# of
munis in
category
22 to 34
LQ, 2013
3 118 1.251
2 65 0.936
1 201 0.866
0 181 0.808
Millennials are 25% more prevalent than statewide in
municipalities scoring well on all 3* smart-growth metrics,
and are less prevalent than statewide everywhere else
* Excluding local bus stop density
# of smart-growth metrics
scoring well
New Jersey’s “Missing
Millennials”
-2.26%
6.83%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
NJ US
% Change in Number of 22-to-34-year-
olds, 2000 to 2013
Building for New Demographic Realities
In places that already have “good bones” (cities, but also
many older suburbs):
• Add to and diversify the housing stock
• Improve the pedestrian environment
In places that score poorly (post-WWII car-oriented
suburbia):
• Create brand-new “downtowns” (e.g. Robbinsville Town Center,
Plainsboro)
• Retrofit existing single-use development to make more mixed-
use and pedestrian-friendly (e.g. Willingboro, Echelon Mall,
Somerdale)
Thank you!
Tim Evans
Research Director
tevans@njfuture.org
New Jersey Future
16 W. Lafayette St.
Trenton, NJ 08618
609-393-0008 ext. 103
http://www.njfuture.org

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Njf redevelopment forum 2018 evans

  • 1. AGING-FRIENDLY IS EVERYONE-FRIENDLY Tim Evans New Jersey Future 2018 Redevelopment Forum March 9, 2018
  • 2. Founded in 1987, New Jersey Future is a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization that promotes sensible growth, redevelopment and infrastructure investments to foster vibrant cities and towns, protect natural lands and waterways, enhance transportation choices, provide access to safe, affordable and aging-friendly neighborhoods and fuel a strong economy. The organization does this through original research, innovative policy development, coalition-building, advocacy, and hands-on technical assistance.
  • 3. Change in Population by Age Group, 2000 vs 2013 Bulk of the Baby Boomers hitting middle age, older Boomers now retiring – will they be able to “age in place”?
  • 4. Aging and Land Use From a land-use perspective, has New Jersey built the kinds of places – and built enough of them – that provide what older adults are likely to be seeking as they age?* * and, specifically, as they no longer have the desire or ability to drive everywhere, or on certain types of roads, or at certain times of day
  • 5. Aging-Friendliness and Land Use 1. Density – are destinations close together? 2. “Downtown” (mix of uses) – are different kinds of destinations close together? 3. Walkability – is the street network well-connected? 4. Access to public transportation – particularly local buses The land-use characteristics that make a place good for older people are the same “smart-growth” features that make it easier for everybody to get around. What makes a place easy to get around in?
  • 6. Aging-Friendliness and Land Use Good news: 31.3 percent of all New Jersey residents aged 55 or older live in one of the 107 municipalities that score well on all four aging-friendliness development metrics. Bad news: 13.1 percent – almost 300,000 people – live in one of the 109 municipalities that score poorly on all four.
  • 7. Aging-friendly, but…aging-ready? It’s more than just development patterns: • Housing types • Housing unit size • Housing affordability • Pedestrian safety (sidewalks, crosswalks, traffic light timing, vehicle speeds….) More bad news:
  • 8. Not Affordable for Older Residents – NJ vs. US 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% US Total New Hampshire Massachusetts California Connecticut New York New Jersey Percent of 65+ households that are cost-burdened
  • 9. Lack of Housing Choice Expensive single-family detached homes on large lots are not what most older households are looking for – or can easily afford
  • 10. From AARP report What Is Livable? Community Preferences of Older Adults
  • 11. Aging-ready? Time to start thinking about it From AARP report What Is Livable? Community Preferences of Older Adults:
  • 12. Aging-Friendliness and Land Use The land-use characteristics that make a place good for older people are the same “smart-growth” features that make it easier for everybody to get around.
  • 13. No matter how you slice it, Millennials love compact, walkable urbanism # of smart growth metrics on which muni scores well # of munis in category 22 to 34 LQ, 2013 3 118 1.251 2 65 0.936 1 201 0.866 0 181 0.808 Millennials are 25% more prevalent than statewide in municipalities scoring well on all 3* smart-growth metrics, and are less prevalent than statewide everywhere else * Excluding local bus stop density
  • 14. # of smart-growth metrics scoring well
  • 16. Building for New Demographic Realities In places that already have “good bones” (cities, but also many older suburbs): • Add to and diversify the housing stock • Improve the pedestrian environment In places that score poorly (post-WWII car-oriented suburbia): • Create brand-new “downtowns” (e.g. Robbinsville Town Center, Plainsboro) • Retrofit existing single-use development to make more mixed- use and pedestrian-friendly (e.g. Willingboro, Echelon Mall, Somerdale)
  • 17. Thank you! Tim Evans Research Director tevans@njfuture.org New Jersey Future 16 W. Lafayette St. Trenton, NJ 08618 609-393-0008 ext. 103 http://www.njfuture.org

Editor's Notes

  1. If you design for the most vulnerable, you end up with good design for everybody.
  2. If you design for the most vulnerable, you end up with good design for everybody.