Dokumen tersebut membahas proses manajemen risiko yang meliputi identifikasi risiko, pengukuran risiko, mitigasi risiko, dan pemantauan risiko. Beberapa metode pengukuran risiko yang dijelaskan adalah matriks kemungkinan dan dampak serta penentuan prioritas penanganan risiko.

1. MOHAMAD HASSAN AK., MAFIS, QIA, CRMP, CRMA

3. 
Sejauhmana dampak dari events dapat mengganggu
objectives.

Menghitung Inherent maupun Residual risk

Events dianalisis dalam dua perspectives:
 Likelihood
 Impact

4. Risk = Likelihood * Consequence





Certain
Likely
Moderate
Unlikely
Rare





Catastrophic
Major
Moderate
Minor
Insignificant

5. Risks
Likelihood of Occurrence
Almost
Certain
Likely
S
S
fM
S
Moderate
L
L
1
Remote
e
H
a
M
M
Minor
H
H
S
L
Insignificant
dH
S
2
b
Unlikely
H
Moderate
Consequence
H
H
S
S
Major
H
c
3
Catastrophic

6. Mission Critical Risks
Probability of Occurrence
High
Your Risk Appetite
Medium
Low
Low
Medium
Magnitude of Impact
High

7. RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS
RISK IDENTIFICATION
RISK MONITORING
RISK
MGT
PROCESS
RISK MEASUREMENT
RISK MITIGATION / CONTROL

8. RISK MEASUREMENT PROCESS
ABSOLUTE / INHERENT RISK MEASUREMENT
EXISTING RISK MITIGATION / CONTROL EVALUATION
RESIDUAL RISK MEASUREMENT

9. RISK MEASUREMENT – ADDITIONAL PROCESS
ADDITIONAL RISK MITIGATION / CONTROL
IMPLEMENTATION & EVALUATION
EXPECTED / TOLERABLE RISK MEASUREMENT

10. RISK MEASUREMENT – GENERAL FORMULA
INHERENT RISK – EXISTING RISK MITIGATION / CONTROL = RESIDUAL RISK
RESIDUAL RISK – ADDITIONAL RISK MITIGATION / CONTROL = EXPECTED /
TOLERABLE RISK

11. RISK MEASUREMENT – FORMULA VISUALIZATION
EXISTING
CONTROL
ADDITIONAL
CONTROL
INHERENT
RISK
RESIDUAL
RISK
EXPECTED
RISK

12. RISK MEASUREMENT – EXPECTED LOSS (ON ASSETS)
RISK OF LOOSING ASSETS
SMALL, PORTABLE, VALUABLE
STOLEN
BIG, PORTABLE, VALUABLE
STOLEN, FIRE
BIG, NOT PORTABLE, VALUABLE
FIRE
RISK OF DECREASING VALUE OF ASSETS
SMALL, PORTABLE, VALUABLE
POOR HANDLING
BIG, PORTABLE, VALUABLE
POOR MAINTENANCE
BIG, NOT PORTABLE, VALUABLE
POWER FAILURE

13. RISK MEASUREMENT – EXPECTED LOSS (ON ASSETS)
RISK PROFILE
ASSETS
CHARACTERISTICS
RISKS
RISK
EXPOSURES
RISK HANDLING
PRIORITY
A
SMALL,
PORTABLE,
VALUABLE
STOLEN, POOR
HANDLING
HIGH
1ST
B
BIG, PORTABLE,
VALUABLE
STOLEN, FIRE,
POOR
MAINTENANCE
MEDIUM
2ND
C
BIG, NOT
PORTABLE,
VALUABLE
FIRE, POWER
FAILURE
MEDIUM
2ND
D
SMALL,
PORTABLE,
VALUABLE
STOLEN, POOR
HANDLING
LOW
3RD

14. RISK MEASUREMENT (LIKELIHOOD – IMPACT MATRIX)
RISK MEASUREMENT FORMULA
RISK = LIKELIHOOD X IMPACT
LIKELIHOOD
IMPACT
CERTAIN
CATASTROPHIC / EXTREME
LIKELY
MAJOR / HIGH
MODERATE
MODERATE / MEDIUM
UNLIKELY
MINOR / LOW
RARE
INSIGNIFICANT

15. RISK MEASUREMENT (LIKELIHOOD IMPACT MATRIX)
I
I=1
L=2
M=3
H=4
E=5
RISK SCALE
R=1
1
2
3
4
5
1–2=I
U=2
2
4
6
8
10
3–4=L
M=3
3
6
9
12
15
5–9=M
L=4
4
8
12
16
20
10 – 12 = H
C=5
5
10
15
20
25
15 – 25 = E
L
L
I
K
E
L
I
H
O
O
D
IMPACT

16. RISK MEASUREMENT (LIKELIHOOD – IMPACT MATRIX)
IMPACT
LIKELIHOOD
FIN
NON FIN
INT’L
CERTAIN = MORE THAN 5 TIMES A YEAR
EXTREME
USD. > 1000 T
LIKELY = 3 – 5 TIMES A YEAR
HIGH
USD.>500–1000T NATIONAL
MODERATE = 2 TIMES A YEAR
MEDIUM
USD.>100–500 T ORG
UNLIKELY = ONCE IN A YEAR
LOW
USD.1 – 100 T
DEPT
RARE = ONCE IN MORE THAN A YEAR
INSIGN
< USD.1 T
SECT

17. RISK MEASUREMENT (LIKELIHOOD – IMPACT MATRIX)
RISK PROFILE
RISK VALUE
LH
IP
TV
RISK
EXPOSURES
A
5
1
5
M
3RD
B
2
5
10
H
2ND
A
3
1
3
L
4TH
A
2
1
2
I
5TH
C
ACTIVITIES
4
5
20
E
1ST
RISKS
RISK HANDLING
PRIORITY
1
2
3
NOTES :
LH = LIKELIHOOD
I = INSIGNIFICANT
H = HIGH
IP = IMPACT
L = LOW
E = EXTREME
TV = TOTAL VALUE
M = MEDIUM

18. RISK MEASUREMENT – RISK FACTORS
FACTORS  INCREASE / DECREASE RISK EXPOSURE
VALUE OF ASSETS
LIQUIDITY OF ASSETS
COMPLEXITY OF ACTIVITY
VOLUME OF ACTIVITY

19. RISK MEASUREMENT – RISK FACTORS
RISK PROFILE – ACTIVITY A
1
2ND
1
3RD
1ST
20%
1
B
2
80%
A
1
100%
A
2
RISK VALUE
0,4 + 1,8 = 2,2
RISK FACTOR
WEIGHT
RISK
HANDLING
PRIORITY
0,2 + 1,6 = 1,8
RISK FACTOR
SCORE
A
RISKS
RISK
FACTORS
1
40%
3
C
3
60%

20. UNSUR RISIKO - KEMUNGKINAN (PROBABILITY)
Code
Risiko
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I Rata-2
1 Bahan baku tidak tersedia dipasar
#1
2
3
3
8
2
3
5
3
3
3.6
2 Penunjukkan langsung rekanan tanpa proses tender
#2
3
4
4
8
9
7
4
3
4
5.1
3 Bahan baku yang diterima tidak sesuai spesifikasi.
#3
6
6
9
8
6
5
7
9
6
6.9
Rekanan wanprestasi (tidak mampu memenuhi
4 pesanan)
#4
2
2
4
8
2
5
3
2
2
3.3
5 Pembelian bahan baku tanpa otorisasi
#5
2
5
5
7
8
5
3
1
5
4.6
Terjadi gempa bumi yang menghambat pengiriman
6 bahan.
#6
1
1
7
3
2
1
3
1
1
2.2
7 Kapal laut pengangkut bahan baku tenggelam di laut
#7
1
1
5
5
2
1
3
1
5
2.7
8 PO diterbitkan tanpa adanya PR
#8
2
2
7
7
7
5
3
1
7
4.6
9 Terjadi perampokan bahan baku dalam perjalanan.
#9
2
2
4
7
4
5
6
4
2
4.0
Tidak ada performance evaluation yang standar
10 terhadap rekanan
#10
5
4
5
6
3
5
2
2
2
3.8
11 Fluktuasi harga bahan baku yang tidak stabil
#11
3
7
8
9
7
5
4
5
7
6.1
Otorisasi purchasing dilakukan oleh petugas yang
12 tidak berwenang
#12
2
4
7
7
7
5
2
2
4
4.4
Adanya kebijakan pemerintah yang mengatur masalah
13 purchasing
#13
1
2
7
8
2
7
3
1
2
3.7
Harga bahan baku di atas patokan harga dasar
14 pembelian
#14
3
3
1
9
5
5
3
1
5
3.9
15 Fluktuasi nilai mata uang asing (kurs mata uang)
#15
9
7
6
9
7
5
3
5
5
6.2
No
RISIKO (EVENT)

21. UNSUR RISIKO - DAMPAK (IMPACT)
No
RISIKO (EVENT)
1 Bahan baku tidak tersedia dipasar
Code A
Resiko
#1
9
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
6
8
10
9
10
6
2
Rata-2
9
7.7
2 Penunjukkan langsung rekanan tanpa proses tender
#2
7
6
2
9
5
10
5
2
10
6.2
3 Bahan baku yang diterima tidak sesuai spesifikasi.
Rekanan wanprestasi (tidak mampu memenuhi
4 pesanan)
5 Pembelian bahan baku tanpa otorisasi
Terjadi gempa bumi yang menghambat pengiriman
6 bahan.
#3
9
8
6
7
8
7
8
8
9
7.8
#4
#5
7
8
5
6
3
5
10
9
9
4
5
5
4
5
1
1
3
5
5.2
5.3
#6
7
6
8
10
9
10
5
1
6
6.9
7 Kapal laut pengangkut bahan baku tenggelam di laut
8 PO diterbitkan tanpa adanya PR
#7
#8
5
5
6
7
9
5
10
8
9
2
10
5
5
6
1
1
8
5
7.0
4.9
9 Terjadi perampokan bahan baku dalam perjalanan.
Tidak ada performance evaluation yang standar
10 terhadap rekanan
11 Fluktuasi harga bahan baku yang tidak stabil
Otorisasi purchasing dilakukan oleh petugas yang
12 tidak berwenang
Adanya kebijakan pemerintah yang mengatur masalah
13 purchasing
Harga bahan baku di atas patokan harga dasar
14 pembelian
15 Fluktuasi nilai mata uang asing (kurs mata uang)
#9
4
8
5
10
8
10
8
8
10
7.9
#10
#11
5
5
6
7
5
6
8
9
2
7
5
7
4
6
1
10
5
7
4.6
7.1
#12
5
6
6
8
2
5
3
1
6
4.7
#13
7
5
8
10
8
10
6
1
8
7.0
#14
#15
8
9
6
6
3
5
9
9
7
5
5
5
4
7
1
10
3
5
5.1
6.8

22. Risiko
Kemungkinan
10.00
5.00
0.00
0.00
5.00
Dampak
10.00

23. RISK MAPPING IN RISK ASSESSMENT PROCESS
Code
Risiko
Likelihood
Impact
1 Bahan baku tidak tersedia dipasar
#1
3.56
7.67
2 Penunjukkan langsung rekanan tanpa proses tender
#2
5.11
6.22
3 Bahan baku yang diterima tidak sesuai spesifikasi.
#3
6.89
7.78
4 Rekanan wanprestasi (tidak mampu memenuhi pesanan)
#4
3.33
5.22
5 Pembelian bahan baku tanpa otorisasi
#5
4.56
5.33
6 Terjadi gempa bumi yang menghambat pengiriman bahan.
#6
2.22
6.89
7 Kapal laut pengangkut bahan baku tenggelam di laut
#7
2.67
7.00
8 PO diterbitkan tanpa adanya PR
#8
4.56
4.89
9 Terjadi perampokan bahan baku dalam perjalanan.
#9
4.00
7.89
10 Tidak ada performance evaluation yang standar terhadap rekanan
#10
3.78
4.56
11 Fluktuasi harga bahan baku yang tidak stabil
#11
6.11
7.11
12 Otorisasi purchasing dilakukan oleh petugas yang tidak berwenang
#12
4.44
4.67
13 Adanya kebijakan pemerintah yang mengatur masalah purchasing
#13
3.67
7.00
14 Harga bahan baku di atas patokan harga dasar pembelian
#14
3.89
5.11
15 Fluktuasi nilai mata uang asing (kurs mata uang)
#15
6.22
6.78
No
RISIKO (EVENT)