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WHY PPPs
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
AND FINANCING
by
MOHANDAS P
Asst. Professor (Personnel Management)
National Academy of Indian Railways,
VadodaraIDF GR/IIMA
Outline
 What is Infrastructure
 Characteristics of Infrastructure
 Drivers for Commercial Outlook
 Implications of Commercialisation/PPPs
IDF GR/IIMA
What is Infrastructure
IDF GR/IIMA
Social Overhead Capital
Infrastructure Supports
Economic growth
Poverty alleviation
Sustainable natural environment
Source: World Bank
IDF GR/IIMA
What is Infrastructure ?
Infrastructure
Economic Social
Energy Telecom/IT Transport Housing Water Supply Sanitation
IDF GR/IIMA
Rural UrbanClusters, Parks and
Economic Zones
Infrastructure service essential to derive the benefit of economic infrastructure.
However, service ‘cost’ is relatively less [if high: Social infrastructure like Health,
Education, Police, Judiciary]
Characteristics of
Infrastructure
IDF GR/IIMA
IDF GR/IIMA
Characteristics of Infrastructure
 High investment costs : decreasing average
costs
– Economies of scale & scope leading to natural
monopolies: need for regulation
 Use of a key “national” resource
– Need for regulation
 Benefits from users to non users
– Framework for fiscal cycle and concessions
Characteristics of Infrastructure
 Hence, infrastructure was traditionally
developed by public sector
 However, governments have not achieved
their own goals
 Hence, there is need for commercial outlook
(managerial effectiveness, financing and
incentive compatibility)
Drivers for
Commercial Outlook
IDF GR/IIMA
Framework for
Commercialization
Improve
Asset Creation
Efficiency
Improve
Asset Management
Efficiency
Improve
Service Delivery
Effectiveness &
Efficiency
Increase
Stakeholding
Increase
Accountability
Increase
Autonomy
Issues of incentive compatibility
Increase Increase
Stake Holding Accountability
Privatization
Competition
From substitutes
From markets
(Multiple providers)
From right to access the
market
Appropriate Bundling
Horizontal
Vertical
IDF GR/IIMA
Monopoly
Increase Autonomy
 Corporatisation
 Focused goals & accountable management
– Performance
– Management contracts
– Service contracts
IDF GR/IIMA
Actors in Infrastructure
Bureaucracy
Think Tanks
Financial
Institutions
and Insurers
Media
Private
Developers
Users
Policy
Regulation and
Checks
Development and
Delivery
Judiciary
Political
System
IDF GR/IIMA
Implications of
Commercialisation
IDF GR/IIMA
 Project structuring: (Appropriate bundling)
 Risk assessment and management
 Project financing: (Appraisal, sourcing and
engineering including taxes/subsidies)
 Tendering and Bidding
 Agreements
 Project management: (Implementation)
 Financial restructuring, and mergers and
acquisitions
 Regulatory and institutional framework
IDF GR/IIMA
Key Implications
Appropriate Bundling
 To attract commercial interest
 Cherry picking vs Social responsibility
– Subsidy and Cross-subsidy
 Retention of control
 Transparency of transactions
IDF GR/IIMA
Risks
Political Policy
Force Majeure Market
Performance Credit
Completion Supply
Overruns Operating
Financial
IDF GR/IIMA
Risk Management/Financing
 Build Own Operate
 Build Own Operate Transfer
 Build Operate Transfer
 Build Operate Transfer (Annuity)
 Build Own Lease/Use Transfer
 Invest and Contract
 Lend
IDF GR/IIMA
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Infinity
Private Participation Options
Service contracts
Management
contracts
Leases
BOT/BOOT
Concessions
BOO
Divestiture
DurationSource: World Bank 1997
Agreements
 Specification
 Time frames
 Review triggers
 Termination conditions
 Consistency
Issues in Agreements
 Competition
 Scope Increase
 Other Revenue Sources
 Tariff Setting
 Ownership
 Common Use Vs Captive
 Targetting the BoP/Non Viability
 Step In/Termination/Transfer
Competition
Protect vs Induce
(Competition for vs Competition in)
 Airport
 Closure of existing airports
 First Right of Refusal if bid is within 10% for airports
within 150 kms
 Port
 At least two private players in one of the four product
categories (Earlier: at least two private players, no more
than two terminals per player, and no next)
 No new project until 80% capacity utilization (In
Mormugao Port)
Road
Desire to have ‘reasonable non-tolled alternative’ - not
tested
Existing alternative also bid by same party
o Mumbai Pune Expressway + NH4 (Ideal RB)
o Athupalam Bridge Coimbatore (L&T)
o Vatrak Bridge – NH8 (L&T)
 Rail ?
 Metro ?
 Telecom - Open
 Container Train Operations - Open
Scope Increase
 Airport
 Port
 Road
Variations
Additional Works
2 lane to 4 lane
o Additional Work
o New Project
 Rail
Sidings Vs New links
Doubling
Other Revenue Sources
 Airport
 Non Aero for Airports, land use
 Ports
 None
 Road
 Related activities of Road, land use
 Rail
 Stations: Yes
 Metro
 Use airspace
 VGF/Annuity
Tariff Setting
 Airport – Regulated
 Port – Regulated to Predecided
 Road – Regulated to Predecided
 Rail – Regulated
 Metro – Open?
 Container Train – Open
Ownership
 Airport
 Airlines (Users) Limited
 AAI
 FDI Limits
 Ports
 User Okay
 FDI ?
 Roads
 Limited Cross Ownership among bidders (5% to 25%)
 Rail
 Key Users brought in
Common Use Vs Captive
 Airport
 Port
 Rail
Targetting the BoP/Non Viability
 Bundle vs Unbundle
 If unbundled, who pays?
 (Airlines, Telecom, Roads)
Step In/Termination/Transfer
 Condition at the end of concession period
 Concession period a function of viability
 Inadequate performance
 Ethical issues
 Significant change in project scope
Regulatory and Institutional
Framework
 Market failures
– Licensing
– Environmental Impact
– Safety
– Pricing
– Service Levels
– Dispute resolution
 Institutions and Instruments
Infrastructure Investments: XII Plan
PC (2010). “Investment in Infrastructure During the Eleventh Five Year Plan,” *Rough estimate based on IR Vision 2020 document
Sector
X Plan
(Actual)
XI Plan
(Original
Projections)
XI Plan
(Revised
Projections)
XII Plan
(Projection)
Rs cr % Rs cr % Rs cr % Rs cr %
Total
Infrastructure 906,074 2,056,150 2,054,205 4,099,240
Public 680,854 75.14 1,436,559 69.87 1,311,293 63.83 2,049,620 50.00
Private 225,220 24.86 619,591 30.13 742,912 36.17 2,049,620 50.00
Share of Infrastructure as % of GDP: X Plan 5.15
: XI Plan (Original) 7.60
: XI Plan (Revised) 7.55
: XII Plan (Projected) 9.95
Rs
billion
X Plan XI Plan 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 XII Plan
Total 9061 27747 7480 8601 9962 11645 13777 51464
Centre
6809
(75.1)
9652
(34.8)
2467 2778 3130 3529 3981 15885
(30.9)
State 7683
(27.7)
1929 2103 2294 2501 2728 11554
(22.5)
Private 2252
(24.9)
10412
(37.5)
3084 3720 4539 5616 7068 24025
(46.7)
GDP 384249 94757 102338 111548 121587 132530 562760
% of
GDP
5.2 7.2 7.9 8.4 8.9 9.6 10.4 9.1
Projected Investments in Infrastructure- Twelfth Plan
Source: Interim Report of the High Level Committee-Financing Infrastructure
Infrastructure Investments: Major Sectors
PC (2010). “Investment in Infrastructure During the Eleventh Five Year Plan,” *Rough estimate based on IR Vision 2020 document
Sector
X Plan
(Actual)
XI Plan
(Original Projections)
XI Plan
(Revised Projections)
Rs cr % Rs cr % Rs cr %
Electricity (incl NCE) 340,237 666,525 658,630
Public 203,403 59.78 481,013 72.17 371,085 56.34
Private 136,834 40.22 185,512 27.83 287,546 43.66
Telecom 101,889 258,439 345,134
Public 48,213 47.32 80,753 31.25 61,503 17.82
Private 53,676 52.68 177,686 68.75 283,631 82.18
Roads and Bridges 127,107 314,152 278,658
Public 117,884 92.74 207,360 66.01 232,771 83.53
Private 9,223 7.26 106,792 33.99 45,887 16.47
Railways (incl MRTS) 102,091 261,808 200,802
Public 101,422 99.34 211,454 80.77 192,486 95.86
Private 669 0.66 50,354 19.23 8,316 4.14
Other
Public
Private
Total Infrastructure 906,074 2,056,150 2,054,205
Public 680,854 75.14 1,436,559 69.87 1,311,293 63.83
Private 225,220 24.86 619,591 30.13 742,912 36.17
Sector
X Plan
(Actual)
XI Plan
(Original Projections)
XI Plan
(Revised Projections)
Rs cr % Rs cr % Rs cr %
Irrigation, Water Supply and
Sanitation 166,851 397,031 136,323
Public 165,833 99.39 391,610 98.63 135,839 99.64
Private 1,018 0.61 5,421 1.37 484 0.36
Oil and Gas Pipelines 32,367 16,855 127,306
Public 31,367 96.91 10,327 61.27 74,545 58.56
Private 1,000 3.09 6,528 38.73 52,761 41.44
Ports 22,997 87,995 40,647
Public 4,670 20.31 33,516 38.09 8,130 20.00
Private 18,327 79.69 54,479 61.91 32,517 80.00
Airports 6,893 30,968 36,138
Public 4,523 65.62 9,338 30.15 12,983 35.93
Private 2,370 34.38 21,630 69.85 23,155 64.07
Storage 5,643 22,378 8,966
Public 3,539 62.71 11,189 50.00 351 3.91
Private 2104 37.29 11,189 50.00 8,615 96.09
Infrastructure Investments: Other Sectors
PC (2010). “Investment in Infrastructure During the Eleventh Five Year Plan,”
Thank You
Conclusions
IDF GR/IIMA
Projected Investment in
Infrastructure
X Plan XI Plan
Sectors US $ billion Share (%) US $ billion Share (%)
Electricity (incl. NCE) 72.96 33.49 166.63 32.35
Roads and Bridges 36.22 16.63 78.54 15.25
Telecommunication 25.84 11.86 64.61 12.54
Railways (incl. MRTS) 29.91 13.73 65.45 12.71
Irrigation (incl. Watershed) 27.88 12.80 64.34 12.49
Water Supply and Sanitation 16.20 7.44 35.93 6.98
Ports 3.52 1.61 22.00 4.27
Airports 1.69 0.78 7.74 1.50
Storage 1.20 0.55 5.59 1.09
Gas 2.43 1.11 4.21 0.82
Total US $ billion 217.86
100
515.05
100
Rs. crore 871,445 2,060,193
 Private sector investment increasing (18.5%
in the Xth plan to 29.7% in the XIth plan)
 Electricity has the maximum share of
investments
 Gaps in most infrastructure with respect to
developed countries
Refinance
Objective
The primary objective of IIFCL’s refinance scheme is to
facilitate the flow of funds in an increasing manner for the
development of infrastructure in the country. Under the
scheme IIFCL will provide refinance for term loans
sanctioned by Banks for only new commercially viable
projects in road and port sectors.
Extent of Refinance
IIFCL shall provide refinance upto 60% of the loans
provided by the Banks to infrastructure projects in the
roads and port sectors
Source: www.iifcl.org/06.02.2009%20Refinance%20Scheme.doc
Refinance
Rate of Interest
The Banks will not charge more than 2.50% over and
above the rate charged by IIFCL. The IIFCL rate of
refinance at present would be 7.85% p.a.
Tenor of Refinance
Tenor of refinance shall be 10 years with a reset after 5
years. However, if the Government of India considers
necessary may allow an extension with reset for 5 more
years after 10 years. The Banks will have to lend for
tenors exceeding 15 years on ‘best endeavour’ basis.
Source: www.iifcl.org/06.02.2009%20Refinance%20Scheme.doc
Take Out Finance
 IIFCL can take over the loans of projects that have
a residual debt tenor of at least six years or are yet
to achieve financial closure. Projects in sectors
such as roads, railways, airports, seaports, urban
transport, gas pipelines, SEZs, convention centres
and tourism would be eligible . The state-owned
company can take over as much as 75% of the
loan from a bank, or up to 50% of the total
residual loan of the project, whichever is less.
Source: The Economic Times, 18th January 2010
Manage infrastructure like a business, not a
bureaucracy
 Introduce competition - directly if feasible,
indirectly - if not
 Give users and other stakeholders a strong
voice and real responsibility
 Leverage Public - Private partnerships
IDF GR/IIMA
What Needs to Happen
Role of State
 Identify stake holders
 Develop appropriate risk sharing schemes
including ‘subsidies’ as required
 If continuing as a player, then
corporatise/commercialise the play
 Develop umpires
 Clearly delineate roles of
Policy maker (and regulator)
Licensor
Player
IDF GR/IIMA
 Inevitability of involving private sector
 Experience is still raw in project structuring,
contractual & legal implications
 Hence awareness of issues more important than ‘specific
solutions’
 Case law build up
 Mistakes will be made and learning must take
place
 Governments will have a continuing, if changed
role in infrastructure
IDF GR/IIMA
What Will Happen
Thank You
System of State Involvement
IDF GR/IIMA
Infrastructure Owner Contractor
1. Ownership and asset
creation
- Right of Way
- Terminals
- Rolling stock and
equipment
Services Principal Agent
1. Maintenance
-Right of way
-Terminals
-Rolling stock and
equipment
2. Operations
-Right of way
-Terminals
-Rolling stock and
equipment
3. Customer services
-Basic services
-Special services
System of State Involvement
IDF GR/IIMA
System of State Involvement
IDF GR/IIMA
Regulation
1. Licensing
2. Environmental impact
3. Safety
4. Pricing
5. Service levels
6. Dispute resolution
For each mode
And further segmentation possible based on market
considerations
Passenger vs Freight
Urban vs Rural
Domestic vs International
System of State Involvement
IDF GR/IIMA
IDF GR/IIMA
Transport Sector Components and Involvement of the State and Private Sector:
INFRASTRUCTURE Ownership
Air Rail Road Water
Right of Way (State
controlled)
DGCA, AAI
(State controlled)
Indian Railways
(State controlled)
NHAI, PWD, Urban
Administrations, Local
Governments, Defense
(State controlled)
Major Ports - Govt. of India, State
Maritime Boards, Port Directorates
Terminals (State
controlled)
AAI, Defense
(State controlled)
Indian Railways,
Large Industries for
Captive Sidings
(Open to all)
SRTUs, Large
Industries, Trucking
Companies, etc
(Partly Open)
Major Ports - Govt. of India, State
Maritime Boards, Port Directorates,
Some Private and Captive Ports
Rolling Stock and
Equipment
(Open to all)
IA, AI, Other
Private Airlines
(State controlled)
Indian Railways
(Open to all)
SRTUs, Private Vehicle
Owners
(Open to all)
SCI, Great Eastern, Essar & Others
IDF GR/IIMA
SERVICES Maintenance
Air Rail Road Water
Right of Way - NA - (State controlled)
Indian Railways
(State controlled)
NHAI, PWD, Urban
Administrations
(State controlled)
Major Ports - Govt. of India, State
Maritime Boards, Port Directorates
Terminals (State
controlled)
AAI
(State controlled)
Indian Railways,
Large Industries for
Captive Sidings
(Open to all)
SRTUs, Large
Industries, Trucking
Companies, etc
(State controlled)
Major Ports – Govt. of India, State
Maritime Boards, Port Directorates,
Some Private and Captive Ports
Rolling Stock and
Equipment
(Open to all)
IA, AI, Other
Private Airlines
(State controlled)
Indian Railways
(Open to all)
Innumerable Small scale
garages, Large organized
work shops for SRTUs,
few private sector large
workshops
(Open to all)
Port Dry Docks, HSL, CSL,
Chokhani & Others
IDF GR/IIMA
SERVICES Operations
Air Rail Road Water
Right of Way (State
controlled)
DGCA, AAI
(State controlled)
Indian Railways
(State controlled)
Police Department in
case of high traffic
density
(State controlled)
Major Ports - Govt. of India, State
Maritime Boards, Port Directorates,
Light House Authority
Terminals (State
controlled)
DGCA, AAI
(State controlled)
Indian Railways,
Large Industries for
Captive Sidings
(Open to all)
SRTUs, Large
Industries, Transport
Companies, Control and
State Warehousing
Corporation
(Partly open)
Major Ports - Govt. of India, State
Maritime Boards, Port Directorates,
Some Private and Captive Ports,
Stevedores, Agents, etc
Rolling Stock and
Equipment
(Open to all)
IA, AI, Private
Airlines
(State controlled)
Indian Railways
(Open to all)
SRTUs, Private Vehicle
Owners
(Open to all)
SCI, Great Eastern, Essar & Others
IDF GR/IIMA
SERVICES Customer Services
Air Rail Road Water
Basic Services (Open to all)
IA, AI, Private
Airlines
(State controlled)
Indian Railways
(Open to all)
SRTUs, Private Bus
Operators, TCI, Patel
Roadways, Forwarding
Agents, etc
(Open to all)
Brokers, Chartering Agents,
Forwarding Agents
Special Services (Open to all)
IA, AI, Private
Airlines
(State controlled)
Indian Railways
(Open to all)
SRTUs, Private Bus
Operators, Tour
Operators, TCI, Patel
Roadways, Forwarding
Agents, etc
(Open to all)
Brokers, Chartering Agents,
Forwarding Agents
Regulation
Air Rail Road Water
Licensing
DGCA IR RTO DG Shipping
Environmental
Impact
DGCA
Department of
Environment
RTO DG Shipping
Safety DGCA
CRS Traffic Police DG Shipping
Pricing
- Parliament
Railway Rates
Tribunal,
- DG Shipping, TAMP
Service Levels DGCA IR, Railway Claims
Tribunal
- DG Shipping
IDF GR/IIMA
Thank You
Cost of Congestion (2004-05) at Major Ports
Approx no of port calls : 18,000
Avg turnaround time : 3.5 days
International ‘good’ avg : 1.0 days
-----------
Extra time in India per Port Call : 2.5 days
-----------
No of ship days lost : 45,000
45,000 Ship days @ $10,000/day
$450 m ~ Rs 20.3 b/year
(@ Rs 45/$)
Net foreign exchange
earnings of shipping (2002-03) : Rs 36.5 bn/year
(excluding cost of buying ships)
Repatriated earnings of ‘shippees’ : Rs 10 bn/year
Cost of Congestion (2004-05) at Major Ports
Cost of Congestion (2005-06) at
Major Ports
No of port calls : 19,796
Avg turnaround time : 3.5 days
International ‘good’ avg : 1.0 days
-----------
Extra time in India per 2.5 days
port call -----------
No of ship days lost : 49,490
IIMA G Raghuram
49,490 Ship days @ $10,000/day
$494.9 mn ~ Rs 21.8 bn/year
(@ Rs 44/$)
Net foreign exchange
earnings of shipping : Rs 36.5 bn/year
(2002-03)
(excluding cost of buying ships)
Repatriated earnings
of ‘shippees’ : Rs 10 bn/year
IIMA G Raghuram
Cost of Congestion (2005-06) at
Major Ports
No of (major) port calls : 21,949
Avg turnaround time : 3.87 days
International ‘good’ avg : 1.0 days
--------------
Extra time in India per : 2.87 days
port call --------------
No of ship days lost : 62,994
IIMA G Raghuram
Cost of Congestion (2007-08) at
Major Ports
62,994 Ship days @ $20,000/day
$1.3 b : Rs 57 b/year
(@ Rs 46/$)
Net foreign exchange
earnings of shipping : Rs 70 b/year
(excluding cost of buying ships)
Repatriated earnings
of ‘shippees’ : Rs 10 b/year
IIMA G Raghuram
Cost of Congestion (2007-08) at
Major Ports

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Why PPPs

  • 1. WHY PPPs INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT AND FINANCING by MOHANDAS P Asst. Professor (Personnel Management) National Academy of Indian Railways, VadodaraIDF GR/IIMA
  • 2. Outline  What is Infrastructure  Characteristics of Infrastructure  Drivers for Commercial Outlook  Implications of Commercialisation/PPPs IDF GR/IIMA
  • 4. Social Overhead Capital Infrastructure Supports Economic growth Poverty alleviation Sustainable natural environment Source: World Bank IDF GR/IIMA What is Infrastructure ?
  • 5. Infrastructure Economic Social Energy Telecom/IT Transport Housing Water Supply Sanitation IDF GR/IIMA Rural UrbanClusters, Parks and Economic Zones Infrastructure service essential to derive the benefit of economic infrastructure. However, service ‘cost’ is relatively less [if high: Social infrastructure like Health, Education, Police, Judiciary]
  • 7. IDF GR/IIMA Characteristics of Infrastructure  High investment costs : decreasing average costs – Economies of scale & scope leading to natural monopolies: need for regulation  Use of a key “national” resource – Need for regulation  Benefits from users to non users – Framework for fiscal cycle and concessions
  • 8. Characteristics of Infrastructure  Hence, infrastructure was traditionally developed by public sector  However, governments have not achieved their own goals  Hence, there is need for commercial outlook (managerial effectiveness, financing and incentive compatibility)
  • 10. Framework for Commercialization Improve Asset Creation Efficiency Improve Asset Management Efficiency Improve Service Delivery Effectiveness & Efficiency Increase Stakeholding Increase Accountability Increase Autonomy Issues of incentive compatibility
  • 11. Increase Increase Stake Holding Accountability Privatization Competition From substitutes From markets (Multiple providers) From right to access the market Appropriate Bundling Horizontal Vertical IDF GR/IIMA Monopoly
  • 12. Increase Autonomy  Corporatisation  Focused goals & accountable management – Performance – Management contracts – Service contracts IDF GR/IIMA
  • 13. Actors in Infrastructure Bureaucracy Think Tanks Financial Institutions and Insurers Media Private Developers Users Policy Regulation and Checks Development and Delivery Judiciary Political System IDF GR/IIMA
  • 15.  Project structuring: (Appropriate bundling)  Risk assessment and management  Project financing: (Appraisal, sourcing and engineering including taxes/subsidies)  Tendering and Bidding  Agreements  Project management: (Implementation)  Financial restructuring, and mergers and acquisitions  Regulatory and institutional framework IDF GR/IIMA Key Implications
  • 16. Appropriate Bundling  To attract commercial interest  Cherry picking vs Social responsibility – Subsidy and Cross-subsidy  Retention of control  Transparency of transactions IDF GR/IIMA
  • 17. Risks Political Policy Force Majeure Market Performance Credit Completion Supply Overruns Operating Financial IDF GR/IIMA
  • 18. Risk Management/Financing  Build Own Operate  Build Own Operate Transfer  Build Operate Transfer  Build Operate Transfer (Annuity)  Build Own Lease/Use Transfer  Invest and Contract  Lend IDF GR/IIMA
  • 19. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Infinity Private Participation Options Service contracts Management contracts Leases BOT/BOOT Concessions BOO Divestiture DurationSource: World Bank 1997
  • 20. Agreements  Specification  Time frames  Review triggers  Termination conditions  Consistency
  • 21. Issues in Agreements  Competition  Scope Increase  Other Revenue Sources  Tariff Setting  Ownership  Common Use Vs Captive  Targetting the BoP/Non Viability  Step In/Termination/Transfer
  • 22. Competition Protect vs Induce (Competition for vs Competition in)  Airport  Closure of existing airports  First Right of Refusal if bid is within 10% for airports within 150 kms  Port  At least two private players in one of the four product categories (Earlier: at least two private players, no more than two terminals per player, and no next)  No new project until 80% capacity utilization (In Mormugao Port)
  • 23. Road Desire to have ‘reasonable non-tolled alternative’ - not tested Existing alternative also bid by same party o Mumbai Pune Expressway + NH4 (Ideal RB) o Athupalam Bridge Coimbatore (L&T) o Vatrak Bridge – NH8 (L&T)  Rail ?  Metro ?  Telecom - Open  Container Train Operations - Open
  • 24. Scope Increase  Airport  Port  Road Variations Additional Works 2 lane to 4 lane o Additional Work o New Project  Rail Sidings Vs New links Doubling
  • 25. Other Revenue Sources  Airport  Non Aero for Airports, land use  Ports  None  Road  Related activities of Road, land use  Rail  Stations: Yes  Metro  Use airspace  VGF/Annuity
  • 26. Tariff Setting  Airport – Regulated  Port – Regulated to Predecided  Road – Regulated to Predecided  Rail – Regulated  Metro – Open?  Container Train – Open
  • 27. Ownership  Airport  Airlines (Users) Limited  AAI  FDI Limits  Ports  User Okay  FDI ?  Roads  Limited Cross Ownership among bidders (5% to 25%)  Rail  Key Users brought in
  • 28. Common Use Vs Captive  Airport  Port  Rail
  • 29. Targetting the BoP/Non Viability  Bundle vs Unbundle  If unbundled, who pays?  (Airlines, Telecom, Roads)
  • 30. Step In/Termination/Transfer  Condition at the end of concession period  Concession period a function of viability  Inadequate performance  Ethical issues  Significant change in project scope
  • 31. Regulatory and Institutional Framework  Market failures – Licensing – Environmental Impact – Safety – Pricing – Service Levels – Dispute resolution  Institutions and Instruments
  • 32. Infrastructure Investments: XII Plan PC (2010). “Investment in Infrastructure During the Eleventh Five Year Plan,” *Rough estimate based on IR Vision 2020 document Sector X Plan (Actual) XI Plan (Original Projections) XI Plan (Revised Projections) XII Plan (Projection) Rs cr % Rs cr % Rs cr % Rs cr % Total Infrastructure 906,074 2,056,150 2,054,205 4,099,240 Public 680,854 75.14 1,436,559 69.87 1,311,293 63.83 2,049,620 50.00 Private 225,220 24.86 619,591 30.13 742,912 36.17 2,049,620 50.00 Share of Infrastructure as % of GDP: X Plan 5.15 : XI Plan (Original) 7.60 : XI Plan (Revised) 7.55 : XII Plan (Projected) 9.95
  • 33. Rs billion X Plan XI Plan 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 XII Plan Total 9061 27747 7480 8601 9962 11645 13777 51464 Centre 6809 (75.1) 9652 (34.8) 2467 2778 3130 3529 3981 15885 (30.9) State 7683 (27.7) 1929 2103 2294 2501 2728 11554 (22.5) Private 2252 (24.9) 10412 (37.5) 3084 3720 4539 5616 7068 24025 (46.7) GDP 384249 94757 102338 111548 121587 132530 562760 % of GDP 5.2 7.2 7.9 8.4 8.9 9.6 10.4 9.1 Projected Investments in Infrastructure- Twelfth Plan Source: Interim Report of the High Level Committee-Financing Infrastructure
  • 34. Infrastructure Investments: Major Sectors PC (2010). “Investment in Infrastructure During the Eleventh Five Year Plan,” *Rough estimate based on IR Vision 2020 document Sector X Plan (Actual) XI Plan (Original Projections) XI Plan (Revised Projections) Rs cr % Rs cr % Rs cr % Electricity (incl NCE) 340,237 666,525 658,630 Public 203,403 59.78 481,013 72.17 371,085 56.34 Private 136,834 40.22 185,512 27.83 287,546 43.66 Telecom 101,889 258,439 345,134 Public 48,213 47.32 80,753 31.25 61,503 17.82 Private 53,676 52.68 177,686 68.75 283,631 82.18 Roads and Bridges 127,107 314,152 278,658 Public 117,884 92.74 207,360 66.01 232,771 83.53 Private 9,223 7.26 106,792 33.99 45,887 16.47 Railways (incl MRTS) 102,091 261,808 200,802 Public 101,422 99.34 211,454 80.77 192,486 95.86 Private 669 0.66 50,354 19.23 8,316 4.14 Other Public Private Total Infrastructure 906,074 2,056,150 2,054,205 Public 680,854 75.14 1,436,559 69.87 1,311,293 63.83 Private 225,220 24.86 619,591 30.13 742,912 36.17
  • 35. Sector X Plan (Actual) XI Plan (Original Projections) XI Plan (Revised Projections) Rs cr % Rs cr % Rs cr % Irrigation, Water Supply and Sanitation 166,851 397,031 136,323 Public 165,833 99.39 391,610 98.63 135,839 99.64 Private 1,018 0.61 5,421 1.37 484 0.36 Oil and Gas Pipelines 32,367 16,855 127,306 Public 31,367 96.91 10,327 61.27 74,545 58.56 Private 1,000 3.09 6,528 38.73 52,761 41.44 Ports 22,997 87,995 40,647 Public 4,670 20.31 33,516 38.09 8,130 20.00 Private 18,327 79.69 54,479 61.91 32,517 80.00 Airports 6,893 30,968 36,138 Public 4,523 65.62 9,338 30.15 12,983 35.93 Private 2,370 34.38 21,630 69.85 23,155 64.07 Storage 5,643 22,378 8,966 Public 3,539 62.71 11,189 50.00 351 3.91 Private 2104 37.29 11,189 50.00 8,615 96.09 Infrastructure Investments: Other Sectors PC (2010). “Investment in Infrastructure During the Eleventh Five Year Plan,”
  • 38. Projected Investment in Infrastructure X Plan XI Plan Sectors US $ billion Share (%) US $ billion Share (%) Electricity (incl. NCE) 72.96 33.49 166.63 32.35 Roads and Bridges 36.22 16.63 78.54 15.25 Telecommunication 25.84 11.86 64.61 12.54 Railways (incl. MRTS) 29.91 13.73 65.45 12.71 Irrigation (incl. Watershed) 27.88 12.80 64.34 12.49 Water Supply and Sanitation 16.20 7.44 35.93 6.98 Ports 3.52 1.61 22.00 4.27 Airports 1.69 0.78 7.74 1.50 Storage 1.20 0.55 5.59 1.09 Gas 2.43 1.11 4.21 0.82 Total US $ billion 217.86 100 515.05 100 Rs. crore 871,445 2,060,193
  • 39.  Private sector investment increasing (18.5% in the Xth plan to 29.7% in the XIth plan)  Electricity has the maximum share of investments  Gaps in most infrastructure with respect to developed countries
  • 40. Refinance Objective The primary objective of IIFCL’s refinance scheme is to facilitate the flow of funds in an increasing manner for the development of infrastructure in the country. Under the scheme IIFCL will provide refinance for term loans sanctioned by Banks for only new commercially viable projects in road and port sectors. Extent of Refinance IIFCL shall provide refinance upto 60% of the loans provided by the Banks to infrastructure projects in the roads and port sectors Source: www.iifcl.org/06.02.2009%20Refinance%20Scheme.doc
  • 41. Refinance Rate of Interest The Banks will not charge more than 2.50% over and above the rate charged by IIFCL. The IIFCL rate of refinance at present would be 7.85% p.a. Tenor of Refinance Tenor of refinance shall be 10 years with a reset after 5 years. However, if the Government of India considers necessary may allow an extension with reset for 5 more years after 10 years. The Banks will have to lend for tenors exceeding 15 years on ‘best endeavour’ basis. Source: www.iifcl.org/06.02.2009%20Refinance%20Scheme.doc
  • 42. Take Out Finance  IIFCL can take over the loans of projects that have a residual debt tenor of at least six years or are yet to achieve financial closure. Projects in sectors such as roads, railways, airports, seaports, urban transport, gas pipelines, SEZs, convention centres and tourism would be eligible . The state-owned company can take over as much as 75% of the loan from a bank, or up to 50% of the total residual loan of the project, whichever is less. Source: The Economic Times, 18th January 2010
  • 43. Manage infrastructure like a business, not a bureaucracy  Introduce competition - directly if feasible, indirectly - if not  Give users and other stakeholders a strong voice and real responsibility  Leverage Public - Private partnerships IDF GR/IIMA What Needs to Happen
  • 44. Role of State  Identify stake holders  Develop appropriate risk sharing schemes including ‘subsidies’ as required  If continuing as a player, then corporatise/commercialise the play  Develop umpires  Clearly delineate roles of Policy maker (and regulator) Licensor Player IDF GR/IIMA
  • 45.  Inevitability of involving private sector  Experience is still raw in project structuring, contractual & legal implications  Hence awareness of issues more important than ‘specific solutions’  Case law build up  Mistakes will be made and learning must take place  Governments will have a continuing, if changed role in infrastructure IDF GR/IIMA What Will Happen
  • 47. System of State Involvement IDF GR/IIMA Infrastructure Owner Contractor 1. Ownership and asset creation - Right of Way - Terminals - Rolling stock and equipment
  • 48. Services Principal Agent 1. Maintenance -Right of way -Terminals -Rolling stock and equipment 2. Operations -Right of way -Terminals -Rolling stock and equipment 3. Customer services -Basic services -Special services System of State Involvement IDF GR/IIMA
  • 49. System of State Involvement IDF GR/IIMA Regulation 1. Licensing 2. Environmental impact 3. Safety 4. Pricing 5. Service levels 6. Dispute resolution
  • 50. For each mode And further segmentation possible based on market considerations Passenger vs Freight Urban vs Rural Domestic vs International System of State Involvement IDF GR/IIMA
  • 51. IDF GR/IIMA Transport Sector Components and Involvement of the State and Private Sector: INFRASTRUCTURE Ownership Air Rail Road Water Right of Way (State controlled) DGCA, AAI (State controlled) Indian Railways (State controlled) NHAI, PWD, Urban Administrations, Local Governments, Defense (State controlled) Major Ports - Govt. of India, State Maritime Boards, Port Directorates Terminals (State controlled) AAI, Defense (State controlled) Indian Railways, Large Industries for Captive Sidings (Open to all) SRTUs, Large Industries, Trucking Companies, etc (Partly Open) Major Ports - Govt. of India, State Maritime Boards, Port Directorates, Some Private and Captive Ports Rolling Stock and Equipment (Open to all) IA, AI, Other Private Airlines (State controlled) Indian Railways (Open to all) SRTUs, Private Vehicle Owners (Open to all) SCI, Great Eastern, Essar & Others
  • 52. IDF GR/IIMA SERVICES Maintenance Air Rail Road Water Right of Way - NA - (State controlled) Indian Railways (State controlled) NHAI, PWD, Urban Administrations (State controlled) Major Ports - Govt. of India, State Maritime Boards, Port Directorates Terminals (State controlled) AAI (State controlled) Indian Railways, Large Industries for Captive Sidings (Open to all) SRTUs, Large Industries, Trucking Companies, etc (State controlled) Major Ports – Govt. of India, State Maritime Boards, Port Directorates, Some Private and Captive Ports Rolling Stock and Equipment (Open to all) IA, AI, Other Private Airlines (State controlled) Indian Railways (Open to all) Innumerable Small scale garages, Large organized work shops for SRTUs, few private sector large workshops (Open to all) Port Dry Docks, HSL, CSL, Chokhani & Others
  • 53. IDF GR/IIMA SERVICES Operations Air Rail Road Water Right of Way (State controlled) DGCA, AAI (State controlled) Indian Railways (State controlled) Police Department in case of high traffic density (State controlled) Major Ports - Govt. of India, State Maritime Boards, Port Directorates, Light House Authority Terminals (State controlled) DGCA, AAI (State controlled) Indian Railways, Large Industries for Captive Sidings (Open to all) SRTUs, Large Industries, Transport Companies, Control and State Warehousing Corporation (Partly open) Major Ports - Govt. of India, State Maritime Boards, Port Directorates, Some Private and Captive Ports, Stevedores, Agents, etc Rolling Stock and Equipment (Open to all) IA, AI, Private Airlines (State controlled) Indian Railways (Open to all) SRTUs, Private Vehicle Owners (Open to all) SCI, Great Eastern, Essar & Others
  • 54. IDF GR/IIMA SERVICES Customer Services Air Rail Road Water Basic Services (Open to all) IA, AI, Private Airlines (State controlled) Indian Railways (Open to all) SRTUs, Private Bus Operators, TCI, Patel Roadways, Forwarding Agents, etc (Open to all) Brokers, Chartering Agents, Forwarding Agents Special Services (Open to all) IA, AI, Private Airlines (State controlled) Indian Railways (Open to all) SRTUs, Private Bus Operators, Tour Operators, TCI, Patel Roadways, Forwarding Agents, etc (Open to all) Brokers, Chartering Agents, Forwarding Agents
  • 55. Regulation Air Rail Road Water Licensing DGCA IR RTO DG Shipping Environmental Impact DGCA Department of Environment RTO DG Shipping Safety DGCA CRS Traffic Police DG Shipping Pricing - Parliament Railway Rates Tribunal, - DG Shipping, TAMP Service Levels DGCA IR, Railway Claims Tribunal - DG Shipping IDF GR/IIMA
  • 57. Cost of Congestion (2004-05) at Major Ports Approx no of port calls : 18,000 Avg turnaround time : 3.5 days International ‘good’ avg : 1.0 days ----------- Extra time in India per Port Call : 2.5 days ----------- No of ship days lost : 45,000
  • 58. 45,000 Ship days @ $10,000/day $450 m ~ Rs 20.3 b/year (@ Rs 45/$) Net foreign exchange earnings of shipping (2002-03) : Rs 36.5 bn/year (excluding cost of buying ships) Repatriated earnings of ‘shippees’ : Rs 10 bn/year Cost of Congestion (2004-05) at Major Ports
  • 59. Cost of Congestion (2005-06) at Major Ports No of port calls : 19,796 Avg turnaround time : 3.5 days International ‘good’ avg : 1.0 days ----------- Extra time in India per 2.5 days port call ----------- No of ship days lost : 49,490 IIMA G Raghuram
  • 60. 49,490 Ship days @ $10,000/day $494.9 mn ~ Rs 21.8 bn/year (@ Rs 44/$) Net foreign exchange earnings of shipping : Rs 36.5 bn/year (2002-03) (excluding cost of buying ships) Repatriated earnings of ‘shippees’ : Rs 10 bn/year IIMA G Raghuram Cost of Congestion (2005-06) at Major Ports
  • 61. No of (major) port calls : 21,949 Avg turnaround time : 3.87 days International ‘good’ avg : 1.0 days -------------- Extra time in India per : 2.87 days port call -------------- No of ship days lost : 62,994 IIMA G Raghuram Cost of Congestion (2007-08) at Major Ports
  • 62. 62,994 Ship days @ $20,000/day $1.3 b : Rs 57 b/year (@ Rs 46/$) Net foreign exchange earnings of shipping : Rs 70 b/year (excluding cost of buying ships) Repatriated earnings of ‘shippees’ : Rs 10 b/year IIMA G Raghuram Cost of Congestion (2007-08) at Major Ports