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What’s	
  Driving	
  K-­‐12	
  Online	
  Learning?	
  
	
  
Research	
  and	
  Policy	
  Responses	
  
Michael	
  K.	
  Barbour	
  
Director	
  of	
  Doctoral	
  Studies	
  
Sacred	
  Heart	
  University	
  
Why	
  Does	
  This	
  Ma@er?	
  
1991	
  –	
  first	
  K-­‐12	
  online	
  learning	
  program	
  
	
  
2000-­‐01	
  –	
  between	
  40,000-­‐50,000	
  students	
  (Clark,	
  
2001)	
  
	
  
2010-­‐11	
  –	
  K-­‐12	
  online	
  learning	
  acSvity	
  in	
  all	
  50	
  states	
  
and	
  DC	
  (Watson	
  et	
  al.,	
  2011)	
  
	
  
Today	
  –	
  between	
  two	
  and	
  six	
  million	
  (Ambient	
  
Insights,	
  2014;	
  Watson	
  et	
  al.,	
  2015)	
  
What	
  Do	
  We	
  Know?	
  
•  a	
  number	
  of	
  scholars	
  have	
  documented	
  the	
  absence	
  of	
  
rigorous	
  reviews	
  of	
  virtual	
  schools	
  (Barbour	
  &	
  Reeves,	
  
2009).	
  	
  
•  “based	
  upon	
  the	
  personal	
  experiences	
  of	
  those	
  involved	
  
in	
  the	
  pracSce	
  of	
  virtual	
  schooling”	
  (Cavanaugh,	
  Barbour	
  
&	
  Clark	
  ,	
  2009)	
  
•  “a	
  paucity	
  of	
  research	
  exists	
  when	
  examining	
  high	
  school	
  
students	
  enrolled	
  in	
  virtual	
  schools,	
  and	
  the	
  research	
  
base	
  is	
  smaller	
  sSll	
  when	
  the	
  populaSon	
  of	
  students	
  is	
  
further	
  narrowed	
  to	
  the	
  elementary	
  grades”	
  (Rice,	
  2006)	
  
What	
  Do	
  We	
  Know?	
  
•  Cavanaugh,	
  Barbour	
  and	
  Clark	
  (2009)	
  defended	
  
this	
  state	
  of	
  affairs,	
  wriSng	
  that	
  “in	
  many	
  ways,	
  
this	
  [was]	
  indicaSve	
  of	
  the	
  foundaSonal	
  
descripSve	
  work	
  that	
  o_en	
  precedes	
  
experimentaSon	
  in	
  any	
  scienSfic	
  field.”	
  
•  We	
  can	
  ask,	
  however,	
  how	
  long	
  must	
  we	
  wait?	
  
(Barbour,	
  2011).	
  
What	
  Does	
  The	
  Research	
  Say?	
  
1. Comparisons	
  of	
  student	
  performance	
  based	
  upon	
  
delivery	
  model	
  (i.e.,	
  classroom	
  vs.	
  online)	
  
2. Studies	
  examining	
  the	
  qualiSes	
  and	
  characterisScs	
  
of	
  the	
  teaching/learning	
  experience	
  	
  
–  characterisScs	
  of	
  
–  supports	
  provided	
  to	
  
–  issues	
  related	
  to	
  isolaSon	
  of	
  online	
  learners	
  (Rice,	
  2006)	
  
1  EffecSveness	
  of	
  virtual	
  schooling	
  
2  Student	
  readiness	
  and	
  retenSon	
  issues	
  (Cavanaugh	
  
et	
  al.,	
  2009)	
  
Supplemental	
  Student	
  Performance	
  
Literature Finding
Bigbie &
McCarroll (2000)
…over half of students who completed FLVS courses
scored an A in their course & only 7% received a failing
grade.
Cavanaugh (2001) …effect size slightly in favor of K-12 distance education.
Cavanaught et al.
(2004)
…negative effect size for K-12 distance education.
Cavanaugh et al.
(2005)
FLVS students performed better on a non-mandatory
assessment tool than students from the traditional
classroom.
McLeod et al.
(2005)
FLVS students performed better on an algebraic
assessment than their classroom counterparts.
Means et al. (2009) …small effect size favoring online cohorts over face-to-
face cohorts based on limited K-12 studies.
Chingos &
Schwerdt (2014)
FLVS students perform about the same or somewhat
better on state tests once their pre-high-school
characteristics are taken into account.
But	
  Look	
  A	
  Li@le	
  Closer...	
  
Ballas & Belyk
(2000)	
  
participation rate in the assessment among
virtual students ranged from 65% to 75%
compared to 90% to 96% for the classroom-
based students	
  
Bigbie &
McCarroll (2000)	
  
between 25% and 50% of students had dropped
out of their FLVS courses over the previous two-
year period	
  
Cavanaugh et al.
(2005)	
  
speculated that the virtual school students who
did take the assessment may have been more
academically motivated and naturally higher
achieving students	
  
McLeod et al.
(2005)	
  
results of the student performance were due to
the high dropout rate in virtual school courses	
  
Are	
  We	
  Comparing	
  Apples	
  to	
  Apples?	
  
Literature Finding
Kozma et al.
(1998)
“…vast majority of VHS students in their courses
were planning to attend a four-year college.”
Espinoza et al.
(1999)
“VHS courses are predominantly designated as
‘honors,’ and students enrolled are mostly college
bound.”
Roblyer &
Elbaum (2000)
“…only students with a high need to control and
structure their own learning may choose distance
formats freely.”
Clark et al.
(2002)
“IVHS students were highly motivated, high
achieving, self-directed and/or who liked to work
independently.”
Mills (2003) “…typical online student was an A or B student.”
Watkins (2005) “…45% of the students who participated in e-
learning opportunities in Michigan were either
advanced placement or academically advanced
students.”
Literature	
  
indicates	
  K-­‐12	
  
online	
  learning	
  
students	
  are...	
  
According	
  to	
  
proponents,	
  most	
  or	
  
a	
  large	
  segment	
  	
  
K-­‐12	
  online	
  learning	
  
students	
  are	
  like	
  this…	
  
What	
  Do	
  We	
  Know	
  About	
  Full-­‐Time	
  Performance?	
  
Literature Finding
CO (2006) “Online student scores in math, reading, and writing have been
lower than scores for students statewide over the last three years.”
OH (2009) …online charter school students experienced significantly lower
achievement gains compared to brick-and-mortar charter schools
in the state.
OH (2009) Online charter schools “rank higher when looking at their ‘value-
added’ progress over one year rather than simply measuring their
one-time testing performance.”
WI (2010) “Virtual charter school pupils’ median scores on the mathematics
section of the Wisconsin Knowledge and Concepts Examination
were almost always lower than statewide medians during the
2005-06 and 2006-07 school years.”
CO (2011) “Half of the online students wind up leaving within a year. When
they do, they’re often further behind academically then when they
started.”
MN (2011) “Compared with all students statewide, full-time online students
had significantly lower proficiency rates on the math MCA-II but
similar proficiency rates in reading.”
Literature Finding
AZ (2011) “[N]early nine of every 10 students enrolled in at least one statewide
online course, all had graduation rates and AIMS math passing rates below
the state average”
OH (2011) “[N]early 97 percent of Ohio's traditional school districts have a higher
score than the average score of the seven statewide” online charter
schools. Those schools in Ohio also underperformed brick-and-mortar
schools in graduation rates.
PA (2011) 100% of these online charter schools performed significantly worse than
feeder schools in both reading and math.
AR (2012) …online students performed at levels comparable to their face-to-face
counterparts in six out of eight measures, and on the remaining two
measures online students outperformed their face-to-face counterparts at a
0.10 statistically significant level.
National
(2012)
“…students at K12 Inc., the nation’s largest virtual school company, are
falling further behind in reading and math scores than students in brick-
and-mortar schools.”
KS (2015) “Virtual school students perform similarly to traditional school students in
reading before and after controlling for student demographics. After
controlling for demographic differences, virtual school students’
performance in math was similar to that of traditional school students.”
Reality	
  of	
  Full-­‐Time	
  Online	
  Students	
  
• Understanding	
  that	
  K¹²-­‐managed	
  schools	
  are	
  
serving	
  large	
  numbers	
  of	
  students	
  who	
  enter	
  
behind	
  grade	
  level	
  in	
  math	
  and	
  reading	
  
	
  
K12	
  Inc.	
  Public	
  Affairs.	
  (2012).	
  Response	
  to	
  NEPC	
  report	
  on	
  K12	
  Inc..	
  Herndon,	
  VA:	
  K12,	
  
Inc..	
  Retrieved	
  from	
  h@p://www.k12.com/response-­‐to-­‐nepc#.VPfKu2TF_Kk	
  
•  K12	
  Inc.	
  virtual	
  schools	
  enroll	
  approximately	
  the	
  same	
  
percentages	
  of	
  black	
  students	
  but	
  substan'ally	
  more	
  white	
  
students	
  and	
  fewer	
  Hispanic	
  students	
  relaSve	
  to	
  public	
  schools	
  
in	
  the	
  states	
  in	
  which	
  the	
  company	
  operates 	
  
•  39.9%	
  of	
  K12	
  students	
  qualify	
  for	
  free	
  or	
  reduced	
  lunch,	
  
compared	
  with	
  47.2%	
  for	
  the	
  same-­‐state	
  comparison	
  group. 	
  
•  K12	
  virtual	
  schools	
  enroll	
  a	
  slightly	
  smaller	
  propor'on	
  of	
  
students	
  with	
  disabili'es	
  than	
  schools	
  in	
  their	
  states	
  and	
  in	
  the	
  
naSon	
  as	
  a	
  whole	
  (9.4%	
  for	
  K12	
  schools,	
  11.5%	
  for	
  same-­‐state	
  
comparisons,	
  and	
  13.1%	
  in	
  the	
  naSon). 	
  
•  “Students	
  classified	
  as	
  English	
  language	
  learners	
  are	
  
significantly	
  under-­‐represented	
  in	
  K12	
  schools;	
  on	
  average	
  the	
  
K12	
  schools	
  enroll	
  0.3%	
  ELL	
  students	
  compared	
  with	
  13.8%	
  in	
  
the	
  same-­‐state	
  comparison	
  group	
  and	
  9.6%	
  in	
  the	
  naSon.”	
  
Miron,	
  G.	
  &	
  Urschel,	
  J.	
  (2012).	
  Understanding	
  and	
  improving	
  full-­‐Fme	
  virtual	
  schools.	
  Denver,	
  CO:	
  NaSonal	
  
EducaSon	
  Policy	
  Center.	
  
Reality	
  of	
  Full-­‐Time	
  Online	
  Students	
  
“AYP	
  is	
  not	
  a	
  reliable	
  measure	
  of	
  school	
  
performance….	
  	
  There	
  is	
  an	
  emerging	
  consensus	
  
to	
  scrap	
  AYP	
  and	
  replace	
  it	
  with	
  a	
  be@er	
  system	
  
that	
  measures	
  academic	
  progress	
  and	
  growth.	
  	
  
K12	
  has	
  been	
  measuring	
  student	
  academic	
  
growth	
  on	
  behalf	
  of	
  its	
  partner	
  schools,	
  and	
  the	
  
results	
  are	
  strong	
  with	
  academic	
  gains	
  above	
  the	
  
naSonal	
  average.”	
  	
  
	
  
Jeff	
  Kwitowski	
  -­‐	
  K12,	
  Inc.	
  Vice	
  President	
  of	
  Public	
  
Affairs	
  
Flawed	
  Comparisons…	
  
But	
  What	
  Else	
  Do	
  We	
  Have?	
  
Case	
  Study:	
  Colorado	
  
Case	
  Study:	
  Colorado	
  
Case	
  Study:	
  Colorado	
  
Is	
  Research	
  Really	
  Guiding	
  Us?	
  
Or	
  Is	
  This	
  More	
  Random?	
  
What s	
  Really	
  Driving	
  this	
  Growth??	
  	
  
The	
  Challenge	
  
Whether	
  online	
  
learning	
  can	
  	
  
be	
  suitable	
  for	
  	
  
all	
  K-­‐12	
  
students?	
  
	
  
(Mulcahy,	
  2002)	
  	
  
The	
  Challenge	
  
How	
  do	
  we	
  create	
  
an	
  environment	
  
where	
  all	
  K-­‐12	
  
students	
  can	
  	
  
be	
  successful	
  
when	
  they	
  learn	
  
online?	
  
Your	
  
QuesSons	
  
and	
  
Comments	
  
h@p://www.slideshare.net/mkb	
  
Director	
  of	
  Doctoral	
  Studies	
  
Sacred	
  Heart	
  University	
  
	
  
mkbarbour@gmail.com	
  
h@p://www.michaelbarbour.com	
  
h@p://virtualschooling.wordpress.com	
  

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Driving Forces Behind K-12 Online Learning

  • 1. What’s  Driving  K-­‐12  Online  Learning?     Research  and  Policy  Responses   Michael  K.  Barbour   Director  of  Doctoral  Studies   Sacred  Heart  University  
  • 2. Why  Does  This  Ma@er?   1991  –  first  K-­‐12  online  learning  program     2000-­‐01  –  between  40,000-­‐50,000  students  (Clark,   2001)     2010-­‐11  –  K-­‐12  online  learning  acSvity  in  all  50  states   and  DC  (Watson  et  al.,  2011)     Today  –  between  two  and  six  million  (Ambient   Insights,  2014;  Watson  et  al.,  2015)  
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. What  Do  We  Know?   •  a  number  of  scholars  have  documented  the  absence  of   rigorous  reviews  of  virtual  schools  (Barbour  &  Reeves,   2009).     •  “based  upon  the  personal  experiences  of  those  involved   in  the  pracSce  of  virtual  schooling”  (Cavanaugh,  Barbour   &  Clark  ,  2009)   •  “a  paucity  of  research  exists  when  examining  high  school   students  enrolled  in  virtual  schools,  and  the  research   base  is  smaller  sSll  when  the  populaSon  of  students  is   further  narrowed  to  the  elementary  grades”  (Rice,  2006)  
  • 6. What  Do  We  Know?   •  Cavanaugh,  Barbour  and  Clark  (2009)  defended   this  state  of  affairs,  wriSng  that  “in  many  ways,   this  [was]  indicaSve  of  the  foundaSonal   descripSve  work  that  o_en  precedes   experimentaSon  in  any  scienSfic  field.”   •  We  can  ask,  however,  how  long  must  we  wait?   (Barbour,  2011).  
  • 7. What  Does  The  Research  Say?   1. Comparisons  of  student  performance  based  upon   delivery  model  (i.e.,  classroom  vs.  online)   2. Studies  examining  the  qualiSes  and  characterisScs   of  the  teaching/learning  experience     –  characterisScs  of   –  supports  provided  to   –  issues  related  to  isolaSon  of  online  learners  (Rice,  2006)   1  EffecSveness  of  virtual  schooling   2  Student  readiness  and  retenSon  issues  (Cavanaugh   et  al.,  2009)  
  • 8. Supplemental  Student  Performance   Literature Finding Bigbie & McCarroll (2000) …over half of students who completed FLVS courses scored an A in their course & only 7% received a failing grade. Cavanaugh (2001) …effect size slightly in favor of K-12 distance education. Cavanaught et al. (2004) …negative effect size for K-12 distance education. Cavanaugh et al. (2005) FLVS students performed better on a non-mandatory assessment tool than students from the traditional classroom. McLeod et al. (2005) FLVS students performed better on an algebraic assessment than their classroom counterparts. Means et al. (2009) …small effect size favoring online cohorts over face-to- face cohorts based on limited K-12 studies. Chingos & Schwerdt (2014) FLVS students perform about the same or somewhat better on state tests once their pre-high-school characteristics are taken into account.
  • 9. But  Look  A  Li@le  Closer...  
  • 10. Ballas & Belyk (2000)   participation rate in the assessment among virtual students ranged from 65% to 75% compared to 90% to 96% for the classroom- based students   Bigbie & McCarroll (2000)   between 25% and 50% of students had dropped out of their FLVS courses over the previous two- year period   Cavanaugh et al. (2005)   speculated that the virtual school students who did take the assessment may have been more academically motivated and naturally higher achieving students   McLeod et al. (2005)   results of the student performance were due to the high dropout rate in virtual school courses  
  • 11. Are  We  Comparing  Apples  to  Apples?  
  • 12. Literature Finding Kozma et al. (1998) “…vast majority of VHS students in their courses were planning to attend a four-year college.” Espinoza et al. (1999) “VHS courses are predominantly designated as ‘honors,’ and students enrolled are mostly college bound.” Roblyer & Elbaum (2000) “…only students with a high need to control and structure their own learning may choose distance formats freely.” Clark et al. (2002) “IVHS students were highly motivated, high achieving, self-directed and/or who liked to work independently.” Mills (2003) “…typical online student was an A or B student.” Watkins (2005) “…45% of the students who participated in e- learning opportunities in Michigan were either advanced placement or academically advanced students.”
  • 13. Literature   indicates  K-­‐12   online  learning   students  are...  
  • 14. According  to   proponents,  most  or   a  large  segment     K-­‐12  online  learning   students  are  like  this…  
  • 15. What  Do  We  Know  About  Full-­‐Time  Performance?  
  • 16. Literature Finding CO (2006) “Online student scores in math, reading, and writing have been lower than scores for students statewide over the last three years.” OH (2009) …online charter school students experienced significantly lower achievement gains compared to brick-and-mortar charter schools in the state. OH (2009) Online charter schools “rank higher when looking at their ‘value- added’ progress over one year rather than simply measuring their one-time testing performance.” WI (2010) “Virtual charter school pupils’ median scores on the mathematics section of the Wisconsin Knowledge and Concepts Examination were almost always lower than statewide medians during the 2005-06 and 2006-07 school years.” CO (2011) “Half of the online students wind up leaving within a year. When they do, they’re often further behind academically then when they started.” MN (2011) “Compared with all students statewide, full-time online students had significantly lower proficiency rates on the math MCA-II but similar proficiency rates in reading.”
  • 17. Literature Finding AZ (2011) “[N]early nine of every 10 students enrolled in at least one statewide online course, all had graduation rates and AIMS math passing rates below the state average” OH (2011) “[N]early 97 percent of Ohio's traditional school districts have a higher score than the average score of the seven statewide” online charter schools. Those schools in Ohio also underperformed brick-and-mortar schools in graduation rates. PA (2011) 100% of these online charter schools performed significantly worse than feeder schools in both reading and math. AR (2012) …online students performed at levels comparable to their face-to-face counterparts in six out of eight measures, and on the remaining two measures online students outperformed their face-to-face counterparts at a 0.10 statistically significant level. National (2012) “…students at K12 Inc., the nation’s largest virtual school company, are falling further behind in reading and math scores than students in brick- and-mortar schools.” KS (2015) “Virtual school students perform similarly to traditional school students in reading before and after controlling for student demographics. After controlling for demographic differences, virtual school students’ performance in math was similar to that of traditional school students.”
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. Reality  of  Full-­‐Time  Online  Students   • Understanding  that  K¹²-­‐managed  schools  are   serving  large  numbers  of  students  who  enter   behind  grade  level  in  math  and  reading     K12  Inc.  Public  Affairs.  (2012).  Response  to  NEPC  report  on  K12  Inc..  Herndon,  VA:  K12,   Inc..  Retrieved  from  h@p://www.k12.com/response-­‐to-­‐nepc#.VPfKu2TF_Kk  
  • 23. •  K12  Inc.  virtual  schools  enroll  approximately  the  same   percentages  of  black  students  but  substan'ally  more  white   students  and  fewer  Hispanic  students  relaSve  to  public  schools   in  the  states  in  which  the  company  operates   •  39.9%  of  K12  students  qualify  for  free  or  reduced  lunch,   compared  with  47.2%  for  the  same-­‐state  comparison  group.   •  K12  virtual  schools  enroll  a  slightly  smaller  propor'on  of   students  with  disabili'es  than  schools  in  their  states  and  in  the   naSon  as  a  whole  (9.4%  for  K12  schools,  11.5%  for  same-­‐state   comparisons,  and  13.1%  in  the  naSon).   •  “Students  classified  as  English  language  learners  are   significantly  under-­‐represented  in  K12  schools;  on  average  the   K12  schools  enroll  0.3%  ELL  students  compared  with  13.8%  in   the  same-­‐state  comparison  group  and  9.6%  in  the  naSon.”   Miron,  G.  &  Urschel,  J.  (2012).  Understanding  and  improving  full-­‐Fme  virtual  schools.  Denver,  CO:  NaSonal   EducaSon  Policy  Center.   Reality  of  Full-­‐Time  Online  Students  
  • 24. “AYP  is  not  a  reliable  measure  of  school   performance….    There  is  an  emerging  consensus   to  scrap  AYP  and  replace  it  with  a  be@er  system   that  measures  academic  progress  and  growth.     K12  has  been  measuring  student  academic   growth  on  behalf  of  its  partner  schools,  and  the   results  are  strong  with  academic  gains  above  the   naSonal  average.”       Jeff  Kwitowski  -­‐  K12,  Inc.  Vice  President  of  Public   Affairs  
  • 25. Flawed  Comparisons…   But  What  Else  Do  We  Have?  
  • 29. Is  Research  Really  Guiding  Us?  
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Or  Is  This  More  Random?  
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. What s  Really  Driving  this  Growth??    
  • 36. The  Challenge   Whether  online   learning  can     be  suitable  for     all  K-­‐12   students?     (Mulcahy,  2002)    
  • 37. The  Challenge   How  do  we  create   an  environment   where  all  K-­‐12   students  can     be  successful   when  they  learn   online?  
  • 38. Your   QuesSons   and   Comments  
  • 40. Director  of  Doctoral  Studies   Sacred  Heart  University     mkbarbour@gmail.com   h@p://www.michaelbarbour.com   h@p://virtualschooling.wordpress.com