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SECTION 4-5
                            Independent and Dependent Events




Friday, December 17, 2010
ESSENTIAL QUESTIONS

                      How do you find probabilities of dependent events?
                      How do you find the probability of independent
                      events?


                      Where you’ll see this:
                            Government, health, sports, games



Friday, December 17, 2010
VOCABULARY

         1. Independent:


         2. Dependent:




Friday, December 17, 2010
VOCABULARY

         1. Independent: When the result of the second event is not
              affected by the result of the first event

         2. Dependent:




Friday, December 17, 2010
VOCABULARY

         1. Independent: When the result of the second event is not
              affected by the result of the first event

         2. Dependent: When the result of the second event is affected
             by the result of the first event




Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 1
                      Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a
                     standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then
                    replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card.
                      Find the probability that both cards will be black.




Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 1
                      Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a
                     standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then
                    replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card.
                      Find the probability that both cards will be black.

                            P (Black, then black)




Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 1
                      Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a
                     standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then
                    replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card.
                      Find the probability that both cards will be black.

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)




Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 1
                      Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a
                     standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then
                    replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card.
                      Find the probability that both cards will be black.

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)

                                 26 26
                                = i
                                 52 52



Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 1
                      Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a
                     standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then
                    replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card.
                      Find the probability that both cards will be black.

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)

                                 26 26    676
                                = i    =
                                 52 52   2704



Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 1
                      Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a
                     standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then
                    replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card.
                      Find the probability that both cards will be black.

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)

                                 26 26    676   1
                                = i    =      =
                                 52 52   2704   4



Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 1
                      Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a
                     standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then
                    replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card.
                      Find the probability that both cards will be black.

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)

                                 26 26    676   1
                                = i    =      =   = 25%
                                 52 52   2704   4



Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 2
                     Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at
                     random. He identifies it and does not return it to the
                       deck. He then draws a second card. What is the
                            probability that both cards are black?




Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 2
                     Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at
                     random. He identifies it and does not return it to the
                       deck. He then draws a second card. What is the
                            probability that both cards are black?

                            P (Black, then black)




Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 2
                     Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at
                     random. He identifies it and does not return it to the
                       deck. He then draws a second card. What is the
                            probability that both cards are black?

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)




Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 2
                     Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at
                     random. He identifies it and does not return it to the
                       deck. He then draws a second card. What is the
                            probability that both cards are black?

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)

                               26 25
                              = i
                               52 51



Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 2
                     Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at
                     random. He identifies it and does not return it to the
                       deck. He then draws a second card. What is the
                            probability that both cards are black?

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)

                               26 25   650
                              = i    =
                               52 51   2652



Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 2
                     Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at
                     random. He identifies it and does not return it to the
                       deck. He then draws a second card. What is the
                            probability that both cards are black?

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)

                               26 25   650     25
                              = i    =      =
                               52 51   2652   102



Friday, December 17, 2010
EXAMPLE 2
                     Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at
                     random. He identifies it and does not return it to the
                       deck. He then draws a second card. What is the
                            probability that both cards are black?

                            P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black)

                               26 25   650     25
                              = i    =      =     ≈ 24.5%
                               52 51   2652   102



Friday, December 17, 2010
PROBLEM SET




Friday, December 17, 2010
PROBLEM SET


                                      p. 170 #1-25




                  “Most people would rather be certain they’re miserable
                        than risk being happy.” - Robert Anthony

Friday, December 17, 2010

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Int2 section 4-5 1011

  • 1. SECTION 4-5 Independent and Dependent Events Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 2. ESSENTIAL QUESTIONS How do you find probabilities of dependent events? How do you find the probability of independent events? Where you’ll see this: Government, health, sports, games Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 3. VOCABULARY 1. Independent: 2. Dependent: Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 4. VOCABULARY 1. Independent: When the result of the second event is not affected by the result of the first event 2. Dependent: Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 5. VOCABULARY 1. Independent: When the result of the second event is not affected by the result of the first event 2. Dependent: When the result of the second event is affected by the result of the first event Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 6. EXAMPLE 1 Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card. Find the probability that both cards will be black. Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 7. EXAMPLE 1 Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card. Find the probability that both cards will be black. P (Black, then black) Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 8. EXAMPLE 1 Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card. Find the probability that both cards will be black. P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 9. EXAMPLE 1 Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card. Find the probability that both cards will be black. P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) 26 26 = i 52 52 Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 10. EXAMPLE 1 Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card. Find the probability that both cards will be black. P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) 26 26 676 = i = 52 52 2704 Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 11. EXAMPLE 1 Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card. Find the probability that both cards will be black. P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) 26 26 676 1 = i = = 52 52 2704 4 Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 12. EXAMPLE 1 Matt Mitarnowski draws a card at random from a standard deck of cards. He identifies the card then replaces it in the deck. Then he draws a second card. Find the probability that both cards will be black. P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) 26 26 676 1 = i = = = 25% 52 52 2704 4 Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 13. EXAMPLE 2 Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at random. He identifies it and does not return it to the deck. He then draws a second card. What is the probability that both cards are black? Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 14. EXAMPLE 2 Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at random. He identifies it and does not return it to the deck. He then draws a second card. What is the probability that both cards are black? P (Black, then black) Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 15. EXAMPLE 2 Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at random. He identifies it and does not return it to the deck. He then draws a second card. What is the probability that both cards are black? P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 16. EXAMPLE 2 Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at random. He identifies it and does not return it to the deck. He then draws a second card. What is the probability that both cards are black? P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) 26 25 = i 52 51 Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 17. EXAMPLE 2 Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at random. He identifies it and does not return it to the deck. He then draws a second card. What is the probability that both cards are black? P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) 26 25 650 = i = 52 51 2652 Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 18. EXAMPLE 2 Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at random. He identifies it and does not return it to the deck. He then draws a second card. What is the probability that both cards are black? P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) 26 25 650 25 = i = = 52 51 2652 102 Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 19. EXAMPLE 2 Fuzzy Jeff takes a deck of cards and draws a card at random. He identifies it and does not return it to the deck. He then draws a second card. What is the probability that both cards are black? P (Black, then black) = P (Black)iP (Black) 26 25 650 25 = i = = ≈ 24.5% 52 51 2652 102 Friday, December 17, 2010
  • 21. PROBLEM SET p. 170 #1-25 “Most people would rather be certain they’re miserable than risk being happy.” - Robert Anthony Friday, December 17, 2010