commodity market trend in india

1. A
PROJECT REPORT
ON
‘’COMMODITY MARKET TREND IN INDIA’’
FOR
‘’DEVASHISH SECURITIES PVT. LTD.’’
(VYARA)
Submitted to
THE MANDVI EDUCATION SOCIETY
UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF
FACULTY GUIDE COMPANY GUIDE
Mrs. Priyanka Desai Mr. Anil shah
(Asst.Professor) (Branch Manager)
SUBMITTED BY
(ANKIT MISHRA)
ENROLLMENT NO.: (148120592043)
M.B.A- 3rd Semester

2. INDEX
 Industry Profile
 Company Profile
 Literature Review
 Objective of the Study
 Research Methodology
 Data analysis
 Finding
 Conclusion
 Bibliography

3. COMMODITIES MARKET
• Commodities can be traded on either spot markets, or in the
form of futures.
• Commodity market an exchange for buying and selling
commodities for future delivery

4. INDUSTRY PROFILE
• Two major commodities exchange in India
-mcx (multi commodity exchange)
- ncdex (national commodities &
derivatives exchange
• MCX offer more then then 40 commodities
across various segment such as bullion,
ferrous and non-ferrous metals ,energy, and a
number of agriculture - commodities on its
platform

5. COMPANY PROFILE
• During June 1996, Started as Devashish Investment, a family
firm with partners Krishankant Desai and his son Ashish Desai
as partners. Senior Partner Krishnakant Desai has long
experience as Accountant in Bardoli Sugar Factory
• Devashish Securities Pvt. Ltd Is a recognized sub-broker of
SEBI. Kisan Ratilal Choksey, Bombay based Share Brokers.
started other departments – Mutual Fund – Insurance
Company Deposits etc.

6. ORGANIZATION CHART
Ankit mishra 6
Mr. Krishnakant Desai
(Board of director)
Mr. Ashish K. Desai
(CEO & MD)
Mrs. Nikisha Surti
(Personnel
Department)
Mr Hitesh Panchal
(Finance
Department)
Mr. Mayur Panchal
(System and operation
department)
Mrs. Nehal Naik
(Marketing
Department)
Mr. Viral Naik
(Research and
Development)
Mr. Dharmesh Tailor
(Product and Dealing
department)

7. LITERATURE REVIEW
Name of author Year Particulars
Vidyaniketan Journal of
Management and Research
December- 2013 Background - Commodity market
impact on Indian investment sector
Objective-analyse the factors mainly
affect on success of Commodity
Market in India.
Conclusion - Commodity derivative
market are not developed as compare
to Capital market. Investors are not
understood about Commodity
market, it is also one of the barrier for
development of Commodity
Derivative market in India

8. Name of author Year Particular
Sanjay Tiwari
&
Komal Gupta
2009 December Background- A volatility analysis of
these three precious metal commodity
gold, silver, copper
Objective-To study the growth of
commodity derivatives in India during
last three
years (i.e. from 1st March 2006 to 28th
Feb, 2009.
CONCLUTION-gold is less volatile in all
three contract in comparison of silver
and copper. Copper is more volatile in
comparison of gold and silver

9. Name of author Year Particular
Mukherjee, Dr Kedar Nath 2011 Background-Impact of Futures Trading on
Indian Agricultural Commodity Market
Objective-To indentify the impact of futures
trading on the agricultural commodity market
in India.
conclusion-The conclusion show that the
comparative advantage enjoyed by the futures
market in disseminating information, leading to
an accurate price discovery and risk
management, can help in successfully
developing the underlying commodity market
in India

10. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY:-
 Problem Statement:-
 To understand the commodity market trends in India.
 Object of Study:-
 Primary Objective:-
To know the trends of the commodity market in India with of
some specific commodities
 Secondary Objectives:-
1) To know the seasonal impact on gold.
2) To know the seasonal impact on silver.
3) To know the seasonal impact on crude oil.
4) To know the seasonal impact on copper.

11.  Research Design:-
 Descriptive design has been used in this research.
 Source Data:-
 Secondary data has been used in this research.
 Sample Size:-
 Four commodity
 Sampling Method:-
 The non-probability sampling technique is suitable and
judgment sampling is applicable here.

12. Trend and return in gold
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
Jan/10
Apr/10
Jul/10
Oct/10
Jan/11
Apr/11
Jul/11
Oct/11
Jan/12
Apr/12
Jul/12
Oct/12
Jan/13
Apr/13
Jul/13
Oct/13
Jan/14
Apr/14
Jul/14
Oct/14
Jan/15
Apr/15
Jul/15
Trendingold
Months
trend
trend
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
Jan/10
May/10
Sep/10
Jan/11
May/11
Sep/11
Jan/12
May/12
Sep/12
Jan/13
May/13
Sep/13
Jan/14
May/14
Sep/14
Jan/15
May/15
percentages
months
return in %
return in %

13. Seasonal index in gold
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Returninpercentage
months
seasonal index
seasonal index

14. Trend and return in silver
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Jan/10
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10
Jan/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11
Jan/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12
Jan/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13
Jan/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14
Jan/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
trendinsilver
months
trend
trend
-20.00
-15.00
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
Jan/10
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10
Jan/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11
Jan/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12
Jan/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13
Jan/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14
Jan/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
percentage
months
retun in %
retun in %

15. Seasonal index in silver
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
percentage
months
seasonal index
seasonal index

16. Trend and return in copper
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Jan/10
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10
Jan/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11
Jan/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12
Jan/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13
Jan/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14
Jan/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
trendinsilver
months
trend
trend
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Jan/10
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10
Jan/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11
Jan/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12
Jan/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13
Jan/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14
Jan/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
percentage
months
return in %
return in %

17. Seasonal index in copper
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
percentage
months
seasonal index
seasonal index

18. Trend and return in crude oil
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
Jan/10
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10
Jan/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11
Jan/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12
Jan/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13
Jan/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14
Jan/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
trendincrudeoil
months
trend
trend
-25.00
-20.00
-15.00
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
Jan/10
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10
Jan/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11
Jan/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12
Jan/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13
Jan/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14
Jan/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
percentage
months
return
return

19. Seasonal index in crude oil
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
percentage
months
seasonal index
seasonal index

20. FINDINGS
• The chart on seasonal index for the gold,silver,copper, crude
oil to there every 6 year average in 2010 to 2015 for the
January to December.
• Seasonal index of gold on march and September months -
0.19% and -.028% decreases. But April and august
months.0.25% and 0.86% in upward seasonal index.
• Seasonal index of silver on januray and september months -
0.58% and 0.61%decreases. But august and December month
0.51% and 0.88% in upward seasonal index.

21. • Seasonal index of copper on January and September
months 0.58% and 0.61% decreases. But July and
December months 0.72% and 0.88% in upward seasonal
index.
• Seasonal index of crude oil on may and September
months -1.11% and 1.18% decreases. But February and
April months 1.60% and 1.67% in upward seasonal
index

22. -:CONCLUSION:-
• Season wise investment decision for commodity market
can also be possible from the analysis so that maximize
return.
• gold is less volatile in all four commodities in comparison
of silver copper and crude oil. Copper is more volatile in
comparison of gold and silver
• Commodities market in under high risk and high return
compare to equity share market and capital market.

23. Bibliography
• http://www.investing.com/commodities/gold-
historical-data
• http://www.investing.com/commodities/silver-
historical-data
• http://www.investing.com/commodities/copper-
historical-data
• http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil-
historical-data
• www.mcxindia.com
• www.ncdex.com
• http://business.mapsofindia.com/india-
market/commodity.html

24. Thank you