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Armed organised conflict
and public health
Professor John Middleton
Honorary Professor Public Health
Wolverhampton University,
President Elect, UK Faculty of Public
Health
Medical Peace Work
Online Course 1
Health professionals, conflicts and peace
What is public health ?
Definition of Public
Health
What we, as a society, do
collectively to ensure the
conditions in which people
can be healthy.
The Future of Public Health
Institute of Medicine, 1988
Public health:
‘promoting health, preventing disease, prolonging life through the
organised efforts of society’
Sustainable development:
‘protecting resources from one generation to the next’
Environmental justice:
‘the pursuit of equal justice and equal protection under the law for all
environmental statutes and regulations without discrimination based on
race, ethnicity, and /or socioeconomic status.’
Security:
freedom from danger, social, military, environmental
War
War has an enormous and tragic impact -- both
directly and indirectly -- on public health. War causes
death and disability, destroys families, communities,
and the environment, diverts resources and destroys
infrastructure needed for human and health services,
limits human rights, and often begets further violence.
(War and Public
Health, 2000)
What is violence?
Definition by World Health Organization:
Violence is the intentional use of physical force or
power, threatened or actual, against oneself, another
person, or against a group or community, that either
results in or has a high likelihood of resulting in injury,
death, psychological harm, mal-development or
deprivation.
(WHO, 2002:5)
What is terrorism ?
What is “Terrorism”?
In Terrorism and Public Health, 109
definitions of “terrorism” were analyzed;
the most common definitional elements
were violence, force, political and
fear.
“Politically motivated violence or the
threat of violence, especially against
civilians, with the intent to instill fear.”
Meaning of “Terrorism”
Use of the term “terrorism” is political.
U.S. Government definition of terrorism is
limited to acts by individuals or non-
governmental groups. Acts of violence or
the threat of violence against civilians
with the intent to instill fear by nation-
states are considered by the United States
to be “acts of war” rather than “terror.”
Armed organised violence
,
In what ways might Public
Health England consider
terrorism to be a public health
issue?
Public health effects of war
Public Health: concerned with the health of the community as a whole
immediate effects of violent conflict are increase in death and injury
fires in refugee or displaced persons camps
epidemics and communicable diseases
displacement, disruption and debilitation
lack of food security and malnutrition
mental health problems
lack of drugs for treatment of disease
Timing of peace work
 Primary prevention
 Risk factors ↓
 Protective factors ↑
 Secondary prevention
 Early warning
 De-escalation
 Conflict handling
 Tertiary prevention
 Reconstruction
 Resolution
 Reconciliation
Primary prevention of public
health damage due to
terrorism
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
Article 1
APHA
Address poverty, social injustice, and health disparities that may contribute to the development
of terrorism.
Article 2.
Provide humanitarian assistance to, and protect the human rights of, the civilian populations
that are directly or indirectly affected by terrorism
Article 3.
Advocate the speedy end of armed conflicts and promote non-violent means of conflict
resolution. [ to prevent circumstances in which terrorism may arise and be seen as the only
way out viz Iraq,Chechnya]
Article 10.
Prevent hate crimes and ethnic, racial, and religious discrimination; promote cultural
competence and diversity training, and dialogue among people and protect human rights and
civil liberties;
Article 11. Advocate the immediate control and ultimate elimination of biological, chemical and nuclear
weapons;
Authors’
addition 1
Promote sustainable development to ensure the appropriate and fair use of resources and the
protection of the environment minimising conditions of injustice to which terrorism may be a
response
Authors’
addition 2
Strengthen international laws and respect for international law amongst politicians. Strengthen
the resources available to the United Nations for peacekeeping purposes and strengthen the
mandate of the United Nations, to create binding and enforced international laws.
American Public Health Association Guiding principles of the public health response to terrorism October
Primary prevention 2001
Policies and Practices Adversely
Affecting Societal Health Conditions
War / Violence
Global warming / Environmental damage
Failure to provide health services
Corruption of government or culture
Erosion of civil liberties and freedoms
Restriction of education, research, discourse
Secondary prevention of public
health damage due to
terrorism
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
American Public Health Association Guiding principles of the public health response to terrorism October 2001
Secondary prevention
Article 2. Provide humanitarian assistance to, and protect the human rights of, the civilian populations
that are directly or indirectly affected by terrorism
Article 4. Strengthen the public health infrastructure (which includes workforce, laboratory and
information systems) and other components of the public health system (including
education, research, and the faith community) to increase the ability to identify, respond to,
and prevent problems of public health importance, including the health aspects of terrorist
attacks.
Article 6. Educate and inform health professionals and the public to better identify, respond to, and
prevent the health consequences of terrorism, and promote the visibility and availability of
health professionals in the communities that they serve.
Article 7. Address mental health needs of populations that are directly or indirectly affected by
terrorism
Article 9 Assure clarification of the roles, relationships and responsibilities among public health
agencies, law enforcement and first responders;
Preparedness planning/
‘resilience’
Resilience has come to mean the overall ability of public
services and communities to respond to and deal with
‘all risks’ of civil, environmental, communicable disease
disasters and breaches of security.
Tertiary prevention of public
health damage due to
terrorism
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
American Public Health Association Guiding principles of the public health response to terrorism
October 2001
Tertiary prevention
Article 5. Ensure availability of, and accessibility to, health care, including medications and vaccines, for
individuals exposed, infected, made ill, or injured in terrorist attacks;
Article 7. Address mental health needs of populations that are directly or indirectly affected by terrorism
Article 8. Assure the protection of the environment, the food and water supply, and the health and safety of
rescue and recovery professionals;
Article 12 Build and sustain the public health capacity to develop systems to collect data about the health
and mental health consequences of terrorism and other disasters on victims, responders, and
communities, and develop uniform definitions and standardised data-classification systems of
death and injury resulting from terrorism and other disasters.
Authors’
addition 3
Promote sustainable development in order to enhance resilience in the light of a terrorist action
The Role of Health Workers
in the Prevention of War
-- Addressing the Underlying Causes
of War and Terrorism
-- Controlling the Weapons
-- Promoting a Culture of Peace
-- Promoting Peace Through Health
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
‘Armed organised violence’
‘Armed organised violence’ vs ‘terrorism’ ?
What wider examples might this encompass?
Commonly-Accepted
Examples of “Terrorism”
Small arms and light weapons: Munich
Olympics; Basque separatists;
Explosives: Irish Republican Army; Middle East;
Oklahoma City; Embassy Bombings; USS Cole;
Attacks on WTC and Pentagon
Chemical weapons: Sarin in Tokyo subway
Biologic weapons: Salmonella in Oregon;
Anthrax dissemination in the U.S.
Less-Accepted Examples
of “Terrorism”
Assaults on abortion services in the U.S.
Bombing of Guernica, Warsaw, Rotterdam, Coventry,
London, Dresden, Hamburg, Tokyo, Hiroshima,
Nagasaki
Sanctions against Iraq
Bombings or invasions to destroy “terrorists” and their
infrastructure or to kill or topple national leaders
Bombs dropped by a
U.S. B-17 Flying
Fortress in northern
Germany, January,
1945
Photograph from
BIPPA
New York Times
Magazine, 3/20/03
Bombs dropped by a
U.S. B-17 Flying
Fortress in northern
Germany, January,
1945
Photograph from
BIPPA
New York Times
Magazine, 3/20/03
 US detonated a second
bomb over Nagasaki,
Japan, on August 9, 1945
 73,884 immediate deaths
 74,909 injuries
 6.7 million square metres
(2.6 miles) leveled
Deaths/Injuries in Nagasaki — 21-kt BombDeaths/Injuries in Nagasaki — 21-kt Bomb
Collapse of the Communist bloc/
end of the Cold War
 Did it deliver a peace dividend?
 Imbalance of terror?
 Redistribution of small arms
 Disseminated potential for chemical, biological, radiological and
nuclear weaponary
 Environmental terror
 Cyber terror ?
 New world insecurity
 Reduced civil liberties?

Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
Association of Schools of Public
Health delegation to Gaza June
2015
Middleton J. Cement: Gaza’s
forgotten public health need.
BMJ Blog, July 8th
2015.
http://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2015/07
Middleton J. Vimeo slideshow
ASPHER delegation to Gaza.
https://vimeo.com/133947395
Wafa rehabilation
hospital , destroyed
2014
Other lessons (less optimistic)
RSM Health in Gaza: Prof John Middleton. Partnership working for better health in
Gaza
Other lessons (less optimistic)
The West Bank is more exposed …..
Yemen
Syria
‘Armed organised violence’
Taking a salutogenic perspective:
What might be a positive alternative to ‘preventing
violence’?
What is peace?
Notions of peace
 State of tranquillity or quiet within a community
 Freedom from civil disturbance
 State of security or order provided for by law or custom
 Freedom from disquieting or oppressive thoughts or
emotions
 Harmony in personal relations
 State or period of mutual concord between governments
 Pact or agreement to end hostilities between those who have
been at war or in a state of enmity
(Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary)
A holistic concept of peace
1. Peace as the negation of violence
 Health disease = peace violence↔ ↔
 Peace is relative
 Peace is subjective
 Peace grows as violence diminishes
fredpeace
violence
A holistic concept of violence
Different forms of violence
Direct: use of physical or mental power
Structural: socioeconomic or political system
Cultural: justifying parts in religion, ideology, art, science
and language
Different levels
Collective, interpersonal,
and self-induced (WHO)
Mega, macro, meso, and micro (Galtung)
Direct
violence
Structural
violence
Cultural
violence
Micro level
Macro level
A holistic concept of peace
Negative
peace
Positive
peace
• Absence of war
• Absence of terror
• Absence of human rights
violations
• Absence of interpersonal
violence and suicide
• Individual and social harmony
• Development and justice
• Fulfilment of basic needs
• Human security
A holistic concept of peace
2. PEACE as a state of complete harmony
HEALTH is not merely the absence of disease or infirmity, but
a state of complete physical,
mental and social well-being. (WHO)
PEACE is not merely the absence of violence, but …
A holistic concept of peace
Typology of positive peace
Direct peace
loving, harmonious acts to elicit the good in each other
Structural peace
equitable, horizontal relations
Cultural peace
religion, ideology, science, art, language promoting
direct and structural peace
(adapted form Galtung, 1996:33)
A holistic concept of peace
Good health: strong immune system and quick recovery
Peace: capacity to handle conflicts with empathy, creativity
and by non-violent means
(Galtung 2002:8)
3. Peace as the capacity to handle conflict
A holistic concept of peace
What is conflict?
 clash of incompatible goals
 neutral, potential to positive change
 always and everywhere
 from micro to macro level
ABC-triangle of conflict
(Galtung 1996)
content
behaviourattitude
3. Peace as the capacity to handle conflict
A holistic concept of peace
Four stages of conflict (Mitchell, in Large 1997:5-6)
Conflict
can move towards escalation or de-escalation
3. Peace as the capacity to handle conflict
A holistic concept of peace
Violence
turns conflicts into “big problems”
does not lead to just and sustainable peace
Peace - the capacity
to handle conflict
attitude
content
behaviour
aggressiveness aggression
win or loose
creativity
empathy non-violence
What is peace work ?
Peaceful interventions
to reduce or abolish direct,
structural or cultural
violence
to build harmonious, mutual
beneficial relations and
structures
to strengthen the peace
capacity of individuals and
societies
Direct
peace
Structural
peace
Cultural
peace
Micro level
Macro level
Direct
violence
Structural
violence
Cultural
violence
Micro level
Macro level
Peaceful means for social change
Non-violent protest and persuasion
 a picket line or a peaceful demonstration
Social non-cooperation
 students on strike
Economic non-cooperation
 disinvestment, sanctions and boycotts
 workers taking strike action
Political non-cooperation
 Gandhi’s call on civil servants in the British administration of India to
stop working
Non-violent intervention
 the Freedom Flotilla that took medical equipment, food, building
material, and other necessities to Gaza
A public health
approach to violence
prevention and conflict
resolution
A public health approach to
violence
From problem identification to
effective response
Define the problem:
Data collection,
surveillance
Identify causes:
Risk factor
identification
Develop and test
interventions:
Evaluation research
Implement
interventions,
measure
effectiveness:
Community
intervention,
training, public
awareness
(Adapted from: Mercy et al. 1993)
Violence – a public health
problem
“Violence is often predictable and
preventable. Like other health
problems, it is not distributed evenly
across population groups or settings.
Many of the factors that increase the
risk of violence are shared across the
different types of violence and are
modifiable.”
Gro Harlem Brundtland
(WHO 2002)
Why do health professionals deal with
peace issues?
1. Violence as a public
health problem
2. Health professionals at
risk of committing
violence
3. Health work can worsen
a conflict situation
Estimated global deaths by
direct violence in year 2000
Homicide 520 000
Suicide 815 000
War-related 310 000
Total 1 659 000
(WHO 2002:10)
FPH Statement on violence prevention and
the role of public health
‘Security’- ‘freedom from danger’
Bio security
Food security
Environmental security
Freedom from fear of violence
Freedom from violence
Military security
Identification of risk factors
Violence as the result of a complex interplay of risk and
protective factors on many levels
An ecological model(WHO 2002)
Shared risk factors for interpersonal violence
 Individual:
Victim of child maltreatment, personality disorder, alcohol/substance abuse, history
of violent behaviour
 Relationship:
Poor parenting, marital discord, low socioeconomic household, violent friends
 Community:
Poverty, high crime levels, high residential mobility, high unemployment, local illicit
drug trade, weak institutional policies, inadequate victim care
 Societal:
Rapid social change, economic inequality, gender inequality, policies that increase
inequalities, poverty, weak economic safety nets, poor rule of law, high firearm
availability, war/ post-war situation, cultural violence
FPH Statement on violence prevention and the
role of public health….
Violence child abuse
Domestic violence
Community violence / hate crime
National and international violence / hate crimes
FPH Statement on violence prevention
and the role of public health
A life course approach
A public mental health approach
An asset based community development approach
An evidence based policy and intervention approach….
Violence prevention interventions with some
evidence of effectiveness
Key:
• Well supported by evidence
(multiple randomized
controlled trials with different
populations)
◦ Emerging evidence
Type of violence:
- CM: Child maltreatment
- IPV: Intimate partner violence
- SV: Sexual violence
- YV: Youth violence
- EA: Elder Abuse
- S: Suicide and other forms of
self-directed violence
FPH Statement on violence prevention
and the role of public health
A real politik approach?
Power may be the only reality-
Political
Economic
Religious
Global Campaign for Violence
Prevention
www.euro.who.int/violenceinjury
www.who.int/violence_injury
www.who.int/gender
Mechanisms of medical peace
work
1. Redefinition of the situation
2. Superordinate goals
3. Mediation and conflict transformation
4. Dissent and non-cooperation
5. Discovery and dissemination of knowledge
6. Rebuilding the fabric of society
7. Solidarity and support
8. Social healing
9. Evocation and extension of altruism
10. Limiting the destructiveness of war
(Santa Barbara and MacQueen 2004)
Addressing structural violence
Fairer and
more sustainable
global health…
The Gini coefficient
- measuring inequality within societies
Poverty, inequality & violence
Local forces – poverty
Global forces – colonialism & globalisation
Ethnicity
Poverty, inequality & economic development
Political factors – social contracts & democracy
The international dimension
The underlying causes of civil war
The underlying causes of structural violence
Priorities for action on health systems
More funding for developing countries
No user charges – public funding
Better pay, working conditions and
prospects for health workers
All based on an
unsustainable
economic model
consumerism
status
trust
social cohesion
Unequal societies are
less sustainable
Income to improve health
– what’s the evidence?
L
I
F
E
E
X
P
E
C
T
A
N
C
Y
INCOME
The world map reflecting production related to climate change. “Climate
Change presents the biggest threat to health in the 21st
Century” The Lancet (373;9697 pp 1659-1734, May 16-22 2009).
Who produces the greenhouse gases?
Who bears the burden?
The world map reflecting mortality related to climate change. “Climate
Change presents the biggest threat to health in the 21st
Century” The Lancet (373;9697 pp 1659-1734, May 16-22 2009).
Climate change and war, conflict over scarce
resources
Conflict over unfair resources
Conflict over destroyed environments
From Alcamo and Heinrichs, 2002. In: Dialogue on Water and Climate, 2003.
Water critical regions
Medium water stress today & future increase in stress plus
HDI>0.8
A2 scenario, ECHAM4, 2020s
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
‘Climate complacency’
COP21 Paris Agreement
In the decade between 2001 and 2011, global military
spending increased by an estimated 92 percent, according
to
Stockholm International Peace Research, although it fell by 1.9
International Peace Bureau (1), almost 10 gigatons of carbon d
Global Carbon Project, 2014 emissions are set to reach a reco
Te change, en
Opportunity cost
The cost of liberty is less
than the price of
repression
The cause of war is the
preparation for war
WE Burqhart Du Bois
Opportunity cost
Opportunity cost
Opportunity cost
Opportunity cost
Opportunity cost
Opportunity cost
Opportunity cost
Opportunity cost
The green recovery ?
Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
Thank you
John Middleton
Johnmiddleton@phonecoop.coop
APPENDIX1
WEAPONS OF WAR -MASS DESTRUCTION, CBRN, SMALL
ARMS, HAND GUNS, SEXUAL VIOLENCE
Characteristics of nuclear weapons
 Purpose: to threaten to kill massive numbers of
people in order to prevent attack (deterrence)
 Much greater destructive power than
conventional weapons
 Explosion created by
splitting atoms and chain
reaction, releasing massive
amounts of radiation
Nuclear weapons –
effects on health and environment
Flash  retinal injury, blindness
Fireball  Heat wave  vaporizes everything within
certain distance  third-degree burns
Blast  destroys buildings  mechanical injuries,
lacerations, ruptures organs, eardrums
Firestorms  hurrican-like winds, infernos  people are
incinerated  climate change
Fallout  acute radiation sickness  cancer, genetic
damage, weakening
Nuclear weapons - use scenarios and effects
1. Accidental nuclear war
2. Large-scale nuclear attack
3. ‘Limited’ nuclear exchange
4. Attack on hardened,
underground target
5. ‘Unauthorised’ use
Nuclear weapons - other medical, environmental
and social effects
Climate change
Nuclear tests
Production of
nuclear weapons
Nuclear fuel cycle
Costs of maintaining
arsenals
Biological weapons
Characteristics
Uses living (micro) organisms to cause disease or
death in large numbers of people, plants or animals
Organisms should multiply in target
Infection should take hold and infect others
Also toxins made by organisms or plants
Can be lethal or ‚non-lethal‘
Best known examples:
anthrax bacteria and small-pox virus
Biological weapons - health effects
Anthrax: bacterial agent, not contagious, lethal if
inhaled
Smallpox: highly contagious viral agent, very
high death rate, travels easily through air
Plague: highly contagious bacterial agent,
incubation period of 1-5 days, causes potentially
lethal pneumonia
Ebola: fever caused by viral agent, no cure or
treatment, extremely lethal, leads to bleeding from
all orifices
Botulinum: toxin, causes lethal muscular paralysis
Biological weapons - legal status
Outlawed by treaty: Biological and Toxins
Weapons Convention (BTWC)
all development or production of biological
weapons outlawed
Problems: advances in bioscience, and lack of a
verification system
Chemical weapons
 Nerve agent: highly lethal, kills in very small
dosages (e.g. sarin, soman, VX)
 Blistering agent: causes burns and blisters on
the body, damages eyes; If inhaled severely
damages lungs, often leading to death (e.g.
mustard sulphurous gas, lewisite)
 Asphyxiating agent: causes damage to
lungs (e.g. phosgene, mustard gas)
 Psychotomimetic agent: causes a
hallucinatory effect similar to LSD (e.g. BZ)
 Incapacitating agent: relies on irritants and
toxic effects to incapacitate a person
temporarily (e.g. tear gas, CS gas)
Chemical weapons - control regime
Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) came into effect in
1997
188 parties to treaty, but Egypt, Israel, North Korea and
Syria not yet signed
Problems:
- pace of destruction of stockpiles
- verification not taken seriously
- no challenge inspections
Definitions of banned
weapons problematic,
many not prohibited
Radiological weapons
Radiological dispersal weapons: „Dirty
Bombs“ disperse radioactivity by detonating
explosives surrounded by nuclear material.
Nuclear facilities: Nuclear reactors,
nuclear transports and waste storage can be
turned into weapons through deliberate
attack.
Uranium weapons: containing depleted
uranium for use against tanks
Radiological weapons
- measures to deal with threat
Best measure is prevention, i.e. guard against theft
Transfer and export control regime: multilateral
Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear
Material (1980)
IAEA Code of Conduct on the Safety and Security of
Radioactive Sources
Protect nuclear reactors against
sabotage including
attack with planes
Ban uranium weapons
Landmines and cluster
munitions
90% of landmine victims are civilians
destroy infrastructure, make fields useless, and
prevent refugee return
cause disability, demoralization, unemployment,
social stigmatization and economic hardship for
families and communities
women victims suffer more,
higher death rate
disproportionate number of
victims are children
Small arms and light weapons
(SALW)
SALW include handguns, assault rifles, machine guns,
grenades and landmines
cause the majority of deaths in violent conflict globally
639 million small arms globally, or approximately one for
every ten people on earth
direct death toll due to SALW range from 80 000 to 500
000 per year, most in developing world
3-4 times this number of people are injured
’Non-lethal’ weapons (NLWs)
designed to incapacitate people or disable equipment,
minimal collateral damage
intended to be discriminate and not cause unnecessary
suffering
effect on people should be temporary and reversible
should provide alternatives to/ raise the threshold for use
of lethal force
actual use of NLWs shows that none
of the above are guaranteed, having
exactly the opposite effect to that
intended
Rape as a military strategy
Sexualized violence: „a sexual expression of aggression“
includes rape, sexual degradation, humiliation and violence to
breasts and genitals, forced prostitution and trafficking
abuses used in war to attack the body in order to break the spirit,
gender-specific
Trauma: attack on victim’s innermost
self and personality, often lead to
PTBS, psychosomatic disorders,
phobias, suicide
Physical consequences: injury,
pregnancy, infection, HIV, hormonal
dysfunction
References
 Arya N, Cukier W (2004). The international small arms situation: a public health approach. In
Mahoney P et al. (eds). Ballistic trauma: a practical guide. New York, Springer-Verlag.
 Barnaby W (1997). Biological weapons: an increasing threat. Medicine, Conflict and Survival 14:301-
313.
 Davey B (2004). Public health response to biological and chemical weapons. World Health
Organization.
 International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (2010). Zero is the only option.
 Jenssen C et al. (2002). Medicine Against War. In Taipale I et al. (eds.) War or Health? A reader. Zed
Books, London: 8–29.
 Joachim I (2004a). Sexualized violence in war and its consequences. In Violence against woman in
war: handbook for professionals working with traumatised women. Cologne, medica mondiale.
 Leaning J (2000). Environment and health: 5. impact of war. Canadian Medical Association Journal
163(9):1157-61.
 Lewer N (2002). New technology: non-lethal weapons. In Taipale I (ed.) War or health? A reader.
London, Zed Books.
© medicalpeacework.org 2012
Author Xanthe Hall, editors Mike Rowson and Klaus Melf, graphic design Philipp Bornschlegl
Appendix 2
Adverse consequences of the war on terror
Injurious and/or Ineffective
Responses
Actions intended for infection control may
be injurious and/or ineffective. Examples
include anthrax immunization, which
causes adverse reactions and is considered
experimental when used to prevent
inhalation anthrax; and smallpox
vaccination, which causes adverse
reactions and and is likely to be unneeded.
Direct Adverse Effects of
Response
Consequences of inappropriate nature of
warnings
Consequences of hazardous immunization
Consequences of inappropriate use of
antibiotics
Consequences of isolation and quarantine
The Power of Fear
Early and provident fear is the mother of safety.
Edmund Burke
Speech in the House of Commons
May 11, 1792
Let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we
have fear is fear itself -- nameless, unreasoning,
unjustified terror which paralyses needed efforts to
convert retreat into advance.
President Franklin D. Roosevelt
Inaugural Address, March 4, 1933
Constraints on Civil Rights
Model State Emergency Health Powers Act
USA Patriot Act
Homeland Security Act
Diversion of Resources -- U.S.
Protection From Chemical Accidents and Infectious
Diseases
Each year in the United States:
– 60,000 chemical spills, leaks, explosions, 8000
“serious,” with over 300 deaths
– 76 million episodes of food-borne illness,
325,000 hospitalizations and 5000 deaths
– 110,000 hospitalizations and 20,000 deaths
from influenza
– 40,000 new cases and 10,000 deaths from
HIV/AIDS
“Smallpox Planning Detracts from Core
Public Health, Officials Say” AP, 4/5/03
“The Homeland Security push to make local health districts
the first defense against bioterrorism, together with
shrinking health budgets, have contributed to Seattle’s
worst tuberculosis outbreak in 30 years,” said Dr. Alonzo
Plough, public health director for Seattle-King County. “It
has forced tradeoffs in everything we do.”
Diversion of Resources -- International
Investment in international public health can help
provide protection against diseases rooted in poverty, in
ignorance, and in absence of services.
In India in 1999 there were two million new cases of
tuberculosis, causing about 450,000 deaths. Effective
treatment of tuberculosis in India costs about 15 US
dollars per person treated
The United Nations has estimated that about 10 billion
US dollars invested in safe water supplies could reduce
by a third the current 4 billion annual cases of diarrhea
that result in 2.2 million deaths.
Addressing structural violence
APPENDIX 3
Fairer and
more sustainable
global health…
The Gini coefficient
- measuring inequality within societies
The world map reflecting production related to climate change. “Climate
Change presents the biggest threat to health in the 21st
Century” The Lancet (373;9697 pp 1659-1734, May 16-22 2009).
Who produces the greenhouse gases?
Who bears the burden?
The world map reflecting mortality related to climate change. “Climate
Change presents the biggest threat to health in the 21st
Century” The Lancet (373;9697 pp 1659-1734, May 16-22 2009).
All based on an
unsustainable
economic model
consumerism
status
trust
social cohesion
Unequal societies are
less sustainable
Income to improve health
– what’s the evidence?
L
I
F
E
E
X
P
E
C
T
A
N
C
Y
INCOME
Poverty, inequality & violence
Local forces – poverty
Global forces – colonialism & globalisation
Ethnicity
Poverty, inequality & economic development
Political factors – social contracts & democracy
The international dimension
The underlying causes of civil war
The underlying causes of structural violence
Poverty & structural violence
The factors underlying poverty:
Lack of income & assets
Powerlessness
Vulnerability
“Poverty is pain; it feels like a
disease. It attacks a person not
only materially but also morally.
It eats away one’s dignity and
drives one into total despair”
(Narayan et al 1999)
Poverty, inequality
& economic development
Possible links between underdevelopment, poverty
& violent conflict:
- Collective grievance & a desire for change
- Long term deprivation & lack of growth
- Extraction economies & the natural
resource curse
Political factors & the causes of civil
war
 State strength
 The social contract
and democracy??
”The most reliable path to stable domestic peace
in the long-term is to democratize as much as possible”
(Hegre 2001:44)
The international dimension
Effects of colonialism
The Cold War
The ’war on terror’
International economic factors
Foreign investment & trade
International aid
Responding to structural violence at
the national level
Increasing people’s incomes & capabilities:
 Investing in public administration, human capital &
key infrastructure
by
 cutting waste, redistribution, stimulating growth
but
richer countries need to provide more
resources
Improving the health sector - one of the key actions
to improve life expectancy
 Comprehensive primary health
services, publicly funded through
increased allocations
 An emphasis on mother and
child health, and immunisation
 Well trained health workers,
adequately paid and rewarded
particularly for unpopular work
Regulation of the private sector
Other key measures include education, ensuring minimum
nutritional levels are met, water & sanitation and reducing
inequities.
Interventions reducing structural violence
Negative effects Possible Remedies
Trade-poverty trap More pressure on WTO
Barriers to medicines Campaign on TRIPS+ & for
new R&D regime
Arms trade Stop profiting from arms trade
Trade directly supports war Regulation
Vulnerability to international
financial flows & debt
Financial regulation
Cancel and restructure debt
Aid given for donor interests Better managed aid
violence through healthviolence through health
systemssystems
Health systems: ‘all activities whose primary purpose is to
Priorities for action on health systems
More funding for developing countries
No user charges – public funding
Better pay, working conditions and
prospects for health workers
References
 Hegre H et al. (2001). Toward a democratic civil peace? Democracy, political
change and civil war, 1816-1992. American Political Science Review 95(1): 33-
54.
 Narayan D et al. (1999). Voices of the poor: can anyone hear us? Washington
DC, World Bank.
 WHO (2000). The world health report 2000 - Health systems: improving
performance. Available at www.who.int/whr/2000/en/, accessed 10 October 2011.
 WHO (2007). Healthy life expectancy (HALE) at birth (years). Available at
www.who.int/whosis/indicators/2007HALE0/en/, accessed 30 September 2011.
© medicalpeacework.org 2012
Author Marion Birch, editors Mike Rowson and Klaus Melf, graphic design Philipp
Bornschlegl
Appendix 4
Climate chaos, planetary
health and COP21
CARBON EMISSIONS PER CAPITA, 1999
Tons of carbon
per year
<1
9 - 15
1-3 3-9
>15 No data
Source. WRI, 2002
From Alcamo and Heinrichs, 2002. In: Dialogue on Water and Climate, 2003.
Water critical regions
Medium water stress today & future increase in stress plus
HDI>0.8
A2 scenario, ECHAM4, 2020s
Band of historical
climatic variability
20
15
1900 21002000
14
16
17
18
13
19
Average Global
Temperature (O
C)
Year
205019501860
Low
High
Central estimate = 2.5 o
C
(+ increased variability)
IPCC (2001) estimates
a 1.4-5.8 o
C increase
This presents a rate-of-change
problem for many natural
systems/processes
SUMMARY
[1] There is strong evidence that greenhouse gas
emissions from the burning of fossil fuels are changing
the global climate
[2] The projected rate and magnitude of change will have
adverse impacts on ecological systems and populations
in many regions, especially in low income countries
where the capacity to adapt is limited
[3] The challenge is to ensure more equitable but
sustainable development that enables human societies
to live within the Earth’s regenerative capacity
Rockefeller Lancet
Planetary Health
commission
Climate Change occurring faster
than expected?
 IPCC’s 5th
Assessment Report
 Increasing rates of:
Global Greenhouse Gas emissions
Ice melting (Arctic sea ice, Greenland/Antarctic ice-sheets,
alpine glaciers)
Sea level rise
Carbon stored in permafrost = x2 atmospheric carbon
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
‘Climate complacency’
COP21 Paris Agreement
The UK government has even imposed a
legal obligation upon itself, under the
Infrastructure Act 2015, to
“maximise economic recovery” of the UK’s oil and gas
COP21 Paris Agreement
COP21 Paris Agreement
In the decade between 2001 and 2011, global military
spending increased by an estimated 92 percent, according
to
Stockholm International Peace Research, although it fell by 1.9
International Peace Bureau (1), almost 10 gigatons of carbon d
Global Carbon Project, 2014 emissions are set to reach a reco
Conclusions
Policies that address both public health and climate change
are more attractive than focusing on either in isolation.
The health gains associated with climate change mitigation
policies should feature in Climate Change negotiations
A ‘low carbon’ world could be a healthier world and a more
secure world
Action now…
1. SDC Good Corporate Citizenship
toolkit
 www.corporatecitizen.nhs.uk/
1. NHS Carbon Trust Management
Programme
 http://www.carbontrust.co.uk/carbon/publicsector/nhs/
1. Sustaining a Healthy Future
 www.fph.org.uk
1. NHS Confederation briefings
 http://www.nhsconfed.org/Publications/briefings/Pages/Briefings.aspx
1. NHS Carbon Reduction Strategy
and 2030 health care scenarios
 www.sdu.nhs.ukSee notes of this slides for some of the most important specific actions
References
 Climate and Health Council (www.climateandhealth.org)
Global health, global warming, personal and professional
responsibility, Cambridge Medicine, Pencheon D, Vol 2, No 22,
2008
 Stott R, Healthy response to climate change, BMJ
2006;332;1385-1387
 Gill M, Why should doctors be interested in climate change?
BMJ Jun 2008; 336: 1506
 Griffiths J, Alison Hill, Jackie Spiby and Mike Gill, Robin Stott Ten
practical actions for doctors to combat climate change, BMJ
2008;336;1507
 Sustaining a healthy future: www.fph.org.uk
 Griffiths J et al, The Health Practitioner's Guide to Climate
Change, Earthscan 2009
 Pencheon D, Health services and climate change: what can be
done? J Health Serv Res Policy. Editorial Jan 2009
 UCL Health Commission/Lancet: Managing the Health effects of
Appendix 5
Medical Peace Work- Non violent change
Conflict analysis - a learning
process
constructing a detailed picture of the situation
identifying the factors that can contribute to
peace
Many approaches
and tools:
conflict timeline
conflict mapping
ABC triangle
etc.
Nonviolent social change
Most social movements use nonviolent means.
Removing pillars
of power through:
•blockades
•boycotts
•protests, strikes
•demonstrations
•civil disobedience
•street theatre, etc.
Nonviolent Communication
(NVC)
- a philosophical and educational tool for human
connection
Putting empathy at the centre of thinking and
communicating
Four elements for
honestly expressing
and empathically
listening:
(Model adapted from the Centre
for Nonviolent Communication)
Medical Peace Work-training materials
Appendix 6
MPW training material
• Web-based teaching resource centre
• Seven MPW online courses
- textbook lessons
- test questions
- problem-based e-learning cases
 www.medicalpeacework.org
Goals of MPW training material
Prevent war, terror, human rights violations, and
other abuses of power.
Promote compassion, caring relationships, fair
structures, and a culture of peace.
Improve health outcomes for patients
and communities in violent settings.
Strengthen the health professionals’
competencies in peace and conflict
work.
Characteristics of MPW-framework
• Holistic peace concept
─ Peace work NOT only at the top level
─ Peace work NOT only in war zones
─ Peace work NOT only for peace activists
• Public health approach to violence and peace
• Explicit peace work – for the sake of HEALTH
Educating the public
Know your target audience
Know yourself
What is the message?
Who is delivering the message?
What methods can be used?
History of health professional activism for peace
 First tried to „humanize“ war
 1905: International Medical Association Against War
 1918: Jeanne van Lanschot-Hubrecht questioned giving
medical aid in WW1
 1930: Committee for War Prevention in Holland
 1936: Medical Peace Campaign in UK
 1961: Physicians for Social Responsibility (PSR) in USA
 1980: International Physicians for the Prevention of
Nuclear War (IPPNW)
Data-to-policy work
Evidence for advocacy need credibility (actual and
perceived)
Reliable data has to be collected using recognised
methods
Less influence on policy if disputable
Less credibility if party has strong interest in a certain
result
Lack of transparency damages findings
Predicting future using past data for advocacy
Alliances with larger movements
Examples:
International Campaign to Ban Landmines (ICBL)
International Action Network on Small Arms
(IANSA)
The Red Cross
International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear
weapons (ICAN)
References
 Centre for Nonviolent Communication www.cnvc.org
 Galtung J (1996). Peace by peaceful means: peace and conflict, development and
civilisation. London, Prio/Sage.
 Galtung J (2002). What is peace studies? In Johansen J, Vambheim V (eds). Three
papers by Johan Galtung. Tromsø, Centre for Peace Studies, University of Tromsø,
Norway
 Large J (1997). Considering conflict. First consultative meeting on Health as a Bridge
for Peace. Les Pensières, Annecy, WHO.
 Mercy J et al. (1993). Public health policy for preventing violence. Health
Affairs. Winter:7-29.
 Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary www.m-w.com
 Rosenberg M (2003). Nonviolent communication: a language of life. Encinitas, CA,
Puddle Dancer Press.
 Santa Barbara J, MacQueen G (2004). Peace through health: key concepts. The
Lancet 364:384-5.

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160421middletonj bcu course

  • 1. Armed organised conflict and public health Professor John Middleton Honorary Professor Public Health Wolverhampton University, President Elect, UK Faculty of Public Health
  • 2. Medical Peace Work Online Course 1 Health professionals, conflicts and peace
  • 3.
  • 4. What is public health ?
  • 5. Definition of Public Health What we, as a society, do collectively to ensure the conditions in which people can be healthy. The Future of Public Health Institute of Medicine, 1988
  • 6. Public health: ‘promoting health, preventing disease, prolonging life through the organised efforts of society’ Sustainable development: ‘protecting resources from one generation to the next’ Environmental justice: ‘the pursuit of equal justice and equal protection under the law for all environmental statutes and regulations without discrimination based on race, ethnicity, and /or socioeconomic status.’ Security: freedom from danger, social, military, environmental
  • 7.
  • 8. War War has an enormous and tragic impact -- both directly and indirectly -- on public health. War causes death and disability, destroys families, communities, and the environment, diverts resources and destroys infrastructure needed for human and health services, limits human rights, and often begets further violence. (War and Public Health, 2000)
  • 9. What is violence? Definition by World Health Organization: Violence is the intentional use of physical force or power, threatened or actual, against oneself, another person, or against a group or community, that either results in or has a high likelihood of resulting in injury, death, psychological harm, mal-development or deprivation. (WHO, 2002:5)
  • 10.
  • 12.
  • 13. What is “Terrorism”? In Terrorism and Public Health, 109 definitions of “terrorism” were analyzed; the most common definitional elements were violence, force, political and fear. “Politically motivated violence or the threat of violence, especially against civilians, with the intent to instill fear.”
  • 14. Meaning of “Terrorism” Use of the term “terrorism” is political. U.S. Government definition of terrorism is limited to acts by individuals or non- governmental groups. Acts of violence or the threat of violence against civilians with the intent to instill fear by nation- states are considered by the United States to be “acts of war” rather than “terror.”
  • 15.
  • 16. Armed organised violence , In what ways might Public Health England consider terrorism to be a public health issue?
  • 17.
  • 18. Public health effects of war Public Health: concerned with the health of the community as a whole immediate effects of violent conflict are increase in death and injury fires in refugee or displaced persons camps epidemics and communicable diseases displacement, disruption and debilitation lack of food security and malnutrition mental health problems lack of drugs for treatment of disease
  • 19. Timing of peace work  Primary prevention  Risk factors ↓  Protective factors ↑  Secondary prevention  Early warning  De-escalation  Conflict handling  Tertiary prevention  Reconstruction  Resolution  Reconciliation
  • 20. Primary prevention of public health damage due to terrorism
  • 21. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton Article 1 APHA Address poverty, social injustice, and health disparities that may contribute to the development of terrorism. Article 2. Provide humanitarian assistance to, and protect the human rights of, the civilian populations that are directly or indirectly affected by terrorism Article 3. Advocate the speedy end of armed conflicts and promote non-violent means of conflict resolution. [ to prevent circumstances in which terrorism may arise and be seen as the only way out viz Iraq,Chechnya] Article 10. Prevent hate crimes and ethnic, racial, and religious discrimination; promote cultural competence and diversity training, and dialogue among people and protect human rights and civil liberties; Article 11. Advocate the immediate control and ultimate elimination of biological, chemical and nuclear weapons; Authors’ addition 1 Promote sustainable development to ensure the appropriate and fair use of resources and the protection of the environment minimising conditions of injustice to which terrorism may be a response Authors’ addition 2 Strengthen international laws and respect for international law amongst politicians. Strengthen the resources available to the United Nations for peacekeeping purposes and strengthen the mandate of the United Nations, to create binding and enforced international laws. American Public Health Association Guiding principles of the public health response to terrorism October Primary prevention 2001
  • 22. Policies and Practices Adversely Affecting Societal Health Conditions War / Violence Global warming / Environmental damage Failure to provide health services Corruption of government or culture Erosion of civil liberties and freedoms Restriction of education, research, discourse
  • 23. Secondary prevention of public health damage due to terrorism
  • 24. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton American Public Health Association Guiding principles of the public health response to terrorism October 2001 Secondary prevention Article 2. Provide humanitarian assistance to, and protect the human rights of, the civilian populations that are directly or indirectly affected by terrorism Article 4. Strengthen the public health infrastructure (which includes workforce, laboratory and information systems) and other components of the public health system (including education, research, and the faith community) to increase the ability to identify, respond to, and prevent problems of public health importance, including the health aspects of terrorist attacks. Article 6. Educate and inform health professionals and the public to better identify, respond to, and prevent the health consequences of terrorism, and promote the visibility and availability of health professionals in the communities that they serve. Article 7. Address mental health needs of populations that are directly or indirectly affected by terrorism Article 9 Assure clarification of the roles, relationships and responsibilities among public health agencies, law enforcement and first responders;
  • 25. Preparedness planning/ ‘resilience’ Resilience has come to mean the overall ability of public services and communities to respond to and deal with ‘all risks’ of civil, environmental, communicable disease disasters and breaches of security.
  • 26. Tertiary prevention of public health damage due to terrorism
  • 27. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton American Public Health Association Guiding principles of the public health response to terrorism October 2001 Tertiary prevention Article 5. Ensure availability of, and accessibility to, health care, including medications and vaccines, for individuals exposed, infected, made ill, or injured in terrorist attacks; Article 7. Address mental health needs of populations that are directly or indirectly affected by terrorism Article 8. Assure the protection of the environment, the food and water supply, and the health and safety of rescue and recovery professionals; Article 12 Build and sustain the public health capacity to develop systems to collect data about the health and mental health consequences of terrorism and other disasters on victims, responders, and communities, and develop uniform definitions and standardised data-classification systems of death and injury resulting from terrorism and other disasters. Authors’ addition 3 Promote sustainable development in order to enhance resilience in the light of a terrorist action
  • 28. The Role of Health Workers in the Prevention of War -- Addressing the Underlying Causes of War and Terrorism -- Controlling the Weapons -- Promoting a Culture of Peace -- Promoting Peace Through Health
  • 29.
  • 30. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
  • 31.
  • 32. ‘Armed organised violence’ ‘Armed organised violence’ vs ‘terrorism’ ? What wider examples might this encompass?
  • 33.
  • 34. Commonly-Accepted Examples of “Terrorism” Small arms and light weapons: Munich Olympics; Basque separatists; Explosives: Irish Republican Army; Middle East; Oklahoma City; Embassy Bombings; USS Cole; Attacks on WTC and Pentagon Chemical weapons: Sarin in Tokyo subway Biologic weapons: Salmonella in Oregon; Anthrax dissemination in the U.S.
  • 35. Less-Accepted Examples of “Terrorism” Assaults on abortion services in the U.S. Bombing of Guernica, Warsaw, Rotterdam, Coventry, London, Dresden, Hamburg, Tokyo, Hiroshima, Nagasaki Sanctions against Iraq Bombings or invasions to destroy “terrorists” and their infrastructure or to kill or topple national leaders
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. Bombs dropped by a U.S. B-17 Flying Fortress in northern Germany, January, 1945 Photograph from BIPPA New York Times Magazine, 3/20/03 Bombs dropped by a U.S. B-17 Flying Fortress in northern Germany, January, 1945 Photograph from BIPPA New York Times Magazine, 3/20/03
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.  US detonated a second bomb over Nagasaki, Japan, on August 9, 1945  73,884 immediate deaths  74,909 injuries  6.7 million square metres (2.6 miles) leveled Deaths/Injuries in Nagasaki — 21-kt BombDeaths/Injuries in Nagasaki — 21-kt Bomb
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49. Collapse of the Communist bloc/ end of the Cold War  Did it deliver a peace dividend?  Imbalance of terror?  Redistribution of small arms  Disseminated potential for chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear weaponary  Environmental terror  Cyber terror ?  New world insecurity  Reduced civil liberties? 
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
  • 53. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
  • 54. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
  • 55. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
  • 56. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
  • 57. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
  • 58.
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  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69. Association of Schools of Public Health delegation to Gaza June 2015 Middleton J. Cement: Gaza’s forgotten public health need. BMJ Blog, July 8th 2015. http://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2015/07 Middleton J. Vimeo slideshow ASPHER delegation to Gaza. https://vimeo.com/133947395 Wafa rehabilation hospital , destroyed 2014
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.
  • 73.
  • 74.
  • 75.
  • 76. Other lessons (less optimistic)
  • 77. RSM Health in Gaza: Prof John Middleton. Partnership working for better health in Gaza Other lessons (less optimistic) The West Bank is more exposed …..
  • 78. Yemen
  • 79. Syria
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82. ‘Armed organised violence’ Taking a salutogenic perspective: What might be a positive alternative to ‘preventing violence’?
  • 83.
  • 85. Notions of peace  State of tranquillity or quiet within a community  Freedom from civil disturbance  State of security or order provided for by law or custom  Freedom from disquieting or oppressive thoughts or emotions  Harmony in personal relations  State or period of mutual concord between governments  Pact or agreement to end hostilities between those who have been at war or in a state of enmity (Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary)
  • 86. A holistic concept of peace 1. Peace as the negation of violence  Health disease = peace violence↔ ↔  Peace is relative  Peace is subjective  Peace grows as violence diminishes fredpeace violence
  • 87. A holistic concept of violence Different forms of violence Direct: use of physical or mental power Structural: socioeconomic or political system Cultural: justifying parts in religion, ideology, art, science and language Different levels Collective, interpersonal, and self-induced (WHO) Mega, macro, meso, and micro (Galtung) Direct violence Structural violence Cultural violence Micro level Macro level
  • 88. A holistic concept of peace Negative peace Positive peace • Absence of war • Absence of terror • Absence of human rights violations • Absence of interpersonal violence and suicide • Individual and social harmony • Development and justice • Fulfilment of basic needs • Human security
  • 89. A holistic concept of peace 2. PEACE as a state of complete harmony HEALTH is not merely the absence of disease or infirmity, but a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being. (WHO) PEACE is not merely the absence of violence, but …
  • 90. A holistic concept of peace Typology of positive peace Direct peace loving, harmonious acts to elicit the good in each other Structural peace equitable, horizontal relations Cultural peace religion, ideology, science, art, language promoting direct and structural peace (adapted form Galtung, 1996:33)
  • 91. A holistic concept of peace Good health: strong immune system and quick recovery Peace: capacity to handle conflicts with empathy, creativity and by non-violent means (Galtung 2002:8) 3. Peace as the capacity to handle conflict
  • 92. A holistic concept of peace What is conflict?  clash of incompatible goals  neutral, potential to positive change  always and everywhere  from micro to macro level ABC-triangle of conflict (Galtung 1996) content behaviourattitude 3. Peace as the capacity to handle conflict
  • 93. A holistic concept of peace Four stages of conflict (Mitchell, in Large 1997:5-6) Conflict can move towards escalation or de-escalation 3. Peace as the capacity to handle conflict
  • 94. A holistic concept of peace Violence turns conflicts into “big problems” does not lead to just and sustainable peace Peace - the capacity to handle conflict attitude content behaviour aggressiveness aggression win or loose creativity empathy non-violence
  • 95. What is peace work ? Peaceful interventions to reduce or abolish direct, structural or cultural violence to build harmonious, mutual beneficial relations and structures to strengthen the peace capacity of individuals and societies Direct peace Structural peace Cultural peace Micro level Macro level Direct violence Structural violence Cultural violence Micro level Macro level
  • 96. Peaceful means for social change Non-violent protest and persuasion  a picket line or a peaceful demonstration Social non-cooperation  students on strike Economic non-cooperation  disinvestment, sanctions and boycotts  workers taking strike action Political non-cooperation  Gandhi’s call on civil servants in the British administration of India to stop working Non-violent intervention  the Freedom Flotilla that took medical equipment, food, building material, and other necessities to Gaza
  • 97.
  • 98. A public health approach to violence prevention and conflict resolution
  • 99. A public health approach to violence From problem identification to effective response Define the problem: Data collection, surveillance Identify causes: Risk factor identification Develop and test interventions: Evaluation research Implement interventions, measure effectiveness: Community intervention, training, public awareness (Adapted from: Mercy et al. 1993)
  • 100. Violence – a public health problem “Violence is often predictable and preventable. Like other health problems, it is not distributed evenly across population groups or settings. Many of the factors that increase the risk of violence are shared across the different types of violence and are modifiable.” Gro Harlem Brundtland (WHO 2002)
  • 101. Why do health professionals deal with peace issues? 1. Violence as a public health problem 2. Health professionals at risk of committing violence 3. Health work can worsen a conflict situation Estimated global deaths by direct violence in year 2000 Homicide 520 000 Suicide 815 000 War-related 310 000 Total 1 659 000 (WHO 2002:10)
  • 102.
  • 103. FPH Statement on violence prevention and the role of public health ‘Security’- ‘freedom from danger’ Bio security Food security Environmental security Freedom from fear of violence Freedom from violence Military security
  • 104. Identification of risk factors Violence as the result of a complex interplay of risk and protective factors on many levels An ecological model(WHO 2002)
  • 105. Shared risk factors for interpersonal violence  Individual: Victim of child maltreatment, personality disorder, alcohol/substance abuse, history of violent behaviour  Relationship: Poor parenting, marital discord, low socioeconomic household, violent friends  Community: Poverty, high crime levels, high residential mobility, high unemployment, local illicit drug trade, weak institutional policies, inadequate victim care  Societal: Rapid social change, economic inequality, gender inequality, policies that increase inequalities, poverty, weak economic safety nets, poor rule of law, high firearm availability, war/ post-war situation, cultural violence
  • 106. FPH Statement on violence prevention and the role of public health…. Violence child abuse Domestic violence Community violence / hate crime National and international violence / hate crimes
  • 107. FPH Statement on violence prevention and the role of public health A life course approach A public mental health approach An asset based community development approach An evidence based policy and intervention approach….
  • 108. Violence prevention interventions with some evidence of effectiveness Key: • Well supported by evidence (multiple randomized controlled trials with different populations) ◦ Emerging evidence Type of violence: - CM: Child maltreatment - IPV: Intimate partner violence - SV: Sexual violence - YV: Youth violence - EA: Elder Abuse - S: Suicide and other forms of self-directed violence
  • 109. FPH Statement on violence prevention and the role of public health A real politik approach? Power may be the only reality- Political Economic Religious
  • 110. Global Campaign for Violence Prevention www.euro.who.int/violenceinjury www.who.int/violence_injury www.who.int/gender
  • 111. Mechanisms of medical peace work 1. Redefinition of the situation 2. Superordinate goals 3. Mediation and conflict transformation 4. Dissent and non-cooperation 5. Discovery and dissemination of knowledge 6. Rebuilding the fabric of society 7. Solidarity and support 8. Social healing 9. Evocation and extension of altruism 10. Limiting the destructiveness of war (Santa Barbara and MacQueen 2004)
  • 114.
  • 115. The Gini coefficient - measuring inequality within societies
  • 116. Poverty, inequality & violence Local forces – poverty Global forces – colonialism & globalisation Ethnicity Poverty, inequality & economic development Political factors – social contracts & democracy The international dimension The underlying causes of civil war The underlying causes of structural violence
  • 117. Priorities for action on health systems More funding for developing countries No user charges – public funding Better pay, working conditions and prospects for health workers
  • 118. All based on an unsustainable economic model consumerism status trust social cohesion Unequal societies are less sustainable
  • 119. Income to improve health – what’s the evidence? L I F E E X P E C T A N C Y INCOME
  • 120.
  • 121. The world map reflecting production related to climate change. “Climate Change presents the biggest threat to health in the 21st Century” The Lancet (373;9697 pp 1659-1734, May 16-22 2009). Who produces the greenhouse gases?
  • 122. Who bears the burden? The world map reflecting mortality related to climate change. “Climate Change presents the biggest threat to health in the 21st Century” The Lancet (373;9697 pp 1659-1734, May 16-22 2009).
  • 123. Climate change and war, conflict over scarce resources Conflict over unfair resources Conflict over destroyed environments
  • 124.
  • 125.
  • 126.
  • 127.
  • 128. From Alcamo and Heinrichs, 2002. In: Dialogue on Water and Climate, 2003. Water critical regions Medium water stress today & future increase in stress plus HDI>0.8 A2 scenario, ECHAM4, 2020s
  • 129.
  • 131.
  • 135. In the decade between 2001 and 2011, global military spending increased by an estimated 92 percent, according to Stockholm International Peace Research, although it fell by 1.9 International Peace Bureau (1), almost 10 gigatons of carbon d Global Carbon Project, 2014 emissions are set to reach a reco
  • 136.
  • 137.
  • 138.
  • 140. Opportunity cost The cost of liberty is less than the price of repression The cause of war is the preparation for war WE Burqhart Du Bois
  • 149.
  • 150.
  • 151.
  • 153. Terrorism and public health; John Middleton
  • 155.
  • 156. APPENDIX1 WEAPONS OF WAR -MASS DESTRUCTION, CBRN, SMALL ARMS, HAND GUNS, SEXUAL VIOLENCE
  • 157. Characteristics of nuclear weapons  Purpose: to threaten to kill massive numbers of people in order to prevent attack (deterrence)  Much greater destructive power than conventional weapons  Explosion created by splitting atoms and chain reaction, releasing massive amounts of radiation
  • 158. Nuclear weapons – effects on health and environment Flash  retinal injury, blindness Fireball  Heat wave  vaporizes everything within certain distance  third-degree burns Blast  destroys buildings  mechanical injuries, lacerations, ruptures organs, eardrums Firestorms  hurrican-like winds, infernos  people are incinerated  climate change Fallout  acute radiation sickness  cancer, genetic damage, weakening
  • 159. Nuclear weapons - use scenarios and effects 1. Accidental nuclear war 2. Large-scale nuclear attack 3. ‘Limited’ nuclear exchange 4. Attack on hardened, underground target 5. ‘Unauthorised’ use
  • 160. Nuclear weapons - other medical, environmental and social effects Climate change Nuclear tests Production of nuclear weapons Nuclear fuel cycle Costs of maintaining arsenals
  • 161. Biological weapons Characteristics Uses living (micro) organisms to cause disease or death in large numbers of people, plants or animals Organisms should multiply in target Infection should take hold and infect others Also toxins made by organisms or plants Can be lethal or ‚non-lethal‘ Best known examples: anthrax bacteria and small-pox virus
  • 162. Biological weapons - health effects Anthrax: bacterial agent, not contagious, lethal if inhaled Smallpox: highly contagious viral agent, very high death rate, travels easily through air Plague: highly contagious bacterial agent, incubation period of 1-5 days, causes potentially lethal pneumonia Ebola: fever caused by viral agent, no cure or treatment, extremely lethal, leads to bleeding from all orifices Botulinum: toxin, causes lethal muscular paralysis
  • 163. Biological weapons - legal status Outlawed by treaty: Biological and Toxins Weapons Convention (BTWC) all development or production of biological weapons outlawed Problems: advances in bioscience, and lack of a verification system
  • 164. Chemical weapons  Nerve agent: highly lethal, kills in very small dosages (e.g. sarin, soman, VX)  Blistering agent: causes burns and blisters on the body, damages eyes; If inhaled severely damages lungs, often leading to death (e.g. mustard sulphurous gas, lewisite)  Asphyxiating agent: causes damage to lungs (e.g. phosgene, mustard gas)  Psychotomimetic agent: causes a hallucinatory effect similar to LSD (e.g. BZ)  Incapacitating agent: relies on irritants and toxic effects to incapacitate a person temporarily (e.g. tear gas, CS gas)
  • 165. Chemical weapons - control regime Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) came into effect in 1997 188 parties to treaty, but Egypt, Israel, North Korea and Syria not yet signed Problems: - pace of destruction of stockpiles - verification not taken seriously - no challenge inspections Definitions of banned weapons problematic, many not prohibited
  • 166. Radiological weapons Radiological dispersal weapons: „Dirty Bombs“ disperse radioactivity by detonating explosives surrounded by nuclear material. Nuclear facilities: Nuclear reactors, nuclear transports and waste storage can be turned into weapons through deliberate attack. Uranium weapons: containing depleted uranium for use against tanks
  • 167. Radiological weapons - measures to deal with threat Best measure is prevention, i.e. guard against theft Transfer and export control regime: multilateral Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material (1980) IAEA Code of Conduct on the Safety and Security of Radioactive Sources Protect nuclear reactors against sabotage including attack with planes Ban uranium weapons
  • 168. Landmines and cluster munitions 90% of landmine victims are civilians destroy infrastructure, make fields useless, and prevent refugee return cause disability, demoralization, unemployment, social stigmatization and economic hardship for families and communities women victims suffer more, higher death rate disproportionate number of victims are children
  • 169. Small arms and light weapons (SALW) SALW include handguns, assault rifles, machine guns, grenades and landmines cause the majority of deaths in violent conflict globally 639 million small arms globally, or approximately one for every ten people on earth direct death toll due to SALW range from 80 000 to 500 000 per year, most in developing world 3-4 times this number of people are injured
  • 170. ’Non-lethal’ weapons (NLWs) designed to incapacitate people or disable equipment, minimal collateral damage intended to be discriminate and not cause unnecessary suffering effect on people should be temporary and reversible should provide alternatives to/ raise the threshold for use of lethal force actual use of NLWs shows that none of the above are guaranteed, having exactly the opposite effect to that intended
  • 171. Rape as a military strategy Sexualized violence: „a sexual expression of aggression“ includes rape, sexual degradation, humiliation and violence to breasts and genitals, forced prostitution and trafficking abuses used in war to attack the body in order to break the spirit, gender-specific Trauma: attack on victim’s innermost self and personality, often lead to PTBS, psychosomatic disorders, phobias, suicide Physical consequences: injury, pregnancy, infection, HIV, hormonal dysfunction
  • 172. References  Arya N, Cukier W (2004). The international small arms situation: a public health approach. In Mahoney P et al. (eds). Ballistic trauma: a practical guide. New York, Springer-Verlag.  Barnaby W (1997). Biological weapons: an increasing threat. Medicine, Conflict and Survival 14:301- 313.  Davey B (2004). Public health response to biological and chemical weapons. World Health Organization.  International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (2010). Zero is the only option.  Jenssen C et al. (2002). Medicine Against War. In Taipale I et al. (eds.) War or Health? A reader. Zed Books, London: 8–29.  Joachim I (2004a). Sexualized violence in war and its consequences. In Violence against woman in war: handbook for professionals working with traumatised women. Cologne, medica mondiale.  Leaning J (2000). Environment and health: 5. impact of war. Canadian Medical Association Journal 163(9):1157-61.  Lewer N (2002). New technology: non-lethal weapons. In Taipale I (ed.) War or health? A reader. London, Zed Books. © medicalpeacework.org 2012 Author Xanthe Hall, editors Mike Rowson and Klaus Melf, graphic design Philipp Bornschlegl
  • 173. Appendix 2 Adverse consequences of the war on terror
  • 174. Injurious and/or Ineffective Responses Actions intended for infection control may be injurious and/or ineffective. Examples include anthrax immunization, which causes adverse reactions and is considered experimental when used to prevent inhalation anthrax; and smallpox vaccination, which causes adverse reactions and and is likely to be unneeded.
  • 175. Direct Adverse Effects of Response Consequences of inappropriate nature of warnings Consequences of hazardous immunization Consequences of inappropriate use of antibiotics Consequences of isolation and quarantine
  • 176.
  • 177. The Power of Fear Early and provident fear is the mother of safety. Edmund Burke Speech in the House of Commons May 11, 1792 Let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have fear is fear itself -- nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyses needed efforts to convert retreat into advance. President Franklin D. Roosevelt Inaugural Address, March 4, 1933
  • 178.
  • 179. Constraints on Civil Rights Model State Emergency Health Powers Act USA Patriot Act Homeland Security Act
  • 180.
  • 181. Diversion of Resources -- U.S. Protection From Chemical Accidents and Infectious Diseases Each year in the United States: – 60,000 chemical spills, leaks, explosions, 8000 “serious,” with over 300 deaths – 76 million episodes of food-borne illness, 325,000 hospitalizations and 5000 deaths – 110,000 hospitalizations and 20,000 deaths from influenza – 40,000 new cases and 10,000 deaths from HIV/AIDS
  • 182. “Smallpox Planning Detracts from Core Public Health, Officials Say” AP, 4/5/03 “The Homeland Security push to make local health districts the first defense against bioterrorism, together with shrinking health budgets, have contributed to Seattle’s worst tuberculosis outbreak in 30 years,” said Dr. Alonzo Plough, public health director for Seattle-King County. “It has forced tradeoffs in everything we do.”
  • 183.
  • 184. Diversion of Resources -- International Investment in international public health can help provide protection against diseases rooted in poverty, in ignorance, and in absence of services. In India in 1999 there were two million new cases of tuberculosis, causing about 450,000 deaths. Effective treatment of tuberculosis in India costs about 15 US dollars per person treated The United Nations has estimated that about 10 billion US dollars invested in safe water supplies could reduce by a third the current 4 billion annual cases of diarrhea that result in 2.2 million deaths.
  • 187.
  • 188. The Gini coefficient - measuring inequality within societies
  • 189. The world map reflecting production related to climate change. “Climate Change presents the biggest threat to health in the 21st Century” The Lancet (373;9697 pp 1659-1734, May 16-22 2009). Who produces the greenhouse gases?
  • 190. Who bears the burden? The world map reflecting mortality related to climate change. “Climate Change presents the biggest threat to health in the 21st Century” The Lancet (373;9697 pp 1659-1734, May 16-22 2009).
  • 191. All based on an unsustainable economic model consumerism status trust social cohesion Unequal societies are less sustainable
  • 192. Income to improve health – what’s the evidence? L I F E E X P E C T A N C Y INCOME
  • 193.
  • 194. Poverty, inequality & violence Local forces – poverty Global forces – colonialism & globalisation Ethnicity Poverty, inequality & economic development Political factors – social contracts & democracy The international dimension The underlying causes of civil war The underlying causes of structural violence
  • 195. Poverty & structural violence The factors underlying poverty: Lack of income & assets Powerlessness Vulnerability “Poverty is pain; it feels like a disease. It attacks a person not only materially but also morally. It eats away one’s dignity and drives one into total despair” (Narayan et al 1999)
  • 196. Poverty, inequality & economic development Possible links between underdevelopment, poverty & violent conflict: - Collective grievance & a desire for change - Long term deprivation & lack of growth - Extraction economies & the natural resource curse
  • 197. Political factors & the causes of civil war  State strength  The social contract and democracy?? ”The most reliable path to stable domestic peace in the long-term is to democratize as much as possible” (Hegre 2001:44)
  • 198. The international dimension Effects of colonialism The Cold War The ’war on terror’ International economic factors Foreign investment & trade International aid
  • 199. Responding to structural violence at the national level Increasing people’s incomes & capabilities:  Investing in public administration, human capital & key infrastructure by  cutting waste, redistribution, stimulating growth but richer countries need to provide more resources
  • 200. Improving the health sector - one of the key actions to improve life expectancy  Comprehensive primary health services, publicly funded through increased allocations  An emphasis on mother and child health, and immunisation  Well trained health workers, adequately paid and rewarded particularly for unpopular work Regulation of the private sector Other key measures include education, ensuring minimum nutritional levels are met, water & sanitation and reducing inequities.
  • 201. Interventions reducing structural violence Negative effects Possible Remedies Trade-poverty trap More pressure on WTO Barriers to medicines Campaign on TRIPS+ & for new R&D regime Arms trade Stop profiting from arms trade Trade directly supports war Regulation Vulnerability to international financial flows & debt Financial regulation Cancel and restructure debt Aid given for donor interests Better managed aid
  • 202. violence through healthviolence through health systemssystems Health systems: ‘all activities whose primary purpose is to
  • 203. Priorities for action on health systems More funding for developing countries No user charges – public funding Better pay, working conditions and prospects for health workers
  • 204. References  Hegre H et al. (2001). Toward a democratic civil peace? Democracy, political change and civil war, 1816-1992. American Political Science Review 95(1): 33- 54.  Narayan D et al. (1999). Voices of the poor: can anyone hear us? Washington DC, World Bank.  WHO (2000). The world health report 2000 - Health systems: improving performance. Available at www.who.int/whr/2000/en/, accessed 10 October 2011.  WHO (2007). Healthy life expectancy (HALE) at birth (years). Available at www.who.int/whosis/indicators/2007HALE0/en/, accessed 30 September 2011. © medicalpeacework.org 2012 Author Marion Birch, editors Mike Rowson and Klaus Melf, graphic design Philipp Bornschlegl
  • 205. Appendix 4 Climate chaos, planetary health and COP21
  • 206.
  • 207.
  • 208.
  • 209. CARBON EMISSIONS PER CAPITA, 1999 Tons of carbon per year <1 9 - 15 1-3 3-9 >15 No data Source. WRI, 2002
  • 210. From Alcamo and Heinrichs, 2002. In: Dialogue on Water and Climate, 2003. Water critical regions Medium water stress today & future increase in stress plus HDI>0.8 A2 scenario, ECHAM4, 2020s
  • 211. Band of historical climatic variability 20 15 1900 21002000 14 16 17 18 13 19 Average Global Temperature (O C) Year 205019501860 Low High Central estimate = 2.5 o C (+ increased variability) IPCC (2001) estimates a 1.4-5.8 o C increase This presents a rate-of-change problem for many natural systems/processes
  • 212. SUMMARY [1] There is strong evidence that greenhouse gas emissions from the burning of fossil fuels are changing the global climate [2] The projected rate and magnitude of change will have adverse impacts on ecological systems and populations in many regions, especially in low income countries where the capacity to adapt is limited [3] The challenge is to ensure more equitable but sustainable development that enables human societies to live within the Earth’s regenerative capacity
  • 213.
  • 214.
  • 215.
  • 216.
  • 217.
  • 218.
  • 220.
  • 221.
  • 222.
  • 223. Climate Change occurring faster than expected?  IPCC’s 5th Assessment Report  Increasing rates of: Global Greenhouse Gas emissions Ice melting (Arctic sea ice, Greenland/Antarctic ice-sheets, alpine glaciers) Sea level rise Carbon stored in permafrost = x2 atmospheric carbon
  • 224.
  • 234. The UK government has even imposed a legal obligation upon itself, under the Infrastructure Act 2015, to “maximise economic recovery” of the UK’s oil and gas
  • 235.
  • 236.
  • 239.
  • 240. In the decade between 2001 and 2011, global military spending increased by an estimated 92 percent, according to Stockholm International Peace Research, although it fell by 1.9 International Peace Bureau (1), almost 10 gigatons of carbon d Global Carbon Project, 2014 emissions are set to reach a reco
  • 241.
  • 242.
  • 243.
  • 244.
  • 245. Conclusions Policies that address both public health and climate change are more attractive than focusing on either in isolation. The health gains associated with climate change mitigation policies should feature in Climate Change negotiations A ‘low carbon’ world could be a healthier world and a more secure world
  • 246. Action now… 1. SDC Good Corporate Citizenship toolkit  www.corporatecitizen.nhs.uk/ 1. NHS Carbon Trust Management Programme  http://www.carbontrust.co.uk/carbon/publicsector/nhs/ 1. Sustaining a Healthy Future  www.fph.org.uk 1. NHS Confederation briefings  http://www.nhsconfed.org/Publications/briefings/Pages/Briefings.aspx 1. NHS Carbon Reduction Strategy and 2030 health care scenarios  www.sdu.nhs.ukSee notes of this slides for some of the most important specific actions
  • 247. References  Climate and Health Council (www.climateandhealth.org) Global health, global warming, personal and professional responsibility, Cambridge Medicine, Pencheon D, Vol 2, No 22, 2008  Stott R, Healthy response to climate change, BMJ 2006;332;1385-1387  Gill M, Why should doctors be interested in climate change? BMJ Jun 2008; 336: 1506  Griffiths J, Alison Hill, Jackie Spiby and Mike Gill, Robin Stott Ten practical actions for doctors to combat climate change, BMJ 2008;336;1507  Sustaining a healthy future: www.fph.org.uk  Griffiths J et al, The Health Practitioner's Guide to Climate Change, Earthscan 2009  Pencheon D, Health services and climate change: what can be done? J Health Serv Res Policy. Editorial Jan 2009  UCL Health Commission/Lancet: Managing the Health effects of
  • 248. Appendix 5 Medical Peace Work- Non violent change
  • 249. Conflict analysis - a learning process constructing a detailed picture of the situation identifying the factors that can contribute to peace Many approaches and tools: conflict timeline conflict mapping ABC triangle etc.
  • 250. Nonviolent social change Most social movements use nonviolent means. Removing pillars of power through: •blockades •boycotts •protests, strikes •demonstrations •civil disobedience •street theatre, etc.
  • 251. Nonviolent Communication (NVC) - a philosophical and educational tool for human connection Putting empathy at the centre of thinking and communicating Four elements for honestly expressing and empathically listening: (Model adapted from the Centre for Nonviolent Communication)
  • 252. Medical Peace Work-training materials Appendix 6
  • 253. MPW training material • Web-based teaching resource centre • Seven MPW online courses - textbook lessons - test questions - problem-based e-learning cases  www.medicalpeacework.org
  • 254. Goals of MPW training material Prevent war, terror, human rights violations, and other abuses of power. Promote compassion, caring relationships, fair structures, and a culture of peace. Improve health outcomes for patients and communities in violent settings. Strengthen the health professionals’ competencies in peace and conflict work.
  • 255. Characteristics of MPW-framework • Holistic peace concept ─ Peace work NOT only at the top level ─ Peace work NOT only in war zones ─ Peace work NOT only for peace activists • Public health approach to violence and peace • Explicit peace work – for the sake of HEALTH
  • 256. Educating the public Know your target audience Know yourself What is the message? Who is delivering the message? What methods can be used?
  • 257. History of health professional activism for peace  First tried to „humanize“ war  1905: International Medical Association Against War  1918: Jeanne van Lanschot-Hubrecht questioned giving medical aid in WW1  1930: Committee for War Prevention in Holland  1936: Medical Peace Campaign in UK  1961: Physicians for Social Responsibility (PSR) in USA  1980: International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW)
  • 258. Data-to-policy work Evidence for advocacy need credibility (actual and perceived) Reliable data has to be collected using recognised methods Less influence on policy if disputable Less credibility if party has strong interest in a certain result Lack of transparency damages findings Predicting future using past data for advocacy
  • 259. Alliances with larger movements Examples: International Campaign to Ban Landmines (ICBL) International Action Network on Small Arms (IANSA) The Red Cross International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear weapons (ICAN)
  • 260. References  Centre for Nonviolent Communication www.cnvc.org  Galtung J (1996). Peace by peaceful means: peace and conflict, development and civilisation. London, Prio/Sage.  Galtung J (2002). What is peace studies? In Johansen J, Vambheim V (eds). Three papers by Johan Galtung. Tromsø, Centre for Peace Studies, University of Tromsø, Norway  Large J (1997). Considering conflict. First consultative meeting on Health as a Bridge for Peace. Les Pensières, Annecy, WHO.  Mercy J et al. (1993). Public health policy for preventing violence. Health Affairs. Winter:7-29.  Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary www.m-w.com  Rosenberg M (2003). Nonviolent communication: a language of life. Encinitas, CA, Puddle Dancer Press.  Santa Barbara J, MacQueen G (2004). Peace through health: key concepts. The Lancet 364:384-5.

Editor's Notes

  1. &amp;lt;number&amp;gt; PGS NW-101
  2. This variety of different meanings can be found again, when looking up the word peace in a dictionary. As “state of tranquillity or quiet” within a community, peace is related to security, law and custom. Inner peace or peace of mind is described as “freedom from disquieting or oppressive thoughts or emotions”. The interpersonal aspect is expressed with “harmony in personal relations”. Most common, however, in a western tradition is the notion of peace as “state or period of mutual concord between governments”, as the end or absence of war. (Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary: www.m-w.com)
  3. The scientific reports published in the past two years have consistently pointed to faster and greater changes than were foreseen and modelled a decade ago. This graph shows how observed changes to three major indices have all been tracking at the top end of the range of the IPCC predictions from the late 1990s. Already the IPCC’s latest (Fourth) Assessment Report (2007) looks conservative and somewhat out of date. The apparent recent acceleration in human-induced climate change is stressed in the first of the Six Key Messages from the Climate Congress held in Copenhagen in March 2009, attended by 2,500 scientists and policy-makers from over 80 countries. That message (initial draft) stated as follows (see further details in Appendix): “Recent observations confirm that, given high rates of observed emissions, the worst-case IPCC scenario trajectories (or even worse) are being realised. For many key parameters, the climate system is already moving beyond the patterns of natural variability within which our society and economy have developed and thrived. These parameters include global mean surface temperature, sea-level rise, ocean and ice sheet dynamics, ocean acidification, and extreme climatic events. There is a significant risk that many of the trends will accelerate, leading to an increasing risk of abrupt or irreversible climatic shifts.”
  4. Reading the pledge and these three key publications will give many actions that can be taken now. Just SOME of the actions that can be taken: At an individual level Measure your carbon footprint Understand exactly where you use energy and how you can reduce it. Think tonnes or kgs of Carbon dioxide rather than just KWH Understand what low carbon and active travel really is and live it – walk, bike, public transport Think about the carbon and climate consequences of the way we/you eat, everything from food miles, to waste, to supporting local producers an retailers to the carbon consequences ad health consequences of high meat and dairy diets At an organisational level Ensure your workplace really provides low carbon transport options, buses, liftshare, cycle paths, racks, showers, lockers... Is there a sustainable development or climate change staff group that tackles things from the ground up? Has there been a organisational carbon footprinting or auditing process done? Ensure the head of your unit / line manager / Chief Executive, knows that MANY health professionals are seriously concerned. Numbers matter. Set an example to other staff, patients and visitors Is climate change on the risk register of your organisation? Is your organisation part of the carbon Reduction Commitment from April 2010? Is sustainability built into the measurement of performance of your organisation? How much renewable energy does your organisation buy, and could it buy more? Is your organisation explicit about what it’s climate impact is and what it is doing about it? Is there a procurement policy in your organisation that reduces the climate/carbon impact? Is the leadership team in your organisation aware of the many immediate health co-benefits that can be gained from immediate action – health, lives, money and reputation...? At a political level Write to your MP and get you family friends and colleagues to do the same. Contact them well before the next round of international agreements are made in Copenhagen, Nov 2009 and ask tem where they stand.