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COVID-19: What went right, what went wrong
and how do we learn from this?
A presentation for Staffordshire University Centre for Health and
Development Meeting October 28th 2021
Professor John Middleton Hon FFPH, FRCP
Hon Professor of Public Health Wolverhampton
President, Association of Schools of Public Health in the
European Region
3
06/11/2021
COVID-19 what went well ?
The digital revolution, in healthcare and work
Big data, availability of health data and clever presentations of data
Decisive actions by East Asia countries, Australia and New Zealand applying
their knowledge and strengthened public health capacity post SARS
Decisive actions by some other nations-‘COVID underdogs’- in accordance with
World Health Organisation’s January 2020 advice
Scientific and technological development of vaccines
Health services responses where universal health care in place
Mutual aid community in many countries
Setting up COVAX the international vaccine distribution facility
4
06/11/2021
The COVID-19 pandemic
6
06/11/2021
The COVID-19 syndemics
Race and ethnicity risks Black men 4X
as likely to die from COVID_19
Risks-
• Pre-existing Health risks- long term
conditions, diabetes, obesity
• More likely to be in high risk
occupations-health, food
processing, transport, security,
front-line health and social care
• Institutional racism- not being
listened to when concerned on
risks (Kevin Fenton PHE report )
▲Journal
American Medical
Association, May
2020
◀︎ UK
Office of
National
Statistics,
April 2020
9
06/11/2021
06/11/2021 10
06/11/2021 11
Public mask wearing
mandated early on-
Czechia, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Poland
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
17
06/11/2021
The COVID-19 infodemic
Infodemics:
misappropriating
personal information
to sway opinion and
behaviour – in this
example in elections
Infodemics: misappropriating social media - to sway
opinion and behaviour – in this example in vaccine
hesitancy
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
Proportion of the population who would refuse COVIOD_19 vaccine if offered it now. Institute of Health
Metrics and Evaluation, March 2021
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
https://www.sorryantivaxxer.com
John Middleton [lecture title]
[date]
Global governance
for health
28
06/11/2021
The COVID-19 what went well UK ?
Initial efforts on social welfare/furlough/ increased universal credit/ hotels for
the homeless?
Vaccine development, commitment global collaboration of science and
Technology, commitments to shared intelligence, research and delivery ‘COVAX’
Vaccination policy and delivery ‘December 2020-April 2021’
Clinical research: rapid assessment of effective and ineffective treatments
including the Recovery Trial
Rapid set up of major prospective studies REACT, ONS community infection,
ZOE
Genetic sequencing of virus and development of Genomic Surveillance
29
06/11/2021
The COVID-19 what went (well) UK ?
Not ‘well’- but ‘heroic’, ‘admirable’, ‘selfless’, ‘professional’,
‘caring’, ‘compassionate’
NHS services response
Social care unsupported and unprotected
Local public health services – undervalued, unrecognized, snubbed
Community responses: volunteering, ‘mutual aid’, in food delivery,
in the vaccine delivery programme
National public health professional organisations working together
35
06/11/2021
The COVID-19 what badly UK ?
Political leadership: failure to act, policy U turns, failure of Public
messaging
Procurement-incompetence and corruption
Test and trace
Nightingale hospitals
Care and protection of our children in schools and outside
Neglect of local public health services and director of public health
Neglect of social care
Border controls
What needs to be done?
Planning for an outbreak of health
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
https://www.forbes.co
m/sites/niallmccarthy/2
021/05/06/which-
companies-received-
the-most-covid-19-
vaccine-rd-funding-
infographic/?sh=eef64e
a4333d
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
There is no place for intellectual property protection
during a humanitarian crisis
But there must be fair assessment of how industry
should be properly paid for their work and their
products and to protect and ensure investment for
future new life-saving products
Vaccine
TRIPS
Waiver
needed
now
Planning for an outbreak of
health:
The public health system,
services and profession
https://www.aspher.org/co
vid-19-task-force.html
https://epha.org/public-
health-must-be-
strengthened-for-a-
healthy-post-covid-world/
Global governance for health
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
Renew the mandate of the UN and
WHO in global health governance
The new Treaty for pandemic
preparedness
Governance
Transparency and information
sharing
Resources and capacity
New continental/WHO regional
structures with response capacity
https://s3.amazonaws.com/ASPPH_Media_Files/Docs/
GNAPH_Global+governance+for+health.pdf
John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health
Planning for an
outbreak of health:
The public’s health
https://www.aspher.org/covid-
19-task-force.html
John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health
John Middleton [lecture title]
[date]
Upsides
of
lockdown
1 :
Decline in
air
pollution
Upsides in
lockdown 2:
interest in
more active
travel
Build back
better?
‘Build back’ ?
Working practices and relationships ?
Reducing inequalities? Minorities?
Vulnerable groups? Women? Older
people?
John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health
https://www.health.org.uk/sites/default/files/upl
oad/publications/2020/Build-back-fairer-the-
COVID-19-Marmot-review.pdf
Build back
Fairer?
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
Build back
Fairer?
The richest billionaires could
give $139,300,000,000 away
and still be as rich as they
were in 2020. These
billionaires could end global
hunger for about $300 billion.
A fraction of their overall
wealth.
‘Build
back’?
‘Build back’ ?
‘Build back’ ?
‘Build back’ ?
‘Build back’ ?
To what austerity, poverty and
unfairness? Environmental squalor and
health and wealth for some?
Plan for an outbreak of health….
William Beveridge designed a welfare state
for the UK in the deepest point of the
Second World War.
‘We should regard want,
idleness , ignorance, squalor
and disease as enemies of us
all. That is the meaning of a
social conscience; that we
refuse to make our separate
peace with evil.’
Thank you
John Middleton,
President
Association of Schools of Public Health
In the European Region
John.middleton@aspher.org
What is ASPHER ?
The Association of Schools of Public Health in the European Region
(ASPHER) is the key independent European organisation dedicated to
strengthening the role of public health by improving education and
training of public health professionals for both practice and research.
We have 120 member schools of public health in Europe and
associates globally.
We are developing our partnerships with sister public health
organisations in America, Africa, Asia, Australasia and the Arab
world

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COVID-19: What went right, what went wrong and how do we learn from this?

  • 1. COVID-19: What went right, what went wrong and how do we learn from this? A presentation for Staffordshire University Centre for Health and Development Meeting October 28th 2021 Professor John Middleton Hon FFPH, FRCP Hon Professor of Public Health Wolverhampton President, Association of Schools of Public Health in the European Region
  • 2.
  • 3. 3 06/11/2021 COVID-19 what went well ? The digital revolution, in healthcare and work Big data, availability of health data and clever presentations of data Decisive actions by East Asia countries, Australia and New Zealand applying their knowledge and strengthened public health capacity post SARS Decisive actions by some other nations-‘COVID underdogs’- in accordance with World Health Organisation’s January 2020 advice Scientific and technological development of vaccines Health services responses where universal health care in place Mutual aid community in many countries Setting up COVAX the international vaccine distribution facility
  • 5.
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  • 8. Race and ethnicity risks Black men 4X as likely to die from COVID_19 Risks- • Pre-existing Health risks- long term conditions, diabetes, obesity • More likely to be in high risk occupations-health, food processing, transport, security, front-line health and social care • Institutional racism- not being listened to when concerned on risks (Kevin Fenton PHE report ) ▲Journal American Medical Association, May 2020 ◀︎ UK Office of National Statistics, April 2020
  • 12.
  • 13. Public mask wearing mandated early on- Czechia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Poland
  • 14.
  • 16.
  • 18. Infodemics: misappropriating personal information to sway opinion and behaviour – in this example in elections
  • 19. Infodemics: misappropriating social media - to sway opinion and behaviour – in this example in vaccine hesitancy
  • 20. Vaccinations: saving lives in millions Proportion of the population who would refuse COVIOD_19 vaccine if offered it now. Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, March 2021
  • 22. Vaccinations: saving lives in millions https://www.sorryantivaxxer.com
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. John Middleton [lecture title] [date] Global governance for health
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. 28 06/11/2021 The COVID-19 what went well UK ? Initial efforts on social welfare/furlough/ increased universal credit/ hotels for the homeless? Vaccine development, commitment global collaboration of science and Technology, commitments to shared intelligence, research and delivery ‘COVAX’ Vaccination policy and delivery ‘December 2020-April 2021’ Clinical research: rapid assessment of effective and ineffective treatments including the Recovery Trial Rapid set up of major prospective studies REACT, ONS community infection, ZOE Genetic sequencing of virus and development of Genomic Surveillance
  • 29. 29 06/11/2021 The COVID-19 what went (well) UK ? Not ‘well’- but ‘heroic’, ‘admirable’, ‘selfless’, ‘professional’, ‘caring’, ‘compassionate’ NHS services response Social care unsupported and unprotected Local public health services – undervalued, unrecognized, snubbed Community responses: volunteering, ‘mutual aid’, in food delivery, in the vaccine delivery programme National public health professional organisations working together
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. 35 06/11/2021 The COVID-19 what badly UK ? Political leadership: failure to act, policy U turns, failure of Public messaging Procurement-incompetence and corruption Test and trace Nightingale hospitals Care and protection of our children in schools and outside Neglect of local public health services and director of public health Neglect of social care Border controls
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. What needs to be done? Planning for an outbreak of health
  • 52.
  • 56. Vaccinations: saving lives in millions There is no place for intellectual property protection during a humanitarian crisis But there must be fair assessment of how industry should be properly paid for their work and their products and to protect and ensure investment for future new life-saving products
  • 58. Planning for an outbreak of health: The public health system, services and profession https://www.aspher.org/co vid-19-task-force.html
  • 60.
  • 61. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health Renew the mandate of the UN and WHO in global health governance The new Treaty for pandemic preparedness Governance Transparency and information sharing Resources and capacity New continental/WHO regional structures with response capacity
  • 62.
  • 64. John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health Planning for an outbreak of health: The public’s health https://www.aspher.org/covid- 19-task-force.html
  • 65. John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health
  • 66. John Middleton [lecture title] [date] Upsides of lockdown 1 : Decline in air pollution
  • 67. Upsides in lockdown 2: interest in more active travel
  • 69. ‘Build back’ ? Working practices and relationships ? Reducing inequalities? Minorities? Vulnerable groups? Women? Older people?
  • 70. John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health https://www.health.org.uk/sites/default/files/upl oad/publications/2020/Build-back-fairer-the- COVID-19-Marmot-review.pdf Build back Fairer?
  • 71. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health Build back Fairer? The richest billionaires could give $139,300,000,000 away and still be as rich as they were in 2020. These billionaires could end global hunger for about $300 billion. A fraction of their overall wealth.
  • 76. ‘Build back’ ? To what austerity, poverty and unfairness? Environmental squalor and health and wealth for some? Plan for an outbreak of health….
  • 77. William Beveridge designed a welfare state for the UK in the deepest point of the Second World War. ‘We should regard want, idleness , ignorance, squalor and disease as enemies of us all. That is the meaning of a social conscience; that we refuse to make our separate peace with evil.’
  • 78. Thank you John Middleton, President Association of Schools of Public Health In the European Region John.middleton@aspher.org
  • 79. What is ASPHER ? The Association of Schools of Public Health in the European Region (ASPHER) is the key independent European organisation dedicated to strengthening the role of public health by improving education and training of public health professionals for both practice and research. We have 120 member schools of public health in Europe and associates globally. We are developing our partnerships with sister public health organisations in America, Africa, Asia, Australasia and the Arab world