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TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

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Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin'
Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis

Can businesses program, or even own, their own cellular infrastructure?
Many aspects are making it much easier, with shared and unlicensed spectrum for private LTE, small cells, virtualised networks, programmable eSIMs and more numbering/identity options.
Some industries have their own unique wireless needs, either across the wide area (eg utilities) or on major sites (oil & gas, airports etc) that are not easily-addressed by traditional telcos.
Can they build and/or operate their own networks? Is this the ultimate “developer” play?

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TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

  1. 1. Enterprise Wireless & IIoT Infrastructure Opportunities for Developers Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis TADSummit, November 2017 dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com @disruptivedean
  2. 2. Dean Bubley & Disruptive Analysis  Tech/telecom analyst & strategic consulting since 1991  Futurism, Forecasting, Anti-Forecasting, Policy  Cross-silo, contrarian, independent  Often provocative. Sometimes obscure. Occasionally wrong. Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017 Network Tech, Policy & Business Models Communications Apps & Services Telecom-Futurism
  3. 3. Multiple dimensions for future wireless networks Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017 November 2017 bpd bps Gbps 10m Non- critical Function- critical 90% 99% 99.9% 99.99%Long-life battery Rechargeable battery Mains electricity Generator Harvested Power 3D Coverage Bandwidth Kbps Importance Business- critical Safety- critical Range <1m Mbps And also: Security model Mobility Integration Bi-directional Protocols etc 1km >10km 100m 4G / 5G / LPWA / Satellite Managed spectrumWi-Fi
  4. 4. On-site connectivity needed for new IoT & application types Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017 November 2017 Sensors & controlsOnsite Employees & collaboration Tenants & Contractors Onsite Mobile IoT Guests & visitors Safety & Security IoT
  5. 5. Every vertical sector has unique wireless requirements Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017
  6. 6. Not just industrial interest in enterprise cellular Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017 In-room coverage, “unroaming” for guests & “Free LTE” for conference guests All-operator coverage, UC/meeting integration, workgroup/team billing Capacity density, Instant replays via MEC nodes, Content rights protection, VIPs Ultra-low latency, compliance/recording, data sovereignty, private number/addresses
  7. 7. Key IoT network technologies, 2018-2022 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017 High Mobility Low Mobility Traditional MNOs Non-MNO SPs Private & Government PMR / TETRA Private LTE (rare) Private MVNO Satellite Vertical-specific (eg auto) 4G / 5G MBB LTE-Cat M1+ Legacy 2G/3G Hybrids / Multi-Network NB-IoT (esp. China) 4G / 5G MBB + M1 Legacy 2G/3G Wi-Fi Some LoRa, SigFox Wi-Fi Bluetooth, ZigBee etc LoRa / LoRaWAN CBRS / MulteFire NB-IoT unlicensed? Other LPWA & Industrial SigFox, LoRa, other LPWA NB-IoT unlicensed Wi-Fi MVNOs Multi-Network Satellite & HAPs MVNOs
  8. 8. Intersection of multiple “edges” Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017
  9. 9. Dedicated spectrum enables limited business models Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017 National MNO licences B2C Prepay & Post-Paid Subscriptions IoT Embedded Wholesale, eg MVNO Non-MNO licences Government eg Public Safety Few corps, eg utilities, rail
  10. 10. Shared & new unlicensed models gaining traction (slowly) Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017
  11. 11. Mobile industry already busy with 5G, NFV, SDN etc… Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017 November 2017 Enhanced Mobile Broadband Low- Latency IoT Massive M2M / IoT Enhanced Mobile Broadband Low- Latency IoT Massive M2M / IoT Fixed Access (pre-5G) 2020 2017-8 2019-20 2020-22 5G Use-Cases & Probable Timeline
  12. 12. Traditional MNOs address some verticals/sites, but not all  Limited domain expertise  Coverage challenges  Site access difficulties  Safety / other certification  Data security / ownership  IoT platform integration  Liability issues  Regulatory limits  Commercial model Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017 Also: Network-slicing in 5G solves different (wide-area) problems
  13. 13. Many possible stakeholders / models with shared spectrum Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017 Government (Telecom Ministry) Spectrum License Fees + Coverage goals Government (Business / Economy) GDP & Tax uplift from Industry 4.0 Existing MNOs Cheaper capacity + vertical oppos Venue Owners Higher rent / happy visitors & Neutral Host $$ Industrial companies Owned & controlled IoT connections (cost/risk calculation) Niche MNO entrants Geo-specific license for new service / rev types IoT solution integrator Embedded WAN ability in similar fashion to WiFi / LoRa Community / decentralised Improve off- grid locations, offer neutral- host or mesh / micropayment
  14. 14. Many “moving parts” to create private 4G/5G networks Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017 Shared & Unlicensed Spectrum IoT / MVNO / MVNE / Slicing platformsSmall Cells, WiFi,MEC, DAS, cabling eSIM & RSP Virtualised Core / Transport Network Cloud OSS / BSS Number ranges & MNCs Roaming & Inter- connect hubs Devices & chipsets Voice, PTT, video, messaging Physical design, integrate & build
  15. 15. Conclusions & Requirements  IoT & local networks critical for many industries  Need for wide/deep coverage & managed spectrum  Desire for ownership & control  Classical MNOs cannot do everything… and neither can WiFi  New SP types or private networks essential… but spectrum needed  Vendor solutions, integrators, XaaS providers needed  Huge new “telecom developer” opportunity  Needs awareness in government + industry training & skills  …but don’t underestimate complexity Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017
  16. 16. A small plug Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017
  17. 17. www.disruptive-analysis.com disruptivewireless.blogspot.com @disruptivedean information@disruptive-analysis.com Skype:disruptiveanalysis appear.in/disruptiveanalysis Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

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