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John Farrell, Co-Director, September 14, 2023
Which Solar Costs Less?
A surprising comparison of utility-scale,
community, and rooftop solar
Fact: Utilities
Misrepresent the
Cost of Solar to
Serve Their Interests
Learn why they do, in their own words: https://twitter.com/john
ff
arrell/status/1702722441372434771
Fact: Solar Costs are
Similar Whether it’s on
Rooftops, Community
Arrays, or Utility-Scale
BENEFITS OF LOCAL SOLAR
FOR THE CLEAN ENERGY
TRANSITION
Up to 30x more jobs
than utility-scale solar, with jobs and
the economic bene
fi
ts more widely
dispersed throughout the state.
The least-cost path to
a carbon-free future,
with power prices
comparable to utility-
scale solar and
providing better overall
value.
Opening the clean energy
economy to all — ensuring the
freedom to participate in
generating clean power and
saving money, with access
for households living on low
incomes.
Delivering better
electricity reliability
through dispersed
generation, and with
battery storage
integration that can
keep electricity on
even if power lines
go down.
Cost of Solar by Type
Community Utility Scale
Cost ranges
Rooftop
Actual Solar Costs & Benefits
<<
range
>>
Cost of Solar by Type
Utility Scale
[Low Cost Model]
Utiliity Scale
[High Cost Model]
Community Rooftop
Power costs and
utility earnings
Delivery costs
Actual Solar Costs & Benefits
Grid savings
from local
solar
When we properly
account for:
1) Power production
(including utility
earnings)
2) Delivery, and
3) Grid savings
The cost of electricity
from solar projects of all
sizes are very similar
1
2
3
Cost of Solar by Type
Utility Scale
[Low Cost Model]
Utiliity Scale
[High Cost Model]
Community Rooftop
Power costs
Delivery costs
Actual Solar Costs & Benefits
Minnesota’s “value of
solar” recognizes that
local solar reduces
transmission and
distribution capacity
costs, worth 2.4¢ per
kilowatt-hour
Xcel Energy value of solar
calculation, 2023
Grid savings
from local
solar
Cost of Solar by Type
Utility Scale
[Low Cost Model]
Utiliity Scale
[High Cost Model]
Community Rooftop
Power costs and
utility earnings
Delivery costs
Actual Solar Costs & Benefits
Avoided transmission
and distribution
costs
While costs can vary by location, regulatory
and state policy environment, grid
congestion, etc, the truth is that local solar
is often as cost-effective as large-scale
solar, when accounting for utility earnings
Grid savings
from local
solar
Cost of Solar by Type
Utility Scale
[Low Cost Model]
Utiliity Scale
[High Cost Model]
Community Rooftop
Power costs and
utility earnings
Delivery costs
Actual Solar Costs & Benefits
Avoided transmission
and distribution
costs
Xcel Energy’s Sherco Solar project in
Minnesota, without tax credits*
*Source: Xcel's plans in
Becker would create one
of largest solar plants in
country (StarTribune,
5/8/23). https://
www.startribune.com/
xcels-plans-in-becker-
would-create-one-of-
largest-solar-plants-in-
country/600273233/
With one utility-scale solar project in
Minnesota, costs (before tax credits) are
basically the same as local solar
Grid savings
from local
solar
Cost of Solar by Type
Utility Scale
[Low Cost Model]
Utiliity Scale
[High Cost Model]
Community Rooftop
Power costs and
utility earnings
Delivery costs
Actual Solar Costs & Benefits
Avoided transmission
and distribution
costs
Madison Gas and Electric’s Badger Hollow I
and II solar projects (before tax credits)*
*Source: Response of
Madison Gas and Electric
Company to Vote Solar and
Sierra Club Data Request
No. 1-VS/SC-12 (7/17/23)
With several utility-scale solar projects in
Wisconsin, costs (before tax credits) are
basically the same as local solar
Grid savings
from local
solar
BENEFITS OF LOCAL SOLAR
FOR THE CLEAN ENERGY
TRANSITION
Up to 30x more jobs
than utility-scale solar, with jobs and
the economic bene
fi
ts more widely
dispersed throughout the state.
The least-cost path to
a carbon-free future,
with power prices
comparable to utility-
scale solar and
providing better overall
value.
Opening the clean energy
economy to all — ensuring the
freedom to participate in
generating clean power and
saving money, with access
for households living on low
incomes.
Delivering better
electricity reliability
through dispersed
generation, and with
battery storage
integration that can
keep electricity on
even if power lines
go down.
How Much Does
Utility-Owned
Solar Cost?
What Utilities Say
Utility earnings
Costs to produce and
deliver electricity
Electric bills
=
What Utilities Say
Utility earnings
Costs to produce and
deliver electricity
Electric bills
=
But they leave
things out
2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Utilities Don’t Account for Delivery Costs
Source: Energy Information Administration, https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=32812
69%
22%
54%
36%
power production
delivery costs
other costs
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission-regulated utility spending
cents per kilowatt-hour ($2016)
1
Utilities Don’t Account for Earnings
Shareholder earnings!
D = shareholder dividends
2
Actual Electricity Costs
Utility earnings
Costs to produce and
deliver electricity
Electric bills
=
Fact: Solar Costs are
Similar Whether it’s on
Rooftops, Community
Arrays, or Utility-Scale
Plus, local solar
has a few more
bene
fi
ts!
BENEFITS OF LOCAL SOLAR
FOR THE CLEAN ENERGY
TRANSITION
Up to 30x more jobs
than utility-scale solar, with jobs and
the economic bene
fi
ts more widely
dispersed throughout the state.
The least-cost path to
a carbon-free future,
with power prices
comparable to utility-
scale solar and
providing better overall
value.
Opening the clean energy
economy to all — ensuring the
freedom to participate in
generating clean power and
saving money, with access
for households living on low
incomes.
Delivering better
electricity reliability
through dispersed
generation, and with
battery storage
integration that can
keep electricity on
even if power lines
go down.

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Which Costs Less? A Surprising Comparison of Utility-Scale, Community, and Rooftop Solar

  • 1. John Farrell, Co-Director, September 14, 2023 Which Solar Costs Less? A surprising comparison of utility-scale, community, and rooftop solar
  • 2. Fact: Utilities Misrepresent the Cost of Solar to Serve Their Interests Learn why they do, in their own words: https://twitter.com/john ff arrell/status/1702722441372434771
  • 3. Fact: Solar Costs are Similar Whether it’s on Rooftops, Community Arrays, or Utility-Scale
  • 4. BENEFITS OF LOCAL SOLAR FOR THE CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION Up to 30x more jobs than utility-scale solar, with jobs and the economic bene fi ts more widely dispersed throughout the state. The least-cost path to a carbon-free future, with power prices comparable to utility- scale solar and providing better overall value. Opening the clean energy economy to all — ensuring the freedom to participate in generating clean power and saving money, with access for households living on low incomes. Delivering better electricity reliability through dispersed generation, and with battery storage integration that can keep electricity on even if power lines go down.
  • 5. Cost of Solar by Type Community Utility Scale Cost ranges Rooftop Actual Solar Costs & Benefits << range >>
  • 6. Cost of Solar by Type Utility Scale [Low Cost Model] Utiliity Scale [High Cost Model] Community Rooftop Power costs and utility earnings Delivery costs Actual Solar Costs & Benefits Grid savings from local solar When we properly account for: 1) Power production (including utility earnings) 2) Delivery, and 3) Grid savings The cost of electricity from solar projects of all sizes are very similar 1 2 3
  • 7. Cost of Solar by Type Utility Scale [Low Cost Model] Utiliity Scale [High Cost Model] Community Rooftop Power costs Delivery costs Actual Solar Costs & Benefits Minnesota’s “value of solar” recognizes that local solar reduces transmission and distribution capacity costs, worth 2.4¢ per kilowatt-hour Xcel Energy value of solar calculation, 2023 Grid savings from local solar
  • 8. Cost of Solar by Type Utility Scale [Low Cost Model] Utiliity Scale [High Cost Model] Community Rooftop Power costs and utility earnings Delivery costs Actual Solar Costs & Benefits Avoided transmission and distribution costs While costs can vary by location, regulatory and state policy environment, grid congestion, etc, the truth is that local solar is often as cost-effective as large-scale solar, when accounting for utility earnings Grid savings from local solar
  • 9. Cost of Solar by Type Utility Scale [Low Cost Model] Utiliity Scale [High Cost Model] Community Rooftop Power costs and utility earnings Delivery costs Actual Solar Costs & Benefits Avoided transmission and distribution costs Xcel Energy’s Sherco Solar project in Minnesota, without tax credits* *Source: Xcel's plans in Becker would create one of largest solar plants in country (StarTribune, 5/8/23). https:// www.startribune.com/ xcels-plans-in-becker- would-create-one-of- largest-solar-plants-in- country/600273233/ With one utility-scale solar project in Minnesota, costs (before tax credits) are basically the same as local solar Grid savings from local solar
  • 10. Cost of Solar by Type Utility Scale [Low Cost Model] Utiliity Scale [High Cost Model] Community Rooftop Power costs and utility earnings Delivery costs Actual Solar Costs & Benefits Avoided transmission and distribution costs Madison Gas and Electric’s Badger Hollow I and II solar projects (before tax credits)* *Source: Response of Madison Gas and Electric Company to Vote Solar and Sierra Club Data Request No. 1-VS/SC-12 (7/17/23) With several utility-scale solar projects in Wisconsin, costs (before tax credits) are basically the same as local solar Grid savings from local solar
  • 11. BENEFITS OF LOCAL SOLAR FOR THE CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION Up to 30x more jobs than utility-scale solar, with jobs and the economic bene fi ts more widely dispersed throughout the state. The least-cost path to a carbon-free future, with power prices comparable to utility- scale solar and providing better overall value. Opening the clean energy economy to all — ensuring the freedom to participate in generating clean power and saving money, with access for households living on low incomes. Delivering better electricity reliability through dispersed generation, and with battery storage integration that can keep electricity on even if power lines go down.
  • 13. What Utilities Say Utility earnings Costs to produce and deliver electricity Electric bills =
  • 14. What Utilities Say Utility earnings Costs to produce and deliver electricity Electric bills = But they leave things out 2
  • 15. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Utilities Don’t Account for Delivery Costs Source: Energy Information Administration, https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=32812 69% 22% 54% 36% power production delivery costs other costs Federal Energy Regulatory Commission-regulated utility spending cents per kilowatt-hour ($2016) 1
  • 16. Utilities Don’t Account for Earnings Shareholder earnings! D = shareholder dividends 2
  • 17. Actual Electricity Costs Utility earnings Costs to produce and deliver electricity Electric bills =
  • 18. Fact: Solar Costs are Similar Whether it’s on Rooftops, Community Arrays, or Utility-Scale Plus, local solar has a few more bene fi ts!
  • 19. BENEFITS OF LOCAL SOLAR FOR THE CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION Up to 30x more jobs than utility-scale solar, with jobs and the economic bene fi ts more widely dispersed throughout the state. The least-cost path to a carbon-free future, with power prices comparable to utility- scale solar and providing better overall value. Opening the clean energy economy to all — ensuring the freedom to participate in generating clean power and saving money, with access for households living on low incomes. Delivering better electricity reliability through dispersed generation, and with battery storage integration that can keep electricity on even if power lines go down.