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VISION 2025
Overview
ļƒ˜ For a nation to progress it must have a clear idea of its destination. Without this it will be
unable to prepare a roadmap and to implement the policies that would lead it there. A
national vision is meant to provide clarity to our shared and aspirational destination.
Pakistan was founded on such a vision. Nevertheless, over the years the clarity of that
destination became blurred.
ļƒ˜ Pakistan today faces formidable social, economic, security and governance challenges.
Many nations have faced similar challenges in history and successfully turned them into
opportunities through sound economic planning, good governance and consistency in
policy implementation. As we pass through an era of unprecedented change and
complexity, it is imperative that we refresh our framework for national development to
create a robust platform and to place Pakistan in the league of Upper Middle Income
countries by 2025. However, our ultimate destination is to see Pakistan among the top ten
economies of the world by 2047 ā€“ the centennial year of our independence.
ļƒ˜ Over the last decade, Pakistanā€™s per capita income has grown at less than 3 per cent per
year, while other countries, e.g., Bangladesh, China, India, South Korea, and Sri Lanka,
are growing at rates between 6 and 9 per cent per year. If these trends continue, by 2047,
the centenary year of the birth of Pakistan, the average incomes of these countries would
be between 4 and 8 times higher. In other words, while Pakistan would reach the per capita
income level of Indonesia ($3,500), others would resemble such countries as Russia
($15,000), Portugal ($21,000), or Spain ($30,000).
ļƒ˜ While there are several reasons for the relatively slower growth rate of Pakistan, including
a number of geopolitical as well as domestic factors, an important one is the absence of a
clear national vision supported by sustained political commitment. China, South Korea,
Singapore, and Malaysia were inspired by the great visions of their leaders.
Functions
The Vision 2025 aims to serve four functions.
1. It will be a compilation of the consensus views of national and international stakeholders
regarding the future direction of the country.
2. It will be an aspirational document setting out future goals and expectations, to be
translated into a concrete road map and coherent strategy for balanced human, social, and
economic development.
3. It will provide a conceptual platform for the revival of sustainable and inclusive growth,
beneļ¬ting all citizens of Pakistan.
4. It will provide the approach for meeting all globally agreed targets, including the
Millennium Development Goals and any new goals to be endorsed by Pakistan in the
international arena.
Vision 2025 will build upon the urgent measures already undertaken by the government to address
short term challenges. As a result of these measures, inļ¬‚ation has begun to decelerate, the ļ¬scal
deļ¬cit has shrunk, growing foreign exchange reserves have reassured traders as well as the
international markets, the stock market has revived, and international capital markets have
expressed their conļ¬dence by oversubscription of the Eurobond.
Objectives
Within the confines of laid down scope, the paper aims to develop ability to comprehend the
following:
a) Concept of vision 2025 and its various aspects.
b) Mechanisms for analyzing the Vision 2025 and its structure in Pakistan.
c) Formulating policies and strategies for ameliorating different aspects of Vision 2025.
d) Proposing measures to remove the systemic, structural and leadership problems.
e) Proposing policies and implementation strategies for different pillars and objectives in
each.
Goals
PILLAR I
PUTTING PEOPLE FIRST - DEVELOPING HUMAN AND SOCIAL CAPITAL
1. Increase Primary school enrolment and completion rate to 100% & literacy rate to 90%
2. Increase Higher Education coverage from 7% to 12 %, and increase no. of PhD's from
7,000 to 15,000
3. Improve Primary and Secondary Gender Parity Index to 1, and increase female workforce
participation rate from 24% to 45%
4. Increase proportion of population with access to improved sanitation from 48% to 90%
5. Reduce infant mortality rate from 74 to less than 40 (per 1000 births) and reduce maternal
mortality rate from 276 to less than 140 (per 1000 births).
6. Reduce the incidence/prevalence of Hepatitis, Diabetes and Heart Disease by 50%
7. Pakistan will be World Champions in 2 sports and win at least 25 medals in the Asian
games
PILLAR II
ACHIEVING SUSTAINED, INDIGENOUS AND INCLUSIVE GROWTH
1. Become one of the largest 25 economies in the World, leading to Upper Middle Income
country status
2. Reduce poverty level by half
3. Increase annual Foreign Direct Investment from USD 600 million to over USD 15 billion.
4. Increase tax to GDP ratio from 9.8% to 18%
PILLAR III
GOVERNANCE, INSTITUTIONAL REFORM AND MODERNIZATION OF THE
PUBLIC SECTOR
1. Place in the top 50th percentile for Political Stability (from bottom 1 percentile), No
Violence/Terrorism (from bottom 1 percentile), and Control of Corruption (from bottom
13th percentile) as measured by the World Bankā€™s Worldwide Governance Indicators
PILLAR IV
ENERGY, WATER AND FOOD SECURITY
1. Energy
Double power generation to 42,000 MW to provide uninterrupted and affordable
electricity, and increase electricity access from 67% to over 90% of the population by 2025
2. Energy
a) Reduce average cost per unit by over 25% by improving generation mix (15%) and
reducing distribution losses (10%).
b) Increase percentage of indigenous sources of power generation to over 50%; and
c) Address demand management by increasing usage of energy efļ¬cient appliances/products
to 80%.
3. Water
Increase storage capacity to 90 days, improve efļ¬ciency of usage in agriculture by 20%,
and ensure access to clean drinking water for all Pakistanis.
4. Food
Reduce food insecure population from 60% to 30%.
PILLAR V
PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH
a) Rank in the top 50 countries on the World Bankā€™s Ease of Doing Business Rankings
b) Increase Diaspora investment (via remittances) in private sector from USD 14 billion to
USD 40 billion
c) Create at least 5 global Pakistani brands (having more than 50% sales coming from
consumers outside Pakistan), and make 'Made in Pakistan' a symbol of quality
PILLAR VI
DEVELOPING A COMPETITIVE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY THROUGH VALUE
ADDITION
a) Join the ranks of the top 75 countries as measured by the World Economic Forumā€™s Global
Competitiveness Report
b) Triple labour and capital productivity
c) Improve Pakistanā€™s score on the World Bank Instituteā€™s Knowledge Economy Index from
2.2 to 4.0, and increase internet penetration to over 50%
d) Increase the number of tourist arrivals to 2 million
PILLAR VII
MODERNIZING TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE AND GREATER
REGIONAL CONNECTIVITY
a) Increase road density from 32 km/100 km2 to 64 km/ 100 km2, and share of rail in transport
from 4% to 20%
b) Increase annual exports from US$ 25 billion to US$ 150 billon

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Vision 2025: Pakistan's plan for social, economic growth

  • 1. VISION 2025 Overview ļƒ˜ For a nation to progress it must have a clear idea of its destination. Without this it will be unable to prepare a roadmap and to implement the policies that would lead it there. A national vision is meant to provide clarity to our shared and aspirational destination. Pakistan was founded on such a vision. Nevertheless, over the years the clarity of that destination became blurred. ļƒ˜ Pakistan today faces formidable social, economic, security and governance challenges. Many nations have faced similar challenges in history and successfully turned them into opportunities through sound economic planning, good governance and consistency in policy implementation. As we pass through an era of unprecedented change and complexity, it is imperative that we refresh our framework for national development to create a robust platform and to place Pakistan in the league of Upper Middle Income countries by 2025. However, our ultimate destination is to see Pakistan among the top ten economies of the world by 2047 ā€“ the centennial year of our independence. ļƒ˜ Over the last decade, Pakistanā€™s per capita income has grown at less than 3 per cent per year, while other countries, e.g., Bangladesh, China, India, South Korea, and Sri Lanka, are growing at rates between 6 and 9 per cent per year. If these trends continue, by 2047, the centenary year of the birth of Pakistan, the average incomes of these countries would be between 4 and 8 times higher. In other words, while Pakistan would reach the per capita income level of Indonesia ($3,500), others would resemble such countries as Russia ($15,000), Portugal ($21,000), or Spain ($30,000). ļƒ˜ While there are several reasons for the relatively slower growth rate of Pakistan, including a number of geopolitical as well as domestic factors, an important one is the absence of a clear national vision supported by sustained political commitment. China, South Korea, Singapore, and Malaysia were inspired by the great visions of their leaders. Functions The Vision 2025 aims to serve four functions. 1. It will be a compilation of the consensus views of national and international stakeholders regarding the future direction of the country. 2. It will be an aspirational document setting out future goals and expectations, to be translated into a concrete road map and coherent strategy for balanced human, social, and economic development. 3. It will provide a conceptual platform for the revival of sustainable and inclusive growth, beneļ¬ting all citizens of Pakistan. 4. It will provide the approach for meeting all globally agreed targets, including the Millennium Development Goals and any new goals to be endorsed by Pakistan in the international arena. Vision 2025 will build upon the urgent measures already undertaken by the government to address short term challenges. As a result of these measures, inļ¬‚ation has begun to decelerate, the ļ¬scal deļ¬cit has shrunk, growing foreign exchange reserves have reassured traders as well as the
  • 2. international markets, the stock market has revived, and international capital markets have expressed their conļ¬dence by oversubscription of the Eurobond. Objectives Within the confines of laid down scope, the paper aims to develop ability to comprehend the following: a) Concept of vision 2025 and its various aspects. b) Mechanisms for analyzing the Vision 2025 and its structure in Pakistan. c) Formulating policies and strategies for ameliorating different aspects of Vision 2025. d) Proposing measures to remove the systemic, structural and leadership problems. e) Proposing policies and implementation strategies for different pillars and objectives in each. Goals PILLAR I PUTTING PEOPLE FIRST - DEVELOPING HUMAN AND SOCIAL CAPITAL 1. Increase Primary school enrolment and completion rate to 100% & literacy rate to 90% 2. Increase Higher Education coverage from 7% to 12 %, and increase no. of PhD's from 7,000 to 15,000 3. Improve Primary and Secondary Gender Parity Index to 1, and increase female workforce participation rate from 24% to 45% 4. Increase proportion of population with access to improved sanitation from 48% to 90% 5. Reduce infant mortality rate from 74 to less than 40 (per 1000 births) and reduce maternal mortality rate from 276 to less than 140 (per 1000 births). 6. Reduce the incidence/prevalence of Hepatitis, Diabetes and Heart Disease by 50% 7. Pakistan will be World Champions in 2 sports and win at least 25 medals in the Asian games PILLAR II ACHIEVING SUSTAINED, INDIGENOUS AND INCLUSIVE GROWTH 1. Become one of the largest 25 economies in the World, leading to Upper Middle Income country status 2. Reduce poverty level by half 3. Increase annual Foreign Direct Investment from USD 600 million to over USD 15 billion. 4. Increase tax to GDP ratio from 9.8% to 18% PILLAR III GOVERNANCE, INSTITUTIONAL REFORM AND MODERNIZATION OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR 1. Place in the top 50th percentile for Political Stability (from bottom 1 percentile), No Violence/Terrorism (from bottom 1 percentile), and Control of Corruption (from bottom 13th percentile) as measured by the World Bankā€™s Worldwide Governance Indicators
  • 3. PILLAR IV ENERGY, WATER AND FOOD SECURITY 1. Energy Double power generation to 42,000 MW to provide uninterrupted and affordable electricity, and increase electricity access from 67% to over 90% of the population by 2025 2. Energy a) Reduce average cost per unit by over 25% by improving generation mix (15%) and reducing distribution losses (10%). b) Increase percentage of indigenous sources of power generation to over 50%; and c) Address demand management by increasing usage of energy efļ¬cient appliances/products to 80%. 3. Water Increase storage capacity to 90 days, improve efļ¬ciency of usage in agriculture by 20%, and ensure access to clean drinking water for all Pakistanis. 4. Food Reduce food insecure population from 60% to 30%. PILLAR V PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH a) Rank in the top 50 countries on the World Bankā€™s Ease of Doing Business Rankings b) Increase Diaspora investment (via remittances) in private sector from USD 14 billion to USD 40 billion c) Create at least 5 global Pakistani brands (having more than 50% sales coming from consumers outside Pakistan), and make 'Made in Pakistan' a symbol of quality PILLAR VI DEVELOPING A COMPETITIVE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY THROUGH VALUE ADDITION a) Join the ranks of the top 75 countries as measured by the World Economic Forumā€™s Global Competitiveness Report b) Triple labour and capital productivity c) Improve Pakistanā€™s score on the World Bank Instituteā€™s Knowledge Economy Index from 2.2 to 4.0, and increase internet penetration to over 50% d) Increase the number of tourist arrivals to 2 million PILLAR VII MODERNIZING TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE AND GREATER REGIONAL CONNECTIVITY a) Increase road density from 32 km/100 km2 to 64 km/ 100 km2, and share of rail in transport from 4% to 20% b) Increase annual exports from US$ 25 billion to US$ 150 billon